Trendtrading
AUDUSD Analysis: Shorting Opportunities Amid RetracementFor those eyeing AUDUSD, here's my take:
While some might be tempted to buy, anticipating a retracement (UP) due to the recent price action, I'm not focused on buying opportunities. Instead, I have more strategic shorting setups in mind.
4-Hourly Chart:
- Resistance Levels : Waiting for a retest at 0.6638 or a retest of the channel for shorting opportunities.
1-Hourly Chart:
- Resistance Levels : 0.6595, 0.6613, and 0.6636.
- Preferred Entry : 0.6636 is my ideal shorting price, as it aligns with the key resistance level .
What's your trade plan for AUDUSD? Comment down below and share your insights!
Happy trading!
XAU/USD - Q2 Market AnalystBased on current trends and analysis, I forecast that XAU/USD will reach a new all-time high (ATH) this week at the earliest and next week at the latest. Therefore, we should consider taking a Long/Buy Action in the market. Here are the key insights:
Reversal: There was a strong rejection at the 2291 area after experiencing a strong rejection at 2393. This is a sign that the market has the potential to move upward. Additionally, this week, on May 10, 2024, the market closed above the support area.
Correction: The market will undergo a correction around the 2393 area before continuing its bullish trend, as long as there are no adverse news or situations affecting the market.
Please remember, this analysis is a personal interpretation of market trends and should not replace professional financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consult financial experts before making investment decisions.
Alibaba Long Term Analysis. 1st Target 134, 2nd Target 308This is my Long Term Analysis _ "Alibaba".
Downtrend is Breakout in monthly time frame and retested. So, from now on, the market will move to a Bullish Trend. And 1st Target is 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement (134), 2nd Target is (308).
I want to help people to Make Profit all over the "World".
You found liquidity. Now here is what yo do with it.
In this chart price action I have marked out where previous types of liquidity existed.
At the left you can see there was an uptrend but this uptrend had no factors showing LOW liquidity. Only strong high liquidity. Using the rules below you can mark out liquidity levels and what to expect when price returns to these levels later on.
No indicator can do this for you. This is simple price action structure.
You can implement these rules into marking levels in your price patterns / shapes, if you like using those as well.
Welcome to the coffee shop everybody this is your host and Baristo Eric, and I'm here today to let you guys know about the difference between high liquidity and low liquidity pivots and when I say pivots I mean price levels in the market. I want you to keep in mind that this trick works on all time frames it doesn't matter what time frame you're looking at but it certainly works best if you're comparing the high time frame to the low time frame that you're trading on.
This is a price action trick and strategy that you do not need an indicator for. Which means you can never get this wrong as you long as you follow these rules but the minute you try using an indicator for this you're going to miss out on some important details.
Now obviously there's a few rules that you need to follow when you're looking for high liquidity or low liquidity pivots and in the image above you should be able to see it but in the text below I'll give you my breakdown of the 123 rule that you can really follow to understand what you're looking for.
Here's a few rules to follow:
1. Bullish candles make high pivots
2. Bearish candles make low pivots
3.the length of the Wick of the candle is the trigger to tell you what you're looking for.
You cannot find low or high liquidity in a market during the trend. You can only see it after the trend has finished and you are either currently ranging or you are in the alternate trend meaning you were in a downtrend and now you're in an uptrend or a sideways market. You want to look for these liquidity types in the previous trend but using the strategy in this video you can also find high and low liquidity in arranging markets simply by looking at the ranging market that previously took place.
The trick to finding liquidity in the market goes like this:
Finding Sell Liquidity (Resistance) in previous market moves.
If you were in a downtrend and now it has completed you can look backwards at that downtrend and find all the bullish candles that will reflect the rules you were looking for.
Look at the downtrend and find the bullish candles.
You want the bullish candles that had swing highs and their upper Wick is longer than their lower Wick.
If the previous market was an uptrend you simply wanna do the opposite:
and previously up trending market you wanna find all the bearish candles and those bearish candles need to have a swing low Wick plus the Wick on the bottom must be longer than the Wick on top. These will reflect your SUPPORT levels (Buy Liquidity)
One of the questions often asked is what do you do with these levels once you find them.
Once you find low liquidity levels you wanna mark them this way you can treat them as plausible breakout areas meaning that with low liquidity in these areas price will reach those areas later on and price will continue to move through them because there are very few participants trying to buy or sell in a low liquidity area.
High liquidity area however simply means there is a lot of volume lot of activity and when price reaches back to these levels that price will either stall or reverse at these levels.
High liquidity areas also mean that these are banks and institutions trading at these levels so price can pull away from it retest and then come back to it for a very large move initiated by that same level.
Crowdstrike pushing towards all time highs!Crowdstrike has been in a strong upward trend since the beginning of 2023. Pullbacks were generally short-lived, and the trend accelerated early this year.
CRWD reached its ATH in March, surpassing the 300 mark it reached in 2021. A significant consolidation occurred after that, but it seems like the bulls have garnered sufficient strength to test 360 again, after failing to breach the level 2 weeks ago, and maybe push the stock to new highs. The stock's 7% jump after beating the Q1 earnings estimate proved to be a perfect launchpad for this, CRWD is now trading above the 50, 100 & 200 SMA again.
Should the 360 mark be broken, traders can start looking up to the 400$ mark.
Fundamentally speaking, the threat of novel cybersecurity attacks is unfortunately not going to go away. Black hats are developing smarter-than-ever malware. To the eyes of many, Crowdstrike's AI-boosted cloud-based cybersec solutions offer powerful counters to those threats, so it is probably unlikely that Crowdstrike will see a sharp drop in demand in the near future as companies and their IT-teams are still catching up. According to the IDC (International Data Corporation) GenAI (Generative AI) in the cybersecurity market is growing at a CAGR of 23.6% and projects that it will reach a $46.3 billion market value by 2027.
Stay safe out there and trade responsibly!
Nifty Probable Trade idea1.If you think market will fall from tomorrow, without a pullback chances are rare.
2. This week or the next it will be in today's range most likely
3. If bull run is over, it will take to give confirmation in form to distribution and dump the big money at the top
4. Or if trend to continue then we have levels to reverse from the marked levels
USDJPY - 2nd chance sharing opportunityI believe the BOJ conducted its second FX intervention yesterday. As the market retested the sell zone, I shorted this pair and placed Stops at 156.82, which is a good 58 pips of initial risk.
Once the market reaches 155.78, I'll shift my stops to the entry-level. This would prevent any losses incurred by hectic volatile movement.
If all goes well, my 1st target would be at 154.85 and I'll keep my second target open.
What are your thoughts on this?
TFEX S50 FuturesTFEX S50 Futures looking down in all 3 Trend
Primary trends
Secondary trends
Minor Trends
At the moment it is at the -2SD support level of the Volume Normal distribution and POC of Regression Trend
Now Volume Profile of last Degree move down to the bottom that might bounce.
If looking down, wait for a bounce and then open a short at the POC resistance level or wait for a reversal at the upper edge.
If you look up and don't care about the trend, open Long at the support level, set Stop Loss at Low.
However, There is a target of going down in the Range Volatile month and 3rd month
At 800 it is still the first target.
Trade with faith in your beliefs and follow your own plan.
C.Goii SuperTrader
GOLD SHORTPrices Already on Resistance!!
If Market Crash Price can go higher up to $2900 (I mean 20% rally).
or Opposite, It come down to $2100 to $2000 level
It will provide a bearish divergence signal shortly. Keep an eye on it, but make a trade plan in advance.
A surge in the US dollar and Treasury yields also brought down the price of gold.
Central Banks are adding gold to their reserves.
Decresing Tick Volume
No matter the asset, investing always involves some risk, but savvy investors usually recognize the value of seeing openings during market downturns.
Furthermore, investors now have a compelling opportunity to diversify their holdings, protect themselves from market fluctuations, and maybe profit from a price comeback thanks to the recent drop in gold prices that occurred on April 25.
But before making any financial decisions, including adding gold to your portfolio, it's imperative that you carry out extensive study and evaluate your needs, goals, and risk tolerance.
"Escalating geopolitical risks significantly bolster gold as hot and cold conflicts, and a record number of elections this year, keep the risk thermometer high," HSBC was quoted as saying by Reuters.
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**First Scenario - Long:**
If Market Structure breaks on Daily TF and retest at 61.8%
Initial Target: $2900
Entry: $2390
Stoploss: $2325
**Second Scenario - Short:**
Initial Target: $2080
Entry: $2415
Stoploss: $2441
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Take into consideration:
Psychological Resistance at $2900
Psychological Support at $2050
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Price already in my area of value, just waiting for the market to tell me to get in on a sell.
NFA
DYOR
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Good Luck!
⚠️Caution: Just because I've set my buy and sell position Settings or drawn direction lines on my chart doesn't indicate I've opened a position or am obsessed with a particular bias. This is only a forecast; I don't trade when the price reaches my level; I have rules of engagement. Perhaps the most crucial element is 🆘RISK MANAGEMENT🆘.
XAUUSD TODAY: Gold price keeps risingGold prices hovered around $2,340 per ounce on Tuesday, after logging gains in the previous session underpinned by growing expectations of eased monetary policies by major central banks. On Monday, data showed that US manufacturing activity slowed for a second consecutive month in May, while construction spending unexpectedly fell in April due to declines in non-residential activity. This further increased speculations that the Fed has room to cut rates this year. Traders are currently pricing a 60% probability of rate cut in September
SELL GOLD: 2374 - 2376 , SL: 2380
BUY GOLD: 2327 - 2325, SL: 2321
Good luck investors
Potential EUR/USD LongSetup is based on a forecasted channel I think price would trade within. Entry at touch of trend line, SL below the low formed to the left, tp at peak just before retracement. On m5 there's an Elliot Wave pattern building up within the retracement to entry on m15, enabling us to predict the end of the m15 retracement. Also, there's an SnR flip right at entry which could potentially cause price to bounce off.
Potential EUR/USD LongSetup is based on a forecasted channel I think price would trade within. Entry at touch of trend line, SL below the low formed to the left, tp at peak just before retracement. On m5 there's an Elliot Wave pattern building up within the retracement to entry on m15, enabling us to predict the end of the m15 retracement. Also, there's an SnR flip right at entry which could potentially cause price to bounce off.
Trends Mixed; Overall Neutral Short Term on MarketsSo, as stated in the video, the shorter term timeframes of 30m/1hr/2hr have opened up to lower movements, while the 3hr/4hr/6hr have been violated and would call for a movement back up, but haven't shown that potential movement yet.
We are still in a short term Bullish Zone in accordance with my moving momentum algorithm, but we are very close to hitting below that Zero Line into Bearish territory, especially if we continue to stay low like this. What I may look for is a movement into the Bearish zone, a move upward, and if that movement upward doesn't bounce us back into a bullish zone I may short the market, but we shall see.
Overall long term, I'm curious if the Daily can push below and settle under 5160ish for a Lower Low. It would be the first time in quite some time that we had a lower low on the Daily trend, putting us at risk of getting a lower high Daily rebound that will call for markets to be on a decline.
Overall, The Mag 7, especially NVidia, still continue to mostly carry the market with the bulk of the Dow in neutral territory at best, and the Nasdaq outside of the Mag 7 also neutral. I continue to be concerned about this rally being too narrow and traders continuing to use Mag 7 stocks as safety stashes, and what will happen if they choose to take that safety money out to stash it somewhere else.
Trends into today are;
Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract)
30m - 5319 Downtrend (5/28/2024) Lower Low
1Hr - 5313 Downtrend (5/28/2024) Lower Low
2Hr - 5309 Downtrend (5/28/2024) Lower Low
3Hr - 5286 Downtrend (5/23/2024) Higher Low
4Hr - 5286 Downtrend (5/23/2024) Higher Low
6Hr - 5287 Downtrend (5/23/2024) Higher Low
12Hr - 5188 Uptrend (5/6/2024) Higher High
Daily - 5330 Uptrend (5/15/2023) Higher High
Weekly - 4769 Uptrend (12/11/2023) Higher High
Monthly - 5304 Uptrend (03/31/2024) Higher High
Economic Calendar;
GDP Thursday
PCE Friday
Earnings to watch;
Salesforce AMC today
Costco earnings are tomorrow
My sentiment on the market is as follows;
Shorter Term - Bearish
Short Term - Bearish / Neutral
Medium Term - Neutral / Bullish
Long Term - Bullish
Basically, I don't see major risks in the long-term just yet, but the short term is a bag of mixed reactions. Currently in a place I feel we may need to look elsewhere. If you were looking for me to give you a warm and fuzzy on where to trade the ES Futures, I just can't give that today.
Safe trading and remember your risk management.
Gold ( XAUUSD ) Outlook !!!www.tradingview.com
Gold (XAUUSD) is navigating a descending triangle pattern and has rebounded from its upper edge. The 50-period moving average adds an additional layer of resistance for the asset.
If it breaks above the 2345 resistance level, it could clear the path to the 2365/2390 resistance
Conversely, a rebound from the upper edge may trigger a decline to the 2310/2285 support level.
The overall trend is positive, yet a dominant buyer has not emerged. The market is in anticipation of news. On a local scale, the trend is downward. To validate a shift to a local upward trend, the price must surpass and stabilize above the range of 2354 - 2364; this would set the stage for a potential rise to 2400. However, should the price fall below 2328, it could trigger widespread market concern.