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Trendtrading

Trends still show upward movement; CPI Data this weekSo trends that called for upward movement confirmed this upward movement last week. I had mentioned in my last video that the candlestick pattern for May 1st was extremely bullish, the following two days confirmed that movement in my opinion and given that trends called for upward movement, we crossed above the zero line on MACD Momentum into a bullish zone, and we were pushing above that Daily lower high resistance level around 5160, I went long. I did cash that trade out around 5260 for a $5000 trade. Given the uncertainty of how CPI could come in, I am likely to stick out until I see that data this Wednesday. While I'm not certain what Core CPI will do, and that SHOULD be the main data point we pay attention to, I have concerns based on a 10% hike in gas prices over much of April that Headline CPI could come in above expectations and cause at least an initial panic sell off. We are nearing the potential for an overbought state on MFI/RSI on the daily, so watch for algo trading around those levels as well, at least on the initial touch. Obviously we rented living space in overbought territory at the beginning of this year, so it doesn't mean we have to reverse at all, especially in this FOMO market. I continue to see the current conditions as very bullish, in spite of significant concerns I have for the ES Economy overall. While there was a time when the US Markets reflected the state of the US Economy, I think we have a massive disconnect between the two that was caused by the COVID Pandemic. I think the new trend is when the economy looks rough, dump money into Mag 7 / NYFAANG / or basically whatever hyper select group of stocks equals the majority of the market cap out there, which will just push markets higher in spite of economic conditions. Walmart Earnings on Thursday will be something to watch, moreso as it might show insight into consumer health more than what is actually happening with Walmart. Trends into today are; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 5251 Uptrend (5/13/2024) Higher High 1Hr - 5241 Downtrend (5/10/2024) Higher Low 2Hr - 5229 Uptrend (5/9/2024) Higher High 3Hr - 5157 Uptrend (5/3/2024) Higher High 4Hr - 5148 Uptrend (5/3/2024) Higher High 6Hr - 5148 Uptrend (5/3/2024) Higher High 12Hr - 5188 Uptrend (5/6/2024) Higher High Daily - 5166 Downtrend (4/12/2023) Higher Low Weekly - 4769 Uptrend (12/11/2023) Higher High Monthly - 5304 Uptrend (03/31/2024) Higher High Economic Data; PPI & Powell Speaking on Tuesday CPI on Wednesday Jobs data on Thursday Earnings; Home Depot Tuesday Walmart on Thursday Geopolitical; Russia has had a major push into Ukraine, not sure it will matter but there is the potential for a major offensive to pick up pace there. Israel / Hamas conflict continues to be a concern but doesn't seem to have much influence on markets at the moment. Overall Sentiment; Shorter Term - Neutral Short Term - Neutral Medium Term - Mmmm... really undecided on this one Long Term - Bullish Overall, I could see a quick pull back overall this week, but even if this happens I think the market will heal whatever dip we have and we will end higher overall by the end of next week. Safe trading, and remember your risk management plan!
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by SemperTrader
Non-farm expectations increased sharply when the FED became hawk“If the PCE record is better than marketplace forecasts, this can be some other assault on FED hobby price reduce expectations, inflicting gold expenses to fall even deeper.” Notably, Kitco News`s ultra-modern weekly gold survey indicates that greater than 3-quarters of enterprise specialists assume that gold expenses will pass sideways or lower this week. 14 Wall Street analysts consulted the Kitco News gold survey. Sentiment towards valuable metals has worsened. Only 3 specialists (21%) expect gold expenses will upward thrust better this week. There are 8 analysts (accounting for 57%) predicting gold expenses will lower. Another 3 majors (seeking out 21% of the total) are identified, trending sideways this week. Meanwhile, 195 votes had been solid in the course of Kitco's on-line visit. Main Street traders have a greater bullish view on valuable metals. ninety four retail traders (or 48%) expect gold expenses will upward thrust this week. Another 50% (equal to 26%) anticipated the rate could be lower. Meanwhile, fifty one people (equal to the ultimate 21%) expect expenses will stay strong this week.
TVC:GOLDLong
by MrTrongVo
USD/CAD Trend reset - Buy ContinuationMomentum preceeds prices! The USDCAD has had a trend reset (Secondary Trend), which is key to the Up-trend continuation. The structural point for trend reversal is 1.3656, we want to see a second breakdown below the structure without breaking below 1.3624. A trade back above 1.3656 will be the first buy, confirmation will be a trade above 1.3671. In terms of Target, we will use the Fibonacci retracement from the low to the high of 3. Target 1: 1.3780 Target 2: 1.3838 Initial Stop Loss: 1.3624
Long
by Charts247TradingAcademy
1
Precious metal products are still strongly bought every time theWorld gold price on the night of May 22 was about 16.8% higher than at the end of 2023. World gold price converted by USD bank price was 74.7 million VND/tael, including taxes and fees, lower about 16.2 million VND/tael compared to the domestic gold price as of the late afternoon of May 22. World gold prices fell sharply, causing the USD to increase rapidly. Domestically, SJC gold price is still at 91 million VND/tael. 🔥 TVC:GOLD BUY 2358 - 2353🔥 💰 TP1 2365 💰TP2 2370 ❌ SL 2346 🔥 TVC:GOLD SELL 2400 - 2397🔥 💰 TP1 2390 💰TP2 2380 ❌ SL 2408
TVC:GOLDLong
by MrTrongVo
Currency State Of Play - Midweek Portfolio Selection**Sorry about the sound** Today, I'm looking at the Major Indices to determine the current state of play of the currency market and what we should expect for the remainder of the trading week. The current 4HR wave structure analysis of the Indices is as follows: DXY: +ve EXY: Neutral AXY: Neutral SXY: +ve JXY: +ve BXY: -ve CXY: -ve ZXY: -ve BUY PAIRS: No High probability Pairings based on the Indices SELL PAIRS: GBPUSD, GBPJPY, CADJPY, NZDUSD,NZDJPY, CADCHF,GBPCHF
by Charts247TradingAcademy
From Inception to Present: Our Crypto Model's Trades to DateIntroduction In this idea, we'll analyze the performance of our crypto trend model by breaking down each individual trade made since it went live on 27th July 2023 . We'll delve into key market events that occurred around these trades and the run-up gains or drawdown avoidance achieved by the model. Trade Breakdown Short Signal - July 27, 2023 Trade Outcome : Date : July 27, 2023 Signal : Short📉 Market Context : Event : In July 2023, Bitcoin faced a significant resistance around $30K, leading to a sharp rejection and subsequent price drop. This resistance level was critical, and the rejection marked the start of a downturn​. Performance : The short signal successfully captured the decline, gaining almost 15% at it's climax on just Bitcoin alone. The model's entry just before the major resistance test was well-timed. Long Signal - September 19, 2023 Trade Outcome : Date : September 19, 2023 Signal : Long📈 Market Context : Event : By mid-September, Bitcoin found solid support around $25,000 after a volatile summer. This support level triggered a significant bounce, making it a prime entry point for a long position​. Performance : The long signal capitalized on the bounce from $25,000, leading to a max run-up of 80% as Bitcoin rallied. Holding positions on altcoins in confluence with this signal would have likely yielded at least twice of what was gained on Bitcoin. Cash Signal - January 15, 2024 Trade Outcome : Date : January 15, 2024 Signal : Cash💰 Market Context : Event : Early January saw a recovery in Bitcoin prices driven by positive macroeconomic signals, such as slowing inflation. However, regulatory pressures and market volatility prompted caution​​. This pullback was also likely due to the Bitcoin ETFs Launch having a "sell the news" narrative. Performance : The cash signal helped avoid drawdowns of up to -10.61% and even more on altcoins during a period of increased market uncertainty and regulatory challenges. Long Signal - January 30, 2024 Trade Outcome : Date : January 30, 2024 Signal : Long📈 Market Context : Event :The approval of Bitcoin spot ETFs in January 2024 significantly boosted market sentiment. This approval was a pivotal event, sparking a bullish trend right after a small retracement. Performance : The long signal leveraged the positive sentiment and regulatory clarity, benefiting from the ensuing price surge and experiencing a max run-up of almost 72% on Bitcoin. Cash Signal - April 13, 2024 Trade Outcome : Date : April 13, 2024 Signal : Cash💰 Market Context : Event :April 2024 witnessed mixed signals with regulatory updates and market corrections. The Financial Stability Board's new regulatory framework added to the cautious market sentiment​. And with added FUD coming from Iran's attacks on Israel, the prices of not just crypto but other assets such as stocks started to tumble. Performance : The cash signal once again helped sidestep market turbulence, preserving gains from earlier trades, essentially avoiding up to -11.51% of drawdowns. Long Signal - May 17, 2024 Trade Outcome : Date : May 17, 2024 Signal : Long📈 Market Context : Event :As of May 2024, the crypto market showed resilience with new institutional interest and advancements in blockchain technology. This renewed interest provided a solid foundation and confluence for a long position Performance : As the signal came in just 3 days ago as of writing, we will update on the performance of this signal at a later date. Conclusion The crypto trend model demonstrated robust performance by effectively navigating through various market conditions and key events. Each and every trade has been overwhelmingly successful, and the model's signals is expected to continue capitalizing on gains and avoid major drawdowns in the future. Stay tuned for more updates and detailed analyses on our crypto trend model's performance.
Long
by AlgoAlpha
4
BTC will see 100$#BTC has started an uptrend since 16oct2023 (30 weeks ago) and then reached an all-time high in 2024, as values exceeded over 73,000 USD in March 2024 . when Israel bombed Iran's consulate , tensions escalated and risky assets like BTC dropped , on the other hand safe assets like gold rose . after that , BTC retraced and found support the 38.2 Fibo level ( while tensions eased ) and now on weeky timeframe we see a pin bar and a strong bullish candle which is a sign that BTC continues uptrend ; but we should wait until Monday and see if last weekly candle would remain strong or not . if so , we would take profit at 161.8% (Fibo ext) level and 102.300$ or you can exit safely and earlier on 100$ .
Long
by Market-Analyzer
XAUUSD | Rising Wedge H4 Timeframe XAUUSD | Rising Wedge H4 Timeframe Gold has been create a proper Rising Wedge Current point 2386.00 - 2387.00 On the Other hand , High Alert news are waiting for Gold Gold will touch soon 2370.00 then possible flip path to 2376.00 After that it will make a massive move and hopefully break the trend and touched the 2352.00 point then possibly flip 2368.00 All these flips are based on support level because it will create a proper trend and our last target will be 2330.00 All these idea/Analysis are based on Demand/Supply ,Rising Wedge Predictions are based on Educational Purposes
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by professionaltradersfx
$BTC: FREMA Trend CaptureDefault settings would look like: To increase responsiveness to risks and close positions with slightest trend change incentive, it's best to check the following: Invert BSP Dynamic Factor It is adjusted to the market incentive because the SuperTrend governing bands have carry ratios of bulls and bears. It causes bands to fuse with ongoing candle emerging proportions. Observing different trend phases deeper in history: For bullish strategy (Open Long / Close Long): It's better to have multiplier of uptrend band less than downtrend band: Having uptrend multiplier less than multiplier of second raw will enhance responsiveness of closing bullish positions and lower reaction to creating new bullish positions. When it's set vice versa - having1st raw factor bigger than the argument of 2nd raw factor, will lower the responsiveness of Opening Short but higher the responsiveness of Closing Shorts. The bottom like is I'd use this combination of inputs to secure the average trade as Position Entry and Position Close are timed by the proportions between Buying and Selling Pressure.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by fract
1
XCH /USDT (Chia) Secondary trend. Channel.Logarithm. Timeframe 3 days Secondary trend. Zone of the horizontal channel. Zone of the horizontal channel (accumulation of almost 1 year). At the moment of publication the price has moved in the parallel horizontal channel of accumulation for 350 days (11.6 months) with the step of 108.4%. This is a good sign. Now the price is in the compression zone (the average price of this accumulation). This is what this horizontal channel zone looks like on the line chart. Stop Loss Zone. Rationality of the strategy . I would like to emphasize that the stop loss under the support of this accumulation has not been knocked out (reset) at this point. This is not a mandatory action, but it is common. Just keep it in mind and consider it a conditional temporary risk, so to speak. To minimize this contingent risk, use a stop loss or, more rationally, work at an average buy/sell price. Let me remind you again that the price is now clamped with orders on the exchange (it has been there conventionally for 6 weeks) and this is the average price of this parallel channel. I deliberately showed the percentage values of the main support/resistance zones in case of the price compression (6 weeks in a very narrow range) on the chart for orientation and understanding of the logic of work. Main Trend 3 day time frame. XCH /USDT (Chia) Main Trend. Horizontal channel 11.6M
by SpartaBTC
39
Strong Buy Marico cmp 522 Target 550++ in 5-10 trade sessionsMarico Limited is one of India's leading consumer goods companies operating in global beauty and wellness categories. It is present in over 25 countries across emerging markets of Asia and Africa. It nurtures leading brands across categories of hair care, skin care, edible oils, healthy foods, male grooming and fabric care. Below are all the product categories that the company caters to in the domestic market and the brands of the company : 1. Coconut Oil - Parachute, Nihar Naturals. 2. Super-premium Refined edible oils - Saffola. 3. Value added hair oils - Parachute advansed, Nihar naturals, Hair & Care. 4. Healthy foods - Saffola oats, Coco Soul. Coconut oil, Saffola FITTIFY Gourmet Range. 5. Premium Hair Nourishment - Livon Serums, Hair & Care. 6. Male Grooming & Styling - Set Wet, Beardo, Parachute. 7. Skin Care - Kaya Youth, Parachute advansed. 8. Hygiene - Mediker, Veggie Clean Market Share Market share of company’s leading brands as of Q1FY22 were as follows: Coconut Oils, MS: 62%, Rank: 1 st Parachute Rigids, MS: 52%, Rank: 1 st Saffola – Super Premium ROCP, MS:, Rank: 82% 1 st Saffola Oats, MS: 39%, Rank: 2 nd Saffola Masala Oats - Flavored Oats, MS: 94%, Rank: 1 st Value Added Hair Oils, MS: 37%, Rank: 1st Post wash Leave-on Serums, MS: 63%, Rank: 1st Hair Gels/Waxes/Creams, MS: 58%, Rank: 1st Revenue Breakup FY22 In FY22, ~77% of the total consolidated revenues were generated from domestic business. In the domestic market, coconut oils accounted for 40% of the total revenues followed by refined oils 25%, value added hair oils 21%, Personal care products (male grooming, skin care) ~5%. Distribution Network The company has a pan-India distribution network with a reach of 5.6 million outlets out of a total of ~12 million outlets in India. In FY22, Modern Trade and e-commerce contributed to 14% and 9% of the domestic business respectively. International Business In FY22, ~23% of the total consolidated revenues were generated from international business. Top export countries are Bangladesh (51% % of export revenues), followed by South East Asia (23%) , Middle East (13 %), and South Africa (7%). The international business portfolio includes brands such as Parachute, HairCode, Mediker SafeLife, Fiancee, caivil, Hercules, Black Chic, Code 10, Ingwe, X-Men, Sedure, Thuan Phat and Isoplus. Capex In FY22, co. incurred 132 Crore Capital expenditure for capacity expansion and maintenance of existing manufacturing facilities. Marico is undertaking strategic investments to accelerate its digital transformation journey through building scalable digital-first brands, either organically or inorganically. Market Cap ₹ 67,791 Cr Stock P/E 46.3 ROCE 41.9 % Dividend Yield 0.86 % Currently PE is 46 as compared to Median PE of 50 and with such high ROCE and more than 3/4% of dividend yield, this stock is looking for a strong momentum looking at the way Marico is strategically increasing its business. Technically, it seems that price structure has changed on hourly chart and it seems to be bottom out as it has done time and price wise correction. At current market price(CMP) of 522, this is best rate to enter for quick target of 550 and 580 in a 5-10 trading session.
NSE:MARICOLong
by PrashantDahale
Navigating Gold DynamicsDive deep into the intricate world of gold trading with our comprehensive analysis and forecast. Our expert examination not only uncovers the latest trends in the gold market but also provides valuable insights into the factors shaping its price dynamics. From technical indicators to fundamental analysis, we dissect every aspect influencing gold prices. Stay informed and empowered to make strategic decisions with our actionable recommendations for capitalizing on the ever-evolving gold landscape.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by sabellaFX
USD/JPY & GBP/USD UpdateUSD/JPY The secondary trend on the USD/JPY has printed a trend-changing pattern after breaking above the pullback structure. This move gives us a piece of crucial information, that we can buy at the low after the current wave structure is complete. Currently, our high probability trade is selling now to buy later. GBP/USD The Cable is bearish because we have seen three trend-changing patterns that constitute a downtrend in the GBPUSD. Overall the major trend is now resuming to the downside and we want to sell every rally that failed to make a Higher high.
Short
by Charts247TradingAcademy
Future AUDUSD selloff very possible Fundamentals : The RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) kept interest rates at a 12-year high of 4.35%. The COT (Commitment of Traders) Non-Commercial Report for AUDUSD showed a larger number of participants holding shorts over longs but we’ve had about 15k shorts close their positions since the last COT report so there is that going against the bearish sentiment. Net position overall is still negative but it had a positive change of 13k or 13.51% which also goes against the bearish sentiment. % OI for longs is 18.40% while the % OI for shorts is 55.5%, Open Interest being 224.5k which is -14k lower then last weeks reports Technicals : We get the 3-EMA crossing-over the 10-EMA to the downside while price action is possibly staying underneath both EMAs. Stochastic is facing down while crossing the 50% mark and the Momentum is negative. Stop loss above the top trend line, Targeting prominent recent Lows.
Short
by Iateyourcroissant
Trends in upward movement facing some exhaustionTrends are mostly in an upward movement stage, looking to remove the violation left of the 12hr / Daily lower high trend indicators. Trends into today are; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 5086 Uptrend (5/2/2024) Higher High 1Hr - 5117 Uptrend (5/1/2024) Higher High 2Hr - 5117 Uptrend (5/1/2024) Lower High 3Hr - 5157 Uptrend (5/3/2024) Higher High 4Hr - 5148 Uptrend (5/3/2024) Higher High 6Hr - 5148 Uptrend (5/3/2024) Higher High 12Hr - 5204 Downtrend (4/4/2024) Higher Low Daily - 5166 Downtrend (4/12/2023) Higher Low Weekly - 4769 Uptrend (12/11/2023) Higher High Monthly - 5304 Uptrend (03/31/2024) Higher High As explained in the video, everything is in a higher high between 30m-6hr except the 2hr, which was part of the Powell Pump reversal. As I explained my trades over last week were a 70 point gain into the Powell Pump, a 70 point reversal after the Powell Pump, and a Long position from 5080 which I cashed out today as we pushed above the Daily downtrend resistance of 5170 for just over $4000. Additionally those Soybean Meal contracts I acquired around 335 were both cashed at around 372 for about $3700 each (I had 2). I don't say this to brag, but moreso to explain why I am not hungry for another trade, as I'm already financially set for the month of May at just under $20,000. This will be why I may seem overly picky about my trades and what may be a good position I may wait if it doesn't look like a borderline perfect trade. Economic Calendar is very light this week, just jobs data on Thursday. Earnings calendar is mostly important to watch tomorrow, especially around Disney from my perspective. Geopolitical tensions could hit a new tension point as Israeli troops move into Rafah. Overall, my general sentiment on the short term, and probably most of this week, is sideways at the moment. Safe trading, and remember your risk management.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by SemperTrader