Trendtrading
💡 GBPUSD: Forecast March 25GBPUSD fell sharply in the last session after creating a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern. Currently, the resistance level of 1.26 is showing signs of being broken, selling pressure is still very strong, continuing to expect the price to go down in the short term, The target is still around 1.25xx. The position to enter a sell order at this time is not good. You should wait for a rebound to the 1.27xx area before considering entering the order.
💡 XAUUSD: Trend down Gold prices continued to slide in the last session of the week after the strong decline signals mentioned previously. Although the buying force is returning this morning, regaining most of the previous reductions, this move has not significantly changed the situation, you can still keep your existing selling strategy, especially We now have an additional bearish pin bar pattern on the weekly, the target is still around 2145 and 2080 respectively.
High Probability Trading Environments Part 2: Liquidity RunsIn this educational video, we'll explore the distinction between High Resistance Liquidity Runs and Low Resistance Liquidity Runs, crucial for identifying High Probability Trading Environments. Our analysis will focus on NAS100USD, providing insights into potential trading opportunities for the week ahead.
By understanding these concepts, you'll gain valuable insights into positioning yourself effectively in the market. Be sure to watch to gain a comprehensive understanding of the key confluences that contribute to successful trading strategies.
Understanding Trend Analysis, SMT and ICT Concepts
Mastering High Probability Trading Environments Part 1
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
💡 XAUUSD: Disadvantaged from USD recoveryThe recovery of the USD during the day put pressure on gold. After sliding to a one-week low, the US Dollar Index reversed course and posted a 0.7% gain, making gold more expensive for overseas buyers.
According to TD Securities commodity strategist Daniel Ghali, the strong buying pressure after the policy meeting appears to have dried up and gold is correcting as the market perceives there are fewer risks associated with policy easing. currency book.
According to the FedWatch Tool, traders are currently pricing in a 70% chance that the Fed will begin cutting interest rates in June, up from 65% before the rate decision.
💡 DXY: Forecast Next week💲DXY: Last week, DXY had a surge after the FOMC meeting and reached its highest level of the week around 104.2. Regarding technical analysis, we can see that DXY has broken through the Downtrend line and the key level 103.5 - 103.7. With this development as well as the strong increase in the last 2 days of the week, I will appreciate the upward trend for DXY for the new trading week. The target area for DXY will be the next key level area 104.5 - 104.7. You can wait for DXY to back test the trendline and key level around 103.7 and create a reversal signal to continue buying positions.
XAUUSD 100% CONFIRM ANALYSISDiscover an enticing selling opportunity in GOLD as it undergoes a critical retest of a key support area. With market analysis, technical indicators, and price action as your allies, evaluate the potential downside move. Stay vigilant and informed to capitalize on this precious metal's market dynamics.
💡 XAUUSD: Increased sharply after FOMCGold price increased sharply in the past session, breaking the accumulation zone and confirming the triangle pattern and the continuation of the uptrend. Despite not being able to create an ATH in the previous session, the bulls did it this morning, the price briefly broke the 2200 level and then encountered selling pressure again. However, it is likely that the price will still go up as the buyers are still showing complete control, trend followers can look for buying opportunities. The next target for the bulls will be 2050. These price zones are unexplored price zones, so you need to pay attention to round number milestones as important resistance zones.
Trend Trading Strategy for the Heiken Ashi Algo v6Knowing when the RSI and price are in a ranging phase even in the short term can be a difficult process.
You are either #Ranging #bullish or #bearish. At least in the Algo v6 you can get a clear vision of exactly whats happening.
In this video im going to give you a VERY simple strategy on:
1. How to know if the RSI and price are ranging
2. When do i break away from Ranges
3. Am I trending
4. Im trending but whats my confluence to take a long or short
5. Is my range getting bigger or smaller
Enjoy this quick vid and ask questions below.
Thanks everyone.
Gold prices retreat amid strong US Dollar pre FOMC decisionGold prices fell late in the North American session on Tuesday amid a strong US Dollar but despite falling US Treasury bond yields. Market participants await the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy announcement on Wednesday, followed by a press conference by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Meanwhile, XAU/USD prices are set to remain near $2,150 as traders remain uncommitted to posting fresh bets in favor or against the yellow metal.
The non-yielding metal remains subdued as traders await the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision. In addition to delivering its monetary policy statement, policymakers are expected to update their projections about the United States economy. Growing concerns that the Fed will reduce its estimates for the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) keep traders on edge.
Tuesday’s US economic docket featured the release of Building Permits in February, which rose by 1.9% MoM from 1.489 million to 1.496 million. Meanwhile, Housing Starts for the same period saw a significant increase of 10.7%, surpassing the expected 8.2%.
The US 10-year Treasury bond yield has fallen two-and-a-half basis points to 4.296%.
Recent inflation data in the US showed that inflation on the consumer and producer side surprised to the upside, suggesting that inflation is stickier than expected, failing to break below the 3% threshold.
💡 XAUUSD: Strong pressure from USDIt is almost certain that the Fed will not reduce interest rates during the ongoing meeting. However, investors wait for statements from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell to find clues about US monetary policy.
Currently, the spot gold price is still above the threshold of 2,150 USD/ounce. This was the resistance level during the strongest price increase in December 2023.
However, precious metals were affected by information about home construction activities in the US skyrocketing 10.7% in February. This is a signal that the US economy is quite stable and the Fed may further delay the decision to cut interest rates.
The USD hanging at a high level will negatively affect gold.
💡 GBPUSD: Forecast March 18GBPUSD had its second consecutive down day after Friday, but the downward pressure weakened because Friday's D1 bar had a narrower range than the previous down D1 bar. The price inched down from the lower boundary of the Inside bar pattern, and if the bottom of this pattern is successfully broken, it is likely that GBPUSD D1 will decline further.
A small accumulation price range is forming at the lower border of the H1 GBPUSD price range. This type of accumulation around support can lead to a breakdown of the support. Today's GBPUSD H1 trend continues to lean towards selling, following the downward price trend in D1.
💡 GBPUSD: Forecast March 20GBPUSD responded to the support zone around 1.2675, and formed a nice kangaroo tail candle that could be bought. However, currently this candlestick has not been matched, moreover, if we trade in the daily frame, we can only earn more than 2 Rounds of profit from this area.
If you trade multiple time frames, you can go to the lower frame to find a signal to confirm the price direction and then find trading opportunities.
💡 XAUUSD: Next developmentsBar D1 was a bullish pinbar model yesterday, showing that buying pressure pushed up from below for D1 gold, promptly preventing a breakdown from the Inside bar model, which could cause D1 gold to fall further. Because the Inside bar has not broken yet, the cumulative price compression state is still happening for D1 gold. The main chart structure of gold D1 is bullish.
H1 gold yesterday broke the bottom during the Asian session but rebounded afterward, creating a false break below, showing that there is buying pressure below. But the chart structure with gradually lower price peaks shows that there is still pressure to sell above, so today's H1 gold trend continues to be waiting to sell at the above resistance. If there is a breakout - from this resistance, H1 gold will establish an uptrend, providing the basis for the idea of buying later.
GOLD BUYgold was working in bullish trend and is making a retracement to its bullish trend also in H4 its moving downwards in a channel also another confluence is gold has made a support level inside a downwards channel I am expecting a bullish move in near future to its previous resistance level which is also a very strong phycological level so we will be waiting for gold to break the channel and put our trade
here too we have a beautiful chance to put our longs because on this support level we are seeing bullish price action if it breaks this level we will be putting shorts otherwise we will be going long but my strong intuition is GOLD LONG
#AUDUSD inverted Head & Shoulder patternNot only price managed to break above long term bearish daily channel but also seems like price completed a reverse head & shoulder pattern by breaking above the neckline as you can see in the chart.
As a result we can expect to have a bullish continuation move at least towards the bearish trendline on red.
Pull back to the broken neckline would be most favorable setup to go long in this pair.
If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
#EURGBP possible bearish moveAs depicted in the chart, the EURGBP pair is within a long-term bearish channel and is nearing its upper boundary, where it may face downward pressure.
Additionally, the price is currently trading at a significant resistance level that it failed to breach in its last attempt, suggesting a potential failure to break through again this time.
If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
#GBPNZD symmetrical triangleIn an overall bullish move, the price is forming a symmetrical triangle chart pattern formation, which is neutral in nature but can adopt a trend sentiment, which in this case is bullish. Therefore, we could assume with a higher probability that the price could break above this pattern.
In the event of a bullish breakout, we could look for a retest to take a long position at the pullback area.
If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
💡 EURUSD: Forecast March 19After a brief recovery to the neckline of the double top model, selling pressure became stronger again, creating new bearish signals. These new signals are strengthening the possibility of EURUSD falling, you continue to hold existing short positions, the short-term target is around the support threshold of 1.08.
💡 XAUUSD: The pace dropped sharplyGold had its second consecutive decline after Friday. Friday's down D1 bar created a bearish pinbar pattern, with a long upper shadow and a close near the bottom, showing selling pressure pushing down from above. Deeper price compression took place when Friday's D1 bar fell inside the previous D1 bar, also inside the overall Inside bar model to create a double Inside bar model, and then had the narrowest amplitude in 04 The nearest D1 bar to create the Inside bar model, thereby forming the price action combo is Inside bar + Narrow Range bar. With such price behavior, D1 gold may experience strong price fluctuations in the near future. Because the uptrend is the dominant trend in D1, D1 gold can wait for a deep price pullback to buy.
The chart structure in the form of a descending triangle - is maintaining for H1 gold, with price peaks gradually lowering and price bottoms moving sideways, reflecting selling pressure from above. The scenario for H1 gold today is to either wait for the price to rebound to the upper resistance level to sell, or wait for the price to break the bottom and then retest to sell.
GBPNZD - Breaches Key Weekly LevelThis is what we've been waiting for - GBPNZD breaches a key 2.08~ weekly level. Last week's close signalled price holding above said level.
It's great to see strength during this week's open. I believe this is a sign of further strength to be expected on the upside.