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#Oil possible more bearish moveThe bearish move that we see in this chart, which started on September 28th, has formed two bearish channels, preventing the price from going higher seven times so far. As you can see on Friday, January 12th, with the geopolitical news from the Red Sea conflict, the price attempted to form a bullish breakout of the smaller channel but got rejected from the larger channel. As a result of this rejection, not only did the price form a daily shooting star candlestick pattern , but also the bullish breakout now seems like a false breakout, signaling the potential for further bearish movement in oil. We can also see that we have a bearish trendline on Stochastic oscillator which also bring more selling pressure on this commodity. If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDEShort
by mohemati
💡 XAUUSD: Unpredictable fluctuationsInternational gold prices remained stable, hovering above $2,000 per ounce, as they did not experience an increase. This stability is attributed to the impact of a report revealing that the number of US workers applying for unemployment benefits last week was lower than anticipated. This development serves as evidence that the US economy is in a recovery phase, with inflation being effectively managed. Consequently, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has opted to postpone any interest rate cuts. This decision has caused gold to lose its competitive edge when compared to alternative investment avenues. According to the CME Fedwatch tool, the likelihood of a 25 percentage point rate cut in March decreased from 69.6% to 63.6%. Gold expert Jim Wyckoff from Kitco commented that gold is unlikely to experience an uptick by the week's end, given the ongoing recovery of the US dollar and the increase in US Government bond yields observed in the previous week. Tim Waterer, a market analyst at KCM Trade, pointed out that the stability of the US dollar and bond yields is exerting pressure on the gold market.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Stone_Haven
Gold - Weekly Outlook at 2,035 LevelGold, or XAUUSD depending on which ticker you go by is playing around an interesting weekly level. The 2,035 level has been touched four times since 2020. August 2020: first touch and then sold off July 2022: second touch and then had a stronger selloff January 2023: third touch and then followed by a weaker selloff November 2023: fourth touch and no selloff reaction Depending on how price reacts around the 2,035 level for the week ahead, this will be very interesting to observe for the week ahead.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FinancialGamblR
CADJPY - One of Three Yen Trend TradesCADJPY is one of three Japanese yen pairs that I held through the weekend. the other two pairs are EURJPY and SGDJPY as they share very similar price action patterns. The selloff in December 2023 seemed short-lived to me so I found an opportunity to enter long earlier this month. My best guess for the selloff is the collective premature anticipation of interest rate cuts in 2024. From a price action standpoint, I quickly developed another sentiment. High level summary below: After a retracement, price failed to push to a new lower low. The relative low forms a new range boundary. Price breaks above the upper range boundary and holds, which signals further upside momentum. I'm not the biggest fan of how this pair, along with EURJPY and SGDJPY, closed last week. Seeing two down days certainly poses a risk that this uptrend may not continue for the week ahead.
Long
by FinancialGamblR
💡 XAUUSD: Deep reduction abilityThe market recently received information that the World Bank (WB) has forecast that the global economic outlook may still be weak, but with Latin America increasing compared to 2023. Specifically, the World Bank has forecast that Latin America's gross domestic product (GDP) in 2024 will increase slightly compared to the 2.2% recorded last year, and is expected to increase to 2.5% this year. 2025. Goldman Sachs Bank (USA) forecasts that the global economy will grow by 2.6% next year, higher than the 2.1% estimate of economists in a Bloomberg survey. The US is also expected to grow by 2.1%, higher than other developed countries. Experts say that when inflation is lower or equal to forecasts, gold prices will fall further. Because major economies like the US and Latin America continue to recover well, central banks will reduce pressure on interest rates. When interest rates remain high, it will also make gold - an asset that shelters cash flow - less attractive
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Stone_Haven
4750 Target met, trends in some conflict nowSo, we did hit that 4750 range, and ended up hitting it within just a few hours of my assessment that was the next area for us to head. That opens up a few trends to take us lower, specifically the 1hr and 2hr, as seen below in the trends; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 4722 Downtrend (1/8/2024) Lower Low 1Hr - 4757 Uptrend (1/5/2024) Lower High 2Hr - 4757 Uptrend (1/5/2024) Lower High 3Hr - 4808 Downtrend (12/29/2023) Higher Low 4Hr - 4808 Downtrend (12/29/2023) Higher Low 6Hr - 4759 Downtrend (12/20/2023) Higher Low 12Hr - 4762 Uptrend (1/3/2024) Higher Low Daily - 4378 Uptrend (11/3/2023) Higher High Weekly - 4769 Uptrend (12/11/2023) Higher High So now the shorter timeframe trends are in some conflict with the longer timeframe trends, and being I capitalized well last week, I am in no rush to get between this fight. Economic Data; I could see the public debt today being a big issue, but the major one this week will be CPI data on Thursday, as covered in the video. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to be a concern as well. My sentiment is; Shorter Term - Neutral Short Term - Neutral Medium Term - Neutral/Bullish Long Term - Bullish Safe trading, and remember your risk management.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by SemperTrader
3
Unleash the power of Ethereum in 2024COINBASE:ETHUSD Ethereum stands tall as a beacon of innovation, and its future in 2024 looks brighter than ever! With a strong foundation built on the groundbreaking achievements of 2022 and the ever-growing support of the crypto community, Ethereum is poised to make a remarkable comeback in the coming year. One of the key drivers of Ethereum's bullish thesis for 2024 is the upcoming network upgrade, EIP-4844, which promises to bring significant improvements in transaction speeds and costs. This upgrade is expected to take place during the first half of 2024, and it could be the catalyst that propels Ethereum to new heights. Moreover, the recent shift in market sentiment towards Ethereum, as evidenced by the growing number of institutional investors and the potential for a spot Ethereum ETF, further strengthens its bullish case. As more investors recognize the unique utility of the Ethereum blockchain for dApp developers, NFTs, and DeFi applications, the demand for ETH is likely to surge. In addition, the deflationary nature of Ethereum, which was first observed in 2023, is expected to continue in 2024. This deflationary pressure, coupled with the growing adoption of DeFi and NFTs on the Ethereum network, will likely result in increased utility and demand for ETH. Furthermore, the technical analysis of Ethereum's price action in 2024 reveals a bullish pattern, with the formation of an ascending triangle and a triple top. These patterns suggest that a breakout to the upside is imminent, and the price of ETH could reach new all-time highs in the coming year. #ETH #BTC
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by EgideSimba
💡 GBPUSD: Pressure from sellersGBPUSD continued to recover in the past session after buyers successfully defended the support level of 1.26. Although it is still not possible to break the resistance at 1.28 and create a new peak to confirm the continuation of the uptrend. However, recent price behavior shows that buyers are gradually regaining control of the situation, expecting prices to continue to rise. It is possible to continue holding existing long positions, the SL is still set below 1.26 while the target remains 1.30.
Short
by Stone_Haven
Tips To Become A Better TraderBecoming the consistently successful trader you aspire to be requires the creation of a new version of yourself, akin to a sculptor crafting a model. The attainment of financial success is a byproduct of acquiring and mastering specific mental skills. Embracing the mantra "I am a consistently successful trader" entails prioritizing consistency over any other rationale for engaging in trading. To achieve this, it is crucial to recognize that the extent of your success is directly tied to your ability to minimize the assumption of future market movements. Seven key beliefs guide the path to consistency: 1. Objectively identifying edges. 2. Predefining the risk for each trade. 3. Accepting the risk or gracefully exiting trades. 4. Executing trades confidently based on identified edges. 5. Appropriately compensating oneself as profits materialize. 6. Continuously monitoring susceptibility to errors. 7. Recognizing the absolute necessity of consistent success principles and adhering to them unwaveringly. Trust in oneself is paramount, as susceptibility to errors rooted in rationalization, justification, hesitation, hope, and impatience can undermine success. A future projection of a successful trader necessitates growth into that role, recognizing and addressing common problems such as an unwillingness to create rules, failure to take responsibility, and addiction to random rewards. The development of a trader mindset unfolds in three stages: 1. Mechanical stage: Building self-trust, flawless execution of a trading system, thinking in probabilities, and fostering unshakeable belief in consistency. 2. Subjective stage: Utilizing learned market insights freely. 3. Intuitive stage: Operating on intuition. Trading involves meticulous steps: 1. Choosing a market. 2. Defining edge variables precisely. 3. Executing trades based on rigid system parameters. 4. Determining stop-loss exits based on market structure. 5. Selecting a consistent time frame for all signals. 6. Scaling out of winning positions with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. 7. Rigorous testing of chosen variables for effectiveness. In summary, success in trading lies not only in mastering market knowledge but, more crucially, in cultivating a disciplined mindset and adhering to proven principles.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by opes_trading_group
3
💡 XAUUSD: Confidence on the selling sideIn hourly time frames, gold prices lost their upward trendline after good news for the USD - especially the Non-farm news with 3 main data points that were higher than economists' forecasts. This news continued to be absorbed by the price until today's Asian session, causing the price to bottom at 2,027 USD/oz. However, the medium-term rising trendline is still "carrying" the bulls and becoming the strongest driving force at present. From this area, the price may receive more support to grow back to the potential resistance levels of 2,045 and 2,060 USD. On the contrary, if the daily trendline is broken, the price will fall straight to the support level of 2,015 USD - which is considered the last defense zone for buyers.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Stone_Haven
2
💡 XAUUSD: Waiting for inflation dataDuring the initial week of 2024, global gold prices experienced minor fluctuations as the market endeavored to recalibrate expectations regarding the potential timing of interest rate adjustments by the US Federal Reserve (Fed), taking into account economic data. According to the most recent weekly gold survey by Kitco News, half of the retail investors engaged in online Main Street polls anticipate an upturn in gold prices for the week, while the remaining 50% foresee a decline. Experts highlight that the forthcoming release of the December Consumer Price Index (CPI) report on Thursday poses the most significant risk to gold prices during this week. A sustained decrease in inflation could once again instill optimism in the market regarding the timing of rate cuts, thereby benefiting gold. Conversely, a failure of inflation to rise as anticipated by the market could potentially trigger a fresh sell-off in this precious metal.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Stone_Haven