GOLD MCX - 1D TIMEFRAME - ANALYSIS
Pure Price Action-Based Trading Plan
Buy Position:
Enter a buy position if the price breaks and closes above ₹78,700.
Targets:
Target 1: ₹79,500
Target 2: ₹80,500
Target 3: ₹82,000
Stop Loss: Place the stop loss just below ₹77,000 to limit downside risk.
Sell Position:
Enter a sell position if the price breaks and closes below ₹76,300.
Targets:
Target 1: ₹75,500
Target 2: ₹74,500
Target 3: ₹73,000
Stop Loss: Set the stop loss above ₹77,000 for this trade.
Given the overall bullish trend, it would be safer to lean towards a buy on breakouts rather than anticipating a reversal. However, a break below support could open the door for short-term selling opportunities. This approach relies purely on observing price behavior at key levels rather than indicator-based signals.
Trendtrading
BTCUSD | 95K Target 1:1 Move | BullishThis will be the first big trade at the start of the exponential cycle we're about to witness for the 5th time in BTC history.
Considering the descending broadening wedge pattern, a 1:1 move into the pattern gives a price target of roughly $95k.
It can also been seen as a flag pattern which also reads a $95k impulse target as seen below:
If you want to look at more longer-term targets and analysis of CRYPTOCAP:BTC , I've attached 3 of the charts I've made which will satisfy that long term bullish outlook.
Best of luck to you all out there involved in this space and remember, manage your risk appropriately.
AUD/CAD Sell Strategy: Testing Resistance with Downside Targe
Trade Setup: AUD/CAD is currently selling at 0.9266, targeting 0.8939.
Key Resistance Level: The 0.9270 level acts as resistance, aligning with a significant Fibonacci retracement.
Recent High & Low:
High: Recent high around 0.9380.
Low: Current low near 0.9102.
Technical Signals:
Resistance at 0.9270 marks a potential reversal zone, reflecting selling pressure.
Bearish momentum is expected toward 0.8939, which is contingent on sustained downward movement.
Market Context: Recent highs and lows frame a broad trading range, with Fibonacci levels adding technical validity to sell-side positions near resistance
CADCHF after long time, changes here expected
CADCHF what's next, we can see SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE pattern (and possible fake break of same), +price is on trend line. From fundamentals we are have BOC ~two weeks ago and NONFARM from last friday here expecting is have impact.
Currently CHF with many showing weakness, here expecting to see long bullish push
SUP zone: 0.61950
RES zone: 0.63000, 0.63400
Gold’s Next Big Move: Election Night’s Hidden Chart Signals!Chart Analysis Summary
In both charts, we see a prominent ascending channel on a higher time frame (HTF), suggesting an overall bullish structure initially. However, there are signs of potential reversals, especially around critical levels where price fails to break higher and instead forms correctional structures. The ascending channel shown aligns with The Rule of Three, as it often precedes reversals after the third touch due to exhaustion in the trend.
Reversal Signal: Double Top with Bearish Flag
The first chart illustrates a double top pattern within the broader ascending channel, a common reversal signal. This pattern suggests a weakening bullish momentum, aligning with a probable corrective phase. Following the double top, we observe a bearish flag or descending channel, indicating that the price may continue downward after a break. This aligns with Patterns within Patterns, where a smaller bearish flag within a larger corrective structure increases the probability of a downside move.
Bull Flag Structure and Liquidity Zone Testing
The second chart labels a large bull flag on the higher time frame (4H) near a liquidity zone. The corrective phase within this flag aligns with the market psychology of retracement after an impulsive move. Multi-Touch Confirmation indicates that these structures gain credibility with multiple touches on key support/resistance lines, making the upcoming third touch a critical point for deciding the direction.
Potential Entry and Exit Scenarios
Based on Entry Types from your strategy:
High-Probability Entry: Enter on a break of the corrective structure (such as the bear flag or descending channel) following multiple touches. Place a stop loss above the recent high if you’re anticipating a downside continuation, using a reduced-risk entry if you see low-momentum candles and ascending channels close to the top.
Wait for Confirmation: Given the corrective nature, it might be safer to wait for a confirmed breakout rather than entering at the top without solid confirmation. Back-tested data often shows better results when entries are taken after the third touch or initial pullback post-breakout.
Confluence of Multi-Touch and Patterns
The multi-touch confirmation method supports the idea of a third touch before a potential breakout or breakdown. Additionally, patterns within patterns enhance reliability, as seen with ascending or descending channels within larger structures, suggesting the market’s next probable moves more accurately.
Strategy Application:
Assess the Momentum: Enter on the first pullback (flag formation) after a significant breakout if momentum is strong. For a conservative approach, watch for a third touch on the boundary of the corrective channel.
Risk Management: As part of your trading plan, place stops conservatively to avoid getting caught in corrective waves, as tight stops near liquidity zones may result in unnecessary stop-outs.
Psychological Preparation: Avoid the perfectionist trap; if the confluence signals are strong but not perfect, following the 80/20 rule may be more beneficial than waiting for ideal entries, as markets rarely align perfectly with expectations.
Gold’s Next Big Move: Election Night’s Hidden Chart Signals!This is an image of the original Video tutorial i made walking through XAU/USD
Chart Analysis Summary
In both charts, we see a prominent ascending channel on a higher time frame (HTF), suggesting an overall bullish structure initially. However, there are signs of potential reversals, especially around critical levels where price fails to break higher and instead forms correctional structures. The ascending channel shown aligns with The Rule of Three, as it often precedes reversals after the third touch due to exhaustion in the trend.
Reversal Signal: Double Top with Bearish Flag
The first chart illustrates a double top pattern within the broader ascending channel, a common reversal signal. This pattern suggests a weakening bullish momentum, aligning with a probable corrective phase. Following the double top, we observe a bearish flag or descending channel, indicating that the price may continue downward after a break. This aligns with Patterns within Patterns, where a smaller bearish flag within a larger corrective structure increases the probability of a downside move.
Bull Flag Structure and Liquidity Zone Testing
The second chart labels a large bull flag on the higher time frame (4H) near a liquidity zone. The corrective phase within this flag aligns with the market psychology of retracement after an impulsive move. Multi-Touch Confirmation indicates that these structures gain credibility with multiple touches on key support/resistance lines, making the upcoming third touch a critical point for deciding the direction.
Potential Entry and Exit Scenarios
Based on Entry Types from your strategy:
High-Probability Entry: Enter on a break of the corrective structure (such as the bear flag or descending channel) following multiple touches. Place a stop loss above the recent high if you’re anticipating a downside continuation, using a reduced-risk entry if you see low-momentum candles and ascending channels close to the top.
Wait for Confirmation: Given the corrective nature, it might be safer to wait for a confirmed breakout rather than entering at the top without solid confirmation. Back-tested data often shows better results when entries are taken after the third touch or initial pullback post-breakout.
Confluence of Multi-Touch and Patterns
The multi-touch confirmation method supports the idea of a third touch before a potential breakout or breakdown. Additionally, patterns within patterns enhance reliability, as seen with ascending or descending channels within larger structures, suggesting the market’s next probable moves more accurately.
Strategy Application:
Assess the Momentum: Enter on the first pullback (flag formation) after a significant breakout if momentum is strong. For a conservative approach, watch for a third touch on the boundary of the corrective channel.
Risk Management: As part of your trading plan, place stops conservatively to avoid getting caught in corrective waves, as tight stops near liquidity zones may result in unnecessary stop-outs.
Psychological Preparation: Avoid the perfectionist trap; if the confluence signals are strong but not perfect, following the 80/20 rule may be more beneficial than waiting for ideal entries, as markets rarely align perfectly with expectations.
Dollar DXY - Bullish ContinuationDollar Index / DXY Analysis :
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Fridays NFP event dropped price and finished this week with signs of reversal to the upside.
Following price action we see a nice 4Hour Break Of Structure, indicating buying pressure.
This following week we will look for any retracements (Higher Low) to come back into our impulsive NFP candle (point of interest) and look for confirmations to take it higher and close above previous high.
MEME CYCLE TRADE GUIDEIt's very easy to do. You just need to follow how the price interacts with the EMA50 on the 4hr timeframe. This is a trend continuation strategy. Right now we are in an uptrend so the theory of price reversing to the mean can be applied. Check for scenarios where price gets closer to the EMA50 (purple cloude/line).
Reversal into downtrend setup taken with DJ30 today explainedIn this video, I walk you through my entire thought process during today's trading session. You'll learn how I selected the pairs and executed three key trades:
* NAS Uptrend Continuation long (BE)
* Silver Parabolic Reversal Short
* DJ30 Reversal into Downtrend
I'll also provide a detailed explanation of the Reversal into Downtrend setup, helping you understand how to apply this strategy in your own trading. Reversal into downtrend is one of my personal A+ playbook setups. Don't miss out on these valuable insights and tips!
EURJPY for this week bearish expectations
EURJPY pattern based analysis. We can see TRIPLE TOP chart pattern. We are have strong bullish push on trend line-supp zone, which is start on 2.10. Price looks like is saturated, chart pattern having strong, good strucure, what now expecting is trend revers here.
SUPP zone (SL): 163.630
RESS zone: 161.500, 161.000, 160.500
Bullish Shark Pattern on NZDUSD M15 ChartI love trading sideways consolidation breakout trades, but since I missed the initial move, I've been patiently waiting for a retest. Now, an even better opportunity has presented itself!
What's Happening?
- Bullish Shark Pattern : A Bullish Shark Pattern is forming on the M15 (15-minute) chart at 0.6046 on the NZDUSD.
Why is this Exciting?
- Combo Trade Management : This setup allows for a combination of strategies that can significantly reduce initial risk while increasing potential returns.
How to Approach This Trade?
1. Wait for Confirmation : I'll be waiting for a Magic Candle Confirmation at the pattern completion point before entering the trade.
2. Risk Management : Include our stop-loss buffer just below the pattern completion to manage risk effectively.
3. Potential Upside : With the pattern forming and the potential retest, this setup could offer a great risk-to-reward ratio.
Final Thoughts
Sometimes, missing an initial trade isn't a setback but an opportunity to find an even better setup. Patience pays off! 🎯
What’s your take on this NZDUSD setup? Have you spotted similar opportunities? Share your thoughts and let's discuss!
Happy trading, everyone! 🚀
Italy 40: Trend Breakout34,820~ was a major level for the Italy 40 index. This level held since June 2024 and I saw price breach above it just near the end of last week.
As I look for the trading session ahead, further upside potential is expected provided that price is able to remain supported above this level.
ADR: 40
SL: 40
TP: 80
NVDA we ended the week with an Inside Candle What this means?Nvidia NOTE: We closed the week with an "inside candle" as the last candle.
What does this mean?
Last week, we analyzed the price movement, basing it on the idea that with strong momentum and divergence, the price could continue upward. However, for it to reach the point of interest, the price needed to make its natural retracement.
And that’s exactly what happened (I can hardly believe it myself).
The objective was met, and the price reached our highest point of interest. The issue here is that Nvidia still has a long way to go before it can make that bullish push!
The week closed with an "inside candle," or what some refer to as a "pregnant candle" (don't blame me, that's what they call it).
This type of candle pattern is bearish because it's when a candle loses momentum and starts to change direction. And it's quite obvious—if you can see, my point of interest comes from none other than an institutional liquidity zone. The price may start to struggle in this area, but that doesn’t mean it will fall drastically. No! Let me explain:
NVDA has been coming with a lot of strength since last week, and upon reaching an area where the price has historically retraced, it’s clear that this zone is like a swamp. The price will face the challenge of getting out of this swamp.
So...
The price comes in strong, touches an institutional zone, pauses, and starts forming bearish candle patterns. What is the price telling you?
To wait! The price will most likely make a retracement but will create a range where it will try 1, 2, 3 times or more to break out of this swampy area.
What should we be watching for? 1. Strong volume, and 2. A ranging channel fluctuating between supply and demand, which is essentially accumulating for the next push.
In the meantime, we’ll see what movement happens next week.
Best regards, and thank you for supporting my analysis.
M&T Bank Corporation: Riding the Bullish WaveM&T Bank Corporation: Riding the Bullish Wave - M&T Bank Corporation (NYSE: MTB) Technical Analysis
H ello,
1 Introduction
Headquartered in Buffalo, New York, M&T Bank Corporation is a regional bank operating in the United States. While M&T is headquartered in New York, it has a significant presence in the state of Maryland and in several of the mid-Atlantic states. It was founded in 1856 as the "Manufacturers and Traders Bank." Over the years, it has changed and expanded its name and reach but has kept its main office in Buffalo. A "community banking" philosophy directs its operation of more than 700 bank branches across 12 states and the District of Columbia.
2 Current Price
The most recent figures put M&T Bank Corporation’s stock at $185.19. In the face of a jittery market, the stock has been steady—although, to be sure, we are coming up on a few weeks when the price has not moved much at all. Yet this level reflects what I would say is a pretty strong dose of investor confidence in the bank's growth in earnings, not just in the immediate future but also over the next several quarters.
3 Moving Averages
5-day Moving Average: $182.50
20-day Moving Average: $180.00
50-day Moving Average: $175.00
200-day Moving Average: $165.00
The price is currently above the 5-day, 20-day, and 50-day moving averages, indicating a strong short-term bullish trend. Additionally, the price being significantly above the 200-day moving average suggests long-term investor confidence. Historically, the stock has shown a tendency to bounce back from support levels, aligning with current technical signals pointing towards continued strength.
4 Technical Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 60 (Neutral to Bullish) – The RSI at 60 indicates that while the stock is not yet overbought, it is approaching higher levels where caution may be necessary. RSI values between 60-70 typically suggest strong upward momentum but may also signal a need to watch for overextension.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): 3.0 (Bullish) – A positive MACD suggests upward momentum, supported by increasing buy signals. The MACD line crossing above the signal line indicates potential for continued price gains.
Stochastic Oscillator: 75 (Overbought) – The oscillator shows that the stock is nearing overbought territory. With a reading above 70, investors should be aware of the possibility of a short-term pullback, though the overall trend remains upward.
The combination of these indicators points to a solid bullish stance, though the overbought reading on the Stochastic Oscillator advises traders to be cautious of potential corrections in the near term.
5 Chart Patterns
Candlestick Patterns: Recent patterns show a mix of bullish engulfing and doji, suggesting indecision in the market but with a slight bullish bias. The bullish engulfing pattern indicates strong buying pressure, while the doji reflects a potential hesitation among traders, which could result in consolidation or a reversal if a clear direction is not established soon.
Support Levels: $180.00, $175.00 – These levels have historically acted as strong support zones, offering potential buying opportunities for investors seeking to enter at lower risk points.
Resistance Levels: $190.00, $195.00 – The stock faces resistance at these levels, where selling pressure may increase. A breakout above $195.00 could open the path to higher price levels, potentially pushing the stock into new highs for the year.
Notably, the consolidation of recent price action near key resistance levels suggests that a breakout, if it occurs, could trigger significant upward momentum. However, failure to break these levels may result in a retracement towards support.
6 Volume and Liquidity
Recent trading volumes have been above average, which supports the upward trend. The higher volume, particularly during price increases, reflects increasing investor interest and confidence in the stock. The liquidity of M&T Bank Corporation is robust, allowing for large trades to be executed without significantly affecting the stock price. This makes it an attractive option for both retail and institutional investors.
7 Industry and Market Sentiment
With interest rates stabilizing and the overall economy in better shape, we have seen a recovery in the financial sector. M&T is a regional bank, and as such, it has a pretty good setting from which to benefit as rates continue to rise—something we're anticipating. Most regional banks—even M&T in particular—have a pretty nice net interest margin between what they pay depositors and what they earn from loans when rates rise. And when you have a bank like M&T that has a pretty nice net interest margin, it also has very stable earnings, largely because it is a community-focused bank that lends to small and mid-sized businesses—who also have, by the way, relatively low default rates on the whole.
8 Conclusion
Currently, M&T Bank Corporation's stock is in a tremendously solid short-term uptrend, with several important indicators suggesting a "buy" recommendation. But the stock is starting to approach "overbought" territory, which means it could be setting up to either go sideways for a while or pull back. Good support levels to look for should this happen are around $180.00 and $175.00. If you're an investor looking for an entry point in the stock, those would be tempting prices at which to buy. On the other hand, if the stock can push and hold above $190.00, we could start to talk about a potential target of $195.00.
Regards,
Ely