$CRM lower guidance, weak numbers, AI poopieNYSE:CRM should see sell pressure into the $285 zone and if it doesn’t hold expect $270’s.
WSL
Trendtrading
STOXX50 Maintains Bullish Momentum — Targeting $5,605ICMARKETS:STOXX50 remains within a well-defined ascending channel, with the price showing a rebound from the midline of the channel. This suggests a continuation of the broader uptrend, with the next potential target near 5,605, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel.
A minor pullback could present a potential entry opportunity if buyers maintain control. Confirmation through bullish candlestick patterns—such as bullish engulfing or hammer formations—may strengthen the bullish case and drive momentum toward the 5,605 level.
A breakdown below the channel’s lower boundary would invalidate the bullish outlook and could indicate a potential shift in market direction. Monitoring how price reacts around the midline will be crucial for assessing continued bullish momentum.
Remember, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
POSI 1H Investment Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade
- short impulse
+ volumed T1 level / SOS test level
+ volumed 2Sp-
+ weak test
Calculated affordable stop limit
1/2 Monthly wave take profit
Daily Trend
"+ long impulse?
- resistance level
- short volume distribution"
Monthly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ volumed expanding T1
+ support level
+ biggest volume manipulation"
Yearly Trend
+ long impulse
Weird set up. Market is strong and Monthly look a lot like exhaustion!
A big decline on BAN/USDT upcomingWhile every single indicator shows that BAN/USDT shows strong buy , our team diagree. Let's find out why..
Ban in the past 24hrs had a big pump of 120% , clear sign of manipulation..
Buyers started coming in and the coin will liquidate all of them..
A drop of 33% is expected from this coin..
Lets see if we are right on this one..
SPAIN35 in Strong Uptrend - Continuation Toward 12,819?OANDA:ESPIXEUR is trading within a strong uptrend, supported by a rising trendline that highlights bullish momentum. The price has consistently made higher highs and higher lows, reinforcing the trend continuation structure.
I anticipate that if the index maintains its current upward momentum, it could move toward the 12,819 level. This setup aligns with the broader bullish trend, supported by the sustained price action above the trendline and recent breakout behavior.
Traders should monitor for potential pullbacks toward the trendline for opportunities to join the trend, with confirmation signals such as bullish candlesticks or strong buying volume.
FRA40 Trend Continuation: Will Buyers Push Toward 8,062?PEPPERSTONE:FRA40 is trading within a well-defined uptrend, supported by a rising trendline that highlights strong bullish momentum. The price has consistently made higher highs and higher lows, reinforcing the continuation of the trend.
If the index sustains its current momentum, I anticipate a move toward the 8,062 level, which aligns with the broader bullish structure. The trendline provides a strong base for potential pullbacks, offering opportunities for buyers to re-enter and drive the price higher.
Traders should watch for signs of bullish confirmation, such as higher lows near the trendline or breakouts above resistance, to validate long positions.
GBP/USD Trade Recap – A Perfect Long Setup 1️⃣ Trade Execution – Why I Took the Long Position
Today’s GBP/USD trade was a textbook example of combining Fibonacci retracements, smart money positioning, and seasonality trends to catch a high-probability long setup.
💡 Entry Details:
✅ Entry: 1.2600 (Fibonacci golden zone)
✅ Stop Loss: 1.2587 (Below structure)
✅ Take Profit: 1.2635 (Key resistance zone)
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1
🎯 Result: Hit TP at 1.2635 for a solid profit! ✅
2️⃣ Why This Trade Worked – A Breakdown of the Confluences
📊 Fibonacci Retracement – Perfect Pullback & Reversal
Price retraced to the 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci zone (1.2600 - 1.2593) before reversing.
The bullish move was expected after a strong impulse leg, following smart money positioning.
📈 Smart Money & Retail Sentiment – Trading Against the Herd
🔹 62% of retail traders were SHORT on GBP/USD (as per DMX data).
🔹 Since I trade against retail sentiment, this provided a strong bullish confirmation.
🔹 Institutional COT data showed big players increasing long positions, further supporting a bullish bias.
🕵️♂️ Seasonality & Historical Trends Supported the Long
📊 15-year seasonality data indicated GBP/USD typically rallies in late February and early March.
📅 The next 3-5 day forecast showed a bullish probability, adding further conviction.
📉 Technical Confirmation – Momentum Indicators & Structure
✅ SuperTrend flipped bullish on the 4H chart
✅ Price was trading above key moving averages (EMA 6, 24, 72, 288)
✅ Broke above short-term trendline resistance, confirming upward momentum
3️⃣ Key Takeaways from This Trade
🔹 Trading with smart money & against retail sentiment = High probability setups
🔹 Seasonality provided extra confidence in taking the long trade
🔹 Using Fibonacci and EMAs for confluence led to a precise entry
🔹 Patience and risk management were key to securing profits
📌 Final Thoughts – What’s Next for GBP/USD?
🚀 With this bullish breakout, I will look for further longs on dips, targeting the next key resistance at 1.2680 - 1.2700.
👀 Are you bullish or bearish on GBP/USD? Let’s discuss in the comments!
NAS100 H4Rules:
If price break point 2,4, 6, 8 cancel the setup
Price needs to break point 1, 3, 5, or 7 to confirm the setup
When price reach the 100FE (blue box) it normally does a pullback/retest or reversal
The market can Truncate (fall short)
Supertrend Indicator: a simple yet powerful tool for trendsThe Supertrend Indicator is a widely used tool among traders to identify the prevailing trend and generate buy/sell signals based on market momentum. It works by calculating a dynamic support and resistance level using the Average True Range (ATR) to adjust for market volatility.
The indicator plots a line above or below the price, acting as a trailing stop-loss.
When the price crosses above the Supertrend line, it turns green, signaling a potential buy opportunity.
When the price crosses below the Supertrend line, it turns red, indicating a potential sell signal.
Why Use Supertrend?
- Easy to interpret for both beginner and experienced traders.
- The ATR-based calculation ensures that stop levels adjust dynamically.
- Whether you trade stocks, forex, or crypto, Supertrend can enhance your strategy.
Best Practices:
✔ Combine Supertrend with indicators like RSI or MACD for better confirmation.
✔ Adjust the ATR period and Multiplier to optimize it for different markets.
✔ Avoid false signals by using it in trending markets, as it may be less effective in sideways price action.
Understanding market structure: Trend reversals & price actionIn this chart, we can observe how price action follows a structured pattern of trends, reversals, and breakouts. The market moves in cycles, creating bearish and bullish trends that traders can capitalize on by identifying key areas of support and resistance.
At the beginning of the chart, we see a bearish trend, characterized by lower highs (LHs) and lower lows (LLs). This structure indicates that sellers are in control, pushing the price lower with each attempt to rise. The price remains within a descending channel, offering multiple sell opportunities at resistance levels. Traders following this trend can look for short entries at each lower high.
The first major shift occurs when the price breaks above resistance, marking a potential trend reversal. This breakout signals that buyers are stepping in, disrupting the bearish pattern. Once a previous resistance level turns into support, it confirms a shift from a downtrend to an uptrend.
In the next phase, we see the emergence of a bullish trend, where the price begins forming higher highs (HHs) and higher lows (HLs). This structure confirms that buyers are now in control, pushing the market upward. The price moves within a new ascending channel, and pullbacks to support provide buy opportunities for traders looking to ride the uptrend.
Finally, another major shift occurs when the price breaks below a key support level. This break signifies a possible trend change, where buyers lose control and sellers regain momentum. Traders need to watch for confirmation before entering new positions, as this could mark the start of another downtrend.
GBP/USD: Selling into the reboundThe setup is similar in EUR/USD & GBP/USD - because of the dollar in both major pairs!
The GBP price is testing the broken uptrend line on the weekly- and could break above it.
On the daily chart, a downtrend line has already broken and so has critical resistance at 1.25, suggesting a break above the weekly uptrend line
Should the breakout follow-through it faces resistance at 1.28 from the December high and 30 week (150 day) moving average.
However, should the breakout fail - it sets up a likely continuation of the longer term downtrend.
#TONUSDT is testing resistance – expecting a breakout!📈 LONG BYBIT:TONUSDT.P from $3.8920
🛡 Stop Loss: $3.8525
⏱️ 1H Timeframe
✅ Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:TONUSDT.P is testing $3.8880 resistance, and a breakout could lead to further upside.
➡️ Price remains above POC $3.81, confirming strong buyer interest.
➡️ Rising volume supports the potential bullish move.
⚡️ Plan:
➡️ Bullish confirmation requires a strong close above $3.8920.
➡️ If price slows down at $3.9400, partial profit-taking is recommended.
➡️ A drop below $3.8525 invalidates the setup.
🎯 Take Profit:
💎 TP1: $3.9400 – first profit-taking zone.
💎 TP2: $3.9800 – final upside target.
📢 BYBIT:TONUSDT.P Holding above $3.8920 opens the door for further gains. Watch volume closely – if it weakens, price may consolidate.
📢 Partial profit-taking recommended at $3.9400.
📢 If price drops below $3.8525, the setup is invalidated
🚀 BYBIT:TONUSDT.P is testing resistance – expecting a breakout!
Sharing a possible great way to follow trend!!I just had to say big thanks to @KivancOzbilgic as most if not all of these combined indicators are created and shared by his wizard.
I combined various indicators into one which for me helps me greatly to find a trend and stay on trend.
GBPCHF new bullish expectations
OANDA:GBPCHF trend based analysis, we are have CHANNEL pattern which is be breaked, price is make strong bullish push, at end now we are on new trend.
Price is in zone, its bounce few times, CHF showing self with many the weakest, on some other pairs can see bullish confirmations, here expect same soon confirm and new bullish push.
SUP zone: 1.12500
RES zone: 1.13500, 1.14000
USDCAD bearish strong
OANDA:USDCAD trend based trade, after strong events in last periods here strong bearish expectations for this week.
SUP zone: 1.45500
RES zone: 1.40500, 1.39600
[Strategy] Trend Re-Entry Strategy using a Stoch and Zero Lag MATrend re-entries can be hard. The difficult part is knowing if price will continue to pull back or will it shift back into the original direction.
This is a strategy with some extra notes to help you understand
1. The Original entry
2. The Re-Entry
3. Is my trend ending
For this you'll need two indicators:
The Zero Lag Multi Timeframe Moving Average
and The Stocashi + Caffeine Crush
In the video I show you how to adjust the settings for a 5 minute chart on both indicators.
Long Entry rules:
You have 3 MAs. The longest one is your support and resistance
The other two are your "trading" and "trending" MAs
If price is above your support and resistance, your trading and trending should be right side up.
If price close in between trading and trending, the stocashi should be at a low point.
It needs to arrive at this low point by previous crossing down through its midline.
**If it did not cross down through its midline, there is no entry here**
Once price closes above the trading MA, you should have a rising stocashi from its valid low point.
During this uptrend, each time price pulls back in between the trading and trending MAs, the Stocashi should be at a valid low point.
Re-enter your long trade as long as:
Stocashi made a valid low
Price is closing above the trading MA
Trading MA is above Trending MA
Trending MA is above Support and Resistance MA.
You can reverse all of these instructions for taking short trades.
Potential Market Flip
If you are getting consistent invalid lows on Stocashi while price is in a correct position, this means you are losing your trend, and you should wait for your price to close below the Support and Resistance MA.
At this point your Trading and Trending MAs should be upside down. They do not always have to be BELOW the Support and Resistance MA.
CADCHF: Range BreakoutCADHCF has been in a range since August 2024. This range is quite wide at approximately 160~ pips.
Another observable detail is that the upper range boundary breached twice - once in November 2024 and then again last month, in January 2025.
Right now, in early-February, price is showing signs of breaching the upper range boundary again. Unlike the previous breakouts, this one seems more sustained.
Right now, the daily ATR is 41.4 pips. This sets my trading parameters at TP 20 and SL 41.
TRUMPUSDT Long – High Potential SetupI've allocated 20% of my balance to this trade, going long on TRUMPUS. The probability of a price surge up to $59 is high, considering the ongoing political cycle. With Trump remaining a key figure in U.S. politics, there will be continuous news catalysts driving market volatility.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Current price range
Target: $59 (295% potential gain)
Stop-loss: $5.4 (isolated position for risk control)
I see this as a low-risk, high-reward trade, leveraging strict risk management while capitalizing on market sentiment. 🚀📈
FORD WEEKLYRULES:
-If price break Point 2, 4, 6, or 8 cancel the setup
-Price needs to break Point 1, 3, 5, or 7 to confirm the setup
When price reach the 100FE(BLUE BOX) it normally does a pullback/retest or reversal
The market can Truncate(fall short)
PLR (Path of Least Resistance) Strategy Explanation - $SHOPHi guys this is a follow up to a post I have just published about my trading idea on shorting NYSE:SHOP ,
It really doesn't matter if you want to short the market or long the market as it works either way, but for the sake of the example I'll take a 6 months period from the Shopify chart following earnings to better explain you my strategy...
This right here is the NYSE:SHOP chart from approx. Jan/2024 to end of Aug/2024,
2 Earnings have been announced, both having great positive surprises, but regardless of the positive surprise (typically bullish indicator), the stock fell of 45%+.
Let's add the earnings dates to the chart so that you can better visualize them:
What you care about in this image is the earnings dates lined out, as you can see the surprise was positive yet both fell more than 10% in just a day, that I will take as the upcoming trend for at least the time being, till the next earning is announced (so, if for example the 13/Feb earning ended up being bearish, my overview on the market till at least the next earning on 8/May, will be bearish, so all of the trades I will take will be shorts).
Now I will line out the trend and the BoSs (breaks of structure) just to better visualize the trend:
As you can see the Earning date candles signed the beginning of a down trend twice, pre-announced by the Earning candle itself.
The entry strategy is now simple, the idea behind it is to "follow the path of least resistance".. by that I mean that, if your bias is bullish, who enter on candles that are of the opposite direction to the one you are heading to? - Sure you might say that it is to get better entries as ofc, on a short bias, higher sale points = better profits, but the goal here is not maximizing profits, but raising the odds exponentially so that you can take surer trades.
I've tested this strategy from Feb/2021 and so far the win rate is 95.6% (123 out of 136 trades profited .
The way the entries are spread is this:
Basically every time a bearish candle - that closes lower than the previous bearish candle did - is created, a short position of 1% of total equity is generated.
The period begins from the beginning of the current earnings season, and closes the day before the next earnings season as it works within a 3 months frame.
Each entry HAS to be the lowest bearish candle of the period, example:
Only these candles marked in blue count as entries for short positions as their close is lower of more than 0.5% than the previous one,
The pink ones are higher than the lowest up to that point, so they do not count as entries as they are technically part of a pullback that is moving in the opposite direction where you are heading.
So, going back to the entries, we enter on the close of the lowest bearish candle close up to that point.
For safety, we trail the stop loss to the previous high, this is where well defined trend lines come handy:
The thick black line is the trend line, and as new lows are broken, I mark those as BoS (break of structure) and until a new one is created, the SL will go to the previous high, and so it goes.
(viceversa for buys).
We then proceed to target the FVGs left behind by previous quarters:
As you can see there are massive gaps in the chart that we will target and identify as FVGs (Fair Value Gaps) and set the TP at the close (lowest point) of the fair value gap.
Now comes in your exit strategy...
There really are 3 ways that you can tackle this:
1- You set up TP to the lowest FVG of the series (if there are multiple like in this case)
2- You set up TP to the first FVG still open during the quarter following the Earnings Period
3- You tackle both TPs and take each FVG as a partial close to the position (example: if there are 2 FVGs you take out 50% of the position on the first and 50% on the last).
But what to do if your positions didn't reach TP (FVG close) before the next Earning or there is no FVG to begin with???
- In the case the TP you have marked out at the close of the FVG didn't reach, you'll proceed to close the position 1 day before the next Earnings is coming, unless your conviction that the FVG will fill in is so high, then you can let those run at your own risk:
- In the case in which a FVG is not present then you'll target the previous High (in case of a buy) or Low (in case of a sell) as your TP, utilize the previous low (in case of buy) or previous high (in case of sell) as SL and just let it run:
as you can see the 4 trades were all profitable, made little money but sure money in just 15 days
Unless I forget anything, this right here, is my strategy.
Simple, straight forward, high success rate and doesn't leave anything up to the case.
If you have any questions PLEASE leave a comment below and I'll do my best to reply in time ;)
$SHOP short idea (once again) - In advance of Earnings
Hi everyone,
I'm once again back to short NYSE:SHOP ..
It is not because I don't believe in the company, because I really do, but just like the first time,
I am targeting massive FVGs made by huge gaps in the chart as TPs, and utilizing an improved version of the first pattern of Earnings.
Just to summarise it so that everyone can understand it without having to go back to the first published idea, I've noticed how the Shopify stock tends to follow a certain pattern of buys and sells regardless of the results of Earnings.. now, I don't know if this is caused by buy backs or internal company stock operations or some other cause, but I've simply seen how it tends to alternate between buy and sell, and when, for example, for 2 earnings in a row a buy happens (the stocks trends up) then it is followed by an equal amount of sells (so 2 down trends).
Now.... could this just be odds and for the last 4 years this was just randomized and ended up doing exactly this? Idk maybe, but I'm not a genius in a lamp, so I'm speculating.
All I know is that:
- there are 2 massive gaps in the chart, worse than the last time,
- price is currently struggling to head higher (perhaps just waiting for Earnings to choose direction),
- we have just terminated one of those double down events where 2 selling earnings happened and right after 2 buy earnings happened,
Now... there are 2 ways to approach this, and these are the following:
1- The first method is to try and "predict" the top of the market by selling 3 days before of earnings just like the first time and hope for the down trend call to be true;
(something like this )
2- Actually wait till earnings day comes and wait for the 1d candle of the earnings day itself to close and tell if it was either a bullish or a bearish one and from the next day, start either buying or selling depending on the trend.
(something like this )
If you choose the latter, then you don't really have to worry about "predicting" the market and all you got to do is develop a entry strategy, you could either buy the dip/sell the top (depending on the trend of the earnings' candle) so that you can get the lowest entries, or you could just enter on each candle that moves the direction of the trend you are following (so for example if the trend is bullish, enter only on bullish candles close to follow your bias).
I'll post a follow up of the last entry option as I have developed a entry strategy to do just that, with the help of my friend @D499 who condensed it into an indicator (as I can't code).
I'll post comments to this post so that I can keep up with how things proceed and perhaps if the second scenario takes place I'll Live follow up so that all of you can see the idea.
Reminder, it's just an idea ;)
STOXX50: Bullish Momentum in Play - Is 5,345 the Next Target?PEPPERSTONE:EUSTX50 remains within a well-defined ascending channel, with price currently bouncing off a key support area. This suggests a continuation of the broader uptrend, targeting the upper channel boundary.
A short-term pullback could offer a potential entry opportunity. If buyers step in and confirm strength through candlestick patterns like bullish engulfing or hammer formations, momentum could drive price higher toward the 5,345 level.
A breakdown below the channel's lower boundary, however, would invalidate the bullish outlook and signal a potential shift in market direction.
#BILLYUSDT expecting further decline!📉 SHORT BYBIT:BILLYUSDT.P from $0.00367
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.00390
⏱ 1H Timeframe
📍 Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:BILLYUSDT.P continues to trend downward, forming new local lows. After retesting the $0.00387 zone, the price failed to hold and dropped again, confirming seller dominance.
➡️ POC (Point of Control) at $0.00475 shows the highest liquidity area, positioned above the current price. This confirms a bearish market sentiment, as major trading activity is still concentrated at higher levels.
➡️ A breakdown of support at $0.00367 strengthens the downtrend, opening the way toward $0.00336, where buyers previously showed interest.
➡️ If the price holds below $0.00367 , further downside movement is likely, with increasing sell pressure.
⚡ Plan:
➡️ Enter short after confirming a breakdown below $0.00367 , signaling further downside.
➡️ Risk management through Stop-Loss at $0.00390 , placed above the nearest resistance zone.
➡️ Primary downside target – $0.00336, where buyers may step in.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0.00336
🚀 BYBIT:BILLYUSDT.P remains weak — expecting further decline!
📢 BYBIT:BILLYUSDT.P remains in a strong downtrend with no signs of buyer recovery. If the $0.00367 level is broken with increasing volume, the decline may accelerate.
📢It's crucial to watch the reaction at $0.00336—if significant buying interest appears, a short-term bounce is possible.
📢However, in the long term, there are no clear reversal signals yet, and long positions should be approached with caution.
