💡 GBPUSD: Target around 1.2580➡️ GBPUSD is on an upward trend, achieving higher highs in the previous session by surpassing the 1.2500 resistance level. This affirms the ongoing bullish momentum. The current scenario is promising, so stick to your buying strategy, with the target for positions remaining around 1.2580.
Trendtrading
💡 XAUUSD: Strong increase around 2000 level➡️Gold prices surged to a three-week high of approximately 2,000 USD per ounce due to a boost from short-selling activities among gold futures traders and discouraging reports on home sales in the US. This upward trend persisted even after the US Federal Reserve (Fed) hinted at maintaining higher interest rates in the immediate future.
➡️In the minutes from the November monetary policy meeting, the Fed underscored that, despite interest rates hovering near their peak, there was no indication of an imminent reduction. Nevertheless, the Fed acknowledged escalating risks to the economy.
➡️Furthermore, the US Central Bank is closely monitoring bond yields, as heightened volatility has left its mark on financial markets. Some analysts posit that the Fed's involvement in the bond market to stabilize yields could serve as a catalyst for a substantial increase in gold prices.
Crude Oil Correction - Bearish Scenario (4H)Brent Crude Oil Forecast 🛢️ TVC:UKOIL
Recent sessions saw a surge in Brent crude futures, hitting the top of a descending channel and undergoing huge correction currently. This paves the way for potential fall from 82.00 to 80 then 79.
The bearish trend remains strong as price got rejected from the 100-day moving average (4H timeframe). A break above 83 could signal bullish move.
Note: Keep an eye on unexpected movements due to Fed's meeting minutes and ongoing conflict between Palestine and Israel.
Support lines: 80.00
Resistance lines: 83.00
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#USDCAD buying opportunity
As seen in the chart, we have a symmetrical triangle chart pattern formation on the 4-hour timeframe, suggesting that the price may move higher to test a bearish trendline associated with the chart pattern.
Simultaneously, in the lower timeframe, the price is forming a bearish corrective move after a prior bullish impulse on this pair. The price has been unsuccessful in breaking below the support.
If the price manages to break the bearish trendline in the lower timeframe, we could anticipate a follow-through, with the price moving at least towards the trendline. From that point, we can evaluate the potential for the next price move.
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#DXY more downside outlook
Hello, dear traders. I hope you're all having a great week.
Last week, we were looking to buy the DXY in two areas, which turned out to be very successful, and you can review those details in the attached chart.
However, on Friday, the price managed to break below our important daily low, shifting the market structure to the downside. Now, in the 4-hour timeframe, we are exploring potential areas for selling.
As the price has been moving higher in the last two days in a corrective manner, it's approaching the first resistance area, which previously acted as support. This area also coincides with the 38% Fibonacci level.
Nevertheless, we are more inclined to see the price rise further to test our second resistance area, as it offers a better Risk-to-Reward ratio and aligns perfectly with more bearish confluences.
It's important to note that while the 4-hour timeframe has shifted to a bearish market structure, with expectations of further downward movement, the daily timeframe still displays a bullish trend, and this 4-hour move is essentially a corrective move within the daily timeframe.
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💡 GBPUSD: Broke the peak to create a higher peak➡️ GBPUSD broke the previous peak and created a higher peak, so the current structure of this currency pair is bullish so you can consider waiting for the price to recover and then buy.
➡️ Note that the momentum to break the previous peak area is not too strong, however, the price is already operating above the large time frame resistance area so we can buy up.
💡 EURUSD: May continue to decrease due to economic factors➡️The Eurozone's industrial sector faces challenges due to sluggish demand in key global markets. Recent data indicates a decline in eurozone industrial output, exceeding market expectations. The trade surplus, adjusted for seasonal factors, has narrowed from August levels due to a drop in export output. These developments suggest that the Eurozone's economic outlook remains uncertain, with limited prospects for significant improvement until global trade regains momentum.
➡️Technical analysis of the EUR/USD pair reveals a potential correction scenario. The MACD histogram bar and double line are expanding near the zero axis, while the price is nearing the 48-hour moving average. Given the weak economic data from the Eurozone, further downside for the Euro cannot be discounted.
💡 EURUSD: Next predictionEURUSD has slowed down in the past session, the price has now created a railroad model on the daily, an unfavorable signal for buyers. However, this signal is still quite weak and has not changed the situation. Those with long positions can continue to hold, the target is still around 1.1000.
➡️CALENDAR FOR TODAY :
- ECB Financial Stability Review
- Unemployment Claims
- Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment
Bullish movementEnglish
First of all, we have a bearish structure on monthly timeframe, on weekly and daily is the same, but looking at it on 1h and 4h looks bullish with HH and HL, I believe the price is going up because of its structure and I´ll be waiting for it to get in the 200% extension and then have a retrocement in the 1.27 level, the market usually does those kind of movements.
Let´s see how the market continues.
*THIS IT NOT INVESTMENT RECOMMENDATION OR SOMETHING LIKE THAT, THIS IS ONLY FOR ANALYSIS AND EDUCATION PURPOSE*
Español
Primero que todo, tenemos una estructura bajista en mensual, semanal y diario, pero viendo el precio en 1hr y en 4h tiene una estructura alcista con altos más altos y bajos más altos, creo que el precio irá arriba debido a su estructura y estaré esperando a que llegue al nivel 200% de la extensión del Fibo y luego agarrar su retroceso hasta el nivel 1.27, el mercado suele hacer ese tipo de movimientos.
Veremos cómo continúa el mercado.
*ESTO NO ES RECOMENDACIÓN DE INVERSIÓN NI NADA QUE SE LE PAREZCA, ESTO ES SOLO PARA ANÁLISIS Y EDUCACIÓN*
Bearish movementEnglish
Right now, we are having very bad news for the crypto market, special with the Binance issue with the US regulators and Binance`s CEO had to abandon his position, it looks like agood moment to get the open liquidity which was open after those big bullish movements. There`s a debt in the 78% fibo extension which I believe is going to be taken after some days or weeks around the price 32$ per Solana and after that, we are going to have an amazing bullish movement.
However, we need to be careful because in any moment we could hear any news about the Bitcoin ETF which is going to make the market very very bullish, so... Be careful with the next movements in the price and the news.
*THIS IT NOT INVESTMENT RECOMMENDATION OR SOMETHING LIKE THAT, THIS IS ONLY FOR ANALYSIS AND EDUCATION PURPOSE*
Español
En este momento, estamos con pèsimas noticias en el mercado cripto, en especial con ese tema de Binance contra los reguladores de EU,los cuales provocaron que el CEO de Binance renunciara el día de hoy, y parece un buen momento para tomr la liquidez abierta que quedo cuando comenzó ese pequeño bull run. Hay una deuda en el 78% de la extensión del Fibo cercano al precio de los 32$ por Solana, el cual considero debería ir a tomar en los próximos días o semanas, después de eso, espero movimientos súper fuertes al alza.
Sin embargo, necesitamos ser cautelosos porque en cualquier momento podríamos recibir noticias sobre el ETF de Bitcoin y eso podría generar subidas astronómicas en el mercado.
*ESTO NO ES RECOMENDACIÓN DE INVERSIÓN NI NADA QUE SE LE PAREZCA, ESTO ES SOLO PARA ANÁLISIS Y EDUCACIÓN*
💡 XAUUSD: Gold suddenly reversed and increased sharply➡️ After yesterday's sharp decline followed by a rebound, H1 gold is once again showing an upward trend, as it closed above its most recent high. However, the most recent H1 gold bar closed above the upper Bollinger Band, suggesting that the price may have entered an overbought territory, increasing the likelihood of a pullback rather than a continued advance. Given that D1 gold is approaching the 2,000 level, it would be prudent to wait for a retest before entering a long position in H1 gold.
✔️ - Today's H1 trend: Increase
✔️ - Buy Limit Strategy - TP: 2000
💡 XAUUSD: Will the downward momentum be maintained?➡️The global gold market experienced considerable volatility last week, with prices swinging widely. Gold prices steadied at the start of the week as investors awaited key economic data for October. However, precious metal prices surged dramatically after the report revealed a substantial reduction in inflationary pressures. This sparked expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may have concluded its aggressive monetary tightening cycle. Gold prices rallied close to the crucial $2,000 per ounce threshold, ending a three-week losing streak.
➡️Kitco News' recent weekly gold survey indicates that retail investors remain strongly bullish on gold, while market analysts are more cautious about the precious metal's near-term prospects.
NZDUSD Swing as Dollar Becomes BearishThe era of high interest rates may not persist for much longer. Or, at least, that's what price is telling us.
The US dollar sold off against pretty much all of its counterparts, maybe except for the Canadian dollar. It appears that investors believe that the Federal Reserve may not be sustaining a higher interest rate position and US dollar longs are closing out their positions.
No matter to me as I look at the price action. This latest breakout signals a long entry opportunity on NZDUSD, one of the latest pairs I'm looking to enter. Fortunately, I have already entered short on USDSEK and USDJPY so this is an accumulation of my position.
💡 GBPUSD: Bearish Butterfly wing pattern appears➡️ GBPUSD is maintaining its upward momentum, however in the H4 frame it is creating a butterfly pattern
The Bearish Butterfly pattern will start with a XA downtrend, then an AB uptrend, a BC downtrend, and finally a CD uptick again. With this move combined with the corresponding ratios and Fibonacci levels according to the above rules, the market expects a downward trend from point D. The Bearish Butterfly model has a shape similar to the letter W.
- Upcoming economic calendar: BOE Gov Bailey Speaks
💡 XAUUSD: Sharp increase after Unemployment Claims➡️ The global gold price experienced a significant upturn last night and this morning, driven by recent developments in the US economy. On November 16, there was a pronounced surge in the weekly unemployment benefit applications and the 4-week average, prompting a shift in the precious metal market.
➡️ To provide specific figures, the first-time applications for unemployment benefits in the preceding week reached 231,000, surpassing the previous week's 218,000 and exceeding the anticipated 220,000. The 4-week average for first-time subsidy applications also rose from 21,250 to 22,025.
➡️ This escalating trend in unemployment benefit applications has led experts and investors to speculate that the US economy is displaying early signs of vulnerability. The increasing challenges faced by businesses in production are believed to be prompting layoffs as a measure to ensure ongoing operational viability.