💡 USDJPY : Waiting for recoveryThe Bank of Japan has expanded the scope for adjusting short-term interest rates and has increased its inflation target for fiscal year 2024 to 2.8%. This means Japan's inflation will exceed the 2% target for three consecutive years and is closer to achieving sustainable price stability. If the Bank of Japan (BOJ) wants to have a clearer view of wage increases next year before making a decision on adjusting negative interest rates, it may need to postpone this decision until April/ 2024 or even longer.
Regarding developments in the foreign exchange market, we see USD/JPY falling sharply after the release of non-farm payroll data in the US and it is currently running below the 48-hour moving average on the H4 chart. However, it appears the price has found support near 149.00. If inflation in Japan fails to meet expectations, it is likely that the US dollar will continue to recover against the Japanese Yen.
Trendtrading
You Can Buy NDX 100 - Even With The Limited Growth Potential.On the last video, i explained when to buy an index fund SP:SPX .
You need to understand that index funds are connected to Bitcoin CME:BTC1! .
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This means you have a double opportunity to profit.
It means you can buy either, BItcoin, Nasdaq 100, or Gold COMEX:GC1! .
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This market bounce is the most common market indicator among professional traders.
Once you understand this indicator you will become a beast in trading.
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Trading the indexes is one of the most respected skills in trading and investing.
If I could go back in time this is the one skill I would learn first.
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Keep going
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Disclaimer:Do not buy or sell anything I recommend to you do your own research before you trade.
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💡 BTCUSD: Stick to 36000Rewrite the following paragraph a bit shorter: Bitcoin continues to grow during trading sessions. Currently the largest cryptocurrency is approaching the price range of 36,000 USD.
According to observers, Bitcoin price has recently had impressive growth because there are many rumors about the birth of a Bitcoin spot exchange-traded fund (ETF). Accordingly, it is expected that this fund will attract more inflows, allowing more investors to buy Bitcoin without directly transacting.
Bernstein analysts predict Bitcoin's value will increase significantly, potentially reaching $150,000 by mid-2025 from its current price of $35,000. This bullish prediction surpasses Bitcoin's all-time high of $67,000 and hinges on the possibility of approval of a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in the first quarter of 2024.
💡 BTCUSD: Restore to 35000 markThe latest data from Coindesk reveals that Bitcoin is currently trading at $34,714.75 per BTC, marking a 0.82% increase in the past 24 hours. The cryptocurrency with the largest market capitalization has seen a significant drop, now standing at $26.82 billion, down 30.46% compared to November 3rd. Bitcoin's market capitalization stands at an impressive $687.71 billion, representing 51.65% of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization.
As of 12:50 PM, the total market capitalization is recorded at $1,342.19 billion, showing an increase of approximately $14 billion in the past 24 hours. However, the 24-hour trading volume in the market has decreased by 8.03% compared to November 3rd, reaching $32.47 billion.
It's worth noting that several other cryptocurrencies have also shown positive trends in the last 24 hours. For instance, Ethereum (ETH) has surged by 1.87%, currently trading at $1,827.85 per ETH. Popular cryptocurrencies like Dogecoin (DOGE) and Ripple (XRP) have also demonstrated signs of recovery.
💡GOLDOZ: Anxiously waiting for NonfarmThe positive sentiment in the stock market is a significant obstacle for gold prices. Conversely, declining US Treasury yields, a weakening US dollar, and the expectation that the Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates further could support an increase in gold prices. Furthermore, the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas and global economic conditions are factors that favor a bullish outlook for safe-haven gold.
Gold appears poised to continue its recent recovery and gain momentum on Thursday. Additionally, the MACD histogram and double line on the H4 chart seem to be forming a double bottom. Although higher interest rates can negatively impact gold due to increased opportunity costs, some investors may still choose to hold gold as a hedge against uncertainty.
💡 XAUUSD: The downward trend is slight but not clearThe fluctuation range of gold prices remains considerable, and there hasn't been any substantial price movement since the conclusion of the last trading session. As of now, gold continues to be traded within the range of 1980 to 1990. Upon closer examination of the daily charts, a discernible spinning top pattern has formed, which follows the signals from previous market behavior. This pattern suggests that the sellers may not have a strong grip on the market, and as an investor, it may be prudent to maintain a cautious stance, observing the critical 1970 support area. Should this level be breached, it might present an opportunity for sellers to consider entering new orders.
Reversal Rising Wedge pattern in COLPALCOLGATE PALM (INDIA) LTD
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 On 1 Day Time Frame Stock Showing Reversal of Rising Wedge Pattern.
📈 It can give movement upto the Reversal Final target of Below 2030-.
📈 There have chances of breakdown of Resistance level too.
📈 After breakdown of Resistance level this stock can gives strong downside rally upto below 1900-.
📈 Can Go short in this stock by placing a stop loss Above 2200+.
💡 EURUSD: The buyers are dominatingOnce the sellers retested the 1.07 region, the bearish momentum lost its strength and failed to push the price beneath the support zone at 1.05. The prominent long lower shadow observed in the latest session indicates a robust upward pressure on prices, hinting at the resilience of the 1.05 level against a potential breach. Our current approach remains focused on purchasing based on prior reversal signals. For those already holding positions, it is advisable to maintain them. We will only consider abandoning this strategy if the price falls below the range of 1.0530 to 1.0510, which serves as the target for traders. The buy position is still centered around 1.0540.
Short on Nas100Following the higher time frame order flow, market trend is still bearish. Price is retracing into a premium array, the liquidity void on the daily TF is most likely were price is reaching for (14940) which is our Optimal Trade Entry. If it should hold, I'm expecting bearish movement down to 13800.
Gold Price Stays Below 2000 Amid Dollar Rate Hike UncertaintyGold price experienced significant volatility on Wednesday as they initially moved closer to the $2,000 threshold ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy announcements. This surge was accompanied by the US Dollar's hesitant recovery, coupled with subdued US Treasury bond yields and a mixed market sentiment. However, there was a reversal in gold prices as they briefly dipped to around $1,970 immediately following the Fed's widely anticipated decision to keep the key policy rate within the existing range of 5.25%-5.50%.
The pivotal moment came during Fed Chair Jerome Powell's press conference and his responses to questions. Powell's comments had a substantial impact, causing a sharp decline in the US Dollar and US Treasury bond yields and triggering a strong recovery in the price of gold. While Powell did not entirely rule out the possibility of another interest rate hike, the markets interpreted his words as less hawkish than expected. He acknowledged factors like tighter financial conditions, a robust job market, a resilient economy, and elevated inflation levels.
The drop in US Treasury bond yields was also influenced by a quarterly Treasury announcement, indicating a slowdown in the expansion of its longer-dated auctions. The increase in 10-year Treasury bond auctions was $2 billion, falling short of the market's $3 billion expectations. This led to a decline of over 20 basis points (bps) in the benchmark 10-year Treasury bond yield, which reached its lowest point in over two weeks at 4.7089%.
Furthermore, the US Dollar faced headwinds due to mixed economic data. The US ADP private sector payrolls for October showed an increase of 113,000, below the estimated 130,000. The US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for October dropped to 46.7, falling short of the expected 49.0. Additionally, the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary (JOLTS) report revealed that the number of job openings on the last business day of September slightly rose to 9.55 million, up from a revised 9.50 million in August and surpassing the forecast of 9.25 million.
As for Thursday's trading, the price of gold is building upon its previous recovery. Investors are carefully considering the future path of interest rates set by the Federal Reserve, with expectations for rate hikes in December and January being scaled back. Some market participants are even beginning to price in the possibility of Fed rate cuts as early as June next year. The ongoing global stock market rally led by the Fed's policies is expected to continue weighing on the safe-haven US Dollar. This trend persists as traders shift their focus away from events such as the Hamas-Israel conflict in anticipation of Friday's release of US Nonfarm Payrolls data.
In addition to these factors, gold traders are also keeping a close eye on the monetary policy decision of the Bank of England (BoE), scheduled for later in the day. The key interest rate is expected to remain unchanged at 5.25% for the second consecutive meeting. A dovish stance from the BoE is likely to boost stocks further while exerting downward pressure on the Pound Sterling, which, in turn, could alleviate some of the stress on the US Dollar. Nevertheless, the price of gold continues to hold upside potential, supported by its daily technical setup.
BTCUSD: Signs of the next increaseThe H4 BTCUSD chart is still showing a steady sideways movement, with the accumulation price range holding steady. We've recently observed a bearish reversal pattern known as the bearish Wolfe Wave. When point 5 of the Wolfe Wave pattern is reached, it signals a potential price reversal according to the Wolfe wave theory. In this instance, point 5 aligns with the price frame boundary, further increasing the likelihood of a reversal.
#DXY more bullish outlookHello, everyone. I hope you're all having a great week.
Let's analyze the DXY chart and try to make some predictions for the upcoming week.
Last week, the price was rejected from the important low indicated on the chart and also established a new 4-hour high, as evident in the chart. Consequently, the market structure in the 4-hour time frame is now in alignment with the higher time frame, daily market structure, and they both exhibit a bullish trend.
Given this scenario, our primary interest lies in taking long positions in high-probability trading zones. These zones could be around the short-term low marked with an arrow or during a pullback to the broken short-term bearish trendline.
In the meantime, as we await the price to reach these levels, we will closely monitor the market. Once the price approaches these areas, we will be looking for confirmation signals before considering our trades.
Mastercard Suffers A Fall Following Earnings - But Up 7%Mastercard's stock experienced a 5% drop following its latest earnings report, despite surpassing expected earnings.
Analysts had predicted earnings of $3.21 per share for Q3, but the actual figure was $3.39. This outperformance, however, did not translate into positive market sentiment, as the stock price fell after the market opened on October 28th. This decline reflects the complex dynamics between company performance and investor expectations.
The stock found support at $359 after a 14% drop from its September 2023 peak, where it failed to break the $420 mark.
Over the last decade, Mastercard's stock has grown by 428%, but since April 2021, its growth has slowed, with the stock oscillating between $276 and $420. Despite these fluctuations, the overall trend remains bullish.
Currently, Mastercard's stock is up 7% for the year, showcasing resilience amid market volatility. The focus now is on whether the stock will break out of its current range and resume its long-term upward trajectory.
💡GOLDOZ: Signs of decline are forming?Gold had its second consecutive day of price decline after the news Employment Cost Index q/q and CB Consumer Confidence were announced.
The H1 gold price push down has broken through the accumulation price range above to go down, but has not created a new low price bottom and broken the latest bottom, so it has not created a downtrend. With the current downward pressure on prices, H1 gold can wait for a rebound to sell. If the price is pushed up to the old peak, it is a sign that H1 gold is stronger again, then you can wait to buy.
USDJPY: The Japanese Yen continues to fall sharply as Tokyo With the EUR/JPY exchange rate at 160.80, the 2008 peak, and the USD/JPY exchange rate at 150.75, the yen is continuing its downward spiral to a new low throughout the day. This occurred when Tokyo dispelled any rumors that it was still protecting the price by confirming that it did not interfere in the currency markets in October.
The BOJ doesn't seem to be planning to become involved in the yen today, therefore it looks like the currency will perform as expected. Tokyo's attempts to defend its currency could backfire given all of the BOJ's recent dovish actions.
💡 EURUSD: Potential Resistance areaThe EURUSD is nearing the initial resistance level at 1.0630, with a subsequent resistance at 1.0660. If these levels are breached, there's a strong possibility of an upward price trend encountering further resistance zones.
For today, keep a close eye on the resistance at 1.0630 and potentially 1.0660 if the price retraces. If a selling signal materializes at either of these levels, it may be a suitable opportunity to initiate a sell position.
In the event of a significant price surge, we will adopt a wait-and-see approach to evaluate the market's structural conditions before making any further calculations.
💡 GOLD: Forecasts continue to increase❤️ Hello all traders. Hope you have a nice weekend. Here is some gold information next week
➡️ The ongoing surge in gold prices is likely to persist, given the persistent tensions in the Middle East. Commodity strategist Daniel Ghali from TD Securities Company has pointed out that the potential for increased gold acquisitions remains high if the Middle East conflict escalates further, as gold has traditionally served as a reliable "safe haven" for preserving capital, especially in the face of a strengthening USD and escalating geopolitical concerns.
➡️ Consequently, numerous forecasts anticipate a continued uptrend in gold prices for the upcoming week. In a survey conducted by Kitco News involving 11 Wall Street analysts, 6 of them expressed optimism about gold's price increase. Meanwhile, 3 analysts anticipate a decline in precious metal values, and 2 expect gold to remain relatively stable.
💡 BTCUSD: Sideway after a strong spikeThe 7-day streak of price increases came to a halt following a decrease yesterday. However, it's worth noting that yesterday's downward movement, represented by the D1 bar, exhibited a narrow range and a minimal lower shadow, indicating that the selling pressure lacked significant strength.
Moreover, there are ongoing signs of excess, particularly in the form of overbuying. This marks the third consecutive day in which BTCUSD has remained in an overbought state. When an asset is overbought, it tends to be more prone to a downward correction rather than a continued upward trend.
Although the BTCUSDT chart structure supports an overall uptrend on this timeframe, it would be prudent to await a corrective downward move before considering a buying opportunity.
💡 BTCUSDT: Accumulated for many daysBTCUSDT experienced two consecutive days of price gains over the weekend. However, on Saturday, the daily candlestick formed a bearish pin bar pattern with a long upper shadow and a close at the midpoint, indicating resistance from sellers in the upper range. Sunday's daily candlestick saw a modest increase but traded within a narrow range, failing to surpass Saturday's high. In summary, the two-day price increase doesn't suggest a significant upward pressure.
On the BTCUSDT H4 chart, the price continues to consolidate within a relatively tight range. Given that the BTCUSDT D1 chart has been in an overbought condition for several recent price bars, and the H4 chart typically trends upwards before consolidating, the prudent approach at this moment is to await a price decline towards key support levels before considering long positions. Avoid chasing the price higher to minimize the risk of falling into bull traps, as analyzed on the daily chart.
💡 EURUSD: Next predictionEconomic Challenges of the EU Region: The primary concern for the EUR is the unfavorable combination of growth and inflation in the EU region. Disappointing activity data in the region is a persistent trend, which is even more striking given the persistent downgrade of eurozone growth expectations.
Pessimistic target: Based on cited concerns, HSBC is bearish on EUR/USD, predicting a move towards 1.0220. HSBC takes a short position from 1.0576 with a target of 1.0220.