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GOLDOZ: The increase shows no signs of stoppingThe global gold market continues to benefit from safe-haven demand amid the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict, which shows no signs of ending. This precious metal has seen modest yet resilient gains, despite the Federal Reserve's September meeting minutes indicating their commitment to maintaining a "higher for longer" monetary policy stance. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the policymaking body of the Fed, remains inclined to support interest rate hikes until they are confident that inflation is returning to the 2% target. The gold market has been witnessing a steady rise after bouncing back from its seven-month low last week. While there are still some risks in the market, analysts from the World Gold Council (WGC) suggest that the selling pressure seen last month might present a buying opportunity for investors.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Stone_Haven
EURUSD: Predictions for Friday the 13th💡EUR/USD rise 0.1% to 1.0537, then fell sharply earlier, with multiple data releases appearing in the eurozone. France's CPI rose 4.9% year-on-year in September, while Spain's consumer prices rose 3.5%, both still above the European Central Bank's medium-term target. 💡ECB policymaker Francois Villeroy de Galhau reiterated his view on Thursday that the central bank should keep its benchmark interest rate at its current level - the highest in its 25-year history - as long as That is necessary to ensure inflation returns to the 2% target.
Long
by Stone_Haven
XAUUSD: Wait for the right buy opportunityBar D1 yesterday increased sharply, in line with experts' comments that the gold price will continue to increase strongly by at least 188x - 1900. Largely due to expectations that the Fed will not raise interest rates in 2023 and has a roadmap to cut interest rates in 2024. Currently, 1877 is the MA20 resistance of D1, so there may be more or less a profit-taking price reaction from investors, so the price may decrease slightly. . A closer look at H1 shows that yesterday the price surpassed 1865 but has not yet returned to the back test. This morning's Asian session continued to create a new ATH level compared to yesterday. Easily observe an uptrend channel at H1 with a good buying zone of 186x, everyone should pay attention
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Stone_Haven
EURUSD: Analysis October 12Consumer expectations for inflation in the Eurozone increased slightly in August, reinforcing the view that it is too early for the European Central Bank to declare victory in the fight against inflation. The monthly survey published by the ECB shows that consumer expectations for inflation in the next 12 months have risen from 3.4% to 3.5%, and expectations for inflation over the next three years have increased from 2.4% to 2.5%. In terms of economic outlook, consumers have become more pessimistic, expecting the economy to shrink by 0.8% in the next 12 months, compared to the previous forecast of 0.7%. We can see that the EUR/USD is trading around the 48-hour moving average on the H4 chart. Additionally, the MACD histogram and the double-line appear to be contracting, indicating the potential for a downturn. However, in the short term, investors are awaiting US CPI data for September, and if the data comes in below expectations, the EUR/USD exchange rate may rise due to a weaker US dollar.
Long
by Stone_Haven
2
GBPUSD: Opportunity to explodeThe dollar traded virtually unchanged at the start of the European session Wednesday, consolidating ahead of the release of manufacturing inflation data and the Fed's latest policy meeting minutes. The USD has fallen quite a bit in recent sessions, despite growing political instability due to the conflict that broke out over the weekend between Hamas and Israel, as dovish comments from some Federal Reserve officials The state has raised hopes that the Fed is nearing the end of its interest rate hike cycle.
Long
by Stone_Haven
2
USDCHF: Continuing downtrendToday, the USD/CHF currency pair looks to rest at monthly lows, settling around 0.8920 entering the European session on Friday, after recording an impressive recovery to convince traders sales yesterday. The Swiss franc (CHF) fell the most in a week as it broke through key technical support levels, convincing investors to favor extended lows. What raises hopes for USD/CHF sellers are the negative signals. While it is impossible to accurately predict the future of financial markets, it seems that the USD/CHF currency pair is under pressure from bearish investors. We will continue to monitor developments going forward to see whether sellers can maintain patience at this low level.
Short
by Stone_Haven
Brent Oil: Ready for a Rally?Brent oil prices have skyrocketed in recent months, from about $70 a barrel in June to more than $90 a barrel today. This is due to a number of factors, including: Fundamentals Tight supply: OPEC+ has cut output to support prices and there are concerns about supply disruptions from Russia due to the ongoing war in Ukraine. Strong demand: Global oil demand is recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic and is expected to continue growing in the coming months. Weaker US Dollar: A weaker US dollar makes oil more affordable for buyers using other currencies. Technicals 30-minute chart: Brent oil is currently trading in a bullish trend channel on the 30-minute chart. The RSI indicator is above 50, suggesting that buyers are in control. The MACD indicator is also bullish, with the MACD line above the signal line and the histogram turning positive. 4-hour chart: On the 4-hour chart, Brent oil is also trading in a bullish trend channel. The RSI indicator is above 50, and the MACD indicator is bullish, with the MACD line above the signal line and the histogram turning positive. Daily chart: On the daily chart, Brent oil is trading above its 200-day moving average, which is a bullish signal. The RSI indicator is above 50, and the MACD indicator is bullish, with the MACD line above the signal line and the histogram turning positive. Conclusion Overall, the fundamental and technical outlook for Brent oil is bullish. Prices could continue to rise in the coming days and weeks, especially if there are any supply disruptions or if the US dollar continues to weaken.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_BRENTLong
by YExplore
2
Dr copper potential more downside moveHello traders, lets take a look at copper which testing an important resistance area and see what can possibly happen and what are the consequences of possible bearish move in other markets like us equities. first lets talk technical, price overall bearish Daily move in copper formed a standard #head_and_shoulder pattern in form of consolidation in downtrend move and as we know this chart pattern in the middle of a move showing continuation. As it can be seen price formed clear H&S pattern and now forming possible LH at key resistance area below Daily EMA and at the 4H timeframe 200 EMA. more importantly price failed to close above 3.80$ in the past 3 days. Also we know that copper as one of the most important commodities is very sensitive on economic data, and since central banks are in raising interest rate campaign in order to take control inflation this can be interpreted as lower economic growth and as a result les demand for industrial commodities like copper which can bring prices lower. so now obvious chart pattern and a valid downtrend, price testing important resistance area and failed to break above it and more importantly we have fundamental aspect inline with technical analysis which all together gives good odd to find a trigger to short.
CAPITALCOM:COPPERShort
by mohemati
A Balanced Trading OpportunityEURUSD has a last level of support on the Weekly Chart at 1.0544, and closing below 1.0446 would violate the Bullish Trend. If we're looking for a buying opportunity, the 1hourly chart support level at 1.0558 could be a good fit. Alternatively, we could wait for the market to sit on the Trendline before heading in for a buying opportunity. On the other hand, if we're looking to short, we could either sell the market at the Key Resistance Level on the 4-hourly chart at 1.0631 or a Bearish Shark Pattern completion at 1.0722. Personally, I'm more inclined to look for a buying opportunity. What do you think? Let me know if you have any questions or concerns. I look forward to hearing your thoughts.
Long
by RaynLim
Limbo in December Live Cattle December Live Cattle has been in a virtual free-fall since making contract highs back on September 19th. We’ve sold off nearly $7 since scoring the new high. To say it’s been a remarkable year for live cattle futures would be an understatement - we’ve made all time highs, and bucked bearish seasonal tendencies along the way. The strength observed across the cattle contracts is well substantiated by national cash-trade transactions, and cattle on feed numbers - two of the most important components of fundamental analysis in the cattle markets. Where will we find support? If you look at the retracement from the contract’s low to the contract’s high, we are quickly approaching the 23.6% retracement level at 183.100. This could be viewed as our first major pocket of support, as it is both a significant fibonacci retracement level, but also a point where we saw prices pace through continuously between July and September. Trendline Support In the case that the 23.6% retracement does not hold, another key area to consider is long-held trendline support. Now, that could be a ways away from where we’re at. If price continues to free-fall, trendline support should come into play around 181. But, if prices stabilize and begin moving sideways over the course of the coming weeks, both trendline support and the 23.6% retracement level will converge. This convergence serves a “cluster” of evidence that provides more credibility to the support pocket. Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CME:LEZ2023
by Blue_Line_Futures
spyThe next real support level on MY charts is that $417 range. However, there is an upward trendline that the entire sp500 spx is just now hitting that goes back to the lowest wick of the bottom that started this Bullish uptrend move months ago. We may very well bounce short term from here and go back retest the drop if the spx can hold the line. In the bigger picture im using pops to load puts for another move down this month before we think about a bigger move back up to test the R's.
AMEX:SPY
by rarebreed29
GBPUSD | More Than a 1:1 Reward To Risk TradeThis is bearish potential on GBPUSD 12 hour timeframe is bearish. A new high was made on today. Price can go lower overnight. If it does we can adjust the take profit. Stop loss and entry will stay the same. Stop loss and entry are noted as Entry: 1.21813 Stop loss: 1.22719 TP: Open but preferably the lower low after price pulls back and beyond. You can move stop loss higher if you prefer more room for the trade to breathe. Belief: For God did not give me a spirit of fear, but of power, love, and a sound mind. Rather this trade wins or losses, I pray God for the opportunity. Hey! Like the analysis. Much Love. ❤️
Short
by ShaquanLopez
1
NZDCAD's 2:1 Reward To Risk Trade IdeaThis is bullish potential on NZDCAD. 12 hour timeframe is bullish. A new high was made on Friday. Price can go higher overnight. If it does we can adjust the take profit. Stop loss and entry will stay the same. Stop loss and entry are noted as Entry: 0.80362 Stop loss: 079827 TP: back up to highs unless price creates new fluctuation in price action. You can move stop loss lower if you prefer more room for the trade to breathe. Belief: For God did not give me a spirit of fear, but of power, love, and a sound mind. Rather this trade wins or losses, I pray God for the opportunity. If you enjoy this takeaway please like this analysis and share it.
Long
by ShaquanLopez
Beware of Shorting OpportunitiesAs we continue to analyze the market, it's become clear that avoiding bad trades is just as important as finding the next big one. This is particularly true when looking at the bottom 2 charts of NZDJPY's daily and weekly charts. On the daily chart, we can see that the Bearish Deep Gartley Pattern is over-extended, meaning it took longer than expected to complete the trading setup. As a result, the market may not respect the level and could bash through the resistance level. On the weekly chart, we also see that the Bearish Shark Pattern retest, doesn't give us an RSI divergence. Once again, the market may extend further before any significant retest. Despite all of this, if you're still interested in shorting the market, do it with caution. On the 4-hourly chart, waiting for the market to retest at the 90.03 level could attract price-action traders to jump in for the counter-trend move. Personally, I prefer to head in for a buying opportunity at the key support level of 89.05. My initial stop-loss would be at 88.67 (-38 pips) or approximately -380USD/lot. The first target is seen at 90.08 (+103pips) or approximately 1,030USD/lot. Remember, it's important to plan your own trade and never follow any trader blindly. Let's continue to monitor the market closely and make informed decisions.
Long
by RaynLim
Awaiting Shorting OpportunityThis week, I have been closely monitoring the movement on GBPUSD. While there are similarities to EURUSD, I am still waiting for an aggressive shorting opportunity. As of now, there is no iconic trading setup available, so I am patiently waiting for a retest at the key resistance level of 1.2368 before making any moves. For more conservative traders, it may be wise to wait for a double top with an RSI divergence as an additional confirmation before engaging in the trade. The initial stop is at 1.2462 (-94 pips) or 940 USD/lot, while the first target is seen at 1.2124 or 2,440 USD/lot. I cannot stress enough the importance of planning your trade and not blindly following anyone else. Keep this in mind when considering your options.
Short
by RaynLim
Potential Bullish ContinuationAs we analyze the charts, we can see that the highest timeframe is affecting our overall analysis. If we look at the weekly chart, we can see that there is a bullish run. This means that we should look for a buying opportunity on the 1-hourly chart. Our preferred entry price is at 1.0550, with an initial stop-loss at 1.0521 (-29pips) or -290usd/lot. Our target 1 is at 1.0614 (+64pips) or 640usd/lot. However, if we see that the daily chart is our highest timeframe, we should look for a shorting opportunity as a trend trading opportunity. The possible selling price is at 1.0631, with the initial stop-loss at 1.0663 (-32pips) or -320usd/lot. Our Target 1 is at 1.0502 (+129pips) or 1,290usd/lot. It's important that we do our own independent analysis and plan our own trade. By doing this, we can take advantage of the opportunities presented to us and make the best decisions for our trade.
Long
by RaynLim