Trendtrading
#Copper bearish move possibility
The price of copper has reached the upper boundary of a long-term bearish channel, which is currently acting as resistance. Additionally, the recent bullish move failed to break above the previous high, indicating that the bulls may be losing strength.
I'm looking for a minor bullish corrective move in this asset to potentially short it at a more favorable price level.
PayPal Recovering 42% From Recent LowsStrategic partnerships between major companies like PayPal and Adyen are enhancing consumer convenience with their new project, Fastlane by PayPal. Aimed at revolutionizing the checkout process for U.S. enterprise and marketplace users, Fastlane combines PayPal and Adyen's technologies to streamline guest checkout, significantly reducing purchase completion time.
A key feature of Fastlane is its ability to remember users' payment and shipping details, facilitating quicker future transactions. According to PayPal's data from April to June 2024, Fastlane increased checkout conversion rates by over 80% and decreased checkout time by 32% compared to traditional methods, indicating a boost in customer satisfaction and retention.
Adyen, recognized for its extensive fintech solutions, is the first payment processor partnering in the Fastlane initiative, which supports PayPal’s goal of global expansion. The service now includes more payment options like Venmo and various Buy Now, Pay Later schemes, accessible worldwide through Adyen’s platform, enhancing payment flexibility.
The introduction of Fastlane might influence the financial sector and stock market, especially considering PayPal's stock recovery signs after a significant drop. Strategic developments such as Fastlane could be crucial for further growth as the stock challenges major resistance levels.
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QQQ showing bearish trend reversalQQQ is showing weakness in the rally and showing a bearish trend reversal
3 clear points show a downward trend forming
EMA holds distance firmly below SMA
Multiple hammer candles are rejected in todays trading causing more selling
QQQ looks to have finished its 2 week long rally and looking to reverse course downward
Potentially buying a put position tomorrow anticipating more selling to come.
XAU/USD Strategy: Pattern Recognition and Trade ExecutionComprehensive Market Breakdown for XAU/USD (Gold Spot) Based on Multi-Time Frame Analysis
Overview:
The analysis of XAU/USD across multiple time frames (15-minute, 30-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour) indicates a complex market structure with both bullish and bearish signals. This detailed breakdown will provide insights into the current market conditions, key patterns to watch, potential trading strategies, and risk management considerations.
1. 15-Minute Time Frame: Symmetrical Triangle Pattern
Pattern Details:
Symmetrical Triangle: This pattern is characterized by converging trend lines connecting lower highs and higher lows, indicating indecision in the market.
Apex Proximity: The price is nearing the apex of the triangle, suggesting a potential breakout is imminent.
Implications:
Neutral Bias: The symmetrical triangle does not inherently suggest a bullish or bearish bias but indicates a potential breakout in either direction depending on market sentiment.
Volume Confirmation: A breakout with a significant surge in volume will confirm the direction of the move.
Trading Strategy:
Bullish Breakout: If the price breaks above the upper trendline with strong volume, consider entering long positions targeting previous resistance levels.
Bearish Breakout: Conversely, if the price breaks below the lower trendline with increased volume, consider short positions targeting previous support levels.
Stop-Loss Placement: Place stops just outside the opposite side of the breakout point to mitigate risks from false breakouts.
2. 30-Minute Time Frame: Mixed Channels (Descending and Ascending)
Patterns Observed:
Descending Channels: Suggest bearish continuation if in a downtrend or a potential reversal if broken to the upside.
Ascending Channels: Suggest bullish continuation if in an uptrend but signal a potential reversal if broken to the downside.
Market Implications:
Corrective Phase: The presence of both descending and ascending channels indicates the market is in a corrective phase, oscillating between support and resistance levels.
Range-Bound Trading: Until a significant breakout occurs, the market is likely to remain range-bound.
Trading Strategy:
Range Trading: Consider buying at the lower boundaries of the channels and selling at the upper boundaries.
Breakout Preparation: Prepare for a potential breakout by setting alerts around key levels (upper and lower boundaries of the channels).
Stop-Loss Placement: Place stops just outside the channels to protect against unexpected breakouts.
3. 1-Hour Time Frame: Rising Wedge Pattern
Pattern Details:
Rising Wedge: This pattern is characterized by higher highs and higher lows within a narrowing upward slope, typically a bearish reversal pattern.
Implications:
Bearish Reversal: The rising wedge suggests that upward momentum is weakening, and a potential breakdown could follow.
Reversal Zone: The price is near the upper boundary of the wedge, which may serve as a reversal zone, especially if a breakout to the downside occurs on high volume.
Trading Strategy:
Short Entry on Breakdown: Enter short positions if the price breaks below the lower trendline of the wedge with confirming volume.
Target Levels: Target the lower boundary of the larger ascending channel or previous support levels as take-profit points.
Stop-Loss Placement: Set stops above the most recent high within the wedge to protect against false breakouts.
4. 4-Hour Time Frame: Broader Rising Channel and Nested Patterns
Patterns Observed:
Broad Rising Channel: Indicates a larger uptrend is intact, providing a bullish bias.
Nested Descending Channels: Smaller corrective patterns within the broader uptrend suggest temporary pauses or consolidation phases before potential continuation moves.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance at 2,540: A break above this level would suggest a bullish continuation and potential for new highs.
Support at 2,470: A break below this level would indicate a significant shift in market sentiment towards bearishness.
Market Implications:
Potential Continuation or Reversal: The larger rising channel gives more weight to potential continuation moves, but the presence of smaller corrective patterns within suggests caution.
Echo Phase: The nested descending channel could represent an echo phase, a corrective move within the larger uptrend.
Trading Strategy:
Long Positions on Break Above 2,540: Enter long positions if the price breaks above this resistance level with confirming volume.
Short Positions on Break Below 2,470: Consider short positions if the price breaks below this support level with increased volume.
Volume Confirmation: Ensure any breakout is confirmed with a surge in volume to avoid false signals.
Risk Management: Use wider stops given the higher time frame context to avoid being stopped out by market noise.
5. Synthesis of Multi-Time Frame Analysis:
Confluence of Patterns: The alignment of rising wedges, symmetrical triangles, and mixed channels across multiple time frames suggests a market at a critical juncture. The presence of both bullish and bearish signals indicates that the market is poised for a decisive move.
Key Takeaways for Traders:
Patience and Discipline: Wait for confirmed breakouts with volume before entering trades. Do not rush into trades without sufficient confirmation.
Adaptability: Be prepared to adapt strategies based on the direction of the breakout or breakdown. Use alerts and monitor key levels closely.
Focus on Higher Time Frame Signals: Higher time frame signals carry more weight and should be given priority when making trading decisions.
Risk Management: Employ tight stops and carefully manage position sizes to limit exposure in case of adverse market movements.
6. Final Recommendations:
Potential Bullish Scenario:
Watch for a break above 2,540 on strong volume across multiple time frames. A confirmed breakout could lead to a bullish continuation towards new highs.
Potential Bearish Scenario:
Monitor for a breakdown below 2,470, especially if supported by a break of the rising wedge and descending channel patterns. A breakdown here would signal a shift to a bearish trend.
By combining these insights with real-time monitoring of market conditions, traders can enhance their decision-making process and capitalize on high-probability trade setups in the XAU/USD market.
11 Money-Making Opportunities and the A.P.E FrameworkI’ve just recorded a video covering 11 Money Making Opportunities that you won’t want to miss. Here’s a quick rundown of the currency pairs discussed:
- GBPUSD
- USDJPY
- EURJPY
- GBPJPY
- NZDJPY
- NZDUSD
- AUDUSD
- AUDCAD
- USDCAD
- CADJPY
- GBPAUD
What’s Inside:
- A.P.E Framework: I’ve also shared how I use our trading framework, the A.P.E Framework, and why it’s so important in guiding my trades.
- Strategic Insight: These trading ideas are meant to get you thinking critically about your trades. Remember, they’re not meant for you to follow blindly.
Key Takeaway:
- Plan Your Own Trades: Use these ideas as a devil’s advocate to challenge your strategies and prevent you from going too aggressive on your trades.
Make sure to watch the video for in-depth analysis and insights!
What’s your take on these opportunities? Have any of these pairs caught your eye? Share your thoughts and strategies below!
Happy trading, everyone! 🚀
SPX Technical Analysis BreakdownHere is my technical breakdown of SPX on the 4 HOUR time frame...
We started the month of May with an up-trend trend line bounce on a key support level which saw SPX climb slightly passed the support zone to surpass another key zone
After this climb, we saw it accumulating in a RANGE from 14th May - 29th May, where it eventually broke to the downside. Normally this is a trade we would enter as it's a big volume range break, however, it broke downwards to touch a key support zone. In my experience this is NOT a trade worth taking as they are opposite confirmations.
Later in July we finally got the RANGE trade we were looking for, when 17th June - 5th July we saw it's ACCUMULATING RANGE break with large volume to the UPSIDE. This trend was worth entering as it was heading towards a key resistance area, a great place to exercise your exit strategy.
Once SPX hit the key resistance zone it bounced off and formed a downward trend line that would also be hit later down the line, confirming its relevance.
When SPX hit the resistance line it found plenty of BULL TRADERS on the key SUPPORT level and bounced back up to touch the key RESISTANCE level on 20th AUGUST, where once again it touched the downward trend line.
WHAT TO LOOK FOR NOW -
I'm watching to see if SPX enters the resistance zone and breaks the trend-line and exits the zone, that's two confirmations for an uptrend which makes me confident in the long trade.
On the other side, i'm waiting for the trend to retest key support zones where I will be waiting for a key zone breakout or bounce back to the resistance level.
SOLUSDT - Patience During technical analysis of SOLUSDT, it has shown that this is time to exercise one of the most crucial lessons to learn in trading, PATIENCE.
There is absolutely ZERO need to be entering trades every time you believe you know the correct direction.
Right now the chart is showing the perfect example of why you need to ALWAYS WAIT FOR THE CORRECT SETUP before entering your trade.
I know it's exciting and easy to get trigger happy when entering trades but, PATIENCE, the time will come, and if it doesn't it wasn't meant to be.
FOLLOW YOUR STRATEGY!
e-Learning with the TradingMasteryHub - 3 Strategies You Need
Welcome to the TradingMasteryHub Education Series!
Are you ready to take your trading to the next level? Join us for another exciting lesson in our 10-part series where we dive deep into strategies that can transform your trading game. Whether you're a beginner or looking to refine your strategy, these lessons are designed to guide you on your journey to mastering the markets.
Three Proven Strategies That Can Make You a Fortune, When You Follow Them with Discipline!
In trading, having the right strategy is crucial, but even the best strategy won’t work if you don’t stick to it. Today, we’re uncovering three live-proven strategies that can potentially lead to massive gains—when executed with discipline and precision.
1. The Trend-Following Strategy: Ride the Waves
Trend-following is all about identifying and capitalising on sustained market movements. This strategy involves buying when the market is in an uptrend and selling when it’s in a downtrend. The key is to use indicators like moving averages and the ADX (Average Directional Index) to confirm the strength of the trend.
The beauty of trend-following lies in its simplicity. By aligning your trades with the market's momentum, you increase your chances of catching big moves. But remember, patience is key. Wait for clear signals before entering a trade, and always protect your position with a well-placed stop-loss to minimise risk.
2. The Breakout Strategy: Capture Explosive Moves
Breakout trading focuses on identifying price levels where the market has repeatedly struggled to break through—these are your key support and resistance levels. When the price finally breaks out of these levels, it often leads to significant moves.
To execute this strategy, use tools like the Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) and Relative Volume (RVOL) to confirm the strength of the breakout. A high RVOL indicates that the breakout is supported by strong market participation, increasing the likelihood of a sustained move. The trick here is to act quickly but carefully, entering the trade as soon as the breakout is confirmed and setting your stop-loss just below the breakout level to protect against false moves.
3. The Mean Reversion Strategy: Profit from Market Extremes
Mean reversion strategies work on the principle that prices eventually return to their average or "mean" after extreme moves. This approach is particularly effective in range-bound markets where prices oscillate between defined levels.
To implement this strategy, you’ll need indicators like the RSI (Relative Strength Index) or Bollinger Bands to identify overbought and oversold conditions. When the market shows signs of exhaustion at these extremes, you can enter a trade expecting a reversal back toward the mean. The key to success here is timing—enter too early, and you might get caught in a continued move against you; enter too late, and the best part of the move may already be over.
The Key to Success: Discipline and Consistency
While these strategies have the potential to deliver significant returns, they only work if you follow them with discipline. That means sticking to your trading plan, setting realistic profit targets, and most importantly, managing your risk. Remember, no strategy is foolproof—losses are part of the game. The goal is to stay consistent, manage your emotions, and keep learning from each trade, win or lose.
Conclusion and Recommendation
These three strategies—trend-following, breakout trading, and mean reversion—are time-tested and can be incredibly profitable when applied correctly. But success in trading doesn’t come from the strategy alone; it comes from the discipline to follow your plan, manage your risk, and stay calm under pressure.
As you incorporate these strategies into your trading routine, focus on maintaining a strong risk/reward ratio and a consistent approach. Over time, this discipline will build the confidence and experience you need to potentially turn these strategies into a fortune.
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MATICUSDT MOVING ACCORDING TO PLANPAIR : BYBIT:MATICUSDT.P
Leverage: 5X
Direction: LONG 🔼
SL: HODL
TP: 0.5800
ANALYSIS:
Market Cypher B: 1D TF✅
Bull Bear Power: 5HR TF✅
Nearest Resistance: 0.4600
Nearest Support: 0.2700
⚠️#DYOR
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AVAXUSDT SIGNAL AND UPDATEI told us that ill update us on some ALTs that are ready for longs
this is BYBIT:AVAXUSDT.P , below are the teachnicals that are met
Bull Bear Power(BBP): its bullish on 5hrs TF
EMAs : are giving strong buy indications
MarketCipherB: bullish on aa daily TF
delow are thr signal details
enter: now
TP: 27.5
SL: 20.0
Leverage : 3x
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BTCUSDT ANALYSIS MOVING ACCORDING TO PLANAll right this is BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
In my previous update I told usThat's BTC has been finding it difficult to break the 61k pivot level
So right now BTC is currently at the pivot level ,
So now we will be waiting for a proper breakout and retest, Because BTC is bullish on many technicals
70K is the swing target, ill update us on the alt coins that are ready to LONG
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USDCHF SELLAs we can see we have broken the trendline from the previous trend hinting at a potential trend change. We also created a lower low after breaking the previous higher low. We got a retest of our zone and now we got confirmation. Now we are looking for a TP1 and TP2 at our 1:1 and 1:2 respectively.
AUDJPY SELLAs we can see we have broken the trendline from the previous trend hinting at a potential trend change. We also created a lower low after breaking the previous higher low. We got a retest of our zone and now we got confirmation. Now we are looking for a TP1 and TP2 at our 1:1 and 1:2 respectively.
Gold Teeters on the Edge: Major Reversal or Breakout?The charts provided for XAU/USD (Gold Spot) on various time frames present a comprehensive analysis scenario where several key patterns and zones align across different time frames.
Analysis Breakdown:
1. **Daily Time Frame (1st Chart):**
- Rising Wedge Pattern: This is typically a bearish reversal pattern, especially when it forms after a significant uptrend. The price is nearing the upper boundary of this wedge.
- Daily Liquidity Zone (LQZ) at ~2,484, The price is within a critical liquidity zone. This zone often acts as a magnet for price action, where significant buying or selling can occur. A reaction here could signal a reversal, particularly since it aligns with the top of the wedge.
2. 4-Hour Time Frame (2nd Chart):
- Continuation of the Rising Wedge: The 4-hour chart mirrors the daily chart, emphasizing the wedge pattern's significance. The price is testing the upper boundary of this wedge, which could result in a breakout or a reversal.
- Confluence at LQZ: The price is closely interacting with the daily LQZ, reinforcing its importance. Multiple touches near this area might suggest either absorption of liquidity before a breakout or a potential exhaustion leading to a pullback.
3. 1-Hour Time Frame (3rd Chart):
- Bearish Flag Structures: Two bearish flags are visible, which are typically continuation patterns indicating the possibility of a downward move. These have occurred within the broader rising wedge.
- Approach to Key Resistance: The price is at a critical juncture where the rising wedge's upper boundary coincides with a strong resistance level.
4. 15-Minute Time Frame (4th Chart):
- Breakout and Retest Scenario: On the lowest time frame, a breakout from the bearish flag is evident, with the price retesting the structure's top. This may indicate either a continuation to the upside or a failure and reversal, depending on how it interacts with the liquidity zone above.
Potential Trading Scenarios:
- Reversal Scenario: Given the rising wedge pattern and its bearish implications, combined with the proximity to a significant liquidity zone, there's a strong potential for a reversal. Watch for a clear bearish signal on the 4-hour or daily chart, such as a bearish engulfing candle, which could confirm the reversal. A break below the wedge's lower boundary would be a stronger confirmation.
- Breakout Scenario: If the price breaks above the wedge's upper boundary and holds, especially on the daily chart, it could signal a continuation of the uptrend. However, be cautious of potential false breakouts, especially around such strong resistance and liquidity zones.
- Entry Considerations: If considering a short entry, look for a rejection from the LQZ on the 4-hour or 1-hour chart, ideally supported by bearish confirmation patterns (e.g., engulfing candles, pin bars). A reduced-risk entry could be taken on a lower time frame after the breakout and retest of the wedge or flag structure.
DOTUSDT ( BREAKOUT CHANNEL ) (4H)DOTUSDT
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under downward pressure , until trading below turning level at 4.949
TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 4.949 , so until the price trade below this level indicates likely to reach a support level (1) , but if the breaking by open 4h candle above this level reach a resistance level (1) .
RESISTANCE ZONE : this zone between 5.532 and 5.958 , in order to see this zone the price need breaking turning level at 4.949 , breaking this price indicates an increase and reaching the resistance level (1) at 5.532 , then stabilizing above resistance level (1) likely to reach of a resistance level (2) at 5.598 , after breaking this zone it will be attempt to reach resistance level (3) at 6.532 , selling have already increase in this zone .
SUPPORT ZONE : this zone between 4.012 & 3.595 , until the price trading below turning level or stabilizing below this level indicates to reach of a support level (1) at 4.012 , by open 4h or 1h candle below support level (1) , it indicates to reaching support level (2) around 3.595
CORRECTIVE : the price corrective at 4.949, before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 5.532 , 5.958 , 6.532 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 4.012 , 3.595 .
USDCAD ( TRADING BELOW TURNING LEVEL ) ( 4H )USDCAD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below turning level at 1.375 .
Upward Zone : for an upward movement to occur , the price needs to break through the turning level at 1.375 , leading to rise that could reach the resistance level (1) 1.383 , if the price breaks and stabilizing above this level it may attempt to reach resistance zone between 1.387 and 1.394 .
Downward Zone: as long as the price remain below the turning level at 1.375 , it may drop towards the support level (1) at1.367 , if the price breaks this level with a 4h candle closing below it , it suggest further decline towards the support zone between 1.360 and 1.354 .
CORRECTIVE : currently price it will be attempt to retest to reach a turning level at 1.375 before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.383 ,1.387, 1.394 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.367 , 1.360 , 1.54 .
LTCUSD ( INSIDE DESCENDING CHANNEL ) ( 4H )LTCUSD
HELLO TRADERS
inside sensitive area between two turning level , currently it will be attempt to reach turning level (2) .
Tendency, the price inside sensitive are between two turning level around 61.61 and 55.90 .
Upward Zone : in order see increase , if the price corrective turning level (2) and stabilizing above this level should be trying to reach turning level (1) at 61.61 , to confirm up trading , the price will be breaking turning level (1) to reach resistance level (1) at 65.88 , after by closing 4h candle above it reach a resistance level (2) at 68.41 .
Downward Zone: by breaking turning level (2) at 55.90 , the price should be trying to reach support level (1) 49.77 , after stabilizing below this level could further support to reach of as next level at 47.45 .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 65.88 ,68.41 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 49.77 , 47.45 .
BTCUSDT ANALYSIS MOVING ACCORDING TO PLANThis is BTCUSDT analysis
As we can all see, BTC has failed to go above the 61k pivot level, as long as price is trading below the 61K level we will keep on getting it downward movement on BTC
The less possible reversal people levels for BTC are
the 50k: Which is the next quarterlyI pivot level
the 52K: Which is the next monthly pivot level
the 56K: Which is the next monthly pivot level
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