Get started

Trendtrading

GOLD at a Tipping Point: Rally or Reversal?Comprehensive Analysis of XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) Across the 1-hour, 15-minute, and 4-hour charts, the current market structure of Gold against the U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) reveals a critical juncture, with several key technical patterns and liquidity zones influencing potential price movements. --- 1. Overall Market Structure: Large Ascending Channel (4-Hour Chart) - Channel Formation: The price has been trending within a **large Ascending Channel** since early May, with well-defined higher highs and higher lows. This channel serves as the primary structure guiding the market’s long-term movement. - Upper and Lower Boundaries: The upper boundary near 2474.774 (Daily LQZ) and the lower boundary near 2355.819 (Daily LQZ) are critical levels. The price is currently closer to the channel's upper half, indicating potential room for further upside but also a heightened risk of reversal. 2. Intermediate Market Structure: Recent Ascending Channel Breakdown (1-Hour & 4-Hour Charts) - Smaller Ascending Channel: On the 1-hour and 15-minute charts, a smaller Ascending Channel had formed recently, suggesting a potential continuation of the upward move. However, this channel experienced a breakdown, indicating a shift in short-term momentum. - Retest and Flag Formation: Following the breakdown, the price formed a flag pattern. This typically signals consolidation before continuation in the direction of the previous trend (which was down, post-breakdown). The resolution of this flag is crucial for the next significant move. --- 3. Liquidity Zones (LQZs): Key Decision Points - 1-Hour LQZ at 2441.637: A significant resistance level that the price is currently hovering near. Its strength has been tested, and it could either cap the current move or be breached if buying pressure increases. - 4-Hour LQZ at 2458.954: Positioned slightly above the current price, this is another critical resistance zone, closely aligned with the broader channel's upper resistance area. - Daily LQZ at 2474.774: This is a major resistance level that coincides with the upper boundary of the large Ascending Channel. If reached, it could signal an important inflection point. - Support at 2402.417 (1HR) and 2355.819 (Daily): These are key levels of support that could come into play if the price fails to break higher and instead moves downward. --- 4. Volume Analysis: Gauging Momentum** - Recent Volume Trends: Across the charts, volume has shown signs of moderation, particularly during the formation of the flag pattern. This suggests a potential lack of conviction among market participants, which could lead to a volatile breakout or breakdown. - Volume at Key Levels: It will be essential to monitor volume closely at critical LQZs and the flag pattern boundaries. A breakout with strong volume could confirm the direction, while a low-volume move might indicate a false breakout or temporary move. --- 5. Mass Psychology and Market Sentiment - Herd Behavior: The market is at a psychological tipping point. If a breakout from the flag pattern occurs, it could trigger a strong collective buying response, driving the price higher toward the 4HR and Daily LQZs. Conversely, a failure could lead to a rapid sell-off as participants rush to exit. - Overextension and Exhaustion: The proximity to significant resistance levels increases the risk of overextension. If the price approaches the Daily LQZ at 2474.774, traders should be cautious of a potential reversal due to exhaustion of the bullish trend. --- 6. Potential Scenarios and Strategic Considerations - Bullish Scenario: - Breakout Above Flag: A confirmed breakout above the flag pattern, supported by strong volume, could push the price towards the 4HR LQZ (2458.954) and potentially the Daily LQZ (2474.774). - Continuation Within the Larger Channel: If the price clears the 4HR LQZ, it could target the upper boundary of the large Ascending Channel, aligning with the Daily LQZ at 2474.774. - Bearish Scenario:** - Breakdown from Flag: A breakdown from the flag, especially with increasing volume, could signal a short-term bearish move, targeting support levels at 2402.417 (1HR LQZ) and 2355.819 (Daily LQZ). - Rejection at 1HR LQZ (2441.637): If the price fails to break the 1HR LQZ convincingly, it could lead to a retest of lower support levels, indicating a potential retracement within the larger channel. - Neutral/Baseline Strategy: - Wait for Confirmation: Traders might consider waiting for a clear breakout or breakdown from the flag pattern and observe how the price reacts at the nearest LQZs. This approach reduces the risk of being caught in a false move. - Risk Management: Stops should be placed strategically around the flag pattern’s boundaries or key LQZs to protect against adverse moves. --- Conclusion: The XAU/USD pair is currently at a crucial inflection point. The broader market structure, combined with recent developments in the 1-hour and 15-minute charts, suggests that the next significant move could set the tone for the short to medium term. Close attention should be paid to the flag pattern, volume behavior, and the reaction at key liquidity zones, particularly the 1HR and 4HR LQZs. A breakout could lead to a test of the upper boundaries of the larger channel, while a breakdown might see the price revisiting lower support levels within the channel. This is a classic setup where waiting for confirmation before entering a position could offer a strategic advantage, allowing for more informed and controlled trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Adlercon333
1
US30 ( INSIDE SENSITIVE AREA BETWEEN TWO TURNING LEVEL ) ( 1D )US30 HELLO TRADERS U.S. stocks were higher after the close on Friday, as gains in the Technology, Consumer Services and Telecoms sectors led shares higher. At the close in NYSE, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.13% . currently price inside two turning level in way , breaking each side determine our direction , thus breaking turning level (1) it is mean active up trading ,if the price breaking turning level (2) by close 1d candle or 4h candle below it , indicates to reach support level . Tendency, the price inside sensitive are between two turning level around 40,031 and 38,509 Upward Zone : in order see increase , if the price corrective turning level (2) and stabilizing above this level should be trying to reach turning level (1) at 40,031 , to confirm up trading , the price will be breaking turning level (1) to reach resistance zone around 40,990 and 42,268 . Downward Zone: by breaking turning level (2) at 38,509 , the price should be trying to reach support level (1) 37,550 , after stabilizing below this level could further support to reach of as next level at 36,235 . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 40,990 , 42,268 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 37,550 , 36,235 .
EIGHTCAP:US30
by ArinaKarayi
Etherum eyes $7,300 After Wave 4 Rebound! Long-Term Analysis of ETH/USD We are back with another in-depth look at the ETH/USD pair. It appears that Elliott Wave 4 has completed, and we may see one more wave to the upside before a larger correction occurs. Wave 4 was particularly intense, with a sharp and rapid decline that brought the price down to the 200-week moving average (MA). This level also coincided with the lower support line of the current channel. Fortunately, we experienced a strong rebound from this area, and the market is now poised for a potential upward movement. My target for this next leg is at the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level, which is around $7,300 per coi The wolf pack are hunting for profits, one block at a time..🐺 Make sure to follow my new profile on X for more weekly updates! :@PuppyNakamoto Happy trading! COINBASE:ETHUSD BITSTAMP:ETHUSD BINANCE:ETHUSD BINANCE:ETHUSDT
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by WOLFofBlockStreet
2
BNBUSD ( INSIDE SENSITIVE AREA IN DESCENDING CHANNEL ) ( 4H )BNBUSD HELLO TRADERS inside sensitive area between two turning level , currently it will be attempt to reach turning level (2) . Tendency, the price inside sensitive are between two turning level around 487 and 526 . Upward Zone : in order see increase , if the price corrective turning level (2) and stabilizing above this level should be trying to reach turning level (1) at 526 , to confirm up trading , the price will be breaking turning level (1) to reach resistance level (1) at 557 , after by closing 4h candle above it reach a resistance level (2) at 596 . Downward Zone: by breaking turning level (2) at 487, the price should be trying to reach support level (1) at 453 , after stabilizing below this level could further support to reach of as next level at 403 . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 557 , 596 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 453 , 403 .
BINANCE:BNBUSD
by ArinaKarayi
XAUUSD ( BREAKING TURNING LEVEL (1) ) ( 4H )XAUUSD HELLO TRADERS as mentioned until the price remain a turning level (2) at 2,391$ , indicates to reach 2,420$ . yesterday the price sharply rising nearby +450pip , currently stabilizing 2,420$ as long as the price trading above this level directly toward to reach 2,436$ Tendency, the price trading above turning level (1) , this makes the upward direction active . Upward Zone : currently the price remain turning level (1) , until the price trading above this level we can see strong upward trending to reach resistance level (1) at 2,436$ and resistance level (2) at 2,459$ . Downward Zone: by breaking turning level (1) around 2,420$ , the price dropping to reach a turning level (2) at 2,391$ , to confirm downward , the price need breaking 2,391$ by open 4h candle below it to reach a support level (1) at 2,364 , then to reach support level (2) at 2,346$. TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,436$ , 2,459$ , 2,474$ . SUPPORT LEVEL : 2,364$ , 2,346$ .
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
Flag Pattern Alert: Gold's Big Decision!Now that the title got your attention! Take some time to fully digest the market breakdown below where we cover this further in depth! 1. Price Structure: - Downtrend: The chart shows a significant downtrend from the left side, leading to a series of lower highs and lower lows, which is a classic bearish structure. - Consolidation/Flag Formation: After a strong bearish move, the price appears to be consolidating within a flag pattern, as indicated by the 15-minute and 1-hour flag formations. This is typically a continuation pattern, suggesting that the market might continue in the direction of the previous trend (downwards). 2. Key Levels: - Daily LQZ (2,474.774): This is a higher time frame liquidity zone. Price is currently below this level, indicating that there might be significant resistance here. - 4HR LQZ (2,459.094): This zone is also above the current price, acting as potential resistance. A move towards this zone might face selling pressure. - 1HR LQZ (2,445.648): This is a closer resistance level, just above the current price action, within the range of the flag pattern. A breakout above the flag might target this LQZ. - 15M LQZ (2,415.863): Price is currently hovering around this level, indicating that the market is at a critical point where it could either bounce or break lower. - 1HR LQZ (2,402.417): If the price breaks down from the current flag, this level could act as the next target/support. 3. Potential Scenarios: - Bullish Scenario (Green Arrow): - Breakout of the Flag: If the price breaks out upwards from the flag formation, it could signal a reversal or a correction within the larger downtrend. - Target Levels: The price might aim for the 1HR LQZ at 2,445.648 first, with potential further movement towards the 4HR LQZ at 2,459.094, and eventually towards the Daily LQZ at 2,474.774 if bullish momentum continues. - Bearish Scenario (Orange Arrow): - Breakdown from the Flag: If the price breaks down from the flag pattern, it would confirm the continuation of the bearish trend. - Target Levels: The immediate target would be the 1HR LQZ at 2,402.417, followed by the next lower Daily LQZ at 2,355.819. 4. Market Phases: - Impulsive and Corrective Phases:The downtrend before the flag can be considered an impulsive phase, while the flag pattern itself represents a corrective phase. Understanding these phases can help anticipate the next move. 5. Lower High Formation: - The chart also marks a “Lower High” within the flag formation. This suggests that the bulls are struggling to push the price higher, which is a bearish signal, reinforcing the likelihood of a breakdown. 6. Volume Analysis: - Volume Support: The volume seems to be lower during the flag formation compared to the preceding downtrend, which is typical in a consolidation phase. A breakout with strong volume would give more validity to the direction. 7. Conclusion: - Bullish Bias: If the price breaks out of the flag with strong momentum and volume, a short-term bullish move towards the higher LQZs can be expected. - Bearish Bias: The overall trend and the formation of a lower high suggest a bearish continuation. If the price breaks down from the flag, the bearish scenario could play out with targets towards the lower LQZs. This breakdown gives you a structured view of the current market conditions on this chart. As always, consider combining this technical analysis with other factors like market sentiment, fundamental analysis, and your risk management strategies.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Adlercon333
USDJPY ( INSIDE ASCENDING CHANNEL ) (4H) USDJPY HELLO TRADERS Tendency, the price is under upward pressure , until the price trading above support level (1) at 144.354 . Upward Zone : until the price trading above support level (1) , may make be ascending channel , currently the price trading above turning level at 145.808 , to rising reach of a resistance level (1) around 149.186 , to confirm upward , price need breaking by close 4h candle above 149.186 to reach resistance level (2) at 152.225 , may be the price reserve and breaking turning level to reaching a support level (1) at 144.354 , after starting a up trading to inside resistance zone . Downward Zone: should the price reserve and breaking turning level at 145.808 , indicates dropping to support level (1) around 144.354 , to confirm downward , the price it will be breaking 144.354 , by closing 4h candle below it to reach support level (2) at 142.275 , called support zone have been buying increase in this zone . Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 145.808 & 144.354 , before rising . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 149.186 , 152.225 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 144.354 , 142.275 .
Long
by ArinaKarayi
XAUUSD ( INSIDE TWO TUENING LEVEL ) ( 4H )XAUUSD HELLO TRADERS currently price between two turning level by breaking each level determine the direction , for know the price trading above turning level (2) at 2,391$ , remain this level it will be attempt to reach a turning level (1) at 2,420$ . Tendency, the price inside two turning level around ( 2,420$ & 2,391$) Upward Zone : in order see increase , the price need breaking turning level at 2,420$ , by closing 4h candle above it , easily to reach a resistance level (1) around 2,436$ , remain this level indicates the price trying to inside a resistance zone between 2,459$ and 2,474$ . Downward Zone: by breaking turning level (2) around 2,391$ , the price dropping to reach a support level (1) at 2,364$ , to confirm downward , gold need breaking support level (1) by open 4h candle below it to reach a support level (2) at 2,346 . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,436$ , 2,459$ , 2,474$ . SUPPORT LEVEL : 2,364$ , 2,346$ .
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ArinaKarayi
"Straddle" on the Yen. Can we make money on this?The Japanese yen option market bet on Straddle. A "Straddle" is a type of options strategy that aims to profit from market volatility regardless of the direction of price movement. In simpler terms, a Straddle involves buying both a call and put option with the same strike price, creating a neutral position. This type of strategy can generate profits if the market moves in either direction, but the profits are not realized immediately, rather, they occur after the market has passed certain price points. It is highly recommended that you read ourarticle published on TV for further understanding. Despite the fact that examples are provided in post from stock market, where Straddles are more common, the principles and mechanics of this strategy are applicable to all markets. So, on August 6th, a significant Straddle option portfolio was listed on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). The boundaries of this portfolio, which are indicated on the provided chart, represent reasonable entry points for the portfolio owner. Based on observations, the price tends to bounce off these boundaries. Therefore, these boundaries can be used to enhance our trading strategy. For trading in the direction of the current trend, of course! Not contr-trend! Let's see if we can get a signal at the border and open up a position.
by ClashChartsTeam
REN/USDT Analysis – August 8, 20241. Introduction of the Analysis: BYBIT:RENUSDT.P This analysis delves into the REN/USDT pair on the 4-hour timeframe, using technical indicators to project potential market movements and identify strategic trading opportunities. 2. Indicators Used: - Quarterly Fibonacci Pivot Point Levels: These levels are used to highlight crucial support and resistance zones that could guide price action. - Main Pivot Point (Yellow Resistance): The yellow line represents the main pivot point, a significant level where price reactions are anticipated. - Support and Resistance of Pivot Points: The grey areas on the chart provide additional support and resistance levels derived from pivot points, offering further insights for potential price targets. - Weekly Candle Display: This feature allows for alignment with broader market trends by showing weekly price movements. - Monthly Fibonacci Pivot Point Levels: These levels provide higher timeframe confluence, reinforcing the importance of the identified support and resistance areas. - Yellow Candle (High Volume): The yellow candle indicates a significant volume spike (over 200), signaling strong market activity at that level. 3. Overview: - Support Zone: - A key support area is identified near the 0.0306 level, which corresponds with a quarterly Fibonacci pivot point. This zone could serve as a potential rebound area for price. - Resistance Zone: - The primary resistance level is marked by the yellow line at 0.04318, aligning with the main pivot point. Additional resistance is found around 0.05277, which could act as a target for price movements. - Trade Setup: - Long Position: - Entry: Around 0.03976, where price is testing a grey support zone. - Targets: - First target at 0.04318. - Second target at 0.05277, correlating with the upper resistance level. - Stop Loss: Below the recent low at 0.0306. 4. Conclusion: REN/USDT is currently positioned at a key support level of 0.03976, with potential for an upward move towards 0.04318 and 0.05277 resistance zones. Traders might consider entering long positions at these levels, with proper risk management by setting a stop loss below the 0.0306 support level. 5. Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This content adheres to TradingView’s guidelines and avoids any promotional or external community links.
Long
by UnknownUnicorn67695019
BITCOIN ( INSIDE DESCENDING CHANNEL ) ( 4H )BTCUSD HELLO TRADERS Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below turning level at 59,247 . TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 59,247 , so as long as the price trade below this level indicates likely to reach a support level (1) , but if the breaking by open 4h candle above this level reach a resistance level (1) . RESISTANCE ZONE : this zone between 63,311 and 68,033 , for reach this zone the price need breaking turning level at 59,247 , first thing breaking this level indicates to reach resistance level (1) at 63,311 , then breaking this level by open 4h candle above this reach a resistance level (2) at 68,033 , after breaking this zone it will be attempt to reach resistance level (3) at 71,766 , selling have already increase in this zone . SUPPORT ZONE : this zone between 54,503 & 51,276 , as long as the price trading below turning level or stabilizing below this level indicates to reach of a support level (1) at 54,503 , then breaking this level by open 4h or 1h candle below this easily to touch a support level (2) at 51,276 . CORRECTIVE : the price corrective at 59,247, before dropping . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 63,311 , 68,033 , 71,766 SUPPORT LEVEL :54,503 ,51,276 .
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by ArinaKarayi
EURUSD ( INSIDE ASCENDING CHANNEL) ( 4H )EURUSD HELLO TRADERS Tendency, the price is under up ward pressure , until trade above turning level at 1.091 . Upward zone : In order to see an increase, the price needs to continues trading above a turning level at 1.091 , to reach resistance levels (1) around 1.098 , then if the price breaking resistance level (1) by open 4h candle above it indicates to reach a resistance level (2) at 1.102 , but stabilizing below this level it refers likely to reach a turning level . Downward zone: Provided until the prices breaking turning level by open 4h candle below it, indicates a reach of the support level (1) at 1.084 , then breaking this level with a 4h or 1h open candle below is likely to reach the support level (2) at 1.078 . Corrective level :Price may make a correction at 1.091 , before rising . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.098 , 1.102 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.084 , 1.078 .
Long
by ArinaKarayi
1