Wave 4 Triangle or Running Flat? Key Levels to Watch!As seen in the chart, I'm tracking a potential Wave 4 triangle forming in gold. The price action has respected the A-B-C-D-E structure so far, suggesting that consolidation might be nearing completion before a breakout into Wave 5.
However, if the price breaks above Wave D's high prematurely, this would invalidate the triangle and suggest that Wave 4 already ended as a running flat, meaning we may already be in the early stages of Wave 5.
Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Resistance: – The triangle scenario is invalid if the price breaks above this level without completing Wave E.
🔹 Support Zone: – Holding above this would strengthen the case for a triangle breakout.
🔹 Invalidation: A strong impulse below the support zone could indicate a deeper correction instead of Wave 5 beginning.
If the triangle holds, we could see one more touch of support before Wave 5 extends higher. Otherwise, the market may already be heading up in a more aggressive move.
Which scenario do you think will play out? Drop your thoughts below!
Triangle
BITCOIN → Consolidation. Shake-out before growth to 110KBINANCE:BTCUSD is consolidating both locally and globally. The market lacks drivers, but at the same time, big players continue to keep the coin from falling further
Bitcoin is in consolidation or in a localized correction due to Trump putting cryptocurrencies on the back burner. No supportive executive orders have been issued, except that there is a little noise around the federal reserve, but only from the states and that is in question what assets will fill this fund, confiscated or still politicians will start buying BTC. As for the global economy regarding bitcoin, a lull has been forming lately. Except for SOL and DOGE, for which the SEC has already started accepting applications to launch ETFs.
Technically, I'm keeping an eye on local consolidation: 94800 - 98400. A breakout of resistance could give hope to the market and in that case bitcoin could strengthen to 102 - 107K
Resistance levels: 98.4, 100.2, 102.7
Support levels: 94.8, 91.3
But, based on the general technical situation, there is a huge pool of liquidity in the 91-90K zone and before further growth the price may test this zone and form a false breakdown before the market returns to active buying.
Regards R. Linda!
A Bearish Case for Diageo: Breaking Critical Support LevelsThe descending triangle pattern on Diageo’s weekly chart presents a strong bearish signal, suggesting that the stock may be poised for a deeper decline. Historically, descending triangles indicate mounting selling pressure, and with price action nearing critical support levels, the risk of a breakdown is significantly high.
Currently, Diageo is approaching key lows last seen in 2020, around 2050, a level that previously acted as a strong support zone. However, the confluence of technical factors suggests this support may not hold:
1️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement Confluence – Just below 2050, the 2026 level aligns with a key long-term Fibonacci retracement. While this could act as a temporary support zone, the broader technical setup suggests further weakness.
2️⃣ The Psychological 2000 Level – Round numbers often serve as psychological barriers in the market, but with a descending triangle breakdown, this level may fail to provide meaningful support.
3️⃣ Measured Move Target: 1875 – When analysing the height of the descending triangle pattern, its projected move suggests a breakdown well beyond the above-mentioned support levels. A clean breach of 2050 could see a swift move lower, with 1885 emerging as the next major target.
With the weight of these technical indicators aligning, the path of least resistance appears to be downward. Unless Diageo finds an unexpected catalyst for recovery, breaking these key levels could trigger further selling momentum, forcing the stock into deeper correction territory. Traders and investors should approach this setup with caution, as the evidence strongly favours a bearish continuation. 🚨📉
N.B. Understanding the Descending Triangle Pattern
A descending triangle is a bearish chart pattern that forms when the price action is characterized by a series of lower highs converging towards a horizontal support level. This pattern signals increasing selling pressure, as buyers fail to push prices higher while sellers continuously drive prices downward.
Key Features of a Descending Triangle
1️⃣ Horizontal Support Line – The price consistently finds support at a particular level, creating a flat base.
2️⃣ Lower Highs – Price fails to reach previous highs, forming a descending trendline.
3️⃣ Breakout Expectation – A descending triangle typically breaks downward once sellers overwhelm buyers at the support level.
4️⃣ Volume Decline & Expansion – Volume usually declines as the pattern develops and increases significantly at the breakout.
________________________________________
How to Measure the Descending Triangle
To predict a potential price target, traders measure the height of the triangle and project it downward from the breakout point.
✅ Step 1: Identify the Pattern
• Find the flat support level where price repeatedly bounces.
• Draw a descending trendline connecting the lower highs.
✅ Step 2: Measure the Height
• Take the distance from the highest point of the triangle (initial peak before lower highs start forming) to the horizontal support level.
• Example: If the high of the triangle is 2675 and the support level is 2275, the height is 400 points.
✅ Step 3: Project the Breakdown Target
• Once price breaks below the support level, subtract the measured height from the breakdown point.
• Example: If the breakdown occurs at 2275, then:
o 2275 - 400 = 1875 (expected price target).
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Confirming the Breakout
📉 Bearish Confirmation:
• A daily or weekly close below support, ideally with an increase in volume.
• Retests of the broken support level that now act as resistance.
⚠️ False Breakouts:
• Sometimes, price may briefly dip below support and reverse higher.
• Confirmation is key before entering trades based on the descending triangle pattern.
________________________________________
Final Thoughts
A descending triangle is a powerful bearish signal, particularly when seen in downtrends. Traders use it to identify potential breakdown opportunities and set realistic price targets. Risk management is crucial, as false breakouts can occur, and waiting for confirmation increases the probability of a successful trade.
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
Bitcoin can exit from triangle and then rise to 101K pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Not long ago, the price reached a support level aligned with the buyer zone. It consolidated there for a while before climbing into a pennant formation. Inside the pennant, the price broke through the 95200 level and continued its rise toward the resistance level, which overlapped with the seller zone, eventually breaking through this area as well. Following that, the price advanced to the resistance line of the pennant but soon reversed direction, sharply dropping to the support line. It broke through this support, signaling an exit from the pennant pattern and surpassing the 104700 resistance level. After a minor decline, the price rebounded quickly, reaching the seller zone once more, before turning lower and forming a triangle pattern. Bitcoin slid down to the triangle's support line, then reversed and bounced upward, breaking the support level again in the process. This led to further declines, with the price eventually hitting the buyer zone. From there, it rebounded back toward the triangle’s resistance line. Currently, the price is trading close to this resistance line. In my view, Bitcoin can drop back to the support line before rebounding higher, potentially climbing to 101K points and breaking out of the triangle formation. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
DOGE → 𝐁𝐮𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐬𝐡 𝐏𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐬𝐮𝐫𝐞 !!!The price is currently supported well, which can increase the price. I expect the price to rise to around 30 cents.
previous analysis
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bullish Ascending TriangleThe ascending triangle pattern in the Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart suggests a bullish continuation pattern. Here’s a breakdown of the pattern:
Key Characteristics of the Ascending Triangle:
1. Resistance Level (Flat Top):
• The price has repeatedly tested a resistance level near $107,000 without breaking through.
• This forms the flat upper boundary of the ascending triangle.
2. Rising Trendline (Higher Lows):
• The price has been making higher lows, forming a diagonal support line.
• This trendline connects the series of higher lows, indicating increasing buying pressure.
3. Volume Considerations:
• Typically, volume contracts as the pattern forms and expands upon breakout.
• An increase in volume may confirm a breakout.
4. Breakout Scenario:
• If BTC/USD breaks above $107,000 with strong volume, it could trigger a significant rally.
• The measured move target for the breakout can be estimated by adding the height of the triangle to the breakout level.
5. Fakeouts & Risk Management:
• A breakdown below the rising trendline could invalidate the bullish setup.
• If BTC fails to break $107,000, it will likely retrace back to support (~$90k-$95k)
Potential Target:
• Height of the triangle: Approx. $22,000 (from $85,000 to $107,000).
• If BTC breaks out above $107,000, the projected target could be around $129,000.
Hitting a bottom on MATIC?...I don't really trade Crypto's however this one stood out to me as a potential opportunity on the weekly time scale.
MATIC has been trending down since late 2021 but it has always shown a bounce around the $0.30 zone, ultimately creating a very large descending triangle coupled with a MACD that has been diverging up.
Could we see a rally ahead towards $1.00+? well that remains to be seen but I liked the setup and took the opportunity. Should be interesting in how this develops and thus, I'll be keeping an eye on this one.
I'm also checking out DOGE and XRP.
As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe.
Bitcoin Seasonality - Best Month (October) and Best Day (Monday)It's very important for every Bitcoin trader to know its seasonality because this will significantly increase the probability of successful trades. I have been trading Bitcoin for almost 10 years, and I successfully use seasonality patterns to predict Bitcoin price movements. For example, you don't want to go long on Bitcoin during August or September; that's probably a very bad idea. The biggest market crashes usually happen in September. But you definitely want to go long in October or April, as these months are the most promising. Knowledge of these patterns will give you an advantage over standard retail traders. Every trade matters.
Average return by Month (%)
January: +5.1%
February: +12.1%
March: +4.8%
April: +18.7%
May: +14.2%
June: +4.4%
July: +6.1%
August: -3.1%
September: -8.4%
October: +22.2%
November: +17.9%
December: +7.3%
Average return by Weekday (%)
Monday: +0.63%
Tuesday: +0.18%
Wednesday: +0.54%
Thursday: +0.40%
Friday: +0.37%
Saturday: +0.45%
Sunday: +0.10%
Currently I am bullish on Bitcoin as the price is in an uptrend and the bear market is not confirmed; I expect Bitcoin to hit 115k probably at the end of February/March. What I also expect is an alt season - alt season is starting right now! So it's time to buy some altcoins. Ethereum should outperform BTC in the next weeks as well.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
XAUUSD 15-Minute Chart Analysis! 2840!Overview:
Gold is currently trading around $2,900, showing a potential bearish setup based on key technical levels. The chart highlights an important Fair Value Gap (FVG), support and resistance levels, and a possible price movement scenario.
Key Levels:
🔸 Resistance Zone: $2,940 - $2,950
A strong supply zone where price previously reversed.
If price reaches this level, sellers might step in.
🔸 Fair Value Gap (FVG: $2,915 - $2,918)
A price imbalance that could act as a short-term resistance.
If price taps into this zone, it may reject downward.
🔸 Support Level: $2,879
A key horizontal level that has acted as support before.
If price holds here, a bounce is possible.
A break below could trigger further downside movement.
🔸 Target Zone: $2,840 - $2,830
A demand zone where buyers could re-enter.
Projected Price Movement:
📉 Bearish Scenario (Main Outlook):
1️⃣ Price moves into FVG ($2,915 - $2,918) and rejects.
2️⃣ Drops towards support at $2,879 for a retest.
3️⃣ A break below $2,879 confirms further downside.
4️⃣ Targeting the $2,840 - $2,830 zone.
📈 Bullish Invalidations:
If price breaks and holds above $2,920, it could push higher toward $2,940 - $2,950 resistance.
A breakout above $2,950 would shift bias to bullish.
How to Use This on TradingView:
✅ Look for bearish signals (rejection wicks, strong red candles) near FVG before shorting.
✅ Watch for a breakdown below $2,879 to confirm further downside.
✅ If price holds above $2,920, reconsider bearish bias.
USOIL:Go long on oil prices, or hold a buy orderusoil:
Technically, there is no demand for a rebound. The ultra-short-term technical pattern shows a triangular consolidation range. At the same time, reducing the oil price in some areas will also increase the demand for oil to a certain extent. At the same time, the factor of geopolitical war will cause oil as an energy reserve to bottom out again. Overall, the profit of short-term long oil prices is conservatively estimated to be more than 7p.
Buying target: around 71.5
Loss setting: 70.2 FX:USOIL
BABA - 34 months SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE══════════════════════════════
Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝
══════════════════════════════
Hello Traders ✌
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
═════════════════════════════
⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
Breakout Area, Target, Levels, each line drawn on this chart and any other content represent just The Art Of Charting’s personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purposes. Therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Entry Point, Initial Stop Loss and Targets depend on your personal and unique Trading Plan Tactics and Money Management rules, Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
═════════════════════════════
BITCOIN - Price can correct again and then start grow to $101KHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago, prices bounced from $93600 level, rose to $102500, and then started to decline in a triangle.
In this pattern, price turned around and made an upward impulse from support line to $102500 level and broke it.
Next, BTC exited from triangle and started to decline inside pennant, where it soon broke $102500 level one more time.
After this, price dropped to support area and even a little below, reaching support line pennant and then bouncing up.
Bitcoin rose to $102500 level, after which in a short time, it declined to support line of pennant and now it rising.
In my mind, BTC can correct to support line again and then start to grow to $101K.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
LINK Accumulation zoneHello Traders 🐺,
This idea is just a quick update on my previous analysis of LINK . We will be discussing the immediate short-term movements, but for a better perspective, you can check out my previous idea about LINK, which you can find in the related link next to this one! 👇🔥
Before we dive in, make sure to follow me so you can stay updated on the market situation.
As you can see in the chart above, LINK is currently in the Accumulation Zone . In my opinion, this is a great opportunity to buy altcoins, especially those with higher liquidity and reputation . These prices present a nice discount , making it a good time to buy and hold for the next 2 or 3 months!
🐺 Stay sharp, trade smart! – KIU_COIN 🐺
GU Ascends From Triangle - Breakout & Retest Set-UpFX:GBPUSD ended last week with a Bullish Price Breakout of the Ascending Triangle that it fell into after breaking down below Support-Turned-Resistance and finding Support at the October 2023 Lows last month.
Overall indicators suggest we could be experiencing a Valid Breakout of this pattern due to:
1) Strong Breaker Bar with Close outside of Range
2) Based on the Range from High to Low of the Ascending Triangle, Price made a 26% move beyond the break
3) Bullish Volume following Break
4) RSI Above 50
The Confirmation of Valid Break will come if price is able to:
1) Close 3 - 5 Days outside of pattern
2) Price successfully is Supported by Previous Structure Broken
3) Bullish Volume Builds on Retest
When the Breakout is Validated, Buying opportunities could be delivered in the ( 1.2525 - 1.2485 ) Range on the retest with an immediate Target Profit at the December 2024 Resistance laying overhead at the ( 1.28 - 1.29 ) Range
Fundamentally, this month we saw BOE make a 25bps rate cut down to 4.50% with GBP having quite a positive increase in GDP (+.3%) which could be inflationary. USD showed a slight uptick in CPI (+.1% y/y) strengthening the stance on minimal Rate Cutes this year but a big miss in Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims and Non-Farm Employment!
GBP:
Tuesday - Claimont Count Change/ BOE Gov. Bailey Speaks
Wednesday - CPI
Thursday - Consumer Confidence
Friday - Retail Sales/ Flash Manufacturing PMI/ Flash Services PMI
USD:
Monday - Presidents Day (Bank Holiday)
Tuesday - Empire State Manufacturing Index
Wednesday - FOMC Meeting Minutes
Thursday - Unemployment Claims/ Philly Fed Manufacturing Index/ Crude Oil Inventories
Friday - Flash Manufacturing PMI/ Flash Services PMI/ Existing Home Sales
Gold - Trend continuation after deep correctionParallel Channel: A clear upward-trending channel indicating long-term bullish movement.
Consolidation Pattern: A triangular consolidation phase before a breakout.
Strong Support Level: Marked around 2,861.843, serving as a key price level.
Price Projections: Two significant measured moves showing price increases of 14.10% and 12.27%, with the latest target reaching approximately 3,037.055.
Current Price Action: The price is around 2,882.482, experiencing a slight pullback (-1.57%).
Key Elements of the Chart:
1. Overall Trend: Bullish Momentum
The chart showcases an upward trend in gold prices over the past several months.
A parallel ascending channel is drawn, marking higher highs and higher lows, indicating a sustained bullish trajectory.
2. Parallel Channel Formation
A parallel channel (black trendlines) has been plotted, highlighting a structured uptrend.
The price has consistently moved within this channel, bouncing off support and resistance levels.
3. Consolidation & Breakout Phase
A green triangular pattern is visible in the middle section of the chart.
This pattern represents a period of price consolidation, where gold traded in a tightening range before a breakout.
After breaking out of this consolidation phase, the price resumed its uptrend, confirming a bullish breakout.
4. Support and Resistance Levels
A strong support level is identified at 2,861.843, providing a key price floor.
The price has recently retraced and is testing this support zone around 2,882.482.
Resistance lies near the upper boundary of the parallel channel, with a target projection of 3,037.055.
5. Measured Price Moves (Projection Targets)
The chart includes two price projections using vertical arrows:
First measured move: A rally of 333.699 points (14.10%), suggesting a significant bullish leg.
Second measured move: Another 331.092 points (12.27%), confirming continued bullish strength.
The next target price level is around 3,037.055 USD, indicating further upside potential.
6. Current Market Conditions
The current price is around 2,882.482, reflecting a -1.57% daily decline.
The recent pullback suggests either a minor correction or a potential support test before the next leg upward.
Technical Summary:
Trend: Strong bullish uptrend within a well-defined parallel channel.
Support Level: 2,861.843 (marked as a strong area of buying interest).
Resistance Level: Around 3,037.055.
Breakout Confirmation: After a consolidation phase, gold has resumed its uptrend.
Market Outlook: The chart indicates the potential for further upside, but short-term corrections may occur.
The price remains within the parallel channel, gold could continue its upward trajectory, with 3,037.055 USD as the next key resistance level. However, if the support level (2,861.843) fails, a deeper correction may follow.
Bitcoin will continue to grow and exit from triangle patternHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price entered a downward triangle, where it at once rebounded from the resistance line and started to decline. In a short time, the price fell to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, broke this level, and dropped until to support line of the triangle, breaking the support level too. Next, BTC turned around and made a strong impulse up, breaking 95000 and 100000 levels, after which it turned around and started to decline. Price later fell below the 100K level, breaking it, and continued to fall next. Later BTC rose to the 100K resistance level, but at once turned around and dropped to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. After this, the price rebounded from the buyer zone and reached the resistance line of the triangle, and then corrected back. Then Bitcoin started to grow, so, I think that the price can correct to the support line and then rise to the resistance line and break it, thereby exiting from the triangle pattern. Then BTC will continue to grow, therefore I set my TP at 99K points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
TON - Time to buy again!The price has formed a Triangle on the 4h time frame, and if it breaks out, it can drive the price up to around $4.3.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Salesforce: triangle on a upwards channelSalesforce is now moving on an upwards trendline parallel to a previous one.
At the same time, the trend is Bearish, which makes room for a Triangle formation.
Overall, it looks Bullish on the short-term, while keeping an eye on which side of the triangle it will break out.
By instinct, I would say upwards, but let's wait to have data before taking a decision.
Bitcoin Analysis & Signal | February 11, 2025🔹 Analysis: Bitcoin remains in a range and is forming a triangle pattern. A breakout above the resistance level could trigger further upward movement.
📢 Key Levels:
✅ Support: $95,500 (This level could act as a buffer if a pullback occurs)
🚀 Resistance: $98,500 (Breaking this level could confirm the bullish move)
🎯 Target Levels After Breakout:
🔹 First Target: $102,000
🔹 Second Target: $106,000
📌 If the breakout is confirmed, a stronger rally can be expected.
NASDAQ-100 Breakout: What's Next for the Market? We finally got the NASDAQ-100 breakout we were looking for! In this video, we break down the trade setup, risk-reward ratio, and why the bullish case still makes sense. We analyze the ascending triangle pattern, key support levels, and potential trade strategies moving forward.
With stock indices pushing higher, could this also signal upside potential for crypto? Plus, we discuss how easing trade tensions and potential peace talks could fuel market optimism.
What’s your take on this move? Let us know in the comments!
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