BTC - are we really that f_cked?Bullish divergence forming on 1W (rsi rising, price falling), RSI near oversold 1W, 1Month. Yes we can dip further down, but my guess is 14k (14.5k) would be the final dip before relief rally to 30k+. then next year we will tank again. but it would be very strange if we tank directly bellow 10k levels. Bears have problems dumping price at this levels. I suggest you to DCA in Bitcoin at this levels. if you not, then good. but we all know you are not gonna buy Bitcoin even if it drops bellow 10k. right? right!
Trias
LTO - either up or downSince most crypto tanked this days, because you know why, I think options for most of these coins are just two. Either we tank again, despite positive inflation outcome this week, and stock rise, or we pump strong, because we are really oversold, and end of the year is also here. So... 100%+ (0.14+ is in the play), but so is 0.035 if more bad news comes out.
Fundamentally great project, so I think old bottom, shouldn't be in play, but we could still tank eitherway.
LTO - could go bellow 0.08 before next pumpLTO is still fundamentally superb project coming from EU. Still, before next pump we could go bellow 0.08$ per #lto. Then we should bounce at least to first green line 0.15$. at the end of the year if the market doesn't collapse we could reach somewhere between 0.3 - 0.5$ per $lto.
ICX - bright BTC future ahead :) Such amazing project shouldn't be where it is. And it is here because of lack of marketing, lack of VC (they are probably never gonna come). Still, they are always building, ecosystem constantly grows (craftnetwork, optimusdefi, balanceddao, ommfinance, gbet, wonderland bridge happened).... In my opinion this the bottom against BTC pair. Long no matter what.
LINA - showing some promise v2LONG Accumulation always over. Look at my other analysis. W pattern. 50% - 150% gains in play very soon. Fundamentaly solid project.
Red support, Green Goals, Orange resistance
Orange line touched. now some retraction, then I predict first green line will be touched soon.
MTV MULTIVACThis one is difficult to chart. Because there could be something fundamentally wrong with the project. Lets say team isn't exactly responsive. As you can see from chart this coin was also hyped in previous bull run (at the same time $VRA was). Now value is depleted. We probably did see double bottom, price movement has been really tight and slow. So I suspect this coin will pump in the near future. well, unless #kucoin delists it :) Goals are marked with green, support with red color. 100% price growth is very possible. Rsi oversold.
But beware, this coin could also drop 90% in the future
Trias gaining traction on social mediaSince there hasn't been any pump larger than 100% since last bull run I suspect there is gonna be just that in near future. Trias has been hyped during last bull run, but people forgot about it. abysmal volume during past weeks, low market cap 1.7m (circ supply)/10m (full supply).
Resistance is at 1.20$, coin could go to at least 1.7 and maybe to 2.4$ per trias token.
If there are indeed some additional exchange listings planned in near future maybe even more. We shall see.
Volume is 500% bigger than previous days (only 25% gain since yesterday)
good luck trading.
TRIAS short term setupFirst of all, this is best viewed at the 5 min timeframe, and this chart is based of off levels and not the time frame.
There is not much to say about this chart, ive made this under multiple timeframes and used different patterns, all of it shows this, so i believe this has a good chance of playing out.
this also lines up with what im seeing for bitcoin, which i will provide the idea under the related idea on here.
i made this chart a while ago and it started to play out so i decided i would share it so i can see how it plays out looking back on it, i bought a while ago when a saw a short term bottom so i am going to sell on red and buy on red.
TRIAS elliot wave macro viewthis is not a price prediction, my macro targets are $81 - $111, which are conservative observations, nearly programmed into the next run,
anyways, this is a possible count we could see, it would give us the info that the maximum bottom would be 0.8 but even that would be unlikely, maybe $1.
it also tells us that we would see a abc correction to the upside afterward, the abc would be the lower end of the FIB extension so close to $81 if that takes up the whole run,
we could see a 5 wave down then another abc up but i do not want to get into that because it is to speculatory
TRIAS POTENTIAL REVERSALi have not posted in a while, just got back into the city from vacation,
ive been folowing and trading the wave for the last week,
i think we could see a reversal here or maybe the abc downward and then a 5 wave up,
I will update as things change, i do not want to speculate or spam too much
TRIAS NEEDS TO BREAK OUT elliott wave these are the two possible short term scenarios we have for TRIAS,
1. We have completed the correction, the bottom is in and it is time for a reversal, these would mean we break out of the channel and start a 5 wave impulse up, the first levels at around $4.
2. If we do not breakout from this channel right now and start to see more downside, then we MUST put in a 5 wave impulse to the downside, I would suspect we see a reversal right after that. (first wave up to 3.8)
PLEASE NOTE : trias follows bitcoin heavily and depending on what happens with btc.d (view linked idea), we may have fake outs but the overall idea would be the same
to simplify what this idea means, we either break out heavy to the upside now or we must put in another 5 wave impulse to the downside before a reversal
TRIAS bull run target. Elliott wave this is what we can realistically expect from the next bull run, either $50 target or $111 target.
i could continue charting out trias into the next run but at that point it would be pure speculation,
but I do suspect these targets (50/111) to hit in 2023 then hitting 1-10k (at that point it depends on adoption and such) around 2025.
there are two other probable scenarios, one being this whole structure is a 12345 and we will have one high leg up and then a abc down. the other scenario is if this is a 12345 and the current structure is a 1 2 and we still need a 3 , corrective 4 and then a final 5. I got those scenarios from another creator, cryptojules, i like his work however i found those 2 scenarios too speculative, I believe those are likely options but I would rather post the safe option and not mislead people, but I will add that we could go much higher than I have shown.
TRIAS short to mid term price prediction for Julythis is what im seeing right now for TRIAS,
I have extended the walls of the trading channel because of the bitcoin pump, the target has NOT changed, however it may be delayed by a few days or weeks.
The paths provided are basically to show that no matter what low time frame pump and dumps we see,
the overall target is still 0.7 - 0.8, this is needed because TRIAS has not had a final wave down and I go into more reasoning on my BTC dominance explanation (linked).
Although unlikely at this point, we may see a pump up but I would advise not to trade into it, most likely it would be yet another bull trap.
Drop a comment and I will be happy to chat or have any friendly back and forth on other opinions.
Take care
EDIT : Target date for green box is sometime in July, most likely mid to late July, however this is mainly based off of prices and not time, basically meaning the drop could be delayed but would still happen.
TRIAS macro price predictionlately ive posted quite a few short term bearish charts but I wanted to show that no matter where you buy here, we are looking at serious gains. the prices ive put in the charts are not exactly what I think we will be at but for it very well could be, depending on the recognition that TRIAS gets,
this will be easy for TRIAS to do though, there are many alts that pump really hard but the technology is not there and they just die because there is no use case,
TRIAS is different because the team does not advertise hard, they are working until the project is finished so that when the do advertise, we will pump hard, and continue to, without dying or dropping hard.
For info, if TRIAS:
(prices at btc ath in november. for the next bull run we would be passed this so these numbers are lower than they would be)
is a top 100 coin - 580 per coin
is a top 50 coin - 1915 per coin
is a top 25 coin - 4288 per coin
is a top 10 coin - 16786 per coin
is a top 5 coin - 35265 per coin (in november SOL was top 5, TRIAS is a better coin and easily will surpass SOL)
note that these are low estimates, in the next run we will go up higher so all these numbers will be higher, TRIAS is EASILY a top 5 coin, it just needs time, to put this into perspective, WHEN TRIAS becomes a top 10 coin, you will only need 60 coins to be a MILLIONAIRE.
it is one thing to buy now just to sell for a measly 10x or 100x, the real winners will be the ones who hold their coins for a 10000x , which is inevitable.
PLEASE, take everything that I say here will a grain of salt, yes this might be SLIGHT hopium, but it is part of the fun to post charts like these, when you really love a coin and value it more than just a way to make a quick 10x, you see the possibilities that others will laugh at.
take care
TRIAS price prediction 0.7-0.8 june 22nd to mid julyright now trias is making a series of lower highs and lower lows, this makes the general bias a downtrend,
you may ask for how long and how I came to the figures 0.7-0.8.
First, 0.7-0.8 came for simple TA and a combination of what is going on with bitcoin, this is a range we must hit or get close to in order to solidify a bottom.
IMPORTANT:
Secondly, right now bitcoin is looking to set in it's bottom. once bitcoin finds a bottom people will start to buy in and btc.d will rise (more money goes into BTC compared to alts), during this time alts will begin to truly crash as money comes out of them, this could be a few weeks or months depending on the coin, alts will find their bottoms after bitcoin and then once their bottoms are in and dust starts to settle, btc.d will begin to lower again but this time and uptrend.
For these reasons I believe TRIAS will start to drop hard even after bitcoin finds a bottom, which looks likely within the month or start of July. I also believe TRIAS will bottom 0.8 or just below, I believe this will happen mid-late July, reasons provided above regarding btc.d.
Thank you for taking the time to read, leave any comments and I will be happy to respond and even have friendly discussion.
EDIT: SEE LINKED RELATED POST WHICH EXPLAINS BITCOIN DOMINANCE SPECIFICALLY, THAT WILL HELP UNDERSTAND WHY TRIAS WILL BOTTOM AFTER AND HARDER THAN BITCOIN