GBPAUD expecting GBP to start weakening
OANDA:GBPAUD price in channel, its make bullish push in last periods, in week before we are have BOE and some events in last day two like GBP CPI, from events looks like GBP is gather bearish power and technicals on lower TFs are strong bearish.
We are have and TRIPLE TOP apttern, on top of channel.
Here for next periods expecting bearish changes.
SUP zone: 2.06200
RES zone: 2.01500, 2.00600
Tripletop
XAU/USD – Triple Top Formation & Bearish Breakdown Potential📌 Overview of the Chart
This chart presents the XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. USD) price action on a 15-minute timeframe, highlighting a classic Triple Top pattern. The Triple Top is a well-known bearish reversal pattern that forms after an extended uptrend. It signals that buyers have attempted to push the price higher multiple times but failed, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
This pattern is crucial for traders as it often precedes a trend reversal. The breakdown below the neckline (support level) confirms that selling pressure is taking over, leading to a potential decline.
📊 Identifying the Triple Top Formation
A Triple Top pattern consists of three peaks (Top 1, Top 2, and Top 3) at nearly the same resistance level. Here’s a detailed breakdown of its formation:
🔹 Step 1: Price Uptrend Leading to Resistance
Before the pattern develops, the price follows a strong uptrend with buyers dominating.
The price reaches a key resistance level and faces rejection (Top 1), signaling initial weakness.
🔹 Step 2: Repeated Attempts to Break Resistance
After pulling back slightly, buyers make another attempt to break through resistance (Top 2), but fail again.
This signals that sellers are actively defending this price zone.
🔹 Step 3: Final Rejection & Breakdown Setup
The third attempt (Top 3) fails to break resistance once more.
This repeated rejection confirms a Triple Top formation.
The price then moves toward the neckline (support level), which is a critical area for the bearish breakdown.
📉 Trading Setup & Execution Strategy
✅ Entry Point – When to Open a Short Position?
A short position is confirmed when the price breaks below the neckline with a strong bearish candlestick.
A breakdown with high volume strengthens the bearish confirmation.
Conservative traders may wait for a retest of the broken neckline before entering.
❌ Stop Loss Placement – Managing Risk
The stop loss should be placed above the highest peak ($3,039.076), ensuring protection against false breakouts.
If the price moves above this level, the Triple Top pattern fails, and the bearish setup is invalidated.
🎯 Profit Targets – Where to Exit?
After the breakdown, price action usually follows a measured move based on the height of the pattern. The following target levels are identified:
1️⃣ First Target: $3,000.962 → A key support level where price may pause.
2️⃣ Second Target: $2,991.766 → A deeper support area that aligns with the price projection from the pattern.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The trade setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, making it an attractive opportunity for short sellers.
📈 Confirmation Signals to Strengthen the Setup
To increase the probability of a successful trade, look for additional confirmations:
🔸 Volume Analysis:
A spike in selling volume at the neckline breakdown suggests strong bearish conviction.
Low volume breakdowns may indicate a false move, requiring extra caution.
🔸 Retest of the Neckline:
Sometimes, after breaking below the neckline, the price retests the level before continuing downward.
This provides a secondary entry opportunity for traders who missed the initial breakdown.
🔸 RSI & Momentum Indicators:
If RSI (Relative Strength Index) shows bearish divergence, it adds confidence to the downside move.
Momentum indicators like MACD crossing bearish further confirm selling pressure.
📍 Key Considerations & Risk Management
🔹 False Breakout Risk: If price bounces back above the neckline after the breakdown, it could be a false move. Waiting for confirmation reduces this risk.
🔹 Macro Fundamentals: Gold prices are sensitive to economic news, interest rates, and geopolitical events. Unexpected fundamental shifts can impact the pattern’s reliability.
🔹 Trailing Stop Strategy: To protect profits, traders can use a trailing stop-loss, adjusting as the price moves toward targets.
🔍 Summary & Trading Plan
📊 Pattern: Triple Top (Bearish Reversal)
📉 Bias: Bearish (Short Setup)
🛠️ Entry: Sell below neckline confirmation
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: $3,000.96
Target 2: $2,991.76
🚨 Stop Loss: Above $3,039
💡 Final Thoughts
The Triple Top pattern on XAU/USD suggests a high-probability bearish setup. A confirmed neckline breakdown signals selling pressure, with price targets well-aligned with historical support zones. Patience and confirmation are key—watch for a clean breakdown or a potential retest before entering.
Would you like any modifications or additional insights? 🚀
Intel - This Stock Is A Goldmine!Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) perfectly respects all structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of years Intel clearly established a significant downtrend, dropping about -70% after we saw the previous all time high. This bearish pressure is now ending though and if Intel manages to create a bullish reversal break and retest, a new uptrend is starting to form.
Levels to watch: $25
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
A Triple Top Pattern: Signals and StrategiesA Triple Top Pattern: Signals and Strategies
Traders are always on the lookout for reliable analysis tools that can help them make informed trading decisions. One such tool is the triple top trading pattern. It is a bearish reversal formation that can help traders identify potential trend reversals and take advantage of market opportunities.
In this FXOpen article, we will explore what the triple top pattern is, what it indicates, and how to identify it on price charts. Keep reading to find examples that will help you understand how to use it in a trading strategy.
What Is a Triple Top Pattern?
A triple top is a technical analysis pattern that signals a potential reversal in a trend. Is the triple top bullish or bearish? It’s a bearish formation. The pattern occurs when the price of an asset hits the same resistance level three times, failing to break above it on each occasion. This indicates that buyers are losing strength and sellers are starting to dominate the market. It is often seen after a sustained uptrend.
Identifying a triple top involves spotting three distinct peaks at roughly the same price level, separated by two troughs. The peaks are formed when the price hits resistance but fails to push through, while the troughs occur when the price retraces after each failed attempt.
To confirm a valid triple top, the peaks should be close in height, and the troughs should create a roughly horizontal neckline. The pattern is confirmed when the price breaks below the neckline, signalling that sellers have overtaken buyers.
Triple Top Chart Pattern Trading Strategy
Once traders have identified the triple top formation, they can use various trading strategies to take advantage of it. However, there are common rules that are used as the basis:
- Entry: Traders enter a short position when the price breaks below the neckline, which is the level that connects the two troughs that separate the peaks. This level is a critical support level, and when it is broken, it confirms the triple top candlestick pattern and indicates that the trend is reversing.
- Stop Loss: To manage risk, traders place a stop-loss order above the neckline. If the price starts to rise again, the stop-loss order will limit potential losses. The theory states that traders can place a stop-loss on the neckline. However, the price often retests the support level after a breakout, so the risk of an early exit rises.
- Take Profit: There are several ways of determining a profit target. The most common technique is to measure the distance between the tops and bottoms and subtract it from the triple top breakout point.
Another strategy is to identify the target based on the closest support levels. However, this may limit potential returns if the support is too close to the entry point. Therefore, traders sometimes use trailing stops to lock in potential profits as the price continues to fall.
Trading Example
In the chart above, the price formed the triple top. We could have entered a short position once the price broke below the neckline and closed it either at the point equal to the distance between the peaks and the neckline or at the closest support level, as the levels are almost equal. However, selling volumes were low (1) at the breakout level, so we could have expected an upcoming bullish reversal. Therefore, we wouldn’t have kept the position beyond the initial take-profit target.
How Traders Confirm the Triple Top
To confirm the triple top pattern and ensure its validity, traders use a combination of technical tools and indicators. These help confirm that the trend is indeed reversing and not just experiencing a temporary pullback. Here are the key methods traders use:
- Neckline Break. The most important confirmation comes when the price breaks below the neckline, which is the horizontal level connecting the lows between the peaks. A clean break suggests a stronger reversal.
- Volume Analysis. Volume plays a crucial role in confirming the triple top. Traders look for a surge in selling volume when the price breaks the neckline. If the volume is low during the breakout, the pattern may not be reliable, and a bullish reversal could follow.
- Momentum Indicators. Traders often use momentum indicators like the Stochastic Oscillator or Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). When these indicators show bearish divergence, it signals a potential downward reversal. A negative crossover in the MACD or Stochastic adds further confirmation.
- Retest of Neckline. Sometimes, after breaking the neckline, the price may retrace and retest this level as resistance. A failed retest, where the price does not move back above the neckline, confirms that sellers are in control.
Triple Top vs Triple Bottom
It is important to distinguish between the triple top and the triple bottom chart patterns, as the former is the bearish setup, while the latter is a bullish reversal formation. The triple bottom setup forms when the price hits a particular support level three times and fails to break through it. It suggests that the sellers have lost their strength, and the buyers are starting to take control. The bottoms are separated by two peaks, which occur when the price retraces some of its gains from the support level.
Traders use the same principles to trade the triple bottom as they would the triple top but vice versa. They enter a long position when the price breaks above the neckline and set a stop-loss order below it. The take-profit target might equal the distance between bottoms and peaks or be set at the closest resistance level.
Triple Top Challenges
While the triple top pattern is a valuable tool for spotting reversals, it has its limitations. Traders should be aware of the following challenges:
- False Breakouts. The price may break below the neckline only to quickly reverse back, leading to a false signal. This can cause traders to enter losing positions if they act too quickly without further confirmation.
- Extended Sideways Movement. Sometimes, the price can stay near the neckline after a breakout, leading to indecision and uncertain market behaviour. This sideways movement can make it difficult to determine if the trend has truly reversed.
- Retests Leading to Reversals. After the initial breakout, the price may retest the neckline and move back above it, invalidating the triple top pattern. Traders need to be cautious and set appropriate stop-loss orders to help potentially mitigate risk.
Final Thoughts
The triple top pattern offers traders a powerful tool for identifying potential market reversals. However, it’s crucial to confirm the pattern and integrate it with other forms of analysis to avoid false signals. Ready to put these insights into action? Open an FXOpen account today, and trade with a broker offering tight spreads, low commissions, and advanced trading platforms.
FAQ
What Does a Triple Top Mean in Trading?
The triple top pattern meaning refers to a bearish reversal formation indicating a potential end to an uptrend. It forms when the price reaches the same resistance level three times without breaking through, suggesting weakening buying momentum and increasing selling pressure. This pattern signals that the asset's price may soon decline.
How Do You Confirm the Triple Top Pattern?
To confirm a triple top pattern, traders watch for a decisive break below the neckline, which connects the lows between the peaks. Increased trading volume during the breakout strengthens the confirmation, indicating strong seller interest. Technical indicators like the Stochastic Oscillator showing bearish divergence can provide additional validation.
Is a Triple Top Bullish?
No, a triple top is not bullish; it is a bearish reversal pattern. It signifies that the asset's price has repeatedly failed to surpass a resistance level, indicating diminishing upward momentum. Traders see this as a cue to consider short positions or to exit existing long positions.
Is a Triple Top Stronger Than a Double Top?
A triple top is generally considered stronger than a double top pattern because the price has failed to break resistance three times instead of two. This extra failed attempt reinforces the strength of the resistance level and increases the likelihood of a significant reversal. However, both patterns are important and should be analysed with other market factors.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
SPY Double Top Triple Top?Possible Double or Triple Top on AMEX:SPY ?
The SPY has been hitting the same resistance level of 600.80 for the past two days. First, on November 24, 2024, and again on November 25, 2024, before pulling back.
This repeated testing of the same level raises the question: are we forming a double or triple top? Will the SPY fail to break through this level, or will it finally push past it?
Only time will tell, but we should be aware of this potential technical pattern.
Double Top
Two consecutive peaks: Two highs occur near the same price level, with a moderate decline between them.
Valley in between: A noticeable low forms between the two peaks, which serves as a support level.
Neckline: A line connecting the valley lows forms the neckline.
Breakdown: The price breaks below the neckline, confirming the Double Top pattern.
Volume: Decreasing volume on the second peak and increasing volume on the breakdown.
Triple Bottom Pattern Tutorial: 5/8 Bullish Chart PatternsTriple Bottom Pattern Tutorial: 5/8 Bullish Chart Patterns
A bullish triple bottom is a reversal chart pattern that signals the potential end of a downtrend and the start of an upward trend. Here's a breakdown:
Three Lows: The pattern is characterized by three distinct lows that are roughly equal in price. These lows form after a significant downtrend, indicating strong support at that level.
Rallies Between Lows: Each low is separated by two intermediate rallies that create peaks. These peaks form the resistance level known as the neckline.
Neckline: The horizontal line connecting the highs of the intermediate rallies is called the neckline. This is a crucial resistance level that the price must break through to confirm the pattern.
Breakout: A breakout above the neckline, typically accompanied by increased trading volume, confirms the triple bottom pattern. This breakout signifies a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish.
Price Target: The expected price target is often calculated by measuring the distance from the pattern's lowest low to the neckline and projecting that distance upwards from the breakout point.
Traders view the triple bottom as a strong indication that the selling pressure has been exhausted and that buyers are starting to gain control, suggesting a potential upward price movement.
It was a double-top system forcing price down. Bitcoin powers on
It looked a bit gloomy yesterday Tuesday for Bitcoin, but really all that occurred was Bitcoin wound up in a couple of double tops, if you call that price weakness, I don't think so they happen so frequently and there are traders who only trade double-tops, double-bottoms - the tradable patterns they form are called M-Tops and W-Bottoms.
BTCUSD is cruising as not a lot buying but it looks like buyers would move in once it crosses past the Top3 on the 15m.
Here are some pictures:
30m chart below & VWAP bands.
Alikze »» FTM | Triple Top - 4H🔍 Technical analysis: Triple Top - 4H
- In the analysis presented in the weekly time frame , after the formation of a reversal top pattern, the first target and the 1.272 Fibo area were touched. After that, it faced a selling pressure in the Fibo area of 1.272.
- Further on in the daily analysis , it was pointed out that due to the selling pressure in the middle of the ascending channel, it can face the demand again with the pullback to the broken structure and the Buyer Zone, otherwise, with the continuation of the selling pressure, it can reach the bottom of the ascending channel. also touch
- But in the 4-hour time frame, due to a triple top pattern in the Fibo range of 1.272, it faced selling pressure and has led to the continuation of the correction to the bottom of the ascending channel in the 4-hour time frame.
- According to the behavior and structure, it can make a modification to the Order Block area with pullback to the red box area.
💎 In addition, in case of selling pressure, correction can continue up to the 0.3906 area, and in case of demand, it can increase to the 0.62 area.
💎 In addition, if it can break the red box area, it can retest the middle range of the channel and Fibo 1.272.
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BINANCE:FTMUSDT
EURJPY for this week bearish expectations
EURJPY pattern based analysis. We can see TRIPLE TOP chart pattern. We are have strong bullish push on trend line-supp zone, which is start on 2.10. Price looks like is saturated, chart pattern having strong, good strucure, what now expecting is trend revers here.
SUPP zone (SL): 163.630
RESS zone: 161.500, 161.000, 160.500
Title: Exiting AAPL: Liquidating My Entire Position After DoubleComment: After identifying a clear double, and potentially triple, top pattern on AAPL, I made the decision to liquidate my entire position. Having bought in at $166-169 before the breakout, the subsequent +28% move was a great run, but the technical resistance at these levels signaled it was time to lock in profits and shift focus elsewhere.
Better to exit strong than risk a reversal!
Will META's bullish case continue with these headwinds?
NASDAQ:META
Meta's Resilience: A Bullish Case Amidst Market Turmoil
While many tech giants face headwinds, Meta has been a standout performer. Despite the looming threat of a recession, I remain optimistic about the company's long-term prospects.
Meta's AI-driven ad platform has proven to be remarkably sticky, even in challenging economic conditions. As businesses of all sizes continue to rely on targeted advertising, Meta's revenue stream is well-positioned for continued growth.
Technically, Meta's chart is starting to exhibit signs of a potential pullback. A rising wedge formation suggests that a short-term correction may be on the horizon. However, I believe that strong support levels at $443, $412, and $384 should provide ample opportunity for investors to accumulate shares at attractive prices.
If the market takes a significant downturn, I'm confident that Meta's underlying fundamentals will support a recovery. In such a scenario, I would view a dip below $275 as a compelling buying opportunity.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Gold Analysis==>>Triple Top PatternGold could NOT make a new All-Time High (ATH) on the third attempt and started to fall again, forming a triple-top pattern .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD-) between Three Tops .
I expect Gold to break down to at least the Support line .
Note: My previous post about gold is still valid, and my stop loss (SL) was $2,530😎.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
My Next Scenario for GoldHi guys,
Based on the chart I see that a triple top has been shaped and broken in 1H timeframe , and I consider the current up movement as a correction.
So Based on this scenario I put my entry point for this movement.
If you found my idea useful for yourself, please like and subscribe.
Good luck!