Potential double or triple zigzag
BTC got rejected at 4H Ichimoku cloud, and the bearish dragon pattern is still valid. With its cleanest theoretical target being a .786 retracement of XC, the prescribed bearish movement is likely if the price fails to mark a new high.
Considering parallel channels serving as S & R for months, a WXY formation (double zigzag) would be a candidate movement.
Even a WXYXZ move (triple zigzag) could be possible if an H&S pattern forms.
Triplezigzag
Two Bearish Scenarios
This is supplementary to my previous idea.
If you don't like Gann Square and Arcs, ignore them, or skip this article.
But how about the case where this upside was merely a fake out of the pennant?
In the previous idea, I introduced a bearish scenario with an Elliott-wise impulsive movement.
Considering the arc S&R, or the overall diagonal movement, it could also develop in a triple zigzag way (WXYXZ).
I didn't examine a diagonal triangle scenario because it doesn't well fit the art S & R, but it could also be possible.
On the other side, wave E of the triangle wave can extend to mark a new high. A robust bullish movement from here may invalidate all my bearish scenarios.
Still, theoretically, these scenarios aren't invalidated until the previous high (22850) is broken (though I would close my short position if it went far beyond 21200).
Regarding the support, whether approx. 19750 and 19150 lines hold or not would be the judgment (19750 once having been attacked).
BTC: Potential Short Trading Opportunity at 20800 (-21200)
Just an idea.
Nothing major has changed from my previous ideas (a slight correction was made on the wave count).
If this scenario plays out, we could short at around 20800 (-21200).
Note: In this hypothesis, we are in the first corrective wave 2 (ABC) of a final, impulsive wave C (12345) of a zigzag (ABC) being the last componenet zigzag Z (ABC) of the whole downtrend, i.e., the triple zigzag (WXYXZ).
What could invalidate Falling Wedge reversal setup
This is an update on my previous ideas (see links below.)
As I explained in the related article , this downtrend may be forming a Triple Zigzag, having 3 zigzag waves joined by two corrective waves, each comprising 3 minor-sub waves (3-3-3-3-3, denoted as W-X-Y-X-Z).
So far, it seems nothing violates Elliott Wave Theory's definition of Triple Zigzag.
Let's check the latter half of the Triple Zigzag wave, Y-X-Z.
Wave X is itself often a complex correction, but we can see it has three component waves, a-b-c, broken down into a zigzag, a zigzag, and a diagonal triangle.
Wave b was, as we remember, a reversal beginning from the recent, right-inclined Inverse Head and Shoulders. The rebound looked as if it were an impulse.
If it were an impulse (with 5 wave components), it would invalidate the Triple Zigzag hypothesis.
However, it included a sudden spike, and its accompanied correction. The correction, a long red candle, should count as the 4th wave if the whole rising wave is an impulse. But it appeared in a very short time, which seems to be extremely irregular.
Rather, I suppose we should count this wave as a Double Zigzag comprising three waves, as in the image attached below.
If this count validates, the weird pseudo-impulse counts as the second wave or wave b, in the third wave, "Z" of the Triple Zigzag (W-X-Y-X-Z).
If so, we are in the FINAL swing of this downtrend, wave c of wave Z, which could be aiming for12500 or lower, according to my prediction.
Bull's hope would be a reversal from here, with this plunge being a falling wedge breakout reversal setup, which competes with my theory/hypothesis above.
TOPGLOV most likely last leg down to around 3.40.. 30/8/21Congratulation for those still holding TOPGLOV stock!!... TOPGLOV as 1 of the 30 "Blue Chips" stocks comprising KLCI index which has turned into Bullish Sentiment. What could be the next move of TOPGLOV , HARTA AND KOSSAN ?...All 3's which making the "major contribution" to KLCI index.. Checking from TOPGOV's intraday price structure.. TOPGLOV most likely on its final leg down to complete its triple zig zag ( WXYXZ) (red circled) AND Wedge pattern where Bullish sentiment will be "on" at around RM3.400 at 1) Major Weekly Demand Zone 2)Weekly 233 EMA lines..
KOSSAN maybe last leg up to≈ 3.800 before ≈2.70. 1/8/21KOSSAN possible forming a trip zig zag wave pattern as TOPGLOV chart. Where price currently both rebouncing for wave B (Cyan/Light Blue) of the wave Z (Red Circled) which is the last leg of of the triple zig zag (RED Circled wxyxz) pattern. The Next resistance for KOSSAN could be around RM3.80 which are 1) The down trend line of wedge pattern 2) Previous support becoming resistance zone
INARI seem ranging above 2.800. 1/August/21INARI stock price seem consolidating above RM2.800 in wave iv ( Green Circled) as a triple zig zag wave pattern. where price finally could reach at around RM2.800 1) The Next Major Demand Zone 2) Lower Trend Line Support of triple zig zag channel .. As previous closed price was RM3.330 there would be about 15.92% drop toward RM2.800
AIRASIA possible forming triple zigzag in wave 4 (yellow)7/7/21Trading is an "on going" "Journey" of "Rediscovery" NOT a "Destination" of "Reinvention".. AirAsia possible forming a triple zigzag in wave 4 (yellow) where price could reach at around 1.400 1)weekly 200 EMA 2)Upper Parallel Channel Line of Triple ZigZag 3)Supply Zone before resuming its down trend..
Mature rising correctionIn a long choppy correction has been underway from the coronavirus bottom. Look at how slowly, how weak the upside pressure. There is countless overlapping tops and bottoms. This is the way how looks a corrective rising. The fear of missing out heats the rise.
The possibility of breaking upward from this rising channel is minimal in my opinion. So the English stock market is very near the resistance zone represented by the upper line of the channel and the .618 Fibonacci level.
I am waiting for a bearish reversal movement than after falling out of the channel and it could go to a new low. We will see, but it seems everything will be decided around the channel lines.
ORBEX: EURUSD and AUDUSD Reach Critical Intersection!The Coronavirus keeps spreading, weakening Aussie despite the upbeat jobs numbers as markets take a less risky approach to the heightening threat.
Technicals indicate that Aussie and Euro move hand to hand, with the former falling following a ‘holding’ ECB! Now both are corrective and at a trendline low!
Pound, on the other hand, does relatively well as rate cut expectations diminish! Will it continue long? Well, PMIs could tell...
Trade safe
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
suckers rally part 2A few days ago I published this idea which is playing out nicely (for the bears, not the bulls)
I think the formation is actually a triple zig-zag, not a double. But either way, the end result is the same. Here's a comparison to what happened in the last bull run in Dec 2017. This bull run, like the last, has been a suckers rally, and we all know what happened afterwards in 2018. Be prepared.
Gold looks to be moving in Triple Zig Zag (Elliott Wave)It looks like the corrective move is still continuing as a Triple Zig Zag corrective structure to the upside with the current Price Action in the second W.x which is either still continuing as a Triangle or already complete.Strategy : In either case (Continuation or already complete W.x) we look to initiate longs with SL below W.x low and targets above 1243.