The opportunity for Bitcoin to grow to 100KToday we are at another important point in choosing the further direction of the market, I want to consider the picture that has been created. First of all, I want to note the opening levels of the quarter as a key trigger of the market at the end of the year. According to the cue, the quarterly candle opened above 62.5k, which is a signal to hold the trend above 60k and gives an opportunity to try to continue the trend. When the level of 64k is overcome, the road will open for a sharp increase to 75. On a larger scale, at the moment there is a question of further movement from the key level of 60k to 90-100 by spring, or a rollback over the five-year plan up to 45-50 k. At the moment, given the weakness of the dollar, growth prevails with a probability of up to 70% in my opinion. A good opening of the quarter provides additional support for purchases.
According to the ether, the opening of the quarter is also in a good zone, above 2500, which ensures the maintenance of purchases in the long term and so far supports the probability of a trend of 5000. On a smaller scale, an opening above 2600 gives a signal for new attempts to exit above 2750, where the road will open immediately to 3500.
In the absence of negative factors in the form of powerful statistics on the United States and the departure of the euro below 1.09, it is quite likely that the cue ball trend will resume with an output above 75k this month. In this case, even with an increase in the dominance of the cue ball, the ether will be able to overshoot the last weekly candle, forming an inverted head and shoulders on the weekly chart and a high probability of going to 3500.
In case of pressure on the crypt from the foreign exchange market and the departure of the euro below 1.09 and even more so 1.075, the pressure of the bears will significantly increase. To push the cue ball to 75k+, the viola market can be squeezed with an increase in the dominance of the cue ball up to 75%+. In this scenario, from the middle of this week, a reversal of the weekly candle into a bearish one and sales on the air up to the 2250-2100 test is likely. The opening levels of the half-year and quarter will smooth out sales and insure against a sharp collapse, but it will become extremely difficult for coins to break through to growth in such a scenario.
The current weekly candle is highly likely to help consolidate the trend, and against the background of an attempt to surpass the last weekly one on the air by the middle of the week, such an attempt can be expected for individual coins.
Given the complexity of the market situation and delisting on the binance every month instead of one per quarter, as previously, I closed positions on weak coins with the monitoring tag ooki oax and pros, increasing positions on vib gft ast troy. According to these coins, there are still the largest growth targets among all binance coins, but I will take them into work after the announcement of delisting, if they remain in trade.
To date, OG has worked perfectly, which I recommended as a very liquid tool for saving money in the medium term. Given the current market picture, everywhere above 3.5-4.0$ OG is quite overbought and the probability of a deep pullback prevails. The goals for growth to $ 9-11 remain open, but I think they will not be fulfilled this year.
To date, gft and vib have remained a good alternative to OG to save funds in the medium term. As I wrote earlier, gft has a lot of liquidity, similar to OG, which makes it possible to trade even with a monitoring tag. For vib, liquidity is much lower, but signals for growth to 0.15-25 are left on the chart. It also remains, along with troy, the most oversold outside the monitoring tag among all coins on the binance. Just as interesting are the extremely oversold ast and troy, which are more suitable for scalping, because The ast is under pressure from incomplete emission and after an impulse of 50-70% it can roll back, while troy shows sluggish dynamics and inspires less confidence. However, I left signals for growth to 0.035-40 on a weekly basis.
Of the fantokens, only OG was considered for work because it has sufficient liquidity. For the rest of the group's tokens, the probability of additional drawdown prevails in the current market. Given the incomplete issue, many tokens can give a break.
