$YELL enlarging demand*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
My team has been following truck transportation company $YELL for the past few months. $YELL expertise's in LTL shipments and flexible supply chain solutions in the United States. My team is in agreement that $YELL is a steal due to demand for LTL transportation.
My team entered $YELL this afternoon at $10.50 per share and have set our first take profit at $14.
ENTRY: $10.50
FIRST TAKE PROFIT: $14
2ND TAKE PROFIT: $16.50
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
Trucking
$WKHS november update*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
Workhorse Group $WKHS is a soon to be tech giant that manufactures and sells high performance trucks. Earlier this year my team road the $WKHS wave from the low 20's to the high 40's. This was back when everyone thought they were a sure pick for a USPS deal that ultimately fell through.
recap: My team entered $WKHS on 11/3/21 at $7.20 per share capturing a nice -7% dip. $WKHS is currently trading at $6.55 per share.
My team has now added a stop-loss at $5.95. We still believe in the long-term success of $WKHS, but if price swings below our stop-loss then my team expect $WKHS to consolidate at lower levels short-term.
$WKHS is expected to announce their third quarter earnings on 11/11/21 but this date is subject to change.
ENTRY: $7.20
TAKE PROFIT 1: $9.50
TAKE PROFIT 2: $16
STOP LOSS: $5.95
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
$WKHS the holy grail*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
Workhorse Group $WKHS is a soon to be tech giant that manufactures and sells high performance trucks. Earlier this year my team road the $WKHS wave from the low 20's to the high 40's. This was back when everyone thought they were a sure pick for a USPS deal that ultimately fell through.
After downtrading from its all-time high of $42.96 $WKHS now sits at just $7.22 per share. Shares are incredibly cheap at this level. If $WKHS was being considered a contender for that USPS deal then its makes sense to think that they can turn things around if the right news gets out there.
My team entered $WKHS today at $7.20 per share capturing a nice -7% dip. This is a long-term hold, our team really loves $WKHS
$WKHS is expected to announce their third quarter earnings on 11/11/21 but this date is subject to change.
ENTRY: $7.20
TAKE PROFIT 1: $9.50
TAKE PROFIT 2: $16
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
$KNX: Another leg higher for this trucker post infrastructure?KNX is setting up here with a really nice long term base, cracked the 50 level last week. Was that the level it needed to make another move higher? Time will tell. Following IYT as well and the possibility of it bottoming, if it does, we should see significantly higher prices here
if you miss out on this you'll want to $YELL *This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
My team has been following truck transportation company $YELL for the past couple months. After correcting from its 52-week high of $10.20 $YELL now rests at $6.55.
$YELL expertise's in LTL shipments and flexible supply chain solutions in the United States. At currents levels $YELL is extremely undervalued. My team is in agreement that $YELL is a steal due to demand for LTL transportation.
My team entered $YELL this morning at $6.33 per share and have set our first take profit at $9.50.
ENTRY: $6.33
FIRST TAKE PROFIT: $9.50
2ND TAKE PROFIT: 14.50
STOP LOSS: $5.90
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
Home Depot should be in your WatchListThere is a macro narrative underway that is wildly bullish for Home Depot.
The fuse being lit here under a MASSIVE bull run evident within the latest WSJ article. Get ready for a flood of improvements and investments in homes. Keep in mind how cash flush consumers are, and how pent up they have been in their homes. The WSJ certainly made the case when they said:
"The estimate represents a 52% rise in the nation’s home shortage compared with 2018, the first time Freddie Mac quantified the shortfall."
“We should have almost four million more housing units if we had kept up with demand the last few years,” Mr. Khater said. “This is what you get when you underbuild for 10 years.”
Housing my friends is about to get red red hot.
www.wsj.com
Let's also take a peek at flatbed capacity folks. Flatbeds provide capacity for the construction sector and massive commodities within the logistics sector. New truck sales are up ...gulp 424% in march!
www.ttnews.com
Demand is wild, but who are going to drive all of these trucks with a driver shortage underway at exactly the same time?
Load postings (loads shippers need transported) are up +129.9% Y/Y
Truck postings (trucks available to haul loads) -6.9% Y/Y
-Stats provided by DAT
Let's drill in a bit further folks! This upcoming ratio is a bit like saying... the average temperature in North America is 70.7 degrees Fahrenheit, or 21.5 degrees Celsius for our friends across the pond. Not very helpful if you are trying to zero in to the Florida market vs the Alaska market. But regardless this data is stunning as the current load-to-truck ratio for flatbed is over 80 loads per trucks. In some very hot markets it is well over 120 loads per truck. Think about what that means! The average driver has over 80 loads to select from before hauling his freight. This enables him to bid himself much higher. Obviously this cost to manufacturers and distributors or even those providing raw goods in lowlier verticals all can not just shoulder this costs - it must get passed on to consumers. Clearly this will result in further inflation pressure. It is stunning if you think of it that Dr Michael Burry predicted that the inflation pressures would be observed initially within supply chains...and yes he nailed it.
Citation of chart displaying Load-to-truck ratio:
www.facebook.com
There are many ways to monetize the current situation. And I recommend a plethora of strategies to diversify risk. And this includes exposure to transportation equity products, building materials, commodities, construction starts, and yes Home Depot.
The final comment I have - and please keep in mind I do not subscribe to political tribalism, I play it monk like focused on how we can be opportunistic in any environment-if Biden passes the infrastructure package again this would lead to a massive supply crunch in many of the areas outlined above. Especially flatbed capacity. Keep in mind flatbed seasonality typically does not kick up until May-June when housing and construction starts are heating up.
As always dear traders if you found this content helpful please be sure to like, share, and perhaps tell me what I may be missing in my content here.
Final content share that is a MUST READ. Manufacturing PMI is at 64.7% ... So for those unfamiliar with what that means if the PMI index is under 50 we are in a state of contraction, growth mode is evident with numbers above 50. A reading of 64.7% is frankly remarkable.
www.ismworld.org
Pivot Points
Bollingers/EMA/Volume
Can you see the trend friends?
Home Depot is great as well because keep in mind on days equities sold off in the broader market, they continued to march higher as well.
Let the roaring 20's commence! And please be sure to follow me on TradingView as I will let you know any helpful content I can find as we navigate through the rest of this decade.
Good fortunes to you dear traders!
HYLN back to ATH ? HYLN found the bottom around $18 made a push and hit resistance at $24.90. I can see a pull back down to my .618 at $20.72 and a bounce to retest that resistance. Break and hold above 25.30 it will push to 27. 3-5 years we could see this stock go to new highs This company has the ability to revolutionize the trucking industry!!!
NKLA breakout tomorrow?Hello, today I would like to go over NKLA and what I believe in the company.
First NKLA and TESLA can coexist in the same place, neither one or another is better than the other. They just chose to tackle the problem in a different way. NKLA makes the argument that their business model will be more cost affective for consumers than TESLA approach with regulatory problems with electrical cars. When travling you might pay less or more depending on the state lines you are in with eletrical cars not much different with gas right, well it cuts the cost of fossil fuels so its a win, yet NKLA wants to even the playing field cutting the cost across all fuel recharge stations through its hydrofuelcells, also you can get a hybrid of hydrofuelcell or electrical truck if you want. Now NKLA stated that it isn't here to take over TESLA market, it only wants to focus on commercial trucking and will have a consumer heavy duty truck, which is the only competition with TESLA. Commercial trucking makes up alot of pollution in on the roads, so they are trying to solve the commercial problem as of TESLA solves the consumer problem, so win win.
News
NKLA is show casing its consumer truck, which is a mix of the F-150 and cybertruck, yet more modern and update looking compared to the cybertruck. (don't get me wrong TESLA has a solid truck and looks great, but from an ad perspective i go with NKLA in a modern feel to help get people that love trucks into electrical and clean energy vehicals. Plus they might not feel so silly driving a cybertruck as we transition.)
TA
Right now we could suspect a breakout tomorrow, yet the problem with whats happening is the short positions are growing at an alarming rate. Whos shorting this? Well you got insitutions betting on TESLA over NKLA, TESLA investors, and many analysis that just don't understand. Also before it was known as NKLA it was launched at around $9 and has been rising ever since unlike SPCE, yet it never launched as NKLA until a few weeks ago.
-RSI is over sold, yet not overlly oversold
-MACD has turned bullish
-We are holding the 50ema as support
-If you do want to buy and are too scared to go all in or whatever I do give a range of 62.95-65.59. a break above 69.89 could cause a major breakout hitting 73
Final thoughts
This is a very speculative asset and it best to buy in a few shares. I give the price target of eoy at 200 dollars (this guy is crazy), yet hear me out. We are gonna see the consumer truck at the end of this year, bullish, by the end of year in fall I do suspect us to get the numbers of how many orders they have for 2021 production, and last there is small chance that the consumer truck may come out early if they are show casing it now, may be a summer or fall 2021 release. For now I'll go lone and swing trade with other stocks like NCLH and SAVE.
Lower oil prices in mid term will benefit trucking companies.TFI International is North American transportation and logistics leader, partnering with a diverse group of customers in the US, Canada and Mexico. The stock, TFII now trades in New York (as well as Toronto). Fuel is a large component of cost structure. I'm accumulating on down days in the market.
FRED Trucking Tonnage Index (QUANDL:FRED/TRUCKD11)Notice the long periods of high correlation between tonnage trucked and the major indexes (spx500 shown here)
Another set of FRED data that I think many are unaware of, so I thought I would bring it to their attention.
Enjoy and share your thoughts.
Much love and manage your own risk
GL HF
xoxo
snoop
$PCAR ~ It's Time to Short the Trucking IndustryThis entire stock is being propped up, and as tariffs are enacted the sale of heavy trucks will decline as the trucking industry's workload declines. The sale in heavy trucks is cyclical with stocks and these stocks tend to drop the most just as heavy truck sales start to slide. Vice versa, by the time the correction in sales bottoms out stocks have already recovered.
It just so happens a massive 2k slide in sales has just been recorded over the last month and a massive drop is just around the bend. $PCAR's chart overall looks terrible and the macro outlook of things is one massive parabolic advance. It's topping, and it's obvious. Trend rejections are at an all time high and volume is tapering off. I think we will see the biggest correction to date within ~6 months and it's time to load shorts/puts. It's very possible that a 50% or more drop will occur. Take the time to correlate $PCAR's previous corrections to the heavy truck sales chart and you will understand what is to come.
Not to mention, short-term I look for Tesla to make an announcement regarding their autonomous semi's as it's rumored for pre-orders to start soon. This news alone will be a great catalyst to cash out on as major trucking manufactures will see a hit in their stock. The current trucking industry is slow to adapt and other companies beside Tesla are moving in to capitalize as Daimler launches their line of electric semi's. A massive correction is coming and a lot of propped-up companies will die off as the bubble bursts. It's the perfect storm. Don't miss out an easy play!
Knight-Swift $KNX Getting Ahead Of Itself on Freight-Hype. SellKnight-Swift, $KNX, the largest trucking company in the US, rallied yesterday after the earnings release of competitor J. B. Hunt $JBHT. J. B. Hunt's earnings yesterday were mostly inline, but these better-than-feared numbers eased the idea of a major transport downturn. Here's the daily chart for J. B. Hunt $JBHT.
So today, the day after that nice rally, Knight-Swift cuts its outlook pretty drastically. The cut both EPS for Q2 and Q3 down 10% of what was expected. They cite "oversupply of capacity" in the freight market which "resulted in greater than expected downward pressure on revenue per loaded mile", which is a lot of words to say that competition is eating their lunch.
In response, the stock gapped down today, but only closed down 2%. I think it's reasonable to speculate that the buyers, which were bullish on $KNX because of $JBHT's positive earnings, will now have to sell, and send the stock price back to the bottom of the range.
A sensible thesis is that if the stock can crack $34 to the downside, we may see $27-$30 in the next days after.
You can read the full article here: www.behindthebid.com
Knight Transportation Forms Giant Ascending TriangleKnight Transportation has formed a giant Ascending Triangle (purple) pattern.
The catalyst that can drive this stock higher is that an improving U.S. consumer (as evidenced by earnings beats last week from Amazon, Dunkin Donuts, Domino's Pizza, etc) and improving U.S. economy in the 2nd half of 2015 will push up demand for trucking transportation services.
The forward P/E of 18.5 suggests the company is fairly priced in relation to its earnings. Knight Transportation stock trades with a hot PEG ratio of 1.26 which suggests growth can be purchased at a premium right now.
What I REALLY like about this stock though is that the EPS forecast was just raised.
Source: www.guerillastocktrading.com
Celadon Group Continuation Pattern PlayCeladon Group did a Resurrection Cross of the 50 day moving average crossing above the 200 day moving average back in early January 2015.
The stock has since formed a continuation pattern of a serious of higher highs, and higher lows, off the 50 day moving average.
The bet is that this pattern will continue.
The company has had excellent EPS forecast hikes over the last 90 days and revenue has really picked up.
Source: www.guerillastocktrading.com