#TRU/USDT#TRU
The price is moving within a bearish channel pattern on the 12-hour frame, which is a strong retracement pattern and was broken to the upside.
We have a bounce from a major support area in green at 0.0900
We have a tendency to stabilize above the Moving Average 100
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the rise and gives greater momentum, and the price is based on it to rise after it was broken upward.
Entry price is 0.1250
The first target is 0.1800
The second target is 0.2100
The third goal is 0.2472
TRUE
#TRU/USDT#TRU
The price has been moving in a descending triangle since the beginning of 2022
The price has now reached the downtrend and is about to break it.
We got support in the 0.03400 zone.
Price Now 0.0607
First Goal 0.1012
Second Goal 0.1494
Approximately 200% of the price
We have oversold on MACD
Moving Average 100 was broken, which gave a push for the price
TRUE BREAK THE IMPORTANT TREND LEVEL --> UP $0,30 POSSIBILITYThanks for reading this update.
True coin did break an important level, Our data shows that there is high interest for TRUE, which could break in the next time frames up $0,30, this based on the extra study we did on this coin.
We will follow the true trend to see if it's able to break.
Further study shows that this is a building coin.
This is not trading advice and will stay our view and expecting for the coming time.
TRUE NEW INCREASE VOLUMETRUE shows a new increase in volume, which could be confirmed in the coming time frames.
We will follow the coin to see if it's able to confirm.
The reason for the volume is the trend data that this coin shows.
This coin is at basic choice on daily trends.
True can show in the coming time frames interesting targets.
Building coins can take some time before action.
General Market – True Market Leaders?Here are the dates when the next wave of potential True Market Leaders (TMLs) have broken out.
We are seeing mixed action.
🟨 Yellow notes shows the stocks that are still above their pivot point
🟥 Red shows those who have been more volatile and have breached the pivot point
ATR - A theory on ATR Stop Loss and ATR Take ProfitsJus how to trade on ATR. Using ATR on XAUUSD, the ATR i found has alwasy been retested. So I meight be taking a profit and targeting 2 ATR but i found that price after 2 ATR will just touch and not stay there for long time,, and it will return at original point and start making a loss to stop me out of the position at a loss.
So to counter this, I decided to take profits at every 1++ ATR or 2 ATR. Then within 1-2 candles, the price will U-turn and start to target the ATRSL.
If the price moves fisrt to make a profit then quickly take out the position. But if price immediately going agianst you and targeting the ATRSL, it is better to wait out and not use a stop loss as price will retarget the original SL.
True Dollar Index - Adj. for IMF Currency Reserve Weight (2022)As there appears to be much discourse around the status of the dollar as "the world reserve currency", it seems interesting to me that the standard measure of the dollar's strength is not weighted in this way.
Here I am attempting to reconcile the standard dollar index (DXY), which measures the strength of the USD against a basket of other currencies (see below), with the dollar's presence within the IMF's World Currency Reserves (see below). I have chosen to call this the "True Dollar Index" (TDI)
To do so, I have first taken the ratio of the Dollar's IMF weight against each currency and multiplied it by the dollar denominated exchange rate. Then I attempt to normalize the value by dividing it by the average of the 9 dollar denominated exchange rates.
The equation I used for the 2022 TDI is as follows(*):
(USDEUR * (58.81/20.64) + USDJPY * (58.81/5.57) + USDGBP * (58.81/4.78) + USDCNH * (58.81/2.79) + USDCAD * (58.81/2.38) + USDAUD * (58.81/1.81) + USDCHF * (58.81/0.2) + USDSGD * (58.81/1.505) + USDHKD * (58.81/1.505)) / ((USDEUR + USDJPY + USDGBP + USDCNH + USDCAD + USDAUD + USDCHF + USDSGD + USDHKD)/9)
(*) This is in standard TradingView equation format and can be directly copy/pasted into the search bar - though values will convert to decimal
As the weighting of the IMF World Currency Reserves is shuffled and reported at the end of the year, this should only be taken to be valid as of Q1 2022.
For comparison, I have included the DXY in Orange. Note that I have adjusted the DXY by 41.0351, this is the difference in their starting values on Dec 31, 2021.
This should allow us to capture deviation from this starting point. I chose this action as opposed to adjusting the existing equation to for simplicity, though one could easily drag the TDI down by subtracting the same amount.
I make no claims to the accuracy of this chart as a measure of the strength of the dollar. I am not an economist, and I am happy to hear suggestions on how to improve this model.
DXY Geometric Weightings:
Euro (EUR), 57.6% weight
Japanese yen (JPY) 13.6% weight
Pound sterling (GBP), 11.9% weight
Canadian dollar (CAD), 9.1% weight
Swedish krona (SEK), 4.2% weight
Swiss franc (CHF) 3.6% weight
Currency composition of official IMF foreign exchange reserves:
Dollar (USD), 58.81%
Euro (EUR), 20.64%
Japanese yen (JPY), 5.57%
Pound sterling (GBP),4.78%
Chinese renminbi, 2.79%
Canadian dollar (CAD), 2.38%
Australian dollar (AUD), 1.81%
Swiss franc (CHF), .2%
Other, 3.01%*
*To account for this ambiguity, I have opted for a 50/50 split of the Hong Kong Dollar (HKD) and the Singapore Dollar (SGD). These are roughly equal in their use as a global payment currency at the time of writing and are the only top payment currencies not already included in the weighting.
Sources:
en.wikipedia.org
data.imf.org
🚨BTC Macro Cycle: "Hidden Death Cross" & "True Golden Cross"🚨In this idea, I identify what I call the 'Hidden' Death Cross & 'True' Golden Cross.
They are the the cross of the weekly 50 SMA & 50 EMA.
- With 8/8 historical cross cycles completed, this is statistically significant in the macro economic trend of Bitcoin and currently has a with 100% success rate.
a. "Hidden Death Cross" consistently delivers a significant market contraction
b. "True Golden Cross" consistently delivers a significant market expansion
This trend displays significant statistical probability, and while I propose we cannot expect future cycles to repeat past results, we can assume there is a high likely hood of the trend repeating in some form and used past results as guidelines for future performance.
Weekly "Hidden Death Cross" Data
5 Hidden Death Cross (HDC);
1. 26-Sep-2011: -60%
2. 07-Jul-2014: -73%
3. 28-May-2018: -62%
4. 24-Feb-2020: -61%
5. 30-Aug-2021: .......
6. .......................
Success Rate: 100%
Failure Rate: 0%
Average Contraction: -64%
2 Standard Deviations Range (99% Confidence):
Min -57% / Max -71%
BTC Weekly "True Golden Cross" Data
4 True Golden Cross (TGC);
1. 16-Jul-2012: +16'890%
2. 20-Jul-2015: +7'192%
3. 29-Apr-2019: +179%
4. 03-Aug-2020: +531%
5. ......................
Success Rate: 100%
Failure Rate: 0%
Average Expansion: +6'198%
2 Standard Deviations Range (99% Confidence):
Min - / Max 15'000%
Comparison wit the famous Daily Death Cross & Golden Cross Trend
BTC Daily "Death Cross" Data
BTC Daily: 7 Death Cross (DC);
1. 10-Apr-2014: +56%
2. 07-Sep-2014: -69%
3. 15-Sep-2015: +23%
4. 04-Apr-2018: -60%
5. 22-Oct-2019: -29%%
6. 26-Mar-2020: +50%
7. 23-Jun-2021: -22%
8. .......................
Success Rate: 57%
Failure Rate: 43%
Average Contraction: -50%
2 Standard Deviations Range (99% Confidence):
Min -20% / Max -70%
BTC Daily "Golden Cross" Data
BTC Daily: 5 Golden Cross (DC);
1. 08-Apr-2012: +24'169%
2. 13-July-2014: -23%
3. 21-July-2015: -30%
4. 02-Nov-2015: +6722%
5. 25-Apr-2019: +163%
6. 17-Feb-2020: -62%
7. 23-May-2020: +643%
8. 15-Sep-2021: .......
9. ........................
Success Rate: 57%
Failure Rate: 43%
Average Expansion: +7'924%
2 Standard Deviations Range (99% Confidence):
Min - / Max 21'000%
Additional Hidden Trend
Daily Death Cross & Golden Cross Triplets.
In addition to the standard crosses, we can identify a pattern of 3 crosses together;
1. Daily Death Cross, Golden Cross, Death Cross: This results in a bear market with a 100% success rate
2. Golden Cross, Death Cross, Golden Cross: This results in a bull market with 100% success rate
I will be posting on these trends more, since they are statistically significant and I believe will continue to display similar results, regardless of the FOMO or FUD that may be happening at the time.
What are your thoughts?
yemala
$TRUE | Buy | $3 call option $true might be a bit late to the party but i felt comfortable taking an out of the money call for July 17 option. gives me some breathing room. 1st TP: $3.50 , 2nd TP: $5. happy trading.
why?
break of the trendline, trendline got retested and seems to be breaking short term highs. it looks good from my point of view.
4 Hour Death Cross - Going downThe 4-hour death cross on the 13/48 EMA has been a reliable indicator this year as we have just entered one today.
The previous death cross on this time frame has produced a 32% drop over 8 days
The crosses prior to that were 18%, 13% and 5% moved down. All four crosses average out to 17% over 8 days.
You can find this indicator here on TV under 'True Golden Cross by -Westy-
BTCUSD a right trade again ! DH TRADING MARKETS
For subscribers of DH Trading BTCUSD , they was able to catch an other good opportunity !
This is NOT repainting strategy and you can check this is normal bars (avoid Heikin Ashi or Renko bars for backtests !)
If you want to test by yourself you can ask for a trial !
Contact us for more information about this strategy and get strong results
The Golden Profits Prophecy is True: EURUSDTHE GOLDEN PROFITS PROPHECY: 09.05.18
Price has hit a Resistance Level with FOUR RE-TESTS ON THE PAST.
Wait, let me check my not... THE PROPHECY*
It is "said" that price will rush down towards the 1.15671 level. Therefore, you can already decide as to whether place a position or not.
Furthermore after it hits the retracement level, price is going to return to a small resistance above it , where you guys can choose to add a new Short position.
After that, price pretends to continue its advancement towards the KEY RESISTANCE LEVEL, at 1.15259 .
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ENTRY: 1.16190
STOP-LOSS: 1.16443
FIRST TARGET (or you can choose to let your position on) : 1.15671
SECOND AND FINAL TARGET: 1.15259
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It's what the prophecy says, I'm just spreading the words.
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DISCLAIMER: No religious assessment was made in reality. In this case, saying "prophecy" is just a friendly-joke and therefore these words did not come from a certain god.
Quick Litecoin analysis before bedJust putting my 2 cents about the Litecoin market after watching it for most of the day. Using trendlines, support/resistance levels, and some Fibonacci lines. Got some of the price movements correct for a quick swing trade I did not execute(A lot of fear due to the long term charts, I believe signalling a up swing rather soon). Practicing for the larger swings for when the bulls take back over and my account isn't completely dependent LTC being above 220/USD.(Rookie mistake, but a mistake none the less)
I would like to see some constructive criticism or praise and speculation