True Strength Index: Mastering Trend StrengthThe True Strength Index (TSI) is a powerful momentum oscillator that enables traders to identify potential trade opportunities by measuring the strength of a trend. This unique indicator is based on double-smoothed price changes, providing a more accurate representation of momentum in its truest form . In this blog post, we will delve into the world of TSI, exploring its uses, applications in trading strategies, and how it can be combined with other indicators to enhance its signals.
What is the TSI Indicator?
The TSI is a technical analysis tool that captures the ebbs and flows of price action by smoothing price changes, filtering out the noise, and producing a steadier line. The calculation of TSI consists of three key components: the double-smoothed price change, the double-smoothed absolute price change, and the TSI formula itself. As a momentum oscillator, TSI generates trade signals based on overbought/oversold levels, crossovers, and divergences. The TSI itself consists of three parts: the TSI line, the signal line, and a zero line.
How is the TSI Indicator Used?
Professional traders use the TSI indicator to gauge the strength of a trend, assisting with trade management and providing early indications of a trend continuation or reversal. The TSI oscillates between 100 and -100, with bullish and bearish trends indicated by crossings above or below the zero line, respectively. This versatile indicator can be used to hold onto winning trades, anticipate impending trend changes, and identify trend shifts through divergences.
Examples of TSI in Trading Strategies
TSI and Moving Averages:
A widely-used approach integrates the True Strength Index (TSI) with moving averages, such as the 50-day moving average, to substantiate the potency of a trend. For example, assume the TSI value surpasses the zero line, while concurrently, the stock price is higher than its 50-day moving average. In this case, it may suggest the onset of a promising bullish trend. On the other hand, if the TSI dips below the zero line at the same time the stock price falls below its 50-day moving average, this could signify the emergence of a bearish trend.
TSI Divergence:
Divergence occurs when the price and the TSI indicator move in opposite directions. For example, if the price makes a higher high, but the TSI forms a lower high, it could signal a bearish divergence, indicating a potential trend reversal. Similarly, a bullish divergence occurs when the price makes a lower low, but the TSI forms a higher low, suggesting a possible trend change.
TSI and RSI:
Combining the TSI with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) can help traders identify overbought or oversold conditions in the market. When both the TSI and RSI reach extreme levels, it may signal a potential reversal. For example, if the TSI is above 70 and the RSI is above 30, it could indicate overbought conditions and a potential bearish reversal may be imminent. Divergences can also be confirmed by comparing the divergences on the TSI to the divergences on the RSI.
Conclusion:
The True Strength Index (TSI) is an invaluable tool for traders looking to gauge the strength of a trend and identify potential trade opportunities. By understanding its uses and incorporating it into trading strategies alongside other indicators, traders can enhance their decision-making process and improve their overall trading performance.
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Truestrengthindex
TSLA Due for a pullback ?TSLA here in on a 30-minute chart. It is in a channel that has as its basis the 42 ( 7x6) EMA
with the upper and lower bands the 2.618 Fibonacci extensions of the basis value. Accordingly
when hitting the lower band, there is a high probability of reversal to trending up. Conversely,
when hitting the upper band, the price is highly probable to reverse into trending down. Here
TLSA is actually outside that Fibonacci band and getting closer to the absent 4.33 band
TSLA rose more than 5% in the last trading day. Reversion to the mean may apply.
The True Strength Index indicator shows a cross about to occur in the supply /resistance zone
a confirmation expectant for a reversal. Similarly, the Fisher transform shows the signal and
mean lines crossing and inflecting into a negative slope at the top red line. In the immediate
term history, TSLA ran up on Thursday 4/27 / Friday 4/28 hit the upper Fibonnaci band and
dropped after the weekend. I can see this as repeating
Aside from mathematics from the all-important trader psychology side of things, a large #
of traders are up on their position having made it through some downward price action
and then reaccumulation. It is now time to take full or partial profits and close some positions
In the meanwhile, short sellers can see the rise in the last trading
session as a pullback in the trend down and time being ripe to add to their position.
Other short sellers might liquidate and in doing so hold TSLA's price steady in buying to cover.
I can't see the psychology underway. I can however see the indicators and the mathematics
that is their foundation. I will take a trade of put options expiring 5/19 at a strike of
$175. I will watch for a reversal of the reversal mid to late week and upon seeing
it take a partial profit and hold the rest.
NIO REVERSES within descending parallel channelOn the 30-minute chart, I have drawn the upper (red) and lower (green) trendlines
of the descending parallel channel. While it had been riding the upper edge of
the Fibonacci/ EMA channel, it has reversed and headed toward the base EMA with
the candles green to red. The zero-lag MACD indicator lines crossed above the
histogram while the True Strength Index oscillator has had a line cross in the supply /
resistance zone for further information. I conclude it is time to close long positions
in profit and cross the aisle into short positions. I will take a put option trade for
the expirations of 5/19 @ $ 9.50 but a less risky trade would be a longer exiration
by 1-2 weeks ( while at the same time decreasing the reward potential.)
Monday relationship with Tuesday/Monday - Filtering the NoiseThis is an extension for the following post :
This is just an example, using a random entry-based / trend following based indicator ( True Strength Index) to time our entry. I do not necessarily use this indicator), to showcase how the ability to navigate the market via this simple concept potentially limit the market noise and only take any trading signal if the criteria were met (i.e only take bullish signals after price broke Monday's low on Tuesday or Wednesday)
For this particular chart, when the line cross the zero-line, that is generally a trading signal. Taking ALL the zero-line cross signal would be very dumb. Using this navigational concept as a filter, you would filter the whipsaws and gives you more chances to be in a high probability trades.