Trulieve
TCNNF - Trulieve Cannabis | Pot Stock CorrectionWith the recent pump and dump on 4/03 and recent the Safe Banking rally, it didn't take much to erase those stairs of price action.
For the most part, I would be alerting myself in the "loading zone" with a chance of panic selling, potential timeline of mid-late summer.
Trulieve Cannabis Corp - $TCNNF Chart AnalysisTAKE A HIT OR LET IT SIT
My last chart analysis was meet with pivot targets confirmed, but with this last few days of trading made me go back to the chart and investigate.
Thursday (May 4th) this cannabis ticker (like a couple other marijuana stocks) sold a little more than what I was expecting. This over sold zone would mean that my last 3rd to 4th correction via primary cycle would need to adjust with this new data.
The MACD also confirms, breaking out of divergence, that this is a continuation from the 1st semi-impulse correction.
I was targeting $13 for the correction and TCNNF went to $12.77. The oversold data means my daily semi changes the weekly semi, which changes the interval, thus making new primary cycle data points, yay!
With the alternation/cycle correction taking place throughout the summer and selling off via 5th wave the rest of year. I believe my last floor for this pot stock was targeting $9, but this new theory makes $7.35 as a start to caught this extra weight and $6.80 - $6.30 as the possible floor for a cycle correction.
Trulieve Declines w/ Cannabis SectorTrulieve lost -$2.79(-5%) on the day with a closing price of $50.96/share. Price saw an 11% swing from high to low today(candle wick to candle wick) with price closing in the upper 50% of the day's trading range. Short-term support can be watched for at the $47.90 level which was the low for the day. A hold above that low is critical going into the end of the week, should that low be taken out price will likely see a further decline down to the $39.26 level which was where the last low in price was made prior to the rally to $60. This represents the last area of strong demand from traders meaning a hold above that level now would indicate that traders are still bullish on price above $40. The daily price candle also closed green which indicates that the short-term momentum behind price remains bullish.
The first lower indicator below the chart is the Price Percent Oscillator(PPO). This indicator is currently showing the green PPO line declining below the purple signal line which indicates short-term bearish momentum behind price. Both lines remain above the horizontal 0 level though which is the long-term momentum level to watch. Both lines above the 0 level indicate bullish momentum behind price in the intermediate-term while both lines below 0 indicate bearish momentum in the intermediate-term. The way to read the indicator right now is as it showing a short-term pullback inside of an overall uptrend in price, aka a ‘bullish pullback’.
The Average Directional Index(ADX) shows the purple directional line with a recent cross above the green directional line which indicates a short-term shift to bearish momentum from bullish. For the bearish trend to be considered strong, the histogram bars behind the would need to show a series of purple bars that progressively increase in size which for now only shows today’s recent crossover to bearish. A strong reversal to the upside in price tomorrow or Friday could easily flip this indicator bullish again, but for now the ADX is showing a shift to a bearish trend in price.
The Traders Dynamic Index(TDI) shows the yellow line((RSI(Relative Strength Index)) in a steep decline which indicates steady bearish momentum behind price. The yellow RSI line has also crossed below the lower blue line which is the lower Bollinger Band of the RSI. This represents price momentum making a 1.618+ standard deviation from the 20-day momentum average(center blue line) and is a bearish volatility indication. In general, you want to stay short or stay out of a stock when the yellow line is below the lower blue Bollinger Band line as the momentum and volatility favor the bears. The yellow RSI line is also testing the middle dot plots at the 50 level which is the center of the total RSI range(0-100). A yellow RSI line above 50 indicates bullish price momentum in the intermediate-term while an RSI reading below 50 indicates bearish price momentum in the intermediate-term. For now the move is to wait for the yellow RSI line to rise back above the lower Bollinger Band before considering this indicator bullish.
Overall, price is still looking good on a long-term basis with weakness in the short-term expected. From a trend trading perspective, a move above resistance at $60.91 is needed in order for price to gain traction in the uptrend, while a move below $39.26 would indicate that a new bear trend is likely forming in price. That $39.26 level is the most important to watch going forward if the decline in the cannabis sector continues.
Trulieve Bullish PullbackTrulieve lost -$2.79(-5%) on the day with a closing price of $50.96/share. Price saw an 11% swing from high to low today(candle wick to candle wick) with price closing in the upper 50% of the day's trading range. Short-term support can be watched for at the $47.90 level which was the low for the day. A hold above that low is critical going into the end of the week, should that low be taken out price will likely see a further decline down to the $39.26 level which was where the last low in price was made prior to the rally to $60. This represents the last area of strong demand from traders meaning a hold above that level now would indicate that traders are still bullish on price above $40. The daily price candle also closed green which indicates that the short-term momentum behind price remains bullish.
The first lower indicator below the chart is the Price Percent Oscillator(PPO). This indicator is currently showing the green PPO line declining below the purple signal line which indicates short-term bearish momentum behind price. Both lines remain above the horizontal 0 level though which is the long-term momentum level to watch. Both lines above the 0 level indicate bullish momentum behind price in the intermediate-term while both lines below 0 indicate bearish momentum in the intermediate-term. The way to read the indicator right now is as it showing a short-term pullback inside of an overall uptrend in price, aka a ‘bullish pullback’.
The Average Directional Index(ADX) shows the purple directional line with a recent cross above the green directional line which indicates a short-term shift to bearish momentum from bullish. For the bearish trend to be considered strong, the histogram bars behind the would need to show a series of purple bars that progressively increase in size which for now only shows today’s recent crossover to bearish. A strong reversal to the upside in price tomorrow or Friday could easily flip this indicator bullish again, but for now the ADX is showing a shift to a bearish trend in price.
The Traders Dynamic Index(TDI) shows the yellow line((RSI(Relative Strength Index)) in a steep decline which indicates steady bearish momentum behind price. The yellow RSI line has also crossed below the lower blue line which is the lower Bollinger Band of the RSI. This represents price momentum making a 1.618+ standard deviation from the 20-day momentum average(center blue line) and is a bearish volatility indication. In general, you want to stay short or stay out of a stock when the yellow line is below the lower blue Bollinger Band line as the momentum and volatility favor the bears. The yellow RSI line is also testing the middle dot plots at the 50 level which is the center of the total RSI range(0-100). A yellow RSI line above 50 indicates bullish price momentum in the intermediate-term while an RSI reading below 50 indicates bearish price momentum in the intermediate-term. For now the move is to wait for the yellow RSI line to rise back above the lower Bollinger Band before considering this indicator bullish.
Overall, price is still looking good on a long-term basis with weakness in the short-term expected. From a trend trading perspective, a move above resistance at $60.91 is needed in order for price to gain traction in the uptrend, while a move below $39.26 would indicate that a new bear trend is likely forming in price. That $39.26 level is the most important to watch going forward if the decline in the cannabis sector continues.
Bullish Flag or Descending Triangle for TRUL?Notice on the KST there's been a bullish cross, I have placed three blue finger icons to represent previous bullish crosses.
The red finger icon on the KST is there to display some weakness in the previous bullish cross, notice how there was no higher high creation on a Macro perspective and the blue downward sloping resistance, if we get a bullish cross on the KST but no higher high and another rejection at the blue downward sloping line, it's possible we see a bearish outcome in relation price action.
I have drawn a green line on the KST to represent the hypothetical scenario I've suggested is possible.
Is TRUL trading in a Head & Shoulders pattern?After the recent short report we've seen some very serious downward pressure, and rightfully so, IMO...
Any cannabis company related to fraud & corruption in this CantTrust environment is a Huge Red Flag..
There's nothing propitiatory about opening a bunch of dispensaries & growing grass, so the market cap here is out of touch with reality by a factor of roughly 10...
$TRUL 4HRS with long term trend linesI think it will bounce up from the bottom of the channel to retest the long term overhead resistance ~$18 CAD and hopefully break out. Weekly sales have been increasing consistently and pretty much a lock to blow out their full year guidance and hopefully will make them increase the 2020 guidance as well next year.
Trulieve Cannabis Corp Trulieve Cannabis Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a medical marijuana company.
Revenue is forecast to grow 39.46% per year.
Earnings grew by 339.5% over the past year.
RISK ANALYSIS
Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of -14.4% per year for the next 3 years.
High level of non-cash earnings.
Highly volatile share price over past 3 months.
Significant insider selling over the past 3 months.
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and are therefore are unqualified to give investment recommendations.
Always do your own research and consult with a licensed investment professional before investing.
This communication is never to be used as the basis of making investment decisions, and it is for entertainment purposes only.
Trulieve - Bears are in controlDear Traders,
Trulieve enjoyed a small 4% run after it broke out of the triangle, after this a lot of selling pressure occurred, as this stock is quite new on the market, we can't tell much yet. For example, there is still no 55 ema showing, no 100 ema and also no 200ema. Once these indicators will show up we will be abel to tell more about trulieve price action and most importantly, trulieve's future!
Any thoughts?
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TRULIEVE - Bullish or Bearish ?Dear Traders,
A little update on TRULIEVE.
Price retraced towards the 0.5 fib level and touched it many times, but the bulls managed to close with the price above the fib level, and above the 55 ema, which is a bullish sign, but on the other hand I see a MACD that isn't crossing upwards yet, and a RSI that's under 50. These indicators show many a lot of possibilities so I prefer to stay Neutral until further notice.
What are your thoughts ?
TRULIEVE - Technical AnalysisDear Traders,
We don't have enough data to predict what so ever, for now, the only thing we can do is draw the lines and see how this will evolve over time.
There is a lot of hype around this stock so anything could happen.
About Trulieve Cannabis Corp (TCNNF) :
Trulieve Cannabis Corp. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, engages in the cultivation, possession, sale, and distribution of medical cannabis. Trulieve Cannabis offers its services in the United States and Canada.