Tesla - New All Time Highs With Trump!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) just broke above the last resistance level:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
With Trump winning the election and Elon Musk being a supporter of Trump, Tesla is rallying significantly. But looking at market structure, this rally was also expected, considering that Tesla just broke out of a triangle pattern. Now Tesla will soon create new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $275, $410
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Trump
ADA | Crypto, Congress & CardanoCharles Hoskinson & Trump Team Up to Tame the Wild West of Crypto
The trading volume for Cardano reached $ 5,150,683,356 over the last 24 hours, marking a significant 390% increase from the previous day and reflecting a recent surge in market activity.
Cardano's founder, Charles Hoskinson, has confirmed plans to work with the US government under Donald Trump's leadership to help shape cryptocurrency legislation. The primary objective is to establish clear regulatory frameworks for the cryptocurrency sector, which has long dealt with uncertainty and regulatory hurdles.
In his latest comments, Hoskinson emphasized that developing favorable policies for cryptocurrency would require support from both Democratic and Republican parties. This announcement comes as Cardano and other major blockchain networks, like Bitcoin, continue to face legal challenges from US agencies
Hoskinson underscored the significance of bipartisan cooperation, noting that the recent FIT21 bill passed in the House with support from over 60 Democrats, reflecting growing momentum for bipartisan crypto legislation.
He also acknowledged the potential influence of a future Republican-controlled Senate, House, and presidency, suggesting that the current political landscape could provide the crypto industry with a long-sought path to legal clarity.
Honestly this is the only miracle that could happen for ADA holders and the only factor that could move ADA cuz they missed so many opportunity includin ETFs
ADA next major resistance is 0.79$ and if BTC keeps lagging alts will follow the pump too
Alibaba - Trump Won't Beat This Stock!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) is bullish despite Trump's presidency:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Two months ago, Alibaba pumped 30% within a couple of days, perfectly following the resistance trendline breakout. So far we saw a rejection of the upper resistance level and it is quite likely that Alibaba will retest the breakout area. However, the underlying price action is still bullish.
Levels to watch: $80, $115
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BAKKT gets the Trump PumpCrypto custody, trading, and on ramp solutions provider BAKKT just got a pump i price that sent it above the double bottom enckline thanks to Donald trump’s media company suggesting they want to acquire the platform. Bodes well for price flipping this neckline to support and valdating the double bottom breakout in the near future. *not financial advice*
Bitcoin Swinging to 100K?Bitcoin (BTC) Swinging to $95k then $100k? With confirmed interest in crypto from the Trump Media (DJT). They are signaling that crypto will be the next hot thing. We are at all time high for crypto Market Cap at $3 Trillion. More money will pour in if banks and the US become more Crypto-friendly!
Bitcoin Breaks Record, Shrugs Off Risk-On Label Gold extended gains for a third consecutive session, crossing $2,650 per ounce, as investors sought safety following an escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin is also performing well and doesn't appear to be acting totally as a risk-on asset in this environment, surging to a fresh record high. President-elect Donald Trump’s administration is reportedly considering a dedicated cryptocurrency policy role within the White House, Bloomberg reported.
Adding to Bitcoin's momentum, the Financial Times revealed that Trump Media and Technology Company is in advanced talks to acquire crypto trading platform Bakkt.
Bitcoin remains above key technical levels, including the 50- and 100-day EMAs, while the RSI hit overbought territory at 80.
Money over Politics - Trump Media(DJT) to buy Bakkt(BKKT)?Money over politics - Donald Trump Media( NASDAQ:DJT ) in talks to buy crypto company Bakkt ( NYSE:BKKT ). Follow the money. I am thinking that this is a very bullish sign if the government starts to change regulation around bitcoin and other crypto. It will be in the president's personal interest to make the US more crypto-friendly. If this acquisition goes through then Bitcoin to the moon!
NZD/USD on strong downtrend amid USD strengthThe US dollar's recent surge, reaching around 106.5 post-election, impacts global markets and American consumers. Strong economic data and inflation pressures bolster the dollar, while Trump's tariffs could enhance its strength. Meanwhile, the NZD has dropped to 0.58574 against the USD, influenced by New Zealand's economic conditions and fluctuating commodity prices. As the yen and peso also weaken significantly, the dollar's future depends on unfolding policies and geopolitical events. Analysts foresee potential gains but caution against international retaliation.
XRP - HYPER BULLISH CASE - CryptoManiac101In this updated chart, the projection highlights an exponential growth curve, modeling a highly optimistic hyper bullish case scenario for XRP. Let's begin?
This projection suggests XRP could embark on a parabolic growth phase, potentially driven by significant catalysts such as regulatory clarity, market adoption and speculative demand.
Bullish Case Extension:
$3.50-$5.00: Earlier projections align with this level being the first target (previous all-time high and beyond).
The chart and fractal suggests that XRP could go beyond $10.00-$25.00 in the mid to long term, potentially driven by mass adoption, speculation, and favorable macroeconomic conditions.
The extended projection indicates that you see on the chart of $50.00-$100.00 could be a theoretical long-term ceiling under extreme bullish conditions, possibly dependent on XRP capturing a significant share of global cross-border payments or/and institutional investment.
Exponential Growth Possibility:
This kind of growth typically occurs during parabolic blow-off tops, similar to what Bitcoin and other altcoins have experienced in previous hyper cycles.
Updated Bullish Case Targets
Timeframe | Projected Price Range | Catalysts
Short-Term | $1.20 - $3.50 | Breakout momentum, key technical resistance
Mid-Term | $5.00 - $25.00 | Adoption growth, institutional involvement
Long-Term | $50.00 - $100.00 | XRP as a global cross-border payment system
Broader bearish trends in the cryptocurrency market could slow or reverse growth and these targets.
Remember that this is not financial advise and is intended for entertainment purposes only.
Will we witness parity in EURUSD?EURUSD - Daily analysis and trading strategy.
The new week begins with the G20 meeting in Brazil. It is possible to outline new directions for the development of the world, especially in the hotspots Ukraine and Israel.
On Monday, the ECB's President Lagarde speech is expected, where it should become clear whether there will be a change in interest rate policy in Europe after the election of Trump. Lagarde is likely to hint at a cut in the key interest rate.
The tariffs that the new team in the White House is expected to introduce to Europe and especially to its industrial part, such as Germany, are already having an impact. Factories will not be able to compete with Chinese and American goods. In addition, the market for goods from Europe is constantly shrinking, and the quality is falling.
Currently, 41.5% of German companies report a lack of orders. This percentage will increase significantly in early 2025.
A number of manufacturers from Europe are thinking about where to go. Possible locations are the United States, China, and possibly other countries such as Turkey and Southeast Asian countries.
The euro has no chance in the near term. The probability of Euro/Dollar parity is very likely even before January 20, 2025 (Donald Trump's Inauguration).
Therefore, our strategy remains to sell the euro with the aim of parity and down. If you are entering the market now, wait for the slight upward correction of 50-80 pips to re-open a short position. For this week, we expect the dollar to take a lead of 100-130 pips against the Euro.
Trade idea - NZDCHF Long4H
Inverse Head & Shoulders potentially in play.
Clear support & resistance zone is there.
Interesting scenario from a 1H perspective as well with an Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern as well.
Corrective approach towards entry zone.
-68 Fibonacci completion aligning with entry zone.
= Confirmation to enter. Instant market execution Buy.
1.5% risk.
Will We have Another Rate Cut In December? Hey Traders
After this week's inflation data and the Fed meeting on Thursday the dollar steadied at a one year-peak, set for a strong week as markets dialed back bets on lower U.S interest rates. The Fed appeared less dovish based on strong U.S inflation readings which added to the dollar strength.
However, under the Trump administration, inflation is expected to go up as a result of their expansionary policies. During the Fed meeting on Thursday, Fed chair Jerome Powel said that due to the resilience of the U.S economy they have more time to consider cutting rates. This comment reduced expectations for a 25 basis point cut in December.
Strong U.S inflation data and less dovish signals from the Fed sparked doubts over lower interest rates. As it stands, Gold set to lose over 4% this week with its worst performance since June 2021.
Bitcoin fell from its near record highs as optimism over a Trump presidency oiled, while broader risk appetite was hit by increased uncertainty over U.S interest rates.
USDCAD - CAD look at the oil market!The USDCAD currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. Due to the location of this currency pair at the ceiling of the channel, you can save a part of your purchase position. The correction of this currency pair towards the demand zones will provide us with the next buying positions.
Monetary Policy in Canada
• Interest Rate Cuts:
Goldman Sachs forecasts that the Bank of Canada will cut interest rates by 50 basis points in December (previous forecast: 25 basis points). It is expected that this downward trend will continue, reaching a terminal rate of 2.25% by June 2025 (previous forecast: 2.50%).
Oil Developments in the U.S.
• Crude Oil Production:
U.S. crude oil production has reached 13.23 million barrels per day this year, slightly higher than the previous figure of 13.22 million. For 2024, production is forecasted at 13.53 million barrels per day (a minor decrease from the previous forecast of 13.54 million barrels).
• Crude Oil Prices:
The average price of Brent oil in 2024 is projected at $80.95 per barrel (slightly higher than the previous forecast of $80.89). For 2025, the average is expected to decline to $76.06 per barrel (previous forecast: $77.59).
The average price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil is estimated at $77 per barrel in 2024 and $71.6 in 2025, slightly below earlier projections.
Oil Demand:
• U.S. oil demand for 2024 and 2025 is estimated at 20.3 million and 20.5 million barrels per day, unchanged from previous forecasts.
OPEC and Production Adjustments:
• Lower Global Demand Growth Forecasts:
OPEC has reduced its forecasts for global oil demand growth in 2024 and 2025 to 1.82 and 1.54 million barrels per day, respectively (previous forecasts: 1.93 and 1.64 million).
• Increased OPEC Production:
OPEC’s average crude production in October rose to 26. 53 million barrels per day, a 466,000-barrel increase from September, primarily due to higher output from Libya.
Geopolitical Issues and Iran’s Oil Policies
• Iran’s Response to Sanctions:
Iran’s oil minister announced that plans have been developed to maintain stable oil exports to counter potential policies from Donald Trump’s administration.
• Negotiations Between Iran and the U.S.:
Iranian sources reported that Tehran postponed an attack on Israel after Trump’s election to facilitate potential negotiations. Messages conveyed through Baghdad included recommendations to avoid escalating tensions and create an opportunity for talks.
Developments in Lebanon and Israel
• Ceasefire negotiations in Lebanon are nearing conclusion. Israeli sources have confirmed alignment between the U.S. and Israel on the ceasefire agreement. However, Lebanon’s situation remains complex, with ongoing discussions between Hezbollah, the parliament speaker, the prime minister, and U.S. officials.
BABA BUY Possibility Alibaba is showing potential for a bullish move as its earnings report approaches. Positive earnings could drive a breakout, especially with momentum building in areas like cloud growth. A Trump victory might boost investor confidence, potentially easing U.S.-China tensions, which could benefit BABA’s stock. With the stock near a support level, this could be a prime entry point if earnings impress.
This setup has strong potential for upside! 📈
BABA BUY Possibility Alibaba is showing potential for a bullish move as its earnings report approaches. Positive earnings could drive a breakout, especially with momentum building in areas like cloud growth. A Trump victory might boost investor confidence, potentially easing U.S.-China tensions, which could benefit BABA’s stock. With the stock near a support level, this could be a prime entry point if earnings impress.
This setup has strong potential for upside! 📈
Is the Trump Trade Fading? The sugar high from Trump’s victory may be wearing off in a few areas.
Tesla, once a post-election favorite after Elon Musk’s support of Trump’s campaign, has now reversed direction. Reports suggest that Republicans will end the $7,500 EV tax credit—a move that’s sent Rivian tumbling 9%, while Tesla is down nearly 4%.
Shares of Trump Media & Technology slid 8% today. But being a meme stock, analysis here won't tell us much. In a notable signal, the CFO and two other insiders sold over $16 million of stock in the week following the election.
Yet, the U.S. dollar remains resilient, possibly buoyed by the Cabinet picks coming out of the Trump administration. Marco Rubio’s nomination as Secretary of State suggests a tough stance on China. Known for his anti-communist positions and support for Hong Kong’s democracy movement, Rubio has advocated for tighter export controls on U.S. technology and visa sanctions against Chinese officials, hinting at a policy that may go well beyond tariffs.
Bitcoin Targets $100K with Potential to Reach $120KIt appears that Bitcoin has broken above a strong resistance level, which is now acting as support. Based on the chart, the price has surged significantly without any retest of this new support level. This could indicate strong bullish momentum, as the price hasn't returned to test the previous resistance.
With this upward momentum, Bitcoin may be on a path towards the next major milestone of $100,000. If this psychological level is surpassed, we could see an extended target of $120,000, marking a significant phase of price discovery in this bullish trend. However, traders should remain cautious of potential corrections or consolidation phases along the way
XAUUSD - which way will gold go after CPI!?Gold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe. In case of upward correction due to today's economic data, we can see supply zones and sell within those zones with appropriate risk reward. The continuation of the downward movement of gold has led to the visibility of the demand zone and it is possible to look for buying positions.
UBS analysts are optimistic about a possible rate cut by the Federal Reserve despite inflation concerns. Recent inflation data has not been enough to change UBS's view on further rate cuts by the FOMC. UBS refers to the following points:
• Economic data indicates a stronger than expected economy.
• Concerns about inflation remain.
• The expectations of the market are moving towards the reduction of the interest rate by the Federal Reserve.
• Federal Reserve officials see the current rate as restrictive but are trying to balance employment and inflation goals.
• A major inflationary shock is needed to change the policy landscape.
The consensus seems to be that once Trump takes office, he will increase pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to boost growth and deliver on his economic promises. This was indeed the context for the questions asked of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell last week. He was asked if he would resign if pressured by the Trump administration. Powell stated that he will not resign and that the president does not have such authority. This assumption partly goes back to the first term of Trump's presidency, when he repeatedly called for easing policies of the Federal Reserve and sometimes criticized Powell.
But the difference between today and 2018 and 2019 is that inflation was much lower at that time. Most importantly, voters showed their anger at the high cost of living by ousting Democrats from the White House and the Senate. NBC exit polls in 10 key states found that three-quarters of voters rated inflation as a moderate or severe problem in the past year, and more supported Trump.
"It makes more sense for Trump 2.0 to bear some of the economic slack (and blame it on Biden and Harris) to curb inflation," Stephen Jenn, CEO of Eurizon SLJ Capital, wrote in a note. "I don't agree at all that Trump 2.0 risks increasing inflation."
Meanwhile, China's central bank stopped buying gold for reserves for the sixth consecutive month in October, according to official data. China's gold reserves reached 72.8 million troy ounces at the end of last month. However, the value of gold reserves rose to $199.06 billion from $191.47 billion at the end of September.
The World Gold Council's report predicts that gold purchases by global central banks, which increased in 2022 and 2023, will decline in 2024, although they will remain above pre-2022 levels. This issue is partly due to the suspension of 18-month purchases of the People's Bank of China since May.
WTI - Oil waiting for stabilization of regional conditions?!WTI oil is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H time frame and is moving in its downward channel. If the correction process continues and the resistance range is broken, you can first look for buying positions and then look for oil selling positions in the ceiling of the channel.
The Wall Street Journal analysis indicates that Donald Trump, the U.S. President-elect, intends to impose severe sanctions on Iran and restrict its oil sales. This move is part of an aggressive strategy to reduce Tehran’s support for its affiliated groups in the Middle East and to curb its nuclear program. During his first term, Trump withdrew from the Iran nuclear deal (JCPOA) and implemented a “maximum pressure” strategy. This analysis is from The Wall Street Journal.
Senior commodity analysts at TDS suggest that risks related to the Middle East are significantly underpriced. TDS analysts point out that the resolution of the current round of Middle East tensions could lead to reduced supply risks in the energy market.
In this regard, OPEC’s recent decision to delay additional oil supply has had only a limited impact on increasing supply risk and may not be sufficient in the medium term. According to analyses, if geopolitical stability regarding oil supply continues, there remains a likelihood of price declines.
TDS analysts also caution that threats such as the potential intensification of oil sanctions against Iran by President-elect Donald Trump could disrupt regional oil flows severely, as he might return to the “maximum pressure” policy on Tehran.
The Israeli Foreign Minister has stated that Israel is prepared to continue the Gaza war until its objectives are fully achieved. Progress has been made in ceasefire talks with Lebanon, though the main challenge will be implementing the agreements. The most critical issue for the region’s future is preventing Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons.
An Israeli senior official mentioned, “If Hezbollah does not accept the ceasefire, stronger military and operational plans have been prepared, which could include expanding control over more areas in Lebanon.”
Meanwhile, Russia is reportedly considering merging its major oil companies, including Rosneft, Gazprom Neft, and Lukoil, to create the world’s second-largest oil producer after Aramco. This merger could provide greater control over global energy markets and support Russia’s economy amid wartime conditions. However, the proposal faces opposition from some Rosneft and Lukoil executives and challenges in securing financing for Lukoil shareholders. Kremlin officials and company executives have denied knowledge of such a plan, and details of the proposal remain unclear.
GBP/USD extends losses as US inflation risesThe British pound continues to lose ground and is down for a fourth straight trading day. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2709, down 0.18% on the day. Earlier, the pound dropped below the 1.27 line for the first time since Aug. 8.
US inflation has been on a prolonged downswing but that streak has ended. After decelerating for six straight months, headline CPI for October rose to 2.6% y/y, up from 2.4% in September. The US dollar has responded with modest gains against the major currencies. Monthly, headline CPI was unchanged at 0.2%, in line with expectations. The core rate was unchanged in October, at 3.3% annually and 0.3% monthly, which matched expectations.
The jump in inflation may not have been a surprise, but market rate-cut odds have jumped sharply. Just a day ago, the markets had priced in a 58% probability of a cut in December, but this has surged to 82% currently, according to CME’s FedWatch.
Inflation is largely contained but by no means defeated. The Federal Reserve has waged a tough battle and is no mood to see inflation rebound. The next inflation report will be released just one week ahead of the Dec. 18 rate meeting and if inflation again moves higher, it’s possible that the Fed will respond with an oversized 50-basis point cut.
Another headache for the Federal Reserve could be the Trump election win, with the Republicans winning the Senate and likely the House of Representatives. The incoming Trump administration represents an upside risk to inflation, as President-elect Trump has promised sweeping tariffs on imports, notably China and Europe. If Trump makes good on his tariff threat, goods imported into the US will become more expensive which would boost inflation. That could complicate the Fed’s plans to continue trimming rates in 2025.
There is resistance at 1.2781 and 1.2843
1.2685 and 1.2683 are the next support levels
XAUUSD - CPI CPI CPI!The world's largest gold-backed mutual fund posted its biggest weekly outflows in more than two years last week. Donald Trump's resounding victory in the election caused traders to take their profits.
The SPDR fund (GLD) saw more than $1 billion in outflows, the fund's biggest weekly outflow since July 2022, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The price of gold decreased by 1.9% during the same period. Total gold ETF holdings fell 0.4 percent, the second straight weekly decline.
Investors usually look for safe assets in times of political and economic uncertainty. They sought the safe haven of gold last month as the US presidential election was expected to be competitive. But as Trump swept to victory after capturing key battleground states and Republicans took control of the Senate, the decisive outcome prompted investors to exit their positions to preserve their gains.
Trump's victory also boosted the value of the U.S. dollar and the stock market, which was a negative for gold as it made the bullion less attractive to investors holding other currencies. Bitcoin, for example, has been boosted by President-elect Donald Trump's embrace of the digital asset and the prospect of a Congress with pro-crypto lawmakers.
Gold traders continued to take profits on Monday, with prices hitting one-month lows and shares of gold mining companies falling.
Key economic events to watch include today's release of the US net Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October, which the Fed will be watching closely to assess whether consumer inflation remains on track to reach Is it at the 2% level or not?