USD/MXN: Mexico plans response to US tariffs The White House confirmed a one-month exemption for autos under the USMCA (United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement), following President Trump’s 25% tariffs on Mexican imports.
The exemption has significant consequences for Mexico’s economy, with tariffs expected to add billions in costs for automakers that rely on Mexican production.
Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum plans to discuss tariffs with Trump on Thursday, before her government announces countermeasures on Sunday.
Meanwhile, the MACD indicator initially showed a potential bullish signal as moving averages crossed upward. However, momentum appears to be fading, and the pair has yet to retest its February 3rd highs.
Trump
OFFICIAL TRUMP: Bullish Potential Invalidated? Back To 1,000%+As can be seen here, price action moved below our defined support (now resistance). The question naturally arises, is the previous analysis now invalid? Quick answer, no! We are still bullish and I will explain why.
It is true that the break above resistance makes this chart ultra-bullish, so moving back below can be considered an invalidation. The truth is that the low yesterday is still a higher low compared to 28-Feb. when the All-Time Low was hit. We have both a higher low and also a green close, the session yesterday ended green as a hammer which is bullish.
The bullish case is weaker now in the short-term but the bullish bias and potential remains intact. TRUMPUSDT is set to grow; patience is key.
The low is in and this low was followed by a high volume bullish breakout. This breakout is followed by a retrace, which is a classic and this retrace ends as a higher low. This is standard price action. From this higher low TRUMPUSDT can and will grow.
Even if the market decides to shakeout more people out, we are bullish long-term. You know what I love to say; once we hit bottom, the only place left to go is up.
Notice in early 2025 there is a clear downtrend on the chart. Now, instead of a downtrend the action is sideways. This is the transition period. First down, then sideways and then up.
We are going up next. It can take a few months, a few weeks or simple just a few days.
The potential for growth here is as good as with any other pair.
Thanks a lot for your continued support. It is truly appreciated.
Namaste.
why ELON MUSK keeps talking about a US bankruptcy…I think I’ve figured out why Musk keeps talking about a U.S. bankruptcy…
They have to pay—and pay a lot!
In 2025 alone, a staggering $7 trillion needs to be repaid! 7 TRILLION DOLLARS! (image on chart)
Right now, the U.S. is trying to pull in money from all over the world, which is probably the real reason behind the tariffs.
To avoid bankruptcy, they have a few options:
1. Print more money
2. Cut spending
3. Take on new debt at higher interest rates
4. Declare bankruptcy—admit they can’t pay their debts
That’s why Musk keeps mentioning point 4. That’s why spending cuts are happening so fast. That’s why tariffs are being imposed. That’s why Trump is pushing for lower interest rates. That’s why they launched the Green Card sale. They are trying to save the U.S. from bankruptcy—and the world from a financial crisis.
Obviously, they can’t just slash spending too much. In his interview with Joe Rogan, Musk said it’s not that simple because a lot of high-level corruption is hidden in the system. He even admitted, “I won’t talk about it—if I do, they’ll kill me. It’s too much, and people wouldn’t be able to handle the truth.”
The only real solution might be Bitcoin, which can create virtual money without printing physical dollars—a profitable paradox.
To activate a real bull run that will save high-risk assets like altcoins, the U.S. must start increasing global liquidity. This is the rule—and they will do it. Even rumors about the U.S. handing out money to taxpayers (some sources mention $5K per taxpayer) are aimed at increasing market liquidity.
The end of a bull run always coincides with the highest levels of global liquidity. Currently, many large funds are overleveraged and looking to take some profits to avoid problems. This is always the moment when “large capital” waits for global liquidity to peak before strategically cashing out of positions.
Even with ETFs on altcoins, large funds will gain significant profits through annual fees. They will list any shitcoin just to collect these fees from investors. Moreover, they will control liquidity through ETFs, just as they did with the stock markets. This is an indirect way of “driving the markets like a car.”
$TRUMP Market Update📊 $TRUMP/USDT Market Update
Welcome to today's analysis! Let’s break down the current price action on $TRUMP and what to expect next.
🌐 Overview: $TRUMP Approaching Key Resistance
📉 $TRUMP was in a downtrend after breaking a key support level. Now, the price is approaching the red resistance zone, which was previously a support level before the strong breakdown.
🔄 Current Scenario:
The red resistance zone is a critical level that needs to be broken for a trend shift to bullish.
If $TRUMP successfully breaks above this resistance, it could confirm a bullish trend, with the next target being the blue line level.
However, if price gets rejected, we could see another pullback or consolidation before another breakout attempt.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🔴 Resistance Zone: Red Level (Needs breakout to confirm bullish momentum)
🔵 Target Level: Blue Line (If breakout is successful)
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📌 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above Red Resistance)
If $TRUMP breaks and holds above the red resistance zone, this would confirm bullish momentum and a potential move toward the blue line target.
📌 Bearish Scenario (Rejection at Resistance)
If $TRUMP fails to break out, we could see a pullback or consolidation, meaning the downtrend could still continue.
📌 Conclusion
$TRUMP is at a key resistance zone—a breakout could confirm a bullish trend, targeting the blue line level, while a rejection may lead to further downside movement. Traders should watch for confirmation before making a move.
USD/CAD holds up OK despite tariffsOK, so it's finally happened. On March 4, 2025, President Trump imposed a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, with Canadian energy products facing a separate 10% tariff. Tariffs on Chinese imports were also doubled from 10% to 20%.
In response, Canada imposed immediate 25% tariffs on CA$30 billion worth of U.S. goods, with plans to extend them to another CA$125 billion in the coming weeks. While USD/CAD maintained a steady upward movement, it is difficult to characterize the move as a broad-based selloff. Maybe this is more of a trade scuffle than a trade war right now?
China announced additional tariffs of 10% to 15% on U.S. agricultural products, effective March 10. Mexico is set to announce its own retaliatory tariffs on March 9.
Now, the focus shifts to Trump’s next move. He has already suggested he will reciprocate the reciprocation. Where does this end? Full blown trade war? Meanwhile, reports suggest he is considering easing sanctions on Russia.
$NVDA to $130, then a crucial decision.Sure, NASDAQ:NVDA is in a downtrend, but the $114 bottom has been confirmed, which should lead to $130. After reaching $130, we'll see if the king is back.
A double bottom pattern is a classic technical analysis formation indicating a significant trend change and momentum reversal from a previous downtrend. It involves a security or index dropping, rebounding, dropping again to a similar level, and then rebounding once more (potentially starting a new uptrend). This pattern resembles the letter "W." The twice-touched low is now seen as a crucial support level. As long as these two lows hold, there is new potential for an upside.
BUY $130 NOW and enjoy the ride
XRP MARKET UPDATEHey everyone, coming with a quick XRP update, I hope you guys enjoy. Give this video a like if you enjoyed my insights and comment down below where you see XRP going to.
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How are 'Stategic Reserve' assets going to react?? Weve had plenty of scepticism come out over inclusion of altcoins in the strategic reserves. News reports on it undermining the reserve.
We have also had Trumps cost cutting and tariffs pushing bearish pressure on the market. While ADA+XRP+SOL are sitting on previous all time highs. Even more troublesome is the unwinding of USDT.
This may pull away one of the largest liquidity providers to the crypto space. This can be extremely bearish.
I am myself however still bullish. I see rising fundamentals and a lot of room for upside in L1s and applications token price.
Trump's Bombshell Strategic Reserve Announcement.Let's summarize the situation.
We were on the edge of slipping into a bear market, with CRYPTOCAP:BTC under heavy selling pressure and looking bearish on daily, hourly, and weekly timeframes.
A lot of people were caught off guard, selling their crypto to prepare for shorts and ending up sidelined—I was one of them, and I’m pissed. Since I live in Asia, I was asleep when it happened, and so was the entire Asian market.
Then, conveniently, Trump announced the strategic crypto reserve, which was originally scheduled for Friday to coincide with the White House crypto summit. Meanwhile, the tariffs are set to take effect on Tuesday.
On the global stage:
- The rejection of Zelensky has pushed Europe to react, with some leaders now considering sending troops to Ukraine. This could seriously complicate things for the Trump administration and potentially escalate into WWIII. No joke, this is a serious situation.
- Israel has decided to destroy Gaza completely and is now enforcing a full-scale siege, which will cause massive international backlash. The situation there never been so bad.
- Recession fears are mounting, and we can see markets starting to shake and correct.
And then Trump drops his crypto reserve announcement…
- This was a sloppy reveal—posted only on his own platform, not on X—which caused panic, as people scrambled to verify the source, thinking it was fake news.
- Even worse, the initial announcement didn’t mention Bitcoin or Ethereum! Instead, they listed CRYPTOCAP:XRP , Cardano, and Solana as part of the reserve, which made people think their accounts were hacked. Later, they corrected it, clarifying that CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH are at the "heart" of the reserve.
So yeah… Sunday night, completely unexpected, and poorly executed.
What does this mean for CRYPTOCAP:BTC ?
- Weekly timeframe: Nothing has changed—it’s still in a serious correction, and a 10% daily pump isn’t enough to reverse the trend. My previous analysis is still valid.
- Daily timeframe: The MACD has reset, and RSI is now in a neutral zone. This suggests a potential short-term pump over the next few days.
- Key levels: Supports at $91k and $80k are back, but $99k remains a major resistance and could reject $BTC.
- Leverage & liquidity: A massive $4.3 billion in longs has been built up, meaning we’re likely to retest the downside to liquidate them.
- CME gap: We just created a 10%+ CME gap, which will most likely be filled.
Conclusion:
Optimism is back, and we could see a short altseason as capital flows into altcoins, now that some are officially part of the U.S. national reserve.
BUT the global situation remains extremely concerning:
- War tensions in Europe and the Middle East
- Recession risks still on the table
- Uncertainty about how this crypto reserve will actually work
This is great news, but going all-in on longs at this point seems risky. How long will this momentum last? More than a week? I’m not sure.
Technically, the correction isn’t over. Unlike December 2024—when Trump’s election happened at the end of a correction, with a bullish MACD crossover—we are now at the START of a weekly correction, which could last until May 2025.
So yeah, fundamentally bullish, but technically, the correction still has room to go.
Trump Pumped the MarketTrump just dropped a game-changer: a U.S. Crypto Reserve, stacking Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Ripple (XRP), Solana (SOL), and Cardano (ADA). He’s talking big, calling the U.S. the "Crypto Capital of the World." The market lost its mind: BTC surged 8% to $90,828, ETH jumped 13% to $2,516, and the altcoin crew, XRP, SOL, and ADA, exploded with gains of 33%, 22%, and over 60%, respectively. That was the initial rush. Over the last 12 hours, things have settled, prices are holding, but the hype’s taking a breather. All eyes are on the White House Crypto Summit for what’s next.
What’s Really Going On?
This could be massive. If the U.S. government starts holding crypto, it might drag big institutions into the game, and some solid regulations could calm the wild west vibes. But hold up, Trump’s got his own crypto side hustle (think meme coins and sketchy Justin Sun connections), which raises some red flags. The market loved the hype, huge spikes everywhere, but the quick cooldown shows traders aren’t fully sold yet. Other countries might panic or jump on the bandwagon, so expect more chaos either way.
Your Bags: Hold, Buy, or Bail?
If you’re sitting on BTC, ETH, XRP, SOL, or ADA, this could pump your portfolio long-term, especially if the summit brings real substance, not just noise. Trump’s involvement, though? That’s tricky, it could warp the market in unpredictable ways. Details are thin, and crypto’s still a rollercoaster. The big pump was exciting, but the quiet after suggests we’re in a wait-and-see spot. Hard proof always trumps promises.
How to Trade This (No Nonsense)
Know Your Coins: Don’t jump in blind. BTC’s the heavyweight champ, ETH’s the smart money, XRP’s got speed, SOL’s lightning, ADA’s eco-friendly, pick what fits your style.
Spread It Out: This market’s a monster, mix in some stablecoins or stocks so you’re not riding one wave.
Stay Sharp: X is your go-to for real-time buzz, cross-check with CoinDesk and Reuters, but filter the noise. Summit news will shake things up.
Protect Yourself: Set stop-losses, volatility’s brutal, and headlines flip on a dime.
Key Levels to Watch: Set alerts, BTC’s $90k- GETTEX:92K is the big fight, ETH’s $2,500 is critical, XRP’s $2.17-$2.50 could swing hard. Stay tight on these.
The Bottom Line:
Trump’s crypto move rattled the cage, but it’s not a free ride. Keep your wits about you, watch those levels, and don’t chase the hype blindly. The summit’s the next big trigger, brace for impact. This is a chess match, not a quick gamble, so trade smart and guard your stack.
#TRUMP/USDT#TRUMP
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to continue upwards
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100 again
We have a descending trend on the RSI indicator that supports the rise by breaking it upwards
We have a support area at the lower limit of the channel at a price of 12.50
Entry price 13.00
First target 13.53
Second target 14.31
Third target 15.06
ETH, Next Stop => $2,750Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📌 ETH rejected the lower bound of the falling channel and the $2,100 - $2,250 support zone.
What’s next?
ETH remains in a correction phase, and a move toward the upper bound of the channel at $2,750 is expected.
🏹 As it retests the support zone, we will be looking for new short-term long opportunities.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Solana Reverses Downtrend: Trump's View on Crypto and What Next.Solana Breaks Downtrend Line: Trump’s Crypto Stance and Key Resistance at $180
Solana has recently broken the downtrend line on its daily timeframe, which has garnered significant attention in the crypto market. This shift in momentum comes amidst former President Donald Trump’s comments on cryptocurrencies, where he named XRP, Solana, and Cardano as potential candidates for a U.S. crypto reserve. His statements have sparked renewed interest in these assets, pushing their value upward.
Currently, Solana is facing resistance at the $180.00 level. For traders looking to enter a long position, it’s crucial to wait for a breakout above this key resistance. Confirming the breakout would require the price to close above the $180 level in a 4-hour timeframe. Until then, caution is advised, as the market continues to test this critical threshold.
Traders should monitor the situation closely for any signs of a breakout or rejection at the $180 level. If Solana manages to close above this level, it could signal the next phase of its upward momentum, with potential for further gains. However, patience is essential to ensure the breakout is confirmed before entering any long positions.
Bitcoin - Bitcoin, waiting for another decline?!Bitcoin is located between the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. Bitcoin's downward correction and its placement in the demand zone will provide us with the opportunity to buy it again. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range.
Donald Trump has issued an executive order on digital assets, directing the Presidential Task Force to move toward establishing a strategic cryptocurrency reserve that will include XRP, SOL, and ADA. He emphasized, “I will ensure that the United States becomes the cryptocurrency capital of the world.” Trump further added, “We are making America great again!”
He also highlighted Bitcoin and Ethereum as other valuable digital assets that will be central to this reserve, stating, “I love Bitcoin and Ethereum!” Following this announcement, Bitcoin responded positively to the news of the executive order.
On February 28, BlackRock made headlines after Bitcoin (BTC) dropped below $80,000. Amid speculation, some claimed that the company had sold $500 million worth of Bitcoin, playing a significant role in the price decline.
However, a closer analysis contradicts these claims. Data shows that BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) still holds 577,919 BTC. While this fund saw an outflow of 2,274 BTC on February 27 and a total of 10,595 BTC over the past week, this does not imply that BlackRock itself is selling Bitcoin.
These ETF outflows result from investors selling shares of the fund. In such scenarios, the ETF is required to sell Bitcoin proportionally to meet liquidity demands. Therefore, these movements are not directly tied to BlackRock’s own decision to offload BTC but rather reflect investor behavior.
Contrary to circulating rumors, BlackRock is not exiting Bitcoin; in fact, it has been increasing its exposure. Recent financial filings reveal that the company now holds a 5% stake in MicroStrategy (MSTR), up from 4.09% in September 2024.
Additionally, it has been announced that BlackRock plans to integrate its Bitcoin ETF into the firm’s $150 billion portfolio. This move suggests that rather than pulling out of the market, BlackRock is strengthening its position in Bitcoin-related assets.
Ultimately, this situation highlights how quickly rumors and speculation can spread during market downturns, but a detailed analysis of the data always provides a clearer picture of reality.
Meanwhile, Ronaldinho, the former Brazilian football star, has announced plans to launch his own cryptocurrency. He also warned his fans to stay vigilant against fraudulent meme coins.
OFFICIAL TRUMP: It Is Still Early 4 773% —111% & 333% Short-TermIt is still early. Great news.
In this chart we have a classic, the stop-loss hunt event.
TRUMPUSDT moved below support just to quickly recover. Support here is mapped as the 10-February low. The break above support produced a really strong, full green candle with really high volume.
This is a confirmed bullish breakout.
It is still early.
It is still early because of the stop-loss hunt event. The stop-loss hunt event only happens at bottom prices. Even though there was a strong move, relatively speaking (reading-writing), this move produced a recovery from a true bottom. Now that the action is happening above support, we can expect a bullish wave to develop.
The chances for lower prices are really low. Don't get me wrong, it is still possible to see a shakeout, another one, but this is very unlikely. Notice how high the volume is when prices move up. Now, notice how low the volume is when prices move down. The bears have no force, no momentum, no excuses left. In fact, many people were selling Bitcoin and many Altcoins at the bottom and now they have to buy at higher prices. They will never sell. Those that were already holding strong, won't sell either. We are all ready to hold.
The market is going up which is great news for all those involved.
Here we have a nice 773% target. It is still early.
We have an easy target at $34 for 111%.
Another target around $70 yields 333%.
Patience is key. Our strategy stays the same.
Accumulate as much as you can and then wait.
Each time you get paid, the money goes into Crypto; the market will take care of the rest.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Jesus Took The Wheel After All?An amusing thought...
After a week full of FUD, manipulation, and a turn to risk-off, BTC's price action appears to have assumed a familiar pattern--for now, anyway.
(Beating and finding support above 96K would likely validate this absurd turnaround.)
Will traders sell the news next week???