Gold NEW ATH to $2,954?! (1H UPDATE)Gold on the 4H TF is within its final Wave 5 bullish move, there’s no arguing with that. The only thing to debate is how high can Wave 5 push up before reversing?
While it’s possible that Wave 5 has now peaked at $2,942 & ready for a major correction, on the 1H TF I see a small possibly of it creating a new ATH toward $2,954. HIGH RISK TRADE.
Confluences👇🏻
⭕️Distribution Schematic Taking Place Between Wave 3 High, Wave 4 Low & Wave 5 High.
⭕️Wave E Rejected From Psychological Number Of $2,940 (LQ Trap).
⭕️No Strong Sell Off Yet To Indicate A Reversal Has Started.
Trump
XAUUSD - Gold, no competitors!Gold is located in a 2 -hour timeframe, above EMA200 and EMA50 and is on its uptrend channel. Gold reform to the demand range will provide us with a good risk position for us.
According to Tom Stevenson from Fidelity International, gold remains resilient despite challenges such as high interest rates and a strong dollar, continuing its march towards the $3,000 mark. However, while these fundamental factors persist, he believes that silver could be a more attractive investment option in the future.
Stevenson notes that gold prices have increased tenfold since 2000 and have surged by over $1,000 since late 2023. Yet, he argues that fundamentally, gold should not be this expensive.
He explains: “Historically, precious metals tend to underperform when interest rates rise. This is because, unlike bonds, stocks, cash, or real estate, gold does not generate income for investors. When other assets offer appealing returns, there is less incentive to hold onto what economist John Maynard Keynes once referred to as the ‘barbarous relic.’ This situation remains true today, yet gold continues to set new record highs.”
Stevenson also believes that gold should benefit from a weaker dollar. He states: “Since gold is priced in U.S. dollars, when other currencies strengthen against the dollar, their purchasing power for gold increases.Conversely, when the dollar strengthens, global demand for gold should decline. However, despite Trump’s policies reinforcing the dollar, gold remains on an upward trajectory.”
He concludes that this signals something important to the market: “Gold’s performance suggests that not everything is as stable in the world as some may think. It indicates investor concerns, and history has shown that ignoring gold’s signals during times of uncertainty is a mistake.”
Stevenson further emphasizes that central banks around the world are taking steps to hedge against risks. Since the onset of the Ukraine war and subsequent sanctions, countries like Russia, China, India, and Turkey have increased their gold purchases in an effort to reduce their dependence on the U.S. dollar. He points out that gold has long been recognized as a valuable store of wealth and a diversification tool, as it carries no credit risk unlike paper currencies. According to him, central bank gold purchases in 2024 have surpassed 1,000 tons for the third consecutive year.
Meanwhile, Elon Musk, the world’s richest man and head of the Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E), has shared memes resurfacing old conspiracy theories regarding the status of the U.S. government’s gold reserves at Fort Knox. In response, a prominent politician seized this rare opportunity to call for greater transparency.
Senator Rand Paul, a Republican representative from Kentucky, replied to one of Musk’s posts advocating for an annual audit of Fort Knox, writing, “Let’s do it.” So far, no evidence has surfaced to support Musk’s theory of missing gold, but the status of these reserves remains highly classified.
Gold reacts to unserious peace talksThe United States and Russia recently held peace talks in Saudi Arabia without Ukraine’s participation. Russian officials did not mention offering any concessions and U.S. officials did not claim to have scored any in Tuesday's meeting.
Adding to the unseriousness of the talks, Donald Trump called Zelensky a “dictator,” and suggested that Ukraine is responsible for the war, echoing obvious Russian talking points.
Gold rose above $2,930 per ounce on Wednesday, just shy of last week’s record high of $2,940.
Technical indicators remain in extreme overbought territory, although extreme geopolitical uncertainty may call for extreme readings for longer. In the near term, the pullback appears corrective, with XAU/USD still holding above all key moving averages on the 4-hour chart.
EURUSD - PoVThe EUR/USD exchange rate is influenced by several economic and political factors, suggesting that the euro may continue to weaken in the coming weeks. On one side, the United States is implementing expansive fiscal policies that could strengthen the dollar, such as economic stimulus and increased public spending. These factors, along with potential protectionist measures like tariffs on Europe, could further weaken the euro by reducing the competitiveness of European exports. Additionally, the **Federal Reserve's** monetary policy, which has raised interest rates to combat inflation, makes the dollar more attractive to investors, increasing demand for the U.S. currency. The United States' energy independence, due to increased domestic production of gas and oil, has also reduced its reliance on imports, which further strengthens the dollar compared to the euro.
On the other hand, the Eurozone is facing a series of economic and political challenges that are putting pressure on the single currency. High inflation is eroding purchasing power across the Eurozone, and despite the European Central Bank (ECB) raising interest rates to combat it, economic growth remains slow. This divergence from the United States, where growth has been more dynamic, amplifies the euro's weakness. Moreover, the ongoing energy crisis in Europe, worsened by the war in Ukraine and reduced gas supplies from Russia, has increased costs and slowed the competitiveness of European businesses. In this context, political uncertainties in some Eurozone countries and the ECB’s less aggressive economic management compared to the Fed further contribute to the euro's weakness.
Therefore, the strengthening of the dollar, driven by U.S. policies and growing energy independence, and the structural weakness of the Eurozone, are likely to continue pushing the EUR/USD lower in the coming weeks.
OFFICIAL TRUMP: Timing (New Bullish Wave Now, Get Ready!)How are you doing my friend in the law?
I hope you are having a wonderful day.
If you are reading this, it is very likely that you are.
If you aren't having a wonderful time right now you will soon because TRUMPUSDT is about to go up. A new bullish move.
Ok, here is what I see:
The initial bullish breakout is in.
After this move there is always a retrace and this retrace must end in a higher low. Why? Because that is the only way for a bullish wave to be a real bullish move. If we get a lower low, this means that the market is still bearish and prices are going down rather than up.
Since we know that the market is bullish and Bitcoin is super strong, and ready to move ahead, we know that TRUMPUSDT is ready to follow and grow as well.
Or, let's just say that some unexpected news event will show up tomorrow and this will be the excuse that will be used to say that this pair is going up. That's good, I agree.
News or no news, the higher low is in and this means that a higher high comes next.
Volume has been dropping and volume has been really low. Prices move down and volume goes down. When prices moved up trading volume was really strong. This is the confirmation that the bias is bullish. This is the confirmation that TRUMPUSDT is going up.
Do you trust in omens?
Do you follow the omens?
Today I had a positive omen and this is the way I am translating it to the charts.
Timing is of the essence, it is time to get paid.
Two main ways to approach this pair in a successful way:
1) Spot trades. Buy and hold. Buy as much as you can. Buy, buy, buy, buy, buy then wait. That's it. We are set for long-term growth so it doesn't matter what you do as long as you buy when prices are low.
2) Leveraged traders. You just need to make sure that your position remains active. You can have high leverage but not high enough to go into liquidation risk. As long as you are in and safe, you win because a bullish wave is approaching TRUMPUSDT.
That's it.
Let's win.
This is great entry timing, I believe.
Last time we did good and it is time to do it again.
What will it be?
We are going up.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
TESLA ($TSLA) "Long" -$600-Tesla (TSLA) on the 4-hour chart.
First thing to mention: Weekly Close in 2days about might print a 2nd Doji.
Key Support and Resistance Levels :
The price is currently testing a crucial support level around $350.
Orange Block, 15min unfilled gap. If we take it out and don't lose Cyan trendline I might even add to the trade.
Dotted Cyan lines, 4h resistances
Price might go to $470 or even new high then do retracement to stop out late Longs.
At $620, Projection of past price. I'll be 90% out before this.
If the price breaks above the cyan trend line and holds above $385 it could signal a bullish reversal.
Conversely, if the price fails to hold above these levels and drops below $350, it may continue its downward trend.
Keep an eye on volume during any breakout attempts. Higher volume can confirm the strength of the move.
Monitor key psychological levels like $400 and $500 for further confirmation.
XAU/USD : Time for BUY? Let's see! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 1-hour gold chart, we can see that, as expected, gold broke above the $2,902.5 resistance yesterday and continued its bullish movement, successfully hitting the next targets at $2,914 and $2,919!
I hope you made the most of this analysis! 🚀
The next potential move depends on whether gold stabilizes above $2,914. If it does, we could see further growth toward $2,922 and $2,928 as the next upside targets.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
$TSLA poised for an EASY rise to $400 and beyond.BUY NASDAQ:TSLA NOW
A falling wedge is a chart pattern suggesting a probable rise in a stock's price. This bullish pattern emerges during a downtrend, as the price range tightens and the trend lines converge.
RSI: 35.02 as of 02/10/2025
NASDAQ:TSLA 's price began 2025 at $403.84. As of today, it stands at $350.73, reflecting a -13% decrease since the start of the year. By the end of 2025, it's projected to reach $692 , a year-to-year increase of +71%. This marks a +97% rise from today’s price. Mid-2025 predictions place Tesla at $477 . In the first half of 2026, the price is expected to climb to $805, and by year-end, add another $163 to close at $968, which is +176% from the current price.
-Month Low $350.51
Low $350.51
Pivot Point 1st Support Point $346.59
Pivot Point 2nd Support Point $342.46
Price 1 Standard Deviation Support $334.84
Pivot Point 3rd Support Point $334.40
Thank you
OFFICIAL TRUMP 6X Lev. Trade Setup (2,142% Potential)Hello my friend, thank you for reading.
Your support is appreciated.
Below I am sharing the full trade-numbers for my TRUMPUSDT leveraged trade. This is for experienced traders only. Use these numbers at your own risk. You are responsible for all your wins, gains and profits. I cannot be responsible if you make any money. It is your decision to either trade or not to trade. To read or not to read, to follow or not to follow. To eat or not to eat. To breathe or not to breathe.
If you do good. That is up to you.
If you lose any money, that is also your responsibility.
I am sharing these numbers for learning and entertainment purposes only. It should be construed as financial advice.
Leveraged trading is high risk and for adults only.
Adults are responsible for their own actions.
I am wishing you luck, wealth, health and success.
___
LONG TRUMPUSDT
Leverage: 6X
Entry levels:
1) $17.1
2) $15.2
3) $14.3
Targets:
1) $18.4
2) $20.2
3) $22.2
4) $24.1
5) $26.0
6) $28.8
7) $32.3
8) $36.1
9) $38.5
10) $42.3
11) $48.6
12) $53.6
13) $58.6
14) $64.3
15) $74.9
Stop-loss:
Close weekly below $15
Potential profits: 2,142%
____
If you enjoy the content, feel free to follow.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
BTC (BTC/USDT) 4H Chart: Bullish Momentum BuildingThe 4-hour Bitcoin chart is showing clear signs of bullish continuation. Price action is forming a series of higher lows, supported by an increase in volume, signaling strong buying interest. The RSI is trending upward but remains below overbought levels, leaving room for further upside.
Support remains well-defined, providing a solid foundation for this setup and a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Traders should watch for a clean retest of the breakout zone or a confirmation candle for potential entry.
Overall, market structure, volume dynamics, and momentum indicators are aligning for a possible bullish continuation on the 4-hour timeframe.
Ethereum (ETH/USD) Long Setup on 1D – Bullish Breakout Ahead Ethereum (ETH) stands at a crucial crossroads on the 1-day chart. After weeks of consolidation, the battle between bulls and bears intensifies. Yesterday’s candle closed above the critical $2,800 resistance—a level the market has respected for weeks. This isn’t just a line on a chart; it’s a signal that the tides may be turning.
Markets reward those who act with insight, not impulse. Is this the moment Ethereum reclaims its momentum?
do you trust the breakout or expect a fake-out? Let’s discuss below! 👇
XAUUSD - Consolidation, what’s next?Here is our in-depth detailed view on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a detailed overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels.
Alright first, taking a look at XAUUSD from a lower time-frame . For this we will be looking at the m15 time-frame .
As of right now, we are consolidating on OANDA:XAUUSD The best “signal” for now is to sit on our hands and wait for a clear break. Right now we are in a range from around 2905.6 and 2896 . Until we get a clear break , we can’t know the direction of the pair just yet. So, breaking down everything and understanding the importance of Key Levels we have several outcomes possibly in play.
Scenario 1: BUYS at the break to the upside (from the consolidation area)
- We broke above our consolidation area.
With the break to the upside, we can expect to see 2915 or a deeper revisit of 2920. At this point we would have to see if we make any pullbacks, possibly revisiting the top of the consolidation area (now becoming our support).
Scenario 2: SELLS at the break to the downside (from the consolidation area)
- We broke below our consolidation area.
With the break to the downside, we can expect to see lower levels such as 2880. At this point we would have to see if we make any pullbacks and continue chugging away to the downside. With the breaks of current lows we have on gold, we can expect drops even down to 2840.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD is consolidating.
- Breaks to the upside would confirm buys.
- Breaks to the downside would confirm sells.
- Possible deeper digs to the upside from 2915.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Nothing !!!This is the result of trusting certain politicians !!
Be mindful of your investments, as politics shows no mercy to anyone.
Following the crowd isn't always the right move! It might seem bold, but if you take a look at the market, you'll see that even professional analysts have made mistakes multiple times. Still, when the big names on Wall Street say something, everyone listens because it's much easier to rely on an expert's words than to think and make decisions on your own.
If you want to rely solely on yourself, well, your success is yours, but if you fail, you can't blame anyone but yourself. People naturally like to follow others, often without even realizing it. That's why many traders use mechanical trading systems to take decision-making out of their own hands and avoid hesitation.
If you like support me...
NothingThis is the result of trusting certain politicians !!
Following the crowd isn't always the right move! It might seem bold, but if you take a look at the market, you'll see that even professional analysts have made mistakes multiple times. Still, when the big names on Wall Street say something, everyone listens because it's much easier to rely on an expert's words than to think and make decisions on your own.
If you want to rely solely on yourself, well, your success is yours, but if you fail, you can't blame anyone but yourself. People naturally like to follow others, often without even realizing it. That's why many traders use mechanical trading systems to take decision-making out of their own hands and avoid hesitation.
If you like support me...
Gold Rallies Above $2,900 Again, Will it Hold? Gold has retested the record high of 2,940 twice, raising concerns about a potential double or triple-top formation, as the RSI hovers near overbought levels last seen in November 2024—after which Gold retreated nearly 100 points.
However, the latest price action still indicates strength to the upside, driven by haven demand amid unresolved negotiations concerning the Russia Ukraine war.
Ahead of the talks, the EU reaffirmed support for Ukraine, while Ukraine rejected any agreement made on its behalf, as discussions shifted exclusively between the US and Russia.
Possible scenarios:
🔹 Bullish Scenario: A close above 2,940 could extend gains toward $3,000 and $3,050.
🔹 Bearish Scenario: If the 2,940 resistance holds, Gold could retrace to support levels at 2,860, 2,790, and 2,720, respectively
- Razan Hilal, CMT
2025 Market Outlook - Cautiously Bullish (Important Bar Counts)Hey Everybody,
Thanks for checking out the video. I'm reviewing all major instruments, US and Non US.
US has carried the financial markets since 2020 and 2022 and this year out of the gate we're seeing big runs in "uninvestable" spaces like Europe and China. I say that jokingly because of how bad everything thought non US assets were, but here we are watching DAX, FTSE, and HSI running to double digit gains while the US lags behind.
Will the US catch up and the global economy tide rise to lift all boats or are we truly seeing a catch up trade that will have headwinds uncertainties a plenty? Time will tell.
This week is a holiday shortened trading week, RBA and RBNZ expected to cut rates, Europe and US printing PMI on Friday. BABA and BIDU earnings this week (China related), and NVDA earnings next week (#2 market cap in US).
I discuss the big bar counts that I'm watching closely on SPY, SPX, XSP, RSP, NDX, QQQ, DIA, NVDA, META, NFLX, and others that I believe technically will matter for limited upside momentum without a bigger pause, snapback or correction ahead.
Cautiously optimistic is a perfect play for 2025. I'm off to a good start for the year and intend to keep that way without chasing or doing anything silly.
Thank for watching.
EURUSD - what to expect?Here is our in-depth view and update on EURUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels .
Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at EURUSD from a bigger perspective. For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame and following our original analysis posted on February 4th (check image below).
Now after we broke to the upside we are waiting to make a pullback on the pair (based on the H4 time-frame). As of now we are sitting on our hands and patiently waiting on the pullback to happen or possible reverses and join the uptrend. TVC:EXY has seen some strength last week regardless of the positive data for the TVC:DXY which gave back gains after U.S. President Donald Trump said in a social media post that he had spoken with Russian President Vladamir Putin about starting negotiations to end the war in Ukraine. This still holds positive weight on the EUR overall. Considering this, we can pre-plan some possible outcomes including both fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
Scenario 1: BUYS at the break the highs (1.05140)
- We broke above 1.05140.
With the break of this level we can expect a possible move towards the upside without even creating a deeper pullback. The technical analysis and fundamentals would be on our side.
Scenario 2: BUYS at the pullback (1.04360)
- We came down to our PBA (Pullback Area) at around 1.04360.
With the pullback completed and the price respecting this area, we could potentially see more upside on this pair from this KL (Key Level). Long-term buys at this price would be valid. Again technical and fundamentals analysis would both be on our side.
KEY NOTES
- EXY (EUR) showing strength after last week’s positive “news”.
- Breaks to the upside would confirm higher highs.
- Respecting our PBA (Pullback Area - 1.04360 would give us a buy opportunity.
- Possible resolutions between Ukraine and Russia.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
NAS100 - Nasdaq is setting a new ATH!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index corrects towards the marked trend line, which is also intersecting the demand zone, we can look for further buying opportunities in Nasdaq.
At the start of the week, the U.S. dollar strengthened significantly after President Donald Trump announced a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports. He also stated that any country imposing tariffs on American products would face reciprocal tariffs from the U.S. Later, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, in his congressional testimony, emphasized that the central bank is in no hurry to implement further rate cuts. Additionally, data from the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January came in higher than expected, further supporting the dollar.
Although the dollar experienced a slight correction on Thursday and Friday, these factors, combined with a strong non-farm payroll report for January, led investors to anticipate a rate cut of only 30 basis points for the year. This outlook is more hawkish than the Federal Reserve’s own forecast of a 50-basis-point reduction. In other words, traders in financial markets have fully priced in just a single 0.25% rate cut by December.
Kevin Hassett, Chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, revealed in an interview with CBS’s Face The Nation that he meets regularly with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. He stressed that these meetings are not intended to influence interest rate policy and that Powell’s independence is respected, although the President’s views are still conveyed.
Hassett also pointed out that long-term yields have declined, with a 40-basis-point drop in the 10-year Treasury yield, indicating market expectations of lower inflation.
Retail sales data showed a 0.9% decline following an upwardly revised 0.7% increase in December. Out of 13 reported categories, nine recorded declines, with the largest drops observed in automobiles, sporting goods, and furniture stores.
Following a tense week filled with impactful economic news, the upcoming week is expected to be quieter and shorter, as U.S. markets will be closed on Monday in observance of Presidents’ Day.
Key economic events for the week include the release of the Empire State Manufacturing Index on Tuesday, the minutes from the latest Federal Reserve policy meeting, and U.S. housing starts and building permits data on Wednesday. On Thursday, weekly jobless claims and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index will be released. Finally, Friday will see the publication of preliminary S&P Flash PMI reports and existing home sales data.
Critical 4.50% level being tested ahead of Trump speech and FOMCThe US10-year yield closed the week marginally higher at 4.48% after a busy week of events which saw the DXY stumble by 1.2% despite US CPI rising for the 4th consecutive month coupled with a rather hawkish yet upbeat testimony before congress from Fed chair Powell, which in my opinion was all dollar positive. US CPI for the month of January came in hotter than expected at 3.0% yoy, up from 2.9% in December. Additionally, on top of Powell’s comments regarding the strength of the US economy, the ISM Manufacturing PMI completely shattered expectations after coming in stronger than expected at 50.9 for the month of January.
The US10-year yield is currently testing the 50-day MA level of 4.52% as well as the blue support range between 4.45% and 4.50%. A break below 4.40% will however force me to invalidate my series of ideas on the US10-year yield calling for a move higher towards 5.00%. A break below 4.40% will allow bond bulls to pull the yield lower onto the 61.8% Fibo retracement at 4.30% and the 200-day MA at 3.69%.