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XAUUSD - Consolidation, what’s next?Here is our in-depth detailed view on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a detailed overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels. Alright first, taking a look at XAUUSD from a lower time-frame . For this we will be looking at the m15 time-frame . As of right now, we are consolidating on OANDA:XAUUSD The best “signal” for now is to sit on our hands and wait for a clear break. Right now we are in a range from around 2905.6 and 2896 . Until we get a clear break , we can’t know the direction of the pair just yet. So, breaking down everything and understanding the importance of Key Levels we have several outcomes possibly in play. Scenario 1: BUYS at the break to the upside (from the consolidation area) - We broke above our consolidation area. With the break to the upside, we can expect to see 2915 or a deeper revisit of 2920. At this point we would have to see if we make any pullbacks, possibly revisiting the top of the consolidation area (now becoming our support). Scenario 2: SELLS at the break to the downside (from the consolidation area) - We broke below our consolidation area. With the break to the downside, we can expect to see lower levels such as 2880. At this point we would have to see if we make any pullbacks and continue chugging away to the downside. With the breaks of current lows we have on gold, we can expect drops even down to 2840. KEY NOTES - XAUUSD is consolidating. - Breaks to the upside would confirm buys. - Breaks to the downside would confirm sells. - Possible deeper digs to the upside from 2915. Happy trading! FxPocket
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FxPocket
1
Nothing !!!This is the result of trusting certain politicians !! Be mindful of your investments, as politics shows no mercy to anyone. Following the crowd isn't always the right move! It might seem bold, but if you take a look at the market, you'll see that even professional analysts have made mistakes multiple times. Still, when the big names on Wall Street say something, everyone listens because it's much easier to rely on an expert's words than to think and make decisions on your own. If you want to rely solely on yourself, well, your success is yours, but if you fail, you can't blame anyone but yourself. People naturally like to follow others, often without even realizing it. That's why many traders use mechanical trading systems to take decision-making out of their own hands and avoid hesitation. If you like support me...
Short
by CobraVanguard
1
NothingThis is the result of trusting certain politicians !! Following the crowd isn't always the right move! It might seem bold, but if you take a look at the market, you'll see that even professional analysts have made mistakes multiple times. Still, when the big names on Wall Street say something, everyone listens because it's much easier to rely on an expert's words than to think and make decisions on your own. If you want to rely solely on yourself, well, your success is yours, but if you fail, you can't blame anyone but yourself. People naturally like to follow others, often without even realizing it. That's why many traders use mechanical trading systems to take decision-making out of their own hands and avoid hesitation. If you like support me...
Long
by CobraVanguard
Gold Rallies Above $2,900 Again, Will it Hold? Gold has retested the record high of 2,940 twice, raising concerns about a potential double or triple-top formation, as the RSI hovers near overbought levels last seen in November 2024—after which Gold retreated nearly 100 points. However, the latest price action still indicates strength to the upside, driven by haven demand amid unresolved negotiations concerning the Russia Ukraine war. Ahead of the talks, the EU reaffirmed support for Ukraine, while Ukraine rejected any agreement made on its behalf, as discussions shifted exclusively between the US and Russia. Possible scenarios: 🔹 Bullish Scenario: A close above 2,940 could extend gains toward $3,000 and $3,050. 🔹 Bearish Scenario: If the 2,940 resistance holds, Gold could retrace to support levels at 2,860, 2,790, and 2,720, respectively - Razan Hilal, CMT
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
2025 Market Outlook - Cautiously Bullish (Important Bar Counts)Hey Everybody, Thanks for checking out the video. I'm reviewing all major instruments, US and Non US. US has carried the financial markets since 2020 and 2022 and this year out of the gate we're seeing big runs in "uninvestable" spaces like Europe and China. I say that jokingly because of how bad everything thought non US assets were, but here we are watching DAX, FTSE, and HSI running to double digit gains while the US lags behind. Will the US catch up and the global economy tide rise to lift all boats or are we truly seeing a catch up trade that will have headwinds uncertainties a plenty? Time will tell. This week is a holiday shortened trading week, RBA and RBNZ expected to cut rates, Europe and US printing PMI on Friday. BABA and BIDU earnings this week (China related), and NVDA earnings next week (#2 market cap in US). I discuss the big bar counts that I'm watching closely on SPY, SPX, XSP, RSP, NDX, QQQ, DIA, NVDA, META, NFLX, and others that I believe technically will matter for limited upside momentum without a bigger pause, snapback or correction ahead. Cautiously optimistic is a perfect play for 2025. I'm off to a good start for the year and intend to keep that way without chasing or doing anything silly. Thank for watching.
SP:SPX
by ChrisPulver
EURUSD - what to expect?Here is our in-depth view and update on EURUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels . Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at EURUSD from a bigger perspective. For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame and following our original analysis posted on February 4th (check image below). Now after we broke to the upside we are waiting to make a pullback on the pair (based on the H4 time-frame). As of now we are sitting on our hands and patiently waiting on the pullback to happen or possible reverses and join the uptrend. TVC:EXY has seen some strength last week regardless of the positive data for the TVC:DXY which gave back gains after U.S. President Donald Trump said in a social media post that he had spoken with Russian President Vladamir Putin about starting negotiations to end the war in Ukraine. This still holds positive weight on the EUR overall. Considering this, we can pre-plan some possible outcomes including both fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Scenario 1: BUYS at the break the highs (1.05140) - We broke above 1.05140. With the break of this level we can expect a possible move towards the upside without even creating a deeper pullback. The technical analysis and fundamentals would be on our side. Scenario 2: BUYS at the pullback (1.04360) - We came down to our PBA (Pullback Area) at around 1.04360. With the pullback completed and the price respecting this area, we could potentially see more upside on this pair from this KL (Key Level). Long-term buys at this price would be valid. Again technical and fundamentals analysis would both be on our side. KEY NOTES - EXY (EUR) showing strength after last week’s positive “news”. - Breaks to the upside would confirm higher highs. - Respecting our PBA (Pullback Area - 1.04360 would give us a buy opportunity. - Possible resolutions between Ukraine and Russia. Happy trading! FxPocket
by FxPocket
1
NAS100 - Nasdaq is setting a new ATH!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index corrects towards the marked trend line, which is also intersecting the demand zone, we can look for further buying opportunities in Nasdaq. At the start of the week, the U.S. dollar strengthened significantly after President Donald Trump announced a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports. He also stated that any country imposing tariffs on American products would face reciprocal tariffs from the U.S. Later, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, in his congressional testimony, emphasized that the central bank is in no hurry to implement further rate cuts. Additionally, data from the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January came in higher than expected, further supporting the dollar. Although the dollar experienced a slight correction on Thursday and Friday, these factors, combined with a strong non-farm payroll report for January, led investors to anticipate a rate cut of only 30 basis points for the year. This outlook is more hawkish than the Federal Reserve’s own forecast of a 50-basis-point reduction. In other words, traders in financial markets have fully priced in just a single 0.25% rate cut by December. Kevin Hassett, Chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, revealed in an interview with CBS’s Face The Nation that he meets regularly with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. He stressed that these meetings are not intended to influence interest rate policy and that Powell’s independence is respected, although the President’s views are still conveyed. Hassett also pointed out that long-term yields have declined, with a 40-basis-point drop in the 10-year Treasury yield, indicating market expectations of lower inflation. Retail sales data showed a 0.9% decline following an upwardly revised 0.7% increase in December. Out of 13 reported categories, nine recorded declines, with the largest drops observed in automobiles, sporting goods, and furniture stores. Following a tense week filled with impactful economic news, the upcoming week is expected to be quieter and shorter, as U.S. markets will be closed on Monday in observance of Presidents’ Day. Key economic events for the week include the release of the Empire State Manufacturing Index on Tuesday, the minutes from the latest Federal Reserve policy meeting, and U.S. housing starts and building permits data on Wednesday. On Thursday, weekly jobless claims and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index will be released. Finally, Friday will see the publication of preliminary S&P Flash PMI reports and existing home sales data.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
1
Critical 4.50% level being tested ahead of Trump speech and FOMCThe US10-year yield closed the week marginally higher at 4.48% after a busy week of events which saw the DXY stumble by 1.2% despite US CPI rising for the 4th consecutive month coupled with a rather hawkish yet upbeat testimony before congress from Fed chair Powell, which in my opinion was all dollar positive. US CPI for the month of January came in hotter than expected at 3.0% yoy, up from 2.9% in December. Additionally, on top of Powell’s comments regarding the strength of the US economy, the ISM Manufacturing PMI completely shattered expectations after coming in stronger than expected at 50.9 for the month of January. The US10-year yield is currently testing the 50-day MA level of 4.52% as well as the blue support range between 4.45% and 4.50%. A break below 4.40% will however force me to invalidate my series of ideas on the US10-year yield calling for a move higher towards 5.00%. A break below 4.40% will allow bond bulls to pull the yield lower onto the 61.8% Fibo retracement at 4.30% and the 200-day MA at 3.69%.
TVC:US10Y
by Goose96
OXY: Bullish Breakout PotentialA break above the 50.80 level could confirm the stock is ready to clear its descending channel and shift momentum in favor of the bulls. This price has acted as a pivotal zone in recent sessions, and a decisive close above it would suggest the downtrend may be reversing. A surge in volume above 50.80 would further strengthen the long setup, potentially targeting the high 50s or low 60s if buyers follow through. The RSI on this 2W chart is hovering near the middle (accumulation) range. It’s neither showing an extreme overbought nor deeply oversold condition. That gives price room to run in either direction. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading and investing involve risk, and independent research or consultation with a professional is recommended before making any financial decisions.
NYSE:OXY
by MysticMads
[4H] DXY - Mid-Term Analysis Under Donald TrumpThe U.S. dollar experienced heightened volatility on the day of Donald Trump’s hypothetical inauguration for a second term as president, reflecting market uncertainty around his policy agenda. Below is an analysis of potential drivers for the dollar’s trajectory, incorporating short-term dynamics and longer-term risks: --- 1. Tariffs, Inflation, and the Fed’s Response A renewed push for reciprocal—and potentially universal (due to practicality)—tariffs could disrupt global trade flows, raising import costs for U.S. businesses and consumers. Coupled with an already tight labor market, these pressures could accelerate inflation. Elevated input costs (e.g., raw materials, manufactured goods) might manifest in key metrics like the Consumer Price Index (CPI) as early as Q2 2024 (March-May), particularly if supply chains face renewed bottlenecks. In this scenario, the Federal Reserve —which remains staunchly data-dependent—could respond with rate hikes to anchor inflation expectations. Higher interest rates would likely bolster the dollar’s appeal in the near term, attracting foreign capital seeking yield advantages in U.S. Treasuries or other dollar-denominated assets. Markets may price in this hawkish pivot ahead of official Fed action, amplifying short-term dollar strength. --- 2. Safe-Haven Demand Amid Geopolitical Risks Trump’s aggressive trade rhetoric (e.g., targeting China, the EU, or emerging markets) risks sparking retaliatory measures, reviving fears of a global trade war. Heightened geopolitical uncertainty could drive investors toward traditional safe-haven assets, including the U.S. dollar and Treasury bonds. This dynamic would likely support the DXY (Dollar Index) in the short term, particularly if equity markets react negatively to protectionist policies. --- 3. Long-Term Risks: Economic Slowdown and Eroded Confidence While tariffs and inflation may initially buoy the dollar, their prolonged implementation could backfire. Sticky or increased inflation combined with higher borrowing costs (from Fed hikes) might dampen consumer spending, corporate investment, and GDP growth. Simultaneously, trade barriers could shrink export opportunities for U.S. industries, exacerbating economic headwinds. Over a multi-year horizon, these factors could undermine confidence in the dollar’s stability, especially if deficits widen or growth stagnates ( stagflation risks ). Markets are forward-looking, however, and may begin discounting these risks earlier—potentially as soon as late 2024—if trade tensions escalate or growth indicators falter. --- Conclusion: Volatility as the Only Certainty The dollar’s path will hinge on the speed and scale of policy implementation, the Fed’s reaction function, and global market sentiment. While short-term strength is plausible due to rate hike expectations and safe-haven flows, structural risks loom on the horizon. Trump’s unpredictable policymaking style adds layers of uncertainty, suggesting the dollar could face a turbulent, news-driven cycle. Investors should brace for whipsaw moves in the DXY, with tactical opportunities in the near term countered by longer-term macroeconomic vulnerabilities. Key Watchpoints: CPI prints (Q2 2024), Fed meeting language, trade negotiation timelines, and global central bank responses to U.S. protectionism. --- This analysis balances immediate catalysts with structural shifts, acknowledging the dollar’s role as both a haven and a victim of its own policy successes.
FXOPEN:DXYShort
by KenzoYagai
BTCUSDT Targeting 120K with 20%-25% Gains Ahead!BTCUSDT is currently showing a strong bounce from its key support level, a critical area that has historically held up during periods of price correction. The price action suggests that BTCUSDT is poised to make a significant move upward, especially as it is testing this support with good volume backing the move. Traders are watching closely as Bitcoin shows resilience and the potential for a price rally toward the 120K level. With expectations of a 20% to 25%+ gain, this setup presents an exciting opportunity for those looking to capitalize on Bitcoin’s bounce off this major support zone. Support and resistance levels play a vital role in technical analysis, and BTCUSDT's current price action is a clear example of how these levels can guide market behavior. After a period of consolidation near the support level, the market has begun to show signs of upward momentum, with solid volume confirming that buying pressure is increasing. If BTCUSDT continues to hold above this support and breaks through resistance, it could trigger a strong rally, pushing the price closer to the 120K mark. This move is in line with broader market trends, with increasing investor interest suggesting that Bitcoin is gearing up for the next leg of its bullish cycle. The good volume behind the bounce is a positive indicator for traders, as it signals that the market is backing the move. As more investors take notice of the support and resistance levels, the likelihood of a breakout increases, potentially leading to a sharp upward movement. With Bitcoin’s historical ability to break through resistance levels after strong support holds, there’s a growing sense of optimism that BTCUSDT could see further gains in the near term. The projected 20% to 25%+ return is within reach, especially if the momentum continues to build. Traders should continue to monitor key support and resistance zones, as these levels will be crucial in determining whether the price can sustain its bullish momentum. Bitcoin’s next move could be a critical one, and timing the entry could make all the difference in capturing these potential gains. With the market showing increasing interest in BTCUSDT, this setup could lead to a rewarding opportunity for those positioned correctly as Bitcoin aims for new highs.
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
Phemex Analysis #59: How to Trade TRUMP Like a ProNot long ago, PHEMEX:TRUMPUSDT.P coin was the talk of the crypto world, soaring to a staggering $83 in a spectacular rally. But as with every euphoric rise, the pullback was inevitable. TRUMP plunged to $14, leaving many traders wondering—was the hype over? Yet, in the ever-unpredictable world of crypto, nothing stays still for long. TRUMP has shown signs of life again, bouncing back to $18.8. Now, the burning question is: Is this the beginning of another explosive rally, or is more downside ahead? Let’s explore these possible scenarios and how you can trade TRUMP like a pro. Possible Scenarios 1. Price Bouncing Back Strong Momentum traders are eyeing a potential comeback as TRUMP attempts to reclaim lost ground. If the rally continues, key resistance levels to watch include: • $20.5 – The first major resistance; breaking above this level could trigger a short-term rally. • $28.3 – A key psychological level where profit-taking may occur. • $43.8 – A critical resistance point; if TRUMP reaches this zone, it could attract significant buying interest and FOMO-driven momentum. Pro Tips: • If TRUMP breaks above $20.5 with high volume, consider entering a long position. • As price approaches $28.3 and $43.8, take partial profits to secure gains while keeping exposure to further upside. • Use trailing stop-losses to protect profits in case of sudden reversals. • If price fails to break resistance levels, consider reducing exposure or waiting for a better entry. 2. Bearish Drop – Another Leg Down? Despite the recent bounce, the market remains uncertain. If TRUMP fails to hold $14 and breaks below it with high volume, it could signal renewed bearish pressure. Key psychological support levels to watch: • $10 – A major round-number support level where buyers may step in. • $5 – A historical low that could serve as a strong accumulation zone. Pro Tips: • If TRUMP breaks below $14 with high volume, consider shorting the asset to capitalize on further downside. • For dip buyers, wait for signs of stabilization at $10 or $5 before entering. A strong bounce off these levels could present a great buying opportunity. • Watch RSI and volume—if TRUMP drops on low volume with RSI divergence, it may indicate a potential bottom formation. Final Thoughts TRUMP coin remains a highly volatile asset, offering both risk and reward for traders. Whether it stages a strong recovery, drops to new lows, or consolidates in a range, staying patient and adapting to market conditions is key. • For bulls – Look for volume-driven breakouts above resistance levels. • For bears – Monitor price action near key supports and be ready to short if weakness prevails. • For patient traders – Watch for confirmation signals before committing to a trade. Crypto markets are unpredictable, but with the right strategy and discipline, you can trade TRUMP like a pro. Would you go long, short, or stay on the sidelines? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀📉 Pro Tips: Elevate Your Trading Game with Phemex. Experience unparalleled flexibility with features like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time adjustments to strategy orders. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution. Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
by Phemex
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – Bullish Breakout in Sight! 🚀 Market Vibes: With US equities and XAU (Gold) on the rise, BTC sentiment is looking strong too! Price action is channeling, but these dips show buyers stepping in. That’s a big confidence booster for me to ride this wave up. 🔥 Long Setup: • Entry: Look to buy on any minor pullback or a break above the current 1H Kijun zone. • Stop Loss: Place just below the channel support (risk 1% of account). • Target: Eye a 1:2 or 1:3 RRR toward the next supply zone. Confidence Boosters: • Equities rallying? Check! ✅ • Gold pumping? Check! ✅ • BTC channel support holding strong? Check! ✅ Let’s see if this bullish momentum can keep pushing us higher! Keep an eye out for volatility around any macro news—stay safe and trade well. 🤞🔥
Long
by Fondera
Reciprocal tariffs teased, markets react President Donald Trump has just signed a sweeping reciprocal tariff plan. The directive instructs the U.S. to develop new levies on a country-by-country basis but stopped short of implementing any immediate levies. The Dow reached an intraday high after the market realized the reciprocal tariff process could take weeks or months. In forex, the biggest gainers have been the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc, although the British pound is performing well too. Wells Fargo predict that the tariffs could slow economic growth this year, describing them as a “modest stagflationary shock”. A study from the Peterson Institute estimates that existing import tariffs on Chinese, Mexican, and Canadian goods already cost the average American household over $1,200 annually, with reciprocal tariffs likely adding to that burden.
by BlackBull_Markets
Trump-Putin Ukraine Deal: Impacts on Forex Hello, I am Professional Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about an important news that is shaking up the global markets: Donald Trump has apparently reached an agreement with Vladimir Putin to end the war in Ukraine, with an agreement that includes Ukraine's exit from NATO. The historic meeting between the two leaders will take place in Saudi Arabia and this move is expected to have a profound impact on the global geopolitical and financial landscape, especially on the Forex market. Geopolitical and Economic Impact: The announcement of a possible agreement between Trump and Putin could mark a significant turning point in the war in Ukraine. If Ukraine were to actually leave NATO, it would open a new phase of stability for the region, but at the same time it could create uncertainty on the geopolitical borders. This decision will directly affect the currency markets, in particular the currencies of the countries involved, the main European currencies and the US dollar. In the current context, the war in Ukraine is one of the main causes of economic instability worldwide. Any end to hostilities could lead to a reduction in economic sanctions and a revival of trade flows between Russia, Europe and the United States. These changes will be closely monitored by traders, as any geopolitical fluctuations could affect the dynamics of currencies globally. Implications for Forex: A possible agreement between Trump and Putin could have a direct impact on Forex, especially on the following currencies: Russian Ruble (RUB): A peace agreement would lead to a possible revaluation of the ruble. International sanctions against Russia could be gradually removed, boosting the Russian economy and supporting demand for the ruble in global markets. Euro (EUR): Ukraine's exit from NATO could lead to greater stability for European countries involved in the conflict, but it could also reduce the risk associated with energy and military security. In the short term, the Euro could appreciate against riskier currencies, but the situation could vary depending on the political reactions in Europe. US Dollar (USD): The dollar could react positively if the Trump-Putin deal is seen as a stabilization of international relations, but it will also depend on how the Federal Reserve responds to evolving economic conditions. A slowdown in the conflict could reduce the uncertainty that has pushed markets towards the dollar as a safe haven. British Pound (GBP): The pound could benefit from a possible de-escalation of the crisis, but again, domestic political factors in the UK, such as its post-Brexit negotiations, will continue to influence the currency. What to expect in the coming days: News of the Trump-Putin meeting in Saudi Arabia will be watched closely by the markets. If the details of the deal are confirmed, we can expect an immediate reaction in the currency markets. Forex is likely to see increased volatility in the currency pairs tied to the nations involved, with shifts in capital flows that could reflect a new perception of risk or stability. Conclusions: In summary, the Trump-Putin deal could be a turning point in the war in Ukraine and have a significant impact on financial markets, especially Forex. Investors will need to carefully monitor geopolitical developments and prepare for possible currency fluctuations. With the end of hostilities, stability could return to favor some currencies, but the situation remains delicate and constantly evolving.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
Trump-Putin call sparks euro rallyThe euro surged to session highs after former U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 90-minute call with Russian President Vladimir Putin, during which they agreed to visit each other and initiate negotiations to end the war in Ukraine. Trump stated that peace talks would begin “immediately.” Technically, the euro rebounded from downtrend support, keeping attention on a potential breakout at the January range of 1.02–1.05. Bears potentially remain vulnerable as long as the pair holds above the 1.02 level. Shortly after his conversation with Putin, Trump spoke with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. Zelensky later confirmed the discussion, describing it as “meaningful” and mentioning plans for a new agreement on security, economic cooperation, and resource partnerships.
by BlackBull_Markets