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Trump Coin: Bearish Signals and Double Bottom AheadAs of January 25, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at approximately $102,378, exhibiting bearish tendencies. This downturn is influencing altcoins, including Trump Coin (TRUMP), which is currently priced around $27.14. Technical Analysis of Trump Coin (TRUMP): Head and Shoulders Pattern: On higher timeframes, TRUMP has formed a head and shoulders pattern, a classic bearish indicator suggesting potential downward movement in the mid-term. Double Bottom Support Level: The anticipated decline may lead TRUMP to revisit its previous double bottom support around the $5 mark. Short-Term Bullish Spike: Before reaching the $8.80 support level, a brief bullish surge towards $12.544 is expected, possibly offering short-selling opportunities. Supporting News and Market Sentiment: Recent developments have contributed to the bearish outlook: Regulatory Concerns: President Donald Trump's executive order to establish a task force for proposing new cryptocurrency regulations has introduced uncertainty, leading to market declines. Meme Coin Volatility: The launch of TRUMP and MELANIA meme coins saw initial surges followed by significant crashes, highlighting the speculative nature of these assets and raising concerns about their impact on the broader crypto market. Given these factors, traders should exercise caution. Monitoring key support and resistance levels, along with staying informed about regulatory developments, is crucial for making informed decisions regarding TRUMP and the broader cryptocurrency market.
Short
by insidermike
1
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – 4H Kijun Retest Price Action & Analysis: BTC is currently hovering around the 4H Kijun level, which has acted as reliable support. We expect a continuation of the bullish momentum going into the weekend, anticipating a clean drive up as buyers step in. Trade Idea (Long): – Entry: Buy now at market. – Risk: 1% of account. – Reward: Target a 1:3 RRR (place stop-loss just below the 4H Kijun or last swing low). – Watch out for any macro news that may trigger unexpected volatility. If price fails to hold above the Kijun, manage or exit the trade.
Long
by Fondera
AI Electricity demand powering up #NRG to $253NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG) is a prominent energy and home services provider operating across the United States and Canada. The company is strategically positioning itself as a significant player in the AI sector, driven by its production and distribution of electricity, which is crucial for meeting the energy demands of both businesses and consumers in the AI realm. Remarkably, North America has experienced a spike in electricity demand for the first time in almost forty years. Larry Coben, the CEO of NRG, highlighted that the trends in electrification, along with the expected rise of generative AI data centers, indicate a substantial increase in power requirements. He noted that these trends are paving the way for the company to reach its goal of achieving 15% to 20% growth in free cash flow.
NYSE:NRGLong
by BallaJi
Bitcoin compression into expansion?As one of the most historic weeks in crypto history draws to a close, it feels like the next leg in the Bullrun is upon us. The reason for this is a clear Higher low pattern going into a resistance zone @ $106,000, buyers are willing to buy up any lower timeframe dips in price at progressively higher and high levels showing strength. The 1H 200 EMA also providing clear support since being reclaimed @ $94,000 and as it gets closer and closer to the resistance level something has to give way. After all the bullish news coming out of the USA in relation to crypto and leaving the typical January dip and going into the historically bullish Feb-March months all is looking good. A bearish scenario would be a potential beartrap that punishes euphoric late longs thinking this is a simple trade, the truth is it's overcrowded and the market tends to aim for max pain at all times, max pain here is a sell-off but until this bullish structure is broken I am not worried.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.P
by ProR35
Trump Threatens Europe with Tariffs: What About the Markets? Hi, I’m Andrea Russo, a professional trader, and today I want to discuss this week's hot topic. Donald Trump has recently revived his old economic slogan, promising heavy tariffs for companies that do not produce within the United States. In a public statement, the former president reiterated that foreign producers would face tariffs if they do not establish manufacturing plants in the USA. A direct attack on the European Union and its Green Deal policies, which he called a "scam". But what impact will this threat have on global markets? In this article, we’ll explore the potential consequences for stock markets, currencies, and vulnerable economic sectors, as well as the ripple effects on global monetary policies. 1. The Context of Trump's Threat Trump’s threat of imposing significant tariffs on foreign companies is nothing new. During his presidency, he initiated a series of trade wars, particularly against China, threatening tariffs on imported goods to stimulate domestic production and reduce the trade deficit. Now, Trump is reprising this approach, focusing this time on the European Union and targeting environmental policies and the Green Deal, which he has long promoted as a "scam" and harmful to American businesses. His proposal to cut taxes to 15% for companies investing in the USA, combined with the threat of tariffs on imported goods, could strengthen his electoral base but has the potential to stir tensions between the world’s largest economies. 2. Impact on Financial Markets Trump's announcement has already triggered reactions in financial markets. While the risk of a global trade war may seem reduced compared to the peaks of 2018-2019, the threat of new tariffs has the potential to create turbulence, especially in sectors that are particularly exposed to changes in tariff policies. Export and import sectors: Companies heavily reliant on imports/exports may be the most vulnerable to these threats. European and Asian producers exporting to the USA could face reduced profit margins if they are hit with new tariffs. In particular, the automotive, technology, and electronics sectors could see demand contraction from American consumers who may have to pay higher prices for imported products. German, Japanese, and Chinese automotive companies could be particularly affected, as they represent a major share of imports into the USA. Currencies: An immediate reaction to these developments could reflect in the currency markets. The USD could strengthen, as protectionist policies are often seen as an incentive for domestic production, making it more attractive to invest in the United States. However, an escalation in the trade war could lead to higher volatility and weaken sentiment toward emerging market currencies, which are more vulnerable to U.S. protectionist measures. 3. Companies and Sectors Sensitive to Tariff Threats Technology sector: Tech companies with strong presences in Asia, such as Apple, Samsung, and Huawei, may face pressure on their profit margins if they are subject to tariffs on exports to the USA. Trump’s policies could push companies to reconsider their global supply chains and set up local production in the USA to avoid additional tariffs. Automotive sector: Another sector highly vulnerable to tariffs is the automotive industry. Foreign automakers may find themselves paying tariffs on imported vehicles, reducing the competitiveness of their products compared to U.S. manufacturers like Ford and General Motors. This scenario could lead investors to reassess their positions on automotive stocks and trade based on expectations of declining demand. Energy sector & Green Deal: Trump’s strong criticism of the European Green Deal could boost the position of American energy companies, particularly those operating in natural gas and oil. The United States may further loosen environmental regulations to stimulate domestic production, benefiting American energy companies over European ones. However, a tariff threat on imported green technologies could hinder investments in renewable energy innovation. 4. Political and Geopolitical Reactions A likely response to this tariff threat could be immediate retaliation from the European Union and other nations. Countermeasures could include imposing reciprocal tariffs on U.S. goods, as occurred during Trump’s previous term. The escalation of such measures could trigger a new cycle of protectionism, amplifying global economic uncertainty. The European Union, in particular, could adopt policies aimed at reducing its dependence on the United States, strengthening trade alliances with Asia and other emerging economies, which could significantly impact international trade and currency valuations. 5. Implications for Investors: Strategies and Risks With growing uncertainty over global trade policies, investors should closely monitor the evolution of this situation. Some potential strategies include: Currency hedging: Investors may choose to hedge their positions in currency markets using instruments like forex futures or currency options to mitigate the risk of unexpected dollar fluctuations. Defensive sectors: Investing in more defensive sectors, such as consumer goods and utilities, which tend to be less sensitive to geopolitical developments, could be a safer strategy in times of uncertainty. Low correlation stocks: Looking at alternative assets or investing in low-correlation stocks (e.g., small-cap stocks or emerging market stocks) could be an interesting strategy to diversify and reduce risk during periods of volatility. Conclusion Trump's threat to impose new tariffs on imported goods signals a return to more protectionist trade policies. While the market’s initial reaction may be volatile, the long-term effect will depend on how the geopolitical situation evolves and the countermeasures taken by U.S. trading partners. Investors should prepare for a new phase of uncertainty, closely monitoring central bank actions, fiscal policies, and corporate strategies to navigate this new economic reality effectively.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
BoJ hikes rates, yen pares gainsThe Japanese yen gained as much as 0.8% earlier today but has failed to consolidate these gains. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 156.03, dwon 0.02% on the day. The Bank of Japan hiked its policy rate by 25 basis points earlier today, as expected. This brings the policy rate to 0.5%, its highest level since October 2008, during the global financial crisis. The Japanese yen climbed sharply after the decision but was unable to consolidate these gains. The BoJ has been signaling that it planned to raise rates at today's meeting, although the BoJ tends to surprise the markets and a rate hike, while expected, was not a given. The BoJ statement expressed hope that this year's wage negotiations would result in strong wage increases, as was the case last year. Governor Ueda has said in the past that he would raise rates provided that inflation was driven by higher wages, which would show that inflation was sustainable. Wage growth has been moving higher and this resulted in today's rate hike. Japan's inflation rate has been moving higher and the December inflation report, which came out today, showed core CPI climbed to 3%, up from 2.7% in November and in line with the market estimate. The core rate has hovered above the BoJ's 2% target for 2.5 years and at today's meeting, the BoJ upgraded its inflation outlook to above 2% until 2026. Predictably, Governor Ueda didn't provide a timeline for the next rate hike at his post-meeting press conference, but a May rate hike is on the table if the wage negotiations result in higher wages and inflation does not weaken unexpectedly. Another key factor in the timing of the next rate hike will be President Trump's trade policy. Trump had promised to levy tariffs on US trading partners on his first day in office but has delayed the tariffs until at least Feb. 1. The BoJ will want to see which direction Trump's trade policy is going before raising rates again. There is support at 154.78 and 153.27 156.49 and 158.00 are the next resistance lines
by OANDA
TRUMP COIN: An Objective PerspectiveA US President creating a meme coin just as he is inaugurated. That is something I never thought I would live to see. Donald J Trump created a meme cryptocurrency coin called TRUMP. In a matter of hours since launched, this coin blasted sky high. TRUMP coin is now the 25th most valuable cryptocurrency coin with a value of around $8 billion USD, according to the website CoinMarketCap. There are both positive and negative remarks surrounding the launch of this coin, but needless to say, there is massive hype around crypto at the moment. In the video I go through my thoughts on the chart analysis, as well as personal opinion on what may possibly happen. Trade safe out there, guys! - R2F Trading
by Road_2_Funded
2
XAUUSD: Trump set the markets on fire!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour time frame and is in its ascending channel. Our initial position today will be to buy gold. If gold rises to the previous ATH, we can look for selling positions at the ceiling indicated by the upward trend line. It appears that Trump has softened his stance on tariffs, a shift that has significantly impacted the dollar. He has stated that he prefers using tariffs as a tool to control China rather than directly imposing them. Currently, a 10% tariff on Chinese imports might be implemented, though this is far from the 60% tariff he had proposed during his campaign. If Trump has taken a more lenient approach toward China, could he adopt a softer stance on other countries as well? Perhaps. Regardless, the tailwind that supported the dollar since December has officially shifted direction. The dollar seemed to hold Trump’s “trump card”—quite literally—at the start of the new year. But was that truly the case? If you recall, Trump’s stance on the dollar this time contrasts sharply with his first term in office. Now, Trump favors a weaker dollar—or at least that’s what he said last year. The only viable option to achieve this is pressuring the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates more quickly, and it seems that’s precisely what he’s trying to do. He now claims that he “understands interest rates better than the Federal Reserve” and insists that rates should be reduced “immediately.” However, this does not necessarily mean the Fed will alter its current policy. The Federal Reserve’s mandate typically operates beyond political influence, but Trump could ease the situation if he merely talks about tariffs without taking action. This would help alleviate inflation concerns, but we might need to wait a few more months to be certain, which is likely what Federal Reserve policymakers would prefer. That said, one can never rule out the possibility of Trump abruptly changing his mind. For now, however, it seems the dollar has started the new year under Trump’s influence. As tariff concerns fade, the focus will shift back to inflation and labor market data to determine where the economy heads from here.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Brent - What will Trump's oil policies be?!Brent oil is in the 4-hour timeframe, between EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving in its medium-term ascending channel. We will look for oil selling opportunities on the supply zone. If the $75 level is broken, we can see the continuation of the downtrend. On the other hand, we can buy in the demand zone with a risk-reward approach. When Donald Trump launched his election campaign, he threatened to impose 25% tariffs on America’s largest trading partners unless they addressed their trade surpluses with the U.S. Analysts described this idea as risky. However, Bloomberg has reported that, while this strategy is far from subtle, it has proven effective. This threat turned importers into U.S. customers. Energy importers from Asian countries began purchasing more crude oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) from the United States, aiming to appease Trump before he took any action on tariffs. Saul Kavonic, an energy analyst at MST Marquee, told Bloomberg that U.S. trading partners view LNG purchases as a tool for negotiating tariffs with the Trump administration. He added that since last November’s election, orders for U.S. energy shipments have risen. Shortly after the election, Trump specifically suggested that the European Union should buy more LNG from the U.S. to offset its significant trade surplus. At the time, Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, stated there was no reason why the EU couldn’t replace Russian LNG with American liquefied gas. However, her statement was perhaps not the most well-considered. The EU’s preference for Russian LNG and its hesitation toward American LNG primarily stems from pricing issues. Even this year, the region’s purchases of Russian LNG have reached record levels. As reported by the Financial Times earlier this week, the EU is highly sensitive to price considerations. According to an EU official, price remains a critical and determining factor. Bernd Lange, head of the European Parliament’s trade committee, previously remarked that Europe’s demand for LNG could align with America’s eagerness to sell more.He added that discussions on this issue are feasible. Trump has consistently emphasized his interest in deals that benefit the United States above all. On his first day in office, Trump revoked Biden’s executive order that halted permits for new LNG export capacity. This decision will expand U.S. export capacity over the next four years, potentially lowering prices depending on demand levels. The World Trade Organization’s chief warned that reciprocal tariff retaliation could result in a double-digit reduction in global GDP, a scenario that would have catastrophic consequences.
BLACKBULL:BRENTShort
by Ali_PSND
Trump, BOJ could be the ideal divergent theme for USD/JPY bearsWe've just seen the BOJ deliver a hawkish hike, where they upgraded their inflation forecasts and cited rising wage pressures. This leaves the door open for further hikes this year. Meanwhile, Trump is now trying to strongarm the Fed and global central banks to lower interest rates immediately. Together, this is the ideal divergent theme currency traders crave. And the icing on the cake for USD/JPY bears would be if Trump begins his attack on a strong USD (which I think he will). Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Short
by CityIndex
1
TRUMP'S WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM SPEECH - $120K NEXT (?) As illustrated, I'm visualizing what could be the breakout of a symmetrical triangle. Because this structure formed above key pivot areas and psychological price level of $100K, there is reasons to believe it indicates a healthy and adequate uptrend, being such pattern a continuation with a potential new bullish impulse that could drive price to new ATH at least just below $115,000 , and in extension to $120,000 in the near future. Price should hold the psychological barrier of $100K and in extension to the downside, $95K should serve as a major support. -- GOOD LUCK!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by PersaGold
USD/MXN breaks trend line ahead of Trump speechThe USD/MXN has broken its bullish trend line, and has now moved back below the key 20.500 level. Is this a turn in the tide? The Mexican peso has enjoyed a relief rally along with other risk assets in the last few days, but whether or not it can rise further will depend partly on any new tariff announcements from Trump, and their scale... Trump's Speech at Davos in Focus: Tariffs and Taxation on the Horizon? Trump’s highly anticipated address at the World Economic Forum in Davos at 11:00 AM ET is set to grab the market’s attention. Investors will be closely analysing his comments for any further signals on tariffs, economic policies, and international tax matters. While Trump has refrained from imposing blanket tariffs so far, he’s kept the market guessing with his mentions of potential tariffs targeting Canada, Mexico, Europe, and China. However, no firm decisions have been made yet, leaving investors in a holding pattern as they await further clarification on his stance. Jobless Claims Rise: Softening Signs in the Labour Market? On the economic data front, US jobless claims came in higher than expected at 223K, up from 217K the previous week, and above the forecast of 220K. This marks the second consecutive week that claims have risen more than anticipated, suggesting a potential softening in the jobs market, at least in the near term. The slight uptick in claims could raise questions about the strength of the labour market and add to market uncertainty as traders await more data and policy direction. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Short
by FOREXcom
From the Team Behind Shiba Inu: Nothing Can Go Wrong with ShiroSo far, none of the market movement predictions for Shiro Neko have come to fruition, but the project seems to be on the right track. The team has been doing an excellent job, as seen through consistent updates on Twitter and Telegram. It would be great if the creators of Shiba Inu increased their efforts to promote Shiro Neko and boost its visibility. Remember, this is a new project, and patience is key. Projections suggest that at some point in 2025, Shiro Neko could reach a $10 billion market cap, igniting an unprecedented bullish rally. We'll continue monitoring Shiro Neko with regular analyses. Be sure to check back often for updates on this token and other promising ones! 🚀 COINBASE:SHIBUSD MEXC:SHIROUSDT
Long
by SophiaAnderson
Bank of Japan expected to raise rates, yen calmThe Japanese yen is slightly lower on Thursday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 156.25, down 0.16% on the day. All eyes are on the Bank of Japan, which meets early on Friday. The BoJ is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points which would bring the cash rate to 0.50%. The BoJ has said that it will raise rates if it sees higher wage growth, which would indicate that inflation is sustainable. BoJ policymakers have expressed confidence that wages are moving higher and Deputy Governor Himino said last week that many firms plan to raise wages at least as much as last year. Investors will be keeping a close eye on the BoJ's rate statement. The tone of the statement could be dovish as BoJ policymakers are concerned about President Donald Trump's threats to levy trade tariffs as early as Feb. 1, a move which could destabilize the financial markets. The BoJ will have to be cautious as it gauges the 'Trump factor". Another factor supporting a rate hike is the poor performance of the Japanese yen, which has declined around 9% in the past three months. The Federal Reserve is sounding more hawkish and might raise rates only once or twice this year. If the BoJ stays on the sidelines again, the yen could fall further. Overshadowed by the BoJ meeting, Japan releases December core CPI. Japan's core inflation rate has been climbing higher and is expected to climb to 3% y/y, up from 2.7% in November which was a three-month high. The core rate, which is closely watched by the BOJ, has hovered above the central bank's target of 2% for over two years. USD/JPY is testing support at 156.20. Below, there is support at 155.68 157.04 and 157.56 are the next resistance lines
by OANDA
TRUMP at Key Support Level: Will It Bounce or Break Below?BINANCE:TRUMPUSDT is trading near a key support level that previously acted as a foundation for bullish momentum. The recent price action indicates that this area may serve as a strong demand zone. If bullish confirmation appears, such as increased buying volume or candlestick reversal patterns, I expect the price to move toward 42.00$. Conversely, a break below this support would weaken the bullish scenario and suggest further downside. Traders should monitor this level closely and use proper risk management to navigate potential market volatility.
Long
by TrendDiva
4
GOLD PRICES RETREAT AS STRONG DOLLAR PREVAILS AND ECONOMIC DATA Economic Data Impacting the Market On December 12, 2024, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released important economic data. The Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 0.4% in November, higher than the expected 0.2%, and showed a 3.0% increase over the year, marking the largest gain since February 2023. Additionally, the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, went up by 0.2% for the month and 3.5% annually. Initial jobless claims for the week ending December 7 reached 242,000, significantly above the expected 220,000, indicating rising unemployment. These mixed signals highlight ongoing inflation pressures alongside a weakening job market. Fed Rate Cut Expectations Shift According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has decreased to 96.70% from 97.50% a day ago, signalling changing market expectations.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DynamicCapital-FX
Trump next big rally to $200+identified previous bull flags, and using fib retracement revealed new trump price to pump to $200+ etf for trump coin filed. with executive orders to reduce elations on crypto, etf may be approved at time when trump coins are unlocked in April. ETF approval means a ticker symbol for trump coin on the NYSE and nasdaq, and ETF issuers like black rock, fidelity, and grayscale will need to buy and hold a SIGNIFICANT amount of trump coins. executive orders signed by trump will allow financial institutions to accept crypto payments. Another bullish event.
Long
by chadherrella
EUR/USD Gains Amid EU Trump Tariff FearsThe EUR/USD pair has risen to 1.0457, its highest in five weeks, as markets react positively to President Trump's decision to delay implementing strict tariffs. Initially, investors were concerned about the potential impact of protectionist policies on global growth and US inflation. However, Trump's pivot towards pro-business measures has bolstered market sentiment. Despite these developments, Trump has criticized the EU and suggested possible future tariffs, prompting ECB President Christine Lagarde to advise Europe to brace for potential trade actions. Lagarde has praised the decision to hold off on blanket tariffs. Concurrently, the ECB is expected to maintain its easing stance with a 25 basis points rate cut anticipated next week. As European leaders Macron and Scholz emphasize unity against US trade threats, the dollar index remains steady at 108.1 amid ongoing tariff uncertainty. Looking ahead, traders are closely monitoring US-EU trade tensions and the potential for Federal Reserve rate cuts, which could influence the EUR/USD pair's trajectory.
by tastyfx