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USDCZK huge potential on the downsideExpect a retest of support in the next few days. Then there will be 2 scenarios : A) Price bounce marking a double bottom and possible bull run or back to the range B) Support is broken -> Ideal scenario as this would open up a huge gap to the downside How to trade it? Well, I have entered on the break of 4H support and will reassess when D support is reached. Another possibility is to wait until support is reached and then assess there, the R:R will still be great. If using this option u can wait for a long bullish candle to enter long or for a break (or break and retest) to enter short. Theres no right or wrong as long as u follow a plan. If you have any questions please leave them in comments. Did you like the idea?? Give us a thumbs up!! Do you have a different view and analysis? Let us know in the comments. I love to be proven wrong. It is the only way to become better. Remember that trading is only part of your life. Do not spend all day in front of the screen!! Surf, Trade, Live!!
Short
by MicKi
Chinese government can manipulate US elections by manipulating There is a positive correlation between the US and Chinese stock markets, and the Chinese government can manipulate US elections by manipulating the Chinese stock market. The Chinese government is using its power to raise the Chinese stock index.The Chinese government has boosted the US stock market by pulling up the Chinese stock market. Through such abductions, it is difficult for Trump to adopt a tough trade policy against China.The probability of Trump's re-election appears to be in the hands of the Chinese government.
SSE:000001Long
by CrazyMartin
USD CNH - Escalation of Tensions !Relationships between the U.S and China have been deteriorating at a really fast pace since the begging of the Trade War between both countries back in 2018, where hundreds of billions of dollars in taxes over nationals goods, were exchanged. Despite the escalation of tensions, Trump's primary goal was to try to please the agricultural sector, since the farmer's states integrate a meaningful part of its electorate, so aiming re-election the promise of China in boosting its purchases of U.S agricultural goods served Trump needs. However, the disastrous response of Trump to the COVID-19 outbreak in the U.S and other domestic crises has put its chances of re-election in jeopardy. With almost 3 million cases confirmed and more than 130,000 American lives ended, plus the massive riots across the country due to the murder of George Floyd by cops and the economic crisis that is hitting the country with an unemployment rate of 13.3%. A context that has been causing the growth of the dissatisfaction of the population with the state of the country, such discontentment is already appearing on the recent polls that put the Democrat candidate Joe Biden in a 10 points lead over Trump. With the risk of losing re-election, Trump might use the oldest trick of the book of governors that want to unify the country and take the focus off its own failures, create a common enemy. In this case, China its the perfect fit, since the country was the first to report the new Coronavirus and has been moving to curb Hong Kong autonomy through the new security law. So Trump can target China first by blaming the country over the pandemic, and retaliating in defense of Hong Kong democracy, placing then meaningful sanctions and increasing the friction between both countries. Looking at the monthly chart, the US Dollar Chinese Yuan Offshore is in a very intrigue spot now since the price is moving accordingly to the Elliott Wave rules so far, with a Wave 3 in process of formation. After the price confirmed a Wave 2 due to the retracement of near 76.4% of Wave 1, the CNH managed to surpass the top of Wave 1 confirming a possible Wave 3 that has the following targets based on the rules that determine the extension of this wave: Targets: 1) 7.80869 - 161.8% of wave 1-2 2) 8.18008 - 200% of wave 1-2 3) 8.78091 - 261.8% of wave 1-2 4) 9.38174 - 323.6% of wave 1-2 This context shows us the possibilities of this new large impulse movement of the USD CNH been the reflection of the rasing of tensions between China and the U.S, as China will fight to increase the yuan relevance on the market as the U.S will try to undermine China influence on the global economy. Thanks for reading, please feel free to share your comments and perspectives below, I'm still grinding my way to improve my analysis, so all feedback is welcome. "A crisis is an opportunity riding the dangerous wind" - Chinese Proverb
Long
by Ikaro_Soares
$BA Earnings Option Play | WatchlistTechincal Analysis of $BA plus this week's option play. British Airways finally receives its first Boeing 787-10 months later than planned. What we are looking for: Retest of the previous channel resistance (blue downtrend) Breakout from $198 (Bullish Signal) Last but not least, to send BA to the moon ($234), we need to breakout from the fat orange downtrend. This play is intending for covid to not impact airlines. If covid makes a crazy breakout, we might see trouble for airlines. The Play: - BA ripped 14.4% today, which means contracts are worth 200%ish more than they were yesterday. In other words, we will aim to grab BA at the low of what looks to be next week or the week after. Play 1: - BA $232.5 call 7/24 This play is sitting up 114% on the day compared to the $230 strike below which is up 198% today. Once BA has a down day these premiums will get cut, giving us a buying opportunity. DotcomJack | Easy Loot Do Not Trade This!
NYSE:BA
by DotcomJack
14
ridethepig | USDCAD Market Commentary 2020.06.17📍 USDCAD On the Canada side... This flow has become particularly interesting over the past few sessions, large macro hands front running BOC and piling into corporate debt and helping CAD hold at these levels. The risk to Canada really comes from the housing market, as soon as the stimulus stabilisers are off there will need to be another miracle to avoid panic selling. With stimulus retreating before the labour market has healed, the pressures on homes will become a blunder. This is so obvious and would be a blunder to miss. Now we are tracking a return back home, to the mean in a good mood - If buyers resign on the retest we can see the wave truncated (we'll keep updating the charts for this one). For those tracking EURCAD ...
Long
by ridethepig
6