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Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 13, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 13, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 CPI Data Release Anticipated The Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release the April Consumer Price Index (CPI) data today at 8:30 AM ET. Economists forecast a 0.3% month-over-month increase, following a 0.1% decline in March. Year-over-year, CPI is expected to remain at 2.4%, with core CPI holding steady at 2.8% . 🤝 U.S.-China Trade Truce Boosts Markets Markets rallied on Monday after the U.S. and China agreed to reduce tariffs for 90 days, easing trade tensions. The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 1,160 points (2.8%), the S&P 500 rose 3.3%, and the Nasdaq gained 4.4%. Major tech stocks like Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ), Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ), Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), and Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) saw significant gains . 📈 Coinbase to Join S&P 500 Coinbase Global Inc. ( NASDAQ:COIN ) will be added to the S&P 500 index on May 19, replacing Discover Financial Services. The announcement led to an 11% surge in Coinbase shares during after-hours trading . 💎 Sotheby's to Auction $20M Blue Diamond Sotheby's Geneva is set to auction the "Mediterranean Blue Diamond," a rare 10-carat gem valued at $20 million, today. The auction has garnered significant global interest from collectors and investors . 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Tuesday, May 13: 8:30 AM ET: Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April 8:30 AM ET: Core CPI for April 4:30 PM ET: API Weekly Crude Oil Stock Report ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
NASDAQ Harmonic pattern indicating strong bounce incoming.AI vs. Dot-Com Bubble When drawing parallels between #AI and the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s, many express concerns that current valuations may be excessively inflated. However, significant differences are apparent. To begin with, the current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of the NASDAQ-100 is approximately 30, whereas during the dot-com bubble, it skyrocketed to 200, with many companies lacking any earnings in sight. Additionally, the market capitalisation to #GDP ratio reached unprecedented levels in the late 1990s, while today's figures, although still high, are supported by robust earnings and solid cash flows from established business models. Innovations in AI, cloud computing, and digital transformation have fuelled revenue growth, exemplified by #NVIDIA's data centre sales, which surged 409% year-over-year in Q4 2024, and Microsoft's Azure, which experienced a 28% year-over-year increase in 2024. This surge in productivity is being driven by individuals, businesses, and governments alike. As a result, major tech firms are making substantial investments in AI research and development, with clear strategies for monetisation. AI is poised to become a transformative force, akin to the transistor, a groundbreaking invention that scales effectively and permeates various sectors of the economy. Lastly, the Federal Reserve raised interest #rates to 6.5% to tackle inflation after previously lowering them to address Y2K concerns before the bubble burst in 2000. In contrast, current expectations suggest that interest rates will stabilise or decrease, which would support valuations.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by BallaJi
2
World Liberty Financial STABLECOIN | Everything YOU Need to KnowWorld Liberty Financial (WLFI), a DeFi lending protocol launched in 2024 and notably associated with the Trump family, is currently executing a key operational test for its new stablecoin, USD1. This U.S. dollar-pegged stablecoin was introduced in March 2025 and backed by Treasuries and cash equivalents. It has already seen rapid adoption, surpassing $2.1 billion in circulation. To validate their on-chain distribution systems ahead of a wider rollout, WLFI is conducting a test airdrop, proposing to send a small and fixed amount of USD1 to all existing $WLFI token holders on the Ethereum Mainnet. A governance vote on this proposal, set to conclude this Wednesday, May 14th shows overwhelming community support, with over 99.9% approval which is signalling confidence in the initiative's technical goals and community reward aspect. Investors should note that while the vote seems assured, critical details like the exact USD1 amount per wallet and the precise airdrop date are yet to be announced, pending the vote's finalization. Also, WLFI retains discretion to modify or cancel this test distribution. This operational step occurs against a backdrop of significant scrutiny surrounding WLFI, stemming from its high-profile political connections, reported investigations, and potential conflicts of interest highlighted in various media outlet. this test airdrop represents a practical infrastructure check and a community engagement tactic for WLFI as it builds out the ecosystem for its rapidly growing USD1 stablecoin. For current $WLFI holders, it presents a small token distribution contingent on final details announced after May 14th. For prospective investors, it's an operational milestone to observe, weighing the technical progress and market adoption of USD1 against the unique regulatory and political risks associated with the World Liberty Financial project. ____________ BYBIT:WLFUSDT
W
by Crypto-Check-
OFFICIAL TRUMP Targets: $50—264%, $121—764%, $192—1,271% &..."Patience is key" has been a valuable and valid tool in the past few weeks. TRUMPUSDT has been consolidating above support and nothing more is needed other than patience to win. Today we are going to be looking at multiple targets, long-term and short-term. All the targets that are likely to hit in this upcoming bullish cycle. $TRUMP is growing and will continue to grow. It is normal to see some consolidation before a major move. In fact, the consolidation phase (sideways) is what makes a strong bullish impulse possible. The first wave is in. A bullish impulse consist of 5 waves. Three waves forward, advances, and two waves backward, corrections. The third wave tends to be the biggest wave based on size and volume but it can happen that the fifth wave ends up being the biggest one. TRUMPUSDT is about to enter its third wave based on Elliott Wave Theory. The third wave would easily cut through $34 as a resistance level and continue higher to reach $51. This $51 target gives a nice 264% but this is easy. Additional growth can happen within months and TRUMPUSDT can hit $121 for a total of 764%. The fourth wave is a correction. Seeing that the second wave was very small and short, the fourth wave can be long in size and duration. After this wave comes the final wave which is the speculative wave. In this wave, Wave 5, anything goes. TRUMPUSDT can continue growing through late 2025 and reach major new All-Time Highs. A $148 target can be easy if $121 is reached within the third wave. A strong peak price for the fifth wave would be $192 for a huge 1,271%. With a strong blow-off top, a $263 target can close the cycle with an astonishing 1,778%. Of course, it can go higher on a wick based on the weekly or monthly timeframes. Surely, this is a new trading pair with no historical data, growth can definitely go beyond the chart. These targets are based on Elliott Wave Theory and Fibonacci proportions, they can work as a map to help us navigate future price action as the bull market develops. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
11
A bet on US geopolitical power I lomged trump some time ago. I won't say at what price but i think this will pump a bit today as the dinner snapshot approaches. Some normie influenzas are convincing their followers to short it into the snapshot but i think except for some minor corrections there will be no major crash to $8 or whatever. This token is slowly and steadily going to creep back up to $100 price. whenever trump solves global conflicts such as india-pakistan, ukraine- israel etc. It'll positively influence the price of this token. A bet on $trump is a bet on $trump's presidency. Whether he will prove to be a good president or not is upto you. Regardless, keks will be had.
KRAKEN:TRUMPUSDLong
by niggy
SPY weekly thoughts for May 12th - 16th. Trump Pump?What’s up traders — this is my first idea post here on TradingView, and I’m hyped to finally share something with the community. In this breakdown, I’ll be covering a few key areas I’m watching: 🟩 Support zones 📉 Resistance levels 🕯️ Weekly candle behaviour 🌍 Macro outlook and possible catalysts 📌 Important notes ⚠️ My current bias Let’s jump in: 🟩 Support Zones: Buyers are still showing up strong in that $505–$507 range(I highly doubt their orders will get filled lol). it had been a reliable bounce zone — we’ve seen repeated wicks rejecting that level and price snapping back VERY quickly. Above that, $550 has developed into a new area of support, and right now that’s my main level to watch. If that gives out, I expect we’ll head back down to test the $507 zone again. But for now, bulls are doing their job. 📉 Resistance SPY keeps getting stuck around $573–$575. That zone’s been tested a few times now, but buyers haven’t been able to push it through. Sellers are stepping in there almost every time. 🕯️ Weekly Candle Context That’s three straight weekly closes below resistance. Bulls get some momentum mid-week, but by Friday, sellers take over. It’s showing signs of a stall — like the market’s running out of gas near the top. 🌍 Macro Outlook – What Could Move Things There’s been some talk of softer trade discussions and early negotiations with China. If any of that turns into a real deal, it could be the spark SPY needs to finally break above resistance. But on the flip side — if Trump starts pushing new tariffs (even smaller ones), those moves tend to hold stocks back, especially in tech. So the big question is: Can SPY hit new highs if tech keeps cooling off and there’s pressure from new trade policy? That’s the tug-of-war right now — possible upside from improving global relations, but real downside risk from political decisions. 📌 Things I’m Watching: A weekly close above $575 would shift me to a bullish bias. If we lose $550, I’ll be watching closely to see how price behaves near $507. ⚠️ Current Bias Right now I’m FAIRLY neutral with a slight bullish lean, but very excited for this next weekly candle. The macro setup looks like it could support a move higher, but I’m staying decently cautious until we get a clear weekly breakout(+575) and close above resistance. Let me know what you think — and if you’re watching the same levels.
AMEX:SPYLong
by ThePlotThickens
11
$TRUMPUSDT Breakout Alert!$TRUMP has officially broken above its descending trendline after holding firm support around $11.8. The price also reclaims the 100 EMA (orange line), signaling strength and potential for a trend reversal. 📈 Technical Highlights: Downtrend breakout confirmed ✅ Retest of resistance turned support around $13.3 ✅ Targets in sight: • TP1: $16.52 • TP2: $21.04 • TP3: $26.35 This breakout setup remains valid as long as TRUMPUSDT holds above $13.3. A clean trendline flip often leads to explosive follow-throughs.
Long
by persis10t
Bitcoin: Blood in the Streets – Now is the Time!Once again, there’s blood in the streets—and from this point on I start scaling into spot positions again, slowly but deliberately. All of these are spot entries with soft stop-losses—not hard exits, but areas I’ll react to if needed. So why now? For one, we’re sitting right above the 38,2% Fibonacci level for the ending of the wave A. At the same time, we’re about to tap into a daily Fair Value Gap, while trying to hold the range support—two important technical levels lining up on the higher time frame. Below that, we have an untapped VWAP at $65.5K, which could act as a magnet, as it often does. And yeah—if we go under $62K or even $60K, the classic “time to work at McDonald’s” joke comes back. But seriously: in markets like this, you need to stay calm, have some humor, and most of all, know what’s possible. So I’m cautiously watching the S&P 500 closely, which plays a big role in this setup for me. That’s where I stand on BTC right now—careful optimism, grounded in context and reasoning for me.
Long
by stromm
2
USA-UK: Trade Agreement and Impact Hello, I am Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about the meeting that will take place today, May 9, 2025, between the USA and the UK. The announcement of a new trade agreement between the United States and the United Kingdom by Donald Trump has immediately attracted the attention of global investors. Its economic scope could have significant repercussions on the main currencies, in particular on the GBP/USD pair. The components of the agreement and the reactions of the markets According to initial information, the agreement aims to strengthen trade relations between Washington and London, simplifying regulations on goods and services, reducing duties and incentivizing bilateral investments. Immediate impact on the pound (GBP) The GBP/USD pair has shown an initial reaction of volatility, with investors evaluating the details of the new agreement. If the agreement leads to greater economic stability and growth in the United Kingdom, the pound could benefit from a bullish trend in the short term. However, some analysts warn that the pound could suffer from more in-depth negotiations in the future, especially if the deal puts renewed pressure on UK financial markets. The US dollar and the Fed’s monetary policy The deal comes amid economic uncertainty in the US, with the Federal Reserve monitoring inflation and growth. If bilateral trade between the US and UK were to expand significantly, it could have a positive effect on the dollar’s ​​strength, even against other currencies. Economic sectors involved and impact on FX The deal could affect several sectors: Energy and raw materials: If trade in natural gas or oil between the two countries increases, it could have an impact on commodity futures and therefore on currencies linked to these markets, such as the CAD and AUD. Technology and financial services: Expanded cooperation between technology and financial firms could attract investment on Wall Street and support the dollar. Manufacturing and Exports: If the UK manages to secure favorable export terms, the pound could see increased demand in Forex. Outlook In the short term, the deal could lead to increased volatility in GBP/USD as investors await further details. In the long term, much will depend on the economic policies that follow the deal and the effects on the trade balances of the two countries. Forex market analysts will continue to monitor investor reaction and future statements from the governments involved.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
OFFICIAL TRUMP Exact Levels Predicted, Next Target (Explained)The higher low is in and this will lead to a higher high. As TRUMPUSDT moves up, there will be no resistance until the action reaches $25.35. This is the exact number for the next stop. After a target is reached, there is always a retrace. Just as it happened after 26-April. The retrace ends in a higher low and the higher low ends by producing a continuation of the bullish move and trend. After $25.35 and a small retrace, TRUMPUSDT will continue growing to reach $34.61. The market never moves straight up nor straight down, it fluctuates, patience is key. There is no need to buy and sell at each target, the best and easiest way to earn big money is to buy at support and hold long-term. When prices are high enough, one can easily sell and collect profits. On a bigger and broader perspective, the three targets on the chart will be taken out as part of the 3rd wave of the current bullish impulse. This will lead to a retrace, wave 4, and this will then lead to additional growth and higher prices, wave 5. Wave 5 will lead to a strong correction and this strong correction to a higher low based on the broader structure. This higher low will resume to produce an advance that will end up in a bull run phase and a new All-Time High. After the All-Time High comes the long-term correction also known as bear market. The next bear market won't be as bad as the previous one. Compared to the 2022 bear market and the transition period, it will be fast and small. We are set for an entire decade of mostly growth. Still, allow for the usual fluctuations and variations. If you hold focusing on the long-term, you can't go wrong. Right now, you should be buying like it is the end of the world. The world won't end, but low prices won't be available for too long. When strong bullish action starts we wonder, "Why didn't I buy when prices were low?" Just recently, between 7 and 22 April, TRUMPUSDT was trading very, very low. While the initial bullish breakout is in, it is still early. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
7
Yen rally ends, markets eyes Fed rate decision and BoJ minutesThe Japanese yen is in negative territory on Wednesday, after a three-day rally which saw it gain 2% against the US dollar. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 143.29, up 0.61% on the day. The Bank of Japan releases the minutes of its March meeting on Thursday. At the meeting, the BoJ held the key policy rate at 0.5% in a unanimous vote. Members cautioned that there was uncertainty over tariffs, which the US was expected to announce in April. Since then, the financial markets have see-sawed in response to President Trump's erratic tariff policy. Japan's export-reliant economy could be hit hard, but Tokyo is already negotiating with the US and hopes to carve out an agreement to cancel or at least mitigate the impact of the tariffs. The Bank of Japan is walking a tightrope, as it wants to continue to normalize policy and raise rates, but is worried about the uncertainty over the tariffs and the real possibility of a global trade war. Bank policymakers are taking a wait-and-see stance, hoping that US trade policy will become more clear. The Federal Reserve is virtually certain to maintain rates at today's FOMC meeting. There's little doubt about the decision but investors will be all ears as to the amount of pushback from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, after President Trump has repeatedly pushed him to lower rates. The markets have priced in a 30% chance of a cut in June, compared to a 63% likelihood just one week ago, according to CME's Fedwatch Tool. We can expect the pricing of a June cut to continue to swing, as the tariff saga continues.
by OANDA
Is this an Asian currency crisis in reverse? The Taiwan Dollar surged more than 5% against the U.S. dollar on Monday, briefly pushing USD/TWD below the 29.00 mark. The two-day rally—totaling nearly 10%—is the sharpest in over three decades. But Taiwan isn’t alone. A broader wave of U.S. dollar selling has lifted several Asian currencies, including the Singapore Dollar, South Korean Won, Malaysian Ringgit, Chinese Yuan, and Hong Kong Dollar. Goldman Sachs reported on Tuesday that investor positioning has shifted significantly, with clients moving from short yuan positions to long ones—suggesting a growing expectation of continued U.S. dollar weakness.
by BlackBull_Markets
May 6, 2025 - Markets Hold Their Breath Before Powell SpeaksHello everyone, it’s May 6, 2025 and markets are once again at the mercy of politics, Powell, and presidential mood swings. After a 9-day rally, U.S. markets finally took a breather yesterday, with mild profit-taking ahead of the much-anticipated Federal Reserve decision. Investors are caught between two competing visions: Trump’s push for massive rate cuts, insisting inflation is a myth cooked up by bureaucrats, and Powell’s more sober stance acknowledging inflation isn’t dead, the economy is softening, and premature easing could trigger full-blown stagflation. With Friday’s job report stronger than expected, Powell is expected to hold rates steady, staying cautious while tariffs and growth clouds loom. Markets are pricing in a July cut at best, but uncertainty lingers mostly around what Trump might tweet in reaction to Powell’s speech tomorrow night. Meanwhile, despite the 90-day tariff moratorium, the trade war narrative hasn’t vanished. NYSE:F suspended its 2025 outlook, citing $1.5 billion in expected tariff costs and four major risks: disrupted supply chains, retaliatory measures, unclear tax policies, and emission rules. NASDAQ:MAT is also hedging its bets shifting production out of China and pausing forecasts, while begging for zero tariffs on toys “for the kids.” Their stocks dropped modestly after hours. OANDA:XAUUSD surged again to $3,368, as fear and safe-haven demand ticked up. BLACKBULL:WTI rebounded to over $58 following an OPEC statement, helping airline stocks breathe a bit. BINANCE:BTCUSDT continued its meteoric rise, now sitting around $94,400. On the macro front, inflation data like CPI and PPI are being shrugged off everyone’s waiting to see if Powell plays ball with Trump. There’s hope, too, that all this chaos is just Trump’s way of muscling the world into negotiation especially China and if a “deal” emerges, markets could rip higher. Until then, we’re stuck dancing between uncertainty and hope. Asia opened strong this morning, led by China’s cautious optimism. Futures point slightly lower in the U.S., and volatility remains king. The Fed could flip the script tomorrow or keep us hanging. Stay buckled in.
SP:SPX
by SmartApingAI
TRUMP: Advanced Trading Strategy For 6,666% Instant ProfitsThe higher low is in and support is being confirmed now as I write this; patience is key. It is a waiting game. This whole trading experience, venture or adventure... It is all a waiting game. The better you get at waiting the best you can do. You see, when the market is bland, boring and sideways this can last for a long while. When the market starts crashing or rising everything can happen within a day. In order to catch the rise, we have to be in and ready to wait. In order to avoid the crash, we have to set our sell orders on target before the rise takes place. Something like buying in, setting the orders high up (never stop-loss) and then waiting for the market to take care of the rest. I know it can be boring sometimes and at other times doubt can even creep up. This is not bad nor is there anything wrong with you if this happens, this is normal but you shouldn't worry if you are ready to hold. The market can go up slowly for 3 months and you wouldn't mind the fact that it is growing if the price moves from $10 to $13 in three months. Then on the fourth month, there is an advance from $13 to $50 and wow! But if the market drops slowly from $10 to $7 within 3 months we start to become anxious and scared, why? Then, on the fourth month there is an advance from $7 to $50 and wow! You see? It is all psychological you know. When the market was rising slowly, there was no difference, no secured profits and yet you didn't mind having to wait. But when the market moves lower, you might want to secure a losing trade. Both the up and the down produce $$$ changes on paper only, nothing changes when it comes to the amount of coins you bought and hold. If the coins are going to be worth more down the road, six months from now, say, 500% more; this should be an easy hold. Ignore the short-term, ignore the noise hold strong. You can do it and you are doing it, for doing this you will be paid and when you get paid you will be happy with the results. I should give you my strategy once more: Buy and hold. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Bitcoin and the Altcoins market is set to grow really, really strong in the coming months. Just be prepared to wait, it will be worth every day, every minute every second once you get your reward. Actually, I like to wait. I can study and exercise—prepare—while the market goes through its consolidation phase. I can plan. Once the new high—All-Time High—is in and the bullish wave is over, I will be prepared to pocket huge profits because I planning and studying today. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
5
Australian dollar hits five-month high after Australian electionThe Australian dollar continues to impress and has posted strong gains on Monday. European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6491, up 0.72% on the day and its highest level since early December 2025. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese cruised to a resounding victory in Saturday's national election. Albanese' centre-left Labor Party increased its majority and thumped the Liberal Party opposition. The coalition's defeat was marked by its leader, Peter Dutton losing his own seat. The long shadow of US President Donald Trump was a factor in the election. Dutton adopted right-wing policies such as promising tougher immigration laws and establishing a platform to reduce the waste of public funds. The similarities between Dutton and Trump hurt the Liberal leader as many voters were upset with Trump's 10% tariffs on Australia. At the start of the year, Albanese was trailing badly in the opinion polls. However, he struck a receptive chord among voters on domestic issues such as health care and housing, and benefited from the anti-Trump sentiment, which proved to be a winning recipe. US nonfarm payrolls, a key gauge of the US labor market, dipped slightly to 177 thousand in April, down from a revised 185 thousand in March. This easily beat the market estimate of 130 thousand. The positive unemployment report points to a resilient labor market which remains strong despite the US economy declining in the first quarter. The markets have responded by lowering the odds of a rate hike in June to 33%, down sharply from 60% a week ago, according to the CME's FedWatch. The Federal Reserve meets on Wednesday and is virtually certain to maintain the benchmark rate of 4.25%-4.5%.
by OANDA
What Happened To OFFICIAL TRUMP? No More Bullish Action? Read...Did you give up already? If you did you are not playing the game right. Patience is key. The initial bullish breakout is in so the next bullish wave is confirmed; but, the initial bullish breakout is corrected and ends in a higher low. This retrace can last a few days just as it can last a few weeks, it is random the market chooses how big is this wait. If the whales learn that participants are anxious and desperate, the retrace and higher low will take longer so that people will fold and they can buy more at the lows. If the bots track your trading and see that you are likely to fold if the next rise is delayed by 3-5 more days, then the bots will not start buying until people sell at low prices. The moment you sell the next rise starts to develop almost instantly. Patience is key is what I say. How long it takes it doesn't matter that's not how it works. The way it works is that you buy with a long-term mindset, "I will wait for as long as it is necessary for my money to grow." Once in, you hold. That's it, nothing more can be done. Prediction: Just watch! TRUMPUSDT will grow from a higher low. The last low was the bottom and the current retrace, literally five days, is nothing more than bullish consolidation. After some time, a small wait, we will have a higher high. That is how it works. The market never moves straight down but neither straight up. It fluctuates... Doing zig-zags... And that's what you see on the chart. Be patient, Trump will grow. Just set it and forget it, comeback when prices are up. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
23
USOIL CAUTION! BREAK - TEST - GO!This is my new updated chart of Oil. Trump's "Drill baby Drill" interfering with the free market is the absolute worst thing he could do. His ridiculous tariffs will put us in an economic depression! Oil prices are driven by demand! As I have mentioned here on TV so many times before! Increasing supply while heading into a recession is the dumbest thing possible! You never want to consume your own oil when you can consume others first! Simultaneously, F your own nation's oil company's profit margins and gov tax revenue! This is why we shouldn't put toddlers as POTUS! Anyway!!! This is a break test go! setup! If you haven't seen it before, here is an example I recently posted with AAPL. Click Boost, follow, subscribe! Let's get to 5,000 followers so I can help them navigate these crazy markets too. ))
TVC:USOILShort
by RealMacro
2
Tariffs, and Tumult: Wall Street Waits on Super WednesdayHello everyone, it’s April 30, 2025. The TVC:DJI just closed its sixth consecutive green session, with markets clinging to hope as rumors swirl of a first tariff deal—possibly with India—though nothing is confirmed. That tiny breadcrumb of optimism was enough to boost sentiment late in yesterday’s session, even if volatility is dipping below 25% and investor enthusiasm seems to be fading in lockstep. U.S. macro data continues to paint a picture of “not great, but not terrible.” Consumer confidence and job openings (JOLTS) came in below expectations but not disastrously so, prompting markets to collectively shrug and declare everything “less worse than feared.” It’s a strategy now: ignore bad data as long as it isn’t apocalyptic. As earnings roll in, companies are split between those who pretend the tariff storm is “manageable” (hello, NASDAQ:COKE ) and those flying blind through economic fog ( NYSE:UPS , Snap, and Super Micro—who might be losing a major client named Nvidia). The overall takeaway? Visibility is garbage, and most companies are bracing rather than building. All eyes are now on today’s so-called Super Wednesday, packed with economic data (U.S. GDP, PCE, ADP jobs, Chicago PMI) and mega-earnings from NASDAQ:MSFT and NASDAQ:META . But as usual, expectations may outpace reality. Markets often dream of clarity and wake up to more noise. Meanwhile, China flashed its first big red light: a manufacturing PMI of 49, signaling contraction—the lowest in two years. No shock, considering their ongoing trade war with the U.S., which seems to be giving the global economy the flu. On the political front, Trump celebrated his 100 days in office with a campaign-style detour to Detroit, throwing shade at Fed Chair Jerome Powell while declaring the economy in perfect health (despite the worst market performance since Nixon’s early days). He promised tax cuts, again, while doubling down on trade threats. Powell, of course, is just trying to survive the week. Oil briefly dipped under $60 as markets considered the broader implications of economic warfare, gold sits at $3,311, and Bitcoin hovers around $95,000—looking resilient despite the madness. As for corporate earnings, Starbucks missed on sales due to weak U.S. demand, Pfizer beat on EPS but saw revenue fall, and Visa continues to rake in profits as Americans keep spending like inflation isn’t real. Novartis crushed it but got no love from the market because apparently, +22% net income just isn’t sexy enough. In short: chaos remains king. Markets seem oddly calm on the surface, but under the hood, it’s still all about tariffs, Trump tweets, and the fantasy that maybe—just maybe—some clarity will come today. Don’t hold your breath. Enjoy the ride, and see you tomorrow for more market mayhem.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by SmartApingAI
1