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which is the next stop of xauusd?Technical Perspective: Gold's Bullish Trend Current Trend Gold’s bullish trend remains intact, with strong price action maintaining upward momentum. The precious metal has successfully breached the $2,850 level, signaling potential for a move toward $2,900. Bullish Channel Gold is trading within a well-defined bullish channel, which provides: Strong Support: At $2,835. Resistance Zone: Between $2,875 and $2,900. Key Indicator: As long as Gold holds above the $2,835 support level, the bullish momentum is expected to persist. Anticipated Trading Range (Today) Support: $2,835. Resistance: $2,875. The market is likely to continue testing these boundaries in the short term. Potential Breakout The technical setup suggests a high likelihood of breaking higher if additional external factors provide support, such as: Weaker Economic Data: Signals from U.S. economic reports. Dovish Fed Commentary: Hints at further interest rate cuts or accommodative monetary policy
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
1
SPX500 programmed to have a correction.My analysis is straightforward. On the weekly timeframe, there is a significant bearish divergence on the RSI, indicating that the market is moving in the wrong direction relative to fundamentals. This divergence has been present for six months, so one might assume there’s no reason for a change. The market is in a bubble, but it needs a catalyst to wake up. While I appreciate some of Trump's policies, certain aspects of his approach could crash the market. - Imposing tariffs on most imports might seem like a good idea. Trump aims to make the U.S. a producer of goods rather than an importer. However, the U.S. has lost much of its manufacturing base, engineering expertise, and know-how. China now dominates these areas, making this policy difficult to implement within the short span of a four-year term. Instead, tariffs on all imports would raise prices, worsening inflation. The market's prolonged rise has been largely driven by the Fed's efforts to control inflation. Higher inflation would force the Fed to raise interest rates, spooking the market. Another risk is a potential disagreement between the government and the Fed over policies, which would create uncertainty. I believe that increased inflation, higher prices, and tariffs will ultimately undermine trust in U.S. monetary policies, leading to the opposite of the intended effect. The USD could weaken, and more countries may move away from dollarization (regardless of tariffs, as Trump cannot dictate other nations' monetary policies). The market would likely react negatively, and the bearish divergence would play out, potentially causing a crash lasting at least a year, similar to what happened in January 2022. I hope I’m wrong, but this scenario has a high probability of occurring.
SP:SPXShort
by CryptoNikkoid
3
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – Bullish Rebound Setup Market Context: BTC is currently trading near a 4H Fair Value Gap, with multiple wicks indicating buyers are stepping in. The 4H Kijun and the FVG overlap provide a strong confluence area for a potential bounce. Despite recent bearish pressure, a range-bound environment suggests a bullish bias could play out if price holds above this support region. Trade Idea (Long): – Entry: Look to buy on a retest of the 4H FVG or once the 4H Kijun confirms support. – Stop: Place just below the recent wicks or the lower boundary of the FVG. – Risk: 1% of account (or per your risk plan). – Target: Aim for a minimum of 1:2 RRR, targeting the next key structure high or daily supply zone. Risk Management: If price decisively breaks below the FVG and invalidates the Kijun support, exit the trade and wait for another setup. Remain watchful of macro news as it can spark sudden volatility.
Long
by Fondera
Is TRUMPUSDT Ready for a Major Breakout?Yello, Paradisers! After an extensive downtrend, #TRUMPUSDT is finally showing signs of life, breaking above its descending resistance. Could this be the start of a powerful move higher? A potential deviation pattern is forming, which might act as a trigger for upside momentum—here’s what you need to know. 💎#TRUMP is now approaching a critical resistance zone between $21.20 and $22.80—this is the level that needs to be breached for bulls to take full control. A clean breakout here could send TRUMP soaring toward the $29.50 - $30.50 region, where the first significant resistance awaits. Some profit-taking is expected at this level, so bulls need to push with conviction. 💎Moreover, if buyers can overwhelm the $30.50 zone, TRUMP could enter a massive rally toward $40 - $44, where the 50% Fibonacci resistance sits. This is a major level that demands caution, as it has the strength to trigger a reversal. 💎On the downside, TRUMP is establishing a solid support zone at $17.00 - $16.15. If this level holds in the next few hours, bulls could launch a strong push higher. This zone has already absorbed selling pressure, making it a key area for bulls to defend. Paradisers, as always, patience and precision are key in this market. This isn’t a time for reckless trades—let the levels guide you, trade strategically, and stay disciplined. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
BTC.D Capitulation Liquidation candle. Bitcoin's price hovers around $97,000 on Wednesday, following a 3.5% drop the day before. David Sacks, President Trump’s crypto czar, has announced plans to assess a Bitcoin Reserve. Meanwhile, traders on the Bitcoin CME are adopting a cautious stance, advising investors to steer clear of leverage at all costs. As uncertainty and volatility rise in the wake of Trump’s supportive crypto regulations, the potential for a Bitcoin reserve is emerging, yet the market remains turbulent due to tariffs and broader economic challenges. Additionally, Bitcoin is bracing for fluctuations as FTX prepares to start repaying creditors on February 18. The beleaguered exchange, which filed for bankruptcy in November 2022 with debts estimated at $11.2 billion, is set to disburse payouts that could reach up to $16.5 billion. To facilitate this, FTX is actively selling assets and investments in tech companies. This development is pivotal for those impacted by the FTX collapse, sparking significant interest within the cryptocurrency community. In 2018 and 2019, the BTC.D chart faced rejections from the 60% resistance zone during the bearish years that followed the explosive bull run of 2017. Now, we find ourselves in a different scenario, with a retest happening in a bull run year post-halvening. While it’s too early to declare the end of the rally, the usual indicators for a BTC bull peak have yet to signal a positive trend. From a technical standpoint, BTC.D has the potential to climb to 63.84% and possibly reach as high as 72.5%. This development could spell great news for Bitcoin while casting a shadow over the altcoin market. This shift might be driven by consistent demand from ETFs and institutional investors for Bitcoin, leaving altcoins in the dust until later in the year. However, some speculators believe that the recent liquidations over the weekend may have drained enough leverage, allowing altcoins to begin their recovery and, at long last, outshine Bitcoin. We await the unfolding drama with eager anticipation.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by BallaJi
Gold’s Got Game!Gold’s Got Game: Why This Metal’s Making Fiat Look Like Monopoly Money 🤑 Introduction Gold isn’t just shiny—it’s sassy. While fiat currencies are busy falling apart like a cheap IKEA table, gold’s over here flexing in style. The chart? Oh, it’s a thing of beauty—a perfectly behaved ascending channel, the kind that makes traders weak in the knees. But wait, there’s more! Let’s dig into why gold’s the MVP of this market. Spoiler: It doesn’t involve a billionaire tweeting 🚀. Trendlines So Sexy, They Should Be Illegal Look at that chart. Just LOOK at it. Perfect lines, clean swings, and a channel that’s so disciplined it could teach your trading account some manners. Gold’s not just going up—it’s strutting. This isn’t your everyday pump-and-dump nonsense; this is a long-term glow-up. Gold’s Secret Sauce 🍯 Why is gold moonwalking its way to the top? Glad you asked: Inflation’s Revenge 😡 Central banks printing money faster than you can say “quantitative easing”? Classic. Every dollar you hold is depreciating, but gold? It’s sipping tea, whispering, “Stay poor, fiat.” Geopolitical Chaos 🎭 From trade wars to actual wars, the world’s on fire 🔥, and gold is the fireproof safe. Every time a headline screams “uncertainty,” gold gains another point. Chart Patterns: Gold's Glow-Up Timeline 🌟 The Breakout Bounce (Feb–May): A breakout so clean it probably eats kale salads. Gold smashed through resistance and said, “Later, losers.” The Mid-Year Flex (June–August): A pullback? Sure. But even then, it respected the channel like a disciplined trader. The Current Power Move (Feb 2025): Now we’re seeing that next-level push, eyeing $2,900 like it’s a Black Friday sale. And let’s not ignore the elephant in the room: that arrow aiming straight for the top. Whoever drew it, we get it. Moon or bust 🚀. The Real Question: Are You Late to the Party? 🥳 Short answer: Nope. Long answer: If this channel holds (and it’s been rock-solid so far), gold’s got room to run. But don’t just take my word for it—check the fundamentals. Oh wait, they’re screaming “BUY” too. 😏 Gold isn’t just moving—it’s making a statement. In a world full of financial chaos, it’s the one asset that doesn’t flinch. While fiat currencies play hot potato, gold’s over here saying, “Come at me, bro.” So, are you going to keep watching from the sidelines, or are you ready to get in the game? Your move. Gold’s making moves, and the chart isn’t lying. So, are you ready to listen—or are you still clinging to that “cash is king” nonsense? 🤔
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RoadToAMillionClub
Last Support Zone: 17.721-22.879 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- #TRUMPUSDT.P Since the volume profile zone is formed at 27.329, it is the reference point for the current transaction. The key is whether there is support near the Fibonacci ratio 1 (17.721) ~ 1 (22.879). If not, it will fall to a zone where it is unknown how far it will fall. If it rises above the 27.329 range, it is expected that the price will start to rise if it rises above 37702 ~ 0.618 (41.397) and maintains its value. Therefore, when trading in the spot market, you should be relaxed and think about how you can increase the number of coins (tokens) you have. In futures trading, quick response is the only way to survive. - If you look closely at the movement of the chart, you can see where to sell and where to buy. It is not easy to apply this in real time, but if you keep an eye on the indicators generated in real time, I think you will be able to find the trading point to some extent. In the spot market, you should think about whether it is possible to increase the number of coins (tokens) you have by trading in these waves. In other words, it is a method of increasing the number of coins (tokens) held by selling part of the purchased amount and then repurchasing the same amount when the price drops. The most important thing in this method is that you must trade in units of amount. This method is possible because you can trade in decimals. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. --------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
Ethereum Soars After Eric Trump’s StatementEthereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) saw a dramatic price swing after Eric Trump, son of U.S. President Donald Trump, made an unexpected bullish statement on X. His simple yet powerful remark, “In my opinion, it’s a great time to add CRYPTOCAP:ETH ,” ignited a surge in Ethereum’s price, sending it from $2,750 to $2,920 in under an hour. However, the rally was short-lived as ETH quickly retraced to $2,700, leaving traders wondering: Is this the start of a bigger move, or just a fleeting reaction? Political Influence on Ethereum Eric Trump’s statement came at a critical time, as the crypto market was already experiencing heightened volatility due to geopolitical and economic concerns. A major factor contributing to market uncertainty was Donald Trump’s announcement of new tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China, which sent shockwaves through financial markets**. Additionally, just before Eric Trump’s post, World Liberty Financial, a crypto project linked to the Trump family, addressed concerns over large fund movements to a Coinbase Prime address. They clarified that the transactions were merely internal treasury reallocations, not token sell-offs. With institutional adoption of Ethereum growing, and Ethereum’s role in DeFi, NFTs, and Layer-2 scaling solutions expanding, many investors see dips as an opportunity rather than a sign of weakness. Technical Outlook At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $2,830, down 1.83% on the day. Despite this pullback, technical indicators suggest a potential bullish setup: Ethereum is approaching oversold levels, indicating a buying opportunity for traders looking to enter at a discount. The current price action is forming a bullish flag pattern, with a support level at $2,666 (1-month low). If this support holds, CRYPTOCAP:ETH could be primed for a breakout. A decisive break above $3,700, which aligns with Ethereum’s 1-month high, would confirm a trend reversal and potentially trigger a rally toward $4,000+. What’s Next for Ethereum? While Eric Trump’s statement briefly pumped ETH’s price, Ethereum’s long-term trajectory will depend on broader market sentiment, macro events, and its ability to break key resistance levels. If the bullish flag pattern plays out and Ethereum reclaims $3,700, we could see an extended uptrend in the coming weeks.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
#TRU/USDT#TRU The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is adhering to it well and is heading to break it strongly upwards and retest it We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at a price of 0.0350 We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, which supports the rise We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100 Entry price 0.0438 First target 0.0511 Second target 0.0553 Third target 00630
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
Be careful with TRUMP !!!Buy at $15.5 and sell at 17 and 19 dollars . This Analysis is only valid for 3 days. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ❗Disclaimer ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
by CobraVanguard
1
BTC/USD Short-Term Rebound: Testing Key Resistance AheadThis BTC/USD chart (2-hour timeframe) shows a descending triangle pattern with a strong resistance trendline. Key Observations: 1. Price Rejection & Support: - BTC recently bounced from a support level around 93,747 and surged back above 97,952. - This suggests a potential short-term recovery. 2. Potential Upside Target: - The chart highlights a **resistance zone around 102,500–104,049, which aligns with the descending trendline. - A move toward this level is likely if the current momentum continues. 3. Breakout or Rejection? - If BTC breaks 104,049 with strong volume, it could challenge 108,411. - Failure to break resistance could lead to another drop toward 93,747 or lower. Strategy Consideration - Short-term traders: Watch for a retest of 102,500–104,049 before deciding on a breakout trade or shorting the rejection. - Long-term perspective: If BTC holds above 93,747, bullish momentum might strengthen.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
USD/CAD got absolutely 'hammered' on MondayTrump's trade negotiations provided USD/CAD with its most volatile daily range since the height of the Pandemic. Yet the surprise announcement that Trump is pausing Canada's tariffs for 30 days saw prices reverse sharply lower, to close the day with an elongated bearish hammer. Does that pave the way for an immediate reversal lower? Not necessarily. Using price action and market position, I explain why. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
LSE:CAD
by CityIndex
TradeCityPro | DOGEUSDT End of the Downtrend👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let's go together into a turbulent day in the market, which was accompanied by the opening of global markets, Trump’s side events, and economic sanctions on Canada and Mexico. Let’s take a look at the chart together. 📣 How did this happen? The event that occurred last night with the market opening in the Tokyo session was that Trump suddenly increased import tariffs from China, Canada, and Mexico to 25%, causing economic conflicts among these countries. Along with this, we saw an increase in USDCAD, the dollar index, gold, and cryptocurrency, leading to market fluctuations. However, today it was announced that these changes will take effect next month. 🌐 Overview Bitcoin Before starting the Bitcoin analysis, let’s first examine Bitcoin on the one-hour timeframe as usual. We had already opened our short position after breaking 101,654 in previous analyses, and this morning, due to sell-off candles around the 92,000-dollar range and excessive overselling, we secured a lot of profit and completely exited the position. This drop caused a severe shock to most people, leading to the liquidation of $2 billion in long futures positions. This price drop was accompanied by an increase in Bitcoin dominance, reaching my psychological ceiling, and a very long shadow up to 64.30% was recorded. In my opinion, this is the Bitcoin dominance peak, but we will wait for confirmation. The reason I say this is the peak is that a large volume of other coins is staked and locked outside the cycle. This makes it unlikely that we will go above these numbers, and we will likely experience corrections and declines gradually. However, Bitcoin itself has completely recovered its drop, which is a very good sign for upward movement and momentum because a momentum shift has practically occurred. The reason for this shift was the announcement that these economic events will be implemented next month, not now, which brought calm to the markets. But Bitcoin still has good momentum, and you shouldn’t feel left out. Feeling left out is for those who lack risk management and enter positions recklessly, not us. 📊 Weekly Timeframe On the weekly timeframe, Dogecoin, Elon Musk’s favorite coin that has practically established itself as an entity in the U.S. and made him the second most influential person in the country, has had an outstanding performance recently. It has both recorded a higher low compared to 2023 and has not undergone significant price corrections—just a rejection from its ATH, which is entirely logical. I am not buying for now and prefer to miss a move, or if I do buy, it will be very low-risk. But if you want to buy a coin, be very careful about how it performed during this correction and what its Bitcoin pair looks like. Most coins that experienced more decline, like NOT, had a bearish Bitcoin pair, while some coins that held up well were either ranging or bullish. With this weekly candle, you can take a risk and make your purchase, but you must consider that it has merely bounced off support and made a pullback. Therefore, it may range for a few weeks before continuing its momentum, as the high volatility at the beginning of the month means the market may need some rest—unless we enter a bull run. For selling, hold on for now and do nothing. 📈 Daily Timeframe On the daily timeframe, however, DOGE is one of the coins that has reacted well to recent events and is behaving almost like Bitcoin. It has rebounded from this range and is closing a strong candle with high volume, preventing the daily RSI from entering oversold territory. On the other hand, DOGE is among those coins that are positioned at higher levels compared to the daily range that most altcoins have formed, showing its relative strength against Bitcoin. If you check Ethereum on the daily timeframe, you will understand what I mean. After breaking the important 0.31019 support and the 0.236 Fibonacci support, we saw a sharp candle that rebounded between the 0.382 and 0.5 range, which is not a bad reaction at all. Most likely, some purchases will be made upon the closing of this candle. If this aligns with your strategy, it is not a bad entry point, but I personally prefer to wait a little longer and enter with a better trigger and a smaller stop-loss. Or, I might wait for the 0.466 resistance break and take the trade with more certainty or higher risk. First, when the market becomes range-bound and boring, that is exactly when the highest probability of movement occurs. Second, take risk and capital management very seriously. I know 90% of our community follows this, but I need to repeat it repeatedly to make it universal and prevent people from being liquidated unnecessarily by opening reckless positions based on mere hope. 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
12
EUR/USD slides on tariff turmoil, euro CPI risesThe euro has weakened at the start of the new week. EUR/USD slumped over the weekend and dropped as low as 1.0141, its lowest level since Nov. 2022. The euro has recovered somewhat on Monday and is trading at 1.0277 in the North American session. Still, the euro has dropped 0.76% since Friday's close. US President Trump hasn't wasted any time and imposed 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada over the weekend, effective February 4. Mexico and Canada have both announced retaliatory tariffs in response. Earlier today, just one day before the tariffs were to take effect, the US announced that the tariffs against Mexico would be delayed for a month. The breather is good news, but the US could still find itself embroiled in a trade war with its two neighbors, in what is the world's largest trade zone. Trump hasn't slapped the European Union with any tariffs yet, but said on Friday that he would "absolutely" go after imports from the EU. Global markets have been hit by fears of a global trade war resulting from the US tariffs and the US dollar is up sharply against most of the major currencies, including the euro. Inflation in the eurozone ticked upwards to 2.5% y/y in January from 2.4% in December, above the market estimate of 2.4%. This was the highest CPI level since July 2024, driven mainly by a sharp jump in energy prices. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, remained unchanged at 2.7% y/y for a fifth straight month, just above the market estimate of 2.6%. This is above the European Central Bank's 2% target but is the lowest level since January 2022. Services inflation, which is closely watched by the ECB, eased to 3.9% in January, down from 4% in December. Today's inflation report affirms that inflationary risks remain and could complicate the ECB's plans to reduce interest rates and kick-start the weak eurozone economy. The ECB meets next on March 6. EUR/USD has pushed above resistance at 1.0244 and is testing resistance at 1.0297 There is support at 1.0203 and 1.0175 www.tradingview.com
by OANDA
Traded UVIX This Morning, Just After Open. Position Closed NowIs CBOE:UVIX right for you? Would you also like to earn when the market is down? If so check it out, I traded $UIVX right after the open and have already closed the position. I usually don't day trade, but on a down day like today I couldn't resist trying the downside with Ultra Short Futures Options. These instruments aren't for everyone, & most people who own them lose money over time, so please be careful and only risk as much as you can afford to lose.
CBOE:UVIX
by CryptoQue
$TRUMP Coin Tanks 80% from All-Time High – What's Next?Market Overview The $TRUMP coin, a Solana-based meme token inspired by former President Donald Trump, has seen a dramatic decline, shedding nearly 80% of its value from its $75.35 ATH recorded on January 19, 2025. The coin, which launched on January 18, 2025, skyrocketed overnight, attracting traders eager to capitalize on its meteoric rise. However, a lack of development and utility has raised concerns, leading to a rapid sell-off. Technical Analysis As of the time of writing, $TRUMP is trading at $17.75, marking a 17% decline in 24 hours. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 31, signaling oversold conditions. While this hints at a potential buying opportunity, the coin remains highly volatile. Key Technical Levels: - Immediate support: $17.00 (psychological support) - Major support: $15.00 (next critical level in case of further decline) - Resistance: $25.00 (short-term bounce potential) - Bullish breakout: A reversal above $30 could reignite bullish momentum With major exchanges like Binance, Coinbase, and Kraken listing $TRUMP, the coin remains highly liquid, but whether it can reclaim its previous highs remains uncertain. Fundamental Analysis Despite its steep decline, $TRUMP maintains a market cap of $3.55 billion, securing a CoinMarketCap ranking of #34. It has a circulating supply of 200 million tokens with a max supply of nearly 1 billion, which could lead to future dilution concerns. The token's price action has been largely speculative, driven by hype rather than tangible fundamentals. The lack of a defined roadmap, development plans, or intrinsic utility poses significant risks. However, its **strong meme appeal and cultural relevance** continue to attract traders. Future Outlook While some traders expected $TRUMP to reach $100, the current price action suggests a prolonged consolidation or further decline unless new catalysts emerge. The token’s fate depends on market sentiment, potential utility developments, and broader crypto trends. Key Considerations: ✅ Oversold RSI – Possible short-term bounce ⚠️ No intrinsic utility – High risk, purely speculative 📉 High volatility – Not for the faint-hearted Final Thoughts $TRUMP coin's meteoric rise and steep fall highlight the high-risk nature of meme tokens. While its presence on major exchanges adds credibility, the lack of fundamental value makes it highly unpredictable. Traders should exercise caution and manage risk appropriately, as the next move for $TRUMP remains uncertain.
Long
by DEXWireNews
TRUMP Token Analysis: Is This Best Buy Zone Before a +40% PUMP!?Today, I decided to re-analyze the OFFICIAL TRUMP token( BINANCE:TRUMPUSDT ) for you; if you want to have the TRUMP token in your portfolio, in what range can you buy this token, and at what prices can you sell it with a profit or even prevent further loss? TRUMP Token started correcting after all the hype, after the news of the launch of the Official Melania Meme token ( BINANCE:MELANIAUSDT.P ) and has dropped more than -60% from its All-Time High(ATH) . TRUMP Token is moving near the upper line of the descending channel and the Resistance zone($32-$30) . According to the theory of Elliott waves , the TRUMP token seems to be completing microwave 5 of microwave c of the main wave Y . The main wave Y could end in a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and be another opportunity to buy TRUMP Token , of course, with capital management in mind . I expect the TRUMP token to start rising again after the -15% decline from the close of the lower high line of the descending channel and the Support lines and at least a +20% increase . Note: Of course, the FOMC Statement, Federal Funds Rate decision, and Press Conference can affect the general trend of the crypto market and the TRUMP token. Note: If the TRUMP token goes below $22.00, there is a possibility that the fall will continue. Note: However, concerns have been raised about supply concentration, with 85% of the tokens controlled by Trump's team, who have reportedly liquidated approximately $500 million worth of tokens. This situation poses potential risks for retail investors. What do you think about the TRUMP token? Can the TRUMP Token rise again, or is it forming a Dead Cat Bounce Pattern ? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. OFFICIAL TRUMP Analyze (TRUMPUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas . Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
39
Trump’s Trade War Risks Throwing Markets into Chaos. TARIFFic?Apparently, Trump has slapped Mexico, Canada and China with hefty tariffs. Now all these three are either already retaliating with their own levies on US goods or getting ready to do so. The complex interplay of back-and-forth tariffs risks turning friends into foes and driving up prices. All the while the end consumer is likely to cover the difference. President Donald Trump on Saturday actually went ahead and did what he wanted to do. He launched the game of tariffs. He hit Mexico, Canada and China with hefty import duties, threatening to throw the world’s trade into a spiral of ill intentions, retaliations and higher prices for your Stanley cups and iPhones. The looming destabilization is already coming from both ends — Canada swiftly imposed 25% levies on roughly $20 billion of US goods coming into the country on Tuesday. Another $85 billion worth of goods are getting the same treatment within the next three weeks. China, where nearly everything you get your hands on is made, said it will “take necessary countermeasures to defend its rights and interests.” Trump’s new order requires Canada and Mexico to pay 25% tariffs on imports to the US (with a partial carve out for Canada’s energy and oil exports — 10% levies apply there). The US President was gearing up for a 60% tariff rate on China while he was running for office but said he’s imposing a 10% tariff that will likely get higher in time. These three countries in 2023 collectively accounted for about 40% of all US imports. That year, the US imported about $3.85 trillion worth of goods. In November 2024, the US pulled in about $351 billion worth of stuff and then sold it to Americans. What are tariffs and who pays them? At the basic level, tariffs are a way for an economy to protect itself from foreign competition. Through tariffs, domestic businesses are somewhat shielded from outside interference and can snatch up a bigger portion of the local market. Tariffs are just taxes placed on products that are made overseas and then imported to the country. Here’s the kicker: the foreign companies that make these goods and then import them aren’t on the hook for paying the tariffs — American businesses are. Tech companies like Apple AAPL , which makes about 95% of its stuff in China, or Tesla TSLA , which makes half of its cars in China, will end up paying more for their products as they come into the US. Who’s collecting that import duty? The US government. What could happen when these tariffs get cracking? The US consumer will most likely cover the difference. Nearly every product will be affected — from cars to baby toys to the already expensive eggs (can egg prices get even higher?) Here’s an example: potash, the product that’s used by US farmers as fertilizer, just got 25% more expensive. That extra cost, paid by the farmers, is likely to trickle down to the end consumer so farmers could keep trucking and produce at the same rates. What could happen to the stock market? One thing is certain — the companies that don’t pass on the added cost to the consumer will see their corporate profits dwindle. But if they want to keep generating value for shareholders, they’ll need to pass it forward to the end user. With the first quarter now well under way, the next earnings season will be a sight to see. (Friendly reminder to keep an eye on the economic calendar for all corporate earnings and updates.) An analysis from Barclays estimates that all S&P 500 companies could see their profits shrink by 2.8% once the tariffs get in full flow. Perhaps a bigger, scarier fallout is possible. Inflation can perk up again. Inevitably, the higher costs across the border risk undoing what the Federal Reserve was doing to combat inflation. Goldman Sachs came out with the forecast that the looming tariffs could have an initial knock on effect on inflation to the tune of 0.7% to the upside. Gross domestic product could drop 0.4%. And most of all, there’s one thing investors fear the most. Rising inflation could bring back interest rate hikes. A revival in consumer prices might prompt the Federal Reserve to walk back its intentions of more interest rate cuts and lean against the economy by raising borrowing costs. There are early signs of this already. Fed chief Jay Powell last week said the central bank is in a wait-and-see phase as Trump’s policies unfurl. The scary tariffs already knocked the wind out of stocks and crypto. Monday morning saw one of its worst openings in years, especially for Ethereum ETHUSD . The second-largest coin fell as much as 27% from the get-go as the bullish sentiment was nowhere to be seen. Bitcoin BTCUSD also got a slap losing 6% in its first deals to settle near $91,000 before paring back some of the drop. And stock futures were looking at steep declines with Dow futures DJI shedding as much as 700 points ahead of the opening bell in New York. The only winner was the US dollar DXY , which stands to gain popularity in a high-tariff environment. Until now, the market has been overwhelmingly on Trump’s side. He stepped into the White House riding on the promises of a strong economy and booming business. But if he takes aim (even indirectly) at shareholders’ profits, he might end up losing the support of all those billionaire executives who worked hard to get him elected. What do you think? Is Trump acting in the best interest of America or is he driving markets into a ditch? Share your thoughts below!
SP:SPX
by TradingView
55