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ridethepig | USDCAD Market Commentary 2020.06.17📍 USDCAD On the Canada side... This flow has become particularly interesting over the past few sessions, large macro hands front running BOC and piling into corporate debt and helping CAD hold at these levels. The risk to Canada really comes from the housing market, as soon as the stimulus stabilisers are off there will need to be another miracle to avoid panic selling. With stimulus retreating before the labour market has healed, the pressures on homes will become a blunder. This is so obvious and would be a blunder to miss. Now we are tracking a return back home, to the mean in a good mood - If buyers resign on the retest we can see the wave truncated (we'll keep updating the charts for this one). For those tracking EURCAD ...
Long
by ridethepig
6
USDRUB short short short!Hey there! Very simple setup explained in the chart. Basically stay short and if the pair closes above resistance look for very opportunities. If you have any questions please leave them in comments. Did you like the idea?? Give us a thumbs up!! Do you have a different view and analysis? Let us know in the comments. I love to be proven wrong. It is the only way to become better. Remember that trading is only part of your life. Do not spend all day in front of the screen!! Surf, Trade, Live!!
Short
by MicKi
HOLD THE PHONE... ES to 4000+ by November ???In short, I am no longer short. The recent additional QE measures and absurd position of the Fed to continue to expand it's balance sheet with no regard of the consequences tell me a few things. A. The fed and talking heads know that they have pretty much convinced THE HERD that blowing a bubble inside of a bubble is not only logical, it's our saving grace. B. That this will end badly but, not yet. If you look back to the '29 crash that was also fueled by a careless debt-fueled cycle, you will see that prior to the main collapse, there was one last blow the top off-pump... That is what I believe began on March 23rd and will continue through the election. Nothing that has happened this year has been a surprise to the powerful elite. The real Bull/Bear battle here is political in nature, nothing maters but staying in control. I believe we are in an impulse 5 wave and will break ATH in the ES in the next 5 weeks. We are collecting under the top end of the all-important megaphone pattern and I believe we are about to breakthrough. After reaching ATH, matching the NASDAQ's pattern, then we will get a nice retracement to the top side of the megaphone pattern. From there a weaker and potentially very powerful bearish pattern. Perhaps a H&S pattern like BOEING's chart prior to the Feb breakdown. If Trump loses the market, he loses his base and the election. Therefore, there is nothing this "team" won't do to keep the party going for another few months. They have made that very clear and it's only 20 weeks away. I can see it now... Donny loses the election with markets at ATH's. like 4150 in the ES. Crazy numbers... He waves goodbye and signs his name on the V shape recovery he promised. Then, with the country in Biden/China's hands, we will see the epic collapse of our bloated state. 156% valuations to GPD might look small by November. ... or maybe we get rejected here and tumble, however, last I checked the money machine is still working. Food for thought or comment: What would happen if Biden wins and tries to clawback corporate tax cutes? Can he do that? What if the US's credit rating is downgraded internationally? What happens if we are no longer the reserve currency?
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by Andimolz_
1
History Repeats Itself: Those Who Do Not Learn History Are Doomed To Repeat It. Second wave of virus coming even though Fauci says is still wave 1. Everything is setup for another bear market, and when Robinhooders start to loose money for their bull positions, they with turn sides and give strenght to bear market like a Domino Effect. Vix touched bottom on 24.50 and S&P500 futures touched their peak on 3230. Is a bubble inside another bubble. Buying stocks of collapsed companies, is no good idea... bubbles DO break! Fear has been evident for the last 1 and a half week.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by PinkyyCerebro