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XAUUSD - Will Trump cause gold to fall?If gold reaches the bottom of the descending channel, which is also in response to the demand zone, we can look for gold buying positions. Donald Trump won in Wisconsin and got 10 electoral votes, and Trump's total electoral votes reached 277 electoral votes. In this way, Donald Trump became the 47th president of the United States. The rise in long-term interest rates and the broad sell-off across the Treasury yield curve reflect public expectations for an inflationary mix of domestic (fiscal and immigration) and foreign (tariffs) policies from Trump. Also, we see movements in short-term US dollar swap rates related to the hawkish revision of Fed interest rate expectations. In line with forecasts and public expectation, markets still expect the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.75% tomorrow.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
DreamAnalysis | Trump’s 2024 Comeback Shakes Markets📈 US Elections and Markets: Bitcoin Hits Record $75,000 amid Trump’s Comeback 🌎 Global Market Impact from the US Presidential Election With ballots still being counted, the financial world is buzzing with anticipation over Donald Trump’s possible return to the White House. This election has set off movements in stocks, the US dollar, forex pairs, and cryptocurrencies, affecting global markets even before an official result is announced. 🚀 Bitcoin Surges to All-Time High Bitcoin spiked to an unprecedented $75,000 as market confidence grows around Trump’s chances. With Trump’s support for crypto-friendly policies, this is seen as a bullish indicator in the digital assets space. 💬 Elon Musk Comments on Trump’s Lead Elon Musk, who publicly backed Trump, expressed that Trump’s comeback signals a “clear mandate for change” in the US. The statement has fueled excitement in both the stock and crypto markets, further boosting sentiment around Trump trades. 💸 Forex Markets React: USD Strengthens, Euro Declines 📉 The US dollar surged, with the Euro becoming the day’s weakest currency as it dropped 1.6% to hit a five-month low of 1.07 against the USD. According to Nikos Tzabouras from Tradu, “Lower taxes and deregulation could energize corporate profits and economic activity.” - 💔 Mexican Peso Decline: The peso, one of the currencies most affected by Trump’s policies, saw a 0.5-point drop against the dollar. This reaction is reminiscent of its movements following Trump’s 2016 victory. 🇯🇵 Japanese Stocks Rally While Hong Kong Dips - Nikkei 225 Gains: Japanese stocks soared by 1.5% as early results pointed to a Trump win. Charu Chanana from Saxo Markets noted that any likelihood of a Democratic sweep could impact equity markets but seems increasingly unlikely. - Hong Kong Hang Seng Falls: The Hang Seng index started its day with losses, signaling regional volatility amid election uncertainties. 📊 Equity Markets Rise in the US Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq climbed over 1% on election day, showing investor optimism. However, volatility is anticipated to remain high as the final results approach, with investors keeping an eye on Trump’s confirmed leads in key states like Florida and Georgia. 🔗 Bond Market & Volatility Indicators - Bond Volatility Eases: Despite gains in stocks, the BOA Move index reflects sustained bond volatility, though the VIX (stock volatility) fell slightly from 22 to 20. - Stable Bond Markets: Investors expect bond markets to settle once results are finalized, though high levels suggest some caution. 💥 Crypto Market: Bitcoin Hits New High as Trump Backs Digital Assets Bitcoin’s rise highlights Trump’s support for crypto policies and his “Bitcoin President” stance. While Kamala Harris’s approach to crypto remains uncertain, Trump’s endorsement has boosted the sector, giving confidence to the market and key players. 🔍 Key Takeaways: Market Sentiment Driven by US Election Results The markets are showing clear signs of investor positioning as Trump’s lead becomes apparent: - US Dollar Up: Any lead for Trump boosts the dollar, with high volatility expected to persist until results solidify. - Cryptocurrency Surge: Bitcoin's 5% increase signals strong bullish sentiment. - Forex Weakness: Major currencies, particularly the Euro and Mexican Peso, have declined against the USD. 👁‍🗨 Keep an Eye on: Key Influences and Volatility With ongoing election results, financial markets, crypto, and forex are likely to fluctuate: - Short-term Forex Movements: USD expected to be volatile. - Crypto Optimism: Bitcoin and other digital assets may continue to climb. - US-China Relations: Possible tariff adjustments with Trump’s agenda in mind.
TVC:DXY
by DreamAnalysis
Trump Reclaims US Presidency6th November President Trump!!! DXY: Further strength expected to 105.45, could retrace briefly, needs to stay above 104.80. (beyond 105.45 could reach 106) NZDUSD: Sell 0.5935 SL 20 TP 75 (hesitation at 0.5895) AUDUSD: Sell 0.6560 SL 25 TP 80 GBPUSD: Sell 1.2810 SL 30 TP 60 EURUSD: Sell 1.0765 SL 25 TP 90 USDJPY: Buy 154.40 SL 45 TP 90 USDCHF: Buy 0.8710 SL 20 TP 40 USDCAD: Sell 1.39 SL 30 TP 70 Gold: Looking for reaction at 2733, beyond that could trade up to 2760
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
TRUMP is the 47th President! Is this bullish for the markets?Donald Trump is the new (47th) President of the United States, coming into office for his 2nd time. The practical question on the investor's mind is of course how will the stock markets react? Even though there is no definitive way to approach this, the fact that Trump will resume power for a 2nd term, gives us a historic data set to have grounds for comparison. Fundamentally anything can be discussed on policies and strategies etc but technically the picture is more objective. As you can see on this Dow Jones (DJI) chart displayed on the 1W time-frame, Trump's 1st Presidential win was on November 08 2016. At that time, the market was trading within a Channel Up that started after a 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) double test on January 19 and February 08 2016. Right before the Elections, the index experienced a natural 'Pre-election volatility' phase. The picture during the current election period isn't very different from 2016. As you can see, Dow started a Channel Up pattern after a 1W MA200 test and half-way through the year started to experience the usual 'Pre-election volatility' phase. During that time both in 2024 and 2016, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) was supporting and stayed intact. Notice how even the 1W RSI sequences between the two fractals are similar from the time the Channel Up started until the elections. So naturally you are asking what does that mean for us moving forward? Well after the November 08 2016 elections and Trump's 1st win, Dow started to rise aggressively immediately and by March 2017 it almost reached the patterns top (Higher Highs trend-line) before the new medium-term relief pull-back. The post-election Bull Phase was concluded in January 2018, upon completing a +71% rise from the Channel's bottom and 7.0 Fibonacci extension from the volatility phase. So if symmetry acts its part, we may see 47000 by March 2025 and 55000 (+71% from the October 2023 bottom) by the end of 2025. Is this projection definitive? Of course not, nothing is 'absolute' in investing/ trading. But history has shown that the stock market has reacted more than positively after the U.S. elections, particularly in the case of a Trump win. What do you think? Will Trump's 2nd term be bullish? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DJILong
by TradingShot
1
USDCAD - Trump gave a new trend to the dollar!The USDCAD currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its medium-term bullish channel. If the upward movement continues, we can see the supply zone and sell within that range with the appropriate risk reward. The correction of this currency pair towards the demand zones will provide us with the next buying positions. Following the announcement of Donald Trump’s election victory, the U.S. dollar has risen against almost every currency globally. Markets are not only preparing for Trump’s presidential win but also foresee a Republican-controlled Congress, which is crucial for the incoming president’s ability to implement policy changes through the U.S. government. Ahead of the October 23 monetary policy meeting, officials at the Bank of Canada believed that inflationary pressures were on a downward trend and further tightening of monetary policy was unnecessary. They considered a 0.25% rate cut, though strong consensus emerged for holding off based on economic data observed since July. Officials noted that a rate cut would require time to sufficiently impact per capita consumer spending and counterbalance the overall consumption decline driven by slower population growth. They agreed to continue normalizing their balance sheet through maturing bonds. According to informed sources, OPEC+ has reached a preliminary agreement to postpone an increase in oil production for December. This agreement includes countries such as Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman, which have decided to extend their voluntary oil production adjustments until the end of December 2024. One key factor weakening the Canadian dollar is the country’s economic challenges. The Canadian housing market is facing serious difficulties due to rising interest rates, and the decline in demand for new home purchases has dimmed future prospects for the market. Additionally, slower population growth, largely dependent on government immigration policies, is negatively impacting the economy. Nonetheless, some hope that China’s economic stimulus efforts and rising natural commodity prices might support the Canadian dollar, though these factors carry their own risks. BlackRock has stated that expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut are overly optimistic. The bank cited the following reasons: U.S. third-quarter GDP data show that consumers remain the main driver of economic growth. The average monthly job creation over the past three months has been 104,000 jobs, a healthy rate, which is likely to rise considering hiring pauses due to storm disruptions.
Long
by Ali_PSND
WTI - How will oil react to the elections?!Oil is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its downward channel. If the descending channel is preserved and its ceiling is not broken, we can witness the continuation of the oil decline up to the midline of the descending channel. Breaking the ceiling of the channel and the resistance range will provide the way for oil to rise to $75. A member of Trump’s campaign stated that victory in Michigan and Pennsylvania is nearly certain. Meanwhile, Fox News has predicted that Trump will win the U.S. presidential election. According to information from three informed sources, the United States and Saudi Arabia are in talks for a security agreement that would be independent of any broader agreement with Israel. This agreement is not aimed at achieving a comprehensive defense pact; however, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and the White House wish to reach a security deal before President Biden’s term ends in January. Prior to Hamas’s attacks on Israel on October 7, the Biden administration was in discussions with Saudi Arabia and Israel for a broader agreement that included normalization between Saudi Arabia and Israel. This agreement would have involved a U.S.-Saudi defense pact and civilian nuclear cooperation, which the White House believed had a higher chance of Senate approval. However, the outbreak of conflict in Gaza and Lebanon and Saudi Arabia’s demand for the establishment of an independent Palestinian state delayed these negotiations. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia’s national security advisor, Musaad bin Mohammed Al Aiban, traveled to Washington last week and met with U.S. national security advisor Jake Sullivan and other officials, including Secretary of State Antony Blinken. Their discussions focused on U.S.-Saudi bilateral relations and a series of security, technological, and economic agreements they aim to sign before Biden’s term ends. This security agreement was separate from efforts for a broader deal that included normalization between Saudi Arabia and Israel. The initial plan is to draft an agreement similar to what the Biden administration has signed with other Gulf countries in recent years. For instance, in March 2022, Qatar was recognized as a major non-NATO ally, and in September 2023, the U.S. and Bahrain signed a comprehensive security agreement. Over the past four years, the Biden administration has sought to curb the growing influence of China and Russia in the Gulf region. U.S. officials have indicated that several countries previously leaning towards China and interested in purchasing strategic systems from Russia have now moved closer to the U.S. The OPEC Secretary-General has stated that the global economy is in good condition and estimates global economic growth at 2.9%. OPEC holds an optimistic view of oil demand in both the short and long term. Although there are challenges, the overall picture is not as negative as some suggest. The OPEC Secretary-General believes that peak oil demand will not occur and that the global economy continues to grow.
TVC:USOILShort
by Ali_PSND
Trump is another name for #bitcoin's parabolic movements!🟢#Trump’s influence, especially in 2016, created a huge shift in the political arena, and this increased people’s interest in alternative financial systems like #Bitcoin. 🟢2016 was a time when Bitcoin started to be noticed by the wider public. 🟢Now, with Trump’s return, there will be a similar wave of excitement in CRYPTOCAP:BTC and the crypto markets. 🟢Interest in assets like #BTC will increase, especially when there is a lack of trust in traditional economic systems or a search for alternative solutions.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by EtherNasyonaL
Nasdaq (NDX): US Election Hype vs RealityThe US Elections are just around the corner – a global event that everyone is eagerly anticipating. But the big question remains: Will the election results really have a massive impact on the financial markets? Or, at the end of the day, does it even matter who wins – Kamala Harris or Donald Trump? 🤔 We shared our view months ago: It doesn’t matter who takes the presidency. We firmly believe that a major market correction is inevitable, regardless of the election outcome. The timing? Impossible to predict. But one thing is clear: the warning signs are everywhere. From rising unemployment and skyrocketing debt to relentless inflation, the economic data paints a bleak picture, reinforcing our thesis. Looking at the weekly NASDAQ:NDX chart, a drop of over 20% could definitely happen. This isn’t something to ignore. But even in the middle of this chaos, there is a golden opportunity: A significant downturn could present a rare chance to accumulate high-quality assets at very cheap prices. This could be the moment to build a perfect portfolio, positioning yourself for long-term gains when the market rebounds. So, how should you approach this? See the upcoming volatility as an opportunity, not a threat. Secure your open positions, stay adaptable, keep an eye on the markets, and buy strong assets undervalued. And most importantly: Sit back and enjoy the show that both the markets and the political landscape are about to deliver! 🍿
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by freeguy_by_wmc
3
99% rate cut odds in election week? With both the election and an upcoming Fed meeting in focus, markets could face a surge in volatility this week. According to the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, traders are placing a 99% probability on a quarter-point rate cut at the conclusion of the Fed’s policy meeting on Thursday, following a half-point cut in September. After the rate decision, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected to speak. But, even if Thursday brings a clear election outcome, Fed officials are likely to sidestep any questions about potential policies from the next administration until the winner assumes office. Only then will they assess how campaign pledges translate into actual policy, watching closely to see how businesses, consumers, and financial markets react before making any further moves on monetary policy.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
Will Trump win?🔍 Technical Analysis of STRUMP/USDT 📉 Key price levels marked in green 🟢 and red 🔴 show potential "Winner" and "Loser" zones: 1️⃣ Winner Zones (Resistance) Break above 0.007312 could drive price higher 🚀 Stronger resistance at 0.010810 to confirm uptrend 🔼 Higher targets at 0.017108 and 0.025640 📈 2️⃣ Loser Zones (Support) First support at 0.004441; a fall below signals potential downtrend 🚨 Further support at 0.003255 and 0.002162 🛑 📉 Channel & Trend Lines: Price is moving within a descending channel ➡️ Breakout from this could indicate a reversal 🔄 Trading Strategy: 📈 If price enters green zones and breaks resistances, consider buying positions. 📉 If price drops into red zones and fails to hold support, selling or avoiding buys might be wise.
by ahmadarz
XAU/USD : Gold Set for a Move as U.S. Election Sparks VolatilityBy analyzing the #Gold chart in the 1-hour timeframe, we can observe several reactions to the demand levels we identified. Yesterday, we saw an initial bounce from the $2733 zone, with a 70-pip rise taking it close to $2740. Later, this morning, the price dipped below $2730 and reached the $2727 zone, where it was met with strong demand, resulting in a sharp increase of over 200 pips up to $2745. Currently, gold is trading around $2742, and I expect it to soon make another move toward the liquidity pools above $2745 and $2748. After that, keep an eye on the price reaction at $2752. Note that today is the U.S. election day, and the market may experience significant volatility. Be cautious with your trades! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
2
Bitcoin will be the winner of the US electionsAn interesting relationship can be observed between #Bitcoin 's past halving cycles and the US presidential elections. #Halving is generally known as an event that starts an uptrend by reducing the supply of $BTC. It is known that immediately after the US presidential elections, there was a general relief in the markets and as the uncertainty disappeared, investors turned to riskier assets. In this case, the removal of uncertainty in the post-election period, regardless of the candidates, will create relief in the market. With the effect of this relief, investors will turn to higher risk assets, triggering a bull run process. An asset with limited supply, such as Bitcoin, will also be positively affected by this process.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by EtherNasyonaL
US Presidential Election Forex Analysis5th November US Presidential Election DXY: Could retest 103.50 area, and rebound up to cover gap and up to 104.30 (if price breaks 103.40 could trade down to 102.90) NZDUSD: Sell 0.6040 SL 20 TP 80 AUDUSD: Sell 0.6635 SL 20 TP 60 (trend following) Counter trend opp: Buy 0.6670 SL 30 TP 90 GBPUSD: Sell 1.2980 SL 40 TP 130 EURUSD: Buy 1.0930 SL 30 TP 70 USDJPY: Ranging between 151.70 and 153.40, looking for breakout potential following major news USDCHF: Buy 0.8650 SL 20 TP 55 USDCAD: Sell 1.3870 SL 20 TP 50 Gold: Needs to break 2730 to trade down to 2710 and then possible rebound
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
#Altcoin run is programmed in the medium term.2025 will be unique for #Alts and #Bitcoin The impact of the elections in the US on financial markets can be significant. A win by #Trump or Harris could have different effects in terms of economic policies and market expectations. If Trump wins, it is possible that prices will rise even more due to high inflation expectations in the markets. If #Harris wins, it is expected that the #Fed will continue with its current monetary policies, so although there will be price fluctuations in the short term, it is possible that the bull run will continue in the long term. It should not be forgotten that the election results are not only related to short-term effects, but also to medium and long-term economic fundamentals and central bank policies. 🤝
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by EtherNasyonaL
1
$DOGE to the moon?CRYPTOCAP:DOGE is trading as one of the most bullish coins in crypto. The idea is around Trump winning the elections in the US. If it happens, which I think will play out based on how stocks/crypto are trading, I think DOGE will be one of the best places to be positioned. My entries were $.144 and $.150. I marked off resistance levels should we see a Trump win in the election. Below $.14 and I'd likely get out of the trade. Let's see what happens tomorrow and Wednesday.
COINBASE:DOGEUSDLong
by benjihyam
2
BTC: ATH Imminent? U.S. Election Could Be the Catalyst!Hey everyone! If you’re finding value in this analysis, don’t forget to hit that 👍 and follow for more updates! Welcome to this BTC Update! BTC has broken out of the parallel channel on the daily time frame and is currently hovering near the retest area. The market has been unusually quiet lately—this feels like the calm before the storm, and I’m anticipating a major pump from here. It seems the whole market is waiting on the outcome of the U.S. elections. After the election, I expect BTC to break its ATH, aiming for $90k-$100k by year-end. Invalidation: Daily close below the $64.8k level. What’s your take on BTC’s current price action? Are you spotting this bullish setup too? Share your analysis in the comments, and let’s ride this wave together!
Long
by CoreCrypto1