OFFICIAL TRUMP coin is here! - You made your millions?So whoever were the early birds who came to suck liquidity from ton and others to put here, its oficially launched everywhere.
80% holding on first address looks like a multisig, but
Only if this is a legit coin, the yellow line will be defended to again go up, rest no techincal analysis can work if its trump hahah!
Expecting 35 being of 45B marketcap!
Trump
XRP - Next Target => $4Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📌 According to our last analysis (attached on the chart), XRP has reached our $3 target.
What’s next?
🏹As long as the all-time structure marked in green and the $3 round number hold, the bulls will remain in control, potentially pushing towards the upper bound of the red channel around $4.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Solana's "Impulse" ATH Bound To ContinueWave 1) Low @ $110 to All Time High @ $264.63 -
Wave 2) Golden Ratio Retracement from ATH to $169.22 -
Wave 3) Price Exhaustion around $323.54 After Valid Break -
Wave 4) Retracement to Previous Break of Structure -
Wave 5) Final Leg Before Correction -
The announcement of the Official Trump coin being launched has started an interesting turn of events and may be helping usher COINBASE:SOLUSD into an Elliot Impulse Wave! With the Solana-based meme coin reaching $8 Billion in Market Cap, value increase by 300% and $1 billion in trading volume we see COINBASE:SOLUSD at an $118 Billion Market cap, currently 15% value increase on the day and close to $14 Billion in trading volume!
In a couple of days, the Pro-Crypto Trump Administration who plan to make "US the Crypto Capitol of the World" is pegged to take Office in just a couple days with expectations of actions being taken that will start to boost the Crypto Market.
I suspect we will see the Extension of Wave 3 that will break Wave 1 confirming the sequence in which we will be looking for Price to Exhaust around the $323 area to then start Wave 4 by Pulling back to Retest the Break of Previous Structure being the High of Wave 1. IF support is then found, we could see the Final Leg of Wave 5 with a Range Target @ ( $418 - $477 )
THE TRUMP RETURN GAME.. DAY TRADE POSSIBLITYTHE TRUMP GAME.. DAY TRADE POSSIBILITY
We did add yesterday a trump update and closed with an increased range.
This new price change TRUMP/USDT seems interesting for a live follow and for this reason, we will focus on the return of the coin and maybe there is more than just a return. new volume can bring interesting things with it.
EURUSD Sellers have an advantage towards Trump's Inauguration After carefully following up on US and EURO Zone data. We can positively say that the data has been favorable to the dollar. As at now the Fed has reduced the number of expected cuts this yr while ECB maintains a dovish tone promising a series of cuts even if they are not to be consistent. Also we have seen the NFP Data high and unemployment declining. If Trump maintains his stand on tariffs we should expect the EURO to be hurt.
#TRUMP. WHAT DID THE US PRESIDENT DO? WHY IS THE MARKET FALLING?KCEX:TRUMPUSDT
#1D
Trump’s Token
Last night, Trump unveiled his own token, which reached a market cap of 14B+ in just 4 hours, surpassing Litecoin, Polkadot, and TON.
Key Details:
- Supply: Currently 200M tokens, gradually increasing to 1B over 36 months.
- Allocation: Official details on token allocation are available on the website.
- Exchanges: While the token isn’t yet listed on major exchanges, the trading volume suggests a Tier-1 exchange listing is imminent.
Positives:
➕ BTC: The reserve role of Bitcoin is strengthened when the former president launches a meme coin.
➕ SOL: The token operates on Solana, which is positive for the ecosystem.
➕ Memes: This could spark renewed interest in meme coins, though similar launches by other political figures might dilute liquidity for older projects.
Negatives:
➖ AI agents on Solana have suffered from a liquidity outflow due to this launch.
The launch of the TRUMP meme coin highlights the growing influence of cryptocurrency in political and social arenas. Overall, this event is a positive signal for the crypto industry.
As always, DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and trade wisely! 💖
Hugs,
Your crypto girl
Trump’s Inauguration: What Lies Ahead?Capping a decisively sweeping victory on 5 November 2024 in what many called a ‘historic comeback’, Republican Donald Trump will be inaugurated as the 47th president of the United States (US) on Monday at 5:00 pm GMT (midday EST). This marks his second run for the highest office.
The ceremony is set to take place at the Capitol building. Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts is expected to oversee Trump's oath of office, followed by an inaugural address that the incoming President himself has said will be a message about ‘unity’ – very different from his 2017 speech that portrayed the country as ‘American carnage’.
Outgoing president Democrat Joe Biden has said he will attend the ceremony, a courtesy not extended by Trump for the former’s inauguration four years ago. Additionally, and in a break from tradition, world leaders have been invited to the ceremony for the first time, including China's President Xi Jinping. Although he will not be attending, Vice President Han Zheng will do so in his place.
In addition to world leaders, several influential figures are expected to attend. Elon Musk confirmed his attendance – who, alongside Vivek Ramaswamy, was recently nominated to head up the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). We can also expect Jeff Bezos, Mark Zuckerberg, and Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, to be present.
What Can We Expect from Trump?
Trump has assured the world of a hard-hitting approach towards illegal immigration, which is anticipated to include plans for the mass deportation of undocumented migrants. He stated he ‘will launch the largest deportation program in American history to get the criminals out’. Trade tariffs are another key policy that the global economy can expect, as he is anticipated to increase the protectionist policies his administration introduced in the first term.
About a year ago, Trump noted that ‘except for day 1’, he would not be a ‘Dictator’; this, as you would expect, sparked outrage from critics. However, if we know anything about Trump, he has a long – some would say ‘colourful’ – history of making incendiary statements that trigger both support and anger as well as generate a torrent of headlines.
Undoubtedly, the first 24 to 48 hours of the Trump administration will be eventful and likely elevate volatility across key asset classes, such as Currencies, Bonds, Stocks, and Commodities. The new government is expected to sign over 100 executive orders on day one. Although not usually as many orders, this is a regular practice for incoming Presidents as part of the transition process.
I expect Trump to make a statement on his first day in office that may make ‘a few heads spin’. We will likely observe executive orders directed at a crackdown on the US-Mexico border, along with orders focussing on issues such as energy, trade, and actions affecting Federal workers. Additionally, he is expected to roll back any executive orders initiated by the Biden administration that have not yet been finalised.
Markets Ahead of Trump’s Inauguration
I do not expect to see much price action ahead of Trump’s big day; however, technically speaking, US dollar (USD) bulls remain in control.
According to the US Dollar Index, the USD is on track to finish the week moderately lower, snapping a six-week winning streak. The Team and I have been banging the drum about monthly resistance on the US Dollar Index at 109.33 for a while now. This level entered the fray following a three-month rally just north of the 50-month simple moving average (SMA), currently trading at 101.12. With the Relative Strength Index progressing above the 50.00 centreline (positive momentum), this could eventually nudge the USD beyond current resistance towards the 2022 high of 114.78.
As seen from the daily chart of the US Dollar Index, the 200- and 50-day SMAs (at 104.68 and 107.32, respectively) are pointing to the upside; you will also note that price action is comfortable north of both dynamic values and that a Golden Cross (50-day SMA crossing above the 200-day SMA) developed in late 2024 – all of which are considered bullish indications. Current price action is shaking hands with resistance at 109.29 (Quasimodo resistance), and sellers have displayed limited enthusiasm as of writing. Absorbing willing offers here pave the way towards another layer of neighbouring resistance at 110.78 (another Quasimodo resistance), followed by the 2022 pinnacle at 114.78, as mentioned above.
Anticipating 2025Happy new year, traders! A few year-end wobbles not withstanding, Bitcoin has remained steadily within, or just above, the $100k price range over the past weeks. Bears briefly pushed Bitcoin below $90k but the dip was slurped up quickly and Bitcoin bounced upwards. Just as in the summer of 2024, when it was clear that Bulls had run out of steam, the same can be said of Bears in this moment in time. For now, Bulls remain at the wheel.
As Bitcoin builds up momentum before hopefully going on the next leg of its cycle growth, the stage is open and capital available for Altcoins to have their moment. So-called 'Boomer Coins' including Litecoin, XRP and others have rallied 30-40%+ over the past week alone. On the other end of the spectrum, memes, AI agent coins in particular, have seen parabolic growth. Market participants are chasing the 'next' pump narrative. But none of the typical 'top' indicators have yet been hit. The Coinbase app is not number 1 in the App Store just yet.
From a regulatory perspective, traders are positioning themselves for the incoming pro-crypto Trump administration. As SEC chairman Gary Gensler is handing in his resignation on January 20th, a new crypto-friendly SEC chair, Paul Atkins, is poised to take over once confirmed by the Senate. This will mark a major step-change from an SEC that brought at least 83 enforcement actions against crypto companies such as Coinbase or Uniswap.
Macro-wise, the outlook is more mixed. On the one hand, latest US inflation readings have come in soft. That keeps the door open for further Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. On the other, both retail sales and job data came in below expectations underperforming. The impact of possible Trump tariffs on the economy and trading partners such as China, Mexico and the EU is a great unknown that spooks markets. In a worst case scenario, tariffs could hurt partner exports which would result in an overall economic backlash for everyone.
Nonetheless, crypto is entering the 2nd year of its Boom Market cycle with more cause for optimism. The regulatory uncertainty is slowly lifting. Institutions including giants such as Blackrock have embraced crypto markets. Beyond the usual noise of crypto markets, Blockchain technology is improving. Areas such as performance, encryption, interoperability and User experience are starting to reach a point where actual adoption becomes feasible. There is certainly a lot to look forward to in 2025. May we all have a great year ahead of us.
Buy the hype, sell the news. Inauguration day incoming hey members
Volatility is fun but can be emotionally draining, which leads to errors and potential losses
My recommendation is to only trade with position sizes that you're willing to lose
This is the first time a pro-crypto president is taking office, so I am assuming rockets to the moon. This, however, can be a time where advantage takers rock the boat
Protect your capital, have some fun, see ya Monday!
TRUMP/USDT NEW DAY INCREASETRUMP/USDT NEW INCREASE DAY TRADE
The study shows that Morpho has a good chance to break in the coming time for this reason a follow.
We choose the coins not based on what we expect or think but on what the data shows as having the highest chance of increasing. And then it will still be unexpected market. There are no guarantees in markets.
SOL on the edge ETF Decision & Strategic Reserve News to TriggerTechnical Analysis
1. Descending Channel
The price has been consolidating within the descending channel since November, consistently bouncing off the upper and lower boundaries.
A breakout above the channel would signify a bullish reversal and a possible surge toward higher resistance levels, such as $220 and $240.
2. Current Momentum
The price is near the upper boundary of the channel at $204. A successful breakout accompanied by strong volume would confirm a bullish move.
3. Targets After Breakout
Immediate target $220 (previous support turned resistance).
Extended target $240-$280, depending on momentum and news impact.
News/Event Driven Catalysts:
1. Solana ETF Decision
The U.S. SEC decision on a Solana ETF within the next 8 days is a crucial factor. If approved, this would open the doors for institutional investment in Solana, significantly increasing demand and price.
Historically, ETF approvals for assets have led to sharp price rallies, often breaking technical resistances.
2. Trump’s Strategic Reserve Plans
The announcement that the U.S. President-elect is considering cryptocurrencies like Solana for a national reserve creates a bullish sentiment. If implemented, this could position Solana as a strategic asset in the crypto space, attracting major investors and long-term holders.
3. Market Sentiment:
Positive news about an altcoin reserve and Solana’s inclusion could further amplify its status as a leading blockchain in the market, pushing prices higher.
Potential Scenarios
1. Bullish Scenario (Breakout)
If the SEC approves the Solana ETF and positive sentiment continues, the price is likely to break above the channel.
Key levels to watch post-breakout: $220 (immediate resistance), $240, and $280.
2. Bearish Scenario (Rejection)
If the ETF is rejected or market sentiment turns negative, the price might face rejection at the upper boundary of the channel.
Downside levels to watch: $180 (support within the channel) and $165 (channel bottom).
This chart and the accompanying news strongly indicate that Solana is at a pivotal moment. Traders should monitor the channel breakout closely and pay attention to ETF-related news and market reactions. With the potential approval of the ETF and increasing institutional interest, Solana could experience a significant rally, making it a key asset to watch in the short term.
US100 Trade LogMarket Context:
- The CPI session’s top wick aligns with a 4H FVG rejection , signaling a high-probability short setup. Oscillators confirm exhaustion, supporting bearish momentum.
Trade Parameters:
- Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2 minimum .
- Base Risk: 1% account risk for initial positions.
- Additional Risk: Two half-contract size positions added, bringing total risk to between 1% and 2% to capture extended targets if price runs higher.
Missed Entry:
- Ideal short entry at the 0.5 level of the FVG , confluenced with the daily Kijun resistance. Hesitation led to a missed opportunity.
Retracement Importance:
- Small retracements, while frustrating, are necessary to sustain upside momentum. They provide clean re-entry points for continuation trades.
Conclusion:
- Strategic use of added risk positions and focusing on high-probability zones like FVGs and Kijun levels is crucial for optimizing profits.
THE LIQUIDITY PARADOX: Charting the Macro Environment for 2025WEN QE !?
TL;DR there will be NO Quantitative Easing this cycle.
YES the markets will still go to Valhalla.
LIQUIDITY DRIVES MARKETS HIGHER. FULL STOP.
Global M2 has a highly correlated inverse relationship with the US Dollar and 10Y Yield.
Hence why we have been seeing the DXY and 10YY go up while Global M2 goes down.
THE SETUP
We are in a similar setup to 2017 when Trump took office.
M2 found a bottom and ramped up, which toppled the DXY.
Inflation nearly got cut in half until July 2017, where it then slowly started to creep back up as M2 and markets exploded.
To much surprise, all this occurred while the Fed continued to RAISE INTEREST RATES.
This was in part due to policy normalization with a growing economy coming out of the financial crisis and having near 0% interest rates for so long.
In Q4 2014, the Fed paused QT, keeping its balance sheet near neutral for the next 3 years.
As inflation started rising, QT was once again enacted, but very strategically with a slow roll-off in Q4 2017. This allowed markets to push further into 2018.
THE PLAYBOOK
M2 Global Money Supply: Higher
Dollar: Lower
Fed Funds Rates: Lower
10YY: Lower
Fed Balance Sheet: Neutral
Inflation: Neutral
TOOLS
Tariffs
Deregulation
Tax Cuts
Tax Reform
T-Bills
HOW COULD WE POSSIBLY WEAKEN THE DOLLAR?
Trump has been screaming from the mountain tops; TARIFFS.
Tariffs will slow imports and focus more on exports to weaken the dollar.
The strong jobs data that has been spooking markets and strengthening the DXY will be revised to show it’s much worse than numbers are showing.
The Fed will pause QT, saying it has ample reserves, but not enable QE.
At the same time, they could pause interest rate cuts to keep a leash on markets and not kickstart inflation.
Then once all the jobs data is revised and markets get spooked at a softened economy (Q2), they will continue cutting.
WHY DOES THE FED KEEP CUTTING RATES EVEN WITH A STRONG ECONOMY?
In short, the Fed has to cut interest rates for the US to manage its debt.
THE US government is GETTEX:36T in debt.
In 2025, interest projections are well above $1T.
That would put the debt on par with the highest line items in the national budget such as social security, healthcare and national defense.
The Treasury manages its debt by issuing securities with various maturities. When rates are low, they can refinance or issue new debt.
As rates rise, the cost of servicing debt increases, and vice versa.
It’s one of the underlying reasons why the Fed cut (but no one will say it out loud)…
hence why everyone is so confused and screaming that they cut too early and the bond vigilantes have been revolting.
HOW DOES THE MONEY SUPPLY GO UP IF NO QUANTITATIVE EASING?
We’ve seen this before.
President Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent have been telling you their playbook.
In 2017, deregulation and tax cuts led to an increase in disposable income from individuals and corporations.
Banks created more money in the markets through lending based on increased economic activity.
Global liquidity increased in other major central banks like the ECB, BOJ, and PCOB who were still engaged in QE, and / or maintained very low interest rates, which created more liquidity in the US money supply.
We’re seeing the same thing now with Central Banks around the world.
The tax reform allowed for the repatriation of overseas profits at a lower tax rate, which brought a significant amount of cash back to the US.
Like 2017, the US Treasury will increase short-term bill issuance (T-Bills), providing an alternative to the Reverse Repo (RRP), which reduces RRP usage. This provides liquidity to the markets because once the T-bills mature, funds can use the proceeds to invest in other assets, including stocks.
Banks will buy T-bills and sell in the secondary market or hold til maturity, where they can then lend the cash or invest in equities.
Another strategy to inject cash into the banking system would be standard Repo Operations. Here the Fed buys securities from banks with an agreement to sell them back later. This would increase lending and liquidity.
Hopefully now you can see why markets DON’T NEED QUANTITATIVE EASING !
That would for sure lead to rampant inflation (see 2021), and blow up the system all over again.
Trump Media Target $100 Possible. Days Away from being in OfficeSomething is up with Tiktok, Donald Trump Jr., Elon Musk, Twitter and Facebook meetings with Trump, Trump WILL reward his shareholders, I know this FOR SURE. One of the best buying opportunities I have seen in a long while. I am buying the March $100 call options on any dips. Right now, as we speak, this is pushing the trend resistance at $42.63. Support at $40.00 - Volume is building over the past few weeks. Trump going into office will propel this big.
UK GDP less than expected, pound edges lowerThe British pound has edged lower on Thursday. In the European session, GBP/USD is currently trading at 1.2205, down 0.22%.
The UK economy climbed out of negative growth for the first time in three months but not by much. After GDP contracted by 0.1% in September and October, November saw a small gain of 0.1%, missing the market estimate of 0.2%. In the three months to November, GDP showed no growth.
The small uptick in growth in November was welcome news for the government but the economic outlook is not very bright. The recent "tax and spend" budget will see tax increases take effect in April, including a rise in employer National Insurance contributions. This will hurt the business sector and many firms will cut back on spending and investment, which in turn will dampen economic growth. Inflation remains high and combined with low growth, stagflation is a real danger.
Another headache for the government is Donald Trump, who has promised to slap tariffs on US trading partners. The UK is heavily reliant on its export sector and a trade war with the US would be devastating for the fragile UK economy. As well, Trump's protectionist trade polices could lead to higher inflation which could derail much of the progress made to contain inflation. This week's soft UK inflation and GDP reports have raised expectations that the Bank of England will lower interest rates at the next meeting on Feb. 6.
In the US, December's inflation release presented a mixed picture, as headline CPI rose for a third straight month, while core CPI eased slightly. Expectations for a rate cut rose in the aftermath of the inflation report, sending the US dollar lower against many of the majors.
GBP/USD tested resistance at 1.2242 earlier. Above, there is resistance at 1.2310
1.2176 and 1.2108 are the next support levels
US100 NASDAQ SHORTThe US dollar is broadly firmer, though the Japanese yen is proving a resilient ahead of the BOJ deputy governor's speech
Nasdaq slide as key tech stocks get hit
All three benchmarks are down for the last two weeks, with tech shares causing most of the damage
With the 10-year yield potentially getting to 5%, it’s going to be very hard for the equity market to really gain any meaningful traction here until there’s — at minimum — stability in interest rates
Interest rates rise? iN 2025 it will be possible:Inflation, signs of recession.
Can DJT Trump Media & Technology Group Hit 171? Hey, trading family
DJT from Trump Media & Technology Group is hovering around $42 right now. If we can rally it up to $62.50 and break out of that triangle, we're in for an epic run. We're talking potential jumps to $106, then $142, and if the stars align, we could see $171! With all the buzz around the inauguration, this could be DJT's moment to shine.
If you're as excited about this potential breakout as I am, please give this post a boost, leave some love in the comments, or share it around! And if you want to chat more about this or need more trading insights, feel free to DM me or check out my profile for more.
Let's watch this one together and see if we can hit those numbers!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Can the Dollar Index Predict Global Chaos?In the intricate dance of global finance, the U.S. Dollar Index has emerged as a pivotal player, reaching heights unseen in over two years. This surge, coinciding with Donald Trump's anticipated return to the White House, underscores a market bracing for significant policy shifts. The index's climb is not just a number; it's a beacon reflecting the resilience of the U.S. economy amidst high interest rates and a low unemployment rate, painting a picture of optimism where investors envision a 'goldilocks' scenario under new economic policies.
However, this rise is shadowed by tariff threats, hinting at potential global trade disruptions. The depreciation of European currencies against the dollar signals a market in flux, with investors recalibrating their strategies in light of possible protectionist measures. This scenario challenges us to ponder the broader implications: How will these tariffs reshape international trade dynamics, and what does this mean for the global economic order that has favored open trade for decades?
The Dollar Index's ascent also prompts a deeper reflection on currency as a barometer of geopolitical stability. With the U.S. potentially stepping into a new era of economic policy, the world watches closely. This moment invites investors and policymakers alike to consider global economic relations' immediate impacts and long-term trajectory. Will this lead to a reevaluation of the dollar's role as the world's reserve currency, or will it strengthen its position amidst global uncertainties? This question is not just about economics; it's about understanding the undercurrents of power and influence in a world at a crossroads.