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Orangeman vs The Federal Reverse: Season 1 (2018–2020)It all started in 2018... 🎬 🧱📈💼 March 21, 2018: Jerome Powell steps in as the new Fed Chair. Almost immediately, the Fed hikes rates from 1.50% to 1.75%, citing a strong U.S. economy. 💬📊🇺🇸 June 13, 2018: Another hike to 2.00%. Powell says the U.S. economy is “in great shape.” But markets? Not so thrilled. 🗣️📉🇺🇸 July 19, 2018: Enter The Orangeman—President Trump publicly attacks the Fed's policy, breaking tradition. He’s “not thrilled” with the hikes. 📉🏦 September 26, 2018: Yet another hike to 2.25%. The Fed stays firm. Trump? Getting louder. ❗😠💬 "I'm not happy with the Fed." – Trump ⚠️📉📉 December 19, 2018: Fourth hike of the year to 2.50%. Markets tank. Rumors swirl: Trump wants Powell gone. 🔥💣👔 Behind the scenes: Trump reportedly explores ways to dismiss Powell. The pressure is on. 📛🇺🇸📉 June 10, 2019: The battle heats up. Trump calls the hikes a “big mistake” and demands rate cuts. ✂️📉📉 July 31, 2019: Powell blinks. The Fed cuts rates by 0.25%—first cut since 2008. Trump tweets: 👎🐦💸 “Powell let us down.” ⬇️📉🔁 September 18, 2019: Second cut. ⚖️🔁🧩 October 30, 2019: Third consecutive cut. The Fed pivots completely. The Orangeman’s influence is undeniable. 🦠🧪📉 March 2020: COVID strikes. The Fed responds with emergency rate cuts. 🌀🧻💸 March 15 & 23, 2020: Rates slashed to near zero. QE infinity unleashed. Powell goes full printer mode. Bitcoin begins to stir... Season 1 closes with markets melting down, a pandemic, and the Fed surrendering to zero rates. But The Orangeman isn’t done... And The Federal Reverse still lurks in the shadows. Next up: tariffs, China, currency wars, and another campaign trail. 🐉💵⚔️ Season 2 is coming. Stay tuned... One tweets. The other tightens. Who controls our future? One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Long
by FX_Professor
3
April 17, 2025 - Powell, Japan & TrumpHello everyone, it’s April 17, 2025. Yesterday’s U.S. trading was pure market carnage. Semiconductors ( NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:ASML ) were steamrolled as AI chip bans to China kicked in and Trump dropped another tariff bomb, hiking duties to 245%. That wiped $200 billion off Nvidia alone. In Chicago, Powell stoked the flames, warning tariffs will fuel inflation and choke growth, and insisted he’s in no rush to cut rates. The CME_MINI:NQ1! tumbled 3%, the CME_MINI:SOX1! lost 4.1%, and bond futures plunged. This morning, U.S. futures are up about 0.75% on headlines that Trump’s talks with Japanese negotiators are “going very well,” sparking rallies across Asia: Nikkei +1%, Hong Kong +2.7%, Shanghai +1%. It seems even a whiff of détente with Japan sends everyone scrambling back into risk assets. On commodities, BLACKBULL:WTI jumps to $63.35 amid fresh U.S. sanctions on Iran and OPEC output cuts; OANDA:XAUUSD rockets to $3,352 /oz; INDEX:BTCUSD hovers near $83,500. Today watch the ECB’s rate cut, Powell’s next speech, Philly Fed and jobless claims before the Good Friday shutdown. With Trump’s erratic tariff theatrics and Powell’s warning of higher inflation and slower growth, volatility is set to reign supreme. Buckle up.
AMEX:SPY
by SmartApingAI
4
Netflix (NFLX) – A Safe Haven Amid Tariff UncertaintyKey Supporting Arguments Amidst the unpredictability of Donald Trump's tariff policies, Netflix might serve as a defensive play. Positive consumer sentiment, a surge in subscriber growth, and strategic hikes in subscription prices are poised to power robust results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025. Investment Thesis Netflix (NFLX) is a global leader in video streaming, offering a vast library of original and licensed content to subscribers worldwide. With over 95% of its revenue stream coming from subscriptions, the company secures a solid foundation against the whims of market volatility. NFLX’s nascent foray into advertising contributes a mere 3% to its revenue, ensuring that any tremors in the macroeconomic climate have a minimal ripple effect. Netflix's business model, anchored in subscription revenue and expansive geographic diversification, shields the company from the whims of unpredictable tariff policies. Amidst the relentless cycle of tariffs being slapped on and lifted from a variety of products and the growing tide of protectionism, streaming platforms such as Netflix, which thrive on subscription-based models, emerge as devensive assets. This is largely because they steer clear of the tumultuous world of physical goods production, importation, and exportation. The sustainability of the company’s streaming empire is anchored in its formidable user engagement—clocking in at around 2 hours per household daily—paired with historically low subscriber churn and entertainment value that punches well above its price tag. These elements collectively mitigate NFLX’s risk profile in the face of a potential recession. While advertising revenue may take a hit if trade tensions intensify and trigger an economic downturn, it is worth noting that ads only contribute to about 3% of Netflix's total revenue. Despite its worldwide footprint, the company still rakes in a hefty slice of its revenue—around 40-45%—from the U.S. market, offering a protective buffer against possible international sanctions or restrictions. Meanwhile, its strategic geographic diversification across Europe, Latin America, Asia, and the Middle East not only mitigates risks but also fortifies the sustainability of its business model. Netflix is poised to potentially exceed expectations in its Q1 2025 earnings report. In Q4 2024, the company shattered expectations by pulling in a recordbreaking 19 million new users, a surge we anticipate will roll into 2025, powered by its rich and diverse content lineup. By the year's end, Netflix strategically hiked prices in the U.S. and UK, a move poised to bolster its Q1 2025 revenue. With a bold target of 29% growth for 2025, the company is banking on buoyant consumer spending and these subscription price upticks to hit the mark. Netflix projects a free cash flow of no less than $8 billion, creating a strategic opportunity for potential share buybacks. Our target price for NFLX over the next two months is pegged at $1,080, paired with a "Buy" recommendation. We suggest setting a stop-loss at $880.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by FreedomHolding
SPY CRACK! WARNING!We are in the "honey" phase in Stocks. This is the part where they tell you: -Don't panic -Stocks are cheap forward EPS -Nible on the way down -Diversified portfolio wins.. -It's a stock picker's market -There is a lot of cash on the sidelines -It's just a reset -It's a correction -We needed this to shake out the weak hands -Buy when there is blood in the streets, even if it's yours -There is a lot of value in... -This is your last chance to... -This and that stock are going to $1,000 -Stocks are the best investment over the course of time The list is endless to get you to buy or stay in and suck up the pain. They will "Future Fuke" you the world. I will remind you that you cannot buy unless you first sell! No one has endless money, and your 1% addition monthly will not lower your cost basis. All I can tell you is what this chart shows! A BIG CRACK! WARNING!!! Click like, follow, subscribe, and let me help you navigate these crazy markets.
AMEX:SPYShort
by RealMacro
38
DJT Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-15NASDAQ:DJT DJT Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-15) Below is a consolidated analysis based on the four reports: ───────────────────────────── SUMMARY OF EACH MODEL’S KEY POINTS • Grok/xAI Report:  – Notes that DJT is trading near its 10‐period EMAs on both the 5‑minute and daily charts.  – Indicates a moderately bullish short‐term outlook (helped by positive news about “Truth Social” investment accounts) even though the max pain is at $19.00.  – Recommends a call option trade (buy naked call) at or near the $20.00 strike with an acceptable premium (~$0.63). • Claude/Anthropic Report:  – The report encountered an error and produced no usable analysis. • Llama/Meta Report:  – Observes that while the 5‑minute chart shows short‐term bullishness (with price above key EMAs), the overall daily picture and max pain theory (targeting $19.00) point toward a slightly bearish bias.  – Suggests trading a put (such as buying the $19.50 put) but notes factors like high daily volatility and mixed indicators. • Gemini/Google Report:  – Provides a nuanced view where the 5‑minute charts show consolidation near $20 while the daily chart’s indicators (RSI, MACD histogram, bullish postive news) favor a moderately bullish move.  – Highlights key liquidity around the $20 strikes and ultimately favors a call trade—leaning toward a slightly out‑of‑the‐money option ($20.50 call) but noting that trade risk should be managed tightly. • DeepSeek Report:  – Summarizes the technical picture with DJT trading above short‐term moving averages but acknowledges max pain at $19.00.  – With a positive news catalyst and falling volatility (VIX), it leans moderately bullish and recommends a call purchase at the $20.00 strike. ───────────────────────────── AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT • Agreement:  – All models note a current price of roughly $19.96 with technical support around the short‐term (near the 10‑period EMA).  – Ea ch analysis recognizes key levels: immediate support near $19.85–$19.94 and resistance around $20.00–$20.50.  – Most models see positive momentum from favorable news (Truth Social catalyst) and improving short‑term indicators.  – Options-chain details (high OI and volume at the $20 strikes) underline the importance of that level. • Disagreement:  – Llama/Meta tilts toward a bearish reading (using daily MACD and max pain theory, expecting a move toward $19.00) and suggests puts rather than calls.  – Strike selection differs slightly—with some reports favoring the ATM $20.00 call (Grok/xAI and DeepSeek) and others suggesting a slightly OTM $20.50 call (Gemini/Google). ───────────────────────────── CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION Overall Market Direction Consensus:  The majority of analyses (three out of four usable models) lean moderately bullish on DJT in the near term. Positive technical momentum on the daily charts together with supportive news outweigh the bearish hints (like max pain and Llama/Meta’s view). Recommended Trade:  – Trade Type: Buy single‑leg, naked call  – Chosen Strike: $20.00 call (weekly option)  – Expiration: 2025‑04‑17  – Entry: At open with an entry price near the ask of $0.63 per contract  – Risk/Reward Targets:   • Profit Target: Approximately a 20% premium gain (rising from $0.63 to about $0.76)   • Stop‑Loss: About 50% loss of the premium (around $0.32)  – Confidence Level: About 70% (reflecting the bullish bias driven by news and short‑term technicals, while remaining cautious of the max pain level) Key Risks & Considerations:  – The max pain at $19.00 may exert downward pressure as expiration nears.  – Short‑term volatility remains high (VIX at 30.12), so the trade will need tight risk management.  – Should DJT fail to break above immediate resistance or show signs of a sharp reversal (e.g. dropping below $19.85), consider exiting early to protect capital. ───────────────────────────── TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "DJT", "direction": "call", "strike": 20.00, "expiry": "2025-04-17", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 0.76, "stop_loss": 0.32, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.63, "entry_timing": "open" }
NASDAQ:DJTLong
by quantsignals
“Markets are strong” – Are they really?President Trump recently stated that "markets became very strong once they got used to tariffs." But let’s look at the facts: 📊 AMEX:SPY is down -9% YTD, and major names like: MSFT: -7.55% AAPL: -18.66% NVDA: -12.94% Tech is bleeding, and the broader S&P 500 is clearly reflecting the pressure of trade policy uncertainty. 🟥 Tariffs = market stress 🟩 Market resilience = not the same as strength What we’re seeing is not a “strong market” — it’s a market under pressure trying to survive political noise. The weekly chart shows a clear drop after the peak, followed by uncertainty, not conviction. 💭 Is this truly the “strength” investors want to see?
VANTAGE:SP500FT
by SmartSignalss
Trump's official hits $8—25% bounce expected to $10.30 soonHello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ All previous targets were nailed ✅! Now, let’s dive into a full analysis of the upcoming price potential for Trump's official 🔍📈. In recent months, Trump's official has undergone a sharp and unusually volatile decline—a move I had anticipated with precision, projecting the drop to the $8 level. While further downside risk cannot be ruled out, I currently expect a short-term technical rebound, potentially offering a minimum upside of 25%, with a near-term target around $10.30. This scenario reflects a tactical opportunity amid broader bearish momentum.📚🙌 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 Trump's official plunged just as I predicted to $8, and while more downside’s possible, I’m eyeing a short-term bounce toward $10.30—about 25% upside.📚🎇 Give me some energy !! ✨We invest hours crafting valuable ideas, and your support means everything—feel free to ask questions in the comments! 😊💬 Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Long
by MadWhale
4
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25 - Weekly Order Block rejection Setup 1 -15' break of structure - Tokyo low range remains - Pull back into 15' order block - Lower time frame shift in price action from bullish to bearish Setup 2 - Lower time frame break of structure - Lower time frame bearish candle formation Let's see how EURUSD short set up plays. Certainly short potential but as always. We await price action to present itself to us. It is far too easy to find a position once we have noticed potential. Sit back and await the play! EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25 FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
Tata Motors at ₹600: Support Zone in Focus... Tata Motors at Key Technical Support: A Long-Term Buying Opportunity..? Tata Motors is currently trading near the ₹600 level, which marks a significant technical support zone. This level is important not only because of historical price action but also because it aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level of the broader uptrend seen in recent months. The ₹600 mark has acted as a strong support on the monthly chart, suggesting a potential reversal point for long-term investors looking for value entry. From a purely technical perspective, this level could provide a solid foundation for a possible bounce or even a continuation of the longer-term bullish trend. However, it is important to note that while technical indicators may suggest an attractive entry point, Tata Motors remains subject to various fundamental factors that could drive volatility in the short to medium term. These include: - JLR (Jaguar Land Rover) Sales Data - Quarterly Earnings Results - Global Tariff and Trade Policy News These elements can significantly impact investor sentiment and stock performance, sometimes overriding technical signals. Disclaimer: This analysis is based solely on technical chart patterns and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and it’s crucial to conduct your research and consider fundamental factors before making any investment decisions.
NSE:TATAMOTORSLong
by Kartik_Elkunchwar
1
NASDAQ Futures Long Setup: Pullback Entry After Tariff BoostMarket Outlook – April 13, 2025 Quick recap: In my last public analysis, I mentioned watching the 18,350–18,000 zone for signs of support — a level stacked with confluence (50–61.8% Fib, EMA, VWAP, pivot). Price broke down deeper than expected but responded beautifully: ✅ Tagged 18,000 almost to the tick ✅ Rejected hard at the 61.8 Fib ✅ Respected the 50 Fib on the way back up All solid signs of strength. Now with tariff exemptions announced today (bullish for tech/Nasdaq), I’m opening the door to more long setups this week. Here’s What I’m Watching: 🔹 Scenario A: Pullback into the 18,575–18,500 zone (first dotted white line). If price reclaims structure or gives me something clean — EMA bounce, VWAP tag, candle pattern — I’ll look for longs. 🔹 Scenario B: If that level breaks or I miss the first shot, I’ll look for a second chance around 18,000–18,300. Same deal: not jumping in blindly, waiting for a setup to form. To be clear — these are areas of interest, not automatic trades. I want clean structure and confirmation before entering. Let’s see how it plays out. Will update if/when I take a position. Stay sharp. 📈
CME_MINI:MNQM2025Long
by natron
ECB decision shadowed by tariff risk Markets will be closely watching the European Central Bank’s (ECB) interest rate decision on April 17, with expectations for a seventh consecutive rate cut. Despite this expectation, the euro surged to a three-year high against the US dollar last week, as traders continued to pull away from US assets. The dollar index has dropped 4% since President Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariff announcements on April 2, falling below the key 100 level too. At this stage, market participants will be looking for any signals on how the ECB might respond to the potential spillover effects of President Trump’s tariff measures. While some guidance may emerge around already-announced policies, the risk of further unpredictability remains high. Trump being Trump, it is perhaps unlikely we have seen the last of his volatility-inducing tariff announcements. This can weigh further on the dollar, eroding confidence in the world’s reserve currency.
by BlackBull_Markets
10YR Bond Yields: Panic on LTF, Calm on HTF📉 10YR Bond Yields: Panic on LTF, Calm on HTF Yes, the recent spike in the 10-Year Yield is causing some short-term panic. But if you zoom out to the monthly timeframe, the bigger picture looks far more constructive. 🔍 Here’s what the chart says: The MACD and RSI on the monthly are both pointing down. Yields touched 4.5%, historically a key recession threshold. We’re now seeing a MACD bearish crossover and a clear bearish divergence—classic signs of a trend reversal. 💡 What does this mean? If no new fear or shock hits the market, yields are likely headed down, potentially toward the 2% range in the coming months. This would naturally ease pressure on equities and crypto. 📉 Conclusion: This recent spike in yields seems to be transitional, not structural. The chart suggests that the top is in, and the market is correcting from an overextended zone. The Fed might not even need to intervene—the bond market is likely to correct on its own. Stay calm. Stay rational. Always zoom out. #10YearYield #BondMarket #MacroAnalysis #InterestRates #RecessionWatch #MarketPanic #MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #CryptoMarkets #StockMarketInsights #StayCalmZoomOut #DYOR
TVC:US10YShort
by CryptoNikkoid
Another market manipulation. It is spiraling out of control!I’m not here to express political opinions, but let’s be real—the Trump family launching meme coins, rugging retail investors, and manipulating markets is spiraling out of control. 💥 $TRUMP and $MELANIA were just the beginning. Today, we witnessed what could be the biggest market manipulation in history, and it was executed with textbook precision: Step one: float a fake news headline to test the market reaction. Step two: publish a deliberately confusing statement where Trump says everything and its opposite. Many misunderstood it as a “90-day tariff pause.” 🕛 The timing? The announcement dropped at 12:30 PM EST—midnight in Asia, and 7 PM in Europe, when banks and institutions were closed. 🎯 Only the U.S. was awake and able to buy the pump. Everyone else? Left sidelined. No politician in modern history has manipulated global markets to this extent. It’s turning Wall Street into a Las Vegas casino for the elite. To make matters worse, Trump even tweeted a sarcastic: “It’s a great day to buy stocks.” 🧨 Reality check: He lowered current tariffs by just 10% Hit China with a massive 125% tariff Recession risk? Still on the table Economic uncertainty? Worse than ever You think China will just let this slide? Retaliation is coming. What we're seeing is a nation burning its credibility while recklessly using financial power to create chaos. 🚨 If you think your money is safe in markets run by these people, think again. This isn't trading anymore—it's Russian Roulette. Markets needs stability. DYOR
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by CryptoNikkoid
12
SEI — Breakout + Strong Fundamentals = Perfect 1:9 SetupFinally broke the downtrend line — and it's not just about the technicals here. Fundamentals on SEI are looking really solid, and that adds even more confidence to the setup. Planning to load on a small pullback and retest of the trendline — that’s where the real entry lies. This one’s shaping up to be a textbook 1:9 RR play. Don’t sleep on it. Enrty: 0.17-0.178 TP: 0.4 SL: 0.15 More thoughts in my profile @93balaclava Personally I trade on a platform that offers low fees and strong execution. DM me if you're curious.
Long
by Balaclava_Crypto
TradeCityPro | VETUSDT Keep an Eye on the Charts!👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let’s dive into the days when the world is buzzing with interesting events—countries are forming alliances, and news of Trump’s tariffs to negotiations is everywhere. You need to keep a sharp eye on the financial markets and your assets! 🌐 Overview Bitcoin Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together. This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames. 📊 Weekly Timeframe After the bullish move from the 0.01963 support, we got rejected at 0.08271, essentially wiping out the entire move and fully retracing our steps. We’ve now returned to the 0.01963 support, where we’re forming a solid green indecision candle, backed by noticeable buying pressure. This level has shown a strong reaction, acting as a reliable support. This could serve as a decent buy trigger with low risk, offering a good entry point. Personally, though, I’m holding off on buying until we see stronger momentum in the chart and market, and until Bitcoin dominance experiences a deeper pullback. 📉 Daily Timeframe In the daily timeframe, VET is among the coins that have faced a brutal sell-off! From its last peak, it’s dropped roughly 77%, and those without proper risk management have likely been wiped out. After forming a support box between 0.04224 and 0.05298, we saw a fakeout above the box, signaling further downside. The last time we held support at 0.04224, we couldn’t reach the box’s ceiling, leading to a sharp drop. But after hitting 0.01942, the price has calmed down a bit. For buying in spot or even futures positions, we’d need a break of the trendline and its trigger at 0.02352 to confirm entry, given the trendline’s retracement nature. If we get rejected from this trendline, a short position in a lower timeframe could make sense. Should 0.01942 break, the downtrend will likely continue. For spot entry confirmation, a surge in volume and a break above 48.68 RSI would be a strong signal. ✍️ Final Thoughts Stay level-headed, trade with precision, and let’s capitalize on the market’s top opportunities! This is our analysis, not financial advice always do your own research. What do you think? Share your ideas below and pass this along to friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
6
Bitcoin Nears $85K as Strategic Talks Grow. Where To Next?Bitcoin, the king crypto, is currently trading at $84,848.36. It has gained 3.10% in the last 24 hours, with a daily trading volume of $30.09 billion. Bitcoin’s market capitalization now stands at $1.68 trillion. Globally, Bitcoin continues to gain attention at the policy level. In the U.S., there are growing discussions about recognizing Bitcoin as a national strategic asset. A U.S. Senator recently suggested the country acquire 1 million BTC, reinforcing the idea. Florida has introduced legislation allowing public funds to invest in Bitcoin. North Carolina is considering recognizing Bitcoin as a legal payment method. Arizona’s Senate is evaluating the creation of a home-based Bitcoin activity policy and the possibility of a state reserve. Meanwhile, New Hampshire passed a bill allowing up to 10% of its state funds to be invested in Bitcoin. In Europe, Sweden is assessing the idea of adding Bitcoin to its national reserves for financial stability. Technical Analysis From a technical view, Bitcoin has been in a bearish phase since reaching its all-time high of $109,358 on January 19. Since then, the price has been forming an internal structure of lower highs and lower lows, a clear sign of a downtrend. It dropped to a low of $74K after Trump-era tariffs hit the market but has since rebounded to current levels. The recent lower high stands at $88,996. The trend remains bearish until that level is broken with a strong candle close above it. If Bitcoin breaks and closes above this point, analysis show a potential move toward new highs. Without that breakout, bearish pressure may resume, possibly pushing the price back down to test support near $73K.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
WTI - Will Iran return to the group of oil producers?!WTI oil is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its medium-term descending channel. If the correction towards the supply zone continues, the next oil selling opportunity with a suitable reward for risk will be provided for us. In this direction, with confirmation, we can look for oil buying transactions. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), in its latest report, has downgraded its forecasts for oil and natural gas production, consumption, and prices for 2025 and 2026, while warning about the uncertain outlook of the energy market amidst economic volatility and escalating trade tensions. According to the updated estimates, U.S. crude oil production in 2025 is expected to reach 13.51 million barrels per day, down from the previous forecast of 13.61 million barrels. For 2026, the figure has been revised to 13.56 million barrels per day, a reduction from the earlier 13.76 million forecast. Monthly data shows average U.S. oil output stood at 13.44 million barrels per day in April and 13.55 million in March, with similar levels expected in May. Globally, EIA projects oil production in 2025 to be around 104.1 million barrels per day, slightly down from the earlier estimate of 104.2 million. For 2026, the revised figure stands at 105.3 million barrels per day compared to the previous 105.8 million. On the demand side, global oil consumption forecasts have also been reduced. In 2025, demand is now estimated at 103.6 million barrels per day instead of 104.1 million, and for 2026 it is projected at 104.7 million barrels per day, down from the prior estimate of 105.3 million. Regarding natural gas, the EIA reports that average U.S. gas production in April will be around 115 billion cubic feet per day, slightly lower than the 115.3 billion cubic feet reported in March. May’s forecast stands at 115.4 billion cubic feet. Demand has also dipped, with estimates for 2025 now at 91.2 billion cubic feet per day (down from 92), and for 2026 at 90.5 billion (previously 91.1). In terms of pricing, EIA has made significant downward revisions. The average price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is now forecast to be $63.88 per barrel in 2025, compared to the earlier $70.68. For 2026, this drops further to $57.48. Brent crude is now estimated at $67.87 for 2025 and $61.48 for 2026, both notably lower than prior projections. One key highlight from the report is EIA’s warning about high volatility in major commodity prices, especially crude oil. The agency underlined that reciprocal tariffs between China and the U.S. could heavily impact markets, particularly the propane sector. EIA noted that U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports are likely to remain resilient despite trade disputes. This is attributed to strong global demand and the flexible nature of U.S. export contracts, which allow unrestricted shipments to multiple destinations. However, when it comes to oil and petroleum products, the agency maintained a more cautious tone, emphasizing that recent shifts in global trade policies and oil production patterns may slow the growth of demand for petroleum-based products through 2026. Altogether, the downward revisions by the EIA carry a clear message: the energy market outlook over the coming years is fraught with uncertainty. From supply and demand to pricing, political and economic forces such as trade wars and potential global recessions are expected to play decisive roles. Meanwhile, according to Reuters, after U.S. President Donald Trump once again threatened military action if Tehran refuses to agree to a nuclear deal, a senior Iranian official responded by warning that Iran may halt its cooperation with the U.N.’s nuclear watchdog. Reports indicate that American and Iranian diplomats will meet in Oman on Saturday to begin talks on Tehran’s nuclear program. Trump stated that he would have the final say on whether the negotiations are failing, which could place Iran in a highly dangerous position. Ali Shamkhani, a senior adviser to Iran’s Supreme Leader, posted on X (formerly Twitter) that ongoing foreign threats and the looming threat of military confrontation could lead to deterrent actions such as expelling International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) inspectors and cutting ties with the agency.He also mentioned that relocating enriched uranium to secure, undisclosed locations within Iran may be under consideration
TVC:USOILLong
by Ali_PSND