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Bitcoin's 2025 Price Action Mirrors 2017 - Is History Repeating?Bitcoin Halving & The Trump Factor: A Historical Parallel Bitcoin's price action in 2025 is eerily reminiscent of the post-halving rally of 2017. In both cases, BTC saw a prolonged accumulation phase before a massive markup period. What's even more intriguing is how macro-political events align: Trump was elected in November 2016 , just before BTC went parabolic in 2017, and once again, he's elected in November 2024 , right before Bitcoin enters its explosive post-halving markup phase. Could this be more than just coincidence? Accumulation Phase Ends – The Markup Begins From November 9, 2024 , to February 28, 2025 , Bitcoin was in a 107-day accumulation phase . This mirrors previous post-halving cycles, where BTC consolidates in the Green HPR band before entering the next stage. Now, it appears we are entering the Markup Phase, where I expect Bitcoin to rally towards $120K+ in the coming months. Applying the 2017 Cycle to 2025 The 2017 bull run followed a 59:156:360-day cycle (Accumulation → Markup → Distribution). Using the same ratio and expanding it for 2025, I’ve projected a 107:280:646-day cycle , where: ✅ 107 days Accumulation (Completed!) 📈 280 days Markup (Just Beginning!) 📉 646 days Distribution & Declining (Post-Top Phase) This fractal projection aligns well with historical price action, reinforcing the likelihood of Bitcoin repeating this structure. BitBo’s Rainbow Regression Chart Confirms the Setup Looking at BitBo’s Bitcoin Rainbow Halving Price Regression Chart , BTC briefly dipped into the blue band , just like in 2017’s first wave. However, in both cases, Bitcoin quickly recovered within days and launched into its Markup phase , which is exactly what we’re seeing now! 🔹 Key Takeaway: Bitcoin is following its historic halving cycle patterns, and if history continues to rhyme, the next 280 days could be a wild ride to six-figure BTC prices! 🚀 Don't forget, Patience is Paramount
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by PatienceIsParamount
BTCUSD Bullish Breakout: Targeting 88,000 and BeyondBTCUSD Bullish Target Analysis BTCUSD has successfully broken out of the **descending channel**, indicating a potential trend reversal to the upside. The price is currently retesting the 85,272 support zone, which aligns with a rounding bottom pattern—typically a bullish continuation signal. If this support holds and buyers step in, BTCUSD could see upward momentum toward its next key resistance level. The first bullish target is 88,000, which aligns with the previous price structure. A strong breakout above 88,000 could push BTCUSD toward 89,500–90,000, where sellers may re-enter the market. To confirm further bullish momentum, BTCUSD needs to maintain support above 85,000 and show increasing volume on the breakout. If it fails to hold this level, a potential retest of lower zones may occur before another push higher. TARGETS 88,000 - 89,500 - 90,000 STOP LOSS 83,000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
5
UniversOfSignals | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #21Today, we're going to dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and the crucial crypto indices. I will review the significant futures triggers for today's New York session. The market conditions haven't changed much from yesterday and continue to range between 83,779 and 87,070. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, I've outlined the Fibonacci levels because it seems that the previous bearish leg has ended, and the market is ranging, preparing for either a trend reversal or the next bearish leg. 🔄 Yesterday, I mentioned that it appeared the price was pulling back to the SMA 99 and that if the trigger at 83,779 was breached, we could confirm a pullback to the SMA 99 from the market. As you see, this did not happen, and the trigger at 83,779 was not activated. 🔍 As observed, there is a cross between the SMA 99 and the SMA 25, which has led the market to start ranging. Currently, there's a very important PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) above the price, overlapping with the 0.5 Fibonacci zone and the resistance at 87,070. This makes it a critical area, and I suggest you stay behind the chart to see how the price reacts to this area. 🔽 If the price gets rejected from this area, we can take an early trigger for a short position, and if this area is breached, you can proceed to take a long position. However, be mindful that today is Sunday, and as you can see, the market volume has significantly decreased. This happens because the bearish leg has ended and the market is correcting, but also because it's Sunday and during weekends, market volume typically decreases. I recommend keeping an eye on risky positions such as the one at 87,070 during holidays or when the market volume is low. ⚡️ However, there are areas that are still good for opening positions even on holidays like Sunday when the market volume is low, such as the area at 83,779. In my opinion, this could cause the price to move towards its next bearish leg if this area is breached, so even if the market volume is low and it's a holiday, I think if this area is breached, significant selling volume will enter the market and for this reason, I try to keep a short position open if this area is broken. 💥 The RSI oscillator, as you see, has moved above the 50 area, and breaking this area could be a good momentum confirmation for opening a short position. If the RSI enters the oversell area, we can have momentum confirmation for the start of the next bearish leg. 👑 BTC.D Analysis As you can see, I had marked a trigger at 61.21 yesterday, which the price didn't manage to break convincingly, showing little respect for this area, so I have removed this line. Currently, it seems that Bitcoin dominance is ranging between 61.91 and 61.49, and I believe that sooner or later, the large box ranging from 60.48 to 62.19 will be broken. ✨ If this break is from above, Bitcoin dominance could even experience more bullish legs, increasing Bitcoin's dominance in the market. However, if dominance breaks from below and the market turns bullish, altcoins could perform very well. 🔼 The trigger for today's dominance is that if 60.91 is broken, we can confirm a bearish turn in dominance, and conversely, if 61.49 is broken, we can confirm a bullish turn. 📅 Total2 Analysis As you see, Total2 was supported from 1.01 and has moved upwards to 1.09, where it is currently being rejected. The SMA 99 in Total2 has also reached the price, and the price has reacted to it. 📉 We have a very risky trigger for a short position on Total2, which is the break of 1.06; this position is very risky and can be opened as a scalp in lower timeframes.The primary target I can consider for this position will be the area of 1.01. 📅 USDT.D Analysis As you observe, Tether's dominance was rejected from 5.21 and could not stabilize above this area, creating a very small ranging box between 5.08 and 5.21. Currently, it's near the area of 5.08, and if this area is broken, dominance could drop to 4.92. 🎲 This drop would likely boost the market upwards, and if this area is broken, depending on Bitcoin's dominance, you can decide to open positions on altcoins or Bitcoin. 💫 Conversely, if dominance is supported from this area and moves towards 5.22, and if this area is broken, you can open short positions on altcoins or Bitcoin. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
by UNIVERSOFSIGNALS
From $110K to $66K? The Political Game Behind BitcoinBitcoin's surge from $73,000 to $110,000 was purely driven by political factors and Trump's statements. However, after Trump took office, the market was waiting for a stimulus to continue its bullish rally. With Trump's silence and the start of a trade war, sellers took control, leading to a 30% correction from the all-time high. 🚨 Key question: What happens next? 🚨 📉 If Bitcoin doesn’t receive further political support from Trump, we could see a drop below $73,000, possibly even $66,000! Is this a buying opportunity or a warning sign? Let me know your thoughts! 👇💬🚀
Short
by Market-Analyzer
2
Trump and Zelenskyy Clash | I Predicted BTC crash week ago As I mentioned a week ago, Bitcoin (BTC) was poised for a correction, and we’ve now seen this play out over the past few days. On the 1D timeframe, Bitcoin tested its Fair Value Gap (FVG) and reversed from that zone. Today’s closing candle showed some bullish pressure, indicating a potential reversal toward the 90,000 – 92,000 range. The FVG was tested cleanly, and the reversal was strong. What’s Next? Donald Trump and Zelenskyy Clash While the market showed a healthy reversal from the FVG, recent news of a clash between Donald Trump and Zelenskyy at the White House has introduced uncertainty. Trump’s statement that “President Zelenskyy is not ready for peace” has created a negative sentiment in the market. If tensions escalate further, this could lead to a bearish impact on the market, as geopolitical instability often weighs on risk assets like Bitcoin. Expected BTC Zones Given the current situation, here are two possible scenarios: Scenario 1: Bearish Impact from Geopolitical News If the clash between Trump and Zelenskyy escalates and fear spreads in the market, Bitcoin could drop to the 73,500–76,000 zone in the coming days. Scenario 2: Recovery Continues If the news has a limited impact and the market stabilizes, Bitcoin could continue its reversal from the FVG and gradually move back toward the $92,000 zone. Key Takeaways: Trade with Caution: Given the current geopolitical developments, it’s crucial to trade carefully and use stop losses to protect against sudden market moves. Monitor News: Keep an eye on further developments between Trump and Zelenskyy, as they could significantly influence market sentiment. Note My goal is to simplify the chart and help you understand the price action clearly. I avoid overloading the chart with unnecessary indicators or creating confusion. My analysis focuses on keeping the chart clean and straightforward. Thank you!
Short
by The_Chartist30
$TRUMP Coin on the Verge of a Major Breakout: Can It Reach $30?The cryptocurrency market is buzzing with excitement as $TRUMP coin approaches a critical resistance level. Currently trading near $17, the token has already broken a significant Break of Structure (BOS), hinting at a potential bullish surge. If $TRUMP successfully breaches this resistance point, technical indicators suggest a remarkable 200% rally, pushing the price toward $30. Technical Analysis A closer look at $TRUMP’s daily chart reveals key bullish signals: The $17 mark has proven to be a significant resistance level. A confirmed breakout could trigger a strong uptrend, with $30 as the next major target. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 48, indicating neutral momentum. However, with buying pressure increasing, RSI could soon move into the bullish zone, reinforcing the uptrend. The token's recent candlestick formations suggest a bullish engulfing pattern, which often precedes a strong rally. The $11 price point has emerged as a crucial support level. If this level holds, bulls could maintain momentum. However, a break below $11 may lead to a strong sell-off. Trump Organization’s Metaverse & NFT Plans The Trump Organization has officially filed a trademark application for 'TRUMP' to launch a metaverse and NFT trading platform. This development aligns with the growing trend of Web3 adoption by prominent figures and institutions. A metaverse and NFT ecosystem tied to the Trump brand could significantly increase interest in $TRUMP coin, driving speculative demand and institutional involvement. If the project gains traction, it could serve as a major long-term growth factor for the token’s valuation. What’s Next for $TRUMP Coin? With both technical and fundamental indicators aligning, $TRUMP coin is at a pivotal moment. The key level to watch remains the $17 resistance. A decisive breakout could ignite a major rally toward $30, while failure to hold above support at $11 might trigger a correction.
Long
by DEXWireNews
Why is the market crashing?Why Did Bitcoin Crash to $78K? Here’s What’s Driving the Panic Bitcoin soared to an all-time high of $109K in January 2025, but last night, it crashed to $78K, a brutal 26% drop, leaving it hovering around $80K. The market’s in full panic mode, and after digging into the latest news, here’s why: Trump tariffs, the Bybit hack, and a mix of other pressures are to blame. 1. Trump Tariffs: Trade War Chaos The Trump administration’s new tariffs, 25% on Mexico and Canada, 10% on China, are shaking up global trade. Here’s the impact on Bitcoin: Uncertainty Surge: Higher costs and trade disruptions spook investors. Risk-Off Mood: People ditch volatile assets like Bitcoin for safer bets like bonds. Sell-Off Trigger: The fear of an economic slowdown is hitting crypto hard. These tariffs are a major reason for the market’s jitters. 2. Bybit Hack: $1.5B Gone A massive hack hit Bybit’s Trust Wallet, with $1.5 billion in Ethereum stolen, the biggest crypto heist ever. Here’s why it’s tanking Bitcoin: Trust Shattered: Security breaches like this make everyone nervous about crypto safety. Panic Selling: Fear of more hacks or losses sparks a rush to sell. This event is amplifying the crash big time. 3. Other Crash Fuel Beyond tariffs and the hack, these factors are piling on: Macro Fears: Uncertainty over Federal Reserve rate hikes is pushing investors away from risk. Profit-Taking: After hitting $109K, big players cashed out, adding pressure. Post-Halving Dip: Bitcoin often corrects after halvings (like 2024’s), and we might be feeling that now. What’s Next for Bitcoin? This crash sucks, no doubt, tariffs and a billion-dollar hack are a nasty combo. But Bitcoin’s bounced back from worse. The panic might ease once the news settles, though recovery could take a minute. Keep an eye on trade updates and crypto security news, they’ll drive what’s next.
Long
by MonoCoinSignal
1
Market Update & Crypto OutlookMarket Update & Crypto Outlook Tariffs & Economic Impact Trump is leveraging tariffs as a negotiation tactic to pressure adversaries into deals. While Europe is reluctant to concede outright, they have little choice. These tariffs are shaking the markets, and we all know how sensitive elites are about their portfolios. By hitting them where it hurts—their wallets—Trump is forcing them to the table. In my opinion, this strategy will work. Over time, Europe, Ukraine, and even China will likely agree to compromises. As these agreements unfold, market uncertainty (FUD) will ease, restoring investor confidence. Inflation & Market Sentiment Markets are pricing in expected quantitative tightening , meaning no interest rate cuts for at least two years. However, I don’t believe tariffs will fuel inflation as much as feared. Reduced government spending and a stronger USD could offset price increases, maintaining purchasing power without printing money. Until markets realize this, we’ll see uncertainty, but inflation numbers may not be as catastrophic as expected , helping stabilize sentiment. Crypto & Market Cycle The bull market isn’t over, but Bitcoin finally experienced real consolidation —without heavy ETF purchases propping it up. The ETF FOMO is over , and that’s actually a good thing. Now, Bitcoin can continue its rally naturally , setting up for its final, most parabolic leg. Altcoins & The Spark for Altseason As I mentioned before, a strong dollar combined with the upcoming $5,000 stimulus checks will ignite true altseason . This influx of cash will likely fuel a major altcoin rally later this year , after the new administration distributes the payments. Conclusion Yes, it’s been painful—altcoins are bleeding, portfolios are down, and sentiment is low. But capitulation marks the bottom . Expect a bumpy March , but April and especially May* could be parabolic , making today’s struggles a distant memory. 🚀 (Everything is on the chart, check the arrows)
by CryptoNikkoid
4
Keep it simple - set and forget !!1. Accumulate when prices are between 78,000 and 85,000. 2. Sell a portion when prices hit 120,000 to 130,000 - probably this cycle top. 3. Start accumulating again when prices drop to 57,000 to 67,000 for the next cycle. 4. Set price alerts and let it go – don’t worry about checking constantly! This way, you can stick to the plan without stressing over every price change. There’s no such thing as getting rich overnight for the average person. Achieving great things takes time and effort. Success is a journey, not a shortcut!!! NFA
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Crypto7addict
1
The stock market is not "Crashing"!I keep hearing people saying the stock market is crashing, a mild pullback is hardly a crash, we are not crashing, at least not yet, and maybe not for an extended period. We use the S&P 500 because it is the best gauge of our markets with the most diverse representation of any of our indices. A short history of the trend of our stock marker since 1992, correlated to presidencies. 1992-1999 Clinton: Stock market transitioned from fairly flat to a steady ascending path, we reduced our yearly deficit 6 years and had a budget surplus 2 years. 2000-2007 George Bush Jr: Descending or neutral trend most of the 8 years, we broke our 15 year ascending trend and started an overall descending trend. Deregulation led to the recession via predatory lending giving Walmart cashiers $300k loans, banks labeling bad debt as Grade A and banks leveraging 80% of all of Americans money on risky investments. 2008 was devastating for the US Stock market. Increased the yearly deficit 6 of 8 years. 2008-2015 Obama: Converted descending trend back to ascending trend and trended up in a tight ascending channel for the rest of his presidency, while implementing an array of regulations to prevent banks from doing this to America again. Decreased the yearly deficit 6 of 8 years. 2016-2020 Trump.v1: Maintained tight ascending channel and broke out of 15 year resistance, introduced a lot of lot of volatility and uncertainty, ultimately ended term with the market on the same trajectory it was when he took office. Diluted all US Dollars by 50%, 25% of the dilution was in 2020, coupled with $3T of quantitative easing in a single year (2020) and more than $2T direct stimulus, this dilution and excessive stimulus during a supply chain crunch directly conveyed into rising inflation the following 2 years. Increased our yearly deficit every year in office. 2021-2024 Biden: Broke out of ascending path to a much steeper and unsustainable ascending path, likely due to all the stimulus pumped into the market in 2020 & 2021. Hard pull back in 2021/2022 as Interest rates were increased to deter spending to reduce interest rates which skyrocketed to 10% in 2021 and was brought back down to just above 2% by 2024. We saw a volatile and sharp ascending channel form. At the end of his term, the market was at top of channel and well above all time highs with some of the most growth in the stock market ever witnessed anywhere on earth, ever, as seen in the charts, nearly doubling the S&P 500 in 4 years, the American economy was booming! Decreased the yearly deficit 2 of 4 years. 2025-2038 Trump.v2: Inherited the market at all time highs on the steepest incline we have witnessed to date, and at a point the market is expected to retract based on the charts. Currently it looks like the S&P could lose 15% or so of its value and still be in our ascending channel of 6 years now. As you can see recent pullbacks don’t even register on a weekly candle. Yes these tariffs and subsequent tariff wars will almost certainly wreak havoc on markets as we already see increase in unemployment, significant drops in consumer confidence, increase in debt ceiling, increase in debt through corporate tax breaks, uptick in inflation and uncertainty in policy but --- we still have a long way to fall before we can call this a bear market or a crash. If we do breakdown from the ascending channel, we can expect the S&P to eye around 3200, or nearly half of its current value. If this administration takes over the federal reserve, they can stimulate the economy to fight the decline and prolong the consequences but those measures will involve further dilution, further debt, further smoke in mirrors, further uncertainty and will likely ignite a ticking time bomb with even greater consequences then outlined here. So in short, stop saying the market is crashing, it is not. But, be vigilant, there is a high probability of short term pullback and a long term crash based on the charts, historical precedence and current administrations activities.
TVC:SPXShort
by EncryptShawn
WTI - Will Oil Return to the Uptrend?!WTI oil is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving within its medium-term descending channel. If the downward trend continues towards the demand range, the next opportunity to buy oil with a risk-reward ratio will be provided for us. An upward correction of oil towards the supply range will provide us with an opportunity to sell it. Despite markets showing resilience to geopolitical uncertainties following recent tensions between U.S. President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, any signs of economic weakness in the United States could prompt investors to raise their expectations for interest rate cuts. However, even if inflation data does not reinforce such expectations, it is unlikely to have a significant impact on the U.S. dollar. In the United States, inflation remains a major challenge for the Federal Reserve. The overall Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose to 3% in January, dashing hopes for two rate cuts in 2025. However, the market’s reaction was not overly negative, as investors anticipated that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, which the Federal Reserve prioritizes, would be less severe than the CPI. According to the Cleveland Federal Reserve’s Nowcast model, the core PCE index fell from 2.8% to 2.7% in January, while the overall PCE rate declined to 2.5%. If the actual data released on Friday aligns with these projections and no unexpected increases appear in the monthly figures, expectations for two 0.25% rate cuts may strengthen, exerting downward pressure on the U.S. dollar. Meanwhile, U.S.President Joe Biden attempted to foster freer elections in Venezuela by extending an offer of cooperation, but this initiative failed. Now, Trump has announced that he will terminate this policy. He also noted that Venezuela is refusing to take back illegal migrants who had arrived in the U.S. This agreement, which had eased sanctions on oil, gas, and gold, was partially revoked in April 2024 after opposition candidate María Corina Machado was barred from running in the presidential election. Trump wrote on Truth Social: “We hereby revoke the concessions that corrupt Joe Biden granted to Nicolás Maduro of Venezuela regarding the oil deal dated November 26, 2022, as well as the electoral conditions in Venezuela, which the Maduro regime has failed to meet. Additionally, the regime has not returned the violent criminals it sent to our great America as quickly as promised. Therefore, I am ordering that Biden’s ineffective and unmet concessions be revoked as of the March 1 extension date.” Today, Trump escalated his stance on Venezuela by canceling Chevron’s oil license. This move was prompted by Caracas’s refusal to accept deportees and implement democratic reforms. President Trump announced that he would revoke the Biden-era license that had allowed Chevron to produce oil in Venezuela. This decision appears to be a significant setback for Chevron, the American oil giant. On his social media platform, Truth Social, Trump stated that he would rescind the license granted on November 26, 2022, which had permitted Chevron to operate in Venezuela.
TVC:USOILLong
by Ali_PSND
Gold Reversal Confirmed: Bearish Targeting 2,878 SupportThis chart shows a clear double-top pattern at the resistance zone around 2,960, indicating potential bearish momentum. The price has broken below a trendline, confirming weakness. A retest around 2,934 has occurred, and the price is now declining. The next key support level is around 2,878, which could act as a potential target for sellers. If bearish momentum continues, a deeper drop may follow. - First target: 2,900 (psychological level and minor support) - Second target: 2,878 (major support zone) If bearish momentum continues and 2,878 breaks, the next possible target could be around 2,860 for an extended move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
2