XRP IS STILL RANGING!!!!!!!FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK
I hope all is well traders. These are the fundamentals/hype that have the XRP community buzzing.
1. Ripple vs SEC Update – Judge Approves Sealing of Key Documents
2. Gary Gensler, the Chairman of the SEC, has announced his resignation effective at noon on January 20, 2025
3. CEO Brad Garlinghouse met with President-elect Donald Trump at Mar-a-Lago on January 7
The approval of sealing key documents definitely brings huge buzz for the community. In my personal opinion, if you are willing to hide any type of information then it is considered ALPHA. What kind of alpha that might be? Only the judge will ever know but if they are insisting on sealing some information then best believe it has pivotal data (technology, price predictions, future involvement with other companies/tech etc).
Gary Gensler leaving will also “potentially” send XRP to new highs since he was the main catalyst on why crypto was heavily regulated. There is a probability that price will sky rocket on 1/20 which on a technical outlook agrees (bias wise) to that theory. Now Brad Garlinghouse having dinner with the Donald Trump also has everyone going crazy. I see this both bullish and bearish as sometimes making it too obvious is too obvious. However this meet up gives positive conviction on the SEC vs RIPPLE case finally ending. As you can see, there is a bunch of moves being made with positive speculation but the charts will always tell it all.
TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
We are still ranging. On a technical standpoint price has not made any significant changes to give us a conviction for price to reach ATH. With that being said, this price action translates to the whales moving price sideways in order to prepare for the following big dates (SEC vs RIPPLE outcome and or Gary Genslers date of resignation). With those 2 major headlines weeks away, we can theorize that this accumulation is being created for this next leg up/down. As for my approach portfolio wise, I will be observing on the sidelines with my active buy limit orders on standby. Pro tip: This is a unit game, accumulate as much UNITs as you can because UNITs will buy you FREEDOM.
As always, trade safe.
Mr.Oazb
Trump
TRU or TRUfi Chart predictionTRU is in a multi-month support zone. You can buy more TRU at $0.077.
Hold term - Long Term.
Future Potential: TRUFi's decentralized finance (DeFi) platform enables efficient and transparent borrowing and lending. As the DeFi ecosystem grows, TRU could play a crucial role in addressing liquidity issues and offering financial services to the unbanked.
Latest News: TRUFi Partners with Major Financial Institution for Increased Liquidity
The SEC alleges that nearly half a billion dollars in TrueUSD (TUSD) is not properly backed, affecting pairs on major exchanges like Binance, Bybit, Gate.io, and Bitget.
TrueUSD is accused of using phony attestation reports, having opaque ownership structures, and secretly investing backing assets in risky, illiquid ventures.
The SEC's complaint suggests that since March 2020, TrueUSD's "commodity fund" misappropriated user funds, with 99% of TUSD's backing assets being illiquid as of this month.
Major investors like a16z, BlockTower, and Alameda Research invested $12.5 million in TrueUSD's governance token, TRU, despite the alleged misappropriation.
Binance listed TrueUSD and later made it the only stablecoin with fee-free trading, leading to $1.5 billion in TUSD mints, which the SEC claims were never fully backed.
The article emphasizes the need for radical transparency in the crypto industry to prevent fraud and suggests continuous scrutiny of major projects to avoid reliance on regulatory bodies like the SEC for cleanup.
Sterling sliding, Fed worried about TrumpThe British pound is on a nasty slide and has lost 1.8% since Monday. In the European session, GBP/USD is currently trading at 1.2294, down 0.53%. Earlier, the pound fell as low as 1.2237 (1%), it lowest level since Nov. 2023.
The latest setback for the pound was Thursday's British Retail Consortium (BRC) Shop Price index, which came in at -1% in December, lower than the November reading of -0.4% and the market estimate of -0.6%. This was the lowest level since July 2021. This points to weaker consumer spending, a key engine of the economy.
The BRC has projected that food inflation will continue to accelerate, which will add to the squeeze that weary consumers are feeling from inflation and high interest rates. The UK government introduced a "tax and spend" budget last October but retailers have argued that this recipe will lead to retail job cuts and higher prices.
The Federal Reserve minutes of the December meeting, released on Wednesday, indicated that policy makers were concerned about the upside risk to inflation, particularly due to incoming President-elect Trump's potential trade and immigration policies. Trump has promised to slap punishing tariffs on US trade partners, including China. Trump has also called for mass deportations of illegal immigrants.
The minutes did not mention Trump by name but there was no doubt that Fed members had Trump in mind. Members noted their concern that inflation could rise due to "the likely effects of potential changes in trade and immigration policy".
Members also indicated that the Fed was "at or near the point" of slowing the pace of easing. After starting the easing cycle with a jumbo rate cut of 50 basis points, the Fed has delivered back-to-back cuts of 25 basis points. At the December meeting, the Fed lowered its rate forecast for 2025 to two cuts, down from four in the September forecast.
After the December meeting, the currency markets reacted sharply to the revised forecast and the US dollar shot up against the majors. The Fed again sounded hawkish in the minutes but this time the US dollar showed little movement against the majors, with the exception of GBP/USD.
GBP/USD is testing support at 1.2292. Below, there is support at 1.2220
1.2393 and 1.2465 are the next resistance lines
#TRU/USDT Ready to go higher#TRU
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 30-minute frame and sticking to it well
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at 0.0780
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
Entry price 0.0795
First target 0.0810
Second target 0.0836
Third target 0.0863
$1.39 to $7.08 vertical 409% within 1 hour of market open $CURR$1.5B exchanged hands on it today, biggest stock of the day
We actually took a loss on this trade wanting too much from the vertical, aiming for $8 - $10, instead exited at pre-planned stop loss then made double more on next two trades which were NASDAQ:VRME and NASDAQ:NITO
What is MAGA Coin, and what details should investors know?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
My Personal View and Technical Analysis of This Cryptocurrency:
All cryptocurrencies associated with prominent figures have high potential but are also highly volatile and risky. However, they can be good choices for short-term gains and periodic profits. The technical chart for this asset shows a strong upward trend, although we may witness some bearish retracements if the last Fibonacci support indicated on the chart is broken. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post provided by the website, this is merely my personal opinion and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
What is MAGA Coin (TRUMP)?
MAGA Coin is a meme coin inspired by former U.S. President Donald Trump. It was launched by an anonymous team of developers who sent a significant amount of tokens to Trump's wallet. The coin primarily serves as a tool to support conservative causes and the Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement, acting as a new way to raise funds for these goals. A portion of the total supply, about 10%, is reserved for projects supporting Trump, including donations to political candidates and campaigns aligned with the MAGA movement.
How to Buy MAGA Coin?
To buy MAGA Coin, you can use centralized or decentralized exchanges. First, you need to create an account on an exchange that lists MAGA Coin. It’s essential to choose a secure trading platform with strong security measures like two-factor authentication and data encryption. The transaction fees should also be reasonable to avoid diminishing your profits. Make sure the platform supports MAGA Coin and offers an easy-to-use interface for smooth trading. Reading user reviews and online feedback can help you choose the right platform.
Who is the Founder of MAGA Coin?
MAGA Coin was created by a team of anonymous developers. At the time of the project’s launch, 580,000 TRUMP tokens were sent to Donald Trump's wallet. While the identities of those behind the project are not publicly disclosed, it’s speculated that they are supporters of Donald Trump, especially those backing his 2024 presidential bid.
Should You Invest in MAGA Coin?
Investing in MAGA Coin (TRUMP) carries high risk due to its volatility and speculative nature. Its value is influenced by political events and market sentiment. The future of Trump-related cryptocurrencies depends on political support and the popularity of influential figures like Trump and Elon Musk.
Like other meme coins, MAGA Coin follows unique investment dynamics. It has seen extreme price fluctuations, ranging from a low of $0.007792 to a high of $17.52 within a year, now trading around $3. Its value is primarily driven by speculation, though it has a practical use: raising funds for MAGA campaigns. MAGA Coin’s performance can also be impacted by broader market trends and the success of other meme coins. Its value will undoubtedly be affected by political activities surrounding Donald Trump and public perception. Some analysts predict that MAGA Coin could see significant gains if Trump’s political success continues, especially in the 2024 election.
Other Cryptocurrencies Related to Donald Trump:
1. Trump Coin (TRUMP): Launched in 2023 by a team in the UK, this coin runs on the BNB Smart Chain and rewards holders with USDT.
2. Free Trump (FreeTrump): Created in 2024 amid allegations against Donald Trump.
3. Trump Coin: Introduced in 2016, this coin represents a patriotic digital currency supporting conservative values.
4. YUGE: A political meme coin launched in 2024 to fight censorship and promote free speech.
5. Trump Inu: Launched in 2024 on the Ethereum network, with 1% of its tax donated to charities.
6. Super Trump Coin: Designed as a symbol of Trump’s principles like limited government and free-market economics.
7. Donald Trump Coin: Introduced on the Ethereum blockchain in 2024, this coin supports Trump’s election campaigns and serves as a symbol of support against legal challenges.
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
MAGA Coin (TRUMP) is a meme coin inspired by Donald Trump, primarily used to support conservative causes and the MAGA movement. While highly volatile and risky, it offers potential for short-term gains, with a portion of the supply reserved for Trump-related projects. Investing in MAGA Coin depends on political events and market sentiment, with its value closely tied to Trump’s popularity and political success.
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Copper - Markets are waiting for Trump's decisions!In the 4-hour timeframe, copper is above the EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving in its descending channel. Copper moved down from the supply zone of the previous analysis. The downward correction of copper will provide us with the opportunity to buy it with the appropriate risk reward. If the upward trend continues, you can sell copper in the next supply zone.
According to experts, commodity prices are expected to decline in 2025 due to a weak global economic outlook and the resurgence of the US dollar. Analysts at Deutsche Bank have identified three key political developments in their latest report that could shape the strategy of US President-elect Donald Trump. These developments include changes in tariff policies, Trump’s preference for introducing a large, comprehensive bill, and his plan to fund tax cuts through tariffs.
Deutsche Bank notes that the year will largely be influenced by the combination of policies Trump proposes. However, it seems unlikely that a comprehensive bill addressing both border and tax issues will be ready before April or May.
Experts believe that Trump is likely to use Section 232 investigations to impose sector-specific tariffs. These investigations allow the government to implement tariffs on the grounds of national security.
Deutsche Bank forecasts that Trump will employ multiple tariff approaches, including legislative and executive actions. Analysts suggest that Trump may attempt to enact broader tariffs through legislation, as this is the only way tariff revenues can be incorporated into the budget reconciliation process by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). Two key bills in Congress related to the revocation of China’s normal trade status have been highlighted as important areas to monitor in this regard.
This multi-faceted approach and the varying timelines for imposing tariffs introduce significant complexities and risks. However, from a financial perspective, Deutsche Bank predicts that Trump’s fiscal policies may have more moderate impacts, potentially easing some of the existing tensions.
Markets are also watching for further moves by China to stimulate its economy in hopes that such measures might revive demand for commodities in the world’s second-largest economy. The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) has announced plans to cut interest rates and required bank reserves. However, the market is looking for more tangible actions to directly support consumers, rather than simply increasing public sector wages. In other words, the market seeks renewed confidence and vitality in the economy.
Nonetheless, the lack of transparency in China’s economy remains a pressing issue. Even within China and among government officials, there appears to be no clear understanding of the economic situation. Public sentiment remains highly negative and has not recovered since the COVID-19 pandemic.
Despite these challenges, China continues to excel in certain sectors. For instance, the country has achieved notable success in the automotive and artificial intelligence industries. Additionally, China is still considered the easiest place in the world to manufacture anything. However, these advantages ultimately need to translate into improved domestic consumption to create lasting positive effects.
In a note, BMI stated that potential slowdowns in the energy transition due to Trump’s policy changes could dampen the green energy sentiment that bolstered prices in 2024.
John Gross, president of John Gross Consulting, told CNBC that while copper prices peaked in May 2024 due to market pressures, they have since been in a downward trend, which is expected to continue. He added, “A complex combination of high inflation, elevated interest rates, and a strong dollar will negatively impact metal markets.”
Will History Repeat as Major Currencies Dance Toward Parity?In a dramatic shift that has captured the attention of global financial markets, the euro-dollar relationship stands at a historic crossroads, with leading institutions forecasting potential parity by 2025. This seismic development, triggered by Donald Trump's November election victory and amplified by mounting geopolitical tensions, signals more than just a currency fluctuation—it represents a fundamental realignment of global financial power dynamics.
The confluence of diverging monetary policies between the U.S. and Europe and persistent economic challenges in Germany's industrial heartland has created a perfect storm in currency markets. European policymakers face the delicate task of maintaining supportive measures. At the same time, their American counterparts adopt a more cautious stance, setting the stage for what could become a defining moment in modern financial history.
This potential currency convergence carries implications far beyond trading desks. It challenges traditional assumptions about economic power structures and reevaluates global investment strategies. As geopolitical tensions escalate and economic indicators paint an increasingly complex picture, market participants must navigate a landscape where historical precedents offer limited guidance. The journey toward potential parity serves as a compelling reminder that in today's interconnected financial world, currency movements reflect not just economic fundamentals but the broader forces reshaping our global order.
Conclusion
The current landscape presents unprecedented challenges for the EUR/USD pair, driven by economic fundamentals and geopolitical tensions. One significant concern is the potential release of sensitive footage from Israel (by the Israeli National Security Agency (NSA) from Hamas body cameras, containing graphic atrocities from the October 7th incident.), which could threaten European stability. These developments go beyond simple market dynamics and have the potential to reshape the social and political fabric of Europe.
Market professionals emphasize the importance of adaptable strategies and the vigilant monitoring of key indicators. Investors must prepare for increased volatility while maintaining strong risk management frameworks. The pressure on the euro-dollar relationship is likely to persist, making strategic positioning and careful market analysis more crucial than ever in navigating these turbulent waters.
Gold - Ready to break higher as tariff tensions escalateGold has made modest ground through Asia, adding $8 on the day, however, the news flow certainly suggests a higher probability that we could soon see increasing buying flows, as investors start to seek out portfolio protection from the incoming tariff hostilities.
News that China added to its gold reserves for a second consecutive month in December, taking its reserves rise to 73.29m ounces from 72.96m in November, is one supportive factor.
Another could be its role as a hedge against the impending tariff news flow.
Tariffs are well known to markets and the idea that Trump will come in on 20 January and put through orders to hit various economies with tariffs is firmly discounted.
What is not priced is aspect of the counter response and the potential retaliation measures…. Of course, It’s not as if anyone expects those nations targeted by Trump’s tariffs to simply take it without a counter response, but it depends on what that response looks like and whether it leads to a painful and protracted tit for tat ‘battle’ that plays out on socials and the media headlines.
Today, amid Justin Trudeau’s resignation, speculation in the Canadian press suggested the Canadians could preannounce a list of US goods that will face retaliatory tariffs in the case of Trump hitting them with 25% tax on all Canadian products. Publishing this list before Trump takes office would be seen as a step in aggression and would not be taken well by either Trump and Jamieson Greer.
In China/HK, the US Defence department has added Tencent to its list of Chinese military companies operating in the US. Not a tariff as such, but this geopolitical development would be a big surprise, not just to the company (shares are -7.3%), but would be seen as an act in bad faith by the Chinese government. China themselves would be preparing for the worst when it comes to tariffs – they have not adhered to any of promises made in the prior agreements to buy certain US goods in a gesture to reduce the US trade deficit.
Trump will use that as in his negotiations, and if there is one economy that is unlikely to get much of a cushion in the upcoming trade talks, its China.
How will China respond? Depreciate the RMB, look at trade ties with other nations (we’re certainly seeing that with China-Mexico forging ties) or come back with counter tariffs on US imports.
The Washington Post reported yesterday that Trump’s aides were exploring universal tariffs only on critical imports and not on all goods – a fact that that was quickly shut down by Trump. If the WaPo are credible, and many suspect this will be the case, it ultimately could be a positive for risk in the long run. However, in the near-term, if the Canadian news comes to fruition, I think it opens the idea that we should prepare now for tit for tat retaliation, and its here where investors may start to look at gold as a hedge against this impending hawkish news flow.
So, while it all depends how hard ball each party wants to appear, it could create a new level of noise and uncertainty that could see higher market volatility and push gold through the range highs of $2726 and towards $2800.
Trudeau’s Expected Resignation Prompts Dollar ReboundThe USD/CAD pair hit 1.4379, reflecting a rebound from its earlier January 2016 lows, as traders react to the potential resignation of Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. This possible political shift has also strengthened the US dollar against the Canadian dollar, causing the loonie to pare some of its earlier gains. Trudeau's anticipated departure, amid public and legislative pressure, adds an element of political uncertainty in Canada, which could impact the CAD's stability. Meanwhile, in the U.S., President-elect Donald Trump's tariff plans are being recalibrated to target only critical imports, a shift from his campaign's universal tariff approach. This adjustment aims to mitigate widespread disruptions and price increases, potentially supporting market stability and investor confidence. As these geopolitical and economic factors unfold, traders should remain vigilant, as developments in Canadian leadership and U.S. trade policies could introduce further volatility and influence USD/CAD dynamics.
Buy the Dip: TEM is a Resilient AI Healthcare Pick for 2025Tempus AI NASDAQ:TEM is presenting a compelling investment opportunity as we move into 2025. This health tech company, focused on leveraging AI for precision medicine, has weathered a recent downturn and is showing strong signs of recovery. After a 4 week correction that presented a chance to buy at a discount, TEM has finally shown the ability to rally.
This recovery makes it a particularly interesting prospect for several reasons:
1. AI's Continued Rise: The field of artificial intelligence is advancing at breakneck speed, and Tempus is at the forefront of applying these advancements to healthcare. Their work in areas like genomic sequencing and data analysis for personalized treatment plans positions them exceptionally well to capitalize on this megatrend.
2. Weathering the Political Storm: Tempus's core business is less vulnerable to possible tariffs that may be introduced by incoming President Trump. Healthcare, particularly innovative approaches to disease treatment, remains a critical sector regardless of the political landscape. Furthermore, Tempus' customers being mostly internal U.S. customers provides further resilience in the face of possible tariffs.
3. Technical Rebound: As the attached chart illustrates, TEM is in the midst of a technical bounce back. The recent price action suggests that the sell-off may be overdone, and the stock is finding support at current levels. The upward sloping support and resistance lines indicate a potential 40-80% gain if TEM can continue to show resilience in the face of selling pressure. The stock currently trades below it's 20 day EMA, but the recent rally shows that it could potentially find support along this average before continuing to trend upwards.
In Conclusion:
Tempus AI offers a unique combination of growth potential in a rapidly expanding sector, resilience to potential political headwinds, and a technically attractive entry point. While all investments carry risk, TEM's current profile suggests it's a stock worth serious consideration for gaining exposure to the intersection of AI and healthcare in 2025, especially at these highly discounted prices.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
Remember,
Patience is Paramount.
SPX 2025 7000+ The most likely scenario.Experts who forecast stock market collapses and peddle narratives of financial despair often refrain from investing in the very concepts they promote; otherwise, they would face severe financial ruin on a repeated basis.
From the very beginning of this decade, I have championed a bold, risk-taking stance, predicting that these years will be remembered as the roaring 2020's, a time marked by an echo bubble of the 1920's.
This era is defined by the powerful convergence of technology, artificial intelligence, and blockchain, all propelling asset prices to new heights. The wealth generated by these colossal corporations and blockchain innovations is accumulating and concentrating, leaving behind individuals who are not part of these transformative trends.
Meanwhile, everyday people are grappling with a significant inflationary wave, as the value of their fiat currency continues to dwindle. To compound the issue, in 2024 around 150,000 workers have been laid off from giants like Tesla and Microsoft, a direct result of automation.
In this relentless struggle, machines are emerging victorious.
The age-old saying that markets lack a reason to rise but require one to fall or underperform holds particularly true, especially in the good old USA.
It’s reasonable to think that 2025 will not replicate the precise calendar movements of 2024 so it's prudent to lean towards performance tracking other years such as...
2017, the SPX return stood at 18%, marking it as the year that most closely aligns with 2025, the inaugural year of Trump's presidency.
Fast forward to 2023, where the percentage rose to 24%, making it the nearest reference point in the short term. As we are predicting a continuation of the bull market.
Meanwhile, 2021 reached a peak of 29%, representing the euphoric climax of that cyclical bull market, a scenario that could very well repeat itself in 2025.
The emerging pattern for 2025 appears to be shaped by these three pivotal years. Given that we are now nearer to the conclusion of the bull market than its inception, it seems prudent to draw insights from the trends of 2021 and 2023.
RBOB post tariff structure and range to take advantage of!Hi guys today we are starting off with RBOB , which has been quiet for the past month and it has been trading in a structured range between 2.05 as a high resistance and 1.92 / 1.94 as strong support. As of today we are currently sitting at the given support line of 1.92 and the latest news which came from President Trump that he will impose tariffs on Canadian and Mexican Imports , which would probably impact and touch the Oil Industry. The U.S. imports 4M barrels of Crude Oil every single day from Canada and around 900-1M barrels of Oil Crude Oil from Mexico. These tariffs would definitely touch the consumer as a long term which would give us a boost into the overall demand / supply play around the prices of Petroleum Products.
Current entry RBOB (Gasoline)
1.9300 entry level, with two separate targets.
Target 1: 1.9755
Target 2: 2.0310
The strategy can be repeated after the targets are touched with a patient retracement of the lower support line and input similar targets.
2025 Outlook : DXYThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the dollar's value against a basket of major currencies, has shown notable strength in the last quarter of 2024. This trend is influenced by several key factors:
1) Federal Reserve Policy and Inflation Concerns
The Federal Reserve's renewed cautious approach to interest rate cuts has been pivotal in supporting the dollar's value.
Concerns about inflation, potentially exacerbated by anticipated fiscal policies under President Donald Trump's administration, further contribute to this cautious monetary approach.
The Fed's reluctance to reduce rates aggressively may continue to bolster the DXY.
2) Economic Performance and Trade Policies
The U.S. economy's robust performance, coupled with expectations of new tariffs and tax reforms under the Trump administration, is anticipated to sustain the dollar's strength.
However, these policies may lead to increased inflationary pressures, influencing the Fed's monetary decisions and, consequently, the DXY's trajectory.
3) Global Economic Comparisons
Comparatively weaker economic growth in regions like Europe and Japan, where central banks maintain dovish policies, enhances the dollar's appeal.
This divergence in economic performance and monetary policy stances contributes to the DXY's bullish outlook.
Projections for the DXY in 2025 may vary.
A rise to around the 115 level (2022 high), driven by the factors mentioned above, seems very likely.
Additionally, based on the Fibonacci Extension, the DXY could possibly reach a high of 124.50 in the long-term.
However, fluctuations are anticipated at those historic high levels, with some significant declines.
While the current outlook for the DXY appears bullish, it's essential to consider potential risks, including:
- Trade Policies: The implementation of new tariffs could introduce uncertainties affecting the dollar's value.
- Global Economic Conditions: Improvements in other economies or shifts in their monetary policies could influence the DXY's trajectory.
- Domestic Economic Indicators: Factors such as the U.S. budget deficit and overall economic health will play significant roles in shaping the dollar's strength.
Bitcoin Year 2025Market analysts and crypto experts anticipate that Bitcoin could soar to $600K this year, fueled by supportive policies and growing institutional adoption. Key drivers include deregulation efforts and pro-crypto measures under the current administration. President Trump has also reshaped the political landscape by appointing lawmakers who strongly advocate for cryptocurrency, setting the stage for a potential rally.
2024 is a wrap - time for 2025 outlook - let's go2024 will be a memorable year
-23% gains
-Mag 7 + Semiconductors + Bitcoin all contributing nicely
-PLTR was the top performing stock in the S&P 500 (impressive 340.48%)
As always, 2024 wasn't in a straight line up, though it felt like it at times
VIX had #1 and #2 largest single day moves ever (Aug 5 and Dec 18)
April was a sticky inflation pullback month
August was a Bank of Japan deleveraging weekend scare
FED dominated the catalysts with guidance, narrative, and wait and see between employment and inflation data
2025 will bring new president, new policy, new Republican power. Many were excited about this but there are still checks and balances and markets need more reassurance than hyperbole. I plan to look at income plays and trading plays were buy and hold. Whatever I do own equities and ETFs wise, I want protection just in case the market isn't as straightforward and bullish like it has been since Oct 2022.
Happy New Year - thanks for watching!!! See you in 2025!!!
DJT: Will It Break $33.85 or $38.55 First? DJT is at a tipping point, and it could go either way. Here’s what to watch so you’re ready for the next big move.
1) If DJT Drops Below $33.85
If this level breaks, things could get rough. Here’s what might happen:
-$28–$26: This is the first stop where the price might chill for a bit.
-$10: If the selling gets heavy, this is where we could end up.
2) If DJT Pops Above $38.55
If the bulls take charge, it could be time to ride the wave higher:
A break above $38.55 could spark a nice rally and push the price upward.
What’s the Plan?
-Keep an eye on $33.85 and $38.55—they’re the magic numbers.
-Be patient and wait for a clear move before jumping in.
If this makes sense, toss me a like or follow. Got questions about DJT or another stock you’re stuck on? Hit me up in the DMs—I’m here to help.
And hey, if you’re feeling burned out or stressed about trading, let’s talk. I’m all about helping you find your balance and keeping things sustainable. Chill, stay focused, and let’s catch the next wave together!
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Breaking: $ELONIA surged 310% for the past 10 daysThe Solana-based memecoin $ELONIA has experienced a remarkable surge of 310% over the past ten days, despite trading amidst low volume. The coin, themed around the playful meta of Elon Musk and the Just elected U.S. President Donald Trump, has captivated the crypto community with its humorous and creative premise.
The Origin of $ELONIA
$ELONIA, inspired by a fictional relationship between Elon Musk and Donald Trump, has gained traction as a pure meme token. The community-driven project leverages AI-generated content depicting Musk as Trump’s wife, creating a unique and amusing narrative. With a Telegram community boasting over 100,000 members, the project’s growth highlights the power of memes and grassroots engagement in the crypto space.
Community Momentum
The $ELONIA community has shown dedication, working tirelessly to bring their meta to life. Their efforts, combined with creative content and an active online presence, have fueled the token’s popularity. This vibrant ecosystem exemplifies the role of community in driving adoption and maintaining momentum for meme-based cryptocurrencies.
Trading and Market Activity
Where to Buy $ELONIA: The token is traded on decentralized exchanges, with Raydium being the most active platform. The ELONIA/SOL pair has recorded a 24-hour trading volume of $15,373.14.
- Trading Volume: Recent market activity shows a -40.60% decrease in trading volume, signaling a temporary decline.
- Market Cap: $ELONIA’s market cap stands at $9,892,449, ranking it #1793 on CoinGecko. With 68 billion tokens in circulation, its fully diluted valuation (FDV) matches the market cap.
- All-Time High/Low: The token’s all-time high of $0.0001694 was recorded on December 5, 2024, while the all-time low of $0.00003451 occurred on December 19, 2024. Its current price is 14.59% below the ATH but 319.32% above the ATL.
Technical Outlook
$ELONIA is currently trading within a rising trend pattern, reflecting bullish momentum. However, caution is advised as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is overbought at 81, suggesting a potential pullback.
Support Levels:
- Minor support: 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
- Major support: 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, likely viewed as a key buy zone for traders.
With a market cap under $50 million, $ELONIA remains in its early stages, offering significant growth potential for early adopters. The $ELONIA project’s foundation lies in its community and humor, which have propelled it into the spotlight. By leveraging Solana’s scalable blockchain, $ELONIA benefits from low transaction fees and fast processing times, making it an attractive choice for meme enthusiasts and traders alike.
Performance Comparison
In the last seven days, $ELONIA has outperformed the global cryptocurrency market and its meme token peers:
- $ELONIA: +129.60%
- Global Market: -1.60%
- Meme Tokens: +3.90%
Conclusion
$ELONIA’s explosive growth and unique narrative underscore the evolving dynamics of the crypto market. While its overbought RSI suggests a potential short-term correction, the token’s strong community and innovative concept position it for continued success. Traders and enthusiasts should watch for key support levels as potential entry points, as $ELONIA’s journey is far from over.
TLRY Long-term Bottom SignalsTLRY has created several long-term bottom signals including the first wiseman on the monthly and weekly charts. This combined with momentum divergences and the 161.8% (a+b) time relation all indicate a potential long-term reversal is starting now.
This also fits with my bearish stock market forecast because for the last couple of years there's been an inverse correlation between the index and cannabis stocks.
I also believe we could see an old switcheroo here, cannabis stocks dumped and crypto pumped post-election in the short-term, now we could see the opposite in the long-term where we see a long-term cannabis bull market and a long-term crypto bear market.
There's a high probability Trump does not create a strategic bitcoin reserve in the first 100 days, on Polymarket the odds are >70% that this does not happen. It's also very likely most state-level bills will fail initially. While some reserves could eventually happen it will likely be in 1-2 years when prices are much lower and the hype has died down.
Meanwhile, the HHS has already recommended and the DEA has already begun the process of rescheduling cannabis to Schedule 3 several months ago, and Chris Christie has said Trump will completely deschedule cannabis under his administration, ultimately making it fully legalized. In my opinion, everyone is underpricing this likely future, while simultaneously overpricing the future where Trump actually kept his promises about crypto in the first 100 days.
I do not think Cannabis stocks will ever be this undervalued again, especially after legalization happens, so now is probably the best time to be accumulating these stocks for the long-term while they're super undervalued.
Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT): Big Moves Ahead?Good morning, trading family!
Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) is at a critical juncture, and here’s what we’re watching:
If the price falls below $33.87: It could drop to $30-$28, with a chance of bouncing back to $59.57 afterward.
If the price breaks above $38.51: We could see momentum push it to $59 or higher.
If it fails to hold $28: Deeper declines may follow.
These levels are key, and how the price reacts will set the direction. Let’s stay sharp and trade smart!
Comment, like, follow, or send me a DM if you want more insights on this setup!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
BETA/USDT: Descending Channel Setup | 575% Potential Return
BINANCE:BETA/USDT - 1W TIMEFRAME🎯
TRADE SETUP:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
✦ CURRENT PRICE: $0.04446 (-2.92%)
✦ TARGET: $0.19071 (+575.85%)
✦ STOP LOSS: -10% (Marked in red)
✦ RISK:REWARD: 57:1
✦ VOLUME: 11.82M
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
1. PATTERN STRUCTURE:
• Trading within descending channel
• Double trend line resistance (black & blue)
• Clear support zone at channel bottom
• Potential reversal zone approaching
2. MARKET CONTEXT:
• Price near historical support
• Volume stabilizing at lows
• Channel compression point ahead
• Strong overhead resistance levels
3. PROJECTED MOVEMENT (White Line):
• Initial consolidation period
• Break above both trend lines
• Accelerated move to target zone
• Multiple retests expected
STRATEGY EXECUTION:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
ENTRY PLAN:
• Base entry near current levels
• Add on trend line breaks
• Final position on volume confirmation
RISK MANAGEMENT:
• Clear -10% stop loss defined
• Cut losses if channel support breaks
• Scale out at resistance levels
IMPORTANT DATES:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
• Pattern completion: Early 2025
• Target timeframe: Late 2025 - Early 2026
• Critical support test: Q1 2025
RISK DISCLOSURE:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Trading involves substantial risk. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
#BETA #TechnicalAnalysis #Crypto #TradingView #CryptoTrading
Tags: @TradingView
Note: The stop loss level is clearly defined at -10%, providing a precise risk management point for this high-reward setup.