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Trump Manipulates the Market Again: Tariffs ON/OFF PlayOnce again, we’re watching how political narratives are used to shake the markets — and Bitcoin was no exception this time. 🔻 Step 1: "TARIFFS ON" Announcement Market instantly reacts with a sharp sell-off BTC drops from 81K to nearly 75K Fear spikes, media goes wild 📉 That’s your classic short squeeze setup. 🔺 Step 2: "TARIFFS OFF" Retraction Massive green candle, BTC rebounds from lows Shorts get liquidated Price rips back up in minutes 💸 It’s a textbook fake panic followed by a well-timed reversal. Someone knew what was coming. Someone profited. And it wasn’t retail. 🔎 What does this mean? This is not just market volatility — this is narrative-based manipulation. If you're trading without paying attention to headlines, you're already behind. 🧵Follow the money. Follow the timing. Follow the candles. #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #MarketManipulation #Tariffs #Trump #PoliticsInMarkets #Whales #NarrativeTrading #PriceAction
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by SmartSignalss
SPY Analysis & Tariff TurmoilLast Friday, the market pressure was intense, and my bullish call option, targeting $537.64 on SPY, seemed overly ambitious as tariffs and political uncertainties peaked. I stated, " AMEX:SPY Trump went all in thinking he had the cards. We were getting sent back to the McKinley era," wondering when or if Trump would fold under international pressure and market realities. Fast-forward to Wednesday, April 8—Trump didn't just blink; he folded utterly, reversing the harsh tariff policies he initially defended aggressively. Prompted by China's aggressively dumping of U.S. Treasuries and stark recession warnings from Goldman Sachs, BlackRock, and JPMorgan, Trump pivoted significantly: • Base tariffs: 10% • Tariffs on China: Increased to 125% • Tariffs on U.S. goods entering China: Increased to 84% starting April 10 While temporarily bullish, these sudden, dramatic policy swings underline ongoing instability and volatility. However, with big bank earnings on deck this Friday, short-term momentum looks positive. Technical Levels & Trade Ideas Hourly Chart The hourly chart reveals a critical zone—dubbed "Liberation Day Trapped Longs"—between $544.37 (H. Vol Sell Target 1b) and $560.54 (L. Vol ST 2b). Bulls trapped here from recent highs may now look to exit on a relief rally. • Bullish Scenario: • Entry: SPY reclaiming and holding above $544.37. • Target 1: $560.54 (top of trapped longs) • Target 2: $566.54 (next resistance area) • Stop Loss: Below recent lows near $535 to limit downside. • Bearish Scenario (if tariffs intensify again or earnings disappoint): • Entry: Breakdown confirmation below $535. • Target 1: $522.20 (Weeks Low Long) • Target 2: $510.00, potential further support • Stop Loss: Above $544.50 to manage risk effectively. Daily Chart Perspective The broader daily chart shows SPY stabilizing around key lower supports after significant volatility. Recent price action suggests cautious optimism for an upward bounce, but considerable headwinds remain if tariff escalations resume. Final Thoughts The rapid tariff reversals and heightened volatility are unsettling. The short-term bullish move offers potential quick upside trades into earnings, but caution remains paramount. You can continue managing risks prudently and watch closely for political or economic headlines that could quickly shift market sentiment again.
AMEX:SPY
by HispanicHedge
4
$BTC consequences of the Trump 90 days tariff pauseCan It Last? Is This a Trend Reversal? Today, #Bitcoin surged over +8%, but surprisingly, #Tesla outperformed with a massive +20%—almost as much as $FARTCOIN! 🤯 History is being written, and we’ll remember this day… but is this truly the end of the consolidation phase? What to Watch: 📈 Price Action: Bitcoin must break above the descending trendline (in green) and close a daily candle above it to flip resistance into support. The price to watch is $84.5k. Closing under 80k would invalidate this pump. 📊 RSI: Currently in mid-range—could swing either way. 🔁 MACD: Was turning bearish. We need a clear bullish crossover to confirm a trend continuation. Conclusion: With all the recent global tensions, many investors are feeling a sense of relief, especially as the trade war appears paused until September. This gives markets some breathing room to recover. However, it’s not all clear skies yet: Bitcoin is still stuck inside the descending bearish channel. The recession risk hasn't gone away. Trump may have been pressured to offer good news to avoid a full-blown market crash. 🕵️‍♂️ Let’s see how the weekly candle closes after this sharp move to the upside.
by CryptoNikkoid
HOW IS CRYPTO SHAPING UP?Trump and tariffs have a firm grip on the economic world as of late, so where does that leave the crypto market? TOTAL has a clear structure since the beginning of the bull market in 2023, in the last 3 days TOTAL has wicked into the bullish trendline support but sits within a bearish trend channel. This level also coincides with the bullish orderblock that started the leg up post US election so a very strong level of support here. Do I think this is the end and the bottom is in? The chart would make a very good case for it however I believe that the Geo-politics outweigh Technical Analysis currently, at least in the short term. Everyone is watching for the latest news release/Trump announcement and all the time that is going on the market is very reactionary with less passive orders and more reactionary news based market orders. That taken into account in the short term this is a game of musical chairs with massive volatility swings and liquidations left right and center, a traders dream. I'm very interested in how the FED will react to this, once we start getting emergency or early interest rate cuts that for me is when BTC will take the next step up and will flip to an investor/buy and hold environment, whether that's from here, lower or higher I'm not sure but but BTC needs a risk-on environment to thrive and Trump is doing his best to force J Powells hand.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by ProR35
1
Bitcoin Eyes $81,500 Resistance Following Trump's Tariff Pause. 🚨 **Market Update** 🚨 President Donald Trump has announced a 90-day pause on the full effect of new tariffs for certain countries, and the markets are reacting strongly! 📈 Both the stock and crypto markets are surging as a result. Right now, **Bitcoin** is testing the $81,500 resistance level on the 1-hour timeframe. 💥 Our trading strategy: let it break the resistance and sustain above it, then look for a solid entry on the pullback. Stay tuned and trade wisely! 🚀💰
Long
by Kartik_Elkunchwar
Ethereum Surges Past Resistance as Trump Halts Tariff Plans..!🚨 **Market Update** 🚨 President Donald Trump has announced a 90-day pause on the full effect of new tariffs for certain countries, and the markets are reacting strongly! 📈 Both the stock and crypto markets are surging as a result. Right now, Ethereum is testing the $1600 resistance level on the 1-hour timeframe. 💥 Our trading strategy is to let it break the resistance and sustain above it, then look for a solid entry on the pullback. Stay tuned and trade wisely! 🚀💰
Long
by Kartik_Elkunchwar
Trump's Tariff Wars : Why It Is Critical To Address Global TradeThis video, a continuation of the Trump's Tariff Wars video I created last week, tries to show you why it is critically important that we, as a nation, address the gross imbalances related to US trade to global markets that are resulting in a $1.5-$1.8 TRILLION deficit every fiscal year. There has been almost NOTHING done about this since Trump's last term as President. Our politicians are happy to spend - spend - spend - but none of them are worries about the long-term fiscal health of the US. (Well, some of them are worried about it - but the others seem to be completely ignorant of the risks related to the US). Trump is raising this issue very early into his second term as president to protect ALL AMERICANS. He is trying to bring the issue into the news to highlight the imbalances related to US trade throughout the world. When some other nation is taking $300B a year from the us with an unfair tariff rate - guess what, we need to make that known to the American consumer because we are the ones that continue to pay that nation the EXTRA every year. Do you want to keep paying these other nations a grossly inefficient amount for cheap trinkets, or do you want our politicians and leaders to take steps to balance the trade deficits more efficiently so we don't pass on incredible debt levels to our children and grandchildren? So many people simply don't understand what is at risk. Short-term - the pain may seem excessive, but it may only last 30, 60, 90 days. Long-term - if we don't address this issue and resolve it by negotiating better trade rates, this issue will destroy the strength of the US economy, US Dollar, and your children's future. Simply put, we can't keep going into debt without a plan to attempt to grow our GDP. The solution to this imbalance is to grow our economy and to raise taxes on the uber-wealthy. We have to grow our revenues and rebalance our global trade in an effort to support the growth of the US economy. And, our politicians (till now) have been more than happy to ignore this issue and hide it from the American people. They simply didn't care to discuss it or deal with it. Trump brought this to the table because it is important. I hope you now see HOW important it really is. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
19
GBPCHF PoV - BUY POINT 1.07000???The GBP/CHF exchange rate has shown a significant bearish trend, especially after breaking the support at 1.110. Currently, the pair is heading towards the 1.07 area, indicating sustained selling pressure. One possible cause of this movement could be related to tariff issues and the economic uncertainties associated with them. Trade policies, including tariffs, can significantly affect currencies as they impact expectations about economic growth and international trade. Recent news about the introduction or tightening of tariffs between the UK and other countries may have contributed to a negative sentiment toward the British pound, strengthening the Swiss franc as a safe-haven currency. To fully understand the reasons behind the current trend of GBP/CHF, it's essential to monitor the latest economic and political news, especially those related to trade policies and the UK's international relations. A close examination of economic data and political developments can provide clearer insights into the future outlook for this currency pair.
Long
by Generazione_X
Spy what I see with my little eyeTraders, Fear, trade wars, WW3, Tariffs and a bunch of I told you soo's..... "You voted for this!" just a bunch of chirping. Because this man got to being a billionaire being a silly goose yeah? What happens when them 401k's start 3x'n, what happens when we see one of the biggest bull markets we have experienced in our lifetime? I don't know much but I know this..... the bull market may not be over. Just taking a break! Enjoy the hopium! Stay Profitable! Savvy
AMEX:SPYLong
by Crypto_Kinfolk
TSLA Best Level to BUY/HOLD 100% bounce🔸Hello traders, today let's review daily chart for TSLA. we are looking at a 67% correction, almost complete now, another 67% recent correction presented on the right. 🔸Most of the bad news already price in and we are getting oversold, expecting a bottom in weeks now not months. 🔸Recommended strategy bulls: BUY/HOLD once 67% correction completes at/near strong horizontal S/R 140/150 USD, TP bulls is 280/300 USD, which is 100% unleveraged gain. **Tesla (TSLA) Market Update – April 9, 2025** 📉 **Stock Decline:** TSLA closed at $221.86, down 4.9%, amid new tariffs and CEO Elon Musk's political involvement **Analyst Downgrades:* Wedbush's Dan Ives cut the price target by 43% to $315, citing a "brand crisis" Wells Fargo's Colin Langan set a target at $130, anticipating a potential 50% drop 📊 **Delivery Shortfall:** Q1 deliveries fell 13% year-over-year to 336,000 vehicles, missing expectations by about 40,000 unis. 🌍 **Tariff Impact:** President Trump's new tariffs are expected to increase costs and disrupt Tesla's supply chain, especially concerning Chinese operatins. 💡 **Investor Sentiment:** Analysts express concern over Musk's political ties affecting Tesla's brand and sales, particularly in China.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ProjectSyndicate
27
The Trump PatternWhen Donald Trump took office in 2017, the U.S. stock market experienced dramatic fluctuations—marked by steep declines followed by eventual rebounds. This pattern, which we'll call the "Trump Pattern," repeated itself during his presidency and is now emerging again as a point of interest for investors. While the specific causes of these market shifts varied, key factors—particularly tariffs, inflation concerns, and Federal Reserve (FED) actions—played critical roles in the market's rise and fall during Trump’s presidency. The Trump Pattern: The Market Fall and Recovery 🏁 1. The Start of the Trump Presidency (2017) When Donald Trump was elected in 2016, the market responded with a combination of excitement and uncertainty. Initially, the market surged due to tax cut expectations, deregulation, and optimism about a business-friendly administration. But as Trump's presidency fully began in January 2017, concerns over trade wars and tariff policies began to dominate investor sentiment. The market initially dipped after Trump began pursuing a protectionist trade agenda, especially with China. As concerns about tariffs escalated, stock markets reacted negatively to potential trade wars. 💶 2. The Tariff Crisis of 2018 The first major example of the "Trump Pattern" emerged in 2018 when Trump began implementing tariffs, particularly on Chinese imports, and announced new tariffs on steel and aluminum. This caused major market disruptions. The S&P 500 fell dramatically during this period, dropping by as much as 8.6% from its February peak in 2019. Companies that relied heavily on international trade, like Apple, General Motors, and Ford, experienced significant stock price declines. In fact, Apple’s stock fell 9.5% on days when new tariffs were announced, as their costs for manufacturing overseas rose. The uncertainty surrounding the global economy, combined with rising tariffs, created fears of a trade war, leading to sharp market declines. 📈 3. Market Recovery: FED Rate Cuts and Tax Cuts Despite the tariff-induced volatility, the market didn’t stay down for long. After significant market falls, the Federal Reserve (FED) began implementing interest rate cuts to combat slowing economic growth. These actions helped stabilize the market and even fueled a rebound. FED rate cuts made borrowing cheaper for consumers and businesses, stimulating economic activity and boosting investor confidence. Additionally, tax cuts, a cornerstone of Trump’s economic policy, provided further support, particularly for corporations. As a result, after the initial market drop in 2018 and early 2019, the market rebounded, continuing to climb as investors reacted positively to these fiscal and monetary policies. 🎯 The 2024 and 2025 "Trump Pattern" Emerges Again Fast forward to 2024 and 2025, and we’re seeing echoes of the "Trump Pattern" once again. New tariffs, introduced in 2025, have reignited concerns about a trade war. These tariffs, particularly on Chinese imports, have once again caused market volatility. The stock market has fallen in recent months due to concerns about these tariffs and the impact they might have on global trade. For example, when new tariffs were introduced in early 2025, the market saw a sharp sell-off, with the S&P 500 falling by over 1.8% in a single day. Companies that rely on international trade, like Tesla and Ford, have seen their stock prices drop in response to concerns about increased production costs. The broader market decline, much like in 2018, was driven by fears that tariffs could slow down the global economy and hurt corporate profits. However, there is optimism that the same pattern will unfold, where the market eventually recovers after these initial drops. ⚠️ 4. FED Rate Cuts Again? As inflation concerns persist, the Federal Reserve is likely to step in once again. Like previous cycles, we expect the FED to cut interest rates to stimulate the economy. This would be aimed at reducing borrowing costs, encouraging investment, and helping businesses weather the impact of higher tariffs and global uncertainty. The FED’s actions are typically a key driver of market recovery in the "Trump Pattern." Investors have come to expect that a market downturn triggered by political or economic disruptions can be offset by the FED’s supportive monetary policies. ⚖️ Navigating the Trump Pattern: What Should Investors Do? The "Trump Pattern" highlights that during periods of heightened uncertainty, especially due to trade policies like tariffs, the market will often experience short-term declines followed by long-term recovery. Here are a few strategies investors might want to consider: Stay Diversified : During periods of volatility, having a diversified portfolio can help cushion against the risks posed by market swings. Invest in Domestic Companies : Companies that rely less on international supply chains might fare better during periods of trade policy changes and tariff uncertainty. Focus on Growth : Once the initial market decline subsides, look for sectors that stand to benefit from a recovering economy, such as tech or consumer discretionary stocks. Look for Inflation Hedges : Given the potential for inflation, consider investments that tend to perform well during these times, such as real estate or commodities like gold. 📝 Conclusion: The Trump Pattern in Action The "Trump Pattern" demonstrates how the market tends to react in cycles during the early months of each presidency. Typically, the market falls at the start due to the uncertainty surrounding Trump’s trade policies, particularly tariffs. However, after these initial drops, the market often rebounds thanks to FED rate cuts and other policies aimed at stimulating the economy. Looking ahead to 2025, we're already seeing signs of this pattern in action as tariffs are back on the table and market volatility has followed. However, history suggests that patience might pay off. Once the FED steps in and cuts rates, a market rebound is likely, following the same trend we saw in 2017-2019.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by CandelaCharts
2
USDCHF PoV - Long POINT 0.82$!Currently, the USD/CHF pair is going through a bearish phase, influenced by several economic and geopolitical factors. Influence of US Trade Tariffs: Recent trade tariffs imposed by the United States have strengthened the Swiss franc, creating pressure on Switzerland's export-oriented economy. This scenario could push the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to consider introducing negative interest rates to counter the appreciation of the currency and support the economy. Monetary Policy of the SNB: In June 2024, the SNB reduced interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing them to 1.25%. Inflation forecasts were revised downward, indicating 1.3% for 2024 and 1.1% for 2025. These adjustments reflect economic challenges and the SNB's intent to avoid deflation. Swiss Franc Forecast: Analysts from Bank of America have expressed doubts about the sustainability of the Swiss franc's weakness in 2025. Despite expectations of lower interest rates, the SNB may be reluctant to implement unconventional measures, given the limited effectiveness of such policies in the past. Technical Analysis: The daily chart shows a range between a maximum of 0.82 and a minimum of 0.92, which has been respected for the past three years. Currently, the price is approaching the upper limit of the channel, suggesting a possible downward correction. However, a break above 0.92 could indicate an extension of the bullish movement. Conclusion: The bearish trend of USD/CHF is influenced by both internal and external factors, including SNB policies, US trade tariffs, and market dynamics. Investors should closely monitor SNB decisions, international trade policies, and key economic indicators to assess potential developments in the USD/CHF exchange rate.
Long
by Generazione_X
GOLD H2 Outlook: Correction in progress 2900 USD in sight🏆 Gold Market Update (April 8th, 2025) 📊 Technical Outlook Update ▪️5 wave impulse completed ▪️Correction as expected previously ▪️currently trading at 3 000 usd ▪️Profit taking in progress now ▪️Price Target BEARS 2850/2900 USD ▪️Strategy: SHORT SELL rips/rallies ▪️target is 2900 USD 📢 Gold Market Update – April 2025 📈 Gold hits all-time high above $3,100/oz 🚀 Surge driven by Trump’s new global tariffs and rising trade war fears 🌍 Investors seek safety amid geopolitical uncertainty 📉 Pullback follows rally 💸 Sharp drop due to profit-taking and risk sentiment rebound 🔁 Analysts remain bullish as Fed rate cuts and tensions linger 🏦 Central banks keep buying 🛡️ China & others increasing gold reserves to hedge inflation & currency risks
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ProjectSyndicate
24
VIX Clips 60 as Market Volatility and Tariff UncertaintyThe VIX Clips 60 as Market Volatility and Uncertainty Surge on Tariff Announcement The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), often dubbed the “fear gauge,” surged past the 60 threshold this week—the highest level since August 5, 2023—as markets reacted violently to an unexpected announcement by the U.S. President regarding global tariffs. The sharp rise in the VIX, which measures market expectations of 30-day volatility, underscores the profound uncertainty now gripping investors, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeting over 1,000 points and the S&P 500 entering correction territory. The trigger? A sweeping tariff policy unveiled by the administration on Liberation Day, a symbolic holiday marking a shift in economic strategy, which has sent shockwaves through global markets. The VIX at 60: A Sign of Extreme Fear The VIX typically hovers around 15-20 under normal conditions, reflecting moderate uncertainty. However, readings above 30 indicate heightened anxiety, and levels above 50 are rare, historically occurring during major crises like the 2008 financial collapse or the 2020 pandemic sell-off. This week’s spike to 60 marks a dramatic escalation, signaling a market gripped by fear. Analysts attribute this to the suddenness and scale of the President’s tariff announcement, which caught investors off guard after a period of relative calm. The Liberation Day Tariff Announcement On Liberation Day—a holiday commemorating historical freedoms—the administration announced a 25% tariff on a broad range of imports from key trading partners, including China, the EU, and others, effective immediately. The move, framed as a “national economic security initiative,” aims to curb perceived trade imbalances and protect domestic industries. However, its immediate impact has been severe: Scope and Speed: The tariffs apply to $500 billion in goods, targeting sectors like semiconductors, automotive parts, and consumer electronics. The abrupt implementation, with no prior warning or negotiation, has left businesses scrambling to adjust supply chains. Political Context: The announcement coincided with domestic political tensions, including debates over inflation and job creation. The White House argued the tariffs would “level the playing field” for American workers, but critics warned of retaliation and inflationary pressures. Market Chaos: Sectors Under Siege The tariff shockwave rippled across asset classes: Equities: The S&P 500 fell 2+% on Monday, its worst single-day drop since March 2020. The Nasdaq, heavily weighted in tech stocks reliant on global supply chains, plunged over 5%. Sectors: Semiconductor firms like Intel and AMD tanked, while automakers such as Ford and Tesla declined sharply. Expert Analysis: A Volatility Tipping Point Historical Parallels and Economic Risks The current volatility mirrors past crises: 2008 Financial Crisis: The VIX hit 80 as Lehman Brothers collapsed, but the current crisis stems from policy, not financial contagion. 2020 Pandemic Sell-Off: The VIX spiked to 82 as lockdowns paralyzed economies, but today’s uncertainty is self-inflicted. However, the tariff-driven uncertainty poses unique risks: Inflation: Higher import costs could push inflation back above 4%, complicating the Fed’s rate-cut path. Global Growth: The World Bank warns that trade wars could shave 2% off global GDP by 2025. Emerging markets, reliant on exports, face currency crises. Looking Ahead: Can Calm Return? Markets may stabilize if the administration signals flexibility. Potential pathways include: Negotiations: A G20 summit in September offers a venue for de-escalation, though diplomatic progress is uncertain. Policy Reversal: If tariffs are delayed or narrowed, the VIX could retreat. However, the President’s rhetoric suggests a hardline stance. Corporate Adaptation: Companies might pivot to domestic suppliers, but such shifts take years, prolonging volatility. Conclusion: A New Era of Uncertainty The VIX at 60 marks a pivotal moment. Markets are now pricing in not just the immediate tariff impact but a broader shift toward protectionism and policy-driven instability. For investors, the path forward is fraught with uncertainty. While short-term volatility may ebb with reassurances, the long-term consequences—trade wars, inflation, and geopolitical friction—could redefine global economics for years. With Liberation Day’s tariffs reshaping the landscape, one thing is clear: the era of low volatility is over. The question now is whether policymakers can navigate this new turbulence—or if markets will remain hostages to fear.
TVC:VIX
by bryandowningqln
The S&P 500 Has Officially Entered a Bear MarketThe technical definition is simple: ✅ A decline of 20% or more from recent all-time highs. That’s exactly where we are. 🔻 The S&P 500 has been free-falling and just hit that 20% mark. 🔴 The index is on pace to close the day deep in red — confirming what many feared: We are in a bear market. 👀 What does this mean? Expect continued volatility, emotional markets, and high sensitivity to macroeconomic news. Historically, bear markets can last from a few months to over a year, depending on policy response and investor sentiment. While painful, bear markets often plant the seeds of the next bull run 🌱 — but that doesn’t mean we’re there yet. 🧠 Time to zoom out, stay informed, and trade with caution. Capital preservation becomes just as important as returns. What’s your strategy during bear markets? Averaging down? Hedging? Sitting in cash? #SP500 #BearMarket #StockMarketCrash #TradingStrategy #MarketUpdate #InvestSmart
VANTAGE:SP500Short
by SmartSignalss