"BTC/USD Double Top Breakdown: Targeting Key Support at 92,000"This chart for BTC/USD highlights the following key points:
1. **Double Top Formation**:
- A clear double top pattern is visible around the 108,000 resistance zone.
- This is a bearish reversal signal, indicating a potential move downward.
2. **Break of Trendline Support**:
- The price has broken below the ascending trendline, further confirming bearish momentum.
3. **Price Targets**:
- The next major support zone appears to be around 92,000–88,000, which aligns with the highlighted horizontal demand area.
4. **Bearish Volume Profile**:
- Significant selling volume is noted after the rejection from the resistance zone, reinforcing the downside bias.
Summary:
BTC/USD is showing strong bearish signals after failing at the 108,000 resistance and forming a double top. The break of the trendline suggests a continuation to the downside, with a target around 92,000–88,000. Traders should watch for retests of the broken support or confirmation of further downside momentum.
Trump
EURUSD 27 Jan 2025 W5- Intraday - EU Lagarde / US Home SalesThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 27 Jan 2025 W5 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Tariffs will remain a key driver of market volatility, heavily influenced by Trump's shifting tone. While the market initially welcomed a "risk-off" sentiment following his announcement of a modest 10% tariff on China—interpreted as avoiding a full-blown trade war—Trump has since shaken markets by imposing a 25% tariff on Colombia. There are also rumors circulating that similar measures could target Canada and Mexico as early as Saturday, February 1.
Tariffs are likely to be the primary market mover for the foreseeable future, so it's essential to stay vigilant and mindful of potential rumors. Trump’s unpredictability isn’t going anywhere 😁—adapt accordingly!
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing Continuation after BOS
2️⃣
🔹INT structure continuing bullish after the bullish BOS. We expect that at anytime the Swing Pullback will start.
🔹Currently price at a Daily Supply Zone that can initiate at least INT Structure Pullback and may extend to Swing Pullback to at least Swing EQ (50%)/Daily and Weekly Demand.
3️⃣
🔹Expectation is price to initiate a pullback for the Bullish INT structure and then continue bullish from demand to target the Daily INT High/Weekly Liquidity.
🔹With today market open, price created a Bearish CHoCH to initiate the INT Structure Pullback.
🔹More development required on LTFs/Intraday Analysis.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Pullback Phase
2️⃣
🔹After the Bullish iBOS we expect a Swing Pullback, INT structure turned bearish to facilitate the 15m Swing Pullback.
🔹With the bearish iBOS, a pullback is expected during the session today.
3️⃣
🔹Expectation is set to bearish to facilitate the Swing pullback to at least the Swing EQ/4H-Daily demand zone which is well positioned in Swing Discount.
I’m looking for:
🔹Shorts from the INT structure Supply Zone positioned within the 4H Supply Zone only if we didn’t mitigate the 4H Demand.
🔹Longs from the 15m Demand within the 4H Demand zone for the 15m Bullish Swing and 4H Bullish INT Structure continuation.
[Trade Setup] Wave 3 trade setup in TRUMP COINHIGH RISK
KRAKEN:TRUMPUSD seem to be giving early signs of wave 2 completion and potential beginning of wave 3. If it doesn't fall from CMP and breaches 39.220 then it could be a low risk entry for a potential target above 100 with a stop at 30.330. But if the wave 2 low is breached without breaking 39.220 then its likely that wave 2 is still not done.
Trade invalidation/stop at 30.330
TRUMP coin rugpull!You know the funniest part about the markets this past week?
Some of you really let Donald Trump & the US government drop the biggest rug pull in history! Hope any of you who were silly enough to buy this meme coin, let this be an EARLY INDICATOR & red flag of what the U.S. government got in store for the next few years. Use the puppet Donald Trump to get your hopes up with words, but screw you with actions😂
#MakeAmericaBrokeAgain2025😂
The last bullish chance of TRUMP in short term!This could be TRUMP's last bullish chance. If TRUMP cannot hold the critical support at $23, the price will drop below $20. However, if it successfully breaks the wedge, it could rise to $43...
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Trump's coin impact!The recent surge of Trump Coin highlights how sudden market movements can disrupt price patterns and influence trading behavior across the broader cryptocurrency market. The rapid rise of Trump Coin, which soared by over 600%, sparked a wave of euphoria and speculation, drawing attention away from other cryptocurrencies and creating a ripple effect that reshaped
market dynamics.
The Trump Coin Phenomenon
Trump Coin's explosive price increase captivated both traders and investors, significantly shifting market focus. This wasn’t just a temporary spike, but an event with lasting consequences that drained liquidity and trading volume from other coins, concentrating interest on Trump Coin.
Impact on Other Cryptocurrencies
As Trump Coin gained traction, the wider market began to stagnate, with overall market indicators like TOTAL (representing total market capitalization) and TOTAL2 (excluding Bitcoin) showing little movement. This period of stagnation reflected a lack of fresh capital flowing into other cryptocurrencies, as most traders redirected their focus to the Trump Coin rally.
The following consequences were observed:
[/b ]Liquidity Drain: As attention turned to Trump Coin, many altcoins saw a significant drop in trading volume, resulting in price stagnation and periodic sell-offs.
Market Dump: Investors exiting their positions in other cryptocurrencies to join the Trump Coin rally contributed to temporary market dumps, amplifying the broader consolidation phase.
Psychological Shift: The excitement surrounding Trump Coin led to a more cautious "wait-and-see" mentality among traders, reducing overall market volatility as fewer positions were opened.
Consolidation Phase
In the wake of Trump Coin's rapid rise, other cryptocurrencies entered a consolidation phase, a common occurrence when the market experiences a lull or imbalance. This phase reflects a market seeking stability before the next significant movement, with many investors holding back as they await further developments.
#TRUMP/USDT Ready to go higher#TRUMP
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and sticking to it well
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at a price of 26
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
Entry price 30.72
First target 36.00
Second target 41.70
Third target 48.47
TRUMP/USDT AnalysisThe price is testing the red resistance zone.
🎯 Targets if breakout occurs:
1️⃣ First Target: Green line
2️⃣ Second Target: Blue line level
📊 Alternative Scenario:
If the price gets rejected and breaks the black support trendline, there could be a good entry opportunity at the green zone.
Analysis and Forecast for the TRUMP ($TRUMP) Token
Here's the corrected version with grammar errors fixed:
The $TRUMP token seems likely to tank further. $TRUMP has lost close to 55% of its all-time high (ATH) value. This is a CLASSICAL example of a speculative, volatile, and risky trade.
This crypto (token) went from nothing to roughly $77 in hours, and investors were still willing to buy, knowing by many that the DUMP had started. This led to an unimaginable loss for many traders.
My view is: this coin is likely going downhill as indicated on my chart. If it breaks the current support level and the ascending trendline,
if the above happens, we might see $TRUMP hit $30, or bottom out at $27 zones.
Trade with care.
TRUMP Breakout Alert: 100%+ Pump Potential from Falling Wedge!🚀 Hey Traders! 👋
If this setup gets you excited, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for trade ideas that actually deliver! 💹🔥
TRUMP is flashing bullish signals, breaking out of a falling wedge on the 1-hour chart. This setup screams potential for a 100%+ pump! 📈🔥
💡 Trade Setup:
📌 Entry Range: Current Market Price (CMP); add more on dips.
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: $31
Target 2: $42
Target 3: $51
Target 4: $60
🛡️ Stop Loss (SL): $24.80
⚙️ Leverage: Use low leverage (Max 5x) for safety.
💬 What’s Your Take?
Are you bullish on TRUMP’s breakout potential? Drop your analysis, predictions, or strategies in the comments below! Let’s crush this trade and lock in those gains! 💰🔥
TUMP UPDATE (1H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
The price has been rejected downward from the red box zone in the previous analysis. The trend remains unchanged and is bearish down to the lower zones. Only the time correction for waves D and E has extended.
From the point marked on the chart, it seems the TRUMP correction has started.
Wave D of this corrective pattern has also completed, and the price has entered wave E.
The green zone is where this meme coin might react.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Trump Coin: Bearish Signals and Double Bottom AheadAs of January 25, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at approximately $102,378, exhibiting bearish tendencies. This downturn is influencing altcoins, including Trump Coin (TRUMP), which is currently priced around $27.14.
Technical Analysis of Trump Coin (TRUMP):
Head and Shoulders Pattern: On higher timeframes, TRUMP has formed a head and shoulders pattern, a classic bearish indicator suggesting potential downward movement in the mid-term.
Double Bottom Support Level: The anticipated decline may lead TRUMP to revisit its previous double bottom support around the $5 mark.
Short-Term Bullish Spike: Before reaching the $8.80 support level, a brief bullish surge towards $12.544 is expected, possibly offering short-selling opportunities.
Supporting News and Market Sentiment:
Recent developments have contributed to the bearish outlook:
Regulatory Concerns: President Donald Trump's executive order to establish a task force for proposing new cryptocurrency regulations has introduced uncertainty, leading to market declines.
Meme Coin Volatility: The launch of TRUMP and MELANIA meme coins saw initial surges followed by significant crashes, highlighting the speculative nature of these assets and raising concerns about their impact on the broader crypto market.
Given these factors, traders should exercise caution. Monitoring key support and resistance levels, along with staying informed about regulatory developments, is crucial for making informed decisions regarding TRUMP and the broader cryptocurrency market.
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – 4H Kijun Retest
Price Action & Analysis: BTC is currently hovering around the 4H Kijun level, which has acted as reliable support. We expect a continuation of the bullish momentum going into the weekend, anticipating a clean drive up as buyers step in.
Trade Idea (Long):
– Entry: Buy now at market.
– Risk: 1% of account.
– Reward: Target a 1:3 RRR (place stop-loss just below the 4H Kijun or last swing low).
– Watch out for any macro news that may trigger unexpected volatility. If price fails to hold above the Kijun, manage or exit the trade.
AI Electricity demand powering up #NRG to $253NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG) is a prominent energy and home services provider operating across the United States and Canada. The company is strategically positioning itself as a significant player in the AI sector, driven by its production and distribution of electricity, which is crucial for meeting the energy demands of both businesses and consumers in the AI realm. Remarkably, North America has experienced a spike in electricity demand for the first time in almost forty years. Larry Coben, the CEO of NRG, highlighted that the trends in electrification, along with the expected rise of generative AI data centers, indicate a substantial increase in power requirements. He noted that these trends are paving the way for the company to reach its goal of achieving 15% to 20% growth in free cash flow.
Bitcoin compression into expansion?As one of the most historic weeks in crypto history draws to a close, it feels like the next leg in the Bullrun is upon us.
The reason for this is a clear Higher low pattern going into a resistance zone @ $106,000, buyers are willing to buy up any lower timeframe dips in price at progressively higher and high levels showing strength. The 1H 200 EMA also providing clear support since being reclaimed @ $94,000 and as it gets closer and closer to the resistance level something has to give way.
After all the bullish news coming out of the USA in relation to crypto and leaving the typical January dip and going into the historically bullish Feb-March months all is looking good. A bearish scenario would be a potential beartrap that punishes euphoric late longs thinking this is a simple trade, the truth is it's overcrowded and the market tends to aim for max pain at all times, max pain here is a sell-off but until this bullish structure is broken I am not worried.
Trump Threatens Europe with Tariffs: What About the Markets?
Hi, I’m Andrea Russo, a professional trader, and today I want to discuss this week's hot topic.
Donald Trump has recently revived his old economic slogan, promising heavy tariffs for companies that do not produce within the United States. In a public statement, the former president reiterated that foreign producers would face tariffs if they do not establish manufacturing plants in the USA. A direct attack on the European Union and its Green Deal policies, which he called a "scam". But what impact will this threat have on global markets? In this article, we’ll explore the potential consequences for stock markets, currencies, and vulnerable economic sectors, as well as the ripple effects on global monetary policies.
1. The Context of Trump's Threat
Trump’s threat of imposing significant tariffs on foreign companies is nothing new. During his presidency, he initiated a series of trade wars, particularly against China, threatening tariffs on imported goods to stimulate domestic production and reduce the trade deficit. Now, Trump is reprising this approach, focusing this time on the European Union and targeting environmental policies and the Green Deal, which he has long promoted as a "scam" and harmful to American businesses.
His proposal to cut taxes to 15% for companies investing in the USA, combined with the threat of tariffs on imported goods, could strengthen his electoral base but has the potential to stir tensions between the world’s largest economies.
2. Impact on Financial Markets
Trump's announcement has already triggered reactions in financial markets. While the risk of a global trade war may seem reduced compared to the peaks of 2018-2019, the threat of new tariffs has the potential to create turbulence, especially in sectors that are particularly exposed to changes in tariff policies.
Export and import sectors: Companies heavily reliant on imports/exports may be the most vulnerable to these threats. European and Asian producers exporting to the USA could face reduced profit margins if they are hit with new tariffs.
In particular, the automotive, technology, and electronics sectors could see demand contraction from American consumers who may have to pay higher prices for imported products.
German, Japanese, and Chinese automotive companies could be particularly affected, as they represent a major share of imports into the USA.
Currencies: An immediate reaction to these developments could reflect in the currency markets. The USD could strengthen, as protectionist policies are often seen as an incentive for domestic production, making it more attractive to invest in the United States. However, an escalation in the trade war could lead to higher volatility and weaken sentiment toward emerging market currencies, which are more vulnerable to U.S. protectionist measures.
3. Companies and Sectors Sensitive to Tariff Threats
Technology sector: Tech companies with strong presences in Asia, such as Apple, Samsung, and Huawei, may face pressure on their profit margins if they are subject to tariffs on exports to the USA. Trump’s policies could push companies to reconsider their global supply chains and set up local production in the USA to avoid additional tariffs.
Automotive sector: Another sector highly vulnerable to tariffs is the automotive industry. Foreign automakers may find themselves paying tariffs on imported vehicles, reducing the competitiveness of their products compared to U.S. manufacturers like Ford and General Motors. This scenario could lead investors to reassess their positions on automotive stocks and trade based on expectations of declining demand.
Energy sector & Green Deal: Trump’s strong criticism of the European Green Deal could boost the position of American energy companies, particularly those operating in natural gas and oil. The United States may further loosen environmental regulations to stimulate domestic production, benefiting American energy companies over European ones. However, a tariff threat on imported green technologies could hinder investments in renewable energy innovation.
4. Political and Geopolitical Reactions
A likely response to this tariff threat could be immediate retaliation from the European Union and other nations. Countermeasures could include imposing reciprocal tariffs on U.S. goods, as occurred during Trump’s previous term. The escalation of such measures could trigger a new cycle of protectionism, amplifying global economic uncertainty.
The European Union, in particular, could adopt policies aimed at reducing its dependence on the United States, strengthening trade alliances with Asia and other emerging economies, which could significantly impact international trade and currency valuations.
5. Implications for Investors: Strategies and Risks
With growing uncertainty over global trade policies, investors should closely monitor the evolution of this situation. Some potential strategies include:
Currency hedging: Investors may choose to hedge their positions in currency markets using instruments like forex futures or currency options to mitigate the risk of unexpected dollar fluctuations.
Defensive sectors: Investing in more defensive sectors, such as consumer goods and utilities, which tend to be less sensitive to geopolitical developments, could be a safer strategy in times of uncertainty.
Low correlation stocks: Looking at alternative assets or investing in low-correlation stocks (e.g., small-cap stocks or emerging market stocks) could be an interesting strategy to diversify and reduce risk during periods of volatility.
Conclusion
Trump's threat to impose new tariffs on imported goods signals a return to more protectionist trade policies. While the market’s initial reaction may be volatile, the long-term effect will depend on how the geopolitical situation evolves and the countermeasures taken by U.S. trading partners. Investors should prepare for a new phase of uncertainty, closely monitoring central bank actions, fiscal policies, and corporate strategies to navigate this new economic reality effectively.
BoJ hikes rates, yen pares gainsThe Japanese yen gained as much as 0.8% earlier today but has failed to consolidate these gains. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 156.03, dwon 0.02% on the day.
The Bank of Japan hiked its policy rate by 25 basis points earlier today, as expected. This brings the policy rate to 0.5%, its highest level since October 2008, during the global financial crisis. The Japanese yen climbed sharply after the decision but was unable to consolidate these gains.
The BoJ has been signaling that it planned to raise rates at today's meeting, although the BoJ tends to surprise the markets and a rate hike, while expected, was not a given. The BoJ statement expressed hope that this year's wage negotiations would result in strong wage increases, as was the case last year. Governor Ueda has said in the past that he would raise rates provided that inflation was driven by higher wages, which would show that inflation was sustainable. Wage growth has been moving higher and this resulted in today's rate hike.
Japan's inflation rate has been moving higher and the December inflation report, which came out today, showed core CPI climbed to 3%, up from 2.7% in November and in line with the market estimate. The core rate has hovered above the BoJ's 2% target for 2.5 years and at today's meeting, the BoJ upgraded its inflation outlook to above 2% until 2026.
Predictably, Governor Ueda didn't provide a timeline for the next rate hike at his post-meeting press conference, but a May rate hike is on the table if the wage negotiations result in higher wages and inflation does not weaken unexpectedly. Another key factor in the timing of the next rate hike will be President Trump's trade policy. Trump had promised to levy tariffs on US trading partners on his first day in office but has delayed the tariffs until at least Feb. 1. The BoJ will want to see which direction Trump's trade policy is going before raising rates again.
There is support at 154.78 and 153.27
156.49 and 158.00 are the next resistance lines
TRUMP COIN: An Objective PerspectiveA US President creating a meme coin just as he is inaugurated. That is something I never thought I would live to see.
Donald J Trump created a meme cryptocurrency coin called TRUMP. In a matter of hours since launched, this coin blasted sky high. TRUMP coin is now the 25th most valuable cryptocurrency coin with a value of around $8 billion USD, according to the website CoinMarketCap.
There are both positive and negative remarks surrounding the launch of this coin, but needless to say, there is massive hype around crypto at the moment.
In the video I go through my thoughts on the chart analysis, as well as personal opinion on what may possibly happen.
Trade safe out there, guys!
- R2F Trading