DAX: What if China is not back to work on MondayRight now, we have a broadening formation in the DAX; this usually happens, when the market in disagreement. On the upside this lead us to 13,720, but what would happen if China is going to extend the "vacations" by another two/four weeks. For German manufacturers this would lead to an demand shock, since a lot of German manufacturers are heavily involved in the supply chain of Chinese companies (via JV).
So, what do we see:
Higher volumes: Cash-Market and Future volumes (Source: deutsche-boerse-cash-market)
Trumpet (starting in Nov. 2019 - Feb. 2020); disagreement in the market
Short signal: Hindenburg-Indicator
Short Signal: MACD weekly
Upper end of the trend channel
Event would affect the cashflows of German companies (for at least this year)
My trading plan depends this time on the news which we will get within the next couple of days.
If we see an extend of the "vacation", I expect another sell-off, which could lead us to the EMA 200 daily.
