Bitcoin Breaks Record, Shrugs Off Risk-On Label Gold extended gains for a third consecutive session, crossing $2,650 per ounce, as investors sought safety following an escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin is also performing well and doesn't appear to be acting totally as a risk-on asset in this environment, surging to a fresh record high. President-elect Donald Trump’s administration is reportedly considering a dedicated cryptocurrency policy role within the White House, Bloomberg reported.
Adding to Bitcoin's momentum, the Financial Times revealed that Trump Media and Technology Company is in advanced talks to acquire crypto trading platform Bakkt.
Bitcoin remains above key technical levels, including the 50- and 100-day EMAs, while the RSI hit overbought territory at 80.
Trumptrade
NZD/USD on strong downtrend amid USD strengthThe US dollar's recent surge, reaching around 106.5 post-election, impacts global markets and American consumers. Strong economic data and inflation pressures bolster the dollar, while Trump's tariffs could enhance its strength. Meanwhile, the NZD has dropped to 0.58574 against the USD, influenced by New Zealand's economic conditions and fluctuating commodity prices. As the yen and peso also weaken significantly, the dollar's future depends on unfolding policies and geopolitical events. Analysts foresee potential gains but caution against international retaliation.
USD rally or profit-taking opportunity? USD rally or profit-taking opportunity?
The dollar extended its gains on Friday, bolstered by Donald Trump’s White House return, pressuring the Aussie and Kiwi by over 1%.
Credit Agricole flagged Trump’s policy agenda as a source of upside risk for the greenback but dismissed the likelihood of another 2018-style rally.
With the dollar’s already elevated level, Credit Agricole analysts see limited scope for a repeat of past surges. By late 2025, they project dollar weakness as Federal Reserve rate cuts accumulate. Near-term, the prospect of profit-taking could cap further gains.
Is the Trump Trade Fading? The sugar high from Trump’s victory may be wearing off in a few areas.
Tesla, once a post-election favorite after Elon Musk’s support of Trump’s campaign, has now reversed direction. Reports suggest that Republicans will end the $7,500 EV tax credit—a move that’s sent Rivian tumbling 9%, while Tesla is down nearly 4%.
Shares of Trump Media & Technology slid 8% today. But being a meme stock, analysis here won't tell us much. In a notable signal, the CFO and two other insiders sold over $16 million of stock in the week following the election.
Yet, the U.S. dollar remains resilient, possibly buoyed by the Cabinet picks coming out of the Trump administration. Marco Rubio’s nomination as Secretary of State suggests a tough stance on China. Known for his anti-communist positions and support for Hong Kong’s democracy movement, Rubio has advocated for tighter export controls on U.S. technology and visa sanctions against Chinese officials, hinting at a policy that may go well beyond tariffs.
Oil is staring down the barrel of a bearish breakdownA stronger USD, prospects of a deregulated oil market alongside disappointment with China stimulus and weighed on crude prices on Monday. WTI is toying with a bearish breakout of a pattern which projects a downside target around the mid 50s. But how realistic is that? Let's take a look.
MS.
Trump Media on the Move: Will We See $62 or a Bigger Reset?Alright, trading family, let’s talk about what’s brewing with Trump Media Group (DJT). Here’s what I’m seeing:
1️⃣ Scenario 1: If we close above $34.52 on the 4-hour chart, we could see a strong push up to $42, $51, $62, and maybe beyond.
2️⃣ Scenario 2: A pullback to $28.94–$28 could set the stage for a bounce back up to those same zones.
3️⃣ Scenario 3: If we break below $25.41, we might head down to the $17–$20 range before finding support and potentially pushing back up.
Stay patient, let the price action guide you, and remember—it’s all about riding the waves the market gives you. Always trade what you see, not what you think!
Mindbloome Trading/ Kris
Cardano Founder A Potential Crypto Advisor to TrumpThe cryptocurrency world is buzzing with speculation about the potential appointment of Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson as a crypto advisor to the next US administration in 2025. This news has sparked excitement among ADA holders and crypto enthusiasts alike, with many wondering if this could trigger a significant bull run for the Cardano token (ADA).
Hoskinson's Background and Vision
Charles Hoskinson, a prominent figure in the crypto space, is known for his co-founding role in Ethereum and his subsequent creation of Cardano. He is a vocal advocate for blockchain technology and its potential to revolutionize various industries. Hoskinson's vision for Cardano is to create a sustainable and scalable blockchain platform that can support a wide range of decentralized applications (dApps).
Potential Impact on Cardano (ADA)
If Hoskinson were to become a crypto advisor to the next US administration, it could have a significant impact on the cryptocurrency market, particularly for Cardano. Here are some potential scenarios:
• Increased Regulatory Clarity: Hoskinson's influence could lead to more favorable cryptocurrency regulations in the US. Clearer regulations would reduce uncertainty and attract more institutional investors to the market, potentially boosting the price of ADA.
• Enhanced Adoption of Cardano: Hoskinson's position could help accelerate the adoption of Cardano's blockchain technology. Governments and businesses may be more inclined to explore the potential of Cardano for various use cases, such as supply chain management, voting systems, and financial services. This increased adoption could drive demand for ADA and push its price higher.
• Positive Sentiment and Market Momentum: Hoskinson's appointment would likely generate positive sentiment and excitement around Cardano. This could lead to a surge in buying pressure, driving the price of ADA upwards. Additionally, it could attract new investors to the Cardano ecosystem, further fueling the price rally.
ADA Price Prediction: Could It Reach $5?
While it's difficult to predict the exact price of ADA, the potential positive impact of Hoskinson's appointment could certainly contribute to a significant price increase. However, reaching $5 would require a combination of favorable factors, including:
• Continued Development and Innovation: Cardano's team needs to deliver on its development roadmap and introduce innovative features to attract developers and users.
• Positive Market Sentiment: A sustained bullish market sentiment for cryptocurrencies would be beneficial for ADA's price.
• Increased Institutional Adoption: Growing interest from institutional investors would provide significant support for the price of ADA.
It's important to note that price predictions are speculative and subject to market volatility. While Hoskinson's appointment could be a major catalyst for ADA, other factors such as broader market trends, regulatory developments, and technical analysis will also play a crucial role in determining the price of ADA.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Bulls on the Road: A Long-Term Bet on Tesla's FutureNASDAQ:TSLA MACRO bullish outlook.
From a weekly timeframe RSI is back above 50, price have been making multiple higher lows and with last weekly close we have finally made a strong higher high.
The stock is currently trading +7% pre market open. The bottom seems to be in and looks like it wants to go straight to new all time highs.
With such a bullish momentum behind for any bystanders looking to jump in, any retrace towards $290's to $250's is a long entry at DCA. New all time high should be in a breeze.
Hey SPYLOVERS ! Enjoy the Bull Ride !!!! Election Week and Interest Rate Cuts Did Not Disappoint Us at All
The truth is, it was a very difficult week to predict price movements. However, out of the two possible scenarios I shared last week, Scenario #1 was the winner, and it was the one I had the most confidence in!
At this moment, the price is in "no man's land," meaning there is no historical price data on the chart where we can find a level for the price to hold or replicate its movement. In this case, I believe that, from here on, the price will move based on upcoming economic news or as we approach the date when President-elect Donald Trump will officially become the President of the United States (POTUS).
Let's enjoy this bull run that is happening—these are important times for the country, and we need to take advantage of those swings!
Best regards, and thank you for supporting my analysis. See you next week!
The Nasdaq index sets a new record driven by ‘Trump Trade’
Expectations for a ‘Trump Trade’ are rising, with Wall Street increasing its target for the S&P500; index next year. Notably, there is widespread optimism about Tesla's stock. Bank of America has raised its price target for Tesla from $265 to $350, now the highest on Wall Street, exceeding Morgan Stanley's target of $310. Additionally, the Fed cut interest rates by 25bp as expected, but the impact on the market was minimal since this was already factored into prices.
USTEC broke its previous high again and soared to 21130. The index breached the ascending channel’s upper bound, sending a clear bullish signal. If USTEC sustains its uptrend and breaches the resistance at 21300, the index may gain upward momentum toward a new high of 21600. Conversely, if USTEC returns its gains, breaking the channel’s upper bound, the index may fall further to 20700.
$IWM $RTY : Small Caps Ready to Explode! 💥 Small Caps Ready to Explode! 💥
We will be at ATH's this week: AMEX:IWM AMEX:TNA CAPITALCOM:RTY
While everyone is buzzing about NASDAQ:TSLA CRYPTOCAP:BTC and how they will continue to skyrocket if election results stick and continue to favor Trump, no one’s talking about SMALL CAPS! Remember, during his last term, small caps had an impressive run. Let’s dive into the technicals in my latest video.
In this video, we cover:
1️⃣ Technical Analysis: We’ll analyze charts and multiple indicators, all pointing to AMEX:IWM heading HIGHER. 📈
2️⃣ Patterns: A massive multi-year cup and handle pattern with an ascending triangle breakout is in play.
Drop a comment below if you learned something new or want to explore any topics further.
Stay tuned for more insights and show some love!
LIKE | FOLLOW | SHARE
CAPITALCOM:RTY AMEX:IWM AMEX:TNA
NFA
Will Trump win?🔍 Technical Analysis of STRUMP/USDT 📉
Key price levels marked in green 🟢 and red 🔴 show potential "Winner" and "Loser" zones:
1️⃣ Winner Zones (Resistance)
Break above 0.007312 could drive price higher 🚀
Stronger resistance at 0.010810 to confirm uptrend 🔼
Higher targets at 0.017108 and 0.025640 📈
2️⃣ Loser Zones (Support)
First support at 0.004441; a fall below signals potential downtrend 🚨
Further support at 0.003255 and 0.002162 🛑
📉 Channel & Trend Lines: Price is moving within a descending channel ➡️ Breakout from this could indicate a reversal 🔄
Trading Strategy:
📈 If price enters green zones and breaks resistances, consider buying positions.
📉 If price drops into red zones and fails to hold support, selling or avoiding buys might be wise.
$DOGE to the moon?CRYPTOCAP:DOGE is trading as one of the most bullish coins in crypto.
The idea is around Trump winning the elections in the US. If it happens, which I think will play out based on how stocks/crypto are trading, I think DOGE will be one of the best places to be positioned.
My entries were $.144 and $.150.
I marked off resistance levels should we see a Trump win in the election.
Below $.14 and I'd likely get out of the trade.
Let's see what happens tomorrow and Wednesday.
TRUMP MEDIA (DJT) Skyrockets After NYC Rally! Next Big Move?TRUMP MEDIA (DJT) Analysis:
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp (DJT) experienced a sharp rise in price, gaining over 10% in Tuesday’s pre-market trading following a high-profile rally by Donald Trump at Madison Square Garden. This rally, which attracted a wave of attention, likely fueled the surge in buying interest. The stock closed 21.59% higher the previous day, marking a significant increase.
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: $30.15
Stop Loss: $20.95
Target Levels:
TP 1: $41.53
TP 2: $59.93
TP 3: $78.33
TP 4: $89.70
Technical Indicators:
The Risological dotted trend line indicates bullish momentum, suggesting that buyers are stepping in forcefully. With TP 1 already reached, the stock has shown strong momentum, making the higher targets achievable if this rally sustains.
Market Sentiment:
Post-event enthusiasm and Trump’s push on key issues seem to resonate with certain investor groups, potentially sparking further interest. Given the volume spike to 110.35M, far above its 30-day average, momentum remains high.
Outlook:
With further upside potential, the stock could reach its higher target levels if the rally and media attention continue to bolster confidence. Keep a close watch on volume and price action to capture potential profit-taking points or to ride the bullish wave to higher targets.
The market whispers only to those who listen. TRUMPThe market whispers only to those who listen. Today’s setup tells a story of resilience and growth. 📈 Buy now and hold steady; success is earned by those who master patience and conviction. Let's trade not just with charts, but with a mindset of growth and discipline.
DYOR.
Yours truly,
Hedonist
The Trump Trade - Inverted BTC#mythoughts
As the 2024 U.S. presidential election approaches, former President Donald Trump's staunch support for Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem is shaking up the political and financial landscapes. Trump's pro-crypto stance, which marks a stark contrast to his previous skepticism, is expected to have a significant impact on the prices of BTC and other digital assets in the coming months.
Trump's recent speech at the Bitcoin Conference in Nashville outlined his ambitious plans to make the U.S. the "Bitcoin superpower of the world" and the "crypto capital" of the globe. His pledges, if implemented, could significantly reshape the regulatory environment for the crypto industry. Key elements of Trump's crypto agenda include:
1. Firing SEC Chairman Gary Gensler on his first day in office, signaling a more industry-friendly approach to regulation
2. Forming a crypto advisory council to provide expert guidance on crafting crypto-friendly policies
3. Holding a strategic national stockpile of Bitcoin, with the U.S. government currently owning over 200,000 BTC
4. Commuting the sentence of Ross Ulbricht, the creator of the Silk Road marketplace, who is serving a life sentence for his involvement with the platform
Trump's embrace of crypto is expected to attract a significant number of BTC holders and miners to his campaign, both in terms of political support and financial contributions. As a result, many analysts predict that BTC prices could experience a significant rally in the coming months, potentially reaching new all-time highs.
However, some market participants are positioning themselves for a potential correction in BTC prices leading up to the election. The recent launch of Asia's first inverse Bitcoin ETF by CSOP Asset Management in Hong Kong suggests that some investors are betting on a potential decline in BTC prices .
The inverse BTC ETF, which allows investors to profit from a decrease in BTC prices, could be a hedge against the potential volatility in the crypto markets as the election approaches. The launch of this product in Hong Kong, a major financial hub, underscores the global interest in the U.S. election and its potential impact on the crypto space.
It's important to note that the "Trump Trade" is not limited to BTC alone. Trump's pro-crypto stance is expected to have a ripple effect on the entire cryptocurrency market, potentially boosting the prices of other major digital assets like Ethereum (ETH). The recent debut of the first spot Ether ETF in the U.S., which saw over $107 million in trading volume on its first day, highlights the growing institutional interest in the crypto space .
In conclusion, as the 2024 U.S. presidential election approaches, the "Trump Trade" is set to reshape the crypto landscape. Trump's support for Bitcoin and the broader crypto ecosystem is expected to attract significant investment and attention to the space, potentially driving BTC and other digital asset prices to new heights. However, some market participants are positioning themselves for a potential correction, as evidenced by the launch of the inverse BTC ETF in Hong Kong. Regardless of the outcome, the 2024 election is poised to be a pivotal moment for the crypto industry, with lasting implications for the future of digital assets in the U.S. and beyond.
Citations:
coingeek.com
www.bloomberg.com
www.finews.asia
www.bloomberg.com
cointelegraph.com
Bitcoin – We Are In July 2016, In July 2024Just look at what the market looked like in July 2016, before the US election. As it did in the first half of 2016, Bitcoin has moved the same way over the year 2024 so far. That means if Donald is elected again we are up bigly running to April next year and then up hugely running to the end of 2025. We will all get very rich but it won't matter anyway because society will become very unstable. But you will enjoy great wealth in the meantime, enjoy!
DWAC Dead Cat BounceIf Elon Musk doesn`t buy Twitter, that doesn`t mean he`s affiliated with Truth Social.
If you haven bought DWAC they announced the merger:
or short it at $55:
then this rally today seems to me the perfect opportunity to buy $10 puts expiring early 2023.
Not because i don`t believe in the project, but because it`s overvalued at this point.
The market cap should go down.
You can buy most of the SPACs lower than the original price.
I think this will be the case with DWAC too by Jan 2023.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
$DWAC - Trump Social Media is DoomedUPDATE 3/5/2022: DAILY DRAGONFLY DOJI
The hits keep on coming for Donald Trump's signature social media application "Truth Social".
According to The Daily Beast , "In recent weeks, sources have heard the former president on the phone swearing gratuitously and asking things like, “What the fuck is going on” with Truth Social. He’s repeatedly groused about the negative press and the less-than-stellar optics of the rollout, these sources said. And he’s demanded to know why more people aren’t using it—why the app isn’t swiftly dominating the competition."
Dan Primack of Axios wrote a piece a few days back, "Trump's Truth Social bomb" . This rollout has been a disaster. Most people are still on the waiting list to join. Trump has barely posted. The app is full of bugs. It's stopped to 37th on the Apple Store as of yesterday. Primack wrote, "Trump hasn't posted a single time since the launch, despite an international crisis that has captivated the country. Instead, he's given his comments to radio and TV hosts — including one this morning with Dominion conspiracy theorist Maria Bartiromo — plus via his CPAC speech".
Back to the Daily Beast article released earlier today. There have been some indications through actual concrete analysis that the application is an overall failure.
"But if the preliminary traffic numbers are of any indication, the former president and current wannabe social-media mogul has a point. The Daily Beast reviewed analyses of visits to Truth Social’s performed by SimilarWeb, which tracks website traffic from public and private sources. The company’s figures for the MAGA social network—while only an estimate based on incomplete data—are nonetheless anemic. Trump’s own social media platform is doing either worse or the same as other MAGA social sites like Gab—another pro-Trump competitor website that’s especially beloved by, well, Nazis—and Gettr, a platform fronted by one of Trump’s former top political aides, Jason Miller.
SimilarWeb’s estimates show a sharp spike of around 2 million daily visits to the site when it first debuted, before traffic dipped to an average of approximately 300,000 visits each day, putting the site on par with Gettr. Meanwhile, the far-right Gab has averaged around 650,000 daily average visits in the same time period. As of Friday, Truth Social was the 72nd most popular free app in Apple’s AppStore, a far cry from Facebook (5th) and his formerly beloved Twitter (22), both of which booted the ex-president after the Jan. 6 Capitol riot.
The relatively light traffic could be explained in part by Truth Social’s waitlist—MAGA fans who want to join the platform have now racked up a million-strong backlog of users looking to join during the app’s soft launch. The app is also only available on Apple devices, denying access to owners of Android phones. The extreme-right Gab, however, has managed to rack up twice the web traffic as Truth Social, despite its mobile apps being banned from both Apple and Google’s app stores."
This is all adding up to disaster here for the Trump Media SPAC.
What is the plan here? According to Seeking Alpha , "At a current market cap of over $15 billion as a pre-revenue company". They go on to add, "Thirty days post-merger, this total is expected to increase to over 170 million shares, excluding warrants."
This wasn't the only piece of bad coverage the new app received since my last update.
Politico's Ruby Cramer penned an article titled, "The Emptiness Inside Donald Trump’s New Social Media Platform".
"The site promises a safe space for “free expression,” encouraging of “all viewpoints,” according to the welcome email, “as we do not discriminate against political ideology.” But inside the app, digital tumbleweeds blew through my feed. The site is a bit slow, and a bit empty. Its stalled roll-out, led by Devin Nunes, the Trump supporter and former Republican congressman from California, has become a source of frustration and confusion in MAGA-world, according to my colleague Meridith McGraw. Republican lawmakers like Marjorie Taylor Greene and Matt Gaetz and Kevin McCarthy already have accounts and appear to be posting similar or identical content to both Truth Social and Twitter, along with right-leaning platforms like Gettr and Parler. (Apparently, no one is quite ready to turn their backs on an actual audience yet.) But when they do finally get their welcome emails, the thousands of regular Trump fans still waiting in line, eager for their chance to search for truth, will find a Twitter knock-off with no immediately discernible improvement on the original — a vanity project that has yet to prove its utility."
So we have a failed rollout with bugs, Trump barely posting, and share dilution coming to boot. I haven't even mentioned the biggest wildcard.
Trump's legal woes.
Last night, news broke that Trump could be facing criminal charges if the Attorney General wishes to proceed: "Jan. 6 Committee Lays Out Potential Criminal Charges Against Trump".
In a court filing, the panel said there was enough evidence to suggest that the former president might have engaged in a criminal conspiracy as he fought to remain in office.
So 1. Dilution 2. Sell the News with Planned Q1 Merger 3. Failed and Buggy Rollout 4. Potential Criminal Charges. 5. Data shows the app rollout is an absolute failure.
This is stock is heading down back to the single digits. Short this play next week before you regret missing out. There is no legitimate bull thesis for $DWAC- no matter where your politics stand.
PHUN Phunware Price TargetsPhunware (PHUN), a Trump related stock, is a software company, which collaborated on Trump’s re-election campaign.
On 11/15/2021 HC Wainwright brokerage Boosted the Price Target to Buy from $2.00 to $5.50
My short term price target is the 5.7usd resistance and on medium term i see the stock trading at 8.6usd.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
DWAC short term upside potentialIf you haven`t bought DWAC before the first pump:
The you should know that Jack Dorsey left Twitter and there is a place left for a new twitter in town.
Yesterday's surge followed a Reuters report that Trump Media & Technology Group is looking to raise up to $1 billion in additional funding. The venture's valuation would rise to nearly $3 billion, according to the report, up from a previous $875 million valuation, including debt.
I see a gap filling short term at 57usd and a medium term price target of 103usd.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.