TRX Potential Death Spiral similar to Terra LUNAHistory repeats itself for those who haven't learned from it.
SEC Charges Crypto Entrepreneur Justin Sun and his Companies for Fraud and Other Securities Law Violations.
Eight celebrities also charged for illegal touting of Sun’s crypto asset securities. But let`s say the market doesn`t care about he Securities and Exchange Commission lawsuit, like we can see reflected in TRX price right now, but...
The reason for the potential collapse of TRX Tron is their stablecoin, USDD.
According to their website, USDD is secured by the over-collateralization of multiple mainstream digital assets (e.g. TRX , BTC , and USDT). The total value of collateralized assets is significantly higher than that of USDD in circulation with the collateral ratio set at 120%.
This is the USDD collateral:
TRX 10,929,535,279
BTC 14,040.6 = about $313Mil
USDT 29,964,253
USDC 39,719,839
so besides TRX , the total amount of other collateral is $383Mil for a stablecoin that has a mk cap of $724Mil.
Now let`s say TRX drops to the Covid level of $0.0072, which is not unrealistic in my opinion.
Then the TRX collateral of 10,929,535,279 coin will be worth $78,692,654.
Assuming that BTC won`t go lower, then still the liquid collateral of USDD will be around $462Mil for a mk cap now of $724Mil, which will result in a huge depegging od the "stablecoin".
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
TRX
Tron back to ATH or Down to Next Support LevelTron flipped old weekly resistance to support and then broke up and out of a wedge. It is now re-testing the wedge.
- Successful re-test / remain above the wedge, and it will revisit just above its ATH candle close, but below its ATH wick, near the top of resistance around ~24.4 cents.
- Failed re-test may lead to wedge loss and loss of support, with a move down to the next level of support in the 1-2 cent area or ~1.2 cents
TRON retains bullish structure after liquidity grabThe move below the higher low at $0.0752 on 1 June was a liquidity hunt since this break of structure (formation of lower low) was not followed by a lower high and another lower low. Instead, prices pushed past the previous local highs at $0.08
Fibonacci retracement levels showed the 78.6% retracement at $0.0765 was retested as support and TRX bounced higher. This suggested TRX could reach higher to the 23.6% extension level at $0.0885
Entry: $0.0773
Stop-loss: $0.0738 (below the recent low)
Take-profit: $0.0885
R:R- 3.1
Given the sentiment in the crypto market, profits can also be taken near the $0.0858 mark
Accumulation Phase: #TRXUSD Buyers Prepare for Potential Rally💎#TRXUSDT has emerged as one of the standout performers this year, displaying remarkable resilience during the recent market downturn. The overwhelming presence of buyers is undeniable, indicating a strong likelihood of continued upward momentum.
💎It's worth noting that the price has reclaimed its position above the long-term uptrend trendline, which now serves as a potential support level. This suggests that buyers are actively accumulating, and could be setting the stage for a rapid rally in the near future.
💎We might witness a substantial 40% surge in #TRX, with a test of the 78.6% Fibonacci resistance or even a push towards the upper boundary of the long-term range. However, it's crucial to keep in mind that this bullish scenario remains valid only as long as #Tron maintains its position above the trendline.
Stay tuned and seize the opportunities, ParadiseClub members! 🌴💎
TRX Break Out Failed, Possibly Heading Under 3 cents in 2024One of the most important things in trading is forego your own wants and want what the market wants. When Glenn Neely and I first came up with the x-wave idea for BTC, I did not want to believe it was true and I continued to WANT my diametric pattern to be the end of the bear market, as it had been for the last few months. As time has gone on it gets harder to deny that what we have formed over the last few months is an x-wave, on both BTC and TRX and the vast majority of crypto assets, and that we are only a little past half way finished with this bear market that began in 2021.
The market is probably going to go to max pain from here. That means another 1-2 years of bear market and the global crypto market cap being slashed in half over that time.
This is based almost entirely on the wave forecast, which indicates the bull market over the last few months is an x-wave. The reason why this is now being considered as an x-wave instead of the beginning of a new bull run is because we did not see the required confirmatory price action following the bottom in January. We should have seen moves much bigger and faster than wave-b, what we had, especially on TRX, was a move which is far smaller and far slower than wave-b. This is not what the beginning of a new bull market looks like.
In particular on TRX it looks like it has formed a contracting triangle after wave-g, which is very weak and not at all how a bull market should begin, but it does form into a very nice looking x-wave. This is likely to be followed by another diametric which could take just as long as the previous one, and will probably be slightly shorter, taking TRX to under 3 cents. After this happens probably sometime in 2024 we will begin to see a move bringing TRX above 1 USD and probably much higher than that. Momentum is also bearish on multiple timeframes including the weekly and the monthly. Neely River Theory has also not given any buy signals on TRX yet and remains in bearish territory.
On top of that, the regulatory issues in the US, and the lack of new money coming from other parts of the world like China is a major headwind for the whole market. A Wells Notice received by Coinbase at the same time the SEC sued Justin Sun implies that Coinbase will soon be charged with operating an unlicensed securities exchange, and may have to pause and seriously wind down operations until the court case is finished. The exact timing of when this lawsuit will be filed is not clear, but one thing is almost certain is they will be sued eventually after receiving a well's notice, and the comments made by Brian Armstrong indicate they are coming after their core spot business model. This is being considered as a possible regulatory trigger for this protracted bear market, however there are many other possible events which could cause negative headwinds especially from a regulatory standpoint, like Ripple losing their lawsuit or seeing it drag on for another year or two, and further ugly developments in Justin Sun's suit or other developers being sued. The reason this is significant is because it will seriously hinder new money coming in from the US, and short of mainland China opening retail crypto exchanges it's hard to imagine anyway that new money is going to be coming into the market at the same pace as 2017 or 2013. The lawsuits against Ripple and Justin Sun are also very significant because they hinder big developer's ability to effectively market their cryptos to US-based persons, or even through social media platforms like Twitter which may have US citizens browsing on there, opening developers up to liability if they advertise on these platforms or within the US, again severely reducing the flow of new money into the market, which is required for any real bull market to emerge.
Whatever the eventual trigger is for this bear market, most important to this analysis is the Wave theory which indicates, based on the rule of reverse logic, that we are only near the middle of this bear market and this could drag on until next year. As much as I didn't want to believe this at first and I wanted to assume even if we do get a wave down it will be quick, that is most likely not what the market wants. Based on the best wave analysis possible, all signs point to this going to max pain, which is a very deep, protracted bear market that could drag on well into next year.
The attitudes of many traders I have seen, especially to bearish ideas, are an echo of the peak in November 2021 which I called almost perfectly. The regulatory headwinds are also an echo of the SEC's DeFi crackdown which began in late 2021. And the wave theory and technical indicators here are clear and convincing, just like in 2021. Over leveraged crypto firms like Microstrategy and some BTC miners that are at risk of collapse during a protracted bear market are an echo of Luna, 3AC, and FTX. There may still be some small upside left in wave-x, but short of a massive breakout which would need to go almost completely vertical and send us flying past the velocity of wave-b (which is very unlikely), then we are probably going to form a top here very soon and begin a major decent towards max pain, finally squeezing out these over leveraged crypto firms and creating a temporary fire sale of cryptos.
TRX: Bullish Flag BreakoutTRON (TRX) technical analysis:
Trade setup : A rare asset that’s remained in an uptrend despite the overall market correction, signaling robust demand from buyers. Price broke bullishly out of an Ascending Triangle pattern, which is a sign of an Uptrend. Price got overbought RSI ~ 80 and pulled back near $0.073-$0.075 support, briefly consolidated in a Bullish Flag pattern, and broke out again in the direction of existing uptrend. Next resistance level is $0.09.
Pattern : Bullish Flag pattern. Short term small rectangle trading range between diagonal parallel lines. It moves counter to the prevailing price trend observed in a longer time frame on a price chart. It forms typically following a sharp advance and often indicates a small change in direction (or areas of consolidation) before the previous trend resumes. Flag pattern is among the most reliable continuation patterns that traders use because it generates a setup for entering an existing trend that is ready to continue. Trade is initiated on a breakout, if it is in the same direction as the prevailing trend. Also, with bullish flag patterns, traders prefer a breakout with an increase in volume but it isn’t a must.
Trend : Uptrend across all time horizons (Short- Medium- and Long-Term).
Momentum is Bullish (MACD Line is above MACD Signal Line and RSI is above 55).
Support and Resistance : Nearest Support Zone is $0.073, (previous resistance) then $0.065. The nearest Resistance Zone is $0.080, which it broke, then $0.090.
TRX Shows Strong GrowthTRX has experienced a growth rate exceeding 10% as a result of renewed demand, reaching the specific resistance range of $0.082-0.086. It is noteworthy to observe that this resistance level has historically elicited significant market reactions. Additionally, the price movement has consistently progressed towards the upper boundary of the medium-term ascending channel. Consequently, there exists a potential for the price trend to consolidate beneath this resistance level. The medium-term outlook for Tron remains optimistic, and under favorable market conditions, a successful breach of the current resistance level may lead to a plausible next target within the $0.10 range.
TRXUSDT(TRON) Daily tf Range Updated till 03-06-23TRXUSDT(TRON) Daily timeframe range. we all know what alt this is. #0.07816 is a solid level we can see last several times fakeout and failed here, so gotta be careful here and potential of setup here too. clearing here can lead the price to jump in above zone.
TRX: Bullish FlagTRON (TRX) technical analysis:
Trade setup : A rare asset that’s remained in an uptrend despite the overall market correction, signaling robust demand from buyers. Price broke bullishly out of an Ascending Triangle pattern, which is a sign of an Uptrend. Price got overbought RSI ~ 80 and pulled back near $0.073-$0.075 support, which could be a potential swing entry with upside potential to $0.09. After a sharp move up, price is consolidating in a Bullish Flag pattern, which typically resolves with a breakout in the direction of existing uptrend.
Pattern : Bullish Flag pattern. Short term small rectangle trading range between diagonal parallel lines. It moves counter to the prevailing price trend observed in a longer time frame on a price chart. It forms typically following a sharp advance and often indicates a small change in direction (or areas of consolidation) before the previous trend resumes. Flag pattern is among the most reliable continuation patterns that traders use because it generates a setup for entering an existing trend that is ready to continue. Trade is initiated on a breakout, if it is in the same direction as the prevailing trend. Also, with bullish flag patterns, traders prefer a breakout with an increase in volume but it isn’t a must.
Trend : Uptrend across all time horizons (Short- Medium- and Long-Term).
Momentum is Mixed as MACD Line is below MACD Signal Line (Bearish) but RSI > 55 (Bullish).
Support and Resistance : Nearest Support Zone is $0.073, (previous resistance) then $0.065. The nearest Resistance Zone is $0.080, then $0.090.
trxusdt are you rdy ?🧨😉Hello, today's analysis is the analysis of the TRX currency. For the TRX trend, we see an upward trend. In this upward trend, it will see and must see 2 targets. We have specified the targets 0.09128 and 0.12765 for you. that you can take a good profit from this upward trend. be successful and victorious.
TRX/USDT 1DAY UPDATE BY CRYPTOSANDERS !!Hello, welcome to this TRX/USDT update by CRYPTO SANDERS.
CHART ANALYSIS:- Tron (TRX) was slightly higher on Thursday as the coin moved back to one-year highs.
TRX/USD climbed to an intraday high of 0.07819 earlier today after hitting a low of 0.07651
The move came as prices recovered after yesterday's fall, resulting in profit booking.
the upside came as the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) found a support point.
The floor above was at the 70.00 level, which is already deep in overbought territory.
Price strength now tracking 70.42, bears may try to send the coin higher in the coming days.
I have tried to bring the best possible outcome to this chart.
Hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section.
Thank you
🔥 TRX Pumping On Zero Fee Bitcoin Trading: Great Long Term PlaySince the 22nd of March this year, the BTC/TUSD pair is tradable on Binance with zero fees. TUSD is the stable coin connected to TRX (Tron).
Ever since the zero fee trading went live, TRX has been outperforming Bitcoin by quite a margin. As seen on the chart below, the TRX/BTC pair has been pumping for weeks now, whilst the majority of tokens have been losing value against Bitcoin.
TRX is not some new hot token of the moment, so there's little reason for it to pump organically, so my assumption is that zero fee BTC/TUSD trading has increased demand for TUSD, and thus increased demand for TRX since it's an algorithmically pegged stablecoin (like LUNA and USTC).
As long as this zero fee trading is in effect, I'd wager that the demand for TRX will only increase from here, especially when the "real" bull-market will start and volume will increase next year or so.
Do you think TRX is a good long-term play, or is this pump temporary? Share your thoughts 🙏
TRX: Ascending Triangle BreakoutTRON (TRX) technical analysis:
Trade setup : A rare asset that’s remained in an uptrend despite the overall market correction, signaling robust demand from buyers. Price broke above the Ascending Triangle pattern, which is a sign of an Uptrend. However, price is getting overbought RSI ~ 80. Wait for price to pullback near $0.073. This could be a potential swing entry with upside potential to $0.09.
Pattern : Ascending Triangle which is a continuation pattern (it typically breaks out in the direction of existing trend). Most traders wait for a breakout but Swing traders could trade between the trendlines (Buy at Support, Sell at Resistance) as long as the trendlines are still relatively far apart.
Trend : Uptrend across all time horizons (Short- Medium- and Long-Term).
Momentum is Bullish (MACD Line is above MACD Signal Line and RSI is above 55).
Support and Resistance : Nearest Support Zone is $0.065, then $0.058. The nearest Resistance Zone is $0.073, which it broke, then $0.090.
Bitcoin is breaking out above the resistance trend line.Bitcoin has broken out above the resistance trend line which is also the upper line of the triangle we anticipated on previous analysis as the bearish pennant structure. However, still there isn't any confirmation for the continuation for this breaking out. Must wait the break also on this horizontal resistance at $27465 level. Also look at the TRX as the hotlist coin for today.
TRX/USDT 1DAY UPDATE BY CRYPTOSANDERS !!Hello, welcome to this TRX/USDT update by CRYPTO SANDERS.
CHART ANALYSIS:- Tron (TRX) rose close to an eleven-month high to start the week, following a recent four-day bull run.
TRX/USD rose to a peak of 0.07841 earlier in the day, which comes a day after trading at a low of 0.07271.
As a result of Monday’s move, TRON climbed to its strongest point since June 10 last year.
One of the catalysts of the surge appears to be a breakout that transpired on the relative strength index (RSI).
The index moved beyond the ceiling of 69.00, and as of writing, is tracking at 77.17.
Now in overbought territory, there could be some profit-taking, however, a target of $0.080 still remains a possibility.
I have tried to bring the best possible outcome to this chart.
Hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section.
Thank you
Trade Of The Day | TRX | Tron breaking out for potential 8.17%Trade Of The Day | TRX | Tron breaking out for potential 8.17%
Tron has had a ton of bullish news around it recently and the technicals are starting to look pretty good wit ha key breakout now showing. It's a little overbought so could be a little retrace before a bigger move up.
| Breaking Longterm Resistance & Triangle Pattern
| Break and retest Daily 20 EMA
| Bullish Signal
| Overbought so watch out for a retrace maybe into a cup and handle
TRX Tron Double TopThe Double Top and Double Bottom are some of the most obvious and reliable chart patterns in technical analysis, especially for financial instruments that don't trade based on fundamentals, such as TRX Tron.
If it were based on fundamentals, TRX should have been traded much lower by now, considering Justin Sun is being sued by the SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission).
However, that's not the case.
In fact, for crypto technical analysis, which focuses on human behavior in the candlestick charts, it works better than fundamental analysis, which often involves FUD (fear, uncertainty, and doubt) or FOMO (fear of missing out).
According to the Double Top chart pattern, my short-term price target for TRX Tron is $0.054.
I look forward to reading your opinion about it!