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Turkish Lira USDTRY Don't Try This At Home ⚠️⚠️⚠️⚠️⚠️⚠️⚠️⚠️⚠️Hello Traders , Today I propose an idea that I would like to discuss with you as an equal, it is not a trading signal or advertisement, I simply expose myself as an everyday Illyrian Trader. Back to us and the desire to make money every day,every minute, every second ( comes to mind BINANCE:DOGEUSDT " WoW MuCh MoNeY " ) what do you think of this asset? You seem to see the chart of BINANCE:WINUSDT , BINANCE:SANDUSDT , BINANCE:BTCUSDT , BINANCE:XRPUSDT , BINANCE:ADAUSDT not a forex asset, that people actually use. I didn't go short even though I have relatives in Turkey and actually 2 weeks ago they told me, and I quote: " If the @U*Ki#nG lira continues to fall like this, people will go to the streets and start a revolt " . I should have expected the short, I know. In any case, I will tell you my idea. There are 3 possibilities and it is very difficult for me to be wrong: 1. Reaction on 0.618 fibonacci to go and attack the highs 2.Reaction at 0.786 Fibonacci which also corresponds to the 200 periods MA 3.PoC buy and hold until 0.618 Fibnacci My advice is not to trade this asse t as long as it is so volatile but for experienced traders it is already different.What do you think? There are many great traders here from whom I want to hear an opinion without them trying to sell it or get publicity. By the way, I really liked tradingview's post about those who make analysis only for personal return.
by IllyrianTrader
6
Midterm USD/TRY ideaHello Traders, I was away for a couple of months due to personal matters, but I am determined to support you again with my outstanding ideas in 2022. So let do this! A beautiful curve stick pattern is forming. Buy USD/TRY at 12.8 TP 1: 13.94 TP 2: 14.60 SL: 11.22 The Content is for informational purposes only, you should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice. There are risks associated with investing in securities. Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange-traded funds, mutual funds, and money market funds involves the risk of loss.
Long
by Hossein-Rouzbahani
2
USDTRY market speculationAfter the Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdoğan announced the measures that the Turkish government would take to improve their currency slippage, over $1 billion was sold to trade for the Turkish lira which caused the USDTRY to drop over 20% making the greatest recovery in any currency in over 40 years. Understanding how the forex markets operate, the USDTRY will attempt to stabilize sooner or later, fears that it will drop to 20 USDTRY by the end of the year 2022, investors are hopeful that Turkey will recover. This is my technical analysis in the event that investors hold their positions and stabilize the Turkish lira.
U
by Mezzoforte_Privilege
12
USD/TRY High Volatility, strong sell-offWe said it 30 minutes before this massive short-selling. "it will go up until the Turkish Government decides to react." And they did. At Human traders we provided two selling signals, and we are short this forex pair. Volatility remains high and there are a lot of forex traders closing positions. For those who want to trade this one, we recommend you to stay on the sideline until the correction by that piece of news finishes. Then, we will close our position out and buy USD/TRY again for a long-term scenario with Forward Contracts.
Short
by alvaromroo
5
usdtryEveryone wants to know where it's going...Why not just scalp these areas USDTRY THE MAIN FOREX PAIR that has been very active in the news in 2021. Generally speaking all main gaps get filled...Let's see where market should fined some two way auction. My main trading analysis is always through orderflow & volume profile . I mainly scalp Futures (ES & NQ) I have Long-term stock portfolio & some crypto accounts but will be building on to these more & more in 2022! I haven't been very active on #Tradingview for sometime, but I will try to have some posts on here on a weekly basis. Wishing you all a Happy New Year & all the best in your #trading Emini Os
U
by EminiOs
USD/TRY Turkish Lira UpdateThis week has seen the USD/Turkish Lira exchange rate drop from a high of 18.25 TL per Dollar to a close at 11 TL per Dollar. In my previous idea published in January 2021. The concepts I laid out in that idea are still valid. The curve I drew still holds intact. RSI is still rising in the parallel channel. The recent spike has seen RSI reach even higher value than ever before. I still hold that this trend will continue until 2026 where the exchange rate will be 18 TL for the Dollar; and I'm talking about the normal stable every day rate, not a temporary spike like in the past month. Another thing to notice is the volatility. The previous spike in January 2017 reached a high that is 30% above my curve. The spike in September 2018 reached a high 71% above the curve, and lastly, the December 2021 spike reached a high 104% above the curve. As we go further in this trend, the spikes will be more volatile and we could see the rate triple in a matter of weeks, only to come back down the following week. This instability severely disturbs daily transactions both domestic and international which will push foreign investors away from Turkey. Already many investors are prepared to slowly pull out their capital as they say this instability occur right at the time of closing the books at the end of the year. Turks are already pricing their goods in Dollar and Euro having little confidence in the value of the TL. These factors will only worsen the situation in the coming years, and their effect is not seen immediately, but over months and years. Without a fundamental policy change, this trend will continue. Trust in the Turkish Central Bank is dropping as hard as the currency is. Throughout 2020, The Turkish government has been the biggest buyer of gold in the world, but they have been also the biggest seller of gold in the same year. The Central Bank is confused as is actually trading gold like an uncertain irresponsible child. The responsible thing to do is to peg the currency to either the Dollar, the Euro, Gold or even better, Bitcoin. It will cause a shock, but it will also bring security, stability and prosperity in less than a decade. You can follow this chart here . Follow me for updates on this chart and others.
Long
by TechNerdOmar
12
Turkish Lira is far from recovery. This is just a quick look at the USDTRY pair. I'm evaluating the recent recovery of the Turkish Lira versus the dollar from about 8.5 TL per dollar to 7.3 TL. In my estimation, this recovery has not shown enough strength to continue. We can see that as soon as it touched the bottom of the drawn curve, RSI has reached the bottom of its parallel channel. That's as far as this recovery will go. In fact, I think the next five years will see the USD appreciate against the TL by 150%, which is exactly as much as it has appreciated during the past five years. This will take it all the way up to 18TL by February 2026. This signal I consider strong enough to predict a complete reversal of this trend is significant RSI divergence, i.e., a higher high in price coinciding with a lower high in RSI. We have seen one instance of slight RSI divergence shown in the chart which has contributed to a recovery in August 2018 from 7.08 to 5.13 TL. That is 27.5% appreciation for the dollar. To imagine what a significant RSI divergence would look like, consider the most recent top on 2 Nov 2020. Look at the RSI level on that same day. We're looking for a higher top in price where RSI is significantly lower, ideally within the blue zone. That would be a strong signal for trend reversal. Another thing to notice is the blue zone and the ascending parallel channel. What's the meaning of the blue zone? When RSI climbs above it, the asset is said to be overbought. It means that price has went up too high too fast without enough real demand backing it up. However, that interpretation really depends on the parameter used. A better, easier and more reliable way to use RSI is to look for RSI divergence like I explained. That becomes even more relevant for this chart when you notice how RSI levels have been steadily climbing in the parallel channel shown. That means that the overbought zone becomes less and less significant as an indication. But it also means that TL recovery phases will be more and more volatile.
Long
by TechNerdOmar
USD/TRY soars to fresh record high | Approaches 17.00 markThe Turkish lira crashed to another record low on Friday and shot to the 16.85-90 region against its American counterpart during the first half of the European session. The strong move up over the past two days or so comes after President Recep Tayyip Erdogan announced on Thursday to raise the minimum wage by 50% starting next year. Erdogan also said that the government would abolish income and stamp tax on the minimum wage. This was followed by a 100 bps rate cut by the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) on Thursday. Turkey's official inflation rate topped 21% in November – more than four times the target set by CBRT. The central bank, however, has not been given a free hand, instead is forced to adopt President's belief that high-interest rates cause inflation and delivered the fifth cut since September. With the latest leg down, the lira has lost over 50% of its value against the USD year to date. Meanwhile, the latest leg of a sharp spike since the early European session could further be attributed to some technical factors on a sustained break through the 16.00 mark. That said, extremely overstretched technical indicators could hold back traders from placing fresh bets and cap the USD/TRY near the 17.00 round figure, at least for the time being. - USD/TRY blows past another record high, surges to the 17.00 neighbourhood on Friday. - The recent CBRT rate cuts, soaring inflation continues to weigh heavily on Turkish lira The Turkish lira has gotten more worthless in the past few months. The currency has depreciated by about 100% this year alone as investors reflect on the irrational policies implemented by the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT). Ideally, central banks tend to tighten monetary conditions when inflation is rising. By so doing, they limit the amount of cash in circulation and pressure prices to decline. The CBRT has gone against this after it slashed interest rates three times this year. The bank’s governor has ignorantly claimed that low-interest rates will likely bring inflation down. Recent data showed that inflation rose by 21% although an independent report placed the figure at 58%. The USD/TRY will react to the latest CBRT decision. Analysts expect that the bank will slash interest rates by 100 basis points in this meeting. This means that there is a strong divergence between the CBRT and the Fed. In its meeting this week, the Fed hinted that it will hike interest rates three times and end QE in March. The daily chart shows that the USD/TRY pair has been in a strong bullish trend with no end in sight for the Turkish lira crash. As a result, the pair remains above the 25-day and 50-day moving averages while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains slightly above the overbought level. While the outlook for the pair is bullish, there is a likelihood that it will have a pullback if the CBRT cuts rates as investors sell the news. This could see it retest the support at about 13. In the long-term, however, the overall trend is bullish. - SELLING PRESSURE PRICE 16.4000 - 17.0000 - Our option for #USDTRY is TO WAIT FOR SELLERS AND GOVERNMENT MOVE FOR LOWERING PRICE DECISION. - Economy Bubble is created OR is close to !! It’s important to keep in mind that cryptocurrency markets are extremely volatile, making it difficult to accurately predict what a coin’s price will be in a few hours or a few days and even harder to give long-term estimates. As such, analysts and online forecasting sites can get their predictions wrong. We recommend that you always do your own research and consider the latest market trends, news, technical and fundamental analysis , and expert opinion before making any investment decisions. Be patient and look long term wisely and never invest more than you can afford to lose. Trading & Investing both are the master of RISK. Please comment, like and follow if it was helpful for you. Thank you for your time. Have a profitable day. | Review and analysis by Samadi.Finance |
by AliSamadiTR
5
💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in USDTRYTrading suggestion: ". There is a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested support line (14.00). . if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets." Technical analysis: . USDTRY is in an uptrend, and the continuation of the uptrend is expected. . The price is above the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic support. . The RSI is at 72. Take Profits: TP1= @ 14.6083 TP2= @ 15.0000 TP3= @ 15.4872 TP4= @ 16.0000 TP5= @ 16.7306 SL= Break below S2 ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView . . . . . Please show your support back, . . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button, . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment! ❤️ Your support is very much 🙏 appreciated!❤️ 💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex / Crypto trader? Now, It's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Trade well, ❤️ ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
Long
by ForecastCity_World
9
💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in USDTRYTrading suggestion: ". There is a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested support line (14.00). . if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets." Technical analysis: . USDTRY is in an uptrend, and the continuation of the uptrend is expected. . The price is above the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic support. . The RSI is at 65. Take Profits: TP1= @ 14.6083 TP2= @ 15.0000 TP3= @ 15.4872 TP4= @ 16.0000 TP5= @ 16.7306 SL= Break below S2 ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView . . . . . Please show your support back, . . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button, . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment! ❤️ Your support is very much 🙏 appreciated! ❤️ 💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex / Crypto trader ? Now, It's your turn ! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Trade well, ❤️ ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
Long
by ForecastCity
4