US100 Trade LogUS100 has reached the daily FVG , providing a short setup at the 0.5 level with at least "1:2 RRR" and 1% risk.
Any fill above the midpoint is ideal, aiming for a correction into the weekly Kijun .
Recent Fed hawkishness, softening global growth, and tightening liquidity support a downside move. Stops go just above the FVG high; ride the drop toward weekly support.
Tesla Motors (TSLA)
Is Tesla TSLA ready to resume HIGHER? TSLA Buy Opportunity?🟢Tesla has been real good to us in our long term portfolio.
🟢Yes we took some profit in 2024 Q4 last year but hey we trade and invest for a living so we have to pay ourself sometimes.
✅️ Our higher time frame next major level remails at $722.
Is TESLA creating a nice base for a new rally time will tell but current TIME and PRICE structure looks good.
The low at 373 remains a key price level if this base is to materialise.
WHILST 373 STAYS UNTOUCHED WE REMAIN ALERT FOR OUR BUY TRIGGER.
⭐️REMEMBER NO TRIGGER NO TRADE⭐️
🟢 FOLLOW SeekingPips NOW TO STAY IN THE LOOK ON OUR LATEST IDEAS💡
SPY Mid week analysis 1/14/25SPY - Monthly reversal is now being negated as we moved back above the monthly 2-2d trigger at Prev Month Low. We are also now failed 2D coming back through previous week range. The daily went 2-2 rev, but closed failed 2u as we made higher highs, but closed red near mid range of the day. The question for tomorrow is do we continue pushing back through last weeks range to expand the BF created by the 3 from last week, or do we take the failed 2u - 2D reversal, reconfirm the Monthly reversal down as well as the weekly 3-2D. We have a 3-1 setup on the 4HR as well as an inside bar 60 which is what I will be watching going into open tomorrow assuming no gap up or down. Should be an exciting rest of the week as we look to see if bears can reclaim control on the W and M, or if Bulls are setting up for a recovery back to ATH.
Levels to watch: Current 60 inside bar High and Low, Current 4HR bar high and low, Prev month low, 585.96 for upside which is the 2-2U rev target we did not get to today, but may compound 2Us tomorrow to get to if the bull scenario is playing out.
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) Comprehensive AnalysisOverview
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) has been a focal point of market activity, showcasing significant volatility and creating substantial opportunities for both short-term traders and long-term investors. The current price is $411.58, with the stock trading below its absolute high of $488.54 recorded on December 18, 2024. This represents a deviation of approximately -15.75% from the peak. This technical and fundamental analysis will leverage advanced tools, including VSA patterns, price action analysis, and volume dynamics, to project future movements.
Technical Analysis
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Support Levels: $383.30, $376.04, $358.62.
Resistance Levels: $420.00, $430.50, $448.00.
Moving Averages
MA50: $394.08
MA100: $397.55
MA200: $413.63
The price currently trades above the MA50 but below the MA200, suggesting consolidation within a broader bullish trend. The RSI (14) at 70.76 signals overbought conditions on shorter intervals, necessitating caution for immediate buy entrie.
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) and Patterns
Recent trading data reveals patterns indicative of institutional activity:
Buy Volumes (Jan 13): Closing at $391.96 with increased buying pressure, marking a 14.61% movement from its three-bar low of $380.07.
VSA Manipulation Patterns: A confirmed "Buy Pattern 3" formed on January 13, showcasing a potential bullish continuation with a high of $396.95.
Predicted Scenarios
Short-Term (1 Week):
Tesla appears poised to test its $420 resistance level based on bullish volume patterns. A break above $420 with significant volume could target $430 as the next level of interest. However, failure to breach $420 may result in a retracement to $400-$405 support.
Medium-Term (1 Month):
Given the observed bullish manipulation patterns and technical support at $383, Tesla may aim for a recovery toward its MA200 at $413. If sustained buying interest persists, the stock might challenge its December highs.
Long-Term (3-6 Months):
Tesla’s trajectory could see it revisiting the $450-$470 range, contingent upon macroeconomic conditions and its quarterly earnings surpassing market expectations. The psychological level of $500 remains a potential long-term target if the broader market maintains bullish momentum.
Stop-Loss and Target Levels
Proposed Trade Setup:
Entry: $412.00
Stop-Loss: $400.00
Target 1: $420.00
Target 2: $435.00
Target 3: $450.00
Fundamental Analysis
Tesla remains a key player in the EV market, with growing adoption of its vehicles worldwide. Its latest production numbers exceeded market expectations, signaling robust demand despite economic headwinds. Recent initiatives in energy storage and AI-based technology further diversify its revenue streams, underpinning its premium valuation.
Conclusion
Tesla's technical and fundamental indicators suggest a cautiously bullish outlook. While short-term retracements are possible, the stock's overall trend aligns with upward momentum, supported by strong institutional interest and robust fundamentals.
For further inquiries or personalized trading setups, feel free to contact me directly. All relevant indicators and tools used for this analysis can be found in the profile header.
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
How Rays Work
Fibonacci Rays: Each ray corresponds to a specific angle of inclination, which is mathematically significant and correlates with natural proportions and the start of movement.
Primary Advantage: Rays are constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, rather than traditional extremum points commonly used in classical technical analysis. This allows for the rapid and accurate accounting of new trend or corrective movement phases.
Adaptability: When a new pattern emerges, rays are automatically adjusted to show the potential movement range. Price may exit this range and enter another, interacting similarly with a different ray.
Rays are Ascending and Descending: They define the boundary of the movement channel.
How to Use Rays
Historical Analysis: On historical charts, observe how price interacted with rays. This helps evaluate how often levels defined by rays led to significant movement changes.
Real-Time Monitoring: By observing current price behavior relative to rays, you can highlight key points where scenarios such as reversal or continuation are likely.
Confirmation Tool: Rays do not replace other analysis methods but enhance them, adding a structured perspective on market behavior.
Scientific Basis
Fibonacci proportions, underlying the construction of rays, are observed in nature, physics, and financial markets, making them a universal tool.
Geometric angles and trends are based on mathematical analysis of historical price behavior.
The principle of minimizing subjectivity in analysis is also applied: rays are constructed strictly algorithmically, excluding human bias.
Why It Matters
My name is Denis Mikheev, and my method does not offer magical solutions or "predictions" of exact price movements. Instead, it identifies key interaction zones where market participants, as well as automated market-maker algorithms, are likely to make decisions. This allows you to act based on probabilities, not guesses.
Example Visualization
On a chart with rays already constructed, you can see:
How price reacts to intersections or proximity to rays.
Where current interaction points may signal potential changes in movement dynamics.
Trade Safe!
Denis MikheevTheWaved™ Team
Tesla (TSLA) Stock Price Rises Above $400Tesla (TSLA) Stock Price Rises Above $400
According to the Tesla (TSLA) chart, the stock price increased by 2% on Monday, closing above the key psychological level of $400.
Bullish sentiment was driven by Morgan Stanley analysts raising their target price for Tesla (TSLA) from $400 to $430, citing the company's "highly promising" progress in autonomous vehicle (AV) technology.
From a technical analysis perspective, this upward move is notable. Applying a linear regression trend channel from early November, when Tesla’s stock began a sharp rise following news of Trump’s victory (supported by Elon Musk), reveals:
→ a reversal upward from the lower boundary of the trend channel;
→ the potential for an upward breakout through the resistance of the red descending trend line, which formed as the price declined from the record high near $488 on December 18.
This suggests that bulls may be attempting to resume movement within the regression channel. If successful, a reasonable target could be the median line of the channel, implying a potential price increase towards $450, with resistance at $426 being a key level to watch.
According to TipRanks:
→ 13 out of 34 analysts recommend buying TSLA stock.
→ The average 12-month price target for TSLA is $323.56.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
What’s Next for Tesla: $440 or $340?Good Morning, Trading Family!
Here’s the plan: if Tesla moves up to $398 and breaks above it, we could see it head to $440. But if it starts to drop, it might go down to $374 and bounce back up. If it falls below $374, we could see it drop further to $340.
This Sunday, I’m hosting a webinar about how emotions can hurt your trading and how to stay in control.
Send me a message or check my profile for more info. If this analysis helped, like, comment, and share it with others.
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange ( ME)
Trade What You See
Tesla: More Room for Wave [iv]We place Tesla in a magenta upward impulse, imminently allowing wave more room on the downside. While the current extension suggests that this wave might already be complete, the necessary confirming signals are missing. Still, wave should primarily settle its low with a sufficient distance above the support at $271. A sell-off below this level, however, is 33% likely in the context of our alternative scenario. In this case, the stock would still be working on the broader correction of the blue wave alt. (II), with the gains since April 2024 considered corrective. To render this alternative scenario irrelevant, TSLA needs to stage a decisive rally above the resistance at $488.50.
MOBILEYE - A Merger & Acquisitions target! Downside limitedNASDAQ:MBLY - M&A Target 🎯🚘
Here's my thoughts of what I believe to be limited downside on Mobileye with my thesis that they could be a prime M&A target for a slew of Mega-Cap companies with the new administration pegged to be more lax in this area of business. More details in this post. 👇
I personally love Mobileye - NASDAQ:MBLY as a fundamentally undervalued company with great tech. I believe its a great investment with great technicals as well.
My thesis is that the downside is limited at this point due to this M&A realm we are about to step into here shortly.
Jensen just clarified what I had already perceived to be true which is the AV and Robotaxi market is a multi-trillion TAM over the next decade. These words alone increase any M&A price targets of any company in this space to include a robust Top 3 player such as $MBLY.
They currently sit at a 13.75B Mkt Cap after the massive 25% flush the last two days due to no new news. Not actually based off of fundamentals or the technology.
I would put a MINIMUM M&A target on this name of 15B and Maximum of 30B IMO.
A lot of big tech getting into this space and are way behind the Top 3 players in this realm of Mobileye/ NASDAQ:TSLA / NASDAQ:GOOGL (Waymo). It's obvious who would get gobbled up by a deal that is too good to resist which I believe personally is north of 20B as they are already on a solid path forward with headwinds turning into tailwinds (interest rates/ inflation/ china recovery/ auto-market recovery)
My personal theory of the companies most likely to take their shot are as follows in order:
NASDAQ:QCOM - Big chip player who is partnered with majority of legacy car brands. (Did a write-up in the past when they were thinking of acquiring/ merging with Intel in which own 80% share in Mobileye)
NASDAQ:NVDA - Announced there ambitions in this sector and have already been working within it. They've recently lost Hyundai though which tells me they aren't so close to having solid breakthroughs. But I believe they have the money and will to throw at M&A and take short-cut.
NASDAQ:GOOGL - Their robotaxis use very expensive lidars and I could see them make this purchase to get Mobileyes much cheaper technology that can be fitted to cars a lot simpler and with a cheaper price tag.
Others that I'm less confident on but have the money and could become a player: NASDAQ:META $APPL NASDAQ:AMZN
Great post Za! I hope I was able to add something for any Mobileye investors/ traders. Have a great market day off friend.
Not financial advice.
MOBILEYE DD - A COMPLETE UPDATE!It's been a tough two days with getting ZERO news at CES2025. Mobileye has reported news here every year for the past couple of events. Thus, no news was devastating while pouring colder water on the situation with Riskier names falling like a knife, the market overall condition being unclear, FUD setting in the markets, and people being scared of an NASDAQ:NVDA competitor. It was an avalanche of multiple criteria, all of which weren't the potential Honda deal I spoke about. Which I was wrong on and I'll admit that, but all I was doing was taking all data in front of me and created a thesis were I truly saw it happening, it didn't, oh well. My initial technical or fundamental investment thesis didn't include Honda anywhere in it when I started researching and investing in this company many months ago! I share IDEAS HERE, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! Only the fact that there was no deal announced at all. The CEO in a recent Bloomberg interview identified the reason the stock was falling but said:
"We are not ready with announcements, I think we'll have major announcements throughout the year but we're not ready yet" Amnon Shashua - Mobileye CEO
I don't see the NVDA news as a bad thing and people don't understand that they already had this sector of their business up and running. In which Hyunda just left them and are looking for a different supplier of AV technology. Also, Nvidia called this a multi-trillion-dollar market and validated everything I already knew. Which is this sector is going to be a massive investment opportunity. Mobileye is still Top 3 in Autonomous vehicle technology alongside Waymo and Tesla. NVDA is nowhere to be found in that conversation, and the same is to be said about AMZN, who also is in this space. It's the same thing when AMZN got into the pharma delivery market and everyone sold off HIMS to turn around and be right back in stock price in a few weeks.
These large companies do certain things really well, but they try to have their hands in too many cookie jars at once and don't invest the attention and necessary manpower to make them the best they could be or even competitive to smaller companies whose only business is in said sector!
This is 60% and investment for me and 40% trade. I'm in this for the most part, the long haul. I will only sell my 40% trade allocated position when we hit our profit targets or my strategy tells me to exit. Which leads us to the charts.
Weekly: (Chart Shown)
-H5 Indicator is still Green
-We are at a Volume shelf
-At the smoothing line (yellow) to the 9ema
-We have further support from the 25MA
-We have this DIP BUY BOX that I've called out in the past multiple time in which we've built up this area of support from all the back and forth and volume within this box.
-We had a one week red candle the like we've only seen a couple other times when things were a lot worse and unknown before earnings or when they lowered rev. guidance (THINGS ARE A LOT BETTER NOW THAN THEY WERE THEN! WE JUST DIDN'T GET NEWS YET! THATS IT!) Typically the week or weeks after we get these massive amount of sell volume we get a bounce back week or weeks.
-Finally, this name still to my knowledge pending new data has a 23% SHORT FLOAT and as such this trade of a short squeeze and parabolic move is very much still on the table!
Daily Chart:
-At the same big S?R zone
-Same large volume shelf
-In my eyes taking a breather and collecting/ rallying the troops before another run at $23
-Most importantly, when we smashed into the red barrier of the Williams percentage range (Wr%) and the 50MA on the daily and 100MA on the weekly, we rejected hard. Do we get the same bounce move when we are running into the Wr% GREEN bounce support beam? While also being extremely oversold on timeframes under the daily timeframe. Finally, being right at the volume shelf, 50MA that already did a bullish cross of the 100MA!
- We are still in an uptrend!
The fundamentals haven't changed, and based on my investing spreadsheet, which is mostly a DCF model, it's still a $30+ stock!
- Headwinds are still becoming tailwinds (Falling interest rates/ inflation, China recovering, Auto market recovering)
NOTHING HAS CHANGED BUT THE PRICE OF A STOCK TICKER!
The haters can honestly kick rocks until they realize they are in control of their own financial decisions and can THEN come back, understand this game and learn! Some said I owed them an update, which I laughed at as I DON'T OWN YOU ANYTHING! The ideas I post here are FREE, and I'm paying to be on this service, just as some of you are! Some of you really need to look in the mirror and self-reflect. I'll still help you, too, friend; I don't like to hold hate in my heart for anyone; it's unhealthy!
I'll never let the haters win or get me down! I will continue to do me with this stock and post my ideas for all of the people out there that have learned and appreciate my work! Too many great people out there that truly want to learn and become better and I will help them do that EVERY STEP OF THE WAY!
So, here is my DD Mobileye Technical and Fundamental update for all my amazing followers who aren't TOXIC! I LOVE YOU!
AS ALWAYS, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
Is DOGE ready for 1.00 USD: Spoiler, it's not. BUY/HOLD 500%.🔸Hello guys, today let's review daily price chart for DOGE. Currently pullback in progress, however price chart still looks strong with sequence of higher lows.
🔸Previously we had a nice run from 8 cents to 40 cents, 500% gains. Currently, reloading getting ready for a new bull run to trigger S/R zone at 1.00 USD, however consolidation is not complete yet, more time required.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: BUY/HOLD low at/near 0.20 in the re-accumulation range in pullback/consolidation. TP bulls is 100 cents, 500% gains possible in this trade.
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Tesla's Unhealthy Rise Could Correct Tesla's Unhealthy Rise Could Correct 🚨
Tesla has experienced a significant and rapid price rally recently, creating a potential imbalance in the market. However, this chart highlights a few key areas that traders should watch for potential corrections:
1️⃣ Gap Formation: A noticeable gap formed during the rally (highlighted on the chart). Gaps often act as magnets, and markets tend to revisit them over time. This suggests the possibility of Tesla retracing to this level.
2️⃣ Resistance Zone (~$420): The price is currently testing a resistance zone after the recent pullback. If Tesla fails to break and sustain above this level, it could trigger further bearish momentum.
3️⃣ Potential Targets:
First Target (~$360): If the bearish move begins, this level, marked as a prior area of support, could act as the next stopping point.
Second Target (~$316): A deeper correction could bring Tesla back to a more balanced price range, aligning with longer-term support zones.
Do we see TSLA below $300?This chart looks extremely bearish to me. I think everyone has become complacent to dips and that makes me worried for the downside in this one.
If we lose the $336 area, there's very little support below it. I think below that area would setup a test of the 200DMA at $244, but I'm actually worried we fall all the way back to the trend line before the next rally.
Let's see how this price action plays out in the coming weeks.
$DATS and $HOTH largest two gainers of entire stock market todayImagine two +360% vertical stocks 🚀🚀 while rest of the market crashes
Imagine no more, that was reality today!
Today's 2 trades were the hottest two stocks of the entire market
NASDAQ:HOTH and NASDAQ:DATS with buy alerts before they went up 363% and 376% on over $1 Billion USD volume each
Now you know where all the bulls went today 📈
This further proves our strategy is able to generate big wins no matter the market circumstances!
🖐️ 5 Buy Alerts - 5 Wins yesterday
✌️ 2 Buy Alerts - 2 Wins today
Perfect week so far, let's keep it going!
I just created this $300 Million dollar push in the market $HOTHOops?
Stock doubled in minutes causing huge losses to shortsellers and awesome wins to everyone who bought because of my alert
Volume went from 100 million shares to 270 million shares, stock went from $1.70 to $3.80 both within an hour 🔥
We're just getting started, shortsellers we're coming for you in 2025!
$13 to $20 vertical in 90 minutes after 2 Buy Alerts $CRNCThat's the definition of Fresh Cash Friday 🤑
Early mention in $12's just minutes after market open about gap up to close into $14
Once it got there another dip buy at $13 for a double ride back up
Then once resistance was eaten out $16+ buy for $20 vertical
Whole team getting fresh cash
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