Base Breakout TSLA has been building up a strong base and has begun to tentatively breakout.
Buy to open at:191
Profit Target 1:209
Stop Loss: 177
Tesla Motors (TSLA)
Does Fibonacci Really Work?It's hard to understand how the Fibonacci sequence presents itself in price action. I remember I used to think it was nothing more than lines drawn in a chart in a fancy manner. However, as I began to learn about probability distributions, I began to understand where the sequence reared its head into price action. Although I don't fully comprehend the theory behind the Fibonacci retracement, I did find a mathematical demonstration that proves price action and this sequence are related. You can find the demonstration in the link below. I'm unsure, but I believe this is peer-reviewed.
www.researchgate.net
However, you will notice that this approach is extremely different to the Fibonacci retracement. They look nothing alike. However, it's an interesting concept which could Shead light into understanding the fractal that governs price action. One of which is the Sierpinski triangle
So does the Fibonacci retracement actually work? Well I don't know, but there is only one way to find out, so lets try it
A better DCA strategy that you need to start using. We all know about Dollar Cost Averaging positions over time.
However allow me to introduce you to a weighted DCA strategy that gets you a tighter average and retains additional capital over time ready to be allocated at "better prices".
First take your monthly $ allocation to your desired Ticker
*For this example we use $400 added monthly and TSLA as the Ticker
We break the monthly add into 1/4ths
So if we have $400 That = 4 lots of $100 dollars.
Set an Auto buy to $100 (as well as auto div reinvest if there is one)
*This feels like we're leaving too much on the table and not invested, but this is what gives this strategy the sauce.
*We use the Daily chart over a year timeframe for consistency.
If RSI is >= 60 we leave the auto buy of $100 (1/4) as is and save the remaining 3/4s to allocate at another date.
If RSI is >= 50 -60 we buy another 1/4 ($100) (totaling $200 or 2/4s of monthly allocation)
If RSI is <= 30 we allocate the other 3/4s ( $300 ) for a full 4/4s monthly allocation
_We will also @ RSI <= 30 allocate 1/4 of all saved monthly allocations
As seen in the Chart this occurs in Feb of 2024 where we buy $400 ($100 auto buy + $300 manual) and from $1300 reserves we've accumulated we use $325 to purchase additional shares.
This leaves us in great shape, we have a much tighter avg while also maintaining funds ready to specifically purchase more shares at a better price without the fomo.
The monthly breakdown of DCA'd shares looks like this
Shares DCA'd
Jul .35
Aug .789
Sep .794
Oct .773
Nov 1.94
Dec .84
Jan .84
Feb 3.90
mar 1.06
Apr 1.225
may 1.109
Jun 1.13
14.75 shares over 1 year
Total Invest
$3025
AVG/Share
$205 (9% better Avg than regular DCA)
W/ $1775 available for RSI < 30 situations
Any questions/ opinions welcomed.
Good Luck out there.
TSLA Shares Revive After Shareholder MeetingTSLA Shares Revive After Shareholder Meeting
Last week, Tesla held a shareholder meeting where the main events included:
→ Shareholders approving Elon Musk’s $56 billion compensation package in TSLA stock options;
→ Relocating the company’s legal headquarters to Texas;
→ Elon Musk’s statements on robotics, asserting that Optimus robots could make Tesla a $25 trillion company.
Approving the massive compensation eliminated the risk of Musk leaving the company (which would likely have caused a sharp drop in TSLA stock price). The billionaire thanked shareholders and today, 18 June, posted on X (Twitter) announcing that he is working on a new master plan for Tesla’s development, likely focusing on the prospects of Optimus robots.
Additionally, news emerged about the launch of Tesla Model 3 sales at a new price in China. This spurred activity in the TSLA stock market.
According to today’s TSLA stock technical chart:
→ The price is in a downtrend (shown in red);
→ Throughout May, the price fluctuated with low amplitude around the $177 per share level – this led to the ADX indicator dropping to minimal values. However, recent events suggest increasing volatility.
→ If Musk’s increased activity with Tesla gains investor support, this could lead to heightened demand and a bullish breakout of the median line of the red channel;
→ The price may then continue to form an ascending channel (shown in blue), which is becoming more apparent – for instance, rising towards the upper boundary of the red channel.
However, analysts remain sceptical for now. According to TipRanks, the average 12-month price target for TSLA shares is $176.96 (a 5.59% decrease from current levels).
Read analytical TSLA price forecasts for 2024 and beyond.
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TSLA / NVIDIA / INTC - The rotation trade?TSLA has been upderperfing the market, but is now showing some signs of potential life since Elon musks pay package was approved.
A bullish breakout pattern is on watch.
NASDAQ:INTC looks ready for a bullish move. Just like NASDAQ:ADBE & NASDAQ:TSLA popped on earnings, it looks like NASDAQ:INTC could be the next oversold S&P500 stock to bounce.
If we see any weakness in NASDAQ:NVDA we may see capital rotate into other cheaper semis.
S&P500 setting nee ATH.
Look at TSLA - While holding BTC and regretting not loading upWell, I finally got in to something else in addition to BTC.
Any way, bull flag + destined to hit downward trendline
AND don't forget about yada yada catalysts.
Let's see how this trade goes.
I technically started at 145 but average is 161 now.
I plan to ride it as long as it's trading above 21 week MA now.
TSLA: A Dangerous Congestion!Daily Chart: Congestion and Key Resistance Levels
The daily chart of Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) shows the stock in a congestion phase, marked by sideways price action within a range. The 21 EMA, currently at 177.22, provides short-term support and resistance. This congestion phase indicates indecision in the market, where neither bulls nor bears have taken clear control.
A significant resistance level to watch is at 186.88. The price has tested this level a couple of times but has not been able to break above it convincingly. A breakout above 186.88 would suggest a potential bullish move, targeting higher resistance levels around 205.60. Conversely, a failure to break this resistance could lead to further consolidation within the current range.
On the downside, key support is found at 167.75. This level has provided a floor for the recent price action, and a break below it could signal a bearish continuation, possibly targeting lower levels around 138.80.
Weekly Chart: Fibonacci Retracement and Key Support Levels
The weekly chart provides a broader perspective, highlighting the significant drop TSLA experienced and its subsequent recovery attempts. The 21-week EMA, at 183.85, is a critical resistance level that the price is currently hovering around. Staying above this EMA could indicate strength, while a drop below could suggest further downside potential.
The Fibonacci retracement levels drawn from the recent high to the low show important support and resistance areas. The 50% retracement level, around 169, aligns with the daily support at $167.75, and acts as a crucial support area.
Support levels to watch include the 50% Fibonacci retracement around $169 and the lower level at 138.80. Holding above the 50% level would suggest a potential base forming, while a break below could see the stock revisiting lower levels.
Conclusion: Monitoring the Congestion and Key Fibonacci Levels
TSLA is currently in a congestion phase on the daily chart, bounded by resistance at 186.88 and support at 167.75 area. The stock needs to break out of this range to signal a clear direction. On the weekly chart, the 21-week EMA and Fibonacci retracement levels provide additional context for potential support and resistance areas.
A breakout above 186.88 on the daily chart could suggest a bullish move towards 205.60, while a breakdown below 167.75 could indicate further downside risk.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
Tesla Sues Matthews Over EV Battery Trade SecretsTesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) has taken legal action against its former supplier, Matthews International, in a California federal court for allegedly stealing trade secrets related to Tesla's battery-manufacturing process and sharing them with Tesla's ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) competitors. The lawsuit, filed in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California, claims that Matthews owes damages exceeding $1 billion for misusing Tesla's trade secrets concerning dry electrode battery manufacturing technology.
Matthews, a Pittsburgh-based company that started supplying manufacturing machinery to Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) in 2019, allegedly shared Tesla's innovations related to dry-electrode coating with unnamed competitors. This technology is crucial for reducing the size, cost, energy consumption, and production cycle time of battery manufacturing plants, while enhancing the energy density and power of battery cells.
According to the lawsuit, Matthews not only shared Tesla's trade secrets but also claimed Tesla's inventions as its own in patent filings, revealing confidential Tesla information. Tesla is seeking the court's intervention to prevent Matthews from further misusing its trade secrets, compel Matthews to surrender its patent applications, and claim monetary damages.
As of now, representatives from Matthews and attorneys and spokespeople from Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) have not responded to requests for comments on this matter.
Technical Outlook
Tesla Inc. (TSLA) stock is up 4.48% in Monday's market trading with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 58.34 which is poised for further gains and if Tesla Inc. should win the case against Matthews we should expect price impact.
$TSLA Algorithm Momentum Indicator Buy Alert Coming?We are long-time stockholders of Tesla, and we believe in Elon Musk and the future of Tesla. However, we are waiting to accumulate TSLA stock once we receive a buy alert.
Tesla at a Crossroads: Slowing Growth But High Future HopesTesla, the world's leading electric vehicle manufacturer, is presenting a mixed picture to investors. While the company is still experiencing revenue growth, profitability remains a challenge, and the stock price has dipped significantly in the past year.
Growth on Autopilot?
Tesla's revenue has grown 10.12% year-over-year, reaching $94.75 billion over the trailing twelve months. However, this growth has slowed down compared to historical levels.
Earnings in the Red
A major concern for investors is Tesla's current lack of profitability. The company reported a negative EPS (earnings per share) of -$22.67 over the past year. Despite a positive gross margin of 17.78%, high operating expenses seem to be eating into their revenue.
Is the Stock Overvalued?
Tesla's P/E ratio (price-to-earnings ratio) sits at a high 45.49. This suggests the stock might be overvalued based on current earnings. However, the forward P/E of 54.06 hints that investors are anticipating significant future growth.
Other Signs to Consider
The analyst recommendation for Tesla is currently a cautious 2.62, leaning towards a "Hold" position. The high beta of 2.31 indicates the stock is more volatile than the overall market. Short interest, at 3.65%, suggests some investors are betting on a decline in the stock price.
A Look Ahead
Tesla's future hinges on its ability to improve profitability. Can the company achieve consistent earnings and justify its current valuation? Maintaining its historical growth rates and navigating competition from other EV manufacturers will also be crucial factors.
Overall, Tesla remains an intriguing but risky investment. Investors should carefully consider the company's financial health, future prospects, and their own risk tolerance before making any decisions.
Disclaimer:
This content has been automatically generated by an AI system and should be used for entertainment purposes only. It should not be used for any other purpose, such as making financial decisions. The information provided may contain errors, inconsistencies, or outdated information. It is provided as-is without any warranties or guarantees of accuracy. We disclaim any liability for damages or losses resulting from the use or reliance on this content.
TSLA - Weekly Symmetrical TriangleA symmetrical triangle is forming on this TSLA chart
These tend to break to the upside.
The white lines are strong trend lines if the triangle ends up breaking down
Bullish stock choice.
Can Humanoid Robots Propel Tesla to a $25 Trillion Market Cap?Elon Musk's Optimus Gambit: Can Humanoid Robots Propel Tesla to a $25 Trillion Market Cap?
Elon Musk, the ever-optimistic CEO of Tesla, sent shockwaves through the financial world at the company's 2024 annual shareholder meeting. He claimed that Tesla's humanoid robots, codenamed Optimus, have the potential to skyrocket the company's market capitalization to a staggering $25 trillion – a figure exceeding half the current value of the entire S&P 500! This ambitious statement has ignited a firestorm of debate, with analysts and investors left to ponder the feasibility of Musk's vision.
Tesla's current market cap sits around $580 billion, a significant achievement but a far cry from Musk's $25 trillion target. To reach that level, Tesla's stock price would need to undergo a monumental increase. For context, the entire S&P 500, a collection of the 500 largest publicly traded companies in the US, boasts a market cap of $45.5 trillion. For a single company to surpass half that value signifies a monumental shift in the technological and economic landscape.
Musk's optimism hinges on the capabilities of Optimus robots. These machines, still under development, are envisioned as general-purpose humanoid robots capable of a wide range of tasks. At the shareholder meeting, Musk offered glimpses of a future where Optimus robots seamlessly integrate into human lives, performing everything from domestic chores and factory work to potentially even childcare and education.
If Tesla can deliver on these promises, the ramifications could be immense. Imagine a world where tireless robots handle repetitive and potentially dangerous tasks, freeing up human labor for more creative and strategic endeavors. Manufacturing could be revolutionized, with robots handling intricate assembly lines with unmatched precision and efficiency. The potential economic benefits are undeniable, and this is likely the vision that fuels Musk's bullish prediction.
However, skepticism abounds. Critics point to the numerous hurdles Tesla needs to overcome before Optimus can become a reality. Developing truly versatile and capable humanoid robots remains a significant technological challenge. The cost of production, the robots' safety and reliability, and the impact on human employment are all significant concerns that need to be addressed.
Furthermore, some analysts argue that Musk's $25 trillion target is simply unrealistic. While Optimus robots hold promise, it's difficult to envision a scenario where they single-handedly propel Tesla to such an unprecedented valuation. The overall market size for humanoid robots and the timeline for widespread adoption are significant uncertainties.
Despite the skepticism, Musk's vision should not be entirely dismissed. Tesla has a history of disrupting industries, and its track record in electric vehicles and autonomous driving is undeniable. If Optimus lives up to its potential, it could become a game-changer, not just for Tesla, but for society as a whole.
The coming years will be crucial in determining the fate of Musk's audacious claim. Tesla will need to demonstrate significant progress on the Optimus project, effectively navigate the technical and ethical challenges, and convince investors of the robots' transformative potential. Whether Optimus becomes the key to a $25 trillion Tesla or remains an ambitious dream is a story that will continue to unfold.
TSLA Bull or BearTSLA is about to test the 200 MA resistance . It has tried it in the past and failed two times .
I am expecting an easy run to 208 since its June and July which is historically a bullish season for TSLA so there will be rejection at 208 level but if its crosses that resistance then 220 is the next target
Entry @ cMP ( 184)
SL @ 167
TP @ 208
TP @ 220
Tesla: Leading the Charge in Autonomous Driving TechnologyTesla is making significant strides in autonomous driving technology, with its Full Self-Driving (FSD) system and Hardware 4 (HW4) leading the charge.
Nvidia’s Endorsement:
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang recently praised Tesla’s dominance in the self-driving sector, highlighting the revolutionary capabilities of Tesla’s latest FSD version 12, powered by Nvidia’s advanced chips. Despite being a Level 2 system requiring supervision, Tesla’s FSD has logged over 1.3 billion miles since its 2021 launch.
Nvidia’s Automotive Ambitions:
Tesla’s reliance on Nvidia’s chips underscores the growing synergy between the tech and automotive industries. Nvidia’s automotive revenue, though a small fraction of its data center business, is expected to become its largest enterprise vertical. The future of autonomous cars demands vast computing power, exemplified by Tesla’s expanded FSD training AI cluster using 35,000 Nvidia GPUs.
Tesla Hardware 4:
HW4 represents a significant upgrade over HW3, featuring new sensors and a more powerful FSD computer. The sensor suite includes high-resolution cameras and potentially a new radar unit, while the FSD Computer 2 boasts 20 CPU cores and improved neural network accelerators, enhancing performance to 50 TOPS.
Rollout and Future Prospects:
Tesla began equipping its vehicles with HW4 in early 2023, with plans to integrate it across its lineup, including the Model 3 and Cybertruck. Although retrofitting older models is not planned due to complexity, Tesla assures that HW3 will achieve full self-driving capabilities.
Looking Ahead: Hardware 5:
Reports suggest that Tesla is already developing Hardware 5 (HW5), expected to support Level 5 autonomous driving, further cementing Tesla’s leadership in the industry.
Conclusion:
Tesla’s continuous innovation in autonomous driving technology, supported by partnerships with tech giants like Nvidia, positions it at the forefront of the automotive revolution. With HW4 rolling out and HW5 on the horizon, Tesla is paving the way for a future of fully autonomous vehicles, integrating advanced computing with automotive engineering for safer, smarter transportation solutions.
Tesla (TSLA): Trend Reversal or Just a Blip?Today, we are analyzing Tesla on the daily chart. After surviving the stronger sell-off at the 78.6% retracement level and avoiding the stop loss, we have witnessed a bullish divergence, which led to a significant upward push.
Starting from the end of Wave (1), Tesla left this wave with a breakout gap downward. This breakout gap has not been closed yet, and we continuously saw lower lows and lower highs, indicating a clear downtrend. Recently, the first higher high has formed, which is a strong indication of a trend reversal.
We believe Tesla might trade back towards the breakout gap, potentially testing it briefly before moving upwards towards the Point of Control. Between the levels of $190 and $230, trading volume has been low, and we don't expect this to change significantly. Therefore, a quick rise to around $260 is possible.
The key question now is whether the breakout gap will be tested. We maintain our view that Wave (2) concluded at approximately $139, and we should be on the way up. If the price falls below $139, a quick retrace to around $100 is likely.
TESLA Huge Inverse Head & Shoulders ahead of Musk's $56B vote!Tesla (TSLA) broke today above its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time in more than 5 months (since January 04) and ahead of Musk's $56 billion today, seems to be completing an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern.
Technically this is a pattern seen in major market bottom's. This time it is being formed within the broader pattern of the Bearish Megaphone. A standard 2.0 Fibonacci extension Target would test the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of that Megaphone, considerably above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
As a result, our medium-term Target is $225.00, marginally below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
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Next price 212My theory is that the price was artificially depressed until the approval of Elon's compensation package so that he could get what he wanted at the lowest possible price, thus helping the company and the shareholders. This action is a "cash cow." Elon will once again become the richest man in the world and will reach above $400 in a very short time. Today we have a megaphone formation that takes us beyond $212
TSLA To Take Number One US Stock. iRobot anyone?
Not often to see such a great company with cutting edge Robotics, Ai, Automotive sales / EBITDA with an RSI this low while the market is bearish on what Elon Musk can do.
Sitting in a perfect symmetrical triangle.
Many focus on Nvidia when they forget Tesla was a major factor in driving up the price purchasing the tech for Ai learning models.
TSLA : First Bearish Target Reached , What's Next ? (Fall More?)Upon reviewing Tesla's stock chart, we see that the price hit its initial target of $168 and even corrected down to $167. Following the release of yesterday's CPI data, the stock saw renewed demand and is currently trading around $177.
Prediction : After a brief upward movement, I anticipate the stock will face another decline.
Note : All other assumptions from the previous analysis remain valid.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
TSLA : Going to Fall Soon ? (READ THE CAPTION)Upon reviewing the chart for #Tesla stock, we see that the price is giving more weight to our analysis and is currently trading around $176. It seems likely that we will soon witness further declines. The potential downside targets for this analysis are $168, $139, and $119. (This analysis will be updated.)
The Main Analysis :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
TSLA - UniverseMetta - Analysis#TSLA - UniverseMetta - Analysis
The price is near the lower border of the channel in which the price has been for almost a year, which makes it possible to enter from the borders and take away movements of 15-30%. There was a rebound from the border, which formed the 1st wave, and was able to correct to the area of 50%. Now an ABC structure has formed, which may suggest the beginning of a 3-wave structure or the 3rd wave; when the trend line is broken, you can try to gain Long positions. With targets towards the upper border of the channel, around $236 per share. If there is a retest of the border, it will be possible to hold it up to levels 300 and beyond. Local target 194 - 236
Target 194 - 236
Tesla - Indecision with the triangleNASDAQ:TSLA has been consolidating for almost 4 years and is definitely ready for a breakout!
+3.300% was the previous rally on Tesla which started back in 2019. But at the moment Tesla is not looking bullish whatsoever, considering that Tesla is trading at the same level as it was about four years ago. However, there is a long term descending triangle formation forming and therefore it is quite likely that we will (soon) see a breakout, either towards the upside or towards the downside.
Levels to watch: $210, $120
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
⚠️Tesla is not bullish now ⚠️☝️The main purpose of my resources is free, actionable education for anyone who wants to learn trading and improve mental and technical trading skills. Learn from hundreds of videos and the real story of a particular trader, with all the mistakes and pain on the way to consistency. I'm always glad to discuss and answer questions. 🙌
☝️ALL videos here are for sharing my experience purposes only, not financial advice, NOT A SIGNAL. YOUR TRADES ARE YOUR COMPLETE RESPONSIBILITY. Everything here should be treated as a simulated, educational environment.
