TSLA Reports and goes for a deeper dive SHORTOn this 4H Chart, I find good cause to continue my lot of 10 put options on TSLA. TSLA has
dropped another $ 25.00 per share price during the earnings report time frame. While the
overall long time frame supertrend is up, TSLA is presently in a sustained pullback likely due
to significant fundamental and economic factors. The antics of its CEO demanding an award of
more shares so he can launch a big AI initiative within TSLA is not helpful. He has taken a big
haircut but he can easily afford it.
In the analysis, TSLA has put in a bear flag which suggests more bullishness in the continuation.
The ceiling of resistance right now is the POC line of the volume profile at 230. If price can
get through that then 265 at the top of the volume profile's high volume area might be
achievable. A bottom may be the second lower VWAP band at 175 which could be reachable
in the latter part of the upcoming week. Weakness in the Chinese economy is a heavy weight
on TSLA right now. Bright days ahead but some pain and chaos in the meanwhile
Trade plan: I will hold the puts until I see a reversal pattern on the 30-60 minute charts and
then close them. If no reversal pattern in the upcoming week, for purposes of time decay
complications I will roll the puts out another 28 days. Overall, TSLA continues to pay traders
well some of them might buy a TSLA to return the favor with the profits received especially
if there are more price cuts on the horizon that do not adversly effect margins and fec\deral
subsidies are extended they would be an uplift to sales, revenue and outlook overall.
Tesla Motors (TSLA)
TSLA to FORD Ratios of share price and market cap over time On the weekly chart, the TSLA /F ratio is plotted versus time. An ascending ratio suggests, TSLA
market cap is dominating FORD while a falling ratio is the opposite. If a trader is trading both
of them this charge helps guide relative momentum and so also trading decisions related to
the shift in the EV trend and other related long-view concepts. FORD just did a big earnings
beat. While TSLA is sideways at best, FORD popped 8-10% which will reflect itself in the overall
weekly candle being red and somewhat engulfing. I am hopeful those trading both Ford and
Tesla find this helpful. Zooming into daily or 2-5H time frames may reveal more dynamic
price ratio action.
TSLA Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaMarket Observations: #TSLA has experienced downward pressure as evidenced by the distinct pattern of lower highs/lows on the daily chart, signaling a clear downtrend. A significant price gap exists above the current trading range. This setup suggests a potential stop run above the range to clear liquidity, providing an opportunity for larger institutions to fill short orders.
Trade Strategy: Target a short entry on a potential stop run above the range. Aim for an initial profit target at the previous daily low, with a secondary target at the 165 level, which aligns with a prior daily low. Manage risk with a strategically placed stop-loss order.
Disclaimer: This analysis reflects my personal opinion and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own comprehensive research and risk assessment before executing any trades.
**TSLA Short ETF** $TSLQ Daily Chart (Bearish Scenario) **TSLA Short ETF**
NASDAQ:TSLQ Daily Chart (Bearish Scenario) : For educational purposes only, NFA.
#1: Price below daily 9 EMA
#2: Daily forming Bearish expanding triangle, which is bearish reversal pattern.
#3: Bearish Divergence on daily RSI, which is also a reversal signal.
$TSLA Daily Chart(Bullish Case) : For educational purposes only,NASDAQ:TSLA Daily Chart(Bullish Case) : For educational purposes only, NFA.
#1: Price above daily 9 EMA
#2: Daily forming Bullish expanding triangle , which is bullish reversal pattern.
#3: Bullish Divergence on daily RSI, which is also a reversal signal.
**This week I am expecting good news about NASDAQ:TSLA and Analyst rating upgrades that will set the narrative for this reversal.**
TSLA - I’m a believer, Are you ?TSLA has been hammered while rest of the MAG7 doing wonders.
IMO, soon or later Elon matters gonna settle.
and Tesla gonna showcase their AI potential to the world.
Technicals says 300 on the cards.
I’ve a starter position in commons and gonna add more as it moves up or pullbacks.
Gonna supplement with TSLL, TSLY and day-trade with weekly calls.
Long - Low 180-190s would be optimal.
Stop Loss - 174
Target #1 - 220
Target #2 - 280
Target #3 - 300
a weekly price action market recap and outlook - tesla #1Good evening and i hope you are well.
"Uuuuh another degenerate calling out big NASDAQ:TSLA targets, booooooo"
My bad for making you click on this. Enjoy your evening.
Now that we are over that, lemme give you my reasoning for it and then you can make up your own thesis.
bull case: What might that be i ask myself many times now for the last weeks. Very best i could come up with is, that the broad bear channel is broad enough for bulls to make money a couple of days in between the sell offs. That's it. If you are a bull and bought above 200, you might be in for a ride here. Please spare me your macro schmackro and how Tesla will have autonomous driving in the next 5 years. You are embarassing yourself since 2015.
bear case: Only question is, how deep and how fast can this drop over the next months or years. Insanely overall bullish market and Tesla is in a weak broad bear channel, grinding lower for 25+ months. like do you honestly believe the overall market conditions will get better from here on? They bought the SP500 and Nasdaq like there is no tomorrow and this stock had nothing but disappointmen for bulls for more than 2 years now. This was orderly selling in a very confined channel. Next phase is the bulls-giving-up phase.
short term: sideways to down.
medium-long term: down - what would change that? trading above 270
Here an outrages take on top, if Tesla gets consecutive daily closes below 145/140, it's free fall and Cathie Wood will be retired.
$TSLA - week of 2/11/24Keeping this simple on NASDAQ:TSLA this week. Looking for a break and hold above 194, then targeting 206 for this week. Will also be dependent on the environment, including CPI data Tuesday.
Short-term bullish. Monitoring reactions at 206 is critical to determine longer trend.
Possible Megaphone pattern forming on Daily, following a strong downtrend
RSI curling upwards after dipping in the 20's.
TSLA has historically bounced when RSI reaches the 20's
Daily bounced off of 9ema and held
EMA's trying to curl up
Volume spike on 2/5 as it touched trendline, showing bulls pushing the price higher
If 194 holds, looking for 206 - maybe Tuesday or Wednesday. Big gap fill in this zone
206 will be key to watch. If we see a hard reject with a vol spike on the daily, I'll be looking at a longer dated short to 167.50 (next week cons)
Targeting weekly 200c's, likely full exit at 206.
NASDAQ:TSLA
TSLA Bullish reversal ?BAsed on the last two dips the descending resistance trend line played a key role
Using those as a reference we can see that resistance is now broken and an important level of 193.65 is about to be broken .
Slow upward movement also giving good bullish signals since the bottom of 175
Entries can now be made with a strict stop loss of 173
Remember we are still below the 200 SMA/EMA so technically we are still in a bear trend overall.
Entry : 195
Stop loss : 173
TP1 : 220
230 is where the strong channel resistance will come in to play
if we break past 240 , that means we are going 300 then :)
Major Support
Considering that price bounced with adversity off the L2 ( red line ) @176 in the beginning of February, the next "target" to be aware of is the L1 ( white line ) at the previous local top.
Buy: 194
Stop-Loss: 175
Take-Profit: 290
RR Ratio: 5.19
The lines included in the chart are calculated using my proprietary tool & they represent MAJOR support & resistance. Think of them as moving averages on steroids.
TSLA: not out of the woods yetTSLA bleeding has stopped for now. Recovery has been a bit choppy but a five wave move can be worked out. Next week, I would expect another move up and then a correction. Regardless, if price is destined for much lower numbers or not, we should expect another leg up to $200-$250 to complete a 3 way move before crashing lower. If it is the beginning of an uptrend, then we should see a few more moves up to complete a higher degree 5 waves structure and a three wave correction. The next correction should be a buy to at least catch the C wave, or even better, a wave 3. Right now, TSLA trade will require active management. Risk/Reward is pretty good.
RIVN a short entry on the rejection by VWAP SHORTPIVN on the 15-minute chart was trading up against the dominant supertrend from last
Thursday. Mid-morning price hit the resistance of the intermediate term mean anchored VWAP
and reversed as suggested yesterday by the bearish divergence on the zero-lag MACD.
Tomorrow is federal news which could increase general market volatility.
I see a short trade targeting 15.25 in the area of the bottom of two-volume profiles
anchored back 2 weeks. The stop loss is 15.9 at the highs of nearby candle wicks. Once the
the move gets underway, those already in long positions may close to take profit and add
into any short selling underway.
TSLA Bulls VS BearsAs we watch Tesla hit key resistance, it's important to look at how the price reacts at the 200 level. The following days will tell if it is ready to shoot to the moon or make a turn back down to 160 levels proving the sellers right. Time to grab the popcorn and watch what happens next, before the MACD really turns.
Tesla Faces Market Turbulence in 2024 Despite Record RevenueTesla's financial performance in 2023, with a revenue of $97 billion, has been a key focus for investors. However, 2024 has brought challenges, notably impacting its market position. In January 2024, Tesla's shares saw a significant 24% drop, primarily due to expected weaker sales growth, wiping out about $80 billion in market value.
The release of Tesla's Q4 earnings on January 24 further intensified these challenges. Earnings per share were reported at $0.71, below the expected $0.74, leading to an 8% drop in stock price and a fall below the $200 mark, a level last seen in May 2023.
Since the Q4 report, Tesla's stock has struggled to surpass the $200 threshold, which now acts as a psychological barrier. The persistence of this resistance level suggests a cautious outlook for Tesla's stock, with potential for further declines if it fails to break through this barrier.
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See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
Opening (IRA): TSLA April 19th 155 Monied Covered Call... for a 148.83 debit.
Comments: Buying a one lot and selling a -78 delta call against to emulate a +22 delta short put, while taking some advantage of IV skew to the call side (54.32% at the 155 call versus 46.24% at the same put strike).
Max profit of 6.17 on BPE of 148.83; 4.15% ROC at max; 2.07% at 50% max.
It is entirely possible that I will regret this later ... .
TESLA Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the TESLA next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 187.87
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 216.45
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TSLA Recovery to $4001D Chart
From a technical viewpoint, Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is setting up for a short-term recovery to the $200-210 range before another steep correction. Should significant support be met around the $100 range, a sharp recovery back to previous highs near $415 will be in sight. The following patterns are visible on the 1D chart:
Impulse and Correction Waves
Because the 1, 3, & 5 Impulse Waves were in the down direction, then according to Elliott Wave Theory, the Correction Waves (ABC) should see the beginning of a rally. Wave A will move opposite of Wave 5 and should lose momentum between $200-220 which are 50% & 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement levels respectively. Wave C would develop a double bottom setup that could propel TSLA back to $300.
Head & Shoulders
If the Elliott Waves do not prove valid then a H&S pattern is likely with a right shoulder peak meeting resistance between $200-220 before sending share prices back to a low of $100. I am less confident of this pattern as it appears a premature recovery is about to begin. The neckline rests around $150 but Money Flow Index is already in severely oversold territory and the On-Balance Volume has an overall positive slope.
Double Bottom
In the unlikely event that the H&S comes to fruition then I believe it will serve as the setup for a larger double bottom pattern. Stepping back for a better bird's eye view, the On-Balance Volume has a healthy positive slope and Money Flow Index is in oversold territory. However this pattern will take months to develop so it is too soon to begin loading up for this particular trade as a swing or day trader.
Tesla - Is It A FakeoutHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Tesla.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
After Tesla broke out of a long term triangle formation in 2019 we saw a pump of +1.500% towards the upside. Tesla is currently once again forming a (bullish) triangle pattern but broke short term support towards the downside. If we see a retest of the bottom of the triangle which I mentioned in the analysis, I am looking for longs to capitalize on a potential bullish rejection.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
TSLA Holding Bottom Range of ChannelTSLA looking like a good risk/reward spot here. Holding the bottom of this descending channel. RSI is oversold on the daily, and MACD looks like it wants to flip bullish. TSLA has been beaten down relentlessly since the start of the new year. Good spot for the tide to turn.
$SPY $483 Target remainsincoming pullback imo. 5-7% pullback before then of February. History doesn't always repeat itself but it does frequently rhyme. Refer to AMEX:SPY 6/15-8/17 ... Good luck everyone . From here I'm taking puts to $478 , calls at $478 to 20 DMA retest, consolidation for about a week... $483 Short until $470... Buy $468 for March run....