Opening (IRA): TSLA March 21st 330/335/465/470 IC*... for a 1.70 credit.
Comments: Post-earnings, IV remains fairly decent here at 57.3. Selling the -20 delta short option legs and buying the wings out from there. Basically, just doing small stuff while I wait for other stuff to play out.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 1.70
Buying Power Effect: 3.30
ROC at Max: 51.2%
50% Max: .85
ROC at 50% Max: 25.8%
Delta/Theta: .95/2.24
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, consider doing a delta adjustment when the delta/theta ratio skews out to >2.0.
* -- Iron Condor.
Tesla Motors (TSLA)
Your Most Requested Stocks Are Here - 15 Stocks, 15 Analyses!Hello readers,
Just a few days ago, I ran a "poll" - huge thanks to everyone who participated in the comments! The response was amazing: 130 mentions, 80 different stocks, and 15 tickers that stood out with multiple mentions. Stay tuned as I break down the most requested ones!
I initially planned to let this run longer, but interest has cooled off a bit, so I’ve decided to wrap it up and start summarizing the results so you can analyze them through the weekend.
Now, let’s get to it:
✅ A technical breakdown of 15 stocks.
✅ Key price levels and volatility zones to watch.
✅ Possible scenarios and setups based on the charts.
Some charts tell a clear story, while others… well, let’s just say not all price action is tradable and I’ll explain why.
Which stocks made the list? Scroll down and let’s dive in!
15. Microsoft (MSFT)
Looking at Microsoft's price movements, I wouldn’t rush into a position just yet. The stock has been stuck in this price zone for more than a year. While buying at the current levels could work out, there is also a risk that it remains in this range for another year.
Instead, I see two scenarios that offer a better approach:
1. This scenario relies on waiting for a pullback. A better price = better future returns. If the price drops to $290–$355/360, I would be ready to buy. Lower price levels often offer new liquidity, providing stronger momentum in the years ahead.
2. Wait for confirmation instead of guessing. Let the market show that investors are willing to push MSFT to higher levels before entering. Over the past year, the price action has established a resistance zone at $450–$460. A monthly close above this level would provide confirmation. However, patience is still key because the round number $500 could act as an obstacle. After a breakout, you have another two options:
Buy immediately after the breakout is confirmed - monthly close needed - or wait for a rejection from $500 before entering. This could provide an opportunity to buy at a similar price but with more confirmation and a stronger support level. This approach increases the chances that investment starts working more efficiently and from a better technical position.
14. Robinhood Markets (HOOD)
There isn’t much to say, the stock is flying. However, to add an educational perspective, these small pauses in the movement can create liquidity zones after a pullback.
If the stock pulls back and you find yourself wondering “Where is the right spot to enter?”, these pause areas provide potential opportunities. While this isn’t necessarily a setup, using these pullbacks effectively can help scale up your position in the stock or initiate a new one.
Many traders hesitate, thinking, "It's too expensive, it's too expensive," suddenly the price pulls back to a pause area. When that happens, you already know what to do - set your alerts.
13. Salesforce (CRM)
Confirmed Breakout:
We have three clean previous yearly highs - we mark them.
As investors, not traders, we focus on the strongest zone - we connect them.
Within this zone, there is a minor round number at $300, and for me, the strongest retest area is currently at $270–$300.
This level could serve as a key support zone for potential future entries.
12. Intel Corporation (INTC)
This is quite a difficult chart with poor price action, making it challenging to navigate. Personally, I wouldn’t take any action until one of these two scenarios becomes valid.
Deeper pullback for liquidity – The drop has been strong and intense and we could see lower prices as in 1996. A move below the current support level could attract new liquidity and hopefully, make the stock more attractive to investors.
Break above the strongest resistance – This scenario is highly time-consuming. Right now, the stock is trading below a major resistance area, and recovering won’t be easy, especially after such a sharp drop from a 2023 positive price trend. A break above $28 would make it more attractive for me.
For those already holding INTC, selling could be a strategic move. You could potentially buy back at lower prices, reducing the risk of having your investment stuck for several years. Given the current price action, breaking back above resistance will be a difficult battle - there are much better opportunities.
11. Novo Nordisk (NOVO_B)
I mentioned this stock on TradingView a few months ago, as well as at a financial conference in Estonia. The price has moved a bit but here is the initial technical thesis:
The key area remains 500–600 DKK, with the following criteria:
- A small pause in price movement, similar to what I discussed in the HOOD analysis.
- 50% retracement from the all-time high—for large-gap stocks, this level can offer strong volatility, if the fundamentals, in general, remain stable.
- The round number at 500 DKK, which could act as a psychological support level.
10. Coinbase (COIN)
A year and a half ago, I posted an analysis on TradingView about COIN, currently up almost 300% , highlighting an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern. That pattern is also present today but on a much larger scale. Hopefully, history repeats itself and the outcome will be the same ;)
Currently, we have a massive Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern. This pattern becomes valid only after a breakout from the neckline. Which has already happened! The price has also tested the neckline, but the movement has remained limited due to the strong resistance zone at $260–$290. Despite this, there has been a minor breakout above this level and from a technical standpoint, the price is currently trading within a potential buying zone for those interested.
Key criteria:
- A bullish Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is in place.
- The neckline breakout has already occurred.
- A minor breakout above the strong $260–$290 zone suggests further potential.
9. Meta Platforms (META)
"Pause areas" – If someone randomly picks stocks each month, for example, Apple this month, Amazon or Meta next month, then these price levels can be extremely useful for deciding what to buy.
For META, the key picking areas are marked on the chart as reference points for potential pickers:
8. NIO (NIO)
Mentioned three times, and I feel sorry for those expecting a useful analysis on NIO - I don’t have one. Technically, there is nothing to work with here.
The price action is basically dead, moving randomly without any clear structure. Yes, I could draw lines and mark support levels but that would be misleading for both - you and me.
Volume has dropped significantly compared to previous movements. When volume declines this much, previous price levels become irrelevant. As I mentioned at the beginning, if there’s something to analyze, I’ll share it. Right now, there isn’t.
-------------
Closing Section (For TradingView Post), that wraps up the first eight stocks from the picks! I hope you found this analysis valuable but that's not all!
The remaining 7 stocks are now live on my Substack-ENG, including:
🔹 Tesla (TSLA) – Will history repeat itself?
🔹 Amazon (AMZN) – Smart entry levels instead of buying at all-time highs.
🔹 Palantir (PLTR) – The high-risk, high-reward case.
…and four more stocks that were highly requested!
Substack-ENG link is in my BIO (clicking the website icon), or you can find it by scrolling up - just below the main image.
See you there,
Vaido
Disclaimer:
This post is not investment advice, and the ideas presented are not recommendations to buy or sell any securities. It is intended for educational and analytical purposes, reflecting my personal view of the current market situation. Every investor should conduct their own independent analysis and consider the risks before making any decisions.
Golden Pocket March Rally? Downside Gap Fill by 2/28? $SPYA break of the current High would invite a straight shot to the 1.61 Golden Pocket Above. Anything Below leaves room for Election Rally Gap Fill. Keep an eye on the fib. Don't try to be a HERO inside of the box. Wedge forming. March may lead to a large decline. Be wary.
BANGER $5 to $8+ on steadiest uptrend of 2025 so far!BANGER $5 to $8+ on steadiest uptrend of 2025 so far! 📈
Buy & Hold 💬
Told you about it in chat while it was still in $6's
Doesn't get any easier than this, just waiting for the money to pile as it keeps uptrending NYSE:BBAI
Everyone that listened got paid, it was the only stock bought and held yesterdy 1/1 for a fat win.
Tesla: The New Gold in the World of Investing?Tesla is showing incredible growth at the level of Bitcoin and reminds me a lot of the structure of the leading cryptocurrency! Given the potential of Ilon Musk's company and his imminent tenure, we should not rule out “golden” times for his companies. Tesla has a great track record of building robots, developing super capacitors for its electric cars, and developing its own AI and its application in autopilot. Tesla looks like a great investment option right now, both long term and for a couple years.
Horban Brothers.
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – Bullish Rebound Setup
Market Context: BTC is currently trading near a 4H Fair Value Gap, with multiple wicks indicating buyers are stepping in. The 4H Kijun and the FVG overlap provide a strong confluence area for a potential bounce. Despite recent bearish pressure, a range-bound environment suggests a bullish bias could play out if price holds above this support region.
Trade Idea (Long):
– Entry: Look to buy on a retest of the 4H FVG or once the 4H Kijun confirms support.
– Stop: Place just below the recent wicks or the lower boundary of the FVG.
– Risk: 1% of account (or per your risk plan).
– Target: Aim for a minimum of 1:2 RRR, targeting the next key structure high or daily supply zone.
Risk Management: If price decisively breaks below the FVG and invalidates the Kijun support, exit the trade and wait for another setup. Remain watchful of macro news as it can spark sudden volatility.
TESLA is overvalued and here is why - waiting for 270Tesla is overvalued, especially when compared to traditional metrics like P/E ratio. We have P/E 190 atm. If we compare Tesla to other EV companies, Tesla’s valuation might appear inflated. For example, companies like Rivian, Lucid, and NIO have been hyped similarly, but most haven’t shown the same level of growth and revenue.
Investors are betting on Tesla’s dominance in electric vehicles, energy, and other sectors, which drives the high valuation. Tesla's stock is also closely tied to Elon Musk’s reputation, decisions, and Twitter presence.
Tesla has become more profitable in recent years, but many argue that it’s still a growth company where profits aren't the main focus. The question is whether the current market cap is justified based on actual cash flow and profitability - of course NO.
Tesla was created as a startup and truly revolutionized the auto industry, but its stock is now worth several hundred times more than it is as a technology-driven car manufacturer. Future expectations have always driven the stock market, and this phenomenon will continue to accompany us. However, I believe that in terms of future expectations, Tesla, as an automaker, has long since exhausted its potential, and its competitors have long been replicating Tesla's "miracle," but in much more efficient ways.
A vivid example of this is the recent story of ChatGPT and DeepSeek. I am confident that sooner or later, Tesla will also become a "victim" of this.
On the other hand, Elon Musk’s reputation, political involvement, and trade wars—all of these are potential bombs placed under Tesla.
4/4 DAY! This is why profits need to be realized as planned!4/4 DAY 🎯🎯🎯🎯 4 Buys 👉 4 Targets hit
NASDAQ:VLCN a perfect example of buy before halt up, take profit into the vertical blowout then let it go wherever it wants while moving on to the next stock and repeat it 3 more times before the day ends.
Other 3 trades were on NASDAQ:CAPT and NASDAQ:QNTM twice all doubled stocks in a day while others focus on peanuts +-5% trades like NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:GOOGL NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:TSLA
Tesla - Another +100% After This Breakout!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) can still double from here:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
With Elon Musk actually becoming the richest person on this planet, Tesla is simultaneously attempting another all time high breakout. All the recent bullish momentum could further fuel this rally, leading to new all time highs and another 2x in Tesla's market cap.
Levels to watch: $450, $900
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
+340% in 2 hours $0.44 to $1.94 $CAPTBOOM! 💥 +340% in 2 hours 🚀 $0.44 to $1.94 on strong buying with vertical halts along the way NASDAQ:CAPT 🏎️💨
Buy Alert right before vertical halt with plan to take profit after the halt since that's when these kind of stocks usually create a gap and open up higher for easy money. Locked profit $1.82 could've been more to max it out into $1.90's but played it safe.
+55% in a day $CYCN compared $TSLA $NVDA -5% in drop marketWe can't be the only ones who actually made money overnight from Friday to Monday in this market?
This was the only daytrade held 🎯
NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:TSLA wake up into -5%
Woke up into +25% with NASDAQ:CYCN and continued to +55% from $4 to $6.25+
US100 Trade LogUS100 setup: Long position with "1:4 RRR" and "0.5% risk" based on accumulation and gap fill breakout.
- Entry within the "1H FVG" , targeting a push towards the "daily Kijun" .
- Structure confirms a potential continuation move, though risk remains controlled.
- Powell’s recent remarks and market liquidity shifts may fuel volatility.
- Stops placed below the accumulation zone; aiming for an extended move if momentum holds.
2/03/2025 Weekly Analysis + WatchlistSPY - Failed 2U week after going outside month the week before. Not super shocking, but now we sit in an interesting spot. The new month will open inside bar and has to either take out previous month highs (Which is ATH) or Jan Lows. Seeing that the range is pretty wide for downside, It will take less effort to make new ATH. Not that it means a whole lot, but that is something to note. Next, we see the week closed failed 2D, but is pretty much slapped right in the middle of last weeks range, so it will take an equal amount of effort to make a HH or LL. Finally, from a daily perspective we have a large failed 2U with slight PMG to the downside. We are definitely primed for a sharp corrective move Monday, but of course anything can happen, we are just much closer to seeing the bear scenario than bull. In my mind, the ideal weekly scenario is this: Monday sees sharp corrective move, taking out the PMG guys, then the rest of the week climbs, triggering the weekly 2-2 Rev, which then ideally sends us into ATH once more before seeing either BF expansion on the Month (since we would go 3-2U.), or seeing us start to come back through last months range for a larger corrective move. In the pure bear scenario, we trigger the daily reversal, head down to weekly 2-2 cont. trigger, then see if we can make progress down back through a few daily gaps, ultimately targeting prev month low for the 3-2D M. Given that we are going into a new monthly open after going 3, we could very easily just chop and go nowhere for the week seeing as we may just remain inside week with the month being inside to start out before possibly seeing control more clearly dictated in the 2nd/3rd week of Feb. Main advice regardless is to trade things that are moving early on like gappers, and anything where the month goes 2U or 2D in the first week. Avoid inside bars if possible and trade light!
Main setups for the week:
Bull:
GE - Inside D and W
ORCL - Hammer W to head back through D gap. Cautious with this one
MRVL - Weekly 2-2U. Daily gap fill to the upside after giant gap down to exhaustion risk
Bear:
BA - Shooter 3-2D weekly. Bear Revstrat daily. Daily BF looks solid.
MSFT - MoMo Shooter M, 3-2D W, Daily 2-1-2D. Check daily BF. Still has magnitude after massive ER drop
VZ - Weekly 2-2D, Daily shooter 2-1-2D, FTFC Red. Check daily BF
Neutral:
RKLB - Inside week. Nuclear Green FTFC and super crazy ATR lately
-10% CRASH Bears coming, Bulls, BTD for a Blow off Top $SPYDecline Ahead, we have the exact same chart on the monthly. I guess that means we could have just one month at least of red. This is a weekly chart with the same pattern as the monthly on SPX. I will post it shortly. We have a 9 Count Sell Signal with a 13 Count Follow up. The 14th Candle takes a 10% dip. On several occasions in this candle combo. I will attach a link to another example.
-10 Decline in the next month, Buy the dip for a Blow off top Refer to a Previous Post. Blow OFF TOP COMING. BUT NOT BEFORE A COUPLE OF SCARES. Short the RIP. BUY THE DIP. Patience. 4-6 weeks of 10% moves back and forth... Accumulate the wins for the Longs... Hold for a year... Short everything Mid 26' if it gets that far MCFLY
ABAT 100X Potential - $144 million grant ABAT received a $144 million contractual grant from the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) in December 2024 for the construction of a second lithium-ion battery recycling plant. This new facility will have a processing capacity of approximately 100,000 tonnes per year of battery materials.