Tslaanalysis
Tesla Loses Half-Trillion Dollar Shine: Bulls Feeling the SqueezTesla, the electric vehicle (EV) pioneer, has hit a rough patch in 2024. This week, the company's market valuation slipped below $500 billion, marking a significant blow to investors who had placed big bets on Tesla's continued growth.
Several factors seem to be contributing to Tesla's woes. Firstly, concerns are mounting about the company's ability to maintain its breakneck growth trajectory. Recent reports indicate weaker-than-expected sales figures, leading some analysts to question whether Tesla can meet its ambitious production targets. Adding fuel to the fire, Tesla announced a round of job cuts this week, further amplifying anxieties about slowing growth. is decline coincides with a broader slump in the company's stock price, which has shed a staggering 37% so far this year.
Secondly, a recent exodus of high-ranking executives has rattled investor confidence. Several key figures have departed Tesla in recent months, leaving a void in leadership This instability at the top management level has cast a shadow over the company's future direction.
These developments have significantly dampened the enthusiasm of investors who had previously been bullish on Tesla. The company's stock has become one of the worst performers on the prestigious S&P 500 Index in 2024, erasing a colossal $290 billion in shareholder wealth. This decline marks a stark turnaround from the meteoric rise Tesla experienced in previous years, when its stock price soared on the promise of a revolutionary electric vehicle future.
However, some analysts remain optimistic about Tesla's long-term prospects. They point to the company's continued innovation in battery technology and its lead in the EV market as reasons for hope. They argue that the recent stock price slump presents a buying opportunity for those with a long-term investment horizon.
"Tesla has been through disasters before," said one analyst, "We maintain our outperform rating on the stock." This sentiment is echoed by others who believe that Tesla's core strengths remain unmatched and that the current challenges are merely temporary hurdles.
Only time will tell whether Tesla can weather this storm and reclaim its former glory. The coming months will be crucial as the company strives to address concerns about slowing growth, leadership changes, and a softening market. Tesla's ability to reignite investor confidence and reignite sales growth will determine whether the bulls can once again take the reins.
$TSLA - BULLISH FIB Extension $504.51 and $753.38TSLA is trading at a potential bullish double bottom which could bounce off its 4 year support level around the mid $160s. If it bounces on the weekly, look for a continued bull trend. By applying a Fib extension, look for a price objective potential of hitting $504.51 and $753.38 in the foreseeable future from a technical setup. TSLA is currently in a 4 year consolidation period, watch for a breakout to all time highs if it takes out the $260s after a potential double bottom reversal.
Tesla's Production Numbers in Last QuarterI wanted to bring to your attention the recent news regarding Tesla's Q1 2024 deliveries. There are reports that deliveries fell short of expectations compared to the previous quarter. This development, along with concerns about the economy and evolving consumer preferences in the electric vehicle market, could have an impact on Tesla's stock price.
It's important to consider this news along with other factors, such as Tesla's long-term position in the EV space and overall market conditions when making investment decisions.
As always, it is important to conduct thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions. Please feel free to reach out in the comments if you have any questions or would like to discuss this further.
TSLA Back at the $164.76 Support LineNASDAQ:TSLA is having a steep decline after failing to meet expectations for Q1 deliveries. The price is back at the $164.76 price level at the white support line. I think there could be a rebound here, and I would monitor the white trendline to see if the price level holds and rebounds in the short term. I think TSLA had a bearish Q1 performance, and there could be a dip into the $150 price levels before TSLA has a recovery. I think TSLA is likely to be bullish in Q2 so I'm looking for an entry over the next few weeks for a swing trade.
TSLA Rebounds from $164.76 Support LevelMy TSLA forecast has been one of my most accurate predictions so far, and TSLA has reached the $164.76 price target discussed in my previous updates. NASDAQ:TSLA initially dipped below the $164.76 support level, but had a bullish rebound at the support line. TSLA is red today, but could be forming a bullish retest of the $164.76 support line. I would keep an eye on the $164.76 support level on the way down to see if it holds or whether TSLA loses support here.
TSLA at weekly support, likely to bounce to at least 200 areaThe price had hit the weekly support WS1 after getting rejected from weekly resistance WR1. After hitting WS1, the price has bounced and I believe this bounce will continue towards weekly resistance WR1. Therefore, this present an opportunity to go long on this one for the target at least to the weekly resistance WR1. There is a possibility of it breaking this resistance and move towards monthly resistance MR1. However, we shall re-evaluate the price action in case it reaches to the first target at WR1.
More Pain for TSLA - $165 or LowerI get a lot of questions about TSLA, and I can tell that many of you are eager to buy this TSLA dip. However, I'm seeing a lot of bearish signs for TSLA and I don't think there will be a buy opportunity any time soon. The green support level has flipped into resistance, and TSLA is forming a strong move down this week. I have $164.76 as a key price target for a rebound. I think TSLA and the EV market are weak right now, we can see lower prices over the next few months.
TSLA undervalued relative to Magnificent 7
Support Case:
I've spotted a reverse head and shoulders indicating a reversal to the upside (bullish) up into the region of 212-206. Additionally there's a zone below the left shoulder at 178 down to 162 where Tesla has bounced from previously. So pretty good support from what I can see.
Bullish Breakout Potential:
I've drawn a symmetrical triangle from the most recent price action starting on February 16th, forming through today the 22nd of February. I'm targeting the 212-206 region for a price on TSLA for this bullish set up to reach. I've bought 255 Strike Calls on TSLA at $0.76 each, looking to sell them back at a higher price.
Let's see how this goes, and happy trading.
* Magnificent 7 comparative analysis. While the rest of them have been doing quite well for the most part, Tesla seems to be the laggard in the pack. While I do think the Magnificent 7 is an AI bubble, with actual results to come in the next 2-5 years from this tech, this seems to be an overinflated exuberance. While being cautious, I'm still playing TSLA for this reason.
TESLA GOING PARABOLICTesla might goes back to 630$. This is my longshot view on tesla stocks.
This idea base on the previous parabolic moves, but most likely it will break the previous high, the definition of Pre-supply being dump before since 101.8$, if you're a Volume trading then look on the previous, price automatically reacts to it.
The longshot means its for swing stocks holder, this idea is for your eyes only, Hold it or trade it.
This is not a financial advice, this is not a signal either.
Throw your money base on your own risk management..
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Breaking the Bearish Spell: The Inverse Head and Shoulders BreakThis trading strategy capitalizes on the inverse head and shoulders pattern, a chart formation that often signals a reversal of a downtrend. By identifying the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder, traders can anticipate a potential bullish breakout. This approach waits for the price to breach the neckline, confirming the pattern before executing a buy order.
Risk Management: To safeguard against market volatility, this strategy includes a robust risk management plan. It involves setting a stop-loss just below the right shoulder to minimize potential losses. Additionally, the take-profit level is determined based on the height of the pattern, ensuring a favorable risk-reward ratio. Traders are advised to adjust their position sizes according to their risk tolerance and to monitor the trade for any signs of reversal.
TSLA Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaMarket Observations: #TSLA has experienced downward pressure as evidenced by the distinct pattern of lower highs/lows on the daily chart, signaling a clear downtrend. A significant price gap exists above the current trading range. This setup suggests a potential stop run above the range to clear liquidity, providing an opportunity for larger institutions to fill short orders.
Trade Strategy: Target a short entry on a potential stop run above the range. Aim for an initial profit target at the previous daily low, with a secondary target at the 165 level, which aligns with a prior daily low. Manage risk with a strategically placed stop-loss order.
Disclaimer: This analysis reflects my personal opinion and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own comprehensive research and risk assessment before executing any trades.
"Tesla Stock Teeters at Critical Levels" - TSLATSLA Stock: Navigating Critical Support Amidst Growing Concerns
Tesla Inc. (TSLA), once the darling of Wall Street and a symbol of disruptive innovation in the automotive industry, finds itself at a critical juncture as it grapples with mounting pressure from investors and market dynamics. With the stock facing significant headwinds, analysts are closely eyeing key support levels, with $165 emerging as a crucial threshold that could determine the fate of TSLA's trajectory.
Testing Support:
The $165 mark represents a major area of support for TSLA, a level that, if breached, could unleash a cascade of selling pressure, potentially triggering a sharp decline in the stock price. Analysts and market participants have long viewed this level as a critical pivot point, given its historical significance and its role in shaping investor sentiment.
Technical Analysis:
Drawing on technical analysis, TSLA's current price action paints a concerning picture. The stock has encountered staunch resistance at the top of the market, forming what appears to be a triple top pattern. This pattern, characterized by two lower peaks (shoulders) and one higher peak (head), is often interpreted as a bearish signal, suggesting a potential reversal in trend.
Moreover, the $165 level holds added significance as it coincides with the start of the bull run in June 2019, signifying a pivotal point in TSLA's ascent. What was once a stronghold of support has now transformed into a formidable barrier, acting as a barrier to further upside momentum.
Market Sentiment:
Investor sentiment towards TSLA has soured in recent months, as concerns over valuation, execution challenges, and macroeconomic headwinds weigh on the stock. The previous bull run, characterized by extreme growth and exuberance, has left TSLA vulnerable to a correction, with many market participants anticipating a pullback of significant magnitude.
Outlook:
Looking ahead, the consensus among analysts suggests that TSLA is poised for further downside, with the $165 level serving as a make-or-break point. Should the stock fail to hold above this critical support level, the potential for a sharp downturn looms large, with some forecasts suggesting a correction of more than 50%.
While such projections may appear dire, they underscore the importance of risk management and prudent decision-making in navigating turbulent market conditions. Investors are advised to exercise caution and closely monitor TSLA's price action in the coming days and weeks, as developments unfold.
In conclusion, TSLA's stock finds itself at a crossroads, with $165 emerging as a pivotal level that could determine its future trajectory. As market participants brace for a potential breakdown, the need for vigilance and preparedness has never been greater.
1/25 Massive Tesla Red Day Recap and 1/26 Prediction From DataAfter today's price action, it is clear that investors are at disarray and uncertain for the future of Tesla. Here I will detail my analysis of today 1/25, and my predictions for tomorrow 1/26.
In the graph, I plotted three possibilities pre-market 1/25 (from previous Idea, "Looking at Possible Dead Cat Bounce Levels"):
Purple line-arrow (Most optimistic): A bounce of it's low and decay to $188-$190.
Yellow line: Bounce off 0.618 fib line and decay to $185-$186.
Red line (least optimistic): Minimal bounce, straight to $180.
It looks like we went worst case scenario, hitting my $180 target faster than I expected. This confirms investor sentiment; at least until we get some good news from Tesla and guidance.
For tomorrow's price action, I also have three possibilities in mind, so I will look at previous price movements in similar scenarios, as well as use what we know after today to get an some possibilities.
During the last two (Q2, Q3) quarterly earnings, Tesla stock continued dropping for the two subsequent days.
Q2: An additional 2.75% down from previous close.
Q3: An additional 4.3% down from previous close.
Today's event seems different, where the 12%-15% dip that Q2 and Q3 earnings experienced over multiple days seem to have happened in one day.
I'll list the possibilities by what I believe is least probable to most probable:
Blue line: bounce of $180 support and rise to $186-$188 range. I call this less probable because an increase on the day after a dip after earnings is odd (compared to Q2 and Q3 earnings.) Not impossible though, in the case that today's dip was an over exaggeration and a bulk of investors remain optimistic. (Buyers sitting on the sidelines?)
Yellow line: Bounce between channel $180 - 183.50. I think this is a bit more possible because investors may be sitting in indecision, hoping to wait it out until more news is revealed (low volume perhaps?)
Pink line: Dip below $180 to next fib line $176, and possibly lower. I personally think this is more likely, because it will be line with Q2 and Q3 instances (a dip of 4% from today.) Investors may begin thinking about opportunity cost in holding a stock with no guidance, expectations not met. Investors are in Tesla not because it is a value stock, but because it's a growth stock, and if there is no exciting growth, they may start looking to sell off for competitors that are showing the 100%+ quarterly growth in EV sales.
I may revisit a long term analysis of the stock in the future, but for now, those are all my thoughts for tomorrow.
Watch This: EW 2.0 Uncovers Evidence of a Tesla Price ExplosionHello Traders, I'm here with an urgent message: don't miss out on a potential TSLA reversal! EW 2.0 data suggests a major shift might be imminent, and my video dives into the evidence.
Don't hesitate to reach out if you have any questions. I'm happy to help, and I always appreciate a thumbs up if you enjoy videos like this.
LONGING $TSLAI am opening up a long position on NASDAQ:TSLA for the following reasons.
We are in a huge bounce area. On the 4 hour timeframe:
There's a clear trendline forming which we are retesting
Retesting a 4 hour order block
Retesting lower band of Bollinger Bands (Nadaraya smoothed)
Aside from technicals, we have earnings coming up which is our catalyst. This is a very risky trade and I'm only risking 0.25%.
Take Profit 1: 225.81
Take Profit 2: 243.67
Take Profit 3: 256.65
Stop Loss: 202.07
$TSLA COMPLETE ELLIOT WAVE ANALYSIS According to the Elliott Wave theory, NASDAQ:TSLA has been following a corrective wave pattern (ABC) since its inception, reaching its peak during the 2021 bull run. Currently, NASDAQ:TSLA has completed both wave 1 and wave 2, entering the critical and highly impulsive wave 3 towards the downside of the Elliott Wave sequence. The fundamental outlook for NASDAQ:TSLA appears weakened due to intense competition in the market. In the long term, NASDAQ:TSLA is displaying a heavy bearish trend.
While specific targets for the remaining waves are uncertain at this time, one thing is clear – NASDAQ:TSLA is not expected to surpass wave 2, which is positioned at $299.
TESLA - IF THE SHOW MUST GO ON, IT IS NOW! (TARGET $315)The markets are starting strong this year except for one late bloomer: TESLA! But I thinks it is time for Musk's prodigy to go fourth to new heights. Here's my perspective on things:
What is on the chart?
1) An attractive liquidity level that will be our swing target of $315 (oh no spoiler alert).
2) We have not only a bullish gap but also a bullish weekly FVG that accompanied the break of structure (high taken out that shifted the market structure from bearish to bullish).
3) Huge accumulation structure which clearly to me is bullish but who knows maybe a Cybertruck will drive into a playground (jk).
4) This is the biggest driver (vroom vroom) of this analysis. A huge weekly wick in a weekly bullish GAP. What else do you want?
5) Our last chance to enter. If we're bullish, this is where you want to enter. Price is giving you a gift. Take it.
6) This would mark the continuation of the bullish price action. A higher high is often under looked and can provide enough info for a strong reliable bias.
7) This is our primary target. Nothing else to say here.
As always, happy trading and enjoy your weekend!! ;)
TSLA after the earningsTSLA is in its downtrend channel but below the main support rising channel, which was tested several times from below - bearish action.
We were looking for an expected volatility move after the earnings of +/-7%. So far the price is down over 7% and still sliding.
Looking for a gap fill next at minimum, which sits at 193.17