Tslabuy
TSLA stock target price before 20 Jan 2021 : 1080$ ~ 1256$.It's possible that TSLA drop down at magic numbers like 888$ or 999$.
That's easy TSLA rally to 900$ on 12 Jan 2021.
It's a good idea that buy some really cheap options to hedge TSLA meltdown, ex. TSLA put Jun 21 at strike 270$ ~ 495$.
Short some TSLA CFD with little stop-loss order when TSLA diving.
The market could reach a incredible high level before 20 Jan 2021.
be careful when TSLA higher than 1080$.
Double-Tops pattern
fuzzy range 12xx$~13xx$
270$ is a potential bottom price.
However, everything is
possible. The most optimistic scenarios
for TSLA is 2295$ at end of the year 2021.
stock analysis by Jiucai334
US Stock In Play: $TSLA (Tesla Inc)$TSLA was the top trending ticker symbol over at Twitter ($TWTR) in the last 12 hours, after closing with a +7.94% rally intraday. This is a new all time high attained by $TSLA at $816.04, post split. The breakout have also fully negate the Bearish Wedge chart pattern highlighted in the previous week, with $TSLA breaking above the upper boundary of the chart formation in less than 5 trading session.
Current price volatility is observed to be at a significant range of $35/day ATR-14 (an approximate 4.35%/day). A continuous follow through of momentum tonight (bullish) with pre-market trading beyond $817, is likely to see TSLA trade beyond its limit range of 4.5% to close the week at $860.
Buy Tesla Calls BroDo yourself a favor - Sell your BTC for $18,000 or whatever it is at and buy NASDAQ:TSLA Puts with it.
PS this may be the dumbest idea of the century but I am taking that chance. Technicals DO NOT WORK in this market so why the fuck not do something as stupid as this.
Who is old enough to remember Cisco?
US Stock In Play: $TSLA (Tesla Inc)$TSLA have further broken out of its all time high psychological resistance at $607 which was exhibited by a Bullish Flag consolidation pattern, closing at $641.76 at end of market session.
During the short period of 16 day trading session, $TSLA have successfully broken its 1) Symmetrical Triangle Chart Pattern, 2) All time High $504 breakout, and 3) A bullish flag breakout this morning, rallying to a total gain of +47.18% on its share price.
We may be poised to see $700 being attained before Christmas.
TESLA - S&P Global announced that Tesla will join the SP500 that's why it grew up.
S&P Global announced that Tesla will join the SP500 on Monday December 21st.
Tesla will become the largest company in history when included in the SP500 index. Its quotes soared 13% on news of inclusion in the index.
The share of Tesla with a market capitalization of $ 385 billion in the total capitalization of the entire index (about $ 28 trillion) will exceed 1.3%.
there is no need to buy back the current ones.
it is better to wait for the rollback.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
TSLA: Tesla Gets Added to The S&P500Tesla (TSLA) is a one-of-a-kind electric vehicle company that is listed on the NASDAQ exchange. Just now, it has been announced that the stock will be added to the S&P500. In this analysis, we’ll take a look at the fundamentals of the company, as well as what this news means for Tesla.
Some of the information in this post is based on the analysis I wrote in March.
S&P500 Requirements
- There are certain requirements a company must fulfill in order to be added to the S&P500.
- The company must be a U.S. Company
- Must have a market cap of at least $8.2 Billion
- Must be highly liquid
- Must have a public float of at least 50% of its shares outstanding
- Its most recent quarter’s earnings and the sum of its trailing four consecutive quarters’ earnings must be positive.
Tesla had a hard time fulfilling the last part of the requirement, as it was not profiting for a while. They demonstrated increasing revenue, but a lot of their profits were reinvested into building infrastructures/gigafactories, and R&D.
Fundamental Analysis
- Despite the Corona Virus (COVID-19), Tesla has managed to manufacture and deliver record-high number of vehicles for 2020
- Tesla ended 2019 with 6 Billion Dollars, and early this year, they raised an additional 2 Billion through stock offering
- This indicates that Tesla had enough money to go endure the chaos caused by the viral outbreak
- Tesla is one of the biggest beneficiaries of the Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) credit regulations, racking up huge ZEV credits that other automotive companies pay billions to purchase
- In March 2020, Tesla has taken up 25% of the Chinese EV market, and further domination in arguably one of the most important markets is anticipated.
- With Biden’s winning the election almost being certain, it’s anticipated that Tesla will heavily benefit from Biden’s green policies.
Arguments against Tesla
- Tesla has a negative Earnings Per Share ( EPS ). Negative earnings are a red flag for value investors
- Tesla's operating margin is arguably too low, and not enough to be profitable for the long term
- Tesla's Debt to Equity ratio is quite high, and is a reason for concern, as it suggests that Tesla is a higher risk investment
- While gross income growth of Tesla for the past three years have been great, these are not sustainable numbers
- There are arguments against Tesla's management; some argue that Elon Musk gave himself too big of a compensation package
- This is concerning to investors, as the company has still not turned an annual profit.
- Most of the arguments against Tesla are in regards to their rather questionable financials, which they have now proven to be solid by being added to the S&P500
Future Projections
- While the Electric Vehicle ( EV ) Market continues to grow, Tesla's market share remains at 17~18% of a rapidly growing industry
- Tesla's gigafactories have shown unprecedented progress in terms of how fast the factory was built, as well as the automated manufacturing process
- Tesla has billions miles of autonomous driving data, which is more data than any other player in the market for self-driving cars
- Based on the vast amount of data, Tesla's self driving cars will allow the company to generate software-company-like margins
- Tesla has better battery efficiency compared to combustion engine cars, and can still benefit from economies of scale
- According to EV experts, Tesla's vehicles are at least 4-5 years more advanced than those of its competitors.
Technical Analysis
- We can look at the daily chart for some insight regarding technical analysis
- Tesla is notorious for ignoring a lot of the technical signals that appear on the chart.
- As it’s more driven by news and fundamental developments, it’s best to merely reference the technical aspect.
- We can see a clear uptrend marked by the ichimoku cloud support
- Prices trading above the 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA) is a bullish sign
- We can see that we have never broken below the 200 SMA since Nov. 2019
- As we consolidate in a bullish pennant pattern, bullish news is likely to cause a breakout near the apex of the pattern.
Summary
In summary, Tesla is not for the average value investor, seeking to purchase stocks at an undervalued price. It is, however, for the investors who know how to value the company by future expectations. I believe that Tesla is an automotive company to the same degree as Amazon is a bookstore. There is a lot more potential in the fundamentals of this company that many fail to recognize, and despite the short term hardships it may face, the innovative values that Tesla prioritizes is what brought the company to the S&P500. This obviously isn’t the end for Tesla. From a conservative view, I can see the stock easily double in price from these levels. A lesson to take from this investment is that if you have an in-depth understanding of the asset or security you invest in, despite volatile price actions and bearish news, the patience of holding can greatly reward you.
If you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post, and follow for more quality content!
I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight.
The imminent TSLA Implosion - Beware Monolithic Financial NewsOne of the biggest red flags when it comes to investing is a monolithic/singular message reverberated ad nauseum throughout the financial news media. Lately, everything about Tesla has been nothing but positive with almost no analysts commenting on the 800-lb gorilla in the room. Just months ago, Musk was threatening to move production out of California due to what he referred to as 'fascist' government orders to shelter in place - shutting down Tesla's largest production facilities for both its vehicles in the bay area and its battery production in Nevada. Those production stoppages from March to May are going to severely impact Tesla's Q3 financials and is likely a HUGE reason behind Tesla both being rejected by the S&P 500 AND Tesla raising $5B in cash from common stock sales - diluting its shares by more than 1%.
Now the hype is all around 'Battery Day', with Musk himself hyping it just yesterday on Twitter saying it's going to be exciting. Everyone already knows about the million mile battery, so while it's interesting tech, it's not something that isn't already priced into the stock and what's more, it's provided by a source outside Tesla through their chinese partner, Contemporary Amperex Technology Ltd. - so despite it being good news for EVs everywhere - VW can buy the same 'million mile battery' that's going into the future Teslas.
Just last year, TSLA was struggling to keep up with demand - so much so that Tesla had to walk back from earlier statements that it's gigafactory would be putting out 3,000 model Y's a week by 6 months. Now, the fallout from COVID-19 is coming home to roost. Tesla produced 110k cars in Q1, 82k cars in Q2. In 2019, Q2, Q3, & Q4 churned out 87k, 97k, and 105k respectively. With the massive amount of debt Tesla has taken on to build new gigaFactories in China and Germany - they can't afford to be shut down. This was confirmed by musk in a tweet after he told employees that every unit that produced was incredibly important. It was also confirmed by Musks actions to force workers to return to work or forfeit unemployment benefits defying the Shelter in Place order. More than 130 confirmed cases of COVID-19 would pop up at Tesla and another 20 at their suppliers. Adding to production troubles, many Tesla clients cited quality issues with new deliveries - a clear sign of an overstressed, undermanned workforce.
Expect TSLA to try to fill the gap left by last week's S&P snub of 15% in premarket trading this morning. I think it's almost inevitable that shortly thereafter, many of the big inst's will sell off their shares into retail traders waiting arms who are all excited about battery day. TSLA will see a big correction before Battery Day as news of the inevitably bad financial news and Q3 deliveries start to circulate.
Perhaps the most telling sign of coming fundamental troubles for TSLA is the company's decision to combine it's shareholder meeting with it's Battery Day pep rally. While everyone is OOO'ing and AWWW'ing the million mile battery, TSLA will also be discussing the substantial losses the company took from the COVID-19 pandemic and increasing competition in the marketplace.
The fact that TSLA is overvalued is no longer relevant to the argument - despite being completely true. Tesla's cash on hand is the real issue. The real value of TSLA was just revealed by the most recent common stock offering the company used to raise $5B if you were smart enough to see it.
The shares that TSLA sold diluted the market cap by roughly 1.2%, and the market handed TSLA a 35% stock price drop because of it. An over-reaction? Perhaps, but with a price to book ratio of 32.39, while the average auto & truck manufacturer price to book ratio is a paltry 1.9 - and that INCLUDES Tesla. Clearly, if we removed tsla from that average, we would be looking at something closer to 1 (note: anything less than 1 is considered good by value investor standards, and anything less than 3 is preferred). 32.39 to 1 and 35 to 1.2 are practically identical ratios. If a 1% dilution causes this type of sell off, there's no better indication that the stock is incredibly overpriced.
To avert a flash crash due to the abysmal numbers we're expecting during the shareholder meeting, Elon is going to be doing the song and dance for battery day on the 22nd. I'm a big fan of Tesla, and have made most of my trading income by buying long calls on TSLA. At least for the short term, TSLA is about to turn into a pumpkin. They'll no doubt rebound, but I don't think we'll ever see a 2500 stock price again - or anything near it. TSLA is the #1 market cap right now for 2 reasons: they were first in the EV market and their autopilot tech is super cool and a competitive advantage that other manufacturers will have a tough time emulating. However, both of those strengths have temporary ramifications - nobody thinks about whether ford or gm was first to market and it's just a matter of time before every other car manufacturer has some type of autopilot feature. But the infrastructure to build up production capacity to the levels of the Big 3 takes decades - and that's time that Tesla unfortunately just doesn't have.
Summary:
*BEWARE THE BULL TRAP set by an elevated premarket price.
*TSLA is estimated to be ~40k units behind production forecasts. This will decimate financials as one of their largest costs - labor - saw no downturn despite the pandemic.
*Battery Day was combined with the shareholder's meeting to distract from what will undoubtedly be horrific financials because of COVID-19
*There has been a severe divergence between volume and price - which indicates a high probability of trend reversal
*There's evidence of big institutions selling off their positions by block sizes, erratic price action, and low liquidity based on the bid/ask gaps.
*TSLA's stock has been on a tear, but reality will set in fairly soon. The shareholder meeting will reveal the cash position of the company - which is likely to be terrifying to many investors and reveal the company's reason for the recent $5B stock offering and S&P rejection. The company will likely only have a few months of reserves at best.
*Tesla will undoubtedly survive the coming big drop, but getting back to profitable on a consistent quarterly basis is going to take time. However, we likely saw the top of TSLA's stock price over the last few weeks. Expect some more big steps down in the week to come and around Q3 earnings as well.
*RSI shows the stock is severely overbought on the daily, and every time TSLA has run into this high a level on RSI, the following day was almost always negative or at best, flat.
TSLA bout to close that GAP to $400 after hoursLoad up on TSLA. There's no sure thing in the market, but this one is about as close as you can get.
Bounced off key support uptrend at $330.
TSLA had to sell $5B in common shares to increase percent of public float shares available. Why? They didn't need the capital. Simple - it's required to be included in the S&P 500. The S&P 500 requires that 50% of a company's shares be held by the public rather than private equity/owners/directors/etc.
TSLA completed that sale in less than 4 days, but it also greatly exaggerated the 20% drop we saw yesterday, and the 35% drop we've seen this week.
With the sale complete - expect $TSLA to continue it's climb faster than ever before.
Tesla's battery expo is expected to shake up the EV industry with some incredible tech. It's a given it'll have something to do with battery capacity, but just how much battery capacity may be the most important tech invention since the internet (yes, really). There's rumors Tesla plans to unveil the million mile battery. Beta's have already confirmed the battery good up to 1.24M miles.
2 people move the markets by their tweets. Trump and Elon. Even though the cybertruck launch was pretty much a disaster - the stock still went up like crazy the next few days. ANY expo with Elon talking about new tech is going to hit the afterburners for Tesla stock
Análisis Técnico de TSLATSLA moved Vertical, on Rumors of entering sp500, what I think will not happen for now.
Pensamos que esta ultima suba vertical fue una Onda 5, y que debería corregir hasta la zona de la MM de 50 Ruedas.
Entrada: Under 2000
Stop: 2158
Target: 1736 & 1536
Play can be made with Options to limit risk.
This information neither is, nor should be construed, as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell securities. You shall be fully responsible for any investment decision you make, and such decisions will be based solely on your evaluation of your financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
$TSLA Tesla Major Correction IncomingI won't pretend that Tesla's valuation as anything to do with reality, but signs are pointing to a significant pullback in the short term to the $1765 area.
Volume has increasingly fallen off each time it has tested the $1910-15 area. Expect $TSLA to test this level one more time. If it fails, it'll like fall through the support line unless the rest of the market is propping it up in a big way. North of $1915, and I would take the loss; however, I fully expect people will be taking some big profits after the 40% run up in the last few days - falling back to solidify it's base would represent a 23.4% retracement level from $1915. A double top will likely form on Tesla today, and we should see a very profitable pullback in the next day.
If the stock trends down the remainder of the day, expect that to accelerate into tomorrow w/ a big gap down likely.
🍻 Focus In On The Next Longterm Tesla Play!2 day chart showing doji compression after an overextended move.
If you know me, you know these are the type of opportunities when I look for the next long term investment.
Daily red a cross the board on all indicators, 2 day is shifting red on the ema dots. The 15 ema dots on the bottom still trying to make its transition.
I currently have a lot of size sitting in on dow jones index short as it is playing off previous high.
The name of the game. Find the trend reversals and play with good risk management.
I believe 1432 is a good level to keep an eye on for a breakout to see how exhausted this move really is.
Best of luck.