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Tesla’s Next Move: Riding the Q3 MomentumDescription: In this analysis, we dive deep into Tesla’s recent performance and explore potential future price action. Fueled by an impressive Q3 earnings beat, Tesla has seen a bullish surge. Here, I’ll guide you through key technical and fundamental insights, using the FibExtender Pro to map out support and resistance zones, and provide a structured plan for potential entry, profit targets, and stop-loss levels. My goal is to offer a clear perspective for those considering Tesla’s next moves, balancing optimistic outlooks with realistic caution in case of market reversals. Introduction: NASDAQ:TSLA has been the talk of the market this past week, with its third-quarter earnings report surprising analysts and investors alike. The company not only exceeded revenue expectations but also showcased significant growth in profit margins, particularly in its energy generation and storage segments. This recent performance has set a bullish tone, sparking a 26% surge in Tesla’s stock price over just a few days. This idea aims to explore Tesla’s current momentum, analyze key technical levels using the FibExtender Pro script, and present potential trading opportunities for the days ahead. I’ll break down my thoughts into straightforward sections for entry points, profit targets, and stop-loss levels based on recent data, technical indicators, and broader market sentiment. Tesla’s Q3 Earnings Fueling the Bullish Trend Tesla’s third-quarter report painted an impressive picture, with strong revenue growth and margin improvements that bucked some of the broader economic trends affecting the automotive industry. As electric vehicle adoption accelerates, Tesla continues to leverage its market leadership, supported by CEO Elon Musk’s optimistic guidance on future vehicle sales and advancements in autonomous technology. Notably, the company reported a significant 20-30% expected vehicle sales growth for 2025, adding fuel to the stock’s upward momentum​. This positive sentiment, combined with Tesla’s ambitious long-term goals (such as robotaxi deployment by 2026), has prompted many analysts to revise their price targets. While some have remained cautious, noting high valuations, the consensus leans towards a bullish short- to mid-term outlook, primarily due to Tesla’s earnings momentum and strong brand positioning. Technical Analysis with FibExtender Pro: Key Levels to Watch Using the FibExtender Pro script, which identifies Fibonacci-based support and resistance zones, we can map out Tesla’s potential price action in the short term. As illustrated in the chart, two crucial levels have emerged: a resistance zone near $277 and a support zone around $233. Let’s walk through these levels and explore possible scenarios for Tesla’s price action. Resistance at $277 : This level has been marked as a critical resistance zone based on recent price action and Fibonacci retracement levels. Given Tesla’s recent surge, reaching this level is a strong possibility if the bullish momentum continues. A breakout above $277 would indicate a strong bullish continuation and could open doors for Tesla to test even higher resistance levels, potentially moving towards the $290-$300 range. Support at $233 : On the downside, $233 represents a major support level where buyers may step in if Tesla faces a pullback. This level serves as a safeguard against market reversals, providing a solid entry for those looking to buy Tesla at a discount if market conditions turn volatile. Potential Trade Setup Entry Point: If Tesla’s bullish momentum continues, entering around the $250-$255 range would be ideal. This level allows us to capitalize on upward momentum while keeping a buffer below the resistance zone. However, patience may be key here; waiting for a slight pullback or a consolidation period around this range could provide a better risk-to-reward setup. Profit Targets: First Target at $277 : This is the initial resistance level, and a prudent place to secure partial profits, particularly if Tesla faces resistance here as it did previously. Extended Target at $290-$300 : If Tesla breaks above $277 with strong volume, the next resistance zone sits in the $290-$300 range. Reaching this level would signal continued bullish strength and could offer further upside for those willing to hold. Stop-Loss Level: To manage risk, consider placing a stop-loss just below the support level at $233. This stop will protect against a deeper pullback, potentially caused by profit-taking or broader market weakness. A more conservative stop could be placed at $240 to accommodate minor fluctuations while still protecting capital. Analyzing Broader Market Conditions While Tesla’s recent earnings and price action are compelling, it’s crucial to account for the broader market context. Macro-economic headwinds, particularly interest rate hikes and inflation concerns, continue to affect growth stocks. Additionally, Tesla’s valuation remains high, and any negative shift in investor sentiment could lead to a correction. Here’s how these factors play into our analysis: Interest Rates : Rising interest rates could create resistance for high-growth stocks like Tesla, as higher borrowing costs can impact both consumer spending and Tesla’s operational expenses. EV Competition : Although Tesla remains the market leader, increased competition from other automakers, such as Ford and Rivian, could influence its long-term dominance. Keeping an eye on developments within the EV sector is essential for assessing Tesla’s sustainability. Considering these factors helps us balance the optimistic outlook with realistic caution, preparing for any unexpected shifts in market sentiment. My Thought Process Behind This Trade Idea From a technical perspective, Tesla’s recent surge post-earnings provides a strong bullish setup. By analyzing the FibExtender Pro ’s support and resistance levels, I’ve identified the $277 level as a short-term profit target. My goal is to provide readers with a comprehensive view of Tesla’s current momentum and map out a clear trading strategy, combining fundamental strength with Fibonacci-based technical analysis . This approach is especially helpful in markets like Tesla’s, where rapid moves often require adaptable entry and exit points. Furthermore, it’s essential to consider profit-taking strategies. As Tesla approaches each resistance level, locking in partial profits can protect against sudden reversals, while maintaining upside exposure for continued gains. With stop-losses positioned below support, this strategy offers a structured risk-reward setup, balancing bullish optimism with prudent risk management. Conclusion Tesla’s recent performance and bullish sentiment provide a promising outlook for the stock. However, as with any trading decision, it’s essential to balance the potential upside with well-planned risk management. Based on the FibExtender Pro analysis, Tesla’s next key resistance level lies at $277, with an extended target of $290-$300. Support at $233 offers a safety net in case of market corrections. This idea aims to guide traders through Tesla’s current setup, blending fundamental insights with technical precision. By following this structured approach, we can make informed decisions, capitalizing on Tesla’s momentum while safeguarding against potential pullbacks. Whether Tesla continues its bullish climb or encounters resistance, this analysis provides a framework to adapt and respond confidently. Key Takeaways: Entry Range : $250-$255 Profit Targets : $277 (first target), $290-$300 (extended target) Stop-Loss : Below $233 (preferably around $240 for a conservative buffer) This trading idea seeks to balance optimism with caution, setting realistic targets that align with Tesla’s recent performance and technical signals. Remember, while the bullish setup is promising, unexpected market shifts could impact Tesla’s trajectory. Stay alert, manage your risks, and adjust your strategy based on real-time market feedback. Trade safe and stay informed! Let’s make smart moves together. – TradeVizion
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TradeVizion
TESLA bounced right where it was supposed to! NASDAQ:TSLA bounced right where it was supposed to! Tesla has had resistance turned support turned back to resistance dating back to 2021 on the chart, as seen by the white circles. It has broken the $300 level for the second time in the past three or so years. Now that it's broken, it has pulled back to the 9ema on the weekly chart, and the area that was once resistance has turned...you guessed it... SUPPORT. See you at $400 plus! -HighFiveSetup is still intact with massive measured moves higher from our 1 and 3-year inverse H&S patterns. -Tesla is up over 3% on a day, and the market is pulling back, which shows even more bullishness. NFA
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by RonnieV29
Tesla Eyes $350 Break: Will We Soar to $371 or Pull Back First?Hey trading family, here’s the scoop on Tesla right now: We’re looking at a possible break of $350, which could take us to the $371 zone. From there, we’ll need to see if the market has the strength to push higher or if it pulls back, possibly to $359 or lower. On the flip side, if the market corrects from here, we could see a dip to $340, maybe even $335. Stay chill, watch the levels, and let Tesla show you where it’s heading next. Always trade what you see! Mindbloome Trading / Kris
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Mindbloome-Trading
Bulls on the Road: A Long-Term Bet on Tesla's FutureNASDAQ:TSLA MACRO bullish outlook. From a weekly timeframe RSI is back above 50, price have been making multiple higher lows and with last weekly close we have finally made a strong higher high. The stock is currently trading +7% pre market open. The bottom seems to be in and looks like it wants to go straight to new all time highs. With such a bullish momentum behind for any bystanders looking to jump in, any retrace towards $290's to $250's is a long entry at DCA. New all time high should be in a breeze.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ZelfTrade
1
Is Tesla's $1 Trillion Market Cap Sustainable in the Long Run?A Milestone Achieved Tesla, the electric vehicle pioneer led by Elon Musk, has once again shattered records by surpassing a $1 trillion market capitalization. This significant milestone, achieved in early November 2024, solidifies Tesla's position as a dominant force in the automotive industry and a symbol of innovation and disruption. The Factors Behind the Surge Several key factors have contributed to Tesla's remarkable market performance: 1. Strong Financial Performance: Tesla has consistently delivered strong financial results, with record-breaking revenue and profitability. The company's focus on cost reduction, operational efficiency, and product innovation has driven its growth. 2. Accelerated EV Adoption: The global shift towards electric vehicles has gained momentum, fueled by increasing environmental concerns and government incentives. Tesla, as the leading EV manufacturer, is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend. 3. Innovative Product Lineup: Tesla's diverse product portfolio, including electric vehicles, energy storage solutions, and autonomous driving technology, has captivated consumers and investors alike. The company's continuous innovation and cutting-edge technology have solidified its position as a technology leader. 4. Elon Musk's Visionary Leadership: Elon Musk's charismatic leadership and ambitious vision have inspired confidence among investors and consumers. His unwavering commitment to pushing the boundaries of technology has propelled Tesla to new heights. 5. Favorable Regulatory Environment: The supportive regulatory environment for electric vehicles in key markets, such as the United States and China, has further boosted Tesla's growth prospects. The Road Ahead As Tesla continues to expand its operations and introduce new products, the company's future prospects remain bright. However, several challenges lie ahead: 1. Intensifying Competition: The electric vehicle market is becoming increasingly competitive, with traditional automakers and emerging startups investing heavily in electric vehicle technology. 2. Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain disruptions, particularly related to semiconductor shortages, could impact Tesla's production and delivery timelines. 3. Economic Uncertainty: Economic downturns and geopolitical tensions could negatively impact consumer demand for electric vehicles. 4. Regulatory Risks: Changes in government policies and regulations could affect Tesla's operations and profitability. Despite these challenges, Tesla's strong brand, innovative products, and dedicated customer base position the company for continued growth and success. As the electric vehicle revolution accelerates, Tesla is poised to remain at the forefront, shaping the future of transportation and energy. Conclusion Tesla's achievement of a $1 trillion market capitalization is a testament to its disruptive innovation, strong leadership, and favorable market conditions. While challenges persist, the company's long-term vision and strategic execution position it for continued growth and success in the years to come.
TLong
by bryandowningqln
Is Tesla Poised for Growth in a Shifting Industry?Tesla, the electric vehicle (EV) pioneer and technological innovator, continues to captivate investors worldwide. Despite recent market volatility and economic uncertainties, a bullish outlook for Tesla's stock persists, driven by several key factors. 1. Continued Dominance in the EV Market Tesla's early entry into the EV market and its relentless pursuit of innovation have solidified its position as a market leader. With a strong brand reputation, cutting-edge technology, and a loyal customer base, Tesla remains well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for electric vehicles. 2. Expanding Product Lineup Tesla's diversified product portfolio, including the Model S, Model 3, Model X, Model Y, and the Cybertruck, caters to a wide range of consumer preferences. The company's ability to introduce new models and enhance existing ones keeps it ahead of the competition. 3. Autonomous Driving and AI Leadership Tesla's ambitious autonomous driving program, Autopilot, and its advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) position the company as a frontrunner in the development of self-driving technology. Successful implementation of full self-driving (FSD) capabilities could significantly increase the value of Tesla vehicles and generate substantial revenue from autonomous ride-hailing services. 4. Energy Storage Solutions Tesla's energy storage solutions, including Powerwall and Powerpack, offer efficient and sustainable energy storage options for residential and commercial applications. As the demand for renewable energy grows, Tesla's energy storage business has the potential to become a significant revenue driver. 5. Global Expansion and Infrastructure Tesla's global expansion strategy, coupled with its expanding Supercharger network, is enabling the company to reach new markets and solidify its presence in existing ones. As more countries adopt stricter emissions standards and invest in EV infrastructure, Tesla is well-positioned to benefit from this trend. 6. Strong Financial Performance Tesla has consistently delivered strong financial performance, with increasing revenue and profitability. The company's ability to generate cash flow and invest in research and development is crucial for its long-term growth. 7. Elon Musk's Visionary Leadership Elon Musk's charismatic leadership and unwavering commitment to innovation have been instrumental in Tesla's success. His visionary approach and ability to inspire a passionate following have contributed to the company's strong brand and loyal customer base. Potential Risks and Challenges While the outlook for Tesla is generally bullish, it's important to acknowledge potential risks and challenges: • Intense Competition: The EV market is becoming increasingly competitive, with traditional automakers and emerging startups investing heavily in electric vehicles. • Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain disruptions, particularly related to semiconductor shortages, could impact Tesla's production and delivery timelines. • Regulatory Hurdles: Navigating complex regulatory environments, especially in different countries, can be challenging for Tesla. • Economic Uncertainty: Economic downturns and recessions could negatively impact consumer spending and demand for luxury goods. Despite these potential challenges, Tesla's strong fundamentals, innovative products, and experienced leadership team position it well to navigate the evolving automotive landscape. As the company continues to execute on its strategic plans, investors remain optimistic about its long-term growth potential. Conclusion Tesla's compelling growth story, coupled with its strong financial performance and innovative products, makes it an attractive investment opportunity for many investors. While it's important to conduct thorough research and consider the risks involved, a bullish outlook for Tesla's stock remains justified.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by bryandowningqln
TSLA: Seize the chance to buy low!NASDAQ:TSLA Currently trading at $219, TSLA recording a very weak reaction to the recent robotaxi news. However, with a neutral to bullish stance reflected in its technical indicators, I foresee a medium-term buying opportunity with a highly favorable risk-reward ratio of over 3:1. Let's see the details: Weekly Technical Analysis: Oscillators Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14): Value: 50.72 Action: Neutral Stochastic %K (14, 3, 3): Value: 53.33 Action: Neutral Awesome Oscillator: Value: 36.23 Action: Neutral These oscillators in neutral territory leave ample room for the stock to run in the current favorable market conditions, furthermore: MACD Level (12, 26): Value: 9.06 Action: Buy Momentum (10): Value: 18.17 Action: Buy The combination of MACD and momentum indicators points to bullish potential that could propel the stock in the coming weeks. Now let's examine the trend analysis Moving Averages: Short-term (10, 20): Both EMAs and SMAs are currently in sell territory, indicating potential resistance at these levels. Medium-term (30, 50, 100): These moving averages are signaling a buy, suggesting a transition to a more bullish phase. While short-term sell signals from the analyzed moving averages indicate that selling pressure remains, the medium-term outlook is significantly more supportive of a bullish scenario. Along with oscillators, this tilts the balance toward the buy side. Trading Strategy Entry Point: Consider entering a long position at the current market price, with a stop loss set at $198 to protect against potential downside. Target Price: Aim for a target of $283, which offers strong upside potential relative to the risk. Risk-Reward Analysis The risk-reward ratio for this trade is compelling. With a target of $283 and a stop loss at $198, this setup offers significant upside, with potential gains exceeding the risks by more than three times. Conclusion Given the current technical indicators, Tesla presents a promising opportunity for traders. Bullish signals from the MACD and momentum indicators, combined with strategic entry and target levels, suggest a strong potential for upward movement. However, remain vigilant and adjust your strategy as market conditions evolve. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should do your own research before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by CF_444
Where is $TSLA going next according to charts/ DFCF Model?!NASDAQ:TSLA In this video, we will analyze the massive 3-year Inverse Head-and-Shoulder Pattern on the weekly chart and go over my very own, built-from-scratch, Discounted Free Cash Flow Model, which says TSLA's fair value is $325 per share. 25% higher than it's current stock price! I hope you enjoy! Not financial advice. Like ❤️ Follow🤳 Share 🔂 Comment what stock you want to see charting analysis on below.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by RonnieV29
6
Tesla Update Potential Great ROI Trade coming up Good evening or morning trading family So I created a quick video on a update with Tesla which I felt was important to create for everyone. Currently we are retracing up from a target that I will show you how I got in the video. However two things to mention if we can break 260-263 range we are looking pretty healthy for a bull run up. However if we go back to retest 255.66 we could potentially face another break and further bearish momentum. Any questions or comments let me know, like follow boost if you found this helpful Have a great night trading fam Mindbloome Trading Trade What You See
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Mindbloome-Trading
Tesla on the Verge: Breakout to $275+Morning, trading family! Let’s dive into what I’m seeing with Tesla (TSLA) right now. We’re sitting in an interesting spot between 262-263, and the next move could set the tone for where we’re headed. Here are the scenarios I’m watching. Scenario 1: If Tesla can break above this 262-263 zone with some momentum, we could see a strong push toward 275. If buyers keep piling in, I’ll be watching 281, 287, and maybe even 304 as potential targets down the line. Scenario 2: But if things get shaky and we break down by 20 points or so, that would shift the narrative a bit. We’d probably need to re-test some lower levels before making another attempt at higher prices. Mindbloome Trading / Kris Trade What You See
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Mindbloome-Trading
Will $TSLA reach $300? Now buy or sell? Technical speaking, Tsla is having a consolidation pullback in an overall bullish market. It was rejected by the key resistance level of previous high yesterday, and also closed to the support level of the high price of recent high volume candle. In this case, it might probably go bullish if it breaks above the resistance level. And if not, it will continue to moving the consolidation area. From the perspective of fundamentally, it might benefit from the president election if Drump could win. So my answer to the topic is yes, Tsla will reach $300. Of course, this is not a financial advice!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by xugina78
Charging Ahead: Tesla's Journey to Becoming the Next NVIDIA🚀 🚀 🚀 NASDAQ:TSLA Extremely bullish outlook. The weekly chart just closed last week with a huge bullish range expansion and engulfing bar closing above previous weekly highs signaling BULLS ARE BACK. Price has now completely changed from bearish to bullish. We are now making higher lows and higher highs. Do keep in mind that a retrace even towards $220’s is still possible, in case this happens this will be the IDEAL LONG ENTRY although it is very unlikely. From a MACRO perspective, this is one stock that looks ready to finally pump to new all time highs so forget about short time frames trading and focus long term and build your positions by dollar cost averaging your way in.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ZelfTrade
Tesla’s Autonomous AmbitionsMusk’s Vision vs. Reality: Tesla’s Path to Revolutionizing Transportation Tesla recently experienced its best trading day since 2013, with the stock soaring 23% following the release of its Q3 earnings report. While the financial results were solid, investors are largely drawn to Elon Musk’s ambitious vision for autonomy a vision that presents significant challenges but holds substantial potential Tesla’s rebound in deliveries, higher profit margins, and an unexpected forecast projecting 20% to 30% sales growth for next year reinvigorated investor confidence after a somewhat muted response to the October 10th 'We, Robot' event The event showcased new products like the highly anticipated Cybercab (robotaxi) and Optimus (a humanoid robot) Despite the excitement, the presentation lacked detailed information, causing Tesla’s stock to decline by nearly 10% the following day Despite being over 20 years old, the investment appeal of Tesla is still driven more by its future potential than its current state. Musk envisions mass-producing autonomous vehicles and robots, aspiring to make Tesla the largest company globally. Traditional valuation models based on recent performance can’t fully capture this long term vision Tesla’s journey can’t be understood in isolation Just three days after the 'We, Robot' event, SpaceX successfully launched its Starship spacecraft for the fifth time. The SpaceX “chopsticks” system successfully caught the Super Heavy booster after liftoff a crucial step toward making the booster completely reusable. This breakthrough could transform space travel by significantly reducing turnaround times and reshaping cost structures. Elon Musk, at the helm of both Tesla and SpaceX, has a talent for transforming bold ideas into reality. SpaceX’s success in making rockets reusable has drastically reduced the cost of space travel, demonstrating that affordability can drive broader adoption. This strategy mirrors Tesla’s vision for autonomous vehicles: by creating self-driving cars like the Cybercab, Tesla aims to reshape transportation with similar cost-efficiency principles. However, as with any disruptive technology, the range of possible outcomes is vast. A balanced perspective considers Musk’s track record while acknowledging that his timelines can often be highly optimistic. In 2021, Benedict Evans described Musk as “a bullshitter who delivers.” Whether Tesla’s vision for full autonomy will come to fruition remains uncertain, and fully autonomous fleets could still be years away. Nonetheless, Musk’s accomplishments with SpaceX add weight to Tesla’s ambitions, granting him credibility in the eyes of many. The question remains: Will Musk’s ambitious autonomy vision fully take shape? Today’s highlights: - Tesla Q3 FY24 Results - Key takeaways from the 'We, Robot' event - Notable quotes from the earnings call - Insights on Waymo, Uber, and the future of ridesharing Tesla Q3 FY24 Overview Tesla’s revenue is primarily generated from three segments 1. Automotive (80% of revenue): This includes the sale of electric vehicles, such as models S, 3, X, Y, and the Cybertruck. 2. Services and Other (11% of revenue): This segment encompasses vehicle services, the Supercharger network, and sales of automotive parts and accessories. 3.Energy Generation and Storage (9% of revenue): Revenue from solar products and energy storage solutions like the Solar Roof and Powerwall. Key Metrics for Q3 FY24: -Production: 470,000 vehicles produced (+9% YoY, +14% QoQ). -Deliveries: 463,000 vehicles delivered (+6% YoY, +4% QoQ), which was slightly below analysts’ expectations of 464,000 and fell short of the Q4 2023 record of 484,000 deliveries. Despite price cuts over the last two years, Tesla’s auto sales growth has leveled off. Financial Highlights: -Revenue: $25.2 billion, an 8% YoY increase but fell short of expectations by $0.5 billion. -Gross Margin: 20% (+2 percentage points QoQ and YoY). -Operating Margin: 11% (+5 percentage points QoQ, +3 percentage points YoY). -Adjusted EPS: $0.72, beating estimates by $0.12. Gross Margin Insights: -Automotive Gross Margin: 17% (excluding regulatory credits), up from 15% in Q2 and 16% a year earlier. The cost per vehicle dropped to an all-time low of $35,100. Notably, the Cybertruck achieved a positive gross margin for the first time. The automotive segment included $326 million in software revenue. -Services and Other Gross Margin: Reached 9%, marking the 10th consecutive quarter of positive margins and a new record high. -Energy Generation and Storage Gross Margin: The highest margin segment at 31%, also hitting a record high. Overall, while Tesla faced some delivery shortfalls and plateauing auto sales, it managed to improve profitability across its segments, with key milestones in cost reductions and positive trends in gross margins. Tesla’s Margins and Cash Flow Performance Tesla’s industry-leading margins are driven by three major advantages: 1.Economies of Scale: Achieved through its expansive gigafactories. 2.Direct-to-Consumer Sales**: Tesla sells directly online and through its showrooms, bypassing traditional dealership networks. 3.Low Marketing Costs: Tesla spends very little on advertising compared to traditional automakers. While Tesla expects its margins to expand over time due to growth in its non-automotive segments and software sales, its automotive margins have been pressured by price cuts in the last two years to sustain demand. Cash Flow Highlights: -Operating Cash Flow**: Increased by 89%, reaching $6.3 billion -Free Cash Flow**: Jumped by 223%, hitting $2.7 billion These cash flow figures stood out in the quarterly report, demonstrating Tesla’s ability to fund its ambitious plans for autonomy despite heavy investments in AI. Guidance 1.FY24 Improvement: Tesla now expects slight growth in vehicle deliveries for FY24 (previous guidance indicated “notably lower” growth), implying a record-setting Q4 to make up for a weaker first half. Energy storage deployment is projected to more than double. 2.FY25 Outlook Surprise: During the earnings call, Musk forecasted 20% to 30% delivery growth in FY25, surpassing market expectations. A new, more affordable model is anticipated to launch in the first half of FY25, potentially easing investor concerns about competition. 3.New Product Strategy: The upcoming affordable vehicles in 2025 will be based on Tesla’s existing platform, indicating less dramatic cost reductions than previously suggested. However, the Robotaxi will bring a fresh manufacturing strategy. Key Takeaways 1.Volumes Rebounded: After a 7% decline in deliveries during the first half of 2024, volumes recovered in Q3. Prices have stabilized, and Tesla’s focus on reducing unit costs contributed to improved automotive gross margins. Management’s priorities remain on unit volume and maintaining low inventory levels. 2.More than Just EVs: Non-automotive segments, such as Energy and Services, accounted for 20% of Tesla’s revenue this quarter, up from 16% a year ago. Likewise, these segments contributed about 20% of Tesla’s gross margin, nearly double from the previous year. As these segments grow, their impact on Tesla’s profitability will become increasingly significant. 3.Operating Margin Gains: Improved by 3 percentage points year-over-year: -Negative Impact: Price cuts, mainly due to financing incentives. -Positive Impact**: Lower costs per vehicle, growth in non-auto segments, FSD revenue, increased deliveries, and higher regulatory credit revenue. 4.Free Cash Flow Surge: Doubled sequentially to $2.7 billion. Capital expenditures increased by 43% to $3.5 billion, largely driven by investments in AI infrastructure. Tesla plans to spend over $10 billion on AI this year. 5.Strong Balance Sheet: Tesla maintains a net cash position of nearly $30 billion, which management believes provides ample liquidity to support its product roadmap and sustain positive cash flow margins. We, Robot’ Event Takeaways Key insights from the recent announcements include: - Cybercab (Robotaxi): Tesla introduced the much-awaited Cybercab, a sleek two-seater, but key technical details—such as sensor configurations and processing capabilities—were notably absent. Musk’s decision to forgo lidar technology, a feature commonly used by competitors like Waymo, could potentially raise regulatory concerns about safety and compliance. 1.Optimus (Humanoid Robot): While the Optimus robots were a hit at the event, performing tasks like serving drinks and dancing, this entertaining display overshadowed the reality of how far the technology is from practical use. Reports indicated that the robots were primarily operated by humans, raising questions about their actual autonomous capabilities and readiness for industrial applications. 2.Robovan: A surprise announcement was the debut of the Robovan, a versatile vehicle intended for both mass transit and cargo transport. Its stylish Art Deco-inspired design drew attention, but like the Cybercab, it lacked concrete details or technical insights to convince analysts that the product is close to entering production. The presentation didn’t provide enough information to quell investor skepticism about its feasibility. 3. Full Self-Driving (FSD) Progress: Elon Musk projected that Tesla’s FSD technology would achieve full autonomy by 2026, with the Cybercab and current models (like the Model 3 and Model Y) spearheading this effort in Texas and California. However, Musk’s history of ambitious FSD promises has been met with ongoing skepticism, and this presentation did little to change that. No new safety data or significant updates were provided to address reliability concerns, leaving regulatory and safety issues unresolved. Tesla still faces significant challenges in proving its FSD capabilities are ready for public use without human oversight and in obtaining regulatory approval at both federal and state levels. 4.Market Reaction: Analysts expressed mixed feelings about the event. While some found the futuristic concepts inspiring, others noted the lack of substantial progress and the vague nature of Musk’s promises. This left investors questioning how close Tesla truly is to achieving its autonomy and robotics goals. For many, the event leaned more towards spectacle than solid evidence of progress. Shareholder Deck Updates 1.Supercharger Network: Tesla’s Supercharger Network received widespread industry support, with most automakers now adopting Tesla’s North American Charging Standard (NACS). This acceptance is likely to boost Tesla’s Services segment and improve its margins in the long term. The number of Supercharger stations increased by 20% year-over-year to 6,706. Tesla also rehired some of the nearly 500 Supercharger team members who had been laid off earlier in the year, indicating renewed focus on this segment. 2.Market Share: Tesla’s market share remained steady in North America and Europe on a sequential basis, but saw a noticeable improvement in China, signaling stronger competitiveness in the region. These details paint a picture of a company with promising ambitions but facing significant challenges in bringing its bold visions to reality. Investors will be watching closely for concrete progress and clearer timelines moving forward. Key Updates from the Earnings Call Full Self-Driving (FSD) Progress - Tesla has surpassed 2 billion miles driven using its FSD (supervised) technology, which forms a core part of the company’s data advantage. This milestone underpins Tesla’s long-term autonomy thesis. Additionally, Tesla launched **FSD version 12.5** and introduced the Actually Smart Summon feature, enabling vehicles to autonomously drive to their owners in parking lots. AI Training Capacity - Musk shared that Tesla expects to have **nearly 90,000 H100 clusters dedicated to AI training** by the end of the year, enhancing the company’s machine learning capabilities. Energy Storage Deployments - Tesla deployed **6.9 GWh of energy storage** in Q3, although this fell short of the record 9.4 GWh achieved in Q2. The 40 GWh Megafactory in Lathrop is ramping up production, reaching 200 Megapacks in a single week. The **Shanghai Megafactory** is set to start shipping Megapacks in Q1 2025 with a run rate of 20 GWh. Tesla noted that energy deployments are inherently lumpy due to factors such as customer readiness and geographic order locations. Key Quotes from the Earnings Call Elon on the Cybercab: - “I do feel confident of Cybercab reaching volume production in ‘26. We’re aiming for at least 2 million units a year, maybe 4 million ultimately.” Musk envisions the Cybercab becoming a global, high-volume autonomous vehicle service. However, achieving this scale requires overcoming two major challenges: delivering level 5 autonomy at a competitive cost and navigating regulatory approval across regions with varying laws, road conditions, and weather considerations. - Musk also dismissed the notion of a regular low-cost model, stating, “I think having a regular $ 25,000 model* is pointless.” He emphasized focusing on the Cybercab as a generational leap forward. Musk on FSD: - “Our internal estimate is **Q2 of next year** to be safer than human and then to continue with rapid improvements thereafter.” He expressed confidence that full autonomy could be achieved in 2025 with existing vehicle models, although regulatory hurdles and safety standards remain significant barriers. On Tesla’s Ridesharing App - Tesla is already testing a *ridesharing capability* in the Bay Area for employees, with safety drivers currently in place. Musk anticipates launching the service for the public in California and Texas next year, pending regulatory approval. He added, “**I’d be shocked if we don’t get approval next year**,” but acknowledged that regulatory timelines are out of Tesla’s control. Musk on Optimus: - “We’re the only company that really has all of the ingredients necessary to scale humanoid robots.” He believes that the *Optimus robot* could become the “most valuable product ever made,” owing to Tesla’s combined AI and manufacturing advantages. However, the product remains at an early development stage and will likely take years to fully commercialize. On Tesla’s Valuation: - Musk reiterated his bold prediction: “Tesla will become the most valuable company in the world and probably by a long shot” He argued that Tesla’s strategic focus on future advancements in energy, transport, robotics, and AI sets it apart from competitors who are only targeting short-term trends. Waymo, Uber, and Rideshare Future There are two distinct paths to achieving full autonomy 1.Waymo’s Approach: Waymo focuses on highly structured, geo-fenced environments with extensive pre-mapping and sensor-based systems like lidar to ensure safety. 2.Tesla’s Approach: Tesla aims to develop a generalized self-driving system that works with computer vision and AI, relying on its fleet’s extensive data advantage and scaling software improvements. However, Tesla’s reluctance to use lidar technology and regulatory challenges could hinder its timeline for achieving level 5 autonomy. These differing strategies highlight the varied paths to delivering a future of autonomous transportation, with each approach facing unique technical and regulatory hurdles. Levels of Autonomy - Tesla's FSD (Supervised): Tesla’s Full Self-Driving system remains at **Level 2**, meaning it still requires driver supervision to operate. In contrast, **Waymo** operates at **Level 4** in certain cities, where its vehicles can drive without human intervention, albeit under specific conditions. -Jumping Levels: Musk’s vision for the Cybercab aims to skip from Level 2 to **Level 5 autonomy**, which implies no need for human input at all—a huge leap. Technology Approach -Tesla’s Strategy: Tesla relies on a **camera and AI-only approach**, focusing on software and data scalability rather than expensive hardware. Musk’s bet is that advanced software can eventually solve all driving scenarios. - Waymo’s Strategy: Waymo uses a **hardware-intensive model** with a combination of LiDAR, radar, and cameras**, providing highly precise navigation. However, the reliance on multiple sensors leads to higher production costs per vehicle, around **$200,000** each. Scaling Challenges -Waymo’s Limitation: The high cost of Waymo's vehicles has hindered its ability to scale quickly, while Tesla plans to leverage its extensive fleet data to improve its autonomous systems over time. -Tesla’s Repeated Delays: Despite its aspirations, Tesla’s full autonomy timeline has faced numerous delays. Scaling quickly while achieving robust and safe autonomy remains a significant challenge for the company. Safety and Regulation -Waymo’s Approach: Waymo has built trust with regulators by deploying vehicles cautiously in select cities and prioritizing safety, but its operations remain limited geographically. -Tesla’s Regulatory Hurdles: The Cybercab’s design lacks traditional controls like steering wheels and pedals, raising concerns about regulatory approval. These changes could face substantial scrutiny, particularly if safety standards require features Tesla’s design omits. Tesla and Uber: Competitors or Partners? -Potential Partnership: Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi found the Cybercab vision "pretty compelling" and didn’t dismiss the possibility of a collaboration. Uber already partners with Waymo to offer autonomous rides in cities like **Phoenix, Atlanta, and Austin**. Khosrowshahi’s openness to partnership means there’s potential for Tesla's Cybercab fleet owners to list their vehicles on Uber to boost earnings. -Hybrid Model: By leveraging Uber’s vast network, Tesla could quickly gain scale in local markets, especially given Uber’s capability to serve diverse customer needs. This could lead to a hybrid model where Tesla’s autonomous vehicles are available on Uber alongside other options. Regulatory Challenges: An Obstacle to Elon’s Vision ? -Waymo’s Critique: Former Waymo CEO John Krafcik criticized the Cybercab, highlighting its impracticality for a large-scale robotaxi business. Waymo’s approach focuses on accessibility and safety with taller vehicles and high-mounted sensors, whereas Tesla’s design was light on crucial technical details. -Possible Lidar Mandate: Krafcik also noted that if regulators eventually require LiDAR technology for safety compliance, Tesla’s camera-only approach could face a significant setback. Regulatory decisions are beyond Tesla’s control and could fundamentally reshape its autonomy strategy. -Musk’s Political Maneuvering: Musk’s political activities and controversies could complicate Tesla’s regulatory relations. Building strong connections with regulators is critical, given their power to greenlight or halt the Cybercab’s deployment. Final Thoughts The coming years will be pivotal for Tesla as it strives to overcome both techno logical and regulatory challenges. The success of Tesla’s autonomy plans hinges not just on its technological progress but also on its ability to navigate complex and varied regulatory frameworks worldwide. Whether Musk’s bold vision for full autonomy becomes a realityor remains a distant dream will depend on a combination of innovative breakthroughs and the company’s capacity to gain and maintain regulatory approval. Are you Moonish on Tesla or not?
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by moonypto
Analyzing Tesla's Meteoric Rise: A 22% Surge and Musk's OptimistTesla's stock experienced a dramatic surge of 22% on Thursday, marking its most significant single-day gain in over a decade. This extraordinary performance was fueled by a better-than-anticipated earnings report and CEO Elon Musk's bullish projections for the company's future growth. The electric vehicle (EV) giant's third-quarter profit margins were bolstered by a substantial $739 million in revenue generated from environmental regulatory credits. This unexpected windfall contributed to the company's overall financial performance and further fueled investor optimism. However, the primary catalyst behind Tesla's stock surge was Musk's optimistic outlook for 2025. The Tesla CEO expressed his belief that the company's vehicle growth could reach an impressive 20% to 30% next year, surpassing the 15% growth rate anticipated by analysts. This bold prediction ignited investor enthusiasm and sent Tesla's stock soaring. The impact of Tesla's stock surge was not limited to the company's market valuation. Elon Musk's wealth also experienced a significant boost, increasing Tesla's Meteoric Rise: A 22% Surge and Musk's Optimistic Outlook by approximately $26 billion. As a result, Musk's net worth now stands at nearly $270 billion, solidifying his position as one of the world's wealthiest individuals. Tesla's remarkable performance on Thursday can be attributed to several key factors: • Strong Earnings Report: The company's better-than-expected earnings report demonstrated its ability to deliver solid financial results, even amidst challenging market conditions. • Regulatory Credit Revenue: The unexpected revenue from environmental regulatory credits provided a significant boost to the company's bottom line. • Musk's Optimistic Outlook: Elon Musk's bullish projections for 2025 growth instilled confidence in investors and fueled expectations for continued strong performance. • Investor Sentiment: Positive investor sentiment surrounding Tesla's innovative technology, strong brand reputation, and growing market share contributed to the stock's surge. • While Tesla's recent performance has been impressive, it is important to note that the company still faces several challenges. These include intensifying competition from other EV manufacturers, supply chain disruptions, and potential economic headwinds. Additionally, Tesla's reliance on regulatory credits for revenue could diminish as stricter emissions regulations are implemented. Despite these challenges, Tesla remains a dominant force in the EV industry. The company's technological advancements, strong brand loyalty, and expanding global presence position it well to capitalize on the growing demand for electric vehicles. As Tesla continues to innovate and execute on its ambitious growth plans, it is likely to remain a key player in the automotive industry for years to come. In conclusion, Tesla's 22% stock surge on Thursday was a testament to the company's strong financial performance, Elon Musk's optimistic outlook, and positive investor sentiment. While challenges remain, Tesla's innovative spirit and strong market position make it a compelling investment opportunity for those willing to embrace the risks associated with the EV industry.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by bryandowningqln
Tesla Weekly to 4 Hour Deep Analysis EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOWMorning Trading Family Tesla broke out of the zone we expected it would with a quick fake for the bears then the positive news punched Tesla up like no tomorrow. Today I break Tesla down into the nitty gritty using all the tools to give you levels to look out for in the coming days. Overall Tesla can hit 300 and beyond but we have a few levels to hit before we get there. Enjoy the video If you liked this content, follow, like, share and boost: truly grateful for your time and your comments Mindbloome Trading Trade What You See
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Mindbloome-Trading
Robotaxi day coming! Tesla is about to go bullish again? Tesla started a short-term pullback after be rejected by the resistance level of previous highs and the upper edge of the bullish channel, exactly followed what we have predicted on 25 sep. so will tesla stop drop and go bullish again? once point will need our attention is that tesla has been promoting their upcoming “Robotaxi Day” presentation, set for October 10 at Warner Brothers Studios in Los Angeles. if it could meet market expectations, the price could be supported above the lower band of bullish channel. It probably will start to go bullish again!!!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by xugina78