$TSLA Price Action Breakdown, $QQQ Future Price Outlook- $QQQ about to break its tightening range, this will be very important for TSLA,
- currently TSLA does not have enough relative strength to hold up if QQQ breaks bear. so it will likely break bear with it.
- Bullish pattern: Daily Inverse H&S Weekly Cup & Handle
- XLF / KRE gapped up nicely but bear took over after cash open.
Tslalong
$TSLA Future Price Outlook, Support & Resistance Analysis- TSLA is in a healthy daily uptrend atm, we just need bulls change the hourly trend change back up.
- QQQs Equilibrium Pattern will be breaking with volatility on Monday, so which ever way it breaks will be effecting TSLA
- Weekly Cup & Handle forming, - daily inverse Head & Shoulders forming as well.
Check out my QQQ / SPY XLF breakdown on my previous video.
Tesla -> Time To Move HigherHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe you can see that Tesla stock is about to create a quite nice inverted head and shoulders with the neckline being exactly at the $220 area.
You can also see that market structure is currently bullish, we just had a rally followed by a healthy correction so from a weekly perspective I just expect a break above the neckline and then more continuation towards the upside.
On the daily timeframe you can see that Tesla stock is right now retesting previous daily support which is now turned resistance so I do expect a short term rejection away from the resistance area but then definitely the longer term continuation towards the upside.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
www.tradingview.com
TSLA $200's ResistanceTSLA opening above $198.5 should go up towards $204 gap fill possibly $206 retracement ...
resistance @ $$199.5-200.5 then $204 (2 sigma weekly Move)
If Fed is Dovish today with a 25bp hike this will help to push bullish narrative
Fed with 25bps and Hawkish rhetoric can stop the bull run.
Below $194, we could see Tesla go for Gap fill below and settle around $190 to finish the week
This Feels like a Bull Trap set-up- just my opinion
I bought back in @ 175
Since I plan on taking Profits for this week I will look into selling $200-$205 calls against my $175 price positions *** this is a profit taking options position,
I would not sell calls if I did not own shares at that lower price.
TSLA – Short term upsideTSLA's stock price has been characterized by a high degree of volatility, with significant price swings occurring over short periods. From a technical analysis perspective, TSLA's long-term trend has been upward, with the stock price increasing from around $20 per share in 2013 to over $1,000 per share in early 2021.
In November 2021 the stock price started a corrective trend that has been maintained until today. The low of the move was reached on the 6th of January 2023 at around $101 dollars per share. Since then the stock price jumped higher, made a correction that retraced nearly 50% of the move and afterwards it continued the trend (up).
The highest probability scenario for this stock is to move to the upside and reach the trendline marked on the chart. However we must point out that, tomorrow we have a big news event (FOMC meeting, interest rate decision) that may send the stock to the downside if the rate decision will hammer the whole stock market. The stock is very sensitive to the macro environment .
Trade with care.
TSLA Down Trend Signal: Sensitive LineTSLA (Tesla, Inc.) currently trades at a price of 179.0314 USD with a change of 0.32580555% and a change of 0.5814 USD. Over the last month, TSLA has traded between a high of 217.65 USD and a low of 163.91 USD.
The oscillators rating for TSLA is currently neutral, with an average directional index (14) of 27.54. The stock has seen a trading volume of 18,041,026 and a volume*price of 3,229,910,142.22 over the last 24 hours.
The awesome oscillator for TSLA is currently at -12.36887088, and the average true range (14) is 6.41231939. The commodity channel index (20) is at -49.63085532, indicating that the stock may be oversold. The MACD level (12, 26) is at -4.86180021, and the MACD signal (12, 26) is at -4.93418895.
The momentum (10) for TSLA is currently at -3.0186, indicating that the stock may be experiencing a short-term downtrend. The relative strength index (14) is at 42.13, indicating that the stock is trading near oversold levels. The stochastic %K (14, 3, 3) is at 50.56, while the stochastic %D (14, 3, 3) is at 48.93.
The Aroon up (14) and Aroon down (14) are both at 0, indicating that the stock is in a sideways trend. The bull bear power is currently at 0, indicating a lack of momentum in either direction. The parabolic SAR is at 165.07969112, which is currently above the stock price, indicating a downtrend.
The simple moving average (10) for TSLA is at 176.90264, and the moving averages rating is strong sell. The pivot Fibonacci P is at 180.15326667, and the Ichimoku conversion line (9, 26, 52, 26) is not provided.
Overall, based on the technical analysis provided, TSLA appears to be experiencing a short-term downtrend, with oversold levels indicated by the relative strength index and commodity channel index. The moving averages rating is strong sell, indicating that the stock may continue to experience a downtrend in the near term.
Tesla's stock price to fall below $100?!
It is reported that Tesla's vehicles are not allowed to enter government institutions in China. Recently, there have been news that some cities in China have been planning restrictions, which will limit Tesla's access to more places. If this news is true, it will be very unfavorable for Tesla.
China is a populous country with a huge demand for vehicles, especially given the strong support from the Chinese government for new energy vehicles. By the end of 2022, Tesla's sales in China ranked first in the region. If Tesla loses the Chinese market, the consequences can be imagined, and its stock price may fall below $100!
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Tesla -> The Bulls Are BackHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe you can see that Tesla stock just recently perfectly retested and also rejected an obvious previous weekly support zone which was now turned resistance.
You can also see however that as we are speaking we are retesting previous weekly support, we are also having the potential creating of an inverted head and shoulders so from a weekly perspective I just do expect the continuation towards the upside.
On the daily timeframe I uploaded my last analysis before the recent drop, perfectly predicting this correction and now from a daily perspective everything looks quite bullish, so from here it is definitely possible that we will see the next rally towards the upside.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
TSLA G3 DUMP? Markets bounced strong today... but will Tsla join or be the one to take the hit so the other stocks can run?
TSLA had a Rough Day I'll Keep this simple..
Here are my thoughts on Distribution Schematic:
114% Bull Run in 1 Month - Mainly Short-Squeeze Move
We could see one more move up in a Wyckoff fashion - this will burn the $200 call options along with all the puts added in past 2 days, setting up a Bear Trap and generating more FOMO for Bull Trap 3 thus providing Liquidity for "Composite Man" to make the most $$$
-I also believe that a Markdown is needed for Institutional Buyers to get back into the stock @ lower pricing.
Both Scenarios are viable, yet I'm leaning towards#1 .. but will be prepared to go with the trend.
Long-Term Bull/ Short-Term Bear
good Trading Today
Tesla -> First Drop And Then PopHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe you can see that Tesla stock is now perfectly rejecting a quite obvious previous weekly support zone, which is now turned quite strong resistance.
However Tesla stock is also approaching a previous weekly support zone, from which we could potentially also create a right shoulder, forming an inverted head and shoulders pattern, so from a weekly perspective I do expect a retest of the $170 and then a rejection towards the upside.
On the daily timeframe you can see that market structure is currently massively bearish, but as mentioned above I am now just waiting for a retest of the previous support zone at $170 from which I also do expect a daily rejection towards the upside.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
TSLA Kangaroo Market 3/1VIP Day for TSLA *DUMP & PUMP or PUMP & DUMP... Manipulation is Strong at these levels
This Consolidation will end soon leading to continuation break-out or distribution
Bullish Target $221.5 + Close above $224 will show Buyer Commitment
Bearish Target: Close below $197 *POC
My Patterns & Targets are on Chart
Detailed Insight from: 2/28
TESLA is currently one of if not the Strongest Stock and is helping to hold up the Markets. I believe that the Rally is close to wrapping up at this stage of the "Mark-UP" *Wyckoff Distribution"
I can see "Pump & Dump" -Final UTAD and Possible Continuation through Wednesday with Distribution.
****TSLA is BULLISH - do not mistake my bearish insights as a short confirmation *Daily Chart is very Bullish (The best moves keep going in the same direction) I
Technical/Trend/Patterns:
200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets too ..
-^Bullish double bottom pattern places TSLA move to $220-$224 area
-^Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side
BEARISH:
-Bearish Rising Wedge on Daily- if pattern completes, measured move will go to fill gap @ $147.61 (MACRO-2-3 weeks)
--Bearish Divergences are formed on lower time frames (4hr-1hr)
-Daily Bearish Divergences are looking to follow suit if a new High is made (speculation)
-OBV & Momentum indicators are diverging to the negative (OBV is High but Momentum is low -contrary)
-Price has been moving down but A/D Line continues rising *I analyze this as Higher Distribution
_____________________________
-***TIME FRAME: Analyzing consolidation patterns and impulse moves (Mark-UP) - I am seeing Consolidation on average of 25-27 days and Impulse Moves lasting 14 days
*Tesla is going to hit 27 days of consolidation on Wednesday I can foresee the Markdown Phase Beginning for 2 weeks and moving into consolidation until before next earnings in April before the Next Mark-UP
This aligns up with Seasonal Market Trends ( Bullish in Jan - Decline mid Feb to mid March)
-
Options
Current Options info: *$200 Call Option Wall
-Contrarian view is that with High Call Options @ $200 price will close below that by end of week (Market Makers do not want to pay-out) Max-Pain is currently at 197.5
-Bullish view: amount of options could create a "Gamma Squeeze" -Squeezing Tesla to test or surpass Highs in the short-term, ***Short-term pump & Dump
Weekly Expected Move: $215 High $197 Low
Positives:
-Investor Day is Hyping up the bullish trend as everyone is preparing for Elon to showcase "GEN 3" platform -a new commodity vehicle for $25-30k before mark-up. This has retail piling into TSLA stock with an enormous $200 call Option wall again..
-Berlin Higher production levels
--QQQ Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side - Help to continue Rally
Analysis: Short-Term Neutral/ Bearish (Long-Term Bullish )
My bias is Bearish with a possible pump & dump scenario in play ...
$200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets to .. If Tuesday shows strong Commitment and closes at the highs.. We could see Bullish continuation to $234.
Tomorrow is VERY CRITICAL - Monthly close above $200 shows strong buyer commitment - if there is a sell-off and we see a close below $197, I feel confident that Tsla will retrace to $145 area to fill gap ( 0.618 retracement )
Tsla Closing strong tomorrow will lead me to believe that consolidation may continue through next week until we get March Payroll Data (this puts my target price to $232-$234 before we see "Mark-Down"
*watch how TSLA reacts to Weekly Expected high at $215 area
-I am staying away from Options except for "Day-Of"
-Day Trading has been exceptional - waiting 15min after market open has proved beneficial
TESLA BUY the Rumor Sell the FactTESLA is currently one of if not the Strongest Stock and is helping to hold up the Markets. Strong Move today on Lower Volume. I believe that the Rally is close to wrapping up at this stage of the "Mark-UP" *Wyckoff Distribution"
I can see Possible Bullish Continuation through Wednesday.
Technicals/Indicators/Patterns:
$200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets too ..
-^Bullish double bottom pattern places TSLA move to $220 area
-^Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side
BEARISH:
-Bearish Rising Wedge on Daily- if pattern completes, measured move will go to fill gap @ $147.61
--Bearish Divergences are formed on lower time frames (4hr-1hr)
-Daily Bearish Divergences are looking to follow suit
-OBV & Momentum indicators are diverging to the negative (OBV is High but Momentum is contrary)
-Price has been moving down but A/D Line continues rising *I analyze this as Higher Distribution
_____________________________
-***TIME FRAME: Analyzing consolidation patterns and impulse moves (Mark-UP) - I am seeing Consolidation on average of 25-27 days and Impulse Moves lasting 14 days
*Tesla is going to hit 27 days of consolidation on Wednesday I can foresee the Markdown Phase Beginning for 2 weeks and moving into consolidation until before next earnings in April before the Next Mark-UP
This aligns up with Seasonal Market Trends (Bullish in Jan - Decline mid Feb to mid March)
-
Options
Current Options info: *$200 Call Option Wall
-Contrarian view is that with High Call Options @ $200 price will close below that by end of week (Market Makers do not want to pay-out) Max-Pain is currently at 197.5
-Bullish view: amount of options could create a "Gamma Squeeze" -Squeezing Tesla to test or surpass Highs in the short-term, ***Short-term pump & Dump
Weekly Expected Move: $215 High $197 Low
Positives:
-Investor Day is Hyping up the bullish trend as everyone is preparing for Elon to showcase "GEN 3" platform -a new commodity vehicle for $25-30k before mark-up. This has retail piling into TSLA stock with an enormous $200 call Option wall again..
-Berlin Higher production levels
--QQQ Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side - Help to continue Rally
Analysis: Short-Term Neutral/Bearish (Long-Term Bullish)
My bias is Bearish with a possible pump & dump scenario in play ...
$200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets to .. If Tuesday shows strong Commitment and closes at the highs.. We could see Bullish continuation to $234.
Tomorrow is VERY CRITICAL - Monthly close above $200 shows strong buyer commitment - if there is a sell-off and we see a close below $197, I feel confident that Tsla will retrace to $145 area to fill gap (0.618 retracement)
Tsla Closing strong tomorrow will lead me to believe that consolidation may continue through next week until we get March Payroll Data (this puts my target price to $232-$234 before we see "Mark-Down"
*watch how TSLA reacts to Weekly Expected high at $215 area
-I am staying away from Options except for "Day-Of"
-Day Trading has been exceptional - waiting 15min after market open has proved beneficial
TSLA DAY TRADING 2/28 FOLLOW PRICE ACTION & KNOW S&R
Bullish Target $221.5
Bearish Target:$197
I will use this to track Day trading Price Action
Detailed Insight: 2/28
TESLA is currently one of if not the Strongest Stock and is helping to hold up the Markets. Strong Move today on Lower Volume . I believe that the Rally is close to wrapping up at this stage of the "Mark-UP" *Wyckoff Distribution"
I can see Possible Bullish Continuation through Wednesday.
Technicals/Indicators/Patterns:
$200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets too ..
-^Bullish double bottom pattern places TSLA move to $220 area
-^Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side
BEARISH:
-Bearish Rising Wedge on Daily- if pattern completes, measured move will go to fill gap @ $147.61
--Bearish Divergences are formed on lower time frames (4hr-1hr)
-Daily Bearish Divergences are looking to follow suit
-OBV & Momentum indicators are diverging to the negative (OBV is High but Momentum is contrary)
-Price has been moving down but A/D Line continues rising *I analyze this as Higher Distribution
_____________________________
-***TIME FRAME: Analyzing consolidation patterns and impulse moves (Mark-UP) - I am seeing Consolidation on average of 25-27 days and Impulse Moves lasting 14 days
*Tesla is going to hit 27 days of consolidation on Wednesday I can foresee the Markdown Phase Beginning for 2 weeks and moving into consolidation until before next earnings in April before the Next Mark-UP
This aligns up with Seasonal Market Trends ( Bullish in Jan - Decline mid Feb to mid March)
-
Options
Current Options info: *$200 Call Option Wall
-Contrarian view is that with High Call Options @ $200 price will close below that by end of week (Market Makers do not want to pay-out) Max-Pain is currently at 197.5
-Bullish view: amount of options could create a "Gamma Squeeze" -Squeezing Tesla to test or surpass Highs in the short-term, ***Short-term pump & Dump
Weekly Expected Move: $215 High $197 Low
Positives:
-Investor Day is Hyping up the bullish trend as everyone is preparing for Elon to showcase "GEN 3" platform -a new commodity vehicle for $25-30k before mark-up. This has retail piling into TSLA stock with an enormous $200 call Option wall again..
-Berlin Higher production levels
--QQQ Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side - Help to continue Rally
Analysis: Short-Term Neutral/ Bearish (Long-Term Bullish )
My bias is Bearish with a possible pump & dump scenario in play ...
$200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets to .. If Tuesday shows strong Commitment and closes at the highs.. We could see Bullish continuation to $234.
Tomorrow is VERY CRITICAL - Monthly close above $200 shows strong buyer commitment - if there is a sell-off and we see a close below $197, I feel confident that Tsla will retrace to $145 area to fill gap ( 0.618 retracement )
Tsla Closing strong tomorrow will lead me to believe that consolidation may continue through next week until we get March Payroll Data (this puts my target price to $232-$234 before we see "Mark-Down"
*watch how TSLA reacts to Weekly Expected high at $215 area
-I am staying away from Options except for "Day-Of"
-Day Trading has been exceptional - waiting 15min after market open has proved beneficial
TSLA Continuation into investor day? TSLA continues upside auction leading into investor day on 3/1/2023. Hit 211.16 (completion of EOD 3bar play) target in overnight session and breached 212.49 (VPOC during intraday session. Overnight high was 212.60)// New target is 217.20, 221.27 if conditions persist//KLs <210.52: 209.23, 207.40, 205.16// ATR:11.40, Beta: 2.09, IV: 73.89%// Bias: Neutral- Risk on// Economic events has potential to invalidate technical setup.
$TSLA bulls keeping the TSLA alive!$TSLA holding it own this morning, keeping the momentum up just above $200 level. tesla must stay above the $190 to $200
to continue its momentum to upside. no new catalyst for tesla except the anticipation of the new tesla model 3 which still no
further announcement. also Elon Musk face class action lawsuit from shareholders, overstating the effectiveness and safety of
the company's autopilot and full self driving technologies.
below is the price level I'm looking for $TSLA:
TGT average price move per day is $7-12 per day depending on market volatility and catalyst.
Below is the price level I'm looking for entry and exit for TSLA:
Buy call above 209.26 and sell at 211.73+ or above
Buy puts below 204.17 and sell at 201.52 or below
make sure that you set up alerts on those key level so you wont miss the move.
and always to take your profits as you see one.
Tesla Time To RetraceHere Is My Study on Tesla Chart. Is To Much Extended. I Think Its Time To Retrace a Bit.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. The information presented in this analysis is based on my own research and is subject to change without notice. The analysis is not a recommendation to buy or sell any specific cryptocurrency Stocks Or Forex, including This Pair. Please conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
TSLA setting up for a pull back?$TSLA slightly pulls back after soaring for couple of weeks. this pulls back is expected and it might setting up for another pulls back or consolidate
if needs to cools off. TSLA bulls needs to hold the 190 level or bears might gain some momentum here to break below 190.
no majors news to push the TSLA except the analyst upgrade to buy rating.
TSLA average price move per day is $7-$13 per day depending on market volatility and catalyst.
Below is the price level I'm looking for entries and exit for TSLA:
Buy call above 203.31 and sell at 205.90+ or above
Buy puts below 196.61 and sell at 194.50 or below
make sure that you set up alerts on those key level so you wont miss the move.
and always to take your profits as you see one.
Tesla’s price has doubled in six weeks, where to from here?Back in October, we made an outlandish call for Tesla to more than halve and fall from $220 down to $100. Four months later, we are both delighted and somewhat saddened to see it came to fruition almost perfectly (although technically it only fell to $101.81, leaving out bear call out of pocket by $1.81 per share). It was nothing personal against the company or Elon, but we simply looked at the data and hypothesised an idea based it. So where is Tesla to go from here?
Incidentally, the stock is almost right back where it was in October and trades at $202.35, having more than doubled and rallied 113.8% in just six weeks.
Tesla (TSLA) weekly chart :
We can see on the weekly chart that the rally from $100 has been string and in a relatively straight line, and volumes rose to a two-year high to show fresh buyers entered the market and bears closed out. However, we’re approaching the broken neckline which could potentially prompt a pullback (or a consolidation), but the strong volume and price action suggests it could eventually break above it.
And whilst a bearish hammer formed two weeks ago, it was followed by a bullish engulfing week with higher volume to show demand at these highs. Therefore, a break below 187.61 assumes a pullback, but bulls may be interested in loading above this key level for a move to the neckline around $225.
Tesla (TSLA) daily chart:
The daily chart shows a small pullback within the range of a bullish engulfing candle at the highs. A small bullish hammer formed yesterday for a potential higher low above last week’s low, and the daily engulfing candle. After-hours trade also see it trade slightly higher. Also note that the 20 and 100-day EMA’s sit perfectly on last week’s low, making $187.61 an important support level for bulls to defend. RSI (14) remain positive above 50, so we’re looking for another burst higher on the daily chart.
• The bias on the daily chart is bullish above $187.60
• We anticipated a move towards the $220 - $225 area (along the neckline, depending on how quickly it gets there), where we may then see a pullback from the broken neckline
• Keep in mind the November high around $237.4 which could also cap gains over the near-term
• A break below $187.60 assumes a deeper correction, where we’d then look for evidence of a swing low around a Fibonacci number or the ‘gap support’ zone’ (at which point reconsider longs, in line with weekly volume and momentum)
TSLA Potential to 61.8% Fibonacci Line My overall bias for TSLA is bullish as the current market price is above the Ichimoku Cloud, Looking for the pullback buy entry at 183.64 where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Take profit at 231.49 where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is. stop loss at 152.36.
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