Tesla Time To RetraceHere Is My Study on Tesla Chart. Is To Much Extended. I Think Its Time To Retrace a Bit.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. The information presented in this analysis is based on my own research and is subject to change without notice. The analysis is not a recommendation to buy or sell any specific cryptocurrency Stocks Or Forex, including This Pair. Please conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Tslalong
TSLA setting up for a pull back?$TSLA slightly pulls back after soaring for couple of weeks. this pulls back is expected and it might setting up for another pulls back or consolidate
if needs to cools off. TSLA bulls needs to hold the 190 level or bears might gain some momentum here to break below 190.
no majors news to push the TSLA except the analyst upgrade to buy rating.
TSLA average price move per day is $7-$13 per day depending on market volatility and catalyst.
Below is the price level I'm looking for entries and exit for TSLA:
Buy call above 203.31 and sell at 205.90+ or above
Buy puts below 196.61 and sell at 194.50 or below
make sure that you set up alerts on those key level so you wont miss the move.
and always to take your profits as you see one.
Tesla’s price has doubled in six weeks, where to from here?Back in October, we made an outlandish call for Tesla to more than halve and fall from $220 down to $100. Four months later, we are both delighted and somewhat saddened to see it came to fruition almost perfectly (although technically it only fell to $101.81, leaving out bear call out of pocket by $1.81 per share). It was nothing personal against the company or Elon, but we simply looked at the data and hypothesised an idea based it. So where is Tesla to go from here?
Incidentally, the stock is almost right back where it was in October and trades at $202.35, having more than doubled and rallied 113.8% in just six weeks.
Tesla (TSLA) weekly chart :
We can see on the weekly chart that the rally from $100 has been string and in a relatively straight line, and volumes rose to a two-year high to show fresh buyers entered the market and bears closed out. However, we’re approaching the broken neckline which could potentially prompt a pullback (or a consolidation), but the strong volume and price action suggests it could eventually break above it.
And whilst a bearish hammer formed two weeks ago, it was followed by a bullish engulfing week with higher volume to show demand at these highs. Therefore, a break below 187.61 assumes a pullback, but bulls may be interested in loading above this key level for a move to the neckline around $225.
Tesla (TSLA) daily chart:
The daily chart shows a small pullback within the range of a bullish engulfing candle at the highs. A small bullish hammer formed yesterday for a potential higher low above last week’s low, and the daily engulfing candle. After-hours trade also see it trade slightly higher. Also note that the 20 and 100-day EMA’s sit perfectly on last week’s low, making $187.61 an important support level for bulls to defend. RSI (14) remain positive above 50, so we’re looking for another burst higher on the daily chart.
• The bias on the daily chart is bullish above $187.60
• We anticipated a move towards the $220 - $225 area (along the neckline, depending on how quickly it gets there), where we may then see a pullback from the broken neckline
• Keep in mind the November high around $237.4 which could also cap gains over the near-term
• A break below $187.60 assumes a deeper correction, where we’d then look for evidence of a swing low around a Fibonacci number or the ‘gap support’ zone’ (at which point reconsider longs, in line with weekly volume and momentum)
TSLA Potential to 61.8% Fibonacci Line My overall bias for TSLA is bullish as the current market price is above the Ichimoku Cloud, Looking for the pullback buy entry at 183.64 where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Take profit at 231.49 where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is. stop loss at 152.36.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
TSLA Squeeze $we got double top resistant at 212$ if we break it we going to test the 2 profit taking then the squeeze area around the 313$.
on the other hand if we broke our ascending support above the 190$ we going to see a bit of selling pressure to have a reversal from the support above the 165$.
$TSLA pull back is a bear trap?$TSLA soars after beating the eps couple weeks ago, along with the market bounce from inflation data and other news.
i think this pull back is a must to cool off after soaring almost 100$ in a month. daily chart rsi shows its over bought and
4hour chart show its entering the squeeze zone. but the momentum of tsla still looking strong for now until the higher time
frame breaks below moving average.
TSLA average price move per day is $7-$13 per day depending on market volatility and catalyst.
Below is the price level I'm looking for entries and exit for TSLA:
Buy call above 200.60 and sell at 204.90 or above
Buy puts below 192.09 and sell at 188.06 or below
make sure that you set up alerts on those key level so you wont miss the move.
and always to take your profits as you see one.
AW Tesla Analysis - Eventual Move Up To $700 Area...According to the AriasWave methodology, we have seen what appears to be the end of Wave (B) followed by an impulsive move up.
This suggests that Wave (C) has commenced, and I see support at $102.
I would suggest looking out for a pullback first before entering the trade.
Price may come back to fill the gap or use it as support, or it may not.
Given that I am expecting a slight pull back in the Nasdaq and Dow Jones, there is a possibility.
If there is enough interest in this idea, I could potentially do a deep dive on the waves at smaller degree.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.***
TSLA Re-Accumulation/DistributionTSLA price swings are signs of accumulation/distribution. Weakness in small time frame / Strength on Daily - this is either correction or liquidity grab into next move up
$190 support - Weakness under $188, $182 is LPS
*1hr support 21 EMA Resistance 8ema
*5ma Daily Support
Weekly anchored VWAP: $188
*1hr indicators are showing triple negative divergence
Powell could be the catalyst to push markets & Tesla into correction territory
*Options - $200 weekly Call Wall Wallstreet max pain will be between $188-$190 (this changes daily)
Weekly expected move: $207 high $197 low
Intraday: 2/7 (Bearish)
Trading between $198-$190 then $188-182
I was expecting an upthrust to $200-201 for a liquidity grab before correction... still possible, but 1 hr. bullishness is weakening
current bias is bearish for the short-term. *above 201.8 I can see this going to weekly highs
*Pay attention to Volume of Selling and Buying - Buying Volume is still larger* Low Volume Sell-off is a sign of re-accumulation
TSLA Opened above previous candle so I took a bullish tradeI moved my stop accordingly, the stock closed above the high from the previous candle, Got in at 10EMA bear candle closed above so i went long. I gave it the ‘newsome nudge’ after price almost hit my target but was not ‘paytient’ enough to have my holding muscle long enough. Glad i was green for the day :+1::skin-tone-4:.
2.57R:money_mouth_face: for the day.(‘if i held long enough’ i would have been up more). But I'm glad I my analysis was correct! The goal is to win more than you lose.
Tesla -> The Bulls Are Pushing HigherHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
Just a couple of weeks ago Tesla stock perfectly tested and rejected a quite strong previous support zone towards the upside.
However this bullish move of about 80% is still not over yet in my opinion, since we still have some room towards the upside until we retest the next resistance area.
From a daily perspective I am now just waiting for a short term retracement back to the previous resistance zone which is now turned support, then I will wait for some bullish confirmation and then there is a high chance that we will see the next weekly push towards the upside.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
Tesla correction to $190 likely imminent. There is a strong confluence zone of Gann’s Cycles of the Inner Year between Dec 19 and Dec 22
180 bars from the April 4 swing high
144 bars from the May 24 swing low
97 bars from the Aug 4 swing high
91 days from the Sept 22 swing high
Additionally, there are significant gaps now between the bodies of the candlesticks between Dec 14 – Dec 21 and the Tenkan-Sen.
Significant and surging volume coming in while $TSLA hits new lows.
The price value of $144 itself is an important number in Gann Analysis.
Anticipated outlook: A return to $190 value area over the next 42 to 49 trading days.
TSLA Re-Accumulation to Big DistributionTopping reversal candle on the 4 hr. I see Bullish and Bearish scenarios- * Yes Tesla can go to $180 first, it has to happen before Wednesday
Bearish- pullback and double top , Rising Wedge or complete breakdown from here.
Bullish-continuation on new support trend-line past $200… to confirm V bottom recovery (Tsla is one of few stocks that will be green while Markets go red)
*** everything dependent on Markets to confirm Bull cycle or to fade the rally and begin the Final leg Down of Correction.
My Thesis,( until price action delivers a different scenario)-
I’m leaning Bearish, but with a possibility of higher high along with Bearish Divergence confirmation. Just to accumulate more retail liquidity before February selloff -Smart Money began buying in December- taking profits in February lines up with lower Tax on gains and portfolio rotation
I believe economic data or FOMC will maintain hawkishness and rug-pull the markets next Wednesday.
Macro Data:
- NYSE advance decline is supporting weakness in markets
-Retail & Smart money are completely divergent
-Put/Call ratio beginning to favor Bears
-Vix bullish divergence setup forming
-DXY, 10yr & 2yr bond yields are all rising with markets
-HYG Bonds are falling while markets advance
-Retail influx & euphoria is at highest level since 2021 & 2022 August high (LARGE SELLOFF)
- Feb & March seasonally are sell-off & Volatility spikes until April
***Everything is pointing to a Large pullback or “The Final” leg of Bearish Correction
TSLA - One possible scenario for the stock priceFor this scenario to happen we have to break an important resistance level - the $202 level. After that we will expect a retracement without making new lows, and then start to consolidate and slowly move to the upside again.
Trade with care.
Disclaimer: The analysis provided is purely informative and it should not be used as financial advice. We do not recommend making hurried trading decisions. You should always understand the risk that trading implies and that PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
TSLA Relief Rally *Be Careful-(Short Term Bullish)***Warning Monday Jan 2nd (Market is Closed) - Q4 EV Deliveries - good report then TSLA will complete H&S pattern and continue Bullish Island Gap Reversal
Positive:
`TSLA is Very Oversold, we could see a continuation of this bounce up too 150-180 if production release is great on Monday.
-Bullish Chart patterns show inverse H&S pattern created by Island Gap Reversal.
LARGE Buying Volume strong-sign of institutional investment - this could be accumulation phase
Beginning of January tends to be positive for the stock market
NDX & SPX showing signs of upcoming relief rally (*before we make final leg down)
HYG & JNK Bonds are showing bullish divergence
Negative:
Monday possible less deliveries than expected -if is lack luster I can see TSLA dropping 7-12% to retest the low
China Covid Cases/ Shanghai Factory Slow production
Tesla is still in a Strong Bear Market pattern
Elon and Twitter Drama
Earnings report on the 23rd - with factory issues, supply issues - it does not look promising
Macro H&S Pattern puts the measured decline to $90-$80 range
Sentiment:
Short Term -Swing /Day Trading -I am only Bullish for the Short Term* (1-2 weeks) .
Long Term Investing: I am Bullish for Long Term (5 yrs) ....over-all I would choose the $109 area as 1st pt accumulation / $80 area second point / $60 area 3rd pt (TSLA will Grow 25% Sales YoY for next 5yrs) PEG ratio looking good
TSLA $ SQUEEZE we about to have huge test around this level (180$/200$) if we break that level we have a bullish reversal for Tesla and going towards the 230$ and then 313$, if we got rejected we have to hold above the 150$ in order to confirm that we dont have a sell off then bounce from our ascending line and try again to break that level .
Short-term Bullish Breakout attemptTSLA broke out of the falling channel with back test today-and could be attempting a 16% measured move up to fill the gap around $137.
*There will be resistance between 124-128.
If..IF Markets maintain bullishness we could see Tsla Move Towards $161-168 area, which coincides with: ~ Previous Support + 200WMA + 0.618 Golden Fibonacci Retracement, before moving back down to complete accumulation bottoming pattern.
Data to keep in mind:
THURSDAY: **CPI data expectations where just changed this morning - expectations of -0.1 instead of 0.0
JAN 23rd. *Earnings expectations are bearish
Protection Ideas:
if bullish pattern plays out - sell Early Feb $140 Calls to protect position
Pattern Failure: Close Below $108 (you could set a stop loss at $117 - Tsla may want to fill gap at $114 first or test 110 area
*** I do not believe the Markets are primed for THE Bull run yet (soon.. not yet) ... New Lowes are coming in Feb. Just an opinion..
Good luck & let me know what you think or if you have any good trade set-ups you want to share or discuss.