Tesla correction to $190 likely imminent. There is a strong confluence zone of Gann’s Cycles of the Inner Year between Dec 19 and Dec 22
180 bars from the April 4 swing high
144 bars from the May 24 swing low
97 bars from the Aug 4 swing high
91 days from the Sept 22 swing high
Additionally, there are significant gaps now between the bodies of the candlesticks between Dec 14 – Dec 21 and the Tenkan-Sen.
Significant and surging volume coming in while $TSLA hits new lows.
The price value of $144 itself is an important number in Gann Analysis.
Anticipated outlook: A return to $190 value area over the next 42 to 49 trading days.
Tslalong
TSLA Re-Accumulation to Big DistributionTopping reversal candle on the 4 hr. I see Bullish and Bearish scenarios- * Yes Tesla can go to $180 first, it has to happen before Wednesday
Bearish- pullback and double top , Rising Wedge or complete breakdown from here.
Bullish-continuation on new support trend-line past $200… to confirm V bottom recovery (Tsla is one of few stocks that will be green while Markets go red)
*** everything dependent on Markets to confirm Bull cycle or to fade the rally and begin the Final leg Down of Correction.
My Thesis,( until price action delivers a different scenario)-
I’m leaning Bearish, but with a possibility of higher high along with Bearish Divergence confirmation. Just to accumulate more retail liquidity before February selloff -Smart Money began buying in December- taking profits in February lines up with lower Tax on gains and portfolio rotation
I believe economic data or FOMC will maintain hawkishness and rug-pull the markets next Wednesday.
Macro Data:
- NYSE advance decline is supporting weakness in markets
-Retail & Smart money are completely divergent
-Put/Call ratio beginning to favor Bears
-Vix bullish divergence setup forming
-DXY, 10yr & 2yr bond yields are all rising with markets
-HYG Bonds are falling while markets advance
-Retail influx & euphoria is at highest level since 2021 & 2022 August high (LARGE SELLOFF)
- Feb & March seasonally are sell-off & Volatility spikes until April
***Everything is pointing to a Large pullback or “The Final” leg of Bearish Correction
TSLA - One possible scenario for the stock priceFor this scenario to happen we have to break an important resistance level - the $202 level. After that we will expect a retracement without making new lows, and then start to consolidate and slowly move to the upside again.
Trade with care.
Disclaimer: The analysis provided is purely informative and it should not be used as financial advice. We do not recommend making hurried trading decisions. You should always understand the risk that trading implies and that PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
TSLA Relief Rally *Be Careful-(Short Term Bullish)***Warning Monday Jan 2nd (Market is Closed) - Q4 EV Deliveries - good report then TSLA will complete H&S pattern and continue Bullish Island Gap Reversal
Positive:
`TSLA is Very Oversold, we could see a continuation of this bounce up too 150-180 if production release is great on Monday.
-Bullish Chart patterns show inverse H&S pattern created by Island Gap Reversal.
LARGE Buying Volume strong-sign of institutional investment - this could be accumulation phase
Beginning of January tends to be positive for the stock market
NDX & SPX showing signs of upcoming relief rally (*before we make final leg down)
HYG & JNK Bonds are showing bullish divergence
Negative:
Monday possible less deliveries than expected -if is lack luster I can see TSLA dropping 7-12% to retest the low
China Covid Cases/ Shanghai Factory Slow production
Tesla is still in a Strong Bear Market pattern
Elon and Twitter Drama
Earnings report on the 23rd - with factory issues, supply issues - it does not look promising
Macro H&S Pattern puts the measured decline to $90-$80 range
Sentiment:
Short Term -Swing /Day Trading -I am only Bullish for the Short Term* (1-2 weeks) .
Long Term Investing: I am Bullish for Long Term (5 yrs) ....over-all I would choose the $109 area as 1st pt accumulation / $80 area second point / $60 area 3rd pt (TSLA will Grow 25% Sales YoY for next 5yrs) PEG ratio looking good
TSLA $ SQUEEZE we about to have huge test around this level (180$/200$) if we break that level we have a bullish reversal for Tesla and going towards the 230$ and then 313$, if we got rejected we have to hold above the 150$ in order to confirm that we dont have a sell off then bounce from our ascending line and try again to break that level .
Short-term Bullish Breakout attemptTSLA broke out of the falling channel with back test today-and could be attempting a 16% measured move up to fill the gap around $137.
*There will be resistance between 124-128.
If..IF Markets maintain bullishness we could see Tsla Move Towards $161-168 area, which coincides with: ~ Previous Support + 200WMA + 0.618 Golden Fibonacci Retracement, before moving back down to complete accumulation bottoming pattern.
Data to keep in mind:
THURSDAY: **CPI data expectations where just changed this morning - expectations of -0.1 instead of 0.0
JAN 23rd. *Earnings expectations are bearish
Protection Ideas:
if bullish pattern plays out - sell Early Feb $140 Calls to protect position
Pattern Failure: Close Below $108 (you could set a stop loss at $117 - Tsla may want to fill gap at $114 first or test 110 area
*** I do not believe the Markets are primed for THE Bull run yet (soon.. not yet) ... New Lowes are coming in Feb. Just an opinion..
Good luck & let me know what you think or if you have any good trade set-ups you want to share or discuss.
TSLA retest establishedThis beautiful Reverse H&S pattern breakout and retest could only mean one thing! UP ONLY.
These short time frame Reverse H&S's that happen at bottom levels like this are known to create harsh upwards patterns between %50 and %70. An occasion like this would also cause the S&P to rally and give it strength. Good luck friends. Have a great week.
NASDAQ:TSLA
TSLA - Triple Bottom then Flat Top TriangleTSLA has had a long down trend from macro factors including China , a recession as well as a unique
situation tying it to Twitter and Musk liquidating large blocks of stock.
From the technical side of things a recent triple bottom has evolved to a flat top triangle pattern.
Both of these are bullish suggesting a reversal is real. The setup is for a breakout above
the flat top ( black line drawn on the chart) I will add TSLA back to the waitlist and watch
it also with a small position in leverged TSLL. Once it is above the breakout level of 124.75
call options with 2 weeks expiration strike of 130 will be entertained.
TSLA buy @ 100 and sell @ 120 for a 20% gainLooking to buy at 100 hopefully today ... this is a key level because i remember back in august 2020 all the craziness started about TESLA becoming the Apple of cars but yet charts are pretty clear at 100 there will be a big bounce for sure until 120 maybe even 140, but in the bear market better to be safe than sorry so i will get my 20% gain at 120. Midterm more pain is coming to and TSLA should find the ultimate bottom at 60. Note: This is not financial advice, consult your financial advisor.
TSLA To 0$ ?NASDAQ:TSLA
Tesla is a great company, I don't think it will collapse, by fundamentals breaking each Q's Rev and Profits, Best selling car.
But as FED keeps raising the interest rate, it will go lower but for now:
Trade for a short timeframe . Tesla Looks great.
Over Sold, Close to Support Level, Sellers Vol Decreased, Far a Way from MA'S, confluence AREA!
I taking it for a long With 2 TP at Fibs Level.
Bought for 124.
Have fun.
TP1 139
TP2 149
SL 110
Let's talk about Elon & Tesla...Happy New Years people! 🎇 🎉
Starting 2023 off with another one of our Nostradamus style predictions. 🔮
Since Elon's massive selloff, speculation around Tesla has heated up.
So we figured we'd throw in our two cents...
Looking at the Tesla and SP500 daily charts here, we can see a few potential scenarios playing out.
We've mapped some key levels; the major 2020 support of $60, the $80-$120 zone it recently dipped into, and the bounce zone of $130-$160.
After the Elon-induced selloff, we saw a very nice bounce with 3 green candles last week. Definitely some short-squeezing taking place before years end.
This bounce can easily make a run back up towards $130 if we see a sustained pump across equities. 📈
Of course, which direction Tesla will move in the short-mid term depends on the stock market as a whole. That's why we included (as always), the SPX.
We can see a clear bounce off the top of the channel on the SPX that took place in early-mid December.
We've crabbed along the last week or so, and our gut tells us a broader sell-off might be incoming in Q1. 📉
If you're a long-term older of Tesla, setting up a dollar-cost average grid on the way down in that $80-$120 zone, might not be a bad idea. 💪
Especially if we really nuke down towards the $60 major support.
Long term we are VERY bullish on Tesla and all things Elon, but we might see some great buying opportunities here in 2023.
Eyes peeled.👀
-TucciNomics
Chief Overlord, AlgoBuddy
TSLA Bounced Off Support! What Next?The last time we made our Tesla chart, we were in a downward channel and expecting a bounce off support. It has since fell through that but looks to have found support at the $111 level.
Looking at the weekly RSI, we can see TSLA is at the same level it was at in May 2020 before it had its huge run (oversold). This, combined with the bounce off weekly support at $111 leads me to believe we could be at a reversal point for TSLA.
The next major resistance points are $128 and the bottom of the channel at $138. If we can break back into the channel, I believe $190 is highly likely. If we break back below support, then $92 is the next major level I'll be buying at.
If you enjoyed my TA, please send a boost my way and comment below :)
TSLA Reversal $we broke from our bullish flag , which gave us a change from our bearish trend, we've got a resistant to over come to continue that bullish momentum around the 123$+, to go towards the first poi taking 136$, and then the 167$.
on the other hand if we didn't over come that resistant around the 123$, we going to test our support above 114$, if we didn't hold it , we going to see continuation for the bearish momentum till the bottom price above the 91$.
Is TSLA coming back on track?NASDAQ:TSLA
My TSLA forecast was a bounce from 159 and, if failed, from 108. I started to collect a long-run position at 159 and bought the 2nd batch of stocks at 108. My risk plan includes the possible price fall to 50.50 with 90 in between Itechnically) - Jan'02-23 will showcase which direction TSLA will move next Q1'23.
Overall, I think TSLA is bottoming. I placed my 2 general visions of next TSLA price moves based on my TA.
$TESLA - BIGGEST MONTHLY DROP IN YEARS $TESLA - BIGGEST MONTHLY DROP IN YEARS
We hit the first target! - $112
It is a nice place to take profit on shorts.
The 2th Target: $70. This is where I would really be loading up on $TSLA for the long term.
I expected it to bounce from here but eventually likely get to $70.