Tslalong
US STOCKS should fall especially tech stocksUs markets
I am a 14-year-old demo trader in England don’t take this as finical advise I am still doing my gcses get a guru or professional to tell you what to.
Market preview
Going into this trading week stocks should continue to fall during this bear market and talks of a recession increase as the possibility of the fed being able to perform a soft landing because of their aggressive strategy to combat inflation. The phrase ‘melt up’ was used by CNN to show that stocks may soar before the inventible crash. This could occur because of investors believe that the strong us economy will prevail causing stocks to soar in price creating FOMO and a trend reversal is occurring. But because of basic market fundamentals such as high inflation a slowing economy and high energy costs caused by the Ukrainian Russian war will continue to fuel this bear market. Another reason why this bear market is here to stay is because of an inverted yield curve which Is where short term debt pays out more than long term suggests a bear market is here to stay even though it is an argued point that an inverted yield curve means a recession it does still resemble tough time for markets. Over the next two years, stocks have a high chance of having a melt-up. But Goldman Sachs still believes there is a 35 % chance of a recession.
Stocks and predictions what I think (DYR)
• NVDA (short)
• TWTR(long)
• AAPL(short)
• AMD(short)
• TSLA(neutral)
Us tech stocks have suffered recently with the Nasdaq dropping 4.19% in the last month with stocks such as NVDA dropping 23.87% in the last month and AAPL dropping 4.95% in the last month suggesting a strong bear market for tech stocks which shows us high growth stocks such as NVDA have been deeply affected because of rising interest rates and investor not willing to risk large amounts during this current market turbulence. Going into this week stocks should continue to drop especially high-growth stocks. The semiconductor producer NVDA will be very interesting to see because it is a high growth stock hitting its all-time highest at 329.85 in November 2021. NVDA gained over 121.1% in 2020 when gaming interest spiked during lockdown which is NVDAs main source of revenue. This tells us that even during bear markets the stock can be resilient so it must bear for another reason that it has lost over 33.85% this YTD. there are many reasons of why the stock could have fallen from monetary policy tightening, the fed aggressive strategy to target inflation, and fears of recession. But I believe it is because of soaring energy prices which I mentioned in my last idea. Energy costs can account for 20% to 30% of semiconductor producer’s energy costs. Energy prices have risen more than 250% since January, according to industry group Oil & Gas UK affecting NVDA’s earnings deeply.
TSLA currently is in a very weird position its earnings where though the roof with a 87% rise in revenues which blew the stock up to around the 1070-1080 levels which was last trader around early April. that shows us that the stock has respected the current bear market decreasing 4.9% YTD but has risen 6.48% in the last 3 months so it is a very volatile stock that will be perfect for traders with larger accounts to trade. But I would never open a short on TSLA always seems too dangerous for me its such a good stock any with Elon Musk being able to control the stock just by making tweet always seems bad to me. TSLA does seem to be in a down trend trading below the 200 MA and 50 MA.
Between a rock and a hard place, Elon Musk is trying to perform an LBO on TWTR as the management crew has deployed a poison pill to try to combat the unwanted takeover it could mean if Elon's takeover is rejected it could lead for him to sell his 9% stake in the company causing the stock price to fall. this uncertainty for TWTR could lead other investors into selling the stock. TWTRs competition with TikTok gaining in popularity and with cheaper ad prices with better exposure could mean less demand for TWTR ads which is their main source of revenue which could affect their earnings which is in 4 days’ time. even though the stock does have strong price momentum the company’s fundamental aspects aren’t as strong as its competitors. TWTR has a bullish chart pattern and other technical aspects which should lead to a increase in price .Even though the stock has had a recent rally it should still respect the current bear market in the longer term. over the next 5 trading days, I believe TWTR will rise but still fluctuate between the 55-45 price range even though fundamental aspects disagree. To conclude twitter is a very uncertain stock it all depends on if Elon’s takeover is successful. Elon himself said he’s “not sure” if the bid will be taken by the board. But he apparently has a plan b. if worst comes to worst and he sells his 9.2% stake in TWTR the stock will crumble. But he does seem passionate about making Twitter a private company.
AAPL should continue to fall as on Wednesday the death cross occurred where the 50-day moving average crosses the 200-day moving average as well as the fears of a recession coming which will cut consumer spending which will cause cuts in AAPLs revenues. Which will dampen AAPLs earnings which is in 4 days which is expected to be worse than last quarter which will cause investors to sell decreasing the share price. Technical aspects are giving strong sell signals. MAs are giving off strong sell signals as well as the MACD giving sell signals
To conclude US stocks will continue to fall as fears of a recession is coming with the fed trying to perform a soft landing that has never been done before. An inverted yield curve and rising interest rates and US ten-year bond yields rising all fuel this current bear market where stocks are suffering. Over the next 5 trading days, stocks will continue to fall with a chance of a rally being possible because of people ‘buying the dip’. This is not financial advice don’t be dumb.
Tesla earnings breakout attempt Based in the earnings conference call and information shared by elon, tesla price may have enough momentum to attempt another 52wk high. There are two ttm squeezes that are squeezing on the daily and weekly. Moreover there is a perfect, maybe too perfect elliott wave daily and weekly count. The structure fits very well and in agreement with another game squeeze setup. Tesla daily price sits on the 6 day ma and not under it so price may be initiating its trend today. Although telsa pulled back after 10% off of earnings, the price still closed above the 6 day ma which defines the start of new leg up. Currently I have opened June month 1675c @2.25 and looking to open another set on Friday April 22. This next gamma squeeze will be epic. Tgt in next two weeks 1269 and then 1600 into June or July. I hope this helps.
$TLSA earning play?$TSLA has been consolidating in the past few days. its been consolidating around just above 1030 to 975 area. 1040 is the resistance that needs to break through to continue its momentum.
as $TSLA earnings coming up tomorrow after market close, the stock could rally by hype because of the anticipating earnings. this kind of move is very typical before the earnings announcement.
if the earnings of tesla are good and other companies that announcing their earnings after market close with positive news. the market could rally due to strong earnings sentiment.
Also, earnings play is always gamble or a lotto play so trade with amount of money that you're willing to lose.
my strategy on tesla tomorrow is to wait about 30min to 1hr after the market opens. this will help you the determine the pattern if the stock is consolidating or trending up or down.
Average move of TSLA per day is about 20-30+ depending on a day.
Below is my ideal entry for day trading or scalp play.
TSLA: Day trade or scalp target play: 04/20/22
Buy call above 1026.45 sell at 1035.15 or above.
Buy puts below 1014.65 sell at 1006.70 or below.
option open interest: ideal expiration date: 5/20/22 6/17/22
Hello everyone,
welcome to this free technical analysis . ( mostly momentum play )
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EWT: Tesla Has Brokendown The Corrective StructureTesla has broken down the corrective channel, and the price surged rapidly.
Currently, 3rd has reached 161.8% of wave 1. After completion of wave 3, the price will start its corrective wave 4.
Traders can initiate long positions after the accomplishment of wave 4 for the targets of 1056 - 1113 - 1210+.
MIDIUM TERM TEASLA DIRECTIONAL BIAS BULLISHHEY GUYS
this is an update of the idea posted in 30 march in which I've successfully predicted last move this is the place I've been waiting for the market to come
and now I'm bullish
this is my general outlook on the market i am currently bullish on the stocks market and looking to buy the dips as far as i can see a retracement is due in both indexes and some profit taking so that happens this is my plan of attack keep in mind that this is an idea a plan in a uncertain chaotic environment out of multiple plans to be cirtainedif anything happens that changes the fundamentals of this idea, i will update.
please note that this is not financial advice. do your own research and use this information as conformational bias on top of your own analysis.
like for support!!!!
TSLA Potential For Bullish Bounce| 13th April 2022We see a potential for a bounce from the buy entry level of 970.59 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement towards the take profit level of 1036.51 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci projection . Our bullish bias is supported by the stochastic indicator where price is near to the support level .
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TSLA Bull-run continuation we have one Resistant lift at 1200$, which will be another breakout, and seeing all time high for tsla, but we expect a bit of fighting back from the short around this area , but we need to hold our first support to confirm the strength of our trend , other wise we will go back to the second support .
holding above the 1200$ will confirm the bull-run contention for tsla .
TSLA bullish ahead of stock split Tesla is asking its shareholders to split its stock for the second time in two years.
The split would come in the form of a dividend, paying shareholders additional shares.
It might reach all time high in my opinion if they don`t mess up with the deliveries, so there is still a 9.30%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
TSLA classic daily Elliott Wave StructureTesla moved off it's lows in March and formed a classic Elliott Wave Structure. Currently the structure is in Wave 4 and may pull back for the next 2 to 3 days. I am planning to initiate a LONG position first week or seconds week of april. Wave 5 should attempt to make new 52 wk highs.
TSLA: Buy zone is 917-960Tesla just completed a powerful W-3. However, now the uptrend has become exhausted and needs time to rest. Fibonacci extension targets have been achieved and MACD/RSI are showing bearish divergences. I expect the retracement to reach about the .382 - .500 level. If you own TSLA, you may want to consider selling covered calls to protect some of the gains you had over the last couple weeks.