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TSLA around a confluence zone : Technical Analysis and ForecastTSLA Technical Analysis and Forecast Tesla (TSLA) is currently positioned at a critical confluence zone, where both horizontal and ascending trendlines intersect. Should the selling pressure persist and the stock breaks below the $325 level, there is a potential for further downside movement toward a psychological support zone at $300. It is important to note that TSLA has experienced a significant decline of approximately 33% from its peak on December 18, 2024, which could indicate potential for a rebound at these levels. Given the stock's current discount, I believe it may present a compelling opportunity for long-term investors. I intend to continue building my position through a disciplined Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy, gradually accumulating shares as the price moves lower. Should TSLA reach the $300 mark, I consider it a strong buying opportunity. As always, please trade with caution and consider your risk tolerance before making any decisions.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ForexClinik
1
TSLA Main Trend 02 2025Logarithm. Time frame 1 month (no need for less). Chart until 2031 🟢At the moment we are running a big triangle that broke through upwards . 🔄 There is a rollback now , to retest the breakout zone. All according to technical analysis, due to the super success of the company and the liquidity of its shares. As for me, the retest should be successful, and then the trend will continue. 🔴But, they can do, like in the last cycle (I specifically highlighted this and showed %), a reset (for some grandiose news) and only then a reversal. If this happens, remember, this is a "temporary phenomenon". Do not play locally in shorts, the main trend is bullish, and it will clearly dominate in the long term. Fundamental analysis. Competition with BYD. That's why I'll write a lot of text about how this will greatly affect the price of TSLA shares in the future (real supply/demand) due to trade wars for sales markets. 1️⃣ The only competitor in the world is only the Chinese BYD . Which will become an order of magnitude stronger for TSLA in monetary terms and the popularity of more technologically advanced and affordable cars. Its main advantage, why it can give a cheaper price for a higher quality product, is complete control over the production of the most expensive unit of an electric car - batteries. From the extraction of raw materials for production to the assembly of the battery, without intermediaries. But, it is worth noting that the future super giant BYD will be denied access (as is currently partially the case) to countries where politics is subject to US influence. This is the so-called "gray zone" where a "trade war" will develop for the sale of products. The one who pays more will win, or their government (USA or China) will use greater leverage. For example, as now, in Brazil. The construction of the BYD plant is closed due to "inhumane working conditions" (and this is in a company with 500 billion in capital) in an important region (Latin America), where "the enemy does not sleep" and plans to begin construction of TSLA-Brazil in 2026. You probably understand what the matter is... The main “trade battle” will naturally take place for the European market . The European electric car industry will not be competitive with TSLA and BYD (two main flagship companies in the transition of internal combustion engines to electric transport on earth). It is worth noting that TSLA is now very popular in China. There is a large plant (Shanghai). 40,000 pre-orders for the new Model Y. The Chinese government does not interfere with this. But if unfair play continues in other markets, it is unlikely that TSLA will not be thrown out of China. Competition must be fair. Duties on cars are similar. So far, this is conditionally observed, but there are negative signs from the United States. 2️⃣ The reality of the launch of a new hydrogen engine from Toyota. There are rumors that it is being developed jointly with BMW. This is a completely new level of hydrogen engines. Instead of refueling with hydrogen, distilled water will be poured into the tank. The engine converts it into hydrogen. Serial production will allegedly begin in 2028, when the first hydrogen BMW models will roll off the assembly line. In some sources, also together with Mercedes-Benz, and even Porsche. Perhaps this is just a news teaser for a potential future buyer, to save the catastrophic decline in sales last year and this year, due to the virtual loss (due to the inability to compete) of the world's largest sales market — China. It is probably logical to assume that the release of this hydrogen engine to the masses will negatively affect TSLA shares. Provided that TSLA does not follow this fuel trend. My opinion is that they are unlikely to give mass production to something like this. It is like the mass production of electric cars in the 1990s and 2000s, in the era of the reign and monopoly of the hegemonies of oil capital, and as a consequence of internal combustion engines. 3️⃣ Massive power outages around the world. The next point is probably more of a “conspiracy theory”, but I can't help but mention the extremely unlikely scenario of impact on stock prices (a sharp drop). It is worth noting that the shares of any company that is associated with electricity are extremely “afraid” of a massive power outage and its rise in price, especially accompanied by extremely negative news. If, at least for a week, with a significant transition to electric vehicles (for example, 20-30%) in a large city there are power outages, then this can have an extremely negative impact on the shares of companies associated with the production of electric vehicles and components for them, which is logical. To scare and save and, as a result, "get your way". 4️⃣ Also, a gradual but rapid rise in the price of electricity , as a result of some events or policies, will discourage people from using electric vehicles (they will buy and drive less). This could also have a negative impact on the earnings of these companies like TSLA and BYD, and as a result on their speculative assets. PS . Of all the points, probably the most important is 1 (real competition and trade war). Then 2, after 2028. Before that, I think TSLA and other companies related to electric cars will pump up a lot.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by SpartaBTC
4
TSLA - Correction & Recovery TimeTesla plans to release fourth-quarter results after the bell on Wednesday. Here’s what analysts are expecting, based on an average of estimates compiled by LSEG: Earnings per share: 76 cents Revenue: $27.26 billion Tesla’s earnings report follows a steep rally in the company’s stock price tied to the election of President Donald Trump. Tesla CEO Elon Musk was the biggest backer of Trump’s campaign efforts and is now leading the president’s new government efficiency advisory board. The electric vehicle maker’s stock price is up 58% since Trump’s victory in November as investors bet that Musk’s influence would lead to both favorable policies and less oversight of his companies. In early January, Tesla reported deliveries for the fourth quarter of 495,570. For the full year, deliveries came in at about 1.8 million, marking the company’s first annual decline. Deliveries are the closest approximation of sales reported by Tesla, but are not precisely defined in the company’s shareholder communications. To end 2024, Tesla offered a range of discounts on inventory vehicles and special discounts for buyers in North America who were referred by another Tesla customer. In China, Tesla cut prices on its popular Model Y SUVs before debuting a refreshed version, the Model Y Juniper.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by POWERFUL_TRADERS
Tesla has a target of 900-1000$ (2025-2026) NFAHello people around the world reading this i'll make the description small so it' easier to read I believe we are in a 5 wave (clearly) and that Tesla will top at around Q4 2025 or Q1 2026 (I could be wrong) My target is around 700-1000$ for each share (if no split happens) Overall it looks great, of course the life changing gains may not be made if you start a position here, but a 2x is still in the cards this is not financel advice tho, so please dont be mad at me if you lose all your money!!! (NFA!!!) I did also Predict Tesla going to 500 btw, so my track history is pretty good so far!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by RandomTAdude
TESLA TSLA SeekingPips on FIRE AGAIN TODAY Did You Get Involved?TESLA TSLA SeekingPips on FIRE AGAIN TODAY Did You Get Involved? Participate or Spectate the choice if your by when 🌎SeekingPips🌍 Is in THE ZONE you know the team had a GREAT TRADING DAY. 🟢SeekingPips🟢 Shared the last TSLA STOCK CHART 17 hours ago and to be honest there was only upside from that TIME ONWARDS UNTIL NOW. ✅️Our calls this MORING on the CRYPTOS ADA CARDANO & HBAR HEDERA were on the MONEY TOO. ℹ️ CHECK IT OUT FOR YOURSELF... ✅️ IF YOU LIKE WHAT YOU SEE AND WANT TO STAY IN THE LOOP FOR OUR NEXT MOVE LIKE, BOOST & SHARE THIS POST NOW❗️❕️❗️❕️❗️ ⚠️ DON'T FORGET TO FOLLOW 🟢SeekingPips🟢 NOW TOO
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by seekingpips
Tesla Update: Navigating the Road to $440Morning Trading Family Tesla's journey is heating up as we aim for the $440 target. But buckle up, because we've got some resistance zones to watch: First Stop: $427 - This could be where the ride gets a bit turbulent. Expect some market reactions here. Next Challenge: $435.35 - Another potential bump in the road. Will we see a correction, or will Tesla's momentum carry us straight through? The depth of any correction at these levels is still up in the air, but keep your eyes peeled. If the market punches through these resistances, $440 might just be in our sights sooner than expected! If you found this useful: boost, share, like, and comment. I appreciate all the support! If you're struggling as a trader, I get it - I've been there myself. Jump in, send me a DM or head to my profile; I'm more than happy to help. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Mindbloome-Trading
Is Tesla TSLA ready to resume HIGHER? TSLA Buy Opportunity?🟢Tesla has been real good to us in our long term portfolio. 🟢Yes we took some profit in 2024 Q4 last year but hey we trade and invest for a living so we have to pay ourself sometimes. ✅️ Our higher time frame next major level remails at $722. Is TESLA creating a nice base for a new rally time will tell but current TIME and PRICE structure looks good. The low at 373 remains a key price level if this base is to materialise. WHILST 373 STAYS UNTOUCHED WE REMAIN ALERT FOR OUR BUY TRIGGER. ⭐️REMEMBER NO TRIGGER NO TRADE⭐️ 🟢 FOLLOW SeekingPips NOW TO STAY IN THE LOOK ON OUR LATEST IDEAS💡
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by seekingpips
TESLA: The move is only beginning! 40%+ UpsideCharturday #5: NASDAQ:TSLA 🚗🔋🤖 A top 3 trade/ investment for me right now! Weekly Analysis: -H5 Indicator is GREEN -1/3 multi year Inverse H&S breakouts. One profit target remains, all others were hit! -ATH Anchored volume profile FREE SPACE -Williams CB is thriving -Wr% is up trending -In order to turn RESISTANCE (previous ATH) into SUPPORT we must retest to FLIP IT! This is what we are doing right now with this pullback. DIP BUY BOX: $385-$415 🎯$581⏲️Before OCT2027 Not financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by RonnieV29
1
TESLA bounced right where it was supposed to! NASDAQ:TSLA bounced right where it was supposed to! Tesla has had resistance turned support turned back to resistance dating back to 2021 on the chart, as seen by the white circles. It has broken the $300 level for the second time in the past three or so years. Now that it's broken, it has pulled back to the 9ema on the weekly chart, and the area that was once resistance has turned...you guessed it... SUPPORT. See you at $400 plus! -HighFiveSetup is still intact with massive measured moves higher from our 1 and 3-year inverse H&S patterns. -Tesla is up over 3% on a day, and the market is pulling back, which shows even more bullishness. NFA
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by RonnieV29
Tesla’s Autonomous AmbitionsMusk’s Vision vs. Reality: Tesla’s Path to Revolutionizing Transportation Tesla recently experienced its best trading day since 2013, with the stock soaring 23% following the release of its Q3 earnings report. While the financial results were solid, investors are largely drawn to Elon Musk’s ambitious vision for autonomy a vision that presents significant challenges but holds substantial potential Tesla’s rebound in deliveries, higher profit margins, and an unexpected forecast projecting 20% to 30% sales growth for next year reinvigorated investor confidence after a somewhat muted response to the October 10th 'We, Robot' event The event showcased new products like the highly anticipated Cybercab (robotaxi) and Optimus (a humanoid robot) Despite the excitement, the presentation lacked detailed information, causing Tesla’s stock to decline by nearly 10% the following day Despite being over 20 years old, the investment appeal of Tesla is still driven more by its future potential than its current state. Musk envisions mass-producing autonomous vehicles and robots, aspiring to make Tesla the largest company globally. Traditional valuation models based on recent performance can’t fully capture this long term vision Tesla’s journey can’t be understood in isolation Just three days after the 'We, Robot' event, SpaceX successfully launched its Starship spacecraft for the fifth time. The SpaceX “chopsticks” system successfully caught the Super Heavy booster after liftoff a crucial step toward making the booster completely reusable. This breakthrough could transform space travel by significantly reducing turnaround times and reshaping cost structures. Elon Musk, at the helm of both Tesla and SpaceX, has a talent for transforming bold ideas into reality. SpaceX’s success in making rockets reusable has drastically reduced the cost of space travel, demonstrating that affordability can drive broader adoption. This strategy mirrors Tesla’s vision for autonomous vehicles: by creating self-driving cars like the Cybercab, Tesla aims to reshape transportation with similar cost-efficiency principles. However, as with any disruptive technology, the range of possible outcomes is vast. A balanced perspective considers Musk’s track record while acknowledging that his timelines can often be highly optimistic. In 2021, Benedict Evans described Musk as “a bullshitter who delivers.” Whether Tesla’s vision for full autonomy will come to fruition remains uncertain, and fully autonomous fleets could still be years away. Nonetheless, Musk’s accomplishments with SpaceX add weight to Tesla’s ambitions, granting him credibility in the eyes of many. The question remains: Will Musk’s ambitious autonomy vision fully take shape? Today’s highlights: - Tesla Q3 FY24 Results - Key takeaways from the 'We, Robot' event - Notable quotes from the earnings call - Insights on Waymo, Uber, and the future of ridesharing Tesla Q3 FY24 Overview Tesla’s revenue is primarily generated from three segments 1. Automotive (80% of revenue): This includes the sale of electric vehicles, such as models S, 3, X, Y, and the Cybertruck. 2. Services and Other (11% of revenue): This segment encompasses vehicle services, the Supercharger network, and sales of automotive parts and accessories. 3.Energy Generation and Storage (9% of revenue): Revenue from solar products and energy storage solutions like the Solar Roof and Powerwall. Key Metrics for Q3 FY24: -Production: 470,000 vehicles produced (+9% YoY, +14% QoQ). -Deliveries: 463,000 vehicles delivered (+6% YoY, +4% QoQ), which was slightly below analysts’ expectations of 464,000 and fell short of the Q4 2023 record of 484,000 deliveries. Despite price cuts over the last two years, Tesla’s auto sales growth has leveled off. Financial Highlights: -Revenue: $25.2 billion, an 8% YoY increase but fell short of expectations by $0.5 billion. -Gross Margin: 20% (+2 percentage points QoQ and YoY). -Operating Margin: 11% (+5 percentage points QoQ, +3 percentage points YoY). -Adjusted EPS: $0.72, beating estimates by $0.12. Gross Margin Insights: -Automotive Gross Margin: 17% (excluding regulatory credits), up from 15% in Q2 and 16% a year earlier. The cost per vehicle dropped to an all-time low of $35,100. Notably, the Cybertruck achieved a positive gross margin for the first time. The automotive segment included $326 million in software revenue. -Services and Other Gross Margin: Reached 9%, marking the 10th consecutive quarter of positive margins and a new record high. -Energy Generation and Storage Gross Margin: The highest margin segment at 31%, also hitting a record high. Overall, while Tesla faced some delivery shortfalls and plateauing auto sales, it managed to improve profitability across its segments, with key milestones in cost reductions and positive trends in gross margins. Tesla’s Margins and Cash Flow Performance Tesla’s industry-leading margins are driven by three major advantages: 1.Economies of Scale: Achieved through its expansive gigafactories. 2.Direct-to-Consumer Sales**: Tesla sells directly online and through its showrooms, bypassing traditional dealership networks. 3.Low Marketing Costs: Tesla spends very little on advertising compared to traditional automakers. While Tesla expects its margins to expand over time due to growth in its non-automotive segments and software sales, its automotive margins have been pressured by price cuts in the last two years to sustain demand. Cash Flow Highlights: -Operating Cash Flow**: Increased by 89%, reaching $6.3 billion -Free Cash Flow**: Jumped by 223%, hitting $2.7 billion These cash flow figures stood out in the quarterly report, demonstrating Tesla’s ability to fund its ambitious plans for autonomy despite heavy investments in AI. Guidance 1.FY24 Improvement: Tesla now expects slight growth in vehicle deliveries for FY24 (previous guidance indicated “notably lower” growth), implying a record-setting Q4 to make up for a weaker first half. Energy storage deployment is projected to more than double. 2.FY25 Outlook Surprise: During the earnings call, Musk forecasted 20% to 30% delivery growth in FY25, surpassing market expectations. A new, more affordable model is anticipated to launch in the first half of FY25, potentially easing investor concerns about competition. 3.New Product Strategy: The upcoming affordable vehicles in 2025 will be based on Tesla’s existing platform, indicating less dramatic cost reductions than previously suggested. However, the Robotaxi will bring a fresh manufacturing strategy. Key Takeaways 1.Volumes Rebounded: After a 7% decline in deliveries during the first half of 2024, volumes recovered in Q3. Prices have stabilized, and Tesla’s focus on reducing unit costs contributed to improved automotive gross margins. Management’s priorities remain on unit volume and maintaining low inventory levels. 2.More than Just EVs: Non-automotive segments, such as Energy and Services, accounted for 20% of Tesla’s revenue this quarter, up from 16% a year ago. Likewise, these segments contributed about 20% of Tesla’s gross margin, nearly double from the previous year. As these segments grow, their impact on Tesla’s profitability will become increasingly significant. 3.Operating Margin Gains: Improved by 3 percentage points year-over-year: -Negative Impact: Price cuts, mainly due to financing incentives. -Positive Impact**: Lower costs per vehicle, growth in non-auto segments, FSD revenue, increased deliveries, and higher regulatory credit revenue. 4.Free Cash Flow Surge: Doubled sequentially to $2.7 billion. Capital expenditures increased by 43% to $3.5 billion, largely driven by investments in AI infrastructure. Tesla plans to spend over $10 billion on AI this year. 5.Strong Balance Sheet: Tesla maintains a net cash position of nearly $30 billion, which management believes provides ample liquidity to support its product roadmap and sustain positive cash flow margins. We, Robot’ Event Takeaways Key insights from the recent announcements include: - Cybercab (Robotaxi): Tesla introduced the much-awaited Cybercab, a sleek two-seater, but key technical details—such as sensor configurations and processing capabilities—were notably absent. Musk’s decision to forgo lidar technology, a feature commonly used by competitors like Waymo, could potentially raise regulatory concerns about safety and compliance. 1.Optimus (Humanoid Robot): While the Optimus robots were a hit at the event, performing tasks like serving drinks and dancing, this entertaining display overshadowed the reality of how far the technology is from practical use. Reports indicated that the robots were primarily operated by humans, raising questions about their actual autonomous capabilities and readiness for industrial applications. 2.Robovan: A surprise announcement was the debut of the Robovan, a versatile vehicle intended for both mass transit and cargo transport. Its stylish Art Deco-inspired design drew attention, but like the Cybercab, it lacked concrete details or technical insights to convince analysts that the product is close to entering production. The presentation didn’t provide enough information to quell investor skepticism about its feasibility. 3. Full Self-Driving (FSD) Progress: Elon Musk projected that Tesla’s FSD technology would achieve full autonomy by 2026, with the Cybercab and current models (like the Model 3 and Model Y) spearheading this effort in Texas and California. However, Musk’s history of ambitious FSD promises has been met with ongoing skepticism, and this presentation did little to change that. No new safety data or significant updates were provided to address reliability concerns, leaving regulatory and safety issues unresolved. Tesla still faces significant challenges in proving its FSD capabilities are ready for public use without human oversight and in obtaining regulatory approval at both federal and state levels. 4.Market Reaction: Analysts expressed mixed feelings about the event. While some found the futuristic concepts inspiring, others noted the lack of substantial progress and the vague nature of Musk’s promises. This left investors questioning how close Tesla truly is to achieving its autonomy and robotics goals. For many, the event leaned more towards spectacle than solid evidence of progress. Shareholder Deck Updates 1.Supercharger Network: Tesla’s Supercharger Network received widespread industry support, with most automakers now adopting Tesla’s North American Charging Standard (NACS). This acceptance is likely to boost Tesla’s Services segment and improve its margins in the long term. The number of Supercharger stations increased by 20% year-over-year to 6,706. Tesla also rehired some of the nearly 500 Supercharger team members who had been laid off earlier in the year, indicating renewed focus on this segment. 2.Market Share: Tesla’s market share remained steady in North America and Europe on a sequential basis, but saw a noticeable improvement in China, signaling stronger competitiveness in the region. These details paint a picture of a company with promising ambitions but facing significant challenges in bringing its bold visions to reality. Investors will be watching closely for concrete progress and clearer timelines moving forward. Key Updates from the Earnings Call Full Self-Driving (FSD) Progress - Tesla has surpassed 2 billion miles driven using its FSD (supervised) technology, which forms a core part of the company’s data advantage. This milestone underpins Tesla’s long-term autonomy thesis. Additionally, Tesla launched **FSD version 12.5** and introduced the Actually Smart Summon feature, enabling vehicles to autonomously drive to their owners in parking lots. AI Training Capacity - Musk shared that Tesla expects to have **nearly 90,000 H100 clusters dedicated to AI training** by the end of the year, enhancing the company’s machine learning capabilities. Energy Storage Deployments - Tesla deployed **6.9 GWh of energy storage** in Q3, although this fell short of the record 9.4 GWh achieved in Q2. The 40 GWh Megafactory in Lathrop is ramping up production, reaching 200 Megapacks in a single week. The **Shanghai Megafactory** is set to start shipping Megapacks in Q1 2025 with a run rate of 20 GWh. Tesla noted that energy deployments are inherently lumpy due to factors such as customer readiness and geographic order locations. Key Quotes from the Earnings Call Elon on the Cybercab: - “I do feel confident of Cybercab reaching volume production in ‘26. We’re aiming for at least 2 million units a year, maybe 4 million ultimately.” Musk envisions the Cybercab becoming a global, high-volume autonomous vehicle service. However, achieving this scale requires overcoming two major challenges: delivering level 5 autonomy at a competitive cost and navigating regulatory approval across regions with varying laws, road conditions, and weather considerations. - Musk also dismissed the notion of a regular low-cost model, stating, “I think having a regular $ 25,000 model* is pointless.” He emphasized focusing on the Cybercab as a generational leap forward. Musk on FSD: - “Our internal estimate is **Q2 of next year** to be safer than human and then to continue with rapid improvements thereafter.” He expressed confidence that full autonomy could be achieved in 2025 with existing vehicle models, although regulatory hurdles and safety standards remain significant barriers. On Tesla’s Ridesharing App - Tesla is already testing a *ridesharing capability* in the Bay Area for employees, with safety drivers currently in place. Musk anticipates launching the service for the public in California and Texas next year, pending regulatory approval. He added, “**I’d be shocked if we don’t get approval next year**,” but acknowledged that regulatory timelines are out of Tesla’s control. Musk on Optimus: - “We’re the only company that really has all of the ingredients necessary to scale humanoid robots.” He believes that the *Optimus robot* could become the “most valuable product ever made,” owing to Tesla’s combined AI and manufacturing advantages. However, the product remains at an early development stage and will likely take years to fully commercialize. On Tesla’s Valuation: - Musk reiterated his bold prediction: “Tesla will become the most valuable company in the world and probably by a long shot” He argued that Tesla’s strategic focus on future advancements in energy, transport, robotics, and AI sets it apart from competitors who are only targeting short-term trends. Waymo, Uber, and Rideshare Future There are two distinct paths to achieving full autonomy 1.Waymo’s Approach: Waymo focuses on highly structured, geo-fenced environments with extensive pre-mapping and sensor-based systems like lidar to ensure safety. 2.Tesla’s Approach: Tesla aims to develop a generalized self-driving system that works with computer vision and AI, relying on its fleet’s extensive data advantage and scaling software improvements. However, Tesla’s reluctance to use lidar technology and regulatory challenges could hinder its timeline for achieving level 5 autonomy. These differing strategies highlight the varied paths to delivering a future of autonomous transportation, with each approach facing unique technical and regulatory hurdles. Levels of Autonomy - Tesla's FSD (Supervised): Tesla’s Full Self-Driving system remains at **Level 2**, meaning it still requires driver supervision to operate. In contrast, **Waymo** operates at **Level 4** in certain cities, where its vehicles can drive without human intervention, albeit under specific conditions. -Jumping Levels: Musk’s vision for the Cybercab aims to skip from Level 2 to **Level 5 autonomy**, which implies no need for human input at all—a huge leap. Technology Approach -Tesla’s Strategy: Tesla relies on a **camera and AI-only approach**, focusing on software and data scalability rather than expensive hardware. Musk’s bet is that advanced software can eventually solve all driving scenarios. - Waymo’s Strategy: Waymo uses a **hardware-intensive model** with a combination of LiDAR, radar, and cameras**, providing highly precise navigation. However, the reliance on multiple sensors leads to higher production costs per vehicle, around **$200,000** each. Scaling Challenges -Waymo’s Limitation: The high cost of Waymo's vehicles has hindered its ability to scale quickly, while Tesla plans to leverage its extensive fleet data to improve its autonomous systems over time. -Tesla’s Repeated Delays: Despite its aspirations, Tesla’s full autonomy timeline has faced numerous delays. Scaling quickly while achieving robust and safe autonomy remains a significant challenge for the company. Safety and Regulation -Waymo’s Approach: Waymo has built trust with regulators by deploying vehicles cautiously in select cities and prioritizing safety, but its operations remain limited geographically. -Tesla’s Regulatory Hurdles: The Cybercab’s design lacks traditional controls like steering wheels and pedals, raising concerns about regulatory approval. These changes could face substantial scrutiny, particularly if safety standards require features Tesla’s design omits. Tesla and Uber: Competitors or Partners? -Potential Partnership: Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi found the Cybercab vision "pretty compelling" and didn’t dismiss the possibility of a collaboration. Uber already partners with Waymo to offer autonomous rides in cities like **Phoenix, Atlanta, and Austin**. Khosrowshahi’s openness to partnership means there’s potential for Tesla's Cybercab fleet owners to list their vehicles on Uber to boost earnings. -Hybrid Model: By leveraging Uber’s vast network, Tesla could quickly gain scale in local markets, especially given Uber’s capability to serve diverse customer needs. This could lead to a hybrid model where Tesla’s autonomous vehicles are available on Uber alongside other options. Regulatory Challenges: An Obstacle to Elon’s Vision ? -Waymo’s Critique: Former Waymo CEO John Krafcik criticized the Cybercab, highlighting its impracticality for a large-scale robotaxi business. Waymo’s approach focuses on accessibility and safety with taller vehicles and high-mounted sensors, whereas Tesla’s design was light on crucial technical details. -Possible Lidar Mandate: Krafcik also noted that if regulators eventually require LiDAR technology for safety compliance, Tesla’s camera-only approach could face a significant setback. Regulatory decisions are beyond Tesla’s control and could fundamentally reshape its autonomy strategy. -Musk’s Political Maneuvering: Musk’s political activities and controversies could complicate Tesla’s regulatory relations. Building strong connections with regulators is critical, given their power to greenlight or halt the Cybercab’s deployment. Final Thoughts The coming years will be pivotal for Tesla as it strives to overcome both techno logical and regulatory challenges. The success of Tesla’s autonomy plans hinges not just on its technological progress but also on its ability to navigate complex and varied regulatory frameworks worldwide. Whether Musk’s bold vision for full autonomy becomes a realityor remains a distant dream will depend on a combination of innovative breakthroughs and the company’s capacity to gain and maintain regulatory approval. Are you Moonish on Tesla or not?
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by moonypto