Tslalong
TSLA - Down Before Up??All this Elon drama selling shares, followed by Jeffries with a huge upgrade on it. Ultimately 3500 is within reach in a couple of year. $1700 isn't far off. I think a pit stop to fill that gap below at $910 will happen before both. Not saying it happens this week, but I do think 1120 area prints tomorrow. Can go either way with all the news surrounding it.
Tesla | Fundamental Analysis | MUST READ...In October, Tesla's stock price climbed above $1,000, and its market capitalization surpassed $1 trillion. This situation has probably made many Tesla investors excited about the growth. Of course, many who have not yet caught this "flight" wonder if it is too late for them to benefit from this constantly growing stock.
Let's discuss whether or not buying Tesla stock at this point makes long-term sense.
Many traditional market observers find Tesla's stock valuation rather perplexing. The company has a market capitalization of $1 trillion, more than the combined valuation of half a dozen leading car companies. In fact, it is more than 1.5 times the combined market capitalization of Toyota, General Motors, Ford, Volkswagen, and Daimler.
Tesla's P/E and price-earnings-growth (PEG) ratios look high compared to those of other automakers.
Add to this estimate the fact that the top five automakers together sold about 40 million cars in 2020, compared to the roughly 500,000 Tesla sold, and the bewilderment of market analysts seems understandable. So, what should you, as an investor, learn from Tesla stock's impressive rise, and more importantly, how is Tesla stock likely to behave going forward?
One common argument given to justify Tesla's valuation is that it is more of a technology company than an automaker, and therefore should be valued that way. This argument does have a grounding in fact. Electric vehicles (EVs) are not new. They have been around for over a hundred years. But the abundance of gasoline and the constant development of internal combustion engines have limited the commercialization of electric vehicles. It is generally accepted that electric cars began to make a comeback in 1997 with the introduction of the Prius from Toyota.
However, even after that, for almost two decades, no major automaker was able to produce (or even interested in producing) electric cars on an industrial scale. In 2003, Tesla, as a start-up company, took on this daunting task. It is to this company's credit that its improved technology has made electric cars mainstream. If we look at Tesla as a technology company, its valuation makes some sense.
While Tesla's forward P/E ratio is higher than even leading technology stocks, its forward PEG ratio seems more sensible. The forward PEG ratio takes into account the company's projected growth in addition to earnings. Therefore, it gives a more accurate picture when comparing businesses developing at different rates. This brings us to the next factor that supports Tesla's stock growth.
Tesla expects an average annual growth rate of 50% in vehicle deliveries over the "multi-year horizon." Indeed, Tesla's growth rate is achievable as it starts from a much smaller base. In the last quarter, its revenues grew about 98%, which wasn't even the fastest growth in the last quarter. But in the three years leading up to the second quarter of 2021, its quarterly revenues grew at an average annualized rate of more than 50%.
By comparison, over the same time period, the highest average growth rate among the leading automakers was 6.4 percent for Volkswagen. Similarly, in the third quarter, Tesla's revenues grew 57% year over year. By comparison, revenues at Ford, General Motors, and Volkswagen declined year-over-year in the third quarter. Moreover, Tesla's operating margins in recent quarters are also higher than most of its competitors.
Tesla's operating margin rose to 14.6 percent in the third quarter. Tesla is well-positioned to continue its revenue growth in the next few quarters. It is increasing its production capacity to meet growing demand. This, in turn, should support its stock price in the coming quarters.
In the long run, Tesla's stock price may rely on its ability to make money beyond selling cars. The biggest potential area of focus, of course, is software for Full Self-Driving (FSD).
Despite all that Tesla has accomplished in producing cars, the valuation of its stock takes into account what the company could potentially achieve, especially in the area of autonomous driving. Tesla enthusiasts see several other areas of growth - auto insurance, battery, and power supply manufacturing. But none of these seem potentially as big as FSD.
Tesla buyers can now join the beta testing of the company's FSD software. The company plans to offer it only to select customers based on their past driving performance. The company has a treasure trove of data on Tesla drivers, covering such things as sharp braking, aggressive cornering, etc. Tesla continues to gradually enhance its autopilot and FSD features. As it rolls out features to more customers, it gets more data flowing into its machine learning models, thereby further improving the software.
If Tesla can implement autonomous driving features that are better than its competitors, its stock price could rise in the long run. Looking at its track record to date, Tesla stands a good chance of accomplishing this feat.
Massive Ranges. Massive Risk. Massive Upside?NASDAQ:TSLA playing in some massive ranges. Given the high degree of global economic uncertainty and frothy market conditions we could see TSLA make one final herculean push, but reality seems like it will need to set in sooner than later (remember, this is a monthly chart.)
Would love to see this final rally top out with similarity to the previous rally that's charted. If this plays out, I suspect we consolidate in the massive blue box territory range. I personally would be thrilled to (finally) open a NASDAQ:TSLA long position in the bottom third of this blue box territory. If we do top out sooner than later, the question will become whether or not NASDAQ:TSLA ever re-enters the bottom portion of this range. Without question, things have changed since this previous rally, and it could easily be argued that these two rallies have absolutely nothing in common. For this reason, I will only be using this for rough entry targets. The kind of entries that you don't exit. The kind of position that you pass down in your will.
Thoughts?
TSLA flipped resistance
A month ago I published this idea about TSLA flipping resistance into support, and having earnings that we're expected positiv. I can safely say that this trade went exactly like planned, just really quick :D
If any of you are still in, remember to take profits! TSLA is in price discovery, which is really bullish, but what comes up also comes down. And the quicker it comes up usually means it'll come quicker down before the next leg up
TSLA GAMMA SQUEEZE INITIATEDAfter nearly 6-7 months of consolidation, everything changed once TSLA broke past the critical resistance of 760 in late Sept. Targeting 1200-1250 before a pullback.
Very strong catalysts for TSLA. 1000 is a critical support leevel that could be visited again if MMs decide to take profits and drive the price down. Only other bearish factor I see is politics being involved somehow or something happens to global supply chain which is supposed to be easing up. Tesla has outperformed and managed this crisis well.
3 ATHs in 1 Week - $GOOGL, $TSLA, $AMD $GOOGL, $TSLA, & $AMD all reached ATHs in 1 Week
$GOOGL - Alphabet
Reported Q3 FY21' earnings yesterday & hit an ATH of $2,925.08/share on 10/27/21
Alphabet is up 66.85% YTD
Returns since IPO in Aug 2004 - 1,670%
Decades of dominance by $GOOGL - along with their record-breaking recent Q3 FY21' earnings & updated Q4 FY21' estimates...
I continue to have a long position on $GOOGL in the long-term
$TSLA - Tesla
Reported Q3 FY21' earnings earlier this week with EPS of $1.86/share beating estimates & Revenue of $13.8B missing estimates
Reported an ATH of $1055.58/share on 10/27/21
Tesla up 47.07% TYD
Returns since IPO in June 2010 up 21,621% (yes thats correct - in 10s of thousands)
Reported 241,300 vehicle deliveries up 73.2% YoY
Plans to achieve 50% vehicle annual growth in vehicle deliveries over a multi-year horizon
Not sure my thoughts on $TLSA even as an owner of shares - with the current state of the supply chain, energy & it's rising costs, ESR movement, & clean energy it's hard for me to say "I absolutely LOVE $TSLA" or "Buy it Now!" - However, I do believe EVs are the future and am very long $TSLA for a long-term investment
$AMD - Advanced Micro Devices
Hit an ATH of $128.30/share on 10/25/21
Reported Q3 FY21' earnings earlier this week with EPS of $0.73/share beating estimates & Revenue of $4.31B beating estimates
Revenue of $4.31B +54% YoY
Advanced Micro Devices up +33.33% YTD
Returns since IPO in Oct 1979 - +3,689%
Q4 revenue estimates raised to $4.6B
Very positive outlook overall - including large raises in Q4 earnings estimates, but also a very volatile stock - given its sector, volume in number of shares traded, % almost "meme" stock status, I am long $TSLA for a long-term investment
$TSLA Tesla Market Cap hits +$1T11 years after being initially listed on a public exchange #Tesla surpassed the $1T mark on midday Monday 10/25/21 when shares hit $998.22
Shares closed up 12.66% at $1,024.86/share - another milestone as this was the first time the companys share price has reached the $1,000 mark
TESLA LONGTESLA looks super bullish long-term. I was surprised when premature earnings yesterday (29/04) caused 3% loss in value, however with today's daily candle it looks like TSLA is back on track. I'd wait for a break of the descending trend line for entry. Long-term outlook - 1100.
Share your thoughts!
$TSLATesla shares closed at an all-time high of $909.68 on Friday, two days after the company reported record revenue and profits in the third quarter.
The move marks the first time since January the company made an intraday record. Shares surged above $900 a share shortly after market open.
Tesla’s strong earnings results stemmed from improved gross margins of 30.5% on its automotive business and 26.6% overall. The stock dropped under 2% in after hours trading on Wednesday.
Tesla’s market cap stood at roughly $860 billion at market close.
There’s no question about it.
Tesla have an incredible future and I’m ridiculously bullish on TSLA long term but in the short term, if we’re trading we should see a slight pullback.
I think we see one more push up before shorts come in control.
It’s getting quite over extended here with it getting into the overbought territory.
I think this stock is one to watch going into next week for a swing.
Long term bullish.
Watchlist this.
- Factor Four
10/24/21 TSLATesla, Inc. ( NASDAQ:TSLA )
Sector: Consumer Durables (Motor Vehicles)
Current Price: $909.68
Breakout price trigger: $900.40 (hold above)
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $894.00-$834.00
Price Target: $1120.00-$1128.00
Estimated Duration to Target: 41-46d (1st)
Contract of Interest: $TSLA 12/17/21 1000c
Trade price as of publish date: $20.40/cnt
TSLA all time high$TSLA (TESLA) just reached all-time-high! Very bullish news especially for the stock that makes up the bulk of my portfolio. Congrats to those who followed me as well. My $TSLA portfolio is up by approximately 30% - with averaged price right below $700.
However, $TSLA is at $900 right now and RSI and bollinger bands is indicating that $TSLA is current very overbought right now. The rally came from their bullish earnings report that just got released recently: www.cnbc.com
Overall, i'm still very bullish on $TSLA and is holding it for the long run. Crypto gains might be hard to beat compared to equities but its very important to diversify and have both asset classes.
TSLA Ripping Your Face Off TSLA easy price action. If you were patient in shares don't ever sell them until it hts $3200. You can still buy shares here and be happy with a 4x. Over Fridays close we see 869. Look for some sort of cool down day. I would expect $900 by next week. BTFD in full effect now.
TSLA Stock Analysis and market prediction Hello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
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TSLA is currently trading in the upper part of its 52 week range. The S&P500 Index is also trading in the upper part of its 52 week range, so TSLA is performing more or less in line with the market.
TSLA has been doing really well for itself, The Bullish trend for the stock has started back in August and the stocks seems to be trending in a Rising wedge pattern which indicates a reversal soon but there are no signs for a breakout yet.
Both the short-term and long-term trends are positive. This is a very positive sign.
The stock is trading at 805.72 and it's nearing the resistance level located at 808.63 with a strong upward momentum which indicates a breakout of that resistance in the next day or so. This will lead the stock to have it focus on the resistance at 822.31 where the next target for the stock will be.
But we might see some pullback that could lead to a drop in value for the stock but it shouldn't be further than the support located at 784.54.
Technical indicators show :
1) The market is above the 5 10 20 50 100 and 200 MA and EMA (Strong Bullish Sign)
2) The STOCH has reached overbought zone which could indicate a small pullback. a positive crossover between %K (90.26) and %K (80.01) which indicates a Bullish move.
3) The RSI is at 68.32 showing Great strength in the market. With no divergence found between the indicator and the market
Support & Resistance points :
support Resistance
1) 770.15 1) 803.90
2) 754.81 2) 822.31
3) 736.40 3) 837.65
Fundamental point of view :
TSLA's Return On Assets of 3.90% is amongst the best of the industry. TSLA does better than the industry average Return On Assets of -0.34% and TSLA shows strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 172.10%, which is quite impressive.
New Caledonia's Prony Resources said on Wednesday Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) Inc had agreed to purchase more than 42,000 tonnes of nickel in a multi-year deal - a pact that is set to make it a key supplier of the metal to the U.S. electric car maker.
Electric vehicle makers have made securing sufficient supplies of nickel - a key ingredient in automotive batteries - a top priority and are particularly keen to seek out sustainable and low-carbon nickel supplies.
Tesla, which serves as an adviser on product and sustainability standards to Prony, also signed a deal to take supply from BHP's nickel operations in Australia earlier this year.
Prony did not disclose how many years the deal with Tesla will run for.
The automaker is expected to deploy around 30,000 tonnes of nickel in batteries this year and is likely to rapidly ramp up its nickel consumption in the coming years, said Steven Brown, a Sydney-based independent expert on battery minerals. According to Reuters
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from Fundamental Analysts and News for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!
Thank you for reading.
Tesla looking primed for a move up Keeping it simple RSI going through a bullish cross, and making a move up from it's lows. Meanwhile in terms of price action we are about to pass the local high. Everything seems primed for a major move up. If we break and close above the local high we should see a very strong move up.
TSLA Short term rally targetWe have implemented the Wolfe Wave Zero-Lag indicator to Tradingview. Eighty Percent of the Waves that form and display on any time-frame we assume bullish. For example, in the chart on TSLA, there is a Bearish Wolfe Wave marked in red. So we assume a contrarian position and approach this trade as a bullish setup. If price takes out pivot 5 then tsla breaks out taking out it previous 5 day high. When using this over the weekend, the trade become easier to manage in terms of risk and reward. Holding TSLA long call positions over the weekend averages approx 58% probability of success with profit factor greater then 2.4. Our targets are usually determined using premarket gaps or fibonacci 1.272 extensions.