Tslalong
TESLA will be included in SnP500 (Bullish breakout expected)Tesla reported its fourth quarterly profit in a row Wednesday, positioning the electric-car maker as a leader in an auto sector that has struggled during the pandemic, and clearing the way for the stock to join the S&P 500. For the second quarter of 2020, Tesla made $104 million in net income on more than $6 billion in revenues. That beat forecasts by Wall Street analysts who had anticipated a loss of nearly $250 million and revenues of $5.4 billion.
Based on some calculations, approximately 20% of the outstanding Tesla stocks will have to be purchased by those index funds trailing SnP500 and they can purchase it anytime before or after SnP announces that Tesla will be included in the index.
There is also quite alot of shorts opened (people betting against Tesla) against Tesla (approx $20 billion) which means if market pumps today, those shorts trader will have to buy back some Tesla shares to exit their positions.
Therefore, i'm quite bullish on Tesla for this short period time and although it is overvalued if you look at their market cap compared to their profits, market forces in the trading market will push this stock up for the time being.
Tesla made Short SqueezeIf Tesla is positive ==> they become eligible for inclusion into the S&P500 ==> a more exciting stock in the index + more attention to that already exciting stock ==> increase in the price of Tesla and S&P. Despite the target on the chart, aggressive profit-taking seems like the best approach. Remember I am not your financial advisor.
Long TSLALooking for it to either retest 1800 before earnings and dropping for another rip OR
Slow gradual ascent to earnings and then going to 2k.
Either way, i'm selling half my position at 1750-1800 and letting the rest run.
Long TSLA -> Earnings Beat -> Profitable Q2 -> S&P Inclusion -> Stock Price jumps.
ridethepig | Tesla Island Reversal!📍 In the realm of Tesla, patience is sustained courage although the struggle for valuation is evident. The overstretched manoeuvre is identical to the struggle which we traded earlier in the year.
It is obvious for any of those that have studied the Tesla supply chain that outlooks and expectations at current valuations are unrealistic. What is surprising, is to see how the economy is coughing badly via covid, both corporates and consumers are becoming increasingly defensive in capital allocation...yet markets are pricing a mass adoption of overpriced cars.
With that recognition behind us, let us look at the deliveries for Q220 :
Model S/X 10,600
Model 3/Y 80,050
Total 90,650
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"While our main factory in Fremont was shut down for much of the quarter, we have successfully ramped production back to prior levels."
"Our net income and cash flow results will be announced along with the rest of our financial performance when we announce Q2 earnings. Our delivery count should be viewed as slightly conservative, as we only count a car as delivered if it is transferred to the customer and all paperwork is correct. Final numbers could vary by up to 0.5% or more. Tesla vehicle deliveries represent only one measure of the company’s financial performance and should not be relied on as an indicator of quarterly financial results, which depend on a variety of factors, including the cost of sales, foreign exchange movements and mix of directly leased vehicles."
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📌 This press release demonstrates how and where you can advance on expectations that are skewed the wrong way, and how complacency should be punished.
=> The lust for Tesla bulls is to expand above $1,000 ... that leaves them with another +/- 300k deliveries needed for Q3 and Q4 to keep things fundamentally interesting for the game.
=> With a second wave now a done-deal, risk is threatening to storm the battlefield. The previous Tesla crash which we traded live had sufficient preparation, here we have a long weekend and theoretically a delay in virus numbers till Tuesday of next week. Sellers can plan the attack and what makes the flows fundamentally interesting is that operations and valuations are based on no competition.
=> This powerful flow which is starting at $1,200 can be considered the starting point of the waterfall. A bold call that can be protected with stops above $1,500 while looking for another visit of the $425 fair value target.
As usual thanks for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎 ... let's see if we get another home run!
TSLA SignalTSLA broke out today and is already past my goal, I took my profits, and am going to be re entering, I think TSLA will have to come back down sometime soon, because no stock only goes up... except TSLA apparently. I called my target out to the paid group chat on discord, if you would like to join, all you have to do is DM me, if you have any questions what so ever, again, just DM me.
I called this out at 1,095. And have made bank on this call.
TESLA growth analysisHello traders,
As the TESLA stock price chart shows, TSLA is taking an upward trend, the support S1 confirms that.
Since 18 Mars increase to a specific maximum point (Point A, B, and C), and then take a break to prepare for another one.
Right now, we have another increasing trend of TESLA. Two scenarios:
-- Either, it will continue to reach a new maximum, and go back down as a break. That break will be decreasing and must not be below the level “L”, in that case, we can say it’s going up again.
-- Either, it will go down below that level “L”, and in that case, we can say that this trend is ending.
Generally, we expect that it will go up, take a break by going down to bounce on a level that is higher than “L”, and go again in an increasing trend.
TESLA: Earnings Expectancy is Postive + Covid19 Vaccine?Tesla (as I stated prior), seems to be a gift that keeps on giving. Elon Musk is meeting production quotas for Tesla, and now Tesla is even working on being manufacturing partners for Covid19 Vaccine drug makers. This may potentially be a first step into upgrading Tesla into either a large holding company or industrial conglomerate. Either way, it is definitely good news and reasons to be quite bullish on the future of the automaker (who now has alot of brand equity value as well). I am upgrading my level 2 target to be $1.5k by September. As always, this is on an opinion based basis and not meant to be taken as actionable financial advice. Pursue at your own risk.