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TSLA - What A Time To Be AliveTLDR: What a time to be alive. These types of moves create a significant transfer of wealth, for the long's this has been a multi-year battle from $175 - $350 and now in a span just longer than a full month we're at $537.92 at market close January 14, 2019 This type of price action extends beyond fundamentals, and at this point is primarily dictated by human sentiment with a bunch of algorithms following (not the other way around)- good news for us, Elliott Wave analysis does some good in the department of predicting price action in periods of euphoria- these euphoric moves in price action almost always occur in the third wave. I have two scenarios or wave counts I have considered, one where the peak of price action today is the top of wave 3 or the conclusion of wave 5. I'm publishing the later, in both scenarios price action retraces. Considering other technical indicators, the broader stock market soaring into uncharted territory, and retail sentiment I'm leaning towards the conclusion of a fifth wave, leading into a larger correction. The 0.50 fib retracement lines up neatly with a historic level of resistance (now support) for Tesla shareholders in the $380's Perhaps there is more upside following the correction- something to consider for a later time -- or, sooner rather than later if the Tesla bulls continue to maintain the squeeze. If up is the direction from here- I haven't the slightest clue where the top is after this. At the time of publishing this chart I hold $425 TSLA put contracts If the price action continues to strengthen the probability of this wave count I intend to further short the trade with additional options Tom
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by tomthetrader1
10
This is why you don't join a crowded shortPeople love a good comeback success story. "Every one bet against it but it proved them wrong" "Little guy really showed the big bullies". Reality has a word to say, these stories are rare and 99% of the time there is no magical epic prove the mean bullies wrong comeback. People just always want more "epic comebacks", more "faster sprinter" (that take more drugs), more "big hooooge monstruous bodybuilders" (that just take more drugs and look ridiculous), more coffee, more drugs, more stimulation, more flashy colors in their tv shows, more sugar, more taste, more dopamine rush, more porn, more extreme porn lmao. The entire world is just a bunch of drug addicts "uuh coffee isn't a drug how dare you criticize my strong addictive warm dark liquid psychoactive CNS stimulant". Tesla is stupid. Plain and simple. So many pro's know this that they are willing to pile up on an overcrowded short. Sadly they forgot about Robinhood warriors. Doesn't matter if a company will never be profitable. Gullible novices can just keep buying. GUH! I do not like going with the herd even if they are right. I do not care about missing out. This is what this is. Maybe I do not know the whole story but it appears to me every one is just afraid of missing out, or they do not want to back off and let other speculators profit, sacrificing themselves for other greedy ones that can't let go, kind of like the crabs in a bucket thing. Short interest has dropped recently, but it is still very high... It's at its lowest point since march 2019. * So I said I would explain why I do not believe in science (except math but math should not be grouped with the rest there are fundamental differences to other sciences). Yes, all science is a bunch of nonsense, AT THE MOMENT (because of the replication crisis, because of how rigorous scientists do no get rewarded but "productive" morons doing "groundbreaking" discoveries and spewing trash at a rapid rate do get rewarded and teach new scientists which creates more morons making more "alarming" discoveries and so on). TSLAQ is 100% reliant on ignorant people thinking CO2 is a dangerous poison as "groundbreaking" "innovative" "inspiring" scientists have explained to the sheeple. If people realise it's all ridiculous claims the hype for TSLAQ will drop like a rock. Peter Higgs won the Nobel Prize (which is slowly becoming a complete joke) in 2013 for discovering a new Boson as well as the Higgs field and him finding a way to explain the mass of elementary particles the guy literally explained what mass was which is something every one should be wondering since childhood. Like where does mass come from? Why do photons have no (rest) mass? And Peter Higgs said that today he would not be able to do this work today because he would not get hired as he is not "productive" enough by todays standards, that today academics are expected to "keep churning out papers". So "science" is evolving into a joke where who has the most paper bowel movements and the most flashy science gets rewarded, it just snowballs and keeps getting worse at an exponential rate. The best get cast aside, the worse get rewarded more get more grants power etc so they select students and teach them to be more bad like them, and of those students that are already worse, the worse ones get the best jobs, then the next generation gets taught even more bad science AND the worse ones get selected more etc. Complete snowball into troll science of 74 genders and results that cannot be replicated and I can't even predict how dumb & dumber it is going to get if this does not get reversed. So yeah, I just wanted to explain why I do not believe in science anymore, since I guess this would make me look like a complete flat earther to the majority of people that do not know about the problems science faces at the moment. Do not join crowded short. Do your research and do not invest in emotional dream "we'll prove them wrong" hype garbage. Stay rational and ignore what the crowds thinks. I giggle when sheeple think I'm a moron.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by MrRenev
20
Elon Musk Cybertruck presentation HUMILIATIONTesla Cybertruck is build in the image of its company. All smoke and mirrors. Throw a tennis ball at it and it falls in ruins. As usual, Elon, master manipulator, was hyping it up and getting gullible investors all excited. Then someone had the bad idea of testing the "Cybertruck" resilience. It did not go well. I recommend watching the video a few times. I have been watching it on loop. These "investors" they are the usual dumb money, they: - Will never realize they are wrong, not until zero - Misunderstand everything, say 1 thing they assume the near opposite - Have no clue how market price works - Have no clue how companies work - Are ultra emotional about facts, about everything - Are emotionally attached & hyped up - Are peak gullible: Easy to trick them, impossible to convince them they got tricked - Are very loud now, will disappear when they get crushed Tesla short is pretty crowded, and I haven't even shorted it because regulations basically aren't letting me. But it's interesting to watch the clown spectacle. I think this was it the top of this sucker rally got reached. This company is such a joke. It's so irrational to be holding this scam.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by MrRenev
27
Short sell the disgusting climate hoax"It's very hard for people to reject what they have been taught their entire life since they were children even when presented with the evidence". WEAK. Literally took me 1 second after seing the data to change my mind about the lies I was spoon fed my entire life since I was 5. Donald Trump administration finally went against the dogma. Retiring scientists (their careers cannot be ruined anymore) are standing up to the establishment. The truth is out and it will spread. We live in the internet age. They can try censoring it, but you cannot censor the whole internet. The truth will spread. And all the GARBAGE, wasting, nature killing (ironic) companies built on the lie will collapse. If you do not want an elite to control the world, push europe & na in misery, keep africa poor and even exterminate them, then you are a racist and a holocaust denier - er I mean "climate" denier. Climate change logic at its finest. They are actually dumber than middle ages witch burning peasants. And history does not exactly paint a very flattering image of those. Facts don't matter, "approved" facts is what matters to them. They disgust me so much. And why are they so eager for news not to cover their buddy Epstein? It might steal valuable time from the climate change "only 10 years left" urgency? It's all for the good cause right? Wait until we get the short interest on Tesla. Already shorting a company overrun by brainwashed cultists & Robinhood ignorant gamblers. Let's not also join a crowded short. Don't go against the herd, as dumb as they might be. In the past century there have been hundreds of stock market and real estate bubbles, stock bubbles happened in particular in "new tech" stocks that mainstream media talks about alot. In the past century how many bubbles have there been in corporate bonds? Take a guess. Zero. Not one. Tells you everything you have to know. If Bitcoin taught us something it's that retail is VERY SLOW to understand things and react, especially when it goes against what they want to hear. They can even ignore it. So I expect a downtrend to be slow. If institutions are the main player in something they are so fast that you can't even get filled so it's not good either :( Pros to short: Tesla is not profitable, it's a trash company based on hype and Elon being a manipulative celebrity. Climate change threat is an obvious lie. Literally takes 15 minutes to debunk 97% of their claims. Near ath resistance & 1.236 extension of a sucker rally. Cons to short: The stock market in general could be entering its last phase, the parabolic run up. Noobish morons cause bubbles, and will randomly buy anything. Overcrowded short (we will know this soon). Short at around 375 with a SL slightly above ath, or sell puts. Or be long DJI/SPX while short TSLA.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by MrRenev
36
Take advantage of millenials stupidity27% of tesla shares are sold short. Price is surging, sellers are going to cover. After that happens, and maybe some hesitation, it may be interesting to short sell this. Links to check %floats of most shorted stocks on the US market: www.highshortinterest.com www.marketbeat.com Something like this can happen so let's first wait for short sellers to get squeezed :) With millenials being what they are this thing could even go into a bubble. They say IQs have dropped by 14 points since the last century... And they're persuaded of being right. A giant herd of brainlets persuaded they are right that keep buying. That alone would make the price go up up up. Around 78.6%, IF shorts got squeezed (not too many shares sold short), would be a good place to sell. Keep your eyes open for excitement "the bull market is back" if they start buyign aggressively the trade is cancelled, have to wait for the rally to end...
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by MrRenev
40
TSLAThe continuous price cutting across all cars, as expected, reduced drastically the margins and this showed up in Q2 financials. Most probably these results will dictate the stock direction for the remaining of the year. In the last 4 months to analyze the stock you only needed those two trendlines. The upper area in the previous analysis has been slightly breached only to touch the upper TL, financials came out at the perfect time. Trend is clearly down and I now expect a continuous decline in the coming months and also the breaking of the lower TL, which will start the capitulation phase where all the die hard fans will lose all hope about their investment in the company. On the fundamental side we also got huge competition coming from the big brands like MB, Porsche and Jaguar, a customer that wants to switch to EV in the next 2-5 years will always go to the brand he loves and trust and not to a relatively new company. Not to mention the fact that Musk confirmed that there won't be a new facelift version of the S & X which are starting to feel old compared to a brand new futuristic design like the MB EQC. Also just yesterday the first spy shots of the MB EQS came out, which it can potentially be the Model S killer.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by i9theghost5
4
Insiders dumping in after hours, ahead of earningsNiiice. How is this legal? Not like it is a surprise or anything, but this is not fair to dumb money. Not like it would make a difference dumb money would ignore it anyway... But, still, it seems like something that should not be legal... From 250$ that was a good start to sell as I said, but perfect entry short would be 275$. I am focussing on other things than stocks, I don't think I will participate in it, unless we get there in a few months then I will probably join the fun. This is like any other scam. Distribution, dump, sucker rally to 50% retrace (or more, usually 50 to 78.6%), then road to zero. Would be cool if Tesla made an ABC and this dump was B wave. When entire stock market crashes Tesla won't survive. Executives at TSLA are all running away from the company also... Thing is really collapsing (regardless of price of shares). There are ALOT of suckers buying thought, these days every one can buy easilly and cheap, especially with Robinhood... Biggest bubble of all time. There are enough amateurs to save the price for a while (and give me time and a good entry) but it won't go to infinity, and once the stock market falls it is all over. People use options for this. That just want to be right. Or short with a stop at what like 400$? Going to try pinpointing the top if I do this but I will not bother if we get there in less than 2-3 months. I think I am better off focussing on only 1 ponzi at a time, when I am done with BTC I will go to Tesla. And then back. Idk yet. All I know is I had to withdraw again and made no money for 2 months I expect not to make any for 1 other month, so I will focus on the stuff I know works. Then I can gamble on stocks. Not stupid enough to blindly short something because I know it will go down in the future I just do not know when. If I was a dumb clueless sucker that gets 1 idea every ten years I would "this is the opportunity of a lifetime". But what is the opportunity of a lifetime to average people is something I get once a week. (Once a week in the February to early June and mid september to mid december periods).
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by MrRenev
2
Tesla & Enron striking similaritiesI do not have an Enron chart to show here... The 2 examples I can think of (they did not go to zero) that provided a great short entry: I am not sure... Need to study multiple charts... But I think in this case the right entry should be: How are baggies going to react? Follow Robintrack to know. And Twitter and CNBC. FOMO FOMO FOMO? Then short higher. Take profit/break even early? Then short before 250. You could also have a wider stop, and also aim for zero. How long to go to zero? 6 months? 1 year? 2 years? Took Enron 1 year "only". So expect this to take a while. Sears MoviePass Mednax "the bull market is back 40$ was the bottom" extended to 5 and retraced a little more than 0.55. Actually similar to what Bitcoin did many times and what might be happening now. Must be something with frauds. Enron did not retrace that much and did not push far into support... If we look at a regular company... It is going to be a while... Might be another 6 months before we get to fire the shot. But whatever happens the entry should be somewhere around 250. If there is no opportunity to short this fraud then too bad, there are other opportunities. But I have good hopes that fools will joyfully buy and provide a good entry, as they always do. Thanks dummies.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by MrRenev
8
Tesla complacency is over. Watch it crash and burn. Dumb scam.Can you imagine a Tesla bull say "evil big money they knew" when all this information was available to the public? I would not be surprised actually. I don't get how clowns like this get involved. Nyways this is the story: Elon & Kimbal start in 1995 with a dot com company named Zip2, with money raised from a small group of angel investors. They took advantage of the dot com bubble hype to rapidly become millionaires. In March 1999, at the peak of the dot com bubble when irrational exuberance was off the charts Elon made 165 million $ from selling X.com one of the first online banks. It merged with another company that had a product named paypal. We do not know how much of X.com is into paypal. Elon gets kicked as a CEO because he has too many bad ideas and paypal goes on to become successful without him. In 2001 Elon Musk starts SpaceX, another hype ponzi - er I mean company, that attracts alot of interest from the public. All along the way Elon works on his personality cult. In 2003 Tesla comes to existence. It is supposed to change the world, starts with luxury cars, then switches to cheaper ones. Lots and lots of hype around it. The company has not had a profitable year since its creation, interestingly its r&d green budget is one of the lowest of all car companies. 2006: SolarCity, to have "clean energy" and "save the planet" hype hype. One of the world's biggest polluters. Who knows, we might all die from all the heavy metal they dumped in nature. Great. Disgusting. Apart from that he started all kinds of hype projects. Dozens of them. He just likes throwing hype ideas around. That's literally all he did his whole life and became a billionaire for it. Throw around dozens of ideas start a business and then that's it. Nothing never gets done nothing ever becomes successful (unless his company merges with another one and he gets kicked as CEO). I am sure every one has had the pleasure to meet people like this in their lives "oh ye i'll do this and this and that" taking plenty of responsabilities, too much to be able to respect them, and of course nothing gets done. Tesla is just another name for "Elon Musk reality show". It's all hype, and unsurprisingly it attracted all kinds of idiots. I wonder how many "Bitcoin true believers" are also "Tesla true believers", I am curious to know if it is 99.7% or 99.8%. The facts were available to every one. Company is trash. Complete scam. The big whales have dumped on all these "true believers" fools, and once again, like every single time, the public is now rekt. Every one knows how this work, yet, somehow "Nooo I won't sell 'they' want to buy my stock cheap". I don't even get it. Last 500 billion times it happened the same way. W/e. EVERY TIME. If someone wants to invest in EV, there are plenty others. And hybrids are really good, better. Guess what works? Taking it slow, one step at a time, and making sure everything works smoothly. Saying you want to go from 0 to 100 gets the public excited. Saying you want to build a colony on Mars gets the public excited. But the public is made of idiots, and changes have to be progressive. Hybrids are really good, the perfect compromise, and the first step. Some EV are great but really expensive as of now. Once again, Elon bite off more than he could chew. He can't help himself, he just loves to start futuristic stuff that is bound to failure: Gigafactory Hyperloop Hyperloop Neuralink. And he spends his time seducing people, and when someone doesn't fall for it he gets angry. Typical. So funny. pretty sad too. This is how it usually looks like And zooming in on the bear part Remember when Bitcoin broke the downtrend & had a golden cross and the bear market was over? I'll end with just 1 word: Theranos.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by MrRenev
27